The Changing Global Economy Impacts on Seaports and Trade Dr. Walter Kemmsies
|
|
- Olivia Hill
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 The Changing Global Economy Impacts on Seaports and Trade Dr. Walter Kemmsies Chief Economist, PAGI Group, JLL (Port, Airport & Global Infrastructure)
2 Agenda Where are we in the cycle? What are the barriers to growth? What comes next?
3 Mar-94 Feb-95 Jan-96 Dec-96 Nov-97 Oct-98 Sep-99 Aug-00 Jul-01 Jun-02 May-03 Apr-04 Mar-05 Feb-06 Jan-07 Dec-07 Nov-08 Oct-09 Sep-10 Aug-11 Jul-12 Jun-13 May-14 Apr-15 Mar-16 Feb-17 Jan-18 Dec Best global economic environment in 20 years ANNUAL REAL GDP GROWTH (E) COMMODITY PRICES (INDEXED TO 100 IN 2008) 16% % % 10% India 200 8% 6% 4% 2% China US Brazil Mexico Eurozone Copper Raw Materials Agricultural Oil Steel 0% Japan 50-2% -4% 0-6% Source: Oxford, JLL 3
4 Where are we in the business cycle? Recovery, mid-cycle, recession? was a 21 st Century Great Depression Financial system has recovered Europe had a triple dip recession Public sector financial crisis has been stabilized Inflation and growth risks are balanced Central bankers everywhere not under pressure to increase interest rates 4
5 Differentials in ages is equivalent to differentials in growth PROPORTION OF POPULATION OVER 55 YEARS OF AGE 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Typical maturing developed economies Highest growth potential economies Japan Europe China Canada US Brazil Mexico India 0% Source: Census Bureau, Kemmsies
6 What are the barriers to growth? Tight labor markets High capacity utilization Worsening congestion Need infrastructure and plant, property and equipment investment to grow Otherwise inflation could accelerate and induce central bankers to be aggressive 6
7 $ Billions Share of Total Congestion is getting worse and ecommerce is growing 2020 congestion forecasts, with trucks ecommerce vs. total retail sales 1,400 10% 1,200 9% 8% 1,000 7% % 5% 4% 400 3% 200 2% 1% 0 0% Ecommerce Share (right axis) E-commerce Total Source: US DOT, Census Bureau, JLL
8 Inventory-to-Sales Ratio Why is the inventory-to-sales ratio rising? Inventory-to-sales ratio: Some theories: Lower interest rates means capital tied up in inventories is less expensive Ecommerce/omnichannel means retailers hold more inventory in more places Worsening congestion and truck driver shortage requires greater safety stocks
9 Inland hubs are becoming more numerous Source: JLL Research
10 What comes next? New US trade terms ball is in trading partner s court Growth-oriented infrastructure policies 10
11 Volume Index Trade growth trends underlie global economic growth World real GDP and trade volume indexes E China CAGR Relative to GDP Growth GDP 3.7% 1.0 Manufactured Goods 7.0% 1.9 Fuels and Mining Products 3.8% 1.0 Agricultural Goods 3.5% 1.0 Total Trade 5.8% Korea, Taiwan Trade growth drivers 40 Demographics Trade Agreements Japan, Brazil Trade Growth 10 Technology Infrastructure 0 GDP Total Agriculture Fuels & Mining Manufactured Resource Constraints Source: WTO, JLL
12 International labor cost comparisons then and now Local manufacturing wages converted into us$ at prevailing exchange rates in 2001 and 2016 $60,000 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $0 Source: Government statistics agencies, Trading Economics. JLL
13 Billions The largest global middle class ever! World population and OECD global middle class projections Global Middle Class World Population Source: OECD, US Census Bureau
14 Trillions Million Metric Tons The trade deficit value gap Goods trade deficit measured in us dollars: e Goods trade deficit measured in metric tons: e $1.25 1,200 $1.00 1, $ $ $ $0.00 Source: US Census Bureau 0 Source: US Census Bureau Balance of Trade Value Import Value Export Value Balance of Trade Volume Import Volume Export Volume
