MARC S NFL GAME OF THE MONTH GOES SUNDAY!

Volume 30, Issue 16 December 10-14, 2015 COMBINATION FOOTBALL & BASKETBALL ISSUE! MARC S NFL GAME OF THE MONTH GOES SUNDAY! 86% AWESOME ANGLE INSIDE! Analysis on Every Lined Game Incredible Stat of the Week Best Bets and Key Plays Full Schedule with Opening Lines Awesome Angle & Tremendous Trends Wise Guys Contest GET SMART GET PLAYBOOK GET EVERY EDGE IMAGINABLE COPYRIGHT NOTICE - All materials in this newsletter are protected by United States copyright law and may not be reproduced, distributed, transmitted, rebroadcast, displayed, or otherwise published without the prior written permission of Playbook.com. You may not alter or remove any trademark, copyright or other notice, nor may you offer for sale or resale the material included herein. VegasInsider.com

2-MINUTE HANDICAP SMART BOX Coaching Down The Stretch T he final four weeks of the NFL season are tantamount to the stretch run of a Graded Stakes race. It s where big races are won and lost. It s been said that if you don t have the horse, you won t win the race. For the most part, this adage is right on the money. There are times, though, when the ride the horse gets by the jockey can put the team in the winner s circle. It s why good jockeys are almost always atop quality horses in big races. The same holds true for head coaches in the NFL. They, too, are the pilots, guiding their team to the wire, with game plans designed for success or failure whichever the case may be. From a profit and loss standpoint, listed below are the BEST and WORST current head coaches and their NFL career records during Games 13-16 minimum four occurrences (current team in parenthesis) heading into the 2015 season. BEST: SU - RON RIVERA (Carolina): 13-3 ATS - BRUCE ARIANS (Arizona): 7-3 ATS ROLE - MIKE MCCARTHY (Green Bay): 8-1 as a dog WORST: SU - MIKE PETTINE (Cleveland): 0-4 ATS - JACK DEL RIO (Oakland): 13-19 ATS ROLE - JOHN HARBAUGH (Baltimore): 0-6 vs opp off back-to-back SUATS wins For a comprehensive listing of every coach in every role including their ABSOLUTE BEST and WORST check out Marc s Coaching Down The Stretch article inside the BETTING TOOLS LIBRARY section at PLAYBOOK.COM this week. TRIVIA TEASER THIS WEEK'S AMAZING SITUATIONAL PLAY This callous coach is 23-7 SU and 24-6 ATS away in games off a loss with his team, including 21-2 ATS when taking on a.500 or greater opponent in this role and 15-1 SU and 16-0 ATS the last 16. Who is this coldhearted coach? For the Trivia Teaser answer, turn to page 4. AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK PLAY AGAINST any NFL non-division team in Game 13 of the season off back-to-back wins, the last a double-digit spread win in which they scored 35 or more points, if they re facing a.333 or greater foe. Play AGAINST: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS TRISKA EDEKA PHOBIA ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 18-3 (86%) FOR A COMPLETE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP OF EVERY GAME ON TODAY'S CARD, VISIT www.playbook.com ATS = Against The Spread A = Away Con = Conference D = Dog F = Favorite H = Home Rev = Revenge R = Road SU = Straight-Up All results are ATS Against The Spread and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains the exclusive private property of PLAYBOOK and PLAYBOOK.COM and may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher. TEAMS NFL Games KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS Thursday, December 10 Minnesota 2-15 A off non-div home vs opp off away w/ rev ARIZONA 1-6.500 > off div vs.500 > opp (0-1) Sunday, December 13 Pittsburgh 7-1 off non-div home vs opp off away (2-1) CINCINNATI SERIES: 1-3 L4 / 1-4 L5H 4-0 in 2nd BB div (1-0) Buffalo 10-2 Away Six 1-8 in 1st BB away vs non-div PHILADELPHIA SERIES: 1-4 L5 5-1 favs off away vs opp off home (2-1) Atlanta 0-6 A aft Tampa Bay (0-1) 1-7 A in 2nd BB div games CAROLINA SERIES: 3-0 L3H 1-10 H off BB away vs opp w/ rev San Francisco 6-1 in 2nd BB AFC 1-5 2nd BB away vs opp off home CLEVELAND 0-9 bef BB away (0-2) 2-10 H vs NFC (0-1) Washington 0-5 A btwn 2H (0-3) 1-6 A off MNF vs opp w/ rev