Safety impacts of pedestrian crossing configurations and other features of signalized junctions on public transport routes

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Advancements in planning and operation of public transport Workshop 4.7.16, TRI, Technion Safety impacts of pedestrian crossing configurations and other features of signalized junctions on public transport routes Victoria Gitelman with Roby Carmel, Fany Pesahov, Shalom Hakkert, Doron Balasha Transportation Research Institute Technion Israel Institute of Technology

Background Public transport priority systems (BRT/LRT) are becoming an attractive solution for improving mobility and promoting PT in big cities, throughout the world Curitiba, Brazil Bogota, Columbia In Israel, the development of public transport routes for buses is one of the main subjects promoted today by the Ministry of Transport

Definition A public transport route (PTR) or bus corridor is a special route designed for PT only, where it is separated, usually physically, from the general traffic lanes, so that it is maintained exclusivity for public transport vehicles enabling them to run at undisturbed travel speeds (ITDP, 2007). Duduta et al, 2012

Safety level of BRT - International findings* In general, BRT had a positive impact on the safety level of the urban roads involved, e.g. Av. Caracas, Bogota, TransMilenio Exceptions: Belo Horizonte in Brazil and Delhi in India * Duduta et al, 2012; 2015

Safety impacts of bus priority systems - International findings* Main forms of the bus system configurations: - centre-lane bus-way safer - curb-side bus lane - counter-flow bus lane * Duduta et al, 2012; 2015

Safety-related recommendations - internationally * Focus on pedestrian safety Design solutions: - pedestrian access to bus stops through grade-separated or signalized intersections - fencing PTR street segments - highlighting PTR through a different aggregate colour - avoiding mid-block crosswalks * ITDP, 2007; TCRP, 2007; Duduta et al, 2015

Common PTR features on urban roads, in Israel Bus-lane/corridor in the center of a dual-carriageway urban arterial, with motor vehicle lanes on both sides High traffic volumes and pedestrian activities PTR is physically separated from other vehicle lanes and, typically, fenced Bus stops are adjacent to junctions, mid-block pedestrian crossings are avoided All intersections and pedestrian crossings are signalized However: severe pedestrian accidents occurred on a bus route situated on an arterial road (Jabotinsky road) of the city of Petah Tiqwa (Ministry of Transport, 2013)

The problem Central PTR, left-side bus lane with stops on median*: The majority of pedestrian accidents concentrated at signalized intersections Two phenomena suggested as contributing to high-risk situations: - pedestrians crossing on red light 10%-20% (int. findings) - "three-route effect Pedestrians are expected to change the traditional rules of checking the direction of approaching traffic: to look left on the first route of general traffic, to look left again while crossing the bus route and then look right and right again 1 2 3 4 * Ministerial Commission (Ministry of Transport, 2013)

The study s topic To explore the impact of pedestrian crossing configurations and other design features of signalized junctions with bus corridors on accident occurrences PTR: bi-directional central bus corridors, situated on urban arterial streets of metropolitan areas Crossing configurations: a gradated or z-crossing vs direct crossing

Pedestrian crossing configurations at signalized intersections with central PTR Type 1 a direct threeroutes crossing Type 2 a gradated right-right crossing Type 3 a gradated left-left crossing Type 4 a gradated-crossing with mixedshifting: right-left or left-right Type 5 a direct two-routes crossing

Evaluation framework Accident analysis to compare the safety performance of: - PTR sites, according to design characteristics - PTR junctions (treatment) vs comparison-group sites Design features: junction configuration (# of legs); # of pedestrian crossings at junction; # of lanes for vehicles, per each general traffic direction; pedestrian crossing configuration Exposure: traffic volumes n/a, high at all sites (assumption); categories of pedestrian activities assigned Dataset: 34 treatment and 38 comparison-group junctions. Comparisongroup: signalized junctions situated on similar urban arterials, but not including a PTR CBS accident files 2010-2012, five types: total injury accidents; severe accident; pedestrian accidents; bus accidents; accidents involving both pedestrians and buses

Comparison of accident indices by groups of sites*: T = ln(θ)/ (1/N1+1/N2) where: θ = R1/R2 N1 - total number of accidents in group 1 N2 - total number of accidents in group 2 R1 - accident index in group 1 R2 - accident index in group 2 Ho :θ =1, rejected when p<0.05 Analysis methods Fitting a regression model to predict the number of accidents on the sites, using available characteristics Multivariate regression, stepwise method, in SPSS v.20 * Griffith, M. S. (1999) Statistical Analysis Techniques

Characteristics of PTR junctions included in the study Characteristic Distribution acc. to categories Junction configuration 3-legged (53%), 4-legged (47%) Pedestrian crossing configuration type 1 direct (32%), type 3 gradated (18%), type 4 mixed shifting (44%), type 5 direct two-routes (6%) Speed limits 70 km/h (18%), 50 km/h (82%) # of pedestrian crossings on main street with 1 (44%), with 2 (56%) # of lanes of general traffic going straight, per direction 2 lanes (74%), 3 lanes (24%), 1 lane (2%) Accident indices, per junction, in 2010-2012 All injury accidents Severe accidents Pedestrian accidents Accidents involving buses Accidents involving a bus and a pedestrian Average 6.9 1.1 1.7 1.5 0.7 s.d. ±5.0 ±1.4 ±2.3 ±2.0 ±1.4