15 Summary: trade, congestion and infrastructure Rumors of the death of globalization are premature (More people, more consumption, more trade) (Ecommerce, 3D Printing, Automation is a reaction to congestion) Freight movement is suffering from congestion (Not enough roadway capacity) (Worsening truck driver shortage) The 3 T s of Trump are creating opportunities to tap into global middle class growth (Trade agreements (NAFTA), Tax reform, Transportation infrastructure) (But the infrastructure market place is not waiting for Washington)
16 PAGI thanks you for your time For more information contact one of our team members: Mark Levy Walter Kemmsies Keith Stauber Jonathan Walk Steve Ostrowski Michael Morehead
How Global Trade Is Driving Demand For Ports
How Global Trade Is Driving Demand For Ports 17 April, 2018 Dr. Walter Kemmsies Chief Strategist JLL Ports Airports and Global Infrastructure JLL Ports Airports and Global Infrastructure Capital Markets
More informationDr. Walter Kemmsies Managing Director, Economist and Chief Strategist JLL Ports Airports & Global Infrastructure (PAGI)
Dr. Walter Kemmsies Managing Director, Economist and Chief Strategist JLL Ports Airports & Global Infrastructure (PAGI) 2019 What is PAGI JLL Ports, Airports and Global Infrastructure Team (PAGI). Unique
More informationEconomic Overview. Melissa K. Peralta Senior Economist April 27, 2017
Economic Overview Melissa K. Peralta Senior Economist April 27, 2017 TTX Overview TTX functions as the industry s railcar cooperative, operating under pooling authority granted by the Surface Transportation
More informationFuture Global Trade Trends - Risks & Opportunities. Pulse of the Ports: Peak Season Forecast March 21, 2013
1 Future Global Trade Trends - Risks & Opportunities Pulse of the Ports: Peak Season Forecast March 21, 2013 June 2012 Dr. Walter Kemmsies Chief Economist Summary Higher economic growth in 2013, possible
More informationSteel Market Outlook. AM/NS Calvert
Steel Market Outlook AM/NS Calvert Agenda Economic indicators Key steel consuming markets and forecasted demand Steel consumptions trends Global steel markets and raw materials Comments on trade 1 U.S.
More informationOutline. Overview of globalization. Global outlook for real economic activity & inflation. Risks to the outlook
2017 International Economic Outlook Everett Grant Research Economist Globalization & Monetary Policy Institute Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas October 2017 The views expressed are those of the author and
More informationCurrent Hawaii Economic Conditions. Eugene Tian
Current Hawaii Economic Conditions Eugene Tian Department of Business, Economic Development & Tourism At the PATA/TTRA 2016 Annual Outlook & Economic Forecast Forum February 3, 2016 Positive Signs in the
More informationState of American Trucking
State of American Trucking October 11, 2018 Rod Suarez Economic Analyst American Trucking Associations rsuarez@trucking.org Business Cycles U.S. Expansions Duration October 1949 - July 1953 May 1954 -
More informationPercent
Outline Outline Growth is picking up Percent 6 Advanced economies Emerging and developing economies 5 4 4.9 5.0 4.3 4.4 4.6 4.7 4.7 3.7 3.7 3 2 2.0 2.3 1.6 2.2 2.3 1.9 1.7 1 1.1 1.3 0 2012 2013 2014 2015
More informationBob Costello Chief Economist & Vice President American Trucking Associations. Economic & Motor Carrier Industry Update.
Bob Costello Chief Economist & Vice President American Trucking Associations Economic & Motor Carrier Industry Update February 26, 2013 The Worst Recession Since the Great Depression 0% Loss from Peak
More informationPresident and Chief Executive Officer Federal Reserve Bank of New York Washington and Lee University H. Parker Willis Lecture in Political Economics
The U.S. Economic Outlook Chartspresented by WilliamC Dudley Charts presented by William C. Dudley President and Chief Executive Officer Federal Reserve Bank of New York Washington and Lee University H.