CHICAGO SERIES: 3-10 L13 / 2-8 L10H 3-15 in 2nd BB home Detroit 1-8 Away Five vs non-div opp 1-7 in 1st BB away ST. LOUIS 4-1 in 2nd of 3H 1-12 Home Seven vs opp off SU loss San Diego 6-1 aft Denver vs div opp 9-2 Away Six vs div KANSAS CITY 1-8 aft Oakland vs opp w/ rev 1-7 Home Five favs vs div New Orleans 7-1 A bef BB home w/ rev 6-1 <.500 A aft Carolina TAMPA BAY SERIES: 4-1 L5 / 3-1 L4H 1-5 in 2nd BB div Indianapolis SERIES: 5-1 L6 11-1.500 > off away vs opp off away JACKSONVILLE 1-6 H w/ rev aft Tenn 2-7 H off away vs opp off away Tennessee 6-0 A off BB home vs non-div 1-4 in 1st BB away (1-1) NY JETS SERIES: 7-2 L9 1-7 Home Seven vs <.500 opp w// rev New England 1-8 favs aft NFC (0-2) 1-7 A btwn 2H vs non-div (0-2) HOUSTON SERIES: 1-4 L5 4-1 w/ rev bef BB div vs non-div Oakland 6-1 in 2nd BB div w/ rev (1-0) 0-4 A aft Kansas City DENVER SERIES: 7-0-1 L8 / 1-6-1 L8H 8-2 H aft San Diego Dallas 6-0 <.500 off away vs opp off away 1-8 off MNF w/ rev GREEN BAY SERIES: 3-1 L4 0-12 aft Detroit vs non-div w/ rev Seattle 4-0 Away Seven 1-6 off non-div vs AFC BALTIMORE 7-0 vs.500 > NFC 1-6 <.500 off non-div & BB away Monday, December 14 NY Giants 5-1 vs opp w/ double rev 2-14 RF s btwn 2H off non-div MIAMI SERIES: 3-0 L3 4-0 Home Five 6-1 bef LRG 0-6 MNF INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK The Carolina Panthers are 11-1 SU and 12-0 ATS at Bank of America Stadium between away games. Be sure to read the INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK each week in the PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter! page 2 www.vegasinsider.com

THIS WEEK IN FOOTBALL DECEMBER 10-14 Remember: You Have A PLAYBOOK Recommendation Whenever Our Predicted Margin Of Victory Is 6 Or More Points Off The Opening Line NCAA FOOTBALL Saturday, December 12 Navy over Army by 17 Think of Navy football and what are the first things that come to mind? Head coach Ken Niumatalolo, decked out in his Navy whites and a brightly colored flower lei, grinning as his team chalks up another win and he accepts another Commander-In-Chief s Trophy? Or QB Keenan Reynolds, the new FBS record-holder in rushing touchdowns, always getting the ball to the right man as the Middie offense steams downfield, eating up clock and demoralizing opponents? Now name Army s current head coach. Okay, how about one player on the Army team? Such is the current state of a rivalry that used to see its players win Heisman trophies (Army s Doc Blanchard, Glenn Davis and Pete Dawkins; Navy s Joe Bellino and Roger Staubach) and battle for national honors. But with Army having lost 13 straight games in this series, this annual season-ender has become less about Will Navy win? to more like By how much? Even so, with the exception of Navy s 34-7 blowout in 2013, the last three meetings between these land-and-sea opponents were decided by just 6, 4 and 7 points. And despite slipping to a 2-9 SU record following last year s 4-8 finish, Army has shown significant statistical improvement especially on defense under 2nd-year head coach Jeff Monken. Can t blame the Middies for letting down here as they re in a rock-and-a-hard-place scheduling spot, fresh off a discouraging 52-31 loss to Houston (which kept the sailors out of the AAC Championship game in just their first year as conference affiliates), and with a Military Bowl showdown against Pittsburgh on deck (Panthers should be fired up to win for All-American RB James Conner, who missed the season with a knee injury and was recently diagnosed with Hodgkin s Lymphoma). We like fading teams in season finales that have a bowl bid in their back pocket, especially in rivalry games, and the Swabbies oblige with an 0-3 ATS log as chalk of more than 20 points. That s a match for the Cadets 7-1-1 ATS mark in their last nine games as dogs of 20 or more, plus the Black Knights outgained Navy in their 2015 skirmish, 419-297. In addition, the Swabbies are just 9-20 ATS as chalk when they allow 125 or more yards rushing to Army, a virtual certainty here since the Knights own the nation s No. 8-ranked ground attack. Finally, from the well-oiled machine: military dogs of 20 or more points