Regression models for accident numbers at the PTR junctions Total injury accidents Pedestrian accidents Bus accidents Variables Std. B Error t Sig. (Constant) 5.16 1.06 4.87 0.000 type 4 3.91 1.59 2.45 0.020 (Constant) 0.58 0.46 1.25 0.219 type 4 2.49 0.69 3.58 0.001 (Constant) 0.63 0.40 1.59 0.122 type 4 1.97 0.60 3.29 0.002 Model statistics: p-value = 0.020; Adjusted R Square = 0.132. p-value <0.001; Adjusted R Square = 0.264. p-value = 0.002; Adjusted R Square = 0.229 For all accident types, crossing type 4 (gradated with a mixed shifting) is associated with an increase in accident numbers

Sites groups SPIs: the concept (III) Comparing accident indices at the PTR sites, by pedestrian crossing configuration All accidents Pedestrian accidents Bus accidents Total Serious Fatal Total Serious Fatal Total Serious Fatal Average accident indices: Type 1 6 0.6 0.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.9 0.1 0.1 Type 3 3.3 0 0 0.2 0 0 0.3 0 0 Type 4 9.1 1.3 0.5 3.1 0.8 0.3 2.6 0.5 0.5 Type 5 6 0 0.5 0.5 0 0.5 0 0 0 Differences between the site groups, estimated by means of T-statistics (p-values): Type 1 vs 3 0.02* 0.13 0.20 Type 1 vs 4 0.01* 0.12 0.24 0.09 # 0.24 0.00* 0.09 # 0.13 Type 1 vs 5 1.0 0.41 0.64 0.23 Type 3 vs 4 0.00* 0.00* 0.00* Type 3 vs 5 0.12 0.44 Type 4 vs 5 0.17 0.95 0.07 # 0.71 Significant differences: *p<0.05, # p<0.10

Comparing accident indices at the PTR sites, by junction configuration All accidents Pedestrian accidents Accidents involving buses Sites groups Total Serious Fatal Total Serious Fatal Total Serious Fatal Average accident indices: 3-legged 5.7 0.6 0.2 1.5 0.4 0.1 1.3 0.2 0.1 4-legged 8.2 0.9 0.4 1.9 0.5 0.3 1.8 0.4 0.4 Differences between the site groups, estimated by means of T-statistics (p-values): 3-legged vs 4- legged 0.01* 0.281 0.162 0.400 0.627 0.216 0.264 0.251 0.054* * Significant difference

Comparing accident indices at the PTR and comparisongroup (CG) sites, by junction configuration 3-legged junctions All accidents Pedestrian accidents Bus accidents Sites Total Serious Fatal Total Serious Fatal Total Serious Fatal PTR 5.7* 0.6 0.2 1.5 0.4 0.1 1.3 0.2 0.1 CG 2.3 0.3 0 0 0 0 0.9 0.2 0 4-legged junctions All accidents Pedestrian accidents Bus accidents Sites Total Serious Fatal Total Serious Fatal Total Serious Fatal PTR 8.2* 0.9* 0.4* 1.9* 0.5 0.3 1.8 0.4 0.4* CG 5.0 0.3 0.1 0.4 0 0 1.2 0.1 0.1 * Significant difference at p<0.05

Regression models for accident numbers at the PTR and CG sites Total injury accidents Pedestrian accidents Variables B Std. Error t Sig. (Constant) 8.29 0.86 9.60 0.000 CG vs PTR -3.42 0.97-3.54 0.001 3-legged vs 4- legged -2.50 0.96-2.60 0.012 (Constant) 1.56 0.31 5.11 0.000 CG vs PTR -1.43 0.39-3.69 0.000 High pedestrian volume vs others 2.03 0.61 3.36 0.001 70 km/h speed limit vs 50 km/h -2.18 0.75-2.91 0.005 Model statistics: p-value<0.001; Adjusted R Square = 0.191 p-value<0.001; Adjusted R Square = 0.304 Signalized junctions with PTR are characterized by higher accident numbers than similar junctions without PTR

Discussion For signalized junctions on central PTR situated on urban arterials: Pedestrian crossing configurations have a more consistent impact on accident occurrences compared to other design features Sites with a mixed-shifting gradated-crossing (type 4) were associated with higher accident frequencies, for various accident types, related to other configurations. Some results pointed towards safety benefits associated with a gradated left-left configuration of pedestrian crossings (type 3) An indication that a direct crossing (type 1 and type 5) is safer than a mixed-shifting (type 4)

Discussion (2) Among signalized junctions on central PTR, 4-legged junctions tend to higher accident numbers related to the 3-legged junctions higher complexity of traffic movements, longer cycles - But a preference of the 3-legged junctions over the 4-legged should be practical. Signalized junctions on PTR are characterized by higher numbers of total injury, severe and pedestrian accidents, related to comparisonsites without PTR, when controlling for other design features - Can be counterbalanced by a reduction in accidents on the PTR street segments. Study limitations: small samples, lack of traffic volume estimates

Conclusions A gradated-crossing with mixed-shifting is not recommended for future application. A gradated left-left crossing (type 3) and a direct crossing (types 1,5) should be considered as safer arrangements for the PTR junctions. Accounting for the rapid development of PT priority systems, more research studies are required to ascertain the safety impacts of various road design solutions Type 1 Type 3 Type 5