More informationThe Israeli Economy 2009 The Caesarea Center Conference
The Israeli Economy 2009 The Caesarea Center Conference Provost, Interdisciplinary Center (IDC) Herzliya The Big Issues The broken crystal ball A crisis that happens once in 100 years From a country oriented
More informationEconomic & Financial Market Outlook
Economic & Financial Market Outlook BC Pension Forum March 1, 2013 Chris Lawless, Chief Economist Overview Global forces Recent economic performance ~ US, Europe, Japan, China ~ Other emerging markets
More informationPost-Bubble Global Trends. AAPA Webinar. February 18, Dr. Walter Kemmsies, Chief Economist Moffatt & Nichol Commercial Analysis Group
Post-Bubble Global Trends AAPA Webinar February 18, 2009 Dr. Walter Kemmsies, Chief Economist Moffatt & Nichol Commercial Analysis Group Takeaways The world economy is circling the drain World is wealthier
More informationIndia: Can the Tiger Economy Continue to Run?
India: Can the Tiger Economy Continue to Run? India s GDP is on the rise US$ trillions Nominal GDP (left axis) GDP growth (right axis) 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004
More informationVermont Economic Conference:
Vermont Economic Conference: Mapping Our Economic Future Michael Dolega Director & Senior Economist TD Economics January 5 2018 Summary Global economy gathering speed, leading to another upgrade in outlook.
More informationCar Production. Brazil Mexico. Production in thousands. Source: AMIA Asociacion Mexicana de la industria automotriz.
Car Production Production in thousands 4000 3000 2000 1000 Brazil Mexico 0 2013 2014 2015 Source: AMIA Asociacion Mexicana de la industria automotriz. Mexico s Expanding Middle Class Percent of population
More informationNational and Regional Economic Outlook. Central Southern CAA Conference
National and Regional Economic Outlook Central Southern CAA Conference Dr. Mira Farka & Dr. Adrian R. Fleissig California State University, Fullerton April 13, 2011 The Painfully Slow Recovery The Painfully
More informationThe Herzliya Conference The Economic Dimension Prof. Rafi Melnick Provost, Interdisciplinary Center (IDC) Herzliya
The Herzliya Conference The Economic Dimension 2009 Provost, Interdisciplinary Center (IDC) Herzliya The Big Issues The broken crystal ball A crisis that happens once in 100 years From a country oriented
More informationInland Empire International Trade Economic Forecast
Inland Empire International Trade Economic Forecast Mira Farka Adrian Fleissig Institute for Economic and Environmental Studies Orange County / Inland Empire Regional SBDC Network California State University,
More informationTrade Growth - Fundamental Driver of Port Operations and Development Strategies
Trade Growth - Fundamental Driver of Port Operations and Development Strategies Marine Terminal Management Training Program October 15, 2007 Long Beach, CA Paul Bingham Global Insight, Inc. 1 Agenda Economic
More informationReading the Tea Leaves: Investing for 2010 and Beyond
Reading the Tea Leaves: Investing for 2010 and Beyond Wednesday, April 28, 2010; 8:00 AM - 9:15 AM Moderator: Maria Bartiromo, Anchor, CNBC's Closing Bell With Maria Bartiromo Speakers: Nick Calamos, President
More informationEconomic Outlook March Economic Policy Division
Economic Outlook March 212 Economic Policy Division Real GDP Outlook Percent Change, Annual Rate 2 1 1 - -1 197 197 198 198 199 199 2 2 21 U.S. GDP Actual and Potential Quarterly, Q1 197 to Q4 211 Real
More informationMajor Issues and Trends Facing the Port and Marine Transportation Industry
Major Issues and Trends Facing the Port and Marine Transportation Industry Presented to: AAPA Marine Terminal Management Training Program April 24, 2006 Charleston Riverview Hotel Charleston, SC - USA
More informationUS imports from emerging economies have grown rapidly
US imports from emerging economies have grown rapidly Ratio to GDP (current dollars) 0.07 US merchandise imports, 1978 2008 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 Industrial Non-OPEC other 0.01 0 OPEC = Organization
More informationThe Economic Outlook. Economic Policy Division
The Economic Outlook Economic Policy Division Glass Half Full Six years of steady growth Real GDP Outlook Percent Change, Annual Rate 10 5 0-5 -10 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Glass Half Full
More informationPaul Bingham Managing Director, Global Trade and Transportation February 18, 2009
Economic Outlook and Ports Paul Bingham Managing Director, Global Trade and Transportation February 18, 2009 The Outlook for Trade Depends on Goods Demand Integrated international supply-chains offer efficiencies
More information2018 Annual Economic Forecast Dragas Center for Economic Analysis and Policy
2018 Annual Economic Forecast Dragas Center for Economic Analysis and Policy PRESENTING SPONSOR EVENT PARTNERS 2 The forecasts and commentary do not constitute an official viewpoint of Old Dominion University,
More informationBob Costello Chief Economist & Vice President American Trucking Associations. Economic & Motor Carrier Industry Trends. September 10, 2013
Bob Costello Chief Economist & Vice President American Trucking Associations Economic & Motor Carrier Industry Trends September 10, 2013 The Freight Economy Washington continues to be a headwind on economic
More informationThe U.S. Economic Outlook
The U.S. Economic Outlook Nigel Gault Chief U.S. Economist, IHS Global Insight FTA Revenue Estimation & Tax Research Conference Charleston, West Virginia October 17, 2011 What Has Happened to the Recovery?
