Solar Water Heating Systems in Libya

Similar documents
The transition to sustainable energy

Economic Outlook March Economic Policy Division

Portuguese Market Outlook up to 2040

An update on Grid parity

Energy Outlook Global and Domestic Trends and Challenges. Dr. John Caldwell Director of Economics, EEI 1

ADVANCING NATURAL GAS IN THE MULTIFAMILY BUILDINGS MARKET

Energy Efficiency in California Some Possible Lessons for Ontario 20 March 2006

The best design acknowledges that you can't disconnect the form from the material.

ITALIAN PV MARKET WORKSHOP ON PV INCENTIVE PROGRAMS

ANNUAL RESULTS PRESENTATION. 20 March, 2014 Hong Kong

The economic value of the EU shipping industry. Andrew P Goodwin

Distributed generation spiral of growth. Isaac Dyner, Sebastián Zapata, Maritza Jiménez, Mónica Castañeda Nivalde de Castro and GESEL group

The History of the Future Price of Oil

PROVINCE OF SASKATCHEWAN INVESTOR PRESENTATION

Energy Trends and Emissions in the Former Soviet Union

CSAPR & MATS: Is Coal Doomed? Dallas Burtraw, Karen Palmer, Anthony Paul, Blair Beasley, and Matt Woerman

Market Insights. March 29, 2019

Market Insights. June 30, 2018

FINANCING THE ENERGY TRANSITION

School of international and Public Affairs. Columbia University Manuel Pinho

2013 Integrated Resource Plan September 24, 2012

The Eurozone integration, des-integration and possible future developments

Dr Neil J. Bristow. 8 th WSD Steel Success Strategies European Steel Conference London, 30 th November H & W Worldwide Consulting

Fact Sheet for Q3 and January-September 2012 October 24, 2012

RBC Economics Financial Update Dawn Desjardins

The Long-term Perspective: IHS Scenarios to 2030 applied to Automotive. Presented by: Nigel Griffiths Chief Automotive Economist IHS Automotive

The Australia US FTA: implications for international education

Impacts of the Global Economy on Asia Pacific Travel. 29 June 2007 John Walker

Status of Lebanese Energy Statistics. Joseph Al Assad, Ph.D.

Why is it so challenging being the world s most competitive energy technology?

The data inputs and assumptions underlying this Reference Case are described in the Assumptions Book.

44 Economic Perspectives

COMMENTS ON THE INDUSTRIAL POLICY: THE CASE OF TURKEY

Iran Unrivalled Market in the Middle East

Sustainable Energy Innovation: Kosovo and The Clean Energy Transition NOAH KITTNER, DANIEL KAMMEN PHD, MS, ENERGY AND RESOURCES, UC BERKELEY

Energy Security: Markets and Policy

Transmission Expansion Advisory Committee Meeting Market Efficiency Analysis Input Assumptions. April 12, 2012

Living with limits: growth, resources and climate change Martin Wolf, Associate Editor & Chief Economics Commentator, Financial Times

Techno-economic assessment of potential CCS deployment in the Southern African region

The Changing Global Economy Impacts on Seaports and Trade Dr. Walter Kemmsies

Annual Stockholders Meeting May 12, President s Report 2013 Results of Operations

Overview of Assumptions

Issues Driving the Outlook for Specialty Crops December 3, 2012

The U.S. Economic Outlook

Global Outlook for Agriculture Trend versus Cycle

U.S. Overview. Gathering Steam? Tuesday, October 1, 2013

Global Containerboard Outlook

The modes of government guidance for public bicycle operation and state-owned company operation: a case study of Hangzhou city in China

How is Natural Gas Availability Curtailing the growth of DRI production in the MENA region?

Puget Sound Regional Forecast Chris Mefford Community Attributes

ewz (Deutschland) GmbH. Annual Report 2016.

Opening address for dinner-debate

Building on Kyoto: Towards a Realistic Global Climate Change Agreement and What Australia Should Do

The Economic Outlook. Economic Policy Division

COMCEC TRANSPORT OUTLOOK 2014

Agricultural Outlook: Rebalancing U.S. Agriculture

Re: Algae/Cyanobacteria Bloom in St. Lucie, Martin, Palm Beach and Lee Counties.

Federal R&D Investments in the 2009 Budget

Global Economic Outlook: From Fiscal Cliff to Rushcliffe in 15 minutes. Tom Rogers. Lead Economist, Oxford Economics.

PHILIPPINES RENEWABLE ENERGY OUTLOOK

Global economic cycle has slowed

klima:aktiv mobil Reinhard Jellinek Austrian Energy Agency

The Power Generation Mix and 3E Consequence: The Implications for Taiwan. Yi-Hua Wu, Chia Hao Liu, Hancheng Dai and Toshihiko Masui

Con Edison, Inc. New York, NY March 11, Shields & Company Berenson & Company Transmission Seminar

Edinburg June 26, 2013

Geothermal Utilization in Iceland

Impact of global and local emission mitigation policies on the Chilean power system expansion planning

France : Economic developments and reforms, where are we heading?

