PowerS picks $15. Week 9 CFB Best Bets Pg 3, Week 8 NFL Best Bets Pg 7

PowerS picks $15 Volume 6 Issue 15 October 25-29 2018 2018 BP Sports, LLC Best Bets are on a 40-13-1 (75%) Run the Last 7+ Weeks!!! Week 9 CFB Best Bets Pg 3, Week 8 NFL Best Bets Pg 7 Week 8 News and Notes! For those of you that are new, in this section we ll recap what happened last week specifically, the misleading finals, the key injuries, the bad beats and the line moves. We ll include most of these recaps here, therefore you don t have to waste time reading about them in my game-by-game write-ups for the upcoming week. Without further adieu, here s a run down of what happened last week in the world of CFB. Week 8 Trends Favorites-Dogs Straight Up 47-8 ATS 29-25-1 Home-Away Straight Up 32-23 ATS 23-31-1 Totals (O/U) Over-Under 20-34-1 Largest Favorites to Cover: Alabama (-29.5) at Tennessee, 58-21 Wisconsin (-24) vs Illinois, 49-20 Boise St (-23.5) vs Colorado St, 56-28 UCF (-22.5) at East Carolina, 37-10 Biggest Money line Upsets: Purdue +350 won vs Ohio St, 49-20 SMU +265 won at Tulane, 27-23 Virginia +220 won at Duke, 28-14 ATS Notables Purdue led by WR Rondale Moore s 170 receiving yards pulled a big upset over No. 2 Ohio St last Saturday 49-20 in West Lafayette. The Boilers were 12.5-point underdogs and were as high as +350 on the money line. Washington St is a perfect 7-0 ATS this year while UAB, Florida, Fresno St, Georgia Southern, Iowa, Texas A&M, Utah St and Virginia are all 6-1 ATS. On the other side, Florida Atlantic, Louisville, Navy and Wake Forest are all 1-6 ATS. Missouri and Old Dominion have seen the OVER go 6-1 in their games this year. Meanwhile the UNDER is 7-0 in North Texas games and 6-1 in Washington, Tulsa and UAB games. Misleading Finals Boise St s 56-28 win (-23.5) and cover over Colorado St was misleading. Colorado St had a 489-472 yard edge but were -3 TO s. Boise St got a 74-yard punt return TD and a 44-yard kickoff return TD. UCF got a 37-10 (-21.5) win and cover over East Carolina. However, ECU had 29-22 first down and 496-427 yard edges but were -5 in TO s. The key play was a 94-yard fumble return TD for UCF off a jump pass gone awry. Marshall (+2.5) blew out FAU 31-7. However, FAU had a 359-335 yard edge but were -5 in TO s. FAU also missed two short field goals. Penn St beat Indiana 33-28. However, the Hoosiers had 32-20 first down and 554-417 yard edges. Georgia Southern got a 48-31 (-10) win and cover at New Mexico St. However, the first downs were even and Georgia Southern only had a 466-443 yard edge. The Eagles were +3 in TO s but did have a 389-148 rushing yard edge. The game was tied 17-17 late 2Q. Wyoming had 15-11 first down and 331-194 yard edges but lost to Utah St 24-16. The Aggies got a 3-yard TD drive after an interception and also got a 99-yard kickoff return TD. Southern Miss failed to cover as 15.5-point favorites in a 27-17 win over UTSA. The Golden Eagles dominated everywhere but the scoreboard. They had 24-9 first down and 487-174 yard edges but were -3 TO s. Southern Miss actually led 27-3 in the 3Q but UTSA got 14 points off TO s including a Pick 6. Major Injuries Arizona QB Khalil Tate (ankle) sat out last week s game vs UCLA and is questionable for this week s game vs Oregon. Arkansas QB Ty Storey (concussion) missed last week s game vs Tulsa. He has been upgraded to probable for this week s game vs Vanderbilt. Army QB Kelvin Hopkins (hip) missed last week s game vs Miami, OH and is questionable for this week s game vs Eastern Michigan. Boston College RB AJ Dillon (ankle) has been upgraded to probable for this week s game vs Miami, FL. Coastal Carolina QB Kilton Anderson left last week s game with an ankle injury. He is questionable for this week s game vs Georgia St. Colorado WR Laviska Shenault missed last week s game vs Washington with a toe injury and is questionable for this week s game vs Oregon St. Florida Atlantic QB Chris Robison left last week s game with an ankle injury and is questionable for this week s game vs Louisiana Tech. Georgia St QB Dan Ellington (leg) was injured in last week s game and is questionable for this week game vs Coastal Carolina. Massachusetts QB Andrew Ford injured his leg in last week s game and is questionable this week at Connecticut. Minnesota QB Zaxk Annexstad left last week s game with an injury and is questionable for Friday s game vs Indiana. Navy QB Malcolm Perry injured his leg last week and is questionable for this week s game vs Notre Dame. Texas QB Sam Ehlinger (shoulder) was injured in Texas last game vs Baylor (two weeks ago) questionable for this week s game at Oklahoma St. USC s QB depth chart is not looking good for this week s game vs Arizona St. Starting QB JT Daniels is questionable with a concussion and backup Matt Fink is out with a rib injury. Bad Beats If you had the UNDER in the Ohio St/Purdue game, our sympathies go out to you. With less than 12 minutes left, Purdue led 21-6 and the 27 combined points were 40 points below the total of 67. Remarkably, the teams combined for 42 points in less than 10 minutes, with all six touchdowns coming on big plays of over 30 yards! The last one was the dreaded Pick 6 with 2 minutes left. My goodness! Recapping Last Week s Best Bets We remain on fire as our college best bets went a perfect 5-0 ATS last week. Stanford got the weekend rolling with a win and cover on Thursday night. Arkansas was actually supposed to be our 5H Game of the Month play but their QB Ty Storey was a late scratch on Friday. It didn t matter as the Hogs rolled to a 23-0 win. UAB came from behind to beat North Texas and Utah dominated USC after falling behind 14-0 early. Nevada closed out the day with a dominant outright upset win over Hawaii. In the NFL we went 1-1-1 as our 3H on Jacksonville ended up being a dumpster fire. We pushed with Tampa Bay if you bet it early in the week and easily won with Minnesota. Always remember gambling is a marathon, not a sprint. 