More informationGlobal growth prospects
Global growth prospects Percent 6 Advanced Economies Emerging Markets and Developing Economies 5 4.9 5.0 4.7 4.7 4.5 4 4.3 4.3 3.7 3.7 3 2 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.0 2.0 1.7 1.7 1 1.1 1.3 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
More informationEconomy On The Rebound
Economy On The Rebound Robert Johnson Associate Director of Economic Analysis November 17, 2009 robert.johnson@morningstar.com (312) 696-6103 2009, Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. Executive
More informationAirline industry outlook 2019
Airline industry outlook 2019 Brian Pearce Chief Economist 12 December 2018 Million barrels a day US$ per barrel Are the markets signalling recession ahead? 60 55 Business confidence (left scale) FTSE
More informationA comment on recent events, and...
A comment on recent events, and... where we are in the current economic cycle November 15, 2016 Mark Schniepp Director Likely Trump Policies $4 to $5 Trillion in tax cuts over 10 years to corporations,
More informationMarket Insights. June 30, 2018
June 30, 2018 Economic Overview 2 Global & Regional Growth Forecasts IMF GDP Forecasts (% change YoY) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Advanced Economies 1.7% 1.2% 1.3% 2.1% 2.3% 1.7% 2.3%
More informationMarket Insights. March 29, 2019
March 29, 2019 Economic Overview 2 Global & Regional Growth Forecasts IMF GDP Forecasts (% change YoY) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Advanced Economies 1.2% 1.4% 2.1% 2.3% 1.7% 2.4% 2.3%
More informationGlobal Containerboard Outlook
Global Containerboard Outlook European Conference March 2018 Gleb Sinavskis Economist, European Paper Packaging Copyright 2018 RISI, Inc. Proprietary Information Gleb Sinavskis Economist, European Paper
More informationGlobal Economic Outlook
Global Economic Outlook Mark A. Wynne Vice President & Associate Director of Research Director, Globalization & Monetary Policy Institute Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Presentation to Vistas Conference
More informationMUSTAFA MOHATAREM Chief Economist, General Motors
MUSTAFA MOHATAREM Chief Economist, General Motors INTRODUCTION The U.S. economy continues to grow at a gradual but also erratic pace The current recovery is one of the slowest in the post-wwii U.S. history.
