PEGAS Gas Trading Update
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1 PEGAS Gas Trading Update Attila Török, Tobias Lucht Leipzig, 28 June 2018
2 EEX Group Markets Power Global Commodities Freight, Oil, Metals, Biomass - Woodpellets Natural Gas Agricultural Markets Potatoes, Dairy Products Environmental Markets Emission Allowances, Registry Services Guarantees of Origin & C2E 2
3 Agenda 1/ Facts & Figures 2/ Spot & Derivatives Updates 3/ Project Pipeline 3
4 2017 Euro Wholesale Developments 2.675,8 TWh (+0,4%) ,4 TWh (-4,0 %) 4
5 PEGAS Trading Platform
6 Spot & Futures Details Spot Leading European platform TSOs + Storage operator WithinDay increase (20% vs 50% DA) Market shares ranging 30-80% TTF growing the most 826 TWh Futures Monthly +/-80 TWh on screen Germany & France losing attention, others grow TTF dominance but still lacking market share (5%) 1,152 TWh 6
7 Derivatives Key Drivers T7 migration Link software, mapping, trader habits Financial industry, more maturities, options, power link Regulation EEX one-stop-shop EMIR, REMIT, MiFID II/ MiFIR reporting OTF order books Attract & incentivize members Incentive schemes, Market Making, Location spreads OTC Registration STP offering Options launch 7
8 OTC Registration , All hubs 2018: TTF, GPL, PSV prominent Jun 2018: almost 10% OTC registered 8
9 PEGAS Options offering PEGAS TTF Gas Options Launch Date March, 13 th 2018 Trade Registration Cheaper than ICE Options contracts offered Via OTC registration only (esp. STP) Fees each, trading + clearing exercise for free, Delta hedge for free - The next 6 month - The next 5 Quarters - The next 4 Seasons - The next 2 Calendars Tradable Option Series / Strike prices Awareness! Target members Transactions on Quarter, Season and Calendar Option Contracts will be stripped into consecutive individual Month Option Contracts for clearing. +/-20 strike prices above & below underlying price (0.5 interval) Brokers push for ECC clearing via STP, relevant members informed Group of c20 companies active, 10 PEGAS ready 9
10 Volumes in TWh Number of active futures member PEGAS Members support TTF Futures Member activity inside futures market TTF PEGAS trading TTF Number of active PEGAS TTF
11 PEGAS Spreads Distribution (2018) TTF NCG GPL PEG Nord GPL PSV PSV CEGH ETF 11
12 Spot Strategy Attract new members Full product range 24/7 coverage Location spreads Excellence in Physical Settlement Secure ECC processing Implement TSO needs Balancing products 12
13 Local TSOs Market Share on Within-Day (2018) NCG GPL PEG Nord TRS PEG Nord TRS ZTP ETF 13
14 Volumes in TWh Number of active spot member PEGAS Members support TTF Spot Member activity inside spot market TTF PEGAS trading TTF 250 Number of active PEGAS TTF
15 Volumes in TWh PEGAS market share in % Exchange traded TTF spot volumes Competition between gas exchanges inside spot market TTF ICE TTF TTF PEGAS TTF 75% 83% 96% 98% 99% 99% 100% 80% 60% % 40% 50 26% 20% 0 0% 0% Balancing in TTF market area : Dutch TSO Gasunie Transport Services still use ICE Endex 15
16 Hub Market Updates 1/2 Dutch TSO starts using PEGAS GTS for off-line allocations + linepack flexibility services NGP Neutral Gas Price publication (1 st July 2018) Zone mergers Germany, April 2022 latest UPDATE 28/6/18: Merger planned for 1st October 2021 France, 1 st November 2018 Two French Zones will merge into TRF Trading Region France ( PEG ) PEG Nord Futures recycle into PEG one month before merger, TRS delisting No position transfer required, ECC no PEG shipper code change Belgian market growth Reaching significant levels on spot (40 TWh, +60% Market share) 16