2018 Nationwide Football Newsletter Contest (Regular Season Only) We are happy to provide you with the records, standings and plays used from the Power Sweep (3H, 4H & Underdog), Gold Sheet (Key Releases), Power Plays (4.5H), Sports Reporter (Best & Super Bets), Winning Points (Best Bets & Preferred), Playbook (3-5H s), Pointwise (Ratings 1-4), Powers Picks (1-4H s) and new this year the Sunday Night Owl Report (1-4H s). College NFL College/NFL Combined Newsletter W L T % Net Newsletter W L T % Net Newsletter W L T % Net Power Plays 17 7 0 70.83% 10 Powers Picks 15 5 1 75.00% 10 Powers Picks 40 20 1 66.67% 20 Power Sweep 20 11 0 64.52% 9 Playbook 13 8 0 61.90% 5 Power Plays 20 11 0 64.52% 9 Powers Picks 25 15 0 62.50% 10 Night Owl 6 4 0 60.00% 2 Power Sweep 27 17 1 61.36% 10 Night Owl 26 17 1 60.47% 9 Power Sweep 7 6 1 53.85% 1 Night Owl 32 21 1 60.38% 11 Playbook 13 10 1 56.52% 3 Sports Reporter 7 6 1 53.85% 1 Playbook 26 18 1 59.09% 8 Sports Reporter 14 15 0 48.28% -1 Winning Points 12 13 2 48.00% -1 Sports Reporter 21 21 1 50.00% 0 Winning Points 20 26 2 43.48% -6 Power Plays 3 4 0 42.86% -1 Winning Points 32 39 4 45.07% -7 Pointwise 18 25 4 41.86% -7 Gold Sheet 8 11 2 42.11% -3 Gold Sheet 20 30 2 40.00% -10 Gold Sheet 12 19 0 38.71% -7 Pointwise 6 15 0 28.57% -9 Pointwise 24 40 4 37.50% -16 Combined 165 145 8 53.23% 20 Combined 77 72 7 51.68% 5 Combined 242 217 15 52.72% 25

CFB/NFL Schedules Week 9 Sept October 25-29 171 TULANE 50.5 53 NFL/CFB Thursday, Oct 25th Line BP All Times Eastern 103 MIAMI 44 41 8:20 p.m. FOX 104 HOUSTON -7.5-7 105 TOLEDO 68 68 7:00 p.m. ESPN2 106 WESTERN MICHIGAN -6.5-6 107 BALL ST 64 67 7:00 p.m. CBS College 108 OHIO -10.5-13 109 APPALACHIAN ST -8.5-9 7:30 p.m. ESPNU 110 GEORGIA SOUTHERN 48 49 111 GEORGIA TECH 58.5 52 7:30 p.m. ESPN 112 VIRGINIA TECH -3-4 113 BAYLOR 68 67 7:00 p.m. FOX Sports 1 114 WEST VIRGINIA -14-13 Friday, October 26th Line BP All Times Eastern 115 MIAMI, FL -3.5-1 7:00 p.m. ESPN 116 BOSTON COLLEGE 50.5 47 117 INDIANA -2.5 53 8:00 p.m. FOX Sports 1 118 MINNESOTA 54-1 119 UTAH -10.5-11 10:30 p.m. ESPN 120 UCLA 54.5 57 121 WYOMING 46 47 10:00 p.m. CBS College 122 COLORADO ST -2-1 7:00 p.m. ESPNU 172 TULSA -2.5-1 173 TEXAS A&M 45.5-3 7:00 p.m. ESPN 174 MISSISSIPPI ST -2.5 45 175 KENTUCKY 55 54 4:00 p.m. SEC Network 176 MISSOURI -7-6 177 TENNESSEE 54.5 52 7:30 p.m. SEC Network 178 SOUTH CAROLINA -7.5-10 131 LOUISIANA TECH 58 57 6:30 p.m. CBS College 195 KANSAS ST 64 63 3:30 p.m. FOX 132 FLORIDA ATLANTIC -3.5-1 196 OKLAHOMA -24.5-23 Saturday, October 27th Line BP All Times Eastern 123 MIDDLE TENNESSEE -4-4 3:30 p.m. 124 OLD DOMINION 60 64 125 NC STATE -2.5-2 7:00 p.m. ESPN2 126 SYRACUSE 63.5 64 127 NORTH CAROLINA 50 51 12:20 p.m. 128 VIRGINIA -9-11 129 CENTRAL MICHIGAN 45 48 12:00 p.m. CBS College 130 AKRON -4.5-6 133 DUKE -2.5-2 3:30 p.m. 134 PITTSBURGH 46 50 135 ILLINOIS 52.5 55 3:30 p.m. Big Ten 136 MARYLAND -18.5-17 137 WAKE FOREST 65 63 12:00 p.m. 138 LOUISVILLE -2.5-3 139 WISCONSIN -7-4 12:00 p.m. FOX 140 NORTHWESTERN 51 52 141 ARMY 48-1 12:00 p.m. CBS College 142 EASTERN MICHIGAN -2 47 143 SOUTHERN MISS -7.5-6 2:00 p.m. 144 CHARLOTTE 44 46 145 TCU -13.5-15 3:00 p.m. FOX Sports 1 146 KANSAS 49 55 147 MASSACHUSETTS -4.5-1 12:00 p.m. ESPNU 148 CONNECTICUT 71.5 69 149 COASTAL CAROLINA -3.5-2 2:00 p.m. 150 GEORGIA ST 59 58 151 NEW MEXICO 63.5 60 4:00 p.m. 152 UTAH ST -20.5-20 153 OREGON ST 63.5 61 3:00 p.m. Pac-12 154 COLORADO -24-21 155 UAB -16-14 7:30 p.m. 156 UTEP 48.5 48 157 NORTHERN ILLINOIS 43.5 47 3:30 p.m. ESPNU 158 BYU -7-9 159 SAN DIEGO ST -2.5-2 10:30 p.m. ESPNU 160 NEVADA 47.5 50 161 WASHINGTON ST 53 55 7:00 p.m. Pac-12 162 STANFORD -3-7 163 ARIZONA ST 54.5 53 3:30 p.m. ABC/ESPN2 164 USC -6.5-1 165 WASHINGTON -11.5-11 6:30 p.m. FOX Sports 1 166 CALIFORNIA 45 49 167 GEORGIA -6.5-3 3:30 p.m. @Jacksonville, FL CBS 168 FLORIDA 52 49 169 UNLV 59.5-1 6:30 p.m. 170 SAN JOSE ST -2.5 59 179 TEXAS -3.5-2 8:00 p.m. ABC 180 OKLAHOMA ST 59.5 58 181 RICE 55.5 54 4:00 p.m. 182 NORTH TEXAS -30-28 183 SOUTH FLORIDA 74.5 72 3:30 p.m. ABC/ESPN2 184 HOUSTON -7.5-10 185 IOWA 52.5 53 3:30 p.m. ESPN 186 PENN ST -6.5-1 187 PURDUE 50.5 51 12:00 p.m. ESPN 188 MICHIGAN ST -2.5-3 189 FIU -3.5-6 7:30 p.m. 190 WKU 54 54 191 CINCINNATI -10-6 3:30 p.m. CBS College 192 SMU 52 54 193 VANDERBILT -1.5 53 12:00 p.m. FOX Sports 1 194 ARKANSAS 52.5-3 212 FRESNO ST -24.5-23 NFL Wk 8 Sunday, October 28th Line BP All Times Eastern 251 PHILADELPHIA -3-4 9:30 a.m. @London NFL Network 252 JACKSONVILLE 42 42 253 CLEVELAND 50.5 50 1:00 p.m. CBS 254 PITTSBURGH -8-10 255 DENVER 54 49 1:00 p.m. CBS 256 KANSAS CITY -10-11 2 Saturday, October 27th Line BP All Times Eastern 197 ARKANSAS ST -3-5 7:00 p.m. 198 UL-LAFAYETTE 70.5 71 199 NEW MEXICO ST 55.5 55 7:00 p.m. 200 TEXAS ST -3-1 201 TEXAS TECH 56 57 12:00 p.m. ESPN2 202 IOWA ST -3.5-9 203 BOISE ST -9.5-8 7:00 p.m. CBS College 204 AIR FORCE 58 54 205 CLEMSON -17-14 12:00 p.m. ABC 206 FLORIDA ST 51 52 207 NAVY 54.5 58 8:00 p.m. CBS 208 NOTRE DAME -23.5-24 209 OREGON -9.5-10 10:30 p.m. ESPN 210 ARIZONA 65 64 211 HAWAII 59 57 10:30 p.m. ESPNU 257 N.Y. JETS 45 47 1:00 p.m. CBS 258 CHICAGO -7-7 259 WASHINGTON -1-1 1:00 p.m. FOX 260 N.Y. GIANTS 42.5 41 261 SEATTLE 49.5 47 1:00 p.m. FOX 262 DETROIT -3-1 263 TAMPA BAY 54 52 1:00 p.m. FOX 264 CINCINNATI -4.5-4 265 BALTIMORE -2-1 1:00 p.m. CBS 266 CAROLINA 44 41 267 INDIANAPOLIS -3-1 4:05 p.m. CBS 268 OAKLAND 50 49 269 SAN FRANCISCO 42.5-3 4:25 p.m. FOX 270 ARIZONA PK 43 271 GREEN BAY 56.5 54 4:25 p.m. FOX 272 L.A. RAMS -9.5-6 273 NEW ORLEANS 52.5 50 8:20 p.m. NBC 274 MINNESOTA PK -2 Monday, October 29th Line BP All Times Eastern 275 NEW ENGLAND -14-11 8:15 p.m. ESPN 276 BUFFALO 44.5 45 NFL VIP Late Phone/Email Service (Includes Every NFL H-Rated Play): Just $299 Call 1-702-419-0473!