Electricity Price Impacts from CO2 Restrictions

sector: recent developments VÍTOR CONSTÂNCIO

Economic & Financial Market Outlook

SPM 9541 November 2010 Aad Correljé

Bob Costello Chief Economist & Vice President American Trucking Associations. Economic & Motor Carrier Industry Trends. September 10, 2013

Airlines, the economy and air transport demand

Indiana Electricity Projections: The 2018 Forecast Update

Telling Canada s story in numbers Elizabeth Richards Analytical Studies Branch April 20, 2017

Lawrence J. Lau 刘遵义. CSIS Forum Washington, D.C., 22nd May 2013

Brazil Baseline and Mitigation Scenarios

Half year results Accell Group N.V.

EFFECTS OF EXTENDING AND EXPANDING ENERGY-EFFICIENCY TAX DEDUCTION FOR COMMERCIAL BUILDINGS

Chlor-Alkali Market Research Report- Forecast to 2022

Chief Economist s Report

Aquaculture Sector in Libya. Abdallah Elmgawshi Aquaculture Department-Marin Biology Research Center (Tajura-Libya)

India: Can the Tiger Economy Continue to Run?

Lost in Translation: (In)Coherence Between Agricultural and Development Policy

Kissinger Institute on China and the United States Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars

STATE OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS ECONOMY & INVESTMENT CLIMATE: SETTING THE PLATFORM

Economy-wide (general equilibrium) analysis of Philippines mitigation potential

MIDDLE EAST ENERGY SITUATION AND OUTLOOK IRAQ ENERGY FORUM 2017

Global Boxboard Market Review

Alloy Production Is Brazil Back Online?

THE ECONOMIC, CLIMATE, FISCAL, POWER, AND DEMOGRAPHIC IMPACT OF A NATIONAL FEE-AND- DIVIDEND CARBON TAX

Expertise, Innovation and reduction of cost of energy: Vestas experience

Major Issues and Trends Facing the Port and Marine Transportation Industry

Session 4. Growth. The World Economy Share of Global GDP Year 2011 (PPP)

Greece, Italy and Spain in Focus

Review of the Bulgarian legislation in the field of energy efficiency of buildings

The outlook: what we know, the known unknowns and the unknown unknowns

Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, FIRM (Financial Institution Relationship Management)

Annual results 2017 and strategy update. 09 March 2018

Transcription:

Solar Water Heating Systems in Libya 1

Out Line Overview SWH in Libya Experience Facility Suggested Strategic Plan on SWH Energy situation in Libya Technical potential of SWH suggested plan 2

Industry overview Building consumes over 50% of the world energy, and is responsible for 40% of CO 2 emission Over 50% of the energy is consumed for water heating and space heating and cooling (low temperature) 3

Industry overview 4

Industry overview Indicators on SWH Solar heating capacity increased by an estimated 25 GWth in 2010 to reach approximately 185 GWth and China still continues to dominate the world market for solar water collectors. Top Five Countries- Annual additions in 2010 1 China 2 Germany 3 Turkey 4 India 5 Australia Top Five Countries- Existing capacity as of end 2010 1 China 2 Turkey 3 Germany 4 Japan 5 Greece Source: REN21 report 5

Industry overview Indicators on SWH Data of 2009 CATEGORY WORLD Libya Installed systems 200 million (few hundred systems) Installed Capacity 232 (GW th ) 0 Jobs Over 40,000 full-time job in Europe Policies (countries) 118 has no policies 0 6

Solar water heaters in Libya 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 99 سخانات 79 أجهزة قياس 36 15 10 1983 2000 2011 Number of systems installed 7

Solar irradiance (W/m2) Electric power consumption (Wh) Normalized Water withdrawn (%) م) ك) SWHs in Libya 10 9 Annual 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 0:00 2:00 4:00 6:00 8:00 10:00 12:00 14:00 16:00 18:00 20:00 22:00 Time (hr) 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 Qele Gsol 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 متوسط االستهالك ( لتر( 353 274 158 131 سعة السخان )لتر( 240 280 210 170 مساحة المجمعا ت عدد أف ارد األسرة 6 4 6-4 3 متوسط درجة ح اررة السحب )م ( 49.6 47.3 45.7 44.2 الطاقة الكلية السنوية.و.س( 3450 2037 1698 1190 المساهمة الشمسية )%( 75.5 83.7 55.8 59.1 ) 2 3.54 4.4 3.4 3 0 0:00 2:00 4:00 6:00 8:00 10:00 12:00 14:00 16:00 18:00 20:00 22:00 0 71.5 متوسط المشاركة الشمسية = Time (hr) 8

SWHs in Libya CSERS SWHs Test Facilities All thermal performance and quality tests &issuing certificates 9

SWHs in Libya All Facilities Required for Testing Quality and thermal performance and issuing Certificates of SWHs and their components are available at CSERS Mandate from the government to put control on systems imported or manufactured in Libya 10