17 Hub Market Updates 2/2 Italy growing Members: 51 registered, 27 active, 60 TWh since launch Market makers, including PSV/TTF PSV Fin futures delisting Nordic news DK/Sweden joint balancing zone: current market consultation, go live 1 st April 2019 Baltic Pipe project: investment decision end of 2018, project October 2019, operational October 2022 North Sea Tyra platform maintenance rebuilding October October 2022, reduced production will increase DK dependency on GER supply price impact NBP rising Spot receiving attention by traders, 30 active, number of trades picking up CEGH/ Czech Hubs 17
18 PEGAS CEGH Market Developments AT & CZ Attila Török, Leipzig, 28/06/2016
19 TWh TWh CEGH Volume Development 2017 CEGH VTP: 1-12 / 2017: TWh (y-t-y: +16.7%) PEGAS CEGH Gas Market*: 1-12 / 2017: TWh (y-t-y: %) CEGH VTP Market PEGAS CEGH Market AT Jan - Dec 2016 Jan - Dec Jan - Dec 2016 Jan - Dec 2017 *up to Nov 2016: CEGH Gas Exchange of Wiener Boerse 19
20 TWH TWh CEGH Volume Development CEGH VTP: 1-5 / 2018: TWh (y-t-y: +3.4%) PEGAS CEGH Gas Market: 1-5 / 2018: TWh (y-t-y: %) CEGH VTP Market PEGAS CEGH Market AT Jan - May 2017 Jan - May Jan - May 2017 Jan - May
21 PEGAS and CEGH Locational Spread products TTF GASPOOL NCG CZ VTP PSV 21
22 PEGAS CEGH Czech Market: Launch: Futures Market: 9 December 2013 Spot Market: 4 May 2015 Members: 26 members registered Traded Volume: 01 12/2016: TWh 01 12/2017: 4.341TWh (+39%) 01 05/2017: TWh 01 05/2018: TWh (+109%) 22
23 TWh PEGAS CEGH Czech Market 2018: Spot and Future Increase on YtY basis: +109% 3 Total Volume Development Futures +170 % Spot +75 % 0 Jan - May 2017 Jan - May 2018 Spot Market Futures Market 23
24 TWh PEGAS CEGH Austrian Gas Market *: Yearly Trading Volume since Futures Market Spot Market
25 TWh PEGAS CEGH Austria: Spot and Future Growth vs Spot + 50% Futures + 165% Spot Market Futures Market 25
26 TWh Monthly Trading Volume since Dec Day ahead & Wkend Within day Futures Market All-time high New Austrian Balancing System Launch additional SM contracts Launch additional FM contracts Launch PEGAS CEGH Markets Launch FM Implementation Trayport GV ETS 26
27 NUMBER OF MEMBERS Development of the Members since 2013 Spot Market Futures Market Total Spot active Spot passive
28 17 th CEGH Feedback Workshop Save the Date: 17th CEGH Feedback Workshop! 28 November 2018, Porgy & Bess Jazzclub, Vienna 28
29 PEGAS Roadmap Recent Upcoming Spot Congestion Management Products Balancing robots New indices Spot French Zone Merger Prompt TAS Trading Limits Futures OTC STP T7 trading system Options MIFID II Compliance Futures D-2 close out LNG Strip clearing T7 enhancements New Markets Italy (2015) Austria (2016) Denmark (2016) Czech Republic (2017) New Markets Spain (~Q4 2018) Several others in monitoring 29
30 PEGAS Initiatives LNG Products LNG cash settled futures in Q Basis: average of the daily Platt s Japan Korea Marker US$ denominated STP registration only Q + S + C cleared in monthly strips Membership package? Settlement procedure? Trading calendar? Fee offering? Indexation? 30
31 PEGAS Initiatives PVB Spanish Market 24/7 Spot markets Within-Day Day-Ahead Weekend Saturday Sunday Individual Days Futures (Regulated Markets)* Month +4 Quarters +4 Seasons +3 Calendars +2 *precise product offerings dependent on market area, same maturities are listed on PEGAS OTF market segment Target Go-live: Q1 2019* PVB ES Time Spreads PVB/TTF + PVB/PEG OTC (STP) *Pending regulatory and technical approval 31
32 Thank you
Central European Gas Hub
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