More information2018 Annual Economic Forecast Dragas Center for Economic Analysis and Policy
2018 Annual Economic Forecast Dragas Center for Economic Analysis and Policy PRESENTING SPONSOR EVENT PARTNERS 2 The forecasts and commentary do not constitute an official viewpoint of Old Dominion University,
More informationThe Cairns Economy Recent Trends and Prospects
MINING, AGRICULTURE, TOURISM, TRANSPORT, CONSTRUCTION, MANUFACTURING, DEFENCE, EDUCATION, ADMINISTRATION, SERVICES The Cairns Economy Recent Trends and Prospects WS (Bill) Cummings PRESENTATION TO Ref:
More informationFrom Recession to Recovery
From Recession to Recovery Monday, April 26, 2010 8:00 AM - 9:15 AM Moderator Michael Klowden, President and CEO, Milken Institute Speakers Mohamed El-Erian, CEO and Co-Chief Investment Officer, Pacific
More informationImpacts of the Global Economy on Asia Pacific Travel. 29 June 2007 John Walker
Impacts of the Global Economy on Asia Pacific Travel 29 June 2007 John Walker jwalker@oxfordeconomics.com Oxford Economics Founded in 1981 Over 300 clients including blue chip companies and government
More informationAt The Fork In The Road. Outlook for 2012 and Beyond AAPA Port Finance Seminar April 18, 2012
At The Fork In The Road Outlook for 2012 and Beyond AAPA Port Finance Seminar April 18, 2012 ENR Top 100 company, founded in 1945 in Long Beach, California Offices: US, Guam, Canada, Europe, Middle East,
More informationCargo outlook Brian Pearce Chief Economist. 13 December 2018
Cargo outlook 2019 Brian Pearce Chief Economist 13 December 2018 1 Cargo revenue contribution stabilizing 2 % total revenues 82% 80% 78% 76% 74% 72% 70% 68% 66% 64% 62% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
More informationAnalyzing the Energy Economy Michael Plante Senior Research Economist
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Analyzing the Energy Economy Michael Plante Senior Research Economist Disclaimer Disclaimer: The statements in this presentation do not represent the official views of the
More informationCargo outlook Brian Pearce Chief Economist. 13 December 2018
Cargo outlook 2019 Brian Pearce Chief Economist 13 December 2018 % total revenues % total revenues Cargo revenue contribution stabilizing 2 82% 80% 78% 76% 74% 72% 70% 68% 66% 64% 62% Share of airlines'
More informationOpening address for dinner-debate
Opening address for dinner-debate Mohammed Barkindo Acting for the OPEC Secretary General European Parliament Strasbourg, France 4 July 2006 1 Outline Importance of EU-OPEC Energy Dialogue Current oil
More informationSouthern California Economic Forecast & Industry Outlook
2016-17 Southern California Economic Forecast & Industry Outlook Robert A. Kleinhenz, Ph.D. Sr. VP/Chief Economist, LAEDC February 17, 2016 Outline U.S. Economy California Economy Southern California Economy
More informationEconomic Update and Outlook
Economic Update and Outlook NAIOP Vancouver Chapter November 15, 2012 Helmut Pastrick Chief Economist Central 1 Credit Union Outline: Global, U.S., and Canadian economic conditions Canada economic and
More informationBabson Capital/UNC Charlotte Economic Forecast. May 13, 2014
Babson Capital/UNC Charlotte Economic Forecast May 13, 2014 Outline for Today Myths and Realities of this Recovery Positive Economic Signs Negative Economic Signs Outlook for 2014 The Employment Picture
More informationIndex, nominal terms, 2010 = Energy. Agriculture Metals
Outline Broad commodity price trends Index, nominal terms, 2010 = 100 180 150 Energy 120 90 60 Agriculture Metals 30 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Source:
More informationUnited Nations Conference on Trade and Development
United Nations Conference on Trade and Development 11 th MULTI-YEAR EXPERT MEETING ON COMMODITIES AND DEVELOPMENT 15-16 April 2019, Geneva Saudi economic growth strategy on the face of oil price uncertainty
More informationA More Competitive World
A More Competitive World Pacific Northwest Freight Movement Opportunities and Risks 2013 Annual Convention Portland, Oregon October 3, 2013 Tom McCollough, Vice President Moffatt & Nichol 1 Major trends
More informationDry Bulk Shipping in Indonesia Opportunities & Outlook
Dry Bulk Shipping in Indonesia Opportunities & Outlook Mare Forum, Jakarta 27 Peter Malpas 29 th November 27 Introduction Indonesia Key Facts Land Area 1,919,44 km2 = World s s 16 th Largest Population
More informationBeef Cattle Market Update
Beef Cattle Market Update August 8, 2017 Dr. Scott Brown Agricultural Markets and Policy Division of Applied Social Sciences University of Missouri brownsc@missouri.edu http://amap.missouri.edu Twitter
More information2019 Global Travel Forecast: Air, Hotel and Ground Prices
2019 Global Travel Forecast: Air, Hotel and Ground Prices Methodology 28 countries and 10 US cities Airlines, Hotel, Rental Car Forecast in USD, guidelines on currency exchange forecast Forecast projections
More informationKevin Thorpe Financial Economist & Principal Cassidy Turley
Kevin Thorpe Financial Economist & Principal Cassidy Turley Economic & Commercial Real Estate Outlook Kevin Thorpe, Chief Economist 2012 Another Year Of Modest Improvement 2006Q1 2006Q3 2007Q1 2007Q3 2008Q1
More informationTrade and Economic Trends
Trade and Economic Trends Marine Terminal Management Training Program Paul Bingham Managing Director, Global Commerce & Transportation IHS Global Insight Long Beach, CA September 21, 2009 The Global Recession
More information18 th May Global Steel Industry Trends: Is the perception the reality?