4H = BEST 3H = BETTER 2H = GOOD 1H = FAIR THE POWERS PACK 3H Texas A&M +2.5 over MISSISSIPPI ST 3H IOWA ST -3.5 over Texas Tech 2H STANFORD -3 over Washington St 2H Iowa +6.5 over PENN ST 2H ARKANSAS +1.5 over Vanderbilt Games in Rotation Order HOME TEAM IN CAPS Thursday, October 25th WESTERN MICHIGAN 37 Toledo 31. Two teams heading in opposite directions. The Broncos have won 6 straight games and have already cashed their opening season win total. Meanwhile, the Rockets have failed to cover 4 straight and have lost back-to-back games. Last week, WMU crushed rival Central Michigan 35-10 to take home the Michigan MAC Trophy. Western Michigan had a 356-269 yard edge including 305-147 on the ground. The Broncos were +3 in TO s (got 14 points off them). Meanwhile, Toledo led 17-7 at halftime but Buffalo dominated after the break. The Bulls had 32-8 first down and 463-295 yard edges. We re passing here. OHIO 40 Ball St 27. Ohio was dominant in their 49-14 win over Bowling Green last week with 32-13 first down and 597-314 yard edges including 392-100 on the ground. The game was tied 14-14 early 2Q and then it was all Ohio after that. Meanwhile Ball St got crushed by Eastern Michigan 42-20 as the Cardinals got a 80-yard TD run late in the game. We lean with Ohio here as they make a push for the division title after a slow start. Appalachian St 29 GEORGIA SOUTHERN 20. While this is only their 5th year of playing at the FBS level, Georgia Southern is in their largest home underdog role ever here. The Eagles are already bowl eligible this season but last week got a misleading win and cover at New Mexico St (48-31). The first downs were even and Georgia Southern only had a 466-443 yard edge. The Eagles were +3 in TO s but did have a 389-148 rushing yard edge. The game was tied 17-17 late 2Q. On the other side, Appalachian St s 9-game cover streak came to an end vs UL-Lafayette. App St only had 21-16 first down and 372-328 yard edges. App St is without starting RB Jalin Moore for the rest of the season but Darrynton Evans filled in and had 183 yards! This is a heated rivalry back to their FCS days in the So Con but we don t see any value. VIRGINIA TECH 28 Georgia Tech 24. Both teams come in off a bye week but VT did get the added time to prep for the option. In their last game, VT trailed North Carolina 19-14 and NC fumbled at the VT 1-yard line on 1st and goal. The Hokies then went 18 plays/98 yards for a TD to win 22-19. On the other side, GT lost to Duke 28-14. GT s 3 fumbles turned into 3 Duke TD s all in the 3Q. While VT s defense isn t nearly as good as past editions, we re leaning with the UNDER here. WEST VIRGINIA 40 Baylor 27. Both teams come in off a bye. West Virginia s unbeaten season went down the drain as they were destroyed at Iowa St. The Cyclones had 25-9 FD and 498-152 yard edges. WV QB Will Grier s Heisman chances likely over (only had 100 yards). They didn t come up with a magical defense to stop what we were doing, West Virginia coach Dana Holgorsen said. We didn t do anything right. We didn t make plays, we didn t keep our eyes where they needed to be. We didn t run fast, we didn t get off coverage, we didn t make good decisions. We didn t call good plays, we didn t tackle them, we didn t block. Meanwhile, Baylor covered at Texas in a 23-17 loss and even drove down to the Texas 17-yard line at end of game. Lot of early money on the OVER here. We re passing. Friday, October 26th Miami, FL 24 BOSTON COLLEGE 23. Both teams come in off a bye. BC beat Louisville 38-20 as they had a 430-217 total yard edge including 251-47 on the ground. Boston College will get the return of RB AJ Dillon here. On the other side, Miami is off an upset loss at Virginia. Miami had a 339-231 yard edge but yanked QB Perry after 4 series. While Miami still boasts one of the top defenses in the country we can t trust them laying more than a FG here. Lean on the home team. MINNESOTA 27 Indiana 26. Minnesota comes in off a blowout loss to Nebraska. It was actually a back and forth game as Nebraska led 28-0, then Minnesota scored 22 straight points before Nebraska closed on a 25-6 run. Minnesota QB Zack Annexstad was KO d but Tanner Morgan came in and was 11 of 16 for 214 yards. Meanwhile, Indiana covered at home vs Penn St. However, the Hoosiers had 32-20 first down and 554-417 yard edges and ran 100 plays on offense. We lean with the home dog here but can t recommend a stronger play until we get word on Annexstad. Utah 34 UCLA 23. Last week we cashed with Utah on these pages in their big win over USC at home. Utah dominated much more than the final indicated. Utes had 27-10 first down and 541-205 yard edges. Utah was down 14-0 but then scored 34 straight points. QB Tyler Huntley continues to be red hot as he was 22 of 29 for 341 yards and 4 TD s. Meanwhile, UCLA got their 2nd win in a row but it was misleading. Arizona had a 520-460 yard edge including 289-153 on the ground but had 3 TO s. After a Arizona FG cut the lead to 1, UCLA ran out the final 6:28. UCLA QB Wilton Speight (starter Dorian Thompson-Robinson was injured in second quarter) was 17 of 27 for 204 yards and 2 TD s. We think Utah is the best team in the Pac-12 South and will eventually win the division but we re not interested in laying more than a TD on the road on a short week. Lean OVER. 3 COLORADO ST 24 Wyoming 23. 