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Available online at www.sciencedirect.com ScienceDirect Procedia Engineering 84 (2014 ) 188 194 2014 ISSST, 2014 International Symposium on Safety Science and Technology Shipwreck statistical analysis and suggestions for ships carrying liquefiable solid bulk cargoes in China CHENG Xiaonan, LIU Minyan*, HE Longjun China Waterborne Transport Research Institute, Beijing 100088, People s Republic of China Abstract In order to grasp the reason of the wreck accident for ships carrying liquefiable solid bulk cargoes, and restrain the similar accidents happened again, the paper collects a decade of accident investigation reports or accident cases, counts wreck accidents for ships carrying liquefiable solid bulk cargoes from 2001 and 2010 in or nearby China, and analyzes the internal and external causes of the accidents. The results show that the transportable moisture limit and moisture content of cargoes must be accurately detected before shipment, and the moisture content should be under the transportable moisture limit to ensure the essential safety. 2014 Published The Authors. by Elsevier Published Ltd. by This Elsevier is an Ltd. open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license Peer-review (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/). under responsibility of scientific committee of Beijing Institute of Technology. Peer-review under responsibility of scientific committee of Beijing Institute of Technology Keywords: liquefiable solid bulk cargoes, shipwreck, accident statistics, reason analysis 1. Introduction In 1980s, the ships which carried concentrate fines boomed with reforming and opening up in China. At the same time, a number of serious accidents happened, and at least 5 ships carrying concentrate fines sunk or tilted in 1987 [1, 2]. The Ministry of Transport (MOT) of China published Safety management regulations of selected mineral powder and water minerals by sea (No. 275 Document) [3] in 1988. The Document played a positive role in containing sunken ship accidents. However, accidents still happened. In 2009, China Shipowners Mutual Assurance Association reported 9 transportation accidents about concentrate fines [4]. In April 2010, the MOT of China reported wreck accidents about "Fuxiang" ship and" Shangyuan 9" ship. In 36 days of the fourth quarter of 2010, 6 sunken ship accidents happened continuously [5]. Three panama cargo ship loading nickel ore from Indonesia to * Corresponding author. Tel.: +86-010-65290300; fax: +86-010-62364733. E-mail address: 945703236@qq.com 1877-7058 2014 Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/). Peer-review under responsibility of scientific committee of Beijing Institute of Technology doi:10.1016/j.proeng.2014.10.425

Cheng Xiaonan et al. / Procedia Engineering 84 ( 2014 ) 188 194 189 China, sunk in route, and 45 crew members were dead or missing. That brought a huge impact at home and abroad, and created much threat to continuous and stable development of industry [6-9]. In order to strengthen the safety regulation of the shipped liquefiable solid bulk cargoes, the International Maritime Organization (IMO) published the international maritime solid bulk cargoes (IMSBC) code, which has been enforced in January 1, 2011 [10]. The MOT of China also published safety management provisions of waterborne liquefiable solid bulk cargoes (No. 638 Document) in November 2011 [11]. According to the separation of solid bulk particle and water after vibration, the liquefiable solid bulk cargoes can be divided into weak hygroscopicity cargoes and strong hygroscopicity cargoes. Due to the vibration of the ship and extrusion between cargoes during the voyage, the moisture of weak hygroscopicity cargoes is pushed out to the surface, forms the free surface, thus reducing the ship's initial stability, and leads to the sinking [12]. There are certain gap and moisture between particles of strong hygroscopicity cargoes. Due to rocking, vibration, bump, impact of ships, the gap between particles becomes smaller, the water pressure becomes higher, the friction between the particles becomes smaller, and the shear strength also becomes smaller. Although there is no obvious water, the cargoes become soft and loose, even leading to moving. The ship's stability is greatly reduced, causing a shipwreck [5, 7, 13]. Based on history statistical data from 2001 to 2010, the paper proposes the internal reasons and trigger conditions of accidents to enhance the safety awareness of workers. The paper suggests that the transportable moisture limit (TML) and moisture content of cargoes must be accurately detected before shipment, and the moisture content should be under the TML. The paper also proposes some effective control measurements at crisis state to restrain the similar accidents happening again. 2. Analysis and Discussion 2.1. Number of sunken ship accidents There were 23 sunken ship accidents about liquefiable solid bulk cargoes happened in recent ten years. It can be seen from Fig. 1, the number of accident showed upward trend generally. Some new liquefiable solid bulk cargoes, such as kaolin and laterite nickel ore, were not strictly managed and controlled accordance with the relevant provisions. That was one of the main reasons for increased accidents. 2.2. Casualties and property losses Fig. 1. Number of shipwreck accidents for the ships carrying liquefiable solid bulk cargoes. There were 25 people dead, 74 people missed and 231 people rescued in 23 wreck accidents. That caused direct property losses of 144.79 million yuan, and the damage was very large. Some ships carrying liquefiable solid bulk cargoes often leaned to one side without any symptom. A few minutes later, the ships suddenly sank. Seamen didn't even cry for help, leading to heavy casualties.