SWHs in Libya Solar Simulator and outdoor testing for thermal collectors 11

SWHs in Libya Thermal Energy Systems Test Facilities Thermal Storage Tank Test Facility Solar Water heating Systems Test Facility 12

SWHs in Libya Thermal Energy Systems Test Facilities Collector rain penetration Test Infra-Red Camera Temperature Calibration Facility 13

SWHs in Libya UV Radiation Chamber Climatic Chamber 14

15

Suggested Plan for SWHs Generated: 32,558 GWh Sold : 20,602 GWh Agricultural, 10.66% Residential, 31.18% Industrial, 10.09% Commerical, 13.08% Street ligthing, 19.40% services, 11.68% Radio & TV % 5.48 Refregrators % 17 Air conditioning % 18.35 other % 7.41 Lighting % 22.23 Water heating % 29.82 Others, 3.91% Water heating consumes 9.3% of the total electricity Electricity used for water heating is 3,027 GWh Energy Consumption in Libya 16

Suggested Plan for SWHs Energy consumed in heating water for domestic sector is equivalent to a plant 585MW (10% loss transmission and distribution, 65% load factor) The cost of such plant in Libya is about 500 Million L.D Such plant consume (plant thermal eff. 30%) over 1.02 million metric tones of oil equivalent, approximately 7 million of oil barrel Produce over 697,076 tone of CO 2 yearly 17

Suggested Plan for SWHs Technical Potential of SWHs in Libya Why Solar water heaters? o Technology is mature o Economically viable o Environmentally friendly o Suitable (solar irradiance, Building structure) o Save in electricity bill as low as 25% Houses type in Libya 18

Suggested Plan for SWHs The current way of providing hot water in residential sector is: Inefficient way The most expensive The most polluted Energy degradation 19

Suggested Plan for SWHs Cheap Electric WH and electricity unit High capital investment of SWH Lack of environmental awareness No clear and systematic policy (Legislation, Incentives ) 20

Suggested Plan for SWHs To encourage the wide-spread of SWHs we should have: Clear policy (laws,..etc) Financing program (incentives, loans,..etc) Use of SWHs in new buildings Putting extra tax on EWH Exempt SWH equipment from custom tax. Subsidize SWH to become competitive to EWH Giving loans for SWH program Suggested SWHs plan Plan Span Targeted houses Financial program 10 years plan 250,000 home on average860 L.D as an incentives for each system Therefore 215 million L.D is needed over 10 years 21

Data of 2010 Suggested Plan for SWHs Electricity prices Subsidy Resources Subsidized 0.02 L.D/kWh Actual 0.102 L.D/kWh The amount of subsidy is 0.082 L.D/kWh The annual subsidy for water heating only is Based on: Electricity generated Electricity Sold 248,287,308 L.D 157,112,506 L.D 22

Suggested Plan for SWHs From the very recent importation records of the REOAL and CSERS, the average cost of solar water heaters (good quality flat plate collectors) are as follows: 200 liters with over 3 m 2 is about 960 L.D 300 liters with over 4 m 2 is about 1340 L.D The cost of solar water heaters considered in this study is the average of the above costs and equal to 1150 L.D. 23

Suggested Plan for SWHs 10 years scenario No of systems installed over 10 years The targeted number of houses is 250,000 Which is represent around 25% of the expected houses in 2013 and 21% in 2022 The government will pay 75% of the average systems prices ( 863 L.D) (3.5 L.D/Liter) People will pay on average 300 L.D for SWH Number of systems Thousands 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 3,675 Number of Installed Systems/year Cummulative Number of Installed Systems 43,760 5 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Years 24

Million Libyan dinar Percentage % Suggested Plan for SWHs Suggested yearly subsidy of SWH program 10000 1000 100 10 1 16 Suggested Yearly SWH incentives 2410 14 Yearly Conventional (Ewh) Energy Subsidy 219 263 215 12 10.53 10 8.30 8 5.96 6 3.94 3.17 4 2.44 2 1.44 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Total Year 0 14.0614.30 13.45 12.30 8.94 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Total Years Expected no of houses in 2013 is 980,000 home 25

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 Total 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 Million Libyan dinars Million L.D Suggested Plan for SWHs The cost of installations and the savings over 20 years 1000 100 Yearly savings 40.337.74 403 215.6 250 200 150 100 187.5 10 1 3.17 0.59 50 0-50 -3.2-20.4 0.1-100 -150-100.4 Year Net profit 187.4 million L.D Years The money giving by the government each year will return after less than five years (win to win situation) 26

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 Enegy saved (GWh) Suggested Plan for SWHs Not only money can be saved, but also We can save as much energy as 4915 GWh over 10 years Create new industry for manufacturing solar systems Create new jobs (manufacturer, installer) Million tones of CO2 can be avoided 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Energy savings Years Enhance the local industry through the use of local material and might lead to cost reduction 27

28