110th meeting all-time of the Border War. Both teams come in off misleading losses from last week. Colorado St lost 56-28 at Boise St but the Rams had a 489-472 yard edge but were -3 TO s. Boise St got a 74-yard punt return TD and a 44-yard kickoff return TD. Meanwhile, Wyoming had 15-11 first down and 331-194 yard edges but lost to Utah St 24-16. The Aggies got a 3-yard TD drive after an interception and also got a 99-yard kickoff return TD. We re passing for now. FLORIDA ATLANTIC 29 Louisiana Tech 28. FAU comes in at 1-6 ATS but did have a misleading blowout loss at Louisiana Tech last week. FAU had a 359-335 yard edge but were -5 in TO s. FAU also missed two short field goals. Their QB Chris Robison left last week s game with an ankle injury and is? here. Meanwhile, La Tech had their hands full with UTEP as the Miners had a 356-315 yard edge. LT got an interception return TD early and then got a 43- yard TD run on 4th Down with 6:32 left to win the game. It was by QB Smith who pulled off a beautiful fake. LT is in their preferred dog role under head coach Holtz (14-5 ATS run as a dog since 2014). We lean with the dogs here. Saturday, October 27th MIDDLE TENNESSEE 34 Old Dominion 30. The Old Dominion/WKU game last week was maybe the craziest ending to a college football game in years. ODU got a TD with :09 left to tie it at 34-34 (this coming after a WKU TD just seconds earlier). WKU got a 15-yard run, took a timeout, then got a 15-yard roughing the passer play to set up a possible game-winning FG. WKU then would miss a 52-yard FG but ODU returned it 83 yards. The game would ve went to OT but WKU had a 15-yard face mask penalty on the return which meant ODU got one un-timed down and proceeded to kick a 26-yard FG on the final play to win it. Check it out on YouTube, it was wild. On the other side, Middle Tennessee had a misleading 21-13 win but Charlotte had 19-9 first down and 359-144 yard edges. MTSU QB Stockstill returning from injury was 14 of 20 for 111 yards but did have 3 TD s. Honestly we want to play against both teams but do lean with the OVER here (6-1 in ODU games this year). NC STATE 33 Syracuse 31. The early money has come in on NC State here. Last week, the Wold Pack were crushed at Clemson 41-7. Clemson had 24-16 first down and 471-297 yard edges and NC State did have 3 TO s. QB Ryan Finley came in averaging 324 pass ypg but he managed just 156 yards passing with two interceptions and a fumble. On the other side, Syracuse got an OT win over North Carolina. It was an even game as Syracuse had 25-24 first down and 546-500 yard edges. QB Tommy DeVito replaced a struggling Eric Dungey and threw for 3 TD s. The value has been lost with NC State. VIRGINIA 31 North Carolina 20. ACC s longest running rivalry. Virginia snapped a 7-game losing streak to NC last year in a 20-14 win. The Cavs continued their winning ways last week pulling off another upset this time at Duke 28-14. UVA had a 376-320 yard edge and were +2 TO s. The Cavaliers led 14-0 at halftime, but their cushion should have been larger. They failed to score on drives that reached the Duke 29, 16 and 34-yard lines. Meanwhile, NC lost in OT at Syracuse to drop to 1-5. We lean with the home team and question how much NC has left in the tank after back-to-back heart-breaking losses. However, do note that this is only the 2nd time in the last 11 years that Virgina has been more than a TD favorite in ACC play. AKRON 27 Central Michigan 21. Both teams come in off rivalry games. CMU fell to Western Michigan 35-10 while Akron won the Wagon Wheel over Kent St in OT 24-23 with the Golden Flashes missing an extra point. Now that Central Michigan has dropped to 1-7 and has no chance for a bowl, what is their motivation going forward? Meanwhile, Akron is 3-3 and still alive. Slight lean on the home team but we can t back them as a play considering Akron is just 2-10-1 ATS their last 13 home games. Duke 26 PITT 24. Pitt comes in off the bye after they put a big scare into unbeaten Notre Dame a few weeks ago. Meanwhile, Duke lost to Virginia 28-14 as UVA had a 376-320 yard edge and were +2 TO s. Duke lost starting left tackle Jaylen Miller late in the first quarter to a season-ending injury. We think Duke has the coaching edge and Pitt doesn t have much of a home-field at a current 8-15-1 ATS run. However, the Panthers have the situational edge. MARYLAND 36 Illinois 19. Last week both teams were crushed on the road in games that were impacted by weather. The Terps lost to Iowa 23-0 as the Hawkeyes had 22-7 first down and 310-115 yard edges including 224-68 on the ground. They were wind gusts up to 40mph during the game. Meanwhile, Illinois was trounced by Wisconsin 49-20 as there was a brief snowstorm in the first quarter. The Badgers were dominant with 31-13 first down and 545-300 yard edges and Illinois had 5 TO s. We re not a fan of either team but the Terps do have more to play for needing two wins to get to bowl eligibility. LOUISVILLE 33 Wake Forest 30. Louisville comes in fresh off a bye after a horrendous start to the season in which we have down-graded the Cardinals more than any other team in the country. Meanwhile, Wake Forest has also taken a clear step back this season. Last week the Demon Deacons lost at Florida St 38-17. Wake actually led 10-0 early and were stopped on downs in FSU territory that changed the momentum of the game. They are dealing with cluster injuries on defense but we can t trust the Louisville offense. Wisconsin 28 NORTHWESTERN 24. If you just watched these two teams last week, you probably wouldn t give Northwestern too much of a chance. Wisconsin hammered Illinois 49-20 as the Badgers had 31-13 first down and 545-300 yard edges. Meanwhile, Northwestern s nearly lost to a pathetic Rutgers team. Northwestern had 19-10 first down and 278-188 yard edges but Rutgers led 15-7 in the middle of the 3Q. Northwestern pass game led by QB Thorson vs a banged up Wisconsin pass defense is a keep match-up in our favor here. Finally, the underdog is on a 8-0 ATS run in Northwestern games.