190 Cheng Xiaonan et al. / Procedia Engineering 84 ( 2014 ) 188 194 2.3. The distribution of carrying cargoes In 23 accidents, the traffic volume of iron ore powder, iron sand, fine pyrite ore, Australia ore, Peru ore and Brazil ore was large, and these cargoes caused more accidents, accounting for about 46%. It is noteworthy that the traffic volume of nickel mines and kaolin was not very large, but their accidents account for 25% and 9%, respectively, as shown in Fig. 2. These two kinds of cargoes with strong hygroscopicity has the properties of cohesive soil. The experimental results show that the plasticity index of kaolin clay is 10-18, and the plasticity index of laterite nickel ore has more viscidity, and its plasticity index is up to 68. Because the strong hygroscopicity cargoes contain more water (usually about 20%-40%) and the water is difficult to separate from the cargoes, there is greater risk for these cargoes. The viscidity and proportion of fine particles of cargoes are the main factors of liquefiable solid bulk cargoes. Kaolin and nickel with frequent and serious accidents have not been included in the IMSBC rules, leading to regulatory vacuum, and that is one of the important reasons for such frequent accidents [10, 14]. Gold tailings, 3% Australia ore, 3% Brazil ore Silver ore, 3% powder, 3% Peru's mineral, 3% Pulverized coal, 3% Zinc powder, 6% Lead ore, 6% Fine pyrite, 9% other ores, 6% Iron ore powder/iron sand, 21% Clay(White Clay), 25% Nickel ore, 9% Fig. 2. The accident distribution on different cargoes. 2.4. Moisture content test of cargoes No. 275 Document points out that when the cargoes are in shipment, the moisture content shall not exceed 8%. In 12 of 23 cases, the shipper received test reports of the moisture content of cargoes before shipment, moisture contents in the report were less than 8%, but those were not consistent with actual moisture contents. No. 275 Document also points out that the simple field experiments should be performed before loading. Only in 1 accident, the shipper used correct simple detection methods. The moisture content was not controlled under the TML before loading, and it was the most direct cause of the sinking. 2.5. Free surface or cargoes moving By statistics, we can see that in 18 accidents, the free surface or cargoes movement happened in the ship, accounting for 78.3% (there were no records in other 5 accidents). It can be concluded that all accidents appeared free surface or cargoes movement. The accidents prove that the liquefiable solid bulk cargoes contain some proportion of fine particles and viscous material with moisture content. When moisture content of cargoes is more than its TML, the solid-liquid two-phase free surface or cargoes movement will happen, and that is the internal reason of the sunken ship accidents.

Cheng Xiaonan et al. / Procedia Engineering 84 ( 2014 ) 188 194 191 2.6. The statistics of ships (1) Tonnage of ships. The tonnage of the sunken ships is shown in Fig. 3. We can see that the tonnages of sunken ships were from 3000t to 5000t, but the Nanyuanzhuanshi ship, Hongwei ship and Jianfuxing ship that sunk in 2010 were all 40000-50000t ships. The sunken ships showed a large-scale trend. It was reported that the wavelength of the waves off the coast in China is 90-120 meters, which is close to the length of 5000-ton two-way ship. When the speed of such ships is close to the wave velocity and the center of the ship is in the wave crest, the loss of ship's actual waterplane area is bigger, causing the stability decreased significantly. According to calculation, along with the wave crest, the ship's largest reduction of initial stability height can reach 0.3 to 1.0 meters. Therefore, 5000-ton two-way ships should avoid sailing over the wave. Although 40000-50000 ton ships have good stability, they can t completely resist from large moment of force generated by the movement of cargoes [15]. 10 9 Number of the sunken ships 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 less than 1000t 2000t 3000t 5000t 10000t 40000-50000t Tonnage Fig. 3. The tonnage of the sunken ships. (2) Sealing condition of ships. In 10 accidents of 23, the moisture content of cargoes increased in the process of shipment and navigation, accounted for 43.5%. Loading cargoes when rain would lead to increasing of moisture content in the shipment process, and the moisture content could also increase if sea water entered into the cabin in the navigation due to the cover plate of cabin was old, out of shape or poor tightness. 2.7. The weather conditions at the time of accidents In 23 cases, only 1 barge ship overturned due to heavy rains. The other ship wreck accidents all occurred in the wind and waves environment, and it was an important factor which caused sinking. When accident happened, wind level was level 8-9 (17%), level 7-8 (35%) or level 6-7 (35%). The height of waves was 5-6 m (5%), 4-5 m (23%) or 3-4 m (49%). Big waves pass much energy to the cargoes, make their internal moisture rearrange or push their internal moisture to the surface. It leads to form free surface or cargoes movement, and the wind resistance strength of ship is further reduced, leading to ship capsizing. 2.8. The ship stowage and the response of distress The following operations and responses had been proved to be wrong and should be avoided.

