Except For Lease Rates It s A Game Of Dwindling Numbers
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1 QUARTER IN REVIEW 1ST QUARTER 216 LEE & ASSOCIATES - IRVINE / NEWPORT BEACH / ORANGE INDUSTRIAL MARKET REPORT Except For Lease s It s A Game Of Dwindling Numbers Continued strong demand for industrial space has reduced the already low inventory of vacant property by 25% over the last four quarters. Orange County s industrial market has been among the nation s tightest before and since the recession. Average asking rents jumped 12% year-over-year for the largest annual gain since 21 and rent increases in some renewals are topping 5%. But for most companies the big issue is availability and a dwindling number of choices. Statistically, 98 of every 1 Orange County buildings are occupied. Lee & Associates surveys 8,328 buildings larger than 1, sq. ft. for a total inventory of 278 million sq. ft. This computes to an average building size of approximately 33,4 sq. ft. With a countywide vacancy of 7.9 million sq. ft. this translates to roughly 23 empty buildings, an increasing share of which is functionally handicapped or obsolete. Of course, availability in different sizes varies widely. Generally, larger buildings are in shortest supply. The Airport and North County submarkets particularly are strained. Net absorption of Airport-area properties totaled 246,13 sq. ft. in. It was the fourth straight quarterly gain in the county s largest submarket and brought the vacancy rate to 2.7%, down 3 basis points from the prior quarter. Using the average building-size math for 5,737 Airport-area properties shows an equivalent of 92 vacant buildings that are ready for occupancy, down 31% year over year. The North County submarket with million sq. ft. is even tighter. Following s net absorption of 27,66 sq. ft., the vacancy rate settled at 2.2%, off 2 basis points from the prior quarter and 1 basis points year over year. Using the same math and excluding obsolete space shows that of North County s 3,226 buildings only 57 are vacant versus about 92 one year ago. Continuing the point with the West County and South County submarkets reveals even fewer choices for companies based there. In the 44.7-million-sq.-ft. West County submarket, there were 369,899 sq. ft. that went back on the market in, driving up the vacancy rate up 5 basis points to 3.5%. Based on the average building size in West County this computes to about 6 vacant functional buildings. Although it posted a modest 2, sq. ft. gain in absorption, South County s vacancy rate was unchanged in at 3.5%, which is down 1