Elision Disclaimer Sporting Bots Limited does not accept any responsibility whatsoever for any loss that may be sustained as a result of the use (or misuse) of information contained in this report, irrespective of how that loss might be sustained. Sporting Bots Limited does not guarantee winnings and cannot be held liable for losses resulting from the use of information obtained from within this document or from our sites. This report is for information only. In no way we are advising you to act on the report or to bet on live markets. Please seek proper advice if you are unsure what to do. Warning Betting can be very risky and users should only speculate with money that they can comfortably afford to lose and should ensure that the risks involved are fully understood, seeking advice if necessary. The past does not equal the future. Although the information in this report was gathered by using the Grey Horse Bot installed on one of our servers it doesn t mean either using your own version on using selections manually will produce the same results. Our past results do NOT in any way guarantee similar or like future results. Please keep this in mind when reading the report. Please gamble responsibly http://www.gambleaware.co.uk/ Please read the extra disclaimer at the bottom of this report. This report was created 08/12/2014 and reflects results up to the 07/12/2014
It is always difficult to know how long we should do an open test for. Sometimes because of pricing issues, if a system seems to be doing well off the bat we will take it in house quite quickly. On other tests we often just leave them especially when they don t start off so well. Elision is a test we started at the end of August ready for the start of September. Some would argue that with the change of season looming it is not a great time to start a new test. The way I look at is that better to get it out so we can see how it performs during difficult parts of the season than to wait for a more stable part of the season to show people (if there is such a thing). After all it is a test and we are only watching to see what happens. Elision is a Handicap hurdle system based around a number of filters and one of in house rating systems. Its drawbacks are that it can select more than one runner in a race and it has a low strike rate of around 13%. But it does have some big winning months as this test has shown. Here are the statistics
The trial The first full month was September and the strike rate dropped to 6.94 and the AWO to 6.05. And that resulted in a loss of 38.27. Not a very successful start to this trial and probably enough to put most people off. In fact a few emails labeled the test a disaster. I never understand why people do that. It s an open test and it is just the first month and my argument is simple look back over the results and ask Has this happened before? With 26 months of full results to go on. We have quite a bit of history to look at. And a study of these results shows that there have been other losing months just like September. Although the past does not equal the future we should try to use it as a guide to help us understand the system better and to give us clues to when alarm bells should start winning. One of the reasons our results pages are so detailed is to give you the information you need in order to make decisions about how to get the best from the selections.. Many sites out there pull the wool over your eyes regarding a systems potential. Even our standard results give you more information than many services actually give you as a member. When you follow a system like Elision you are relying on getting wins on runners considered most of the time to be outsiders.
This is where you find value and this is why a system with such a low strike rate can make money. I want to draw your attention to the month by month graph. My question is: If your look back at the results can you see periods that are similar to the last few months? Do you think this may havehappened before? Look again.
Would you not say these 3 areas are very similar in the way they look? This should be good news if you are considering following the selections because it shows you that really over the last 3 or 4 months the system has performed pretty much how we would expected if we had studied the results in detail. The day by day graph is very interesting. (Provide from the SPB System Builder) This shows that this system has amazing periods of growth and then periods where it isn t doing much at all. If we turn out attention to October we can see that the system provides us with a really good month bringing in 51.39 points profit (Betfair BSP). October was really good because the AWO shot up to 11.31 and the strike rate held steady at 12.39. November saw a drop in AWO to 7.33 even though strike rate was similar to October. This month so far Elision is up 24.18 points up and has a really high strike rate of 19.44. Although the AWO are around 8.00 at the moment.
One of the things that is really interesting is that 2013 saw a profit made of 540 points. This year it has been a little lower at 447 points (up to the 7/12/2014) which is an average of 37.25 points a month. The question really is has this been a successful open test? Points wise I think you could argue both ways. Yes it is in profit but not as much as it could have been. But I think the real question to ask is Has it performed as expected from previous results? I think the answer has to be YES. And isn t that the first thing we want to know about a system once we start following it? If we can at least be confident that the system appears to be working as we would expect then our decision of whether to go live can be based on past performance. The second part is selecting a suitable stake and testing it out. Although I am not qualified to give you monetary advice and you should certainly seek advice from someone who is qualified I think using anymore than 1% of your bank is just asking for trouble. The predicted Longest Losing Run is 60. So far our maximum has been 45 but be cautious and use 60 at least as your guide. So if you had a 200 bank and you staked 2 on a selection If you lost over half of it before a winner would you continue? If the answer is NO Then pick a smaller stake or pick another system! Elision will be finishing its open trial shortly but will be available to Grey Horse Bot members as normal. You can find out more about the system here, http://greyhorsebot.co.uk/artview.asp?pnum=90
Thank you as always for reading I really do appreciate it. Malcolm The Grey Horse Bot READ THIS - IT'S IMPORTANT: Disclaimer: This report is for information only. In no way we are advising you to act on the report or to bet on live markets. Please seek proper advice if you are unsure what to do. Unmatched bets, prices out of range and other factors may influence your results compared to ours so we can in no way guarantee that you will achieve similar results. In fact your results could be worse. Please see Betfair s information on how they match bets. Matched bets can be influenced by timing, stake amounts and other factors. Online or off line betting is not appropriate for everyone. There is a substantial risk of loss associated with betting. Losses can and will occur. No system or methodology has ever been developed that can guarantee profits or ensure freedom from losses. No representation or implication is being made that using the information on this report/article will generate profits or ensure freedom from losses. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular betting program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical betting does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical betting record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual betting.
For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular betting program in spite of betting losses are material points which can also adversely affect betting results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific betting program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual betting results. HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL BETTING. ALSO, SINCE THE BETS HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED BETTING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. Please "Gamble Responsibly" http://www.gambleaware.co.uk/