18 th May 2004 Global Steel Industry Trends: Is the perception the reality? Investors have perceived the steel industry negatively Poor returns over the long term, high volatility, relatively small size
More informationThe Houston Economy Jesse Thompson Regional Business Economist The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Houston Branch February 2017
The Houston Economy Jesse Thompson Regional Business Economist The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Houston Branch February 2017 Image from http://peoplesguidetohouston.wordpress.com/category/uncategorized/
More informationThe Economic Outlook. Economic Policy Division
The Economic Outlook Economic Policy Division Glass Half Full Six plus years of moderate growth Real GDP Outlook Percent Change, Annual Rate 10 5 0-5 -10 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Glass Half
More informationPuget Sound Regional Forecast Chris Mefford Community Attributes
2015 Puget Sound Regional Forecast Chris Mefford Community Attributes 3 1,000s The Regional Economy has added jobs consistently for nearly 5 full years. In a few months, this will be the longest streak
More informationGlobal Economic & Truck-Market Overview: The Next Five Years
AUTOMOTIVE Global Economic & Truck-Market Overview: The Next Five Years 22 September 2016 Hannover, Germany Andrej Divis, Director, IHS Automotive +1 703 346 2331, Andrej.Divis@ihsmarkit.com 2 Index, over
More informationU.S. Overview. Gathering Steam? Tuesday, October 1, 2013
U.S. Overview Gathering Steam? Tuesday, October 1, 2013 Uneven global economic recovery Annual real GDP growth projections (%) Projections 2013 2014 World 3.1 3.1 3.8 United States 2.2 1.7 2.7 Euro Area
More informationThe ABA Advantage: Economic Issues Update & ABA Resources
The ABA Advantage: Economic Issues Update & ABA Resources aba.com 1-800-BANKERS Meet the team Jim Chessen Chief Economist Curtis Dubay Senior Economist Brittany Kleinpaste Vice President of Economic Policy
More informationcolorado.edu/business/brd
colorado.edu/business/brd Big Changes, Unknown Impacts Southwest Business Forum Place cover image here Richard Wobbekind Senior Economist and Associate Dean for Business and Government Relations January
More informationDe-Globalization: Does That Word Mean What You Think it Means?
De-Globalization: Does That Word Mean What You Think it Means? Presentation to 35 Annual Monetary & Trade Conference Mykyta Vesselovsky, Ph.D. Office of the Chief Economist Global Affairs Canada April
More informationMexico sugar towards 2014/15. Forget the inflexion point?
Mexico sugar towards 20 Forget the inflexion point? Pablo Sherwell VP, Food & Agribusiness Research & Advisory pablo.sherwell@rabobank.com September 2014 1 Rabobank: Food & Agribusiness Research and Advisory
More informationDr Neil J. Bristow. 8 th WSD Steel Success Strategies European Steel Conference London, 30 th November H & W Worldwide Consulting
Dr Neil J. Bristow 8 th WSD Steel Success Strategies European Steel Conference London, 30 th November 2010 neil.j.bristow@hwworldwideconsult.com +61240286268 H & W Worldwide Consulting 1. Brief comparison
More informationThe World and U.S. Economy and San Pedro Bay Container Trade Outlook Forecast Review
The World and U.S. Economy and San Pedro Bay Container Trade Outlook Forecast Review Michael Keenan Harbor Planning and Economic Analyst Port of Los Angeles October 5, 2009 Review of 2007 Container Trade
More informationCanadian Teleconference: Can the Canadian Economy Survive the Turmoil in the United States?
Canadian Teleconference: Can the Canadian Economy Survive the Turmoil in the United States? Nigel Gault Chief U.S. Economist Dale Orr Canadian Macroeconomic Services Copyright 2008 Global Insight, Inc.