192 Cheng Xiaonan et al. / Procedia Engineering 84 ( 2014 ) 188 194 (1) The ships are close to full load before sailing, and most domestic trade ships haven t taken the stability calculation of ships. (2) The captain and seamen have insufficient understanding for the big waves shift and free surface of ships carrying liquefiable solid bulk cargoes, are lack of alert and adequate planning for the ship sailing on the big waves, and are lack of awareness for bad weather. They don t check the cargo and drain off water in time. (3) To shelter from the waves or anchor, under the condition of obvious heeling, most ships did not adopt measures to against the top of the sea, and some even turn with large angle, leading to the increase of hull heeling. 74% of the accident investigation report did not have the records which showed that whether the captains were sailing against the wind at the time of the accident, and only five accidents (22%) adopted the right measure at the time of the accident. It could be concluded that the captains did not pay enough attention to the danger. (4) Six (26%) accident investigation report clearly recorded that incorrect turning with large angle are taken meeting with danger. (5) After the ships are heavy tilted, beaching is an effective measure to rescue ships and cargoes. However, due to unclear of the depth and bottom of the sea, the ships can t choose the appropriate grounding locations, even causing the ship struck on a rock and sank. 2.9. Season, water area and commodity characteristics of accidents In the statistics of the 23 cases, the ports of shipment were mainly in three areas: Bohai bay, South China and Indonesia. all show obvious seasonal characteristics, characteristics of waters and commodity characteristics. The site map of 17 sunken ship accidents is shown in Fig.4. Fig. 4. The site map of 17 sunken ship accidents.

Cheng Xiaonan et al. / Procedia Engineering 84 ( 2014 ) 188 194 193 Six of the accidents were in Bohai Bay as the port of shipment, in which five had occurred in winter-spring wind season (October to April the following year). Three of the accidents took ports of north Korea as the port of shipment, and the accidents also happened in prevalent seasons from September to November. Most of the accident ships travelled via the Laotieshan or Chengshantou waterway with complex flow and high flow velocity. Complex environment was an important triggering factor leading to these accidents. So the season of safety management focus is the windy season (October to April the following year) for ships carrying liquefiable solid bulk cargoes back and forth in the Bohai bay. All ships are carrying iron ore powder in these accidents. The ports of shipment of 8 accidents were in southern China, including six accident ships, which had not yet left southern China. Five accidents happened from June to September meeting with the big wind and waves. Three accident ships might fill the water. One accident met the rain when loading. There was 1 accident happened in October, the ship carried fluorspar powder, and its moisture content was 10.6% by post-accident testing. One accident occurred in December (the weather of destination port is bad), and another accident happened in March (big waves is the main reason for the accident). Carrying cargo distribution is: clay 4, fluorspar powder 1, white clay 1, iron ore 2. Therefore, liquefiable solid bulk cargoes (especially kaolin, fluorspar powder) in southern China were seriously affected by abnormal weather, such as rain and typhoon. The ports of shipment of 3 accidents were in Indonesia, and the ships were all 40000-50000 ton. The season of accidents is the rainy season in Indonesia, from the end of September to April of the following year. The accident sites were always in the bashi Channel, where the flow was complex and the flow velocity was large. The carring cargoes were all nickel ore with strong hygroscopicity. 3. Discussion, Countermeasures and Suggestions 3.1. The main factors leading to the sinking (1) The factors of cargoes. By the statistical analysis, it is found that the property of kaolin and laterite nickel ore is different from the traditional liquefiable solid bulk cargoes (concentrate fines), and the mechanism of the accidents are also different. However, the traffic volume of kaolin and laterite nickel ore occupies considerable proportion, and presents fast increasing tendency. The ships carrying kaolin and laterite nickel ore are confronted with greater risk, and we should pay more attention to these cargoes. Kaolin and laterite nickel ore usually contain more water and have more viscous and sinking