are 74-36-4 ATS since 1980 on the blind, including 31-13 ATS when playing off back-to-back losses, and 21-7 ATS when seeking revenge. That should tell you all you need to know about the right side in this military battle. PRO FOOTBALL Thursday, December 10 ARIZONA over Minnesota by 3 Week 14 in the NFL opens with the Vikings traveling to the desert insisting last week s 38-7 home loss to the Seahawks was nothing more than a mirage. Off their worst performance of the season, the Vikes still have their sights set on the NFC North crown (currently tied with the Packers) and figure to bounce back despite hitting the road on short rest as they are 9-3 ATS off a SU loss under HC Mike Zimmer including 5-0 ATS versus a foe off back-to-back SU wins and 4-0 ATS away on Thursday versus non-division opposition. And it looks as if the Purple People Eaters may be catching the surging Redbirds (winners of six straight) at just the right time as Bruce Arians club owns a cushy three-game lead in the NFC West and arrives off back-to-back division road wins. As it is, the Cards are a weary 3-17 ATS off back-to-back roadies versus.500 or greater foes and 1-6 ATS off a division game versus a.500 or greater opponent. And while we d love to snap the rubber band with a Minny team that is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 when taking points, the SMART BOX tempers our enthusiasm as Arians owns an NFL best 7-3 ATS log during the season s final four games. And don t forget: teams who enter off a SU loss against Pete Carroll s Seahawks are a beat-up 9-23 ATS over the past few seasons. Nonetheless, we ll take what we can get as history tells us a flat effort is in the Cards for the fat hosts. Sunday, December 13 4 BEST BET Pittsburgh over CINCINNATI by 10 Speaking of cushy leads, the Queen City Cats could lock up the AFC North with a win today over their division rivals. The problem, however, is two-fold: the Steelers are 13-3 SUATS in this building since Y2K (that s 2000 for all of us old-timers) and have no wiggle room as they re tied with the Chiefs and the Jets at 7-5 for one of two Wildcard spots. They also arrive with a chip on their shoulders as they lost a 16-10 home decision to the Red Rifle Gang earlier this season despite outgaining the Bengals, 356-296, which brings into play an 8-1 SUATS mark on this field with revenge. And though Pittsburgh s 22nd-ranked defense (365 YPG) resembles more of a see-through drape than a Steel Curtain these days, December usually brings out the best in Mike Tomlin s troops. That s evidenced by Tomlin s 21-11 SU record over the season s final four games. And for a formidable 1-2 punch, we couple that with The Clincher: QB Ben Roethlisberger is 17-4 SU and 15-5-1 ATS in division games during December, including 5-0 SUATS as a dog. Buffalo over PHILADELPHIA by 4 Just when you thought Chip Kelly should be taking a page from Rodney Dangerfield and heading Back to School, his Eagles go into Foxboro and knock off the Brady Bunch. Sure, Marcia could probably start at receiver for the decimated Pats but nonetheless it s a quality win and one the Green Birds needed. The good news is they now own a share of the division lead and close out the season with three home games. The bad news: teams who knock off the defending Super Bowl champs as underdogs are just 44-70-1 ATS since 1986. In addition, the Eagles are 2-10 ATS as chalk (check line) in the second of back-to-back non-conference tilts. Worse, Kelly and company could be leaking oil favorites, having been outgained by 179 or more yards in each of their last three outings. Meanwhile, the Bills who actually have a big say in who will win the NFC East with Washington and Dallas still to come, are 13-6-2 ATS versus NFC opposition since 2010, including 6-2-2 ATS away. We ll respect that and look for Rex Ryan to improve to 11-5 SU and 12-4 ATS versus a foe off a SU underdog win. 5 BEST BET CAROLINA over Atlanta by 16 Could the noose be tightening for undefeated Cam and company following last week s come-from-behind win in New Orleans? It could be but it doesn t appear anyone in Atlanta is capable of playing Hangman as