DATE ISSUED: 14/08/2015 FORECAST VALID FROM 132200 TO 142200 UTC: IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. GALE WARNINGS: ============== 1 / 13
1. TRISTAN: SW 35 in the south-west by tomorrow morning. 2. CAPE WEST: W to NW 35 in the south-east. 3. CAPE EAST: NW 35 in the east, but SW 35 in the west, spreading to the east by end of the period. 4. DURBAN EAST: NW 35 in the extreme-west at first. 5. MARION FORTIES EAST: N to NW 35 to 40, but W 35 in the west, spreading to the east by end of th SYNOPTIC SITUATION AT 12:00Z ============================ High 1036 hpa 43s70e High 1028 hpa 31s23w. Low 960 hpa 53s34e Low 944 hpa 64s31e Low 1004 hpa 33s34e. 1. Cold front: 33s15e 43s30e 49s33e into 53s34e 58s36e into 64s31e. 2 / 13
AREA FORECAST: ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W) : E to SE 10 to 20, becoming SW 10 in the extreme north-east by end of the period. : Good. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/WEST COAST) : S to SE 05 to 15, but SW 05 to 10 in the south-east. : Good. 3 / 13
ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W) : E to SE 15 to 25, but W to SW 10 to 20 in the south, becoming variable 05 in the south-west, spreading to the east by end of the period. : Good, but moderate in showers in the extreme south by the second half of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the north-west, subsiding by the end of the period, S to SE swell. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST) : S to SE 10 to 20, becoming NW 10 to 20 in the south-west by tomorrow morning, spreading to the east by end of the period. 4 / 13
: Good, but poor in morning fog patches in the extreme east. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the extreme south, SW swell. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W) : W to NW 15 to 25, but SW 15 to 25 from the south-west by the evening, reaching 35 in the south-west by tomorrow morning, becoming SE 20 to 30 in the north-west by end of the period. : Moderate in showers in places, moderating from the south by the end of the period. SEA STATE: 6.0 to 4.0m, S to SW swell. 5 / 13
CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E) : W to NW 15 to 25, reaching 35 in the south-east, becoming SW 20 to 30 in the south-west by tomorrow afternoon, spreading to the east by end of the period. : Good, but moderate in showers in the west, spreading to the east by end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 5.0 to 6.0m in the south-east, SW swell. CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E) : NW 20 to 30, reaching 35 in the east, but SW 20 to 30, reaching 35 in the west, spreading to the east by end of the period. 6 / 13
: Good, but moderate in showers in the west, spreading to the east by end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 6.0 to 8.0m in the extreme west, spreading to the central parts by end of the period, SW swell. DURBAN EAST (25S/32.5S, EAST COAST/55E) : NE 15 to 25 in the east, otherwise NW 15 to 25, reaching 35 in the extreme-west at first, becoming SW 10 to 20 in the southwest overnight. : Good, moderate in showers in places in the south-west. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the south-west during the first half of the period, NW over the central parts, otherwise SW swell. 7 / 13
MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL : SE 10 to 15 in the north, otherwise NE 15 to 25. : Good, but moderate in showers in the extreme north. MADAGASCAR EAST: : E to NE 10 to 20 in the south, otherwise SE 15 to 25. : Good, but moderate in showers in places. SEA STATE: 3.0m in the extreme south-west at first, spreading to the extreme south-east, SW swell. : 3.0m in the extreme east, E swell. 8 / 13
MARION FORTIES EAST: (40S/50S, 35E/50E) : N to NW 20 to 30, reaching 35 to 40, but W 25 to 35 in the west, spreading to the east by end of the period. : Good, but moderate in the west spreading to the east by end of the period. SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 6.0 to 7.0m, becoming 8.0 to 9.0m in the south-west overnight, W to SW swell. AREA 2: ======= MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMS 9 / 13
DATE: 15/08/13 at 0500UTC AVERAGED SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (Wind gusts may be about 40% stronger than the a PART 1: WARNING: - Locally Gale force 8 over CRO. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSYS, 15/08/13 at 0000 UTC: - High 1034 hpa near 34S/65E, moving Eastward slowly. - Cold front axis: 28S/47E, 32S/49E, 34S/47E moving South-Eastward 20/25kt. Page 1/2 10 / 13
PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 15/08/13 AT 0600 UTC TO 15/08/14 AT 0600UTC: WAM (30S/40S,50E/65E): Squalls over North-Western moving South-Eastward, Scattered showers elsewhere. : Anticlockwise 3/5, setting-up North to North-East 4/6 by Western. SEA : Moderate to rough and moderate South-West swell. I : Poor under precipitations. AMS (30S/40S,65E/80E): Scattered Showers. 11 / 13
: Anticlockwise 3 to 5 with South-East 4/6 over Eastern at beginning of period. SEA : Moderate to rough by moderate South-West swell. I : Good. CRO (40S/50S,50E/65E): Showers over North-Eastern and frontal rain or snow over South-Western at end. : West to North-West 5/6 setting-up North 5/7 by Western locally 8 over South-Western. SEA : Rough to very rough. Moderate Westerly swell but heavy over Southern. I : Poor in precipitations. 12 / 13
KER (40S/50S,65E/80E): Showers. : West to South-West 5/7 becoming Anticlockwise 3/4 then Northerly 5/7 over Western at end. SEA : Moderate to rough, very rough by moderate to heavy Westerly swell. I : Poor in precipitations. 13 / 13