Army 24 EASTERN MICHIGAN 23. Army plays their 2nd straight MAC opponent. Last week, the Black Knights got a thrilling 2OT win over Miami, OH. Miami Oh had a 406-347 yard edge and the RedHawks had a 329-0 passing yard edge but Army countered with a 347-77 rushing yard edge. Army was without starting QB Hopkins and QB Cam Thomas rushed for 137 yards in his first career start. Miami down 21-7 in 4Q out-gained Army 215-12 in the quarter to tie it. On the other side, Eastern Michigan is off back-to-back wins and now thinking possible bowl bid as their schedule really eases up after this game. We lean with Army here but can t back them as a play until QB Hopkins injury status clears (he is? here). Southern Miss 26 CHARLOTTE 20. Both teams were involved in misleading games last week. Southern Miss failed to cover as 15.5-point favorites in a 27-17 win over UTSA. The Golden Eagles dominated everywhere but the scoreboard. They had 24-9 first down and 487-174 yard edges but were -3 TO s. Southern Miss actually led 27-3 in the 3Q but UTSA got 14 points off TO s including a Pick 6. Meanwhile, Charlotte had 19-9 first down and 359-144 yard edges in a 21-13 loss to Middle Tennessee. QB Evan Shirreffs was 20 of 40 for 209 yards but had 2 INT s. We ll gladly take the hook here. Tcu 35 KANSAS 20. Until last season s blowout win, TCU had failed to cover in 5 straight meetings vs Kansas. The Horned Frogs are reeling right now losing 4 of their last 5 and failing to cover in 4 straight. Last week they only trailed Oklahoma 31-27 in the middle of the 3Q. However, the Sooners pulled away and had 26-12 first down and 536-275 yard edges. Meanwhile, Kansas lost its 43rd consecutive true Big 12 road game, dating back to Oct. 4, 2008. The Jayhawks were crushed 48-16 at Texas Tech. The early money has come in on Kansas here (TCU QB/WR injuries) but we think the Horned Frogs get a feel good win. We actually prefer the OVER more than anything. Massachusetts 35 CONNECTICUT 34. Both teams have had really disappointing seasons. UMass is now on a 1-6 ATS run after losing at home to Coastal Carolina as a favorite. QB Ford was banged up and is? here. Meanwhile, UConn might have played their best game of the season as they only lost by 8 at unbeaten South Florida. The game was tied 7-7 at halftime and UConn looked much improved after the bye and allowed just 38 points after allowing 54 ppg coming in. We lean with the home dog. Coastal Carolina 30 GEORGIA ST 28. After last week s win at Massachusetts, Coastal Carolina is thinking possible bowl. Meanwhile, Georgia St has extra time to prep off a Thursday night lost at Arkansas St (trailed 34-7 at halftime). Both teams are dealing with QB injuries. Coastal Carolina QB Kilton Anderson left last week s game with an ankle injury. He is questionable here. Meanwhile Georgia St QB Dan Ellington (leg) was injured in last week s game and is also? here. Slight lean on the home team. UTAH ST 40 New Mexico 20. Last week Utah St had one of their worst performances of the season. Their opponent Wyoming had 15-11 first down and 331-194 yard edges but Utah St managed a 24-16 win. The Aggies got a 3-yard TD drive after an interception and also got a 99-yard kickoff return TD. On the other side, New Mexico was destroyed by Fresno St. The early money has come in against Utah St here but we think there is more value with the UNDER. COLORADO 41 Oregon St 20. Last week, Colorado was playing without star WR Laviska Shenault (he is? here). They only trailed Washington 17-13 late 4Q until UW got a 26-yard TD pass on 4&5. Meanwhile, Oregon St was drilled by Cal 49-7 at home. They were hurt late in the first half when starting quarterback Conor Blount left the game with a concussion (he is? here). Too many points to lay here as this is Colorado s largest conference favorite role since 2002 when they were back in the Big 12. We lean with the dog. Uab 31 UTEP 17. While it hasn t shown in the win column yet, UTEP is much improved this year. In their last 4 games, they are actually +40 ypg and have only been out-scored by 6.5 ppg. Last week they only lost by 7 to Louisiana Tech. UTEP had a 356-315 yard edge as LT got an interception return TD early. Then LT got a 43-yard TD run on 4th Down with 6:32 left. Meanwhile, we cashed on these pages with UAB as they rallied from a 21-10 deficit to beat North Texas and really take control of the CUSA West Division. We lean with the home team but note UAB is on a 16-5-1 ATS run. BYU 28 Northern Illinois 19. Both teams come in off a bye. Prior to the bye, the Huskies rallied from a 21-9 4Q deficit to beat Ohio as QB Childers ran for 169 yards. Meanwhile, BYU hammered Hawaii as they got energized by frosh QB Zach Wilson who is the youngest starting QB (19 years, 2 months) in program history. Lean on the home team here and the OVER here. San Diego St 26 NEVADA 24. Last week, the Aztecs had their second straight less than impressive win as they only beat lowly San Jose St by 3 as 4-TD favorites. San Jose St actually had 18-16 first down and 295-293 yard edges. On the other side, we easily cashed with Nevada on these pages as they hammered Hawaii 40-22 as FG underdogs. Nevada won despite being -3 in TO s as they had 25-16 first down and 481-371 yard edges. We thought we were going to like the home dog here but this number came pretty short. 2H Stanford 31 Washington St 24. Last week, we cashed with Stanford on these pages as they beat Arizona St 20-13 to snap a 2-game losing streak. On the other side, Washington St is off one of the biggest wins in school history as they took care of Oregon 34-20. We think Washington St will be in letdown mode here. The Cougs have two good home wins: Utah and Oregon. But their non-conference schedule featured Wyoming, San Jose St and Eastern Washington and the only legit road team, they played was USC and that s Wazzu s only loss. Clearly, Stanford is superior to the Trojans, and Stanford has an underrated home field edge. They are 59-9 SU/40-28 ATS the last 11 years and are coming off rare home loss. We like the Trees. USC 27 Arizona St 26. We cashed against both of these teams on these pages last week. Arizona St has extra time to prep after a Thursday night home loss to Stanford. The Sun Devils have 4 losses this year but all of them are by 7 points. Last week they had a 437-358 yard edge but were -3 TO s. Meanwhile, USC was dominated much more than the final indicated at Utah last week, the Utes had 27-10 first down and 541-205 yard edges. USC QB JT Daniels was 6 of 16 for 89 yards with 2 INT s before being replaced by Matt Fink. Daniels is? this week with a head injury and Fink is out. While USC is 19-0 SU at home under Clay Helton, we think they are in trouble here. Washington 30 CALIFORNIA 19. Generally speaking, we think Cal is underrated. Coming into the Oregon St game, the Bears were TO prone the previous 3 weeks with 14 of them. They had no problems moving the ball but made a QB change last week and played a clean game vs Oregon St. The result: a 49-7 beat down. Meanwhile Washington comes in off a 27-13 win over Colorado last week as they got a late TD for breathing room. The Huskies get back their leading rusher Myles Gaskin who missed last week. TO s again will be the difference here