the Falcons are in freefall mode without a parachute. That might pique Richard Branson s interest but it s sure not making Atlanta supporters happy as the Birds have dropped five in a row on the scoreboard and eight straight on the ATS scorecard after starting the season 4-0 SUATS. And despite Carolina s lousy 1-7 ATS log after facing the Saints, it doesn t figure to get any better for Dan Quinn s crew as they arrive with a 1-7 ATS away mark in the second of back-to-back division games and 2-8 ATS record on the road versus a foe off an away game. Complicating matters for the Falcons is the fact that Ron Rivera tops the SMART BOX in the SU win category while his Panthers headline our INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK on page two. That s certainly an exacta worth playing but why stop there? We say go for the trifecta as we add this little gem courtesy of The Clincher: Carolina QB Cam Newton is 9-0 SU and 7-1-1 ATS in his NFL career as a favorite of more than 6 points versus.500 or greater opponents. San Francisco over CLEVELAND by 3 What do you do when you re a lame-duck coach who runs the only team that has been officially eliminated from playoff contention? You throw a going-away party and invite Johnny Manziel, of course. Once again Mike Pettine will turn to Johnny Football (1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS as a starter) in hopes of removing his negative SMART BOX press (0-4 SU during the season s final four games). He ll also be counting on Manziel to snap (continued on next page) www.vegasinsider.com page 3

Cleveland s ugly 0-9 ATS mark before playing back-to-back away games which is unlikely considering the 49ers are 6-2 SU and 7-0-1 ATS in the first of back-to-back non-conference games. And though we hate backing bad teams on the road off a previous away win, the Niners have won their last three against teams that reside outside the NFC West. Plus, we just can t lay points with a two-win Cleveland team that is completely out of options. Thus, it s time to get this party started with a San Francisco treat as the Niners non-division gold rush continues. CHICAGO over Washington by 7 Just when Jay Cutler thought it was safe to venture onto Rush Street, the Bears fall at home to San Fran, realistically costing them any chance at reaching the postseason. The 5-7 Redskins also let one get away last Monday against Dallas but they still own a share of the feeble NFC East. In fact, they may not lose any ground this week even with a loss as the Cowboys and Giants take to the road while the Eagles host a formidable Buffalo squad. And though the Skins are a markedly improved version from the one that went 4-12 last season in Jay Gruden s first year, they are 0-5 ATS on the road between home games and 1-6 ATS away off a Monday nighter versus a foe with revenge. Unfortunately for the South Siders, though, they own a notso comfortable 3-15 ATS mark at home off a previous home game. However, veteran HC John Fox carries a 32-20 SU and 30-21-1 career ATS mark down the stretch (final four games) as well as a 17-7 ATS log off a SU favorite loss in which his team lost to the spread by double-digits. Fear not Jay, you should be able to hit the Magnificent Mile after this one is in the books. ST. LOUIS over Detroit by 6 Wow, what could have been. Left for dead after a 1-7 start, the Motor City Kitties were on their way to a fourth straight win and a Charmin-soft remaining schedule (St. Louis, New Orleans, San Francisco, Chicago) before Mary (as in Hail) got involved. Damn women! And don t expect HC Jim Caldwell to be able to get the Lions off the mat anytime soon as he is 1-5 ATS in the season s final four games versus sub.500 foes and a sobering 1-11 SU and 2-9-1 ATS in games after just having a three-plus game win skein snapped. Combine that with Detroit s 1-7 ATS log in the first of back-to-back roadies and you can see why we feel the Rams will snap a season-long fivegame losing skein. In addition, Louie is 5-1 ATS at home off a previous home contest versus an opponent off a SU loss. The fact that Fisher and crew are leaking oil keeps us at arm s length for now