More informationCattle Market Outlook & Important Profit Factors for Cattle Producers
Cattle Market Outlook & Important Profit Factors for Cattle Producers Dr. Scott Brown Agricultural Markets and Policy Division of Applied Social Sciences brownsc@missouri.edu http://amap.missouri.edu $
More informationWenlin Liu, Senior Economist. Stateof Wyoming. Economic Analysis Division State of Wyoming 1
WYOMING DEMOGRAPHIC AND ECONOMIC TREND LCCC LIFE Program April 7, 2012 Cheyenne, Wyoming Wenlin Liu, Senior Economist Economic Analysis Division Stateof Wyoming Economic Analysis Division State of Wyoming
More informationAlloy Production Is Brazil Back Online?
Alloy Production Is Brazil Back Online? Singapore, March 23 rd, 2016 No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means electronic,
More informationZions Bank Economic Overview
Zions Bank Economic Overview Veteran Owned Business Conference May 11, 2018 Dow Tops 26,000 Up 48% Since 2016 Election Jan 26, 2018 26,616 Oct 30, 2016 17,888 Source: Wall Street Journal Dow Around Correction
More informationThe Global Economy: Sustaining Momentum
The Global Economy: Sustaining Momentum David J. Stockton Senior Fellow Peterson Institute for International Economics Chief Economist Monetary Policy Analytics October 5, 2017 What s Driving the Global
More informationThe outlook: what we know, the known unknowns and the unknown unknowns
The outlook: what we know, the known unknowns and the unknown unknowns 24 April 2017 Seoul Brian Pearce, Chief Economist, IATA www.iata.org/economics Airline Industry Economics Advisory Workshop 2016 1
More informationJoseph Von Nessen, Ph.D. Research Economist November 16, 2018
Joseph Von Nessen, Ph.D. Research Economist November 16, 2018 joey.vonnessen@moore.sc.edu Post-WWII U.S. Economic Expansions by Length Date range of expansion (M/Y) 10/45-11/48 10/49-7/53 5/54-8/57 4/58/4/60
More informationMarket Report Series Oil 2017
Market Report Series Oil 2017 Neil Atkinson, Head Oil Industry & Markets Division, IEA International Institute for Strategic Studies, Bahrain, 17 September 2017 Oil demand continues to grow but at a slower
More informationMuhlenkamp & Company. Webcast August 30, Ron Muhlenkamp, Portfolio Manager Jeff Muhlenkamp, Portfolio Manager Tony Muhlenkamp, President
Muhlenkamp & Company Webcast August 30, 2018 Ron Muhlenkamp, Portfolio Manager Jeff Muhlenkamp, Portfolio Manager Tony Muhlenkamp, President Muhlenkamp & Company, Inc. Intelligent Investment Management
More informationTHE ICELANDIC ECONOMY AN IMPRESSIVE RECOVERY BUT WHAT CHALLENGES LIE AHEAD?
THE ICELANDIC ECONOMY AN IMPRESSIVE RECOVERY BUT WHAT CHALLENGES LIE AHEAD? FROM BUST TO BOOM. AN EPIC BUST After 16 years of growth with a short pause for breath in 2002, the Icelandic economy entered
More informationMONETARY AND FISCAL POLICIES DURING THE NEXT RECESSION
OXYGEN EVENTS CONFERENCE GALA PERFORMANCE 2017 MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICIES DURING THE NEXT RECESSION - THE CASE OF ROMANIA - Ph.D. Andrei RĂDULESCU Senior Economist, Banca Transilvania Researcher, Institute
More informationRISI EUROPEAN CONFERENCE. (Barcelona, 6 March 2018) The European Economy Things look good just now. Can this last?
RISI EUROPEAN CONFERENCE (Barcelona, 6 March 2018) The European Economy Things look good just now. Can this last? Andrea Boltho Magdalen College University of Oxford and Oxford Economics CONCLUSIONS OF
More information2018 Annual Economic Forecast Dragas Center for Economic Analysis and Policy
2018 Annual Economic Forecast Dragas Center for Economic Analysis and Policy PRESENTING SPONSOR EVENT PARTNERS 2 The forecasts and commentary do not constitute an official viewpoint of Old Dominion University,
More informationFarmland Booms and Busts: Will the Cycle be Broken?