for Cal. One TO or less, they cover, 2 or more they get blown out. We lean OVER. Georgia 26 Florida 23. @Jacksonville, FL. This is the game of the week with both teams coming in off a bye in what will likely decide the SEC East Championship. Georgia has only played one legit team this year (LSU) and failed miserably. Do we really know how good they are? The Bulldogs also got a misleading 2-TD win at Missouri in their only other game against a Top 30 team. Meanwhile, Florida beat LSU, won at Mississippi St and has the better resume. Lean on Florida but we prefer the UNDER. Unlv 30 SAN JOSE ST 29. Last week both teams covered in closed losses. UNLV lost at home to Air Force but QB Gilliam was 26 of 38 for 261 yards and 3 TD s and is starting to settle in with Rodgers out. Meanwhile, San Jose St nearly pulled off one of the biggest upsets of the season (were 4 TD dogs) as they had 18-16 first down and 295-293 yard edges over San Diego St in a 3-point loss This is the first time the Spartans have been favored over a FBS opponent since the end of the 2016 season. We lean with UNLV as we re fading the early money on San Jose St. TULSA 27 Tulane 26. Both teams are reeling a bit here. We cashed going against Tulsa last week on these pages as they were shut out by Arkansas 23-0. Meanwhile, Tulane blew a 23-14 4Q deficit as their bowl hopes are now on life support. Tulane did have a 168-36 rushing yard edge but had 3 TO s. We re riding the Wave here with a small lean. 3H Texas A&M 24 MISSISSIPPI ST 21. We feel A&M is one of the most underrated teams in the country. We have them No. 11 in our power ratings (only losses to No. 1 Alabama and No. 2 Clemson). We also think head coach Jimbo Fisher is underrated in the betting markets. WE think he s a Top 5 coach (he s certainly getting paid like one) and while a lot of other 1st-year coaches are struggling, he s 6-1 ATS. This is a good spot for A&M off a bye catching a Mississippi St team off a physical loss at LSU. The A&M defense is allowing just 78 rushing ypg and will make Miss St one-dimensional here. The Bulldogs passing game hasn t been a good look considering QB Fitzgerald just threw 4 INT s last week. Gig Em! MISSOURI 30 Kentucky 24. Both teams come in off wins last week and this is an important game in the SEC East especially for Kentucky who still only has one loss. Last week the Wildcats escaped with a 14-7 win over Vanderbilt. Kentucky only had a 298-284 yard edge but controlled the line of scrimmage with a 280-68 rush yard advantage. RB Benny Snell ran for 169 yards but the Wildcats QB Wilson only had 18 yards passing. On the other side, Missouri cruised over Memphis. QB Drew Lock again dominated over a Group of 5 team going 23 of 29 for 350 yards and 4 TD s. In his career he has 64 TD s, 9 INT s vs FCS/Group of 5 teams. However, vs Power 5 Bowl teams he has just 21 TD s and 28 INT s. Whoever dictates tempo will win here. Correlated parlay: if you like Missouri, you like OVER. If you like Kentucky, you like UNDER. We lean with the Cats. SOUTH CAROLINA 31 Tennessee 21. We like the situational spot here for South Carolina fresh off a bye while Tennessee is off a physical game vs Alabama in which they were out-classed from start to finish. This number seems a bit short. We like the Gamecocks. Texas 30 OKLAHOMA ST 28. Both teams come in off byes. We think Texas is overrated. They are currently No. 6 in the AP Poll but we have Texas No. 15 in our power ratings. Their head coach Tom Herman is great as a dog but Herman and Texas are not good front-runners. Herman is 4-14 ATS in his last 18 games as a favorite. Texas QB Ehlinger is banged up (sprained shoulder vs Baylor, missed most of game) and is questionable here (the line indicates he is more likely probable). While Oklahoma St has been a clear disappointment this season, we lean with them here. NORTH TEXAS 41 Rice 13. At the current 30-point spread, this is the largest favorite role ever for the Mean Green over an FBS opponent. Last week we cashed going against North Texas in their 29-21 loss at UAB. That likely ends their chances of getting back to the CUSA Championship game. On the other side, Rice could be the worst team in the country now that QB Stankavage is out. Last week, his replacements were a combined 12 of 21 for 115 yards and 3 INT s Total s players note that the UNDER is a perfect 7-0 in North Texas games this year. 4

brad powers ats stat of the week: Florida State is a 17-point home underdog to No. 2 Clemson this week. Since 1980, the only other time the Seminoles were double-digit home underdogs came in 2008 when they were 16-point underdogs to No. 1 Florida. HOUSTON 41 South Florida 31. We think USF is the most overrated team in the country. They have played a very soft schedule and last week struggled with a bottom 5 team in the country in Connecticut. They will get exposed here vs a Houston team that was only on the field for only 17:27 last week vs Navy but still scored 570 yards and 49 points. 2H Iowa (plus the points) PENN ST 27 Iowa 26. Two teams heading in opposite directions. Penn St is off a misleading win over Indiana last week (-137 yards). They got a long kickoff return that gave them momentum. Penn St s defense was on the field for 100 plays last week and now face a physical Iowa team. On the other side, Iowa is rolling along after a 23-0 win over Maryland. The Hawkeyes have the No. 3 total defense and No. 5 scoring defense in the country. They also have revenge for losing on the final play to Penn St last year. MICHIGAN ST 27 Purdue 24. Obviously Purdue is coming off one of their biggest wins in school history as they took down No. 2 Ohio St last week 49-20. OSU had 31-24 first down and 546-539 yard edges but had just 2 FG s on 5 trips to the red zone. Purdue QB Blough was 25 for 43 for 378 yards and 3 TD s. Their has to be a letdown here. Meanwhile, Sparty was dominated much worse than the final against Big Brother Michigan last week. The injuries continue to pile up for MSU as now star WR Davis is out for the year. We ve went from liking Michigan St to leaning with them. Florida International 30 WESTERN KENTUCKY 24. WKU is off a devastating loss at home to Old Dominion last week in one of the craziest finishes in CFB history (see ODU write-up on page 3). Meanwhile, FIU is just one win away from bowl eligibility after controlling Rice last week. We lean with FIU. Cincinnati 30 SMU 24. We like the Ponies here. SMU is an improved team that has played a tough schedule. Last week they got a nice road upset win over Tulane as they rallied from a 23-14 4Q deficit. Meanwhile, Cincinnati had a tough loss in OT at Temple as they saw their unbeaten season come to an end. Cincy missed 3 FG s in the game and we re wondering if there is some Bubble Burst this week on their 2nd consecutive road trip. 2H ARKANSAS 28 Vanderbilt 25. Last week Arkansas was going to be our 5H selection but their QB Ty Storey was a late scratch on Friday. The Hogs still got a comfortable 23-0 win with 20-15 first down and 327-260 yard edges. Arkansas frosh Connor Noland got his first career start and was 10 of 16 for 124 yards with a 1-1 ratio. It does look like Ty Storey will be back for this one. Meanwhile, Vanderbilt got a cover at Kentucky in a 7-point