but should the Lions go favored, we ll be the first in line to grab the points. We suggest you do the same. KANSAS CITY over San Diego by 6 With the easiest slate left among Wild Card contenders, the Chiefs should get back to the postseason after stumbling down the stretch in 2014. However, it would be a mistake to overlook a San Diego team that they just beat 33-3 on the road three weeks ago. That s because the Chargers are 10-1 ATS away between home game when they own a losing record and 6-1 ATS in division games after battling the Broncos (allowed only 291 total yards but were done in by three critical interceptions). As for that aforementioned 30-point beating? It was San Diego s worst division home loss since 1983. That spells major revenge but more importantly, check out this nugget that can only be found in the Playbook Newsletter: NFL teams riding a 6-game win skein who are 3-0 ATS in their last three games are 44-68-3 ATS as favorites. Believe it or not, this one could come down to the River as long as the Chargers QB doesn t get out-flopped and throw some early picks. Take it or leave it. 5 BEST BET New Orleans over TAMPA BAY by 10 As unbelievable as it seems, the Bucs currently hold down the No. 7 seed in the NFC Wild Card playoff chase while the Saints are the No. 14 seed. And while it seems like the Grand Canyon is separating the two, the gap is only two games between these NFC South division foes. Thus, rest assured the Saints will come with everything they ve got here today. Revenge from a 7-point loss as double-digit favorites in their home opener this season ensures it. Tampa enters 1-5 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back division games, while head coach Lovie Smith is 1-6 ATS off a win during final four games of the season versus a foe off a pair of losses. The bottom line here is as long as Drew Brees is mathematically alive and breathing for a chance at a Wild Card playoff berth, we ll continue to look at him, especially as a division dog with revenge, a role in which he is 9-3-1 ATS in his NFL career, including 5-1 ATS with the Saints. If that s not enough, there s The Clincher: New Orleans head coach Sean Payton is 8-1 SUATS in the final four games of the season versus a foe off back-toback wins including 8-0 SUATS if not as a double-digit dog. JACKSONVILLE over Indianapolis by 1 Another game with uncertainty surrounding a quarterback: this time, the concussion condition of Colts backup-now-starter Matt Hasselbeck. Indy brings an outstanding 11-1 ATS mark with a winning record off an away game versus a foe off an away game into the fray. They re also 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS in division road games the last three seasons. The problem, though, is those numbers were compiled with Andrew Luck behind center. It must be noted, though, that while Hasselbeck is 4-1 while filling his shoes this season, the Colts have been outgained in each of his five starts by an average 123 YPG. We call it winning games with smoke-and-mirrors, and eventually the mirror cracks, then breaks. While the Jaguars have struggled in this series, dropping the money in five of the last six showdowns, they are 7-1 ATS in their 6th home game of the season when hosting a division rival. Once again, we ll wait on the NFL doctors, and the Vegas oddsmakers, to have a say before rendering a call on today s contest. NY JETS over Tennessee by 3 The look on Jets head coach Todd Bowles face after last week s gift victory over the crosstown Giants was a MasterCard moment priceless. Not only did the Flyboys snap a 5-game losing skid against their city rivals, they also climbed into the final spot as a Wild Card entrant should the playoffs begin today. This Sunday they tackle a pesky Tennessee team that has won and covered two of the last three meetings in this series the past three years. And making matters worse, the Titans are 6-0 ATS away off back-to-back home games when facing a non-division foe. With the Jets looking to pick up a 3rd consecutive win for the first time since 2011 (currently 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS off a pair