Farmland Booms and Busts: Will the Cycle be Broken? Kansas Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers Salina, KS February 23 rd, 2012 Brian C. Briggeman Associate Professor and Director of the Arthur
More informationBeef Outlook. Regional Dealer Event. February 9, Dr. Scott Brown Agricultural Markets and Policy Division of Applied Social Sciences
Beef Outlook Regional Dealer Event February 9, 2018 Dr. Scott Brown Agricultural Markets and Policy Division of Applied Social Sciences brownsc@missouri.edu http://amap.missouri.edu $ Per Cwt. MED. & LRG.
More informationDr. James P. Gaines Research Economist recenter.tamu.edu
Texas Uncertain Economy in a World of Uncertain Oil Prices Dr. James P. Gaines Research Economist recenter.tamu.edu National Economic Recovery still Going 2 U.S. Outlook Expected GDP growth still modest:
More informationPork Outlook. Professor of Agricultural Economics. Midwest/Great Plains & Western Outlook Conference Indianapolis, August 2007
Midwest/Great Plains & Western Outlook Conference Indianapolis, August 2007 Pork Outlook Ron Plain Professor of Agricultural Economics University of Missouri-Columbia http://web.missouri.edu/~plainr/ Long
More informationZions Bank Economic Overview
Zions Bank Economic Overview Kenworth National Dealers Conference November 8, 2018 1 National Economic Conditions 2 Volatility Returns to the Stock Market 27,000 Dow Jones Industrial Average October 10,
More informationCurves On The Road Ahead
Curves On The Road Ahead Light Vehicle Market Outlook November 2018 Charles Chesbrough Senior Economist A g e n d a Economic Outlook and New Vehicle Sales Affordability Threat and the Used Vehicle Market
More information2018 Soybean, Corn, & Wheat Outlook KY and TN Grain Conference
2018 Soybean, Corn, & Wheat Outlook KY and TN Grain Conference S. Aaron Smith, Crop Marketing Specialist, Assistant Professor, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of Tennessee
More informationZions Bank Economic Overview
Zions Bank Economic Overview Intermountain Credit Education League May 10, 2018 Dow Tops 26,000 Up 48% Since 2016 Election Jan 26, 2018 26,616 Oct 30, 2016 17,888 Source: Wall Street Journal Dow Around
More informationFurther Opening Up and Reform of China s Capital Market
Further Opening Up and Reform of China s Capital Market Haizhou Huang January 7, 2016 China economy and capital market: Finding new normal 1 Macro: We expect China GDP to grow 6.9% in 2015 and 6.8% in
More informationRISI LATIN AMERICAN CONFERENCE. (São Paulo, 16 August 2016) The Latin American Economy: Some Successes, Many Disappointments
RISI LATIN AMERICAN CONFERENCE (São Paulo, 16 August 2016) The Latin American Economy: Some Successes, Many Disappointments Andrea Boltho Magdalen College University of Oxford and Oxford Economics GDP
More informationCommodity Market Outlook: Corn, Forage, Wheat & Cattle
Commodity Market Outlook: Corn, Forage, Wheat & Cattle Stephen R. Koontz Professor & extension economist Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics Colorado State University Stephen.Koontz@ColoState.Edu
More informationInternational Trade Economic Forecasts An Overview of Orange County and Southern California Exports
International Trade Economic Forecasts An Overview of Orange County and Southern California Exports Mira Farka Adrian R. Fleissig Institute for Economic and Environmental Studies Orange County / Inland
More informationNew Growth Segments for the Air Cargo Industry
Page 1 New Growth Segments for the Air Cargo Industry 4 th Air Cargo Economics Conference Prague, April 22-23, 2004 Page 2 Assumptions Primary commodity sectors and their growth Perishables: are they really
More informationUS Economic Activity
US Economic Activity GDP has been in positive territory for seven consecutive quarters, and the advance estimate shows the US economy grew at a 1.0% rate in the fourth quarter 2015. US Economic Activity
More informationThe Party Is Over U.S. Automotive Outlooks
The Party Is Over U.S. Automotive Outlooks Yen Chen Senior Research Economist Center for Automotive Research Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Economic Outlook Symposium December 1, 2017 U.S. Light Vehicle
More information