Status of Lebanese Energy Statistics. Joseph Al Assad, Ph.D.

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Transcription:

Status of Lebanese Energy Statistics, Ph.D. 1

Why Energy Statistics for Lebanon? A helping tool for decision makers especially during the conception of energy policies Indicators on energy security Indicators on the amounts of local generation and imports of electricity The need for a harmonized reference concerning energy statistics 2

Annual Total Petroleum Consumption (MT) Annual Total Petroleum Consumption 5000000 4800000 4600000 4400000 4200000 4000000 3800000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 3

Quantity of Gasoline MT Annual Gasoline Consumption 1450000 1400000 1350000 1300000 1250000 1200000 1150000 1100000 1050000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 s 4

MT of Liquid Gas Annual Liquid Gas Consumption 250000 200000 150000 100000 50000 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 s 5

Annual Diesel Consumption Tones Annual Diesel Consumption 1E+09 900000000 800000000 700000000 600000000 500000000 400000000 300000000 200000000 100000000 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 s 6

Total Quantity of Consumed Gasoil (MT) Total Annual Gasoil Consumption 180000 160000 140000 120000 100000 80000 60000 40000 20000 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 7

Annual Gasoil Consumption by EDL (MT) Annual Gasoil Consumption by EDL 1200000 1000000 800000 600000 400000 200000 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 s 8

Annual Gasoil Consumed by the Private Sector (MT) Annual Gasoil Consumed by the Private Sector 1000000 900000 800000 700000 600000 500000 400000 300000 200000 100000 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 s 9

Annual Share of EDL G.O. Consumption (%) Annual Share (%) of EDL Gas Oil Consumption 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 10

Total Annual Fuel Oil Consumption (MT) Annual Total Fuel Oil Consumption 2000000 1800000 1600000 1400000 1200000 1000000 800000 600000 400000 200000 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 11

EDL ly Fuel Oil Consumption (MT) Annual EDL Fuel Oil Consumption 2000000 1800000 1600000 1400000 1200000 1000000 800000 600000 400000 200000 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 12

Fuel Oil Consumed by Private Sector (MT) Annual Private Fuel Oil Consumption 200000 180000 160000 140000 120000 100000 80000 60000 40000 20000 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 13

Annual Local Fuel Oil Consumption (MT) Annual Local Fuel Oil Consumption 300000 250000 200000 150000 100000 50000 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 14

Annual Share of EDL F.O. Consumption (%) Annual Share (%) of EDL Fuel Oil Consumption 100.0 90.0 80.0 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 15

Asphalt Consumption (MT) Annual Total Asphalt Consumption 120000 100000 80000 60000 40000 20000 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 16

Total Kerosene Consumption (MT) Annual Kerosene Consumption 180000 160000 140000 120000 100000 80000 60000 40000 20000 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 17

Total Electricity Generated (GWh) Total Annual Electricity Generation 10,500.00 10,000.00 9,500.00 9,000.00 8,500.00 8,000.00 7,500.00 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 18

Total Electricity Purchased (GWh) Total Electricity Purchase 2,000.00 1,800.00 1,600.00 1,400.00 1,200.00 1,000.00 800.00 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 19

Total Electricity Consumption (GWh) Total Electricity Supply 12,500.00 12,000.00 11,500.00 11,000.00 10,500.00 10,000.00 9,500.00 9,000.00 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20

Total GO Electric Generation (GWh) Total Gas Oil Electricity Generation 7,000.00 6,500.00 6,000.00 5,500.00 5,000.00 4,500.00 4,000.00 3,500.00 3,000.00 2,500.00 2,000.00 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 21

Total FO Electric Generation (GWh) Total Fuel Oil Electricity Generation 5,500.00 5,000.00 4,500.00 4,000.00 3,500.00 3,000.00 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 22

Share (%) Thermal Energy Mix 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Gas Oil Fuel Oil 23

Total Hydraulic Electricity GWh Total Hydraulic Electricity 1,400,000.00 1,200,000.00 1,000,000.00 800,000.00 600,000.00 400,000.00 200,000.00 0.00 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 24

% of Hydro Purchase Vs Total Energy % Of Hydroelectric Purchases Versus Total Energy 14.00 12.00 10.00 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 0.00 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 25

% of Total Purchases Vs. Total Energy % Of Total Purchases Versus Total Energy 20.00 18.00 16.00 14.00 12.00 10.00 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 0.00 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 26

% of GO Generation Vs. Total Energy % Of GO Generation Versus Total Energy 70.00 60.00 50.00 40.00 30.00 20.00 10.00 0.00 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 27

% of GO Generation Vs. Total Energy % Of FO Generation Versus Total Energy 70.00 60.00 50.00 40.00 30.00 20.00 10.00 0.00 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 28

SWH $1,200,000 $1,000,000 1,053,988 1,003,988 3049 KWh/year for 208 litters systems 1089 KWh/year/m 2 20000 m 2 increase for 2005-2010 40000 m 2 for 2011 310000 m 2 in 2012 $800,000 $600,000 $400,000 $200,000 131,560 151,294 104,000 114,400 $0 173,988 413,988 363,988 325,988 287,988 249,988 211,988 493,988 613,988 783,988 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 29

Energy Balance Simplified Version * Data availability for 2010 30

MEDSTAT * Data availability for 2010 31

Current Situation Indicators Accounts and balances Basic Statistics 32

Short Term Communication with all concerned parties Choice of a format to be followed Unification of units (Toe) Evaluation of the statistical status of the consumption data (Ministry of Industry, Ministry of Public Works and Transport, Ministry of Agriculture) Calculation per capita and per GDP unit 33

Problems facing a Lebanese Energy Balance Lack of communication between concerned parties Unification of terms between the different involved parties Cross referencing data between different parties Harmonization of basic data 34

Problems facing a Lebanese Energy Balance Lack of unified formats for data collection and presentation Lack of a specialized personnel Difference in calculation methods in the case of some variables Differences of definition of sectors when dealing with the consumption side Lack of specialized statistical surveys 35

Examples of 2007 Data for industrial consumption 36

Examples of 2007 Data for industrial consumption 37

Examples of 2007 Data for industrial consumption 38

Thank You, Ph.D. 39