of victories), a letdown of natural proportion looks to be the order of the day. New England over HOUSTON by 6 The NFL brass decided to move this game into the Sunday night prime time slot, giving up on the Seattle-Baltimore contest. And a dandy it should be with the always-popular Patriots taking on the AFC South co-leading Texans. Our first inclination was to try and make a case for the hosts, a team that has cashed in 14 of its last 22 home dog roles. However, it was getting past another Bill Belichick moment that threw this game into a quandary. For openers, Belichick is the answer to this week s astounding TRIVIA TEASER on page 2. If that s not enough to stop you in your tracks, nothing will. FYI: the man is also 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS in his NFL career in games off a pair of SU favorites losses. Meanwhile, Houston plays the Sunday night host knowing the last 15 Sunday night home dogs to face a foe off a loss are 2-13 SUATS. Granted, New England is banged up, but so is this line. And since we re all shopping for value this holiday season, we re reminded that tis better to give than receive this Sunday night. DENVER over Oakland by 4 Both teams enter off disparate results last week with the Broncos winning and covering on the division road at San Diego, while the Raiders lost SUATS as a division home dog to Kansas City. And with that we re calling for a return to the mean with Denver just 1-6-1 ATS the last eight games as a host in this series. Digger deeper, our all-knowing database shares this gem: NFL division home favorites off a SU division road win and cover are 57-84-6 ATS since 1980 when facing a foe with at least one win on the season. In Denver s 16-10 win at Oakland earlier this season, the Broncos managed a mere 297 yards of offense. Only Jack Del Rio s appearance in this week s SMART BOX keeps the Raiders from searching for the lost bark in this puppy series (Broncos 2-7-1 ATS last 10 as single-digit home chalk). GREEN BAY over Dallas by 1 Alas, finally a spot to utilize the forlorn Packers. And we will only on our fade list instead. Consider: if Aaron Rodgers did not complete his 61- yard Hail Mary TD pass on the last play of the game at Detroit last week, he would be entering today s contest with a string of THREE successive sub 200-yard passing efforts. Furthermore, Green Bay is just 3-5 In The Stats in its last eight games, losing the stats by an average of 151 YPG. And it would have been more without Rodgers heave to the heavens! As it is, the Packers enter off four consecutive division duels sporting an 0-12 ATS log after facing Detroit versus non-division opponents seeking revenge. Dallas arrives off its last-second Monday night win at Washington at 4-8 in the NFC East, now amazingly only ONE GAME from the top of the heap. The Cowboys 7-0-1 ATS mark away off an away game fits our fancy. As does its 6-0 ATS record with a losing record when off an away game and facing a foe also off an away game. Toss in a measure of nasty revenge for the Boys from last year s controversial playoff loss here and just like that, Mr. Rodgers neighborhood looks like it has suddenly gone to hell. (continued on page 6) page 4 www.vegasinsider.com

WISE GUYS CONTEST A $10,000 Contest Sponsored by PLAYBOOK.com Now in its 30th year, the WISE GUYS CONTEST is a $10,000 winnerstake-all handicapping event. All plays are graded against the lines posted after 4:00 PM Mondays on the WISE GUYS CONTEST page. Each week below we ll post Single Plays from the Top 20 point-earners. Following the play is their overall Win-Loss record / Double Play record / Total Points earned to date. Big Board Sports bigboardsports@zoominternet.net Bob Dietz integritysports.com Brad Diamond diamondquickpicks.com Brad Powers bradpowerssports.com California Sports californiasports.com CfbRefStats.com cfbrefstats.com Cincinnati Kid Fairway Jay vegassportszone.com Hurricane Bill JB Sports jbsports.net Below are the current Top 20 Contestants from the 2015 Wise Guys Contest One Point Single Plays Listed CHARGERS (+10) Navy (-22) Denver Under 43.5 COLTS (Pk) EAGLES (Pk) Bucs Over 50.5 SEAHAWKS (-6.5) TEXANS (+3.5) SEAHAWKS (-6.5) TEXANS (+3.5) 15-10-1 / 7-5-1 / 22 pts 14-12 / 6-7 / 20 pts 15-11 / *9-4 / 25 pts 18-8 / 9-4 / 27 pts 15-11 / *8-5 / 24 pts 14-12 / *8-5 / 23 pts 12-13-1 / 10-3 / 22 pts 13-12-1 / 8-5 / 21 pts 16-9-1 / 8-5 / 24 pts 12-13-1 / 7-6 / 19 pts Joe Nelson nellysports.com Mike Muzyka mjmsportsline.com Okie Sports Ross Benjamin rossbenjaminsports.com Stan Lisowski Steve Merril prosportsinfo.com Stormin Norman freesportsinfo.com Tim Nolan reddogsports.com Victor King Weekly Wizard RAIDERS (+7.5) JAGUARS (Pk) BILLS (Pk) Navy (-22) JAGUARS (Pk) RAIDERS (+7.5) TEXANS (+3.5) VIKINGS (+7.5) Cards Under 45.5 BUCS (-3.5) 14-10-2 / 8-4-1 / 22 pts 13-12-1 / 7-5-1 / 20 pts 13-12-1 / *5-8 / 19 pts 15-10-1 / 9-4 / 24 pts 18-8 / 10-3 / 28 pts 16-10 / 9-4 / 25 pts 16-10 / *8-5 / 25 pts 14-11-1 / *7-5-1 / 22 pts 14-11-1 / 6-6-1 / 20 pts 16-8-2 / 8-4-1 / 24 pts GAME MATCHUPS Minnesota ARIZONA Pittsburgh CINCINNATI Buffalo PHILADELPHIA Atlanta CAROLINA San Francisco CLEVELAND Washington CHICAGO Detroit ST LOUIS San Diego KANSAS CITY THE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP: O/U STYLE AN 'OVER / UNDER' REPORT ON THIS WEEK'S NFL CARD BY VICTOR KING The first 8 games of the NFL schedule are listed below. As always, the number listed first is the OVER and the number listed second is the UNDER. *This week s TREND play: Redskins @ Bears OVER the TOTAL. 2015 NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE WEEK FOURTEEN KEY OVER/UNDER STATS 5-0 O/U bef Chi... 3-0 O/U Thursdays... 3-1 O/U Gm 13... but 0-4 O/U off SU home loss 14 >... 0-3 O/U aft score 7 < pts 5-0 O/U as conf HF s 5 > pts... 3-1 O/U aft Stl... but 0-6 O/U aft allow 3 < pts... 1-4 O/U bef Phil... 1-3 O/U L4 vs Min 3-0 O/U Gm 13... but 0-3 O/U bef Den... 0-3 O/U aft score 40+ pts... 3-9 O/U div RD s < 7 pts... 2-6 O/U L8 vs Cin (39.) 4-1 O/U as HF s 5 < pts... 3-1 O/U Gm 13... 3-1 O/U bef SF... but 1-5 O/U aft Clev... 1-4 O/U 2nd of BB div gms 3-1 O/U aft Hou... but 0-6 O/U Gm 13... 1-5 O/U in 1st of BB RG... 1-4 O/U away vs NFC... 3-9 O/U aft score 30 > pts 9-1-1 O/U 2nd of BB non-conf gms... 3-1 O/U aft NEng... but 0-3 O/U L3 vs Buf (35.8)... 1-4 O/U in 1st of 3+ HG... 1-3 O/U Gm 13 0-4 O/U L4 vs Car (39.5)... 1-4 O/U aft TB... 1-4 O/U off SU loss 4 < pts... 4-13 O/U div RD s 5 > pts... 1-3 O/U vs.800 > opp Gm 9 > 0-4 O/U home off road OVER... 0-3 O/U off BB RG... 3-22-2 O/U L27 as div HF s... 3-15 O/U vs.500 opp... 3-7 O/U aft RG vs NOrl 6-1 O/U as dogs in 2nd of BB RG... 4-1 O/U away.250 < opp... 5-2 O/U aft Chi... but 2-9 O/U vs AFC North... 0-3 O/U vs Clev (27.3) 6-1 O/U home off div HG... 4-1 O/U home aft score 3 < pts... but 0-4 O/U aft Cin... 1-6-1 O/U vs NFC West... 1-5 O/U Gm 13 5-0 O/U away off BB HG... 6-1 O/U bef Buf... 6-1 O/U vs NFC North... 4-1 O/U off Monday gm... 3-1 O/U Gm 13 8-0 O/U L8 vs NFC East... 7-1 O/U bef Min... 7-1 O/U favs in 2nd of BB HG... 5-1 O/U off home fav loss... 4-1 O/U opp off Monday gm 4-0 O/U off Thur gm... 5-1 O/U bef Mon gm... 4-1 O/U L5 vs Stl (50.4)... but 0-3 O/U aft GB... 1-3 O/U vs NFC West 7-1 O/U in 3rd straight HG... but 0-3 O/U Gm 13... 0-4 O/U off SU loss 21 > pts... 2-10 O/U aft Ariz... 1-4 O/U vs NFC North 5-0 O/U off div HG... 4-1 O/U dogs in 2nd of BB div gms... 4-1 O/U aft score < 7 pts... but 1-5 O/U aft Den... 2-5 O/U Gm 13 4-1 O/U vs.333 < opp Gm 9 >... but 0-5 O/U aft Oak... 0-3 O/U L3 vs SD (35.0)... 2-5 O/U Gm 13... 3-8 O/U as div HF s 6 > pt (continued on next page) www.vegasinsider.com page 5

THIS WEEK'S BEST BETS FOR WEEK ENDING MONDAY, DECEMBER 14, 2015 NFL UPSET GAME 3 BEST BET A REVIEW OF THE CURRENT STAR-RATED BEST BET SELECTIONS 4 BEST BET 5 BEST BET PANTHERS STEELERS SAINTS RAVENS Your purchase of the information in this publication is intended strictly for the private use of the subscriber and/or purchaser. The redistribution of any portion of this information, in any form, without the express written consent of Preferred Picks (or Playbook or Playbook.com ) is strictly prohibited and is subject to the laws of the jurisdictions involved. 