risk, and they have been enrolled in the liquefiable solid bulk cargoes in China. (2) Control of the moisture content. By statistical results, the TML and moisture content must be detected before the shipment, and the moisture content of the cargoes should be ensured to be lower than that of TML. That is the basic premise to ensure the safety of navigation. At the same time, we should also try to avoid the increase of moisture in the process of shipment and the sailing. (3) Ship type selection. The paper first proposes that the length of 5000-ton ships is close to the wavelength of the waves, and it would better avoid using 5000-ton ships. We also suggest that the old ships and the reconstructive ships should be avoided, the hatchway cover of ship should be hermetic, and the ship shall not be overloaded. 3.2. The mechanism of the sinking The root reason of the accidents is that the liquefiable solid bulk cargoes contain some water and proportion of and viscous material in fine particles. When moisture content of cargoes is more than its TML, internal moisture will rearrange, be squeezed to the surface of cargoes, or be scattered all around due to cohesive force decreasing with the effect of vibration, swing or the impact of wind and waves. It leads to form the solid-liquid two-phase free surface or the whole movement, and then reduces the stability of the ship, eventually leading to roll or wreck of the ship. 3.3. countermeasures and suggestions Before sailing, stability calculation should be taken, and emergency plan should be made. Pay close attention to weather changes, and understand the accident-prone region, season and cargoes. Check the cargo-hold regularly and

194 Cheng Xiaonan et al. / Procedia Engineering 84 ( 2014 ) 188 194 drain timely. In case of obvious heeling of hull, the ships should be taken against the top of the sea, and avoid big angle to turn. When the nearby place has the condition to break into, in the case of familiar terrain, the countermeasure can be chosen. 4. Conclusions (1) The statistical results show that from 2001 to 2010, the accidents about liquefiable solid bulk cargoes were on the rise; (2) The transport accidents in strong hygroscopicity cargoes, such as kaolin, laterite nickel ore, happened frequently; (3) It is necessary for the test of moisture content and TML of the cargoes before shipment; (4) Other countermeasures and suggestions mentioned above should also be avoided to reduce the accidents. Acknowledgements This work was financially supported by the Standard Measurement Quality Research Project of Ministry of Transport (2013429222200), Youth Science and Technology Innovation Projects of China Waterborne Transport Research Institute (WTI-41403). References [1] M. Y. Liu, The major problems on safety shipping of bulk carriers loaded with concentrates, Journal of Waterborne Transportation Institute 3 (2001) 18-24. [2] Y. B. Wang, Research on the safe shipment technology of nickel ore, Dalian Maritime University, 2012. [3] The Ministry of Transport, Safety management regulations of selected mineral powder and water minerals by sea (No. 275 Document), Beijing, 1988. [4] China Shipowners Mutual Assurance Association, Announcements about transportation of concentrate fines (No. 15 Document), 2009. [5] Y.F. Ou, Initial investigation on safety technology for shipping liquefiable cargoe, World Shipping 2 (2012) 15-18. [6] J. H. Cui, J. P. Wang, Safety transportation f or the shipping of Laterite nickel ore, Marine Technology 6 (2011) 30-32. [7] H. Lei, Measures of safe shipping for red soil nickel ore, Maritime China, 1 (2011) 55-57. [8] X. H. Zhang, The concerns of nickel ore transport caused by sunken bulk cargo ships, China Ship Survey,12 (2010) 12. [9] Y. J. Zou, C. Shen, X.Y. Xi, An investigation into the capsizing of ships for the carriage of oay lateritic nickel ore, Marine Technology 2 (2012) 32-35. [10] The International Maritime Organization: the international maritime solid bulk cargoes (IMSBC) code, enforced in January 1, 2011. [11] The Ministry of Transport, Safety management provisions of waterborne liquefiable solid bulk cargoes (No. 638 Document), Beijing, 2011. [12] S. Y. Ge, The safe transport of liquefiable solid bulk cargoes based on several marine accidents, China Water Transport, 11 (2013) 34-35. [13] H.F. Zhang, Discussion on the transportation safety of nickel ore powder, China Water Transport, 12 (2012) 30-31. [14] X. Liu, Lost of Nickel ore transportation, China Ship Survey, 4 (2013) 67-69. [15] China Waterborne Transport Research Institute, Research report on the cause of the wreck accident for ship carrying hydrated minerals, 2010.