loss but were dominated at the line of scrimmage. The Hogs are playing a 4th straight home game here while Vandy is on back-to-back road games and is an SEC road favorite for the first time since 2012. Wrong team favored. OKLAHOMA 43 Kansas St 20. The Wildcats come in off a bye and head coach Bill Snyder is 11-1 ATS off a bye in the regular season. Also in their last 46 games as an underdog, Kansas St is 32-14 ATS (70%). On the other side, Oklahoma got a 52-27 win at TCU as the Sooners scored the game s final 21 points. The defense under DC McNeill did look like they made some solid halftime adjustments. Slightest of leans on K-St here. Updated College Football Power Ratings for Week 9 Rank Team Pre 10/24 1 Alabama 96.80 103.80 2 Clemson 96.04 95.54 3 Michigan 90.01 93.01 4 Georgia 93.18 92.18 5 Ohio State 94.53 90.03 6 Oklahoma 91.33 89.83 7 Notre Dame 87.75 87.75 8 LSU 82.24 87.74 9 Washington 90.26 86.76 10 Penn State 88.57 86.07 11 Texas A&M 81.73 84.23 12 Florida 81.18 83.68 13 Utah 81.16 83.66 14 Iowa 77.70 83.20 15 Texas 83.93 82.93 16 Mississippi State 85.77 82.27 17 Wisconsin 90.14 81.64 18 Missouri 80.05 81.55 19 West Virginia 79.44 81.44 20 Stanford 86.18 81.18 21 UCF 78.16 81.16 22 Miami (FL) 85.86 80.86 23 Auburn 90.27 80.77 24 Oregon 81.48 80.48 25 Iowa State 78.31 80.31 26 Washington State 72.19 80.19 27 Purdue 75.25 79.75 28 Texas Tech 75.56 79.56 29 Michigan State 87.55 79.55 30 NC State 77.90 78.90 31 Kentucky 71.27 78.77 32 TCU 82.01 78.01 33 South Carolina 80.47 77.97 Rank Team Pre 10/24 34 USC 84.38 77.88 35 Boston College 79.57 77.57 36 Florida State 84.04 77.54 37 Oklahoma State 81.99 77.49 38 Boise State 80.43 77.43 39 Virginia Tech 80.28 77.28 40 Fresno State 72.57 77.07 41 Georgia Tech 78.86 76.86 42 Virginia 66.53 76.53 43 Duke 77.90 75.90 44 Appalachian State 65.65 75.65 45 Utah State 66.88 75.38 46 Maryland 70.54 75.04 47 Syracuse 69.42 74.92 48 Arizona State 72.77 74.77 49 Colorado 69.52 74.52 50 Memphis 76.26 74.26 51 Houston 71.76 73.26 52 Northwestern 77.89 72.89 53 Ole Miss 74.30 72.80 54 Nebraska 74.17 72.67 55 Indiana 72.63 72.13 56 Pittsburgh 74.93 71.93 57 California 75.81 71.81 58 Kansas State 76.46 71.46 59 Baylor 74.94 71.44 60 Tennessee 70.55 71.05 61 San Diego State 72.49 70.49 62 Temple 67.98 70.48 63 Vanderbilt 67.74 70.24 64 BYU 65.88 69.88 65 Minnesota 70.83 69.83 66 Cincinnati 59.73 69.73 Rank Team Pre 10/24 67 USF 69.65 69.65 68 Wake Forest 76.55 69.55 69 UCLA 73.53 69.53 70 Florida Atlantic 76.83 68.83 71 Army 66.23 68.73 72 Arizona 78.38 68.38 73 North Texas 63.26 67.76 74 North Carolina 71.19 67.69 75 Arkansas 73.15 67.65 76 Buffalo 62.12 67.62 77 Marshall 68.90 66.90 78 Louisville 79.18 66.18 79 UAB 61.07 66.07 80 Northern Illinois 67.55 66.05 81 Air Force 61.10 65.60 82 Middle Tennessee 67.58 65.58 83 Louisiana Tech 66.45 65.45 84 Eastern Michigan 60.29 65.29 85 Western Michigan 63.47 64.97 86 Ohio 69.61 64.61 87 Miami (OH) 63.53 64.53 88 Tulane 62.69 63.69 89 Nevada 61.62 63.62 90 Arkansas State 66.96 63.46 91 Troy 64.82 63.32 92 Toledo 68.34 62.84 93 FIU 55.74 62.24 94 Tulsa 60.24 61.74 95 Georgia Southern 58.22 61.72 96 Navy 69.00 61.00 97 SMU 62.70 60.70 98 Kansas 60.47 60.47 99 Wyoming 65.38 60.38 5 Arkansas St 38 UL-LAFAYETTE 33. Arkansas St finally got their offense going last week in a win over Georgia St. The Red Wolves had a 530-422 yard edge and led 34-7 at halftime. QB Hansen (5 total TD s) set a school record with his 68th career TD pass. On the other side, ULL had a solid cover at Appalachian St in a 10-point loss. We lean with the road team. TEXAS ST 28 New Mexico St 27. Last week Texas St got a cover at ULM but ULM had a 353-242 yard edge and won despite being -2 TO s that directly led to 14 Texas St points. On the other side, New Mexico St had a 48-31 loss to Georgia Southern, However, the first downs were even and Georgia Southern only had a 466-443 yard edge. The Eagles were +3 in TO s and the game was tied 17-17 late 2Q. Slight lean on the dog. 3H IOWA ST 33 Texas Tech 24. Iowa St is really bad match-up for Texas Tech. The Cylcones under head coach Matt Campbell has beat the closing line by a combined 85 points vs Texas Tech the last two years. The Iowa St defense (bend but don t break, drops many in coverage, forces you to have long drives) has excelled vs the pass-happy Texas Tech offense. Texas Tech head coach Kliff Kingsbury learned his offense under Dana Holgorsen whose West Virginia team was just stifled vs Iowa St two weeks ago only gaining 152 yards! The Cyclones come in fresh off a bye, respectable losses at Iowa, Oklahoma, at TCU and now have a healthy RB Montgomery to go along with QB Brock Purdy (7 TD passes last 2 games and 123 rush yards). Boise St 31 AIR FORCE 23. Prior to last year, Boise St had failed to cover in 5 straight meetings vs Air Force. Last week s 56-28 win (-23.5) and cover over Colorado St was misleading. Colorado St had a 489-472 yard edge but were -3 TO s. Boise St got a 74-yard punt return TD and a 44-yard kickoff return TD. On the other side, Air Force got a road win at UNLV. AF had 26-23 first down and 572-400 yard edges including 355-139 on the ground. AF QB Sanders ran for 173 yards and 3 TD s. We have a slight lean on the home team. Clemson 33 FLORIDA ST 19. The Seminoles are in disrespected underdog role here and they did played well vs Miami earlier this year in that same role as well as last year at Clemson. Right now at the current line, this is the largest home underdog role in modern history for Florida St. The Noles defense is underrated. No. 8 in rush D and Clemson struggled running last week. The big question mark here is the FSU offensive line (No. 127 in TFL s allowed) vs Clemson defensive line. We still lean with the Noles. Notre Dame 41 Navy 17. @San Diego, CA. The Navy defense is really struggling vs the pass (allowing 66% completions) and is now taking on ultra-accurate ND QB Ian Book (75% completions). Last week, Houston was on the field for only 17:27 but scored 570 yards and 49 points vs Navy. Navy QB Malcolm Perry injured his leg and missed most of the second half last week vs Houston. He is? here. However, ND is just 37-53-2 (41%) ATS since 1997 as a double-digit favorite. Give us the OVER here. Oregon 37 ARIZONA 27. Oregon comes in off a loss to Washington St which pretty much ended their playoff hopes. On the other side, Arizona got the cover at UCLA last week as 9-point underdogs but lost 31-30. The Wildcats could have won the game as they had a 520-460 yard edge including 289-153 on the ground but had 3 TO s. QB Tate is? here for Arizona. Pass. FRESNO ST 40 Hawaii 17. After last week s dominating 38-7 win over New Mexico, where Fresno had 29-18 first down and 433-295 yard edges, the Bulldogs are now 16-3-2 ATS under head coach Jeff Tedford. Meanwhile, we cashed going against Hawaii in their blowout home loss to Nevada. How much does Hawaii have left in the tank playing their 10th straight week? Biggest Movers Since Preseason Rank Team Pre 10/24 Team Points 100 Southern Miss 58.35 60.35 Virginia +10 101 Illinois 63.73 60.23 102 Hawaii 48.33 58.33 Cincinnati +10 103 UL-Lafayette 51.29 57.29 Appalachian St +10 104 Oregon State 59.11 56.61 Hawaii +10 105 Colorado State 60.55 56.55 Utah St +8.5 106 Akron 55.98 56.48 Washington St +8.0 107 New Mexico 55.41 56.41 108 Ball State 51.27 56.27 Kentucky +7.5 109 Western Kentucky 55.14 55.14 Alabama +7.0 110 Central Michigan 56.40 54.40 FIU +6.5 111 Old Dominion 57.14 54.14 Liberty +6.0 112 UL-Monroe 58.48 53.98 UL-Lafayette +6.0 113 Rutgers 63.45 53.95 114 Coastal Carolina 51.35 53.85 UNLV -6.0 115 Liberty 47.65 53.65 Bowling Green -6.0 115 UNLV 59.65 53.65 Connecticut -6.5 117 Massachusetts 59.87 53.37 USC -6.5 118 East Carolina 53.84 52.84 Florida St -6.5 119 Charlotte 50.83 52.33 120 Kent State 48.22 51.72 UMass -6.5 121 Georgia State 53.10 51.60 Wake Forest -7.0 122 UTSA 55.05 51.55 Florida Atl -8.0 123 Bowling Green 55.68 49.68 Michigan St -8.0 124 San Jose State 48.25 48.75 Navy -8.0 125 South Alabama 52.48 48.48 126 Texas State 48.82 47.32 Wisconsin -8.5 127 New Mexico State 56.14 47.14 New Mex St -9.0 128 UTEP 45.98 45.98 Rutgers -9.5 129 Connecticut 52.42 45.92 Auburn -9.5 130 Rice 49.46 43.96 Arizona -10 Louisville -13