2015 COLLEGE & PRO FOOTBALL - DECEMBER 10-14 Listed next to the games below are two entries: OL is the SportsOptions.com opening line on the contest and PB is the PLAYBOOK margin. You have a PLAYBOOK Recommendation whenever our predicted margin of victory is 6 or more points off the opening line. Remember, opening lines are subject to change so always check YOUR CURRENT LINE against the PLAYBOOK line to determine a final play. All times listed are Eastern Standard Time Games in Official International Rotation sequence Dates & times subject to change OL PB OL PB OL PB 109 ATLANTA 123 TENNESSEE THURSDAY, DECEMBER 10 110 CAROLINA 7 16 124 NY JETS 7 3 101 MINNESOTA 111 SAN FRANCISCO 3 125 NEW ENGLAND 3 6 8:25 PM 8:30 PM TIME CHANGE 102 ARIZONA NFL 7 3 112 CLEVELAND Pk 126 HOUSTON NBC 113 WASHINGTON 127 OAKLAND SATURDAY, DECEMBER 12 4:05 PM 114 CHICAGO 3 7 128 DENVER 8 4 103 ARMY 115 DETROIT 129 DALLAS 3:00 PM (Philadelphia) 4:25 PM 104 NAVY CBS 22 17 116 ST. LOUIS 1 6 130 GREEN BAY 7 1 117 SAN DIEGO 131 SEATTLE 6 SUNDAY, DECEMBER 13 TIME CHANGE 118 KANSAS CITY 10 6 132 BALTMORE 1 105 PITTSBURGH 10 119 NEW ORLEANS 10 MONDAY, DECEMBER 15 106 CINCINNATI 3 120 TAMPA BAY 4 107 BUFFALO 4 121 INDIANAPOLIS 133 NY GIANTS 6 8:30 108 PHILADELPHIA 1 122 JACKSONVILLE Pk 1 134 MIAMI ESPN Pk (continued from page 4) UPSET GAME OF THE WEEK UPSET BALTIMORE over Seattle by 1 There could only be one scenario possibly worse than having backup QB Matt Schaub taking snaps against the surging Seahawks this Sunday. That would be finding castoff QB Jimmy Claussen (1-11 SU as a starter in the NFL) behind center for the Ravens. The good news if you can call it that is that Schaub passed NFL concussion protocol on Monday and figures to be calling the signals. And with Schaub back in the lineup, and Baltimore a mind-blowing 23-2 SU when hosting NFC opponents (both losses by 2 points each), we were all set to take the plunge until this week s SMART BOX knocked gently on the door, noting head coach John Harbaugh is 0-6 ATS in games versus opponents off back-to-back SUATS wins down the stretch during the final four games of the campaign. However, as hot as Seattle has been of late, we can t lose sight of the fact that they are still a defending Super Bowl loser laying points on the nondivision road, a precarious role that finds these teams just 9-17-1 ATS in over the course of the final 6 games of the season since 1981. Toss in Seattle s shaky 1-6 ATS mark off a non-division opponent versus an AFC opponent and you can understand our trepidation. The bottom line in this taffy pull, though, is The Clincher: Marc s AWESOME ANGLE on page 2. At least until the line settles in and the cast of characters is inked on the program. Monday, December 14 New York Giants over MIAMI by 6 After witnessing the Giants surrendering yet another lead with less than two minutes remaining for the 5th time this season against the Jets last week, tying the NFL record, the phone rang. On the other end was Jaybird The Bulldog, our SEC scout, who had this to say on Tom Coughlin: He s the Mark Richt of the NFL. Another month and he s gone. He may well be, but so too is Miami interim Dan Campbell, whose troops bring a 6-game In The Stats losing skid into this Monday Night affair. Our always-reliable database confirms the notion, noting the NFL interim coaches are just 60-112 SU during the final four games of the season, including 16-37 when both teams are off a spread loss. Meanwhile, the G-Men are 6-1 SUATS after facing the Jets, while the Dolphins check in at 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS in their last six Monday Night games. Like most savvy veteran coaches with their back to wall who resort to their bag of tricks, Coughlin has been a magician in games off back-to-back losses during the final four games of the season, going 12-7 SU and 14-5 ATS throughout his NFL career, including 8-1 SUATS when facing a losing opponent. Like David Copperfield, the old commander s team disappears and then reappears again, just in the nick of time. NOTE: Home team is shown in ALL CAPS. PLAYBOOK selection is Underlined and Bold. Should we pass or not have a strong opinion on a game, neither team will be bolded. page 6 www.vegasinsider.com