Week 9 Computer Projected Lines for Every CFB Game For the past couple of seasons we have posted computer projected lines at pregame.com. Games where there was of difference of more than 3 points saw our computer lines actually beat the Vegas line at a 155-129-7 (55%) clip the last two years. That s pretty solid and actually better than our own handicapping (much to our dismay). So far this year s plays are 36-33-1. Keep in mind, these computer lines don t take into consideration off-the-field factors like revenge or flat spots. They are basically a power-rating number difference between the two teams that also takes into consideration the home field advantage. Of the 10 games where our computer is off more than 3 points compared to the Vegas line (highlighted), our favorite team this week to back would be Stanford -3. The Comp column is the computer projected line and the Diff column is the difference between the Vegas line and the Computer line. + numbers in the difference column say back the underdog. - numbers in the difference column say back the favorite. Let us know if you have questions. Thursday, October 25th Line Comp Diff 105 Toledo 106 Western Michigan -6.5-5.6 +0.9 107 Ball State 108 Ohio -10.5-12.3-1.8 109 Appalachian St 110 Georgia Southern +9.5 +10.4-0.4 111 Georgia Tech 112 Virginia Tech -3-4.9-1.9 113 Baylor 114 West Virginia -14-14.3-0.3 Friday, October 26th Line Comp Diff 115 Miami Florida 116 Boston College +3.5-0.2 +3.7 117 Indiana 118 Minnesota +2.5-1.2 +3.7 119 Utah 120 UCLA +10.5 +10.1 +0.4 121 Wyoming 122 Colorado State -2 +0.1 +2.1 215 Louisiana Tech 216 Florida Atlantic -3.5-6.1-2.6 Saturday, October 27th Line Comp Diff 123 Middle Tennessee 124 Old Dominion +4 +7.9-3.9 125 NC State 126 Syracuse +2.5 +0.7 +1.8 127 North Carolina 128 Virginia -9-12.1-3.1 129 Central Michigan 130 Akron -4.5-4.8-0.3 133 Duke 134 Pittsburgh +2.5 +0.2 +2.3 135 Illinois 136 Maryland -18-17.8 +0.2 137 Wake Forest 138 Louisville -2.5-1.1 +1.4 139 Wisconsin 140 Northwestern +7 +5.3 +1.7 141 Army 142 Eastern Michigan -2 +0.9 +2.9 143 Southern Miss 144 Charlotte +7.5 +5.8 +1.7 145 TCU 146 Kansas +13.5 +14.8-1.3 147 Massachusetts 148 Connecticut +4.5 +4.7-0.2 149 Coastal Carolina 150 Georgia State +3.5-0.3 +3.8 151 New Mexico 152 Utah State -20.5-23.0-2.5 153 Oregon State 154 Colorado -24-21.7 +2.3 155 UAB 156 UTEP +16 +17.6-1.6 157 Northern Illinois 158 BYU -7-8.3-1.3 Saturday, October 27th Line Comp Diff 159 San Diego State 160 Nevada +2.5 +3.4-0.9 161 Washington State 162 Stanford -3-6.0-3.0 163 Arizona State 164 USC -6.5-8.1-1.6 165 Washington 166 California +11.5 +11.2 +0.3 167 Georgia 168 Florida +6.5 +8.5-2.0 169 UNLV 170 San Jose State -2.5 +2.2 +4.7 171 Tulane 172 Tulsa -2.5-1.3 +1.2 173 Texas A&M 174 Mississippi State -2.5-2.3 +0.2 175 Kentucky 176 Missouri -7-6.5 +0.5 177 Tennessee 178 South Carolina -7.5-11.2-3.7 179 Texas 180 Oklahoma State +3.5 +0.9 +2.6 181 Rice 182 North Texas -30-27.3 +2.7 183 South Florida 184 Houston -7.5-7.6-0.1 185 Iowa 186 Penn State -6.5-7.9-1.4 187 Purdue 188 Michigan State -2.5-4.3-1.8 189 Florida International 190 Western Kentucky +3.5 +2.9 +0.6 191 Cincinnati 192 SMU +10 +6.0 +4.0 193 Vanderbilt 194 Arkansas +1.5-1.4 +2.9 195 Kansas State 196 Oklahoma -24.5-23.6 +0.9 197 Arkansas State 198 UL - Lafayette +3 +3.2-0.2 199 New Mexico State 200 Texas State -3-2.7 +0.3 201 Texas Tech 202 Iowa State -3.5-4.3-0.8 203 Boise State 204 Air Force +9.5 +7.6 +1.9 205 Clemson 206 Florida State +17 +13.3 +3.7 207 Navy 208 Notre Dame -23.5-25.8-2.3 209 Oregon 210 Arizona +9.5 +8.4 +1.1 211 Hawaii 212 Fresno State -24.5-22.5 +2.0 6 Top 20 CFB ATS Trends for Week 9 1. While this is only their 5th year of playing at the FBS level, Georgia Southern is in their largest home underdog role ever this week. The Eagles are 8.5-point underdogs to Appalachian St. 2. Louisiana Tech head coach Skip Holtz is 14-5 ATS as a dog since 2014. 3. Virginia is laying 9 points to North Carolina. It s only the 2nd time in the last 11 years that Virgina has been more than a TD favorite in ACC play. 4. Akron is just 2-10-1 ATS their last 13 home games. This week the Zips are 4.5-point home favorites vs Central Michigan. 5. The underdog is on a 8-0 ATS run in Northwestern games. This week the Wildcats are 6.5-point underdogs to Wisconsin. 6. Wisconsin is on a 9-1 ATS run as a road favorite since 2015. 7. Colorado is a 24-point favorite to Oregon St this week. That s the largest conference favorite role for the Buffaloes since 2002 when they were back in the Big 12. 8. UAB is on a 16-5-1 ATS run since late 2014 under head coach Bill Clark. 9. USC is now 5-15 ATS their last 20 games but have won 19 straight home games under head coach Clay Helton. This week the Trojans are 6.5-point favorites vs Arizona St. 10. This week San Jose St is a 2.5-point favorite over UNLV. That s the first time the Spartans have been favored over a FBS opponent since the end of the 2016 season. 11. Tom Herman coached teams are now on a 4-14 ATS run as a favorite. This week Texas is a 3-point road favorite at Oklahoma St. 12. North Texas is a 30-point favorite over Rice this week. That s the largest favorite role ever for the Mean Green over an FBS opponent. 13. The UNDER is a perfect 7-0 in North Texas games this year. This week s total is 55 vs Rice. 14. Purdue is on a 8-2 ATS run as a dog under head coach Jeff Brohm. This week the Boilers are 2.5-point dogs at Michigan St. 15. Kansas St head coach Bill Snyder is on a 11-1 ATS run off a bye in the regular season. This week the Wildcats are 23.5-point dogs at Oklahoma. 16. In their last 46 games as an underdog, Kansas St is 32-14 ATS (70%). 17. Boise St is on a 38-18 ATS run as a road favorite the last 11 years. This week they are 9-point favorites at Air Force. 18. Florida State is a 17-point home underdog to No. 2 Clemson this week. Since 1980, the only other time the Seminoles were double-digit home underdogs came in 2008 when they were 16-point underdogs to No. 1 Florida (FSU lost 45-15). 19. Since Lou Holtz left in 1996, Notre Dame is just 37-53-2 ATS (41%) as a double-digit favorite. This week the Irish are 24-point favorites vs Navy. 20. Fresno St is 16-3-2 ATS under head coach Jeff Tedford. This week the Bulldogs are 24.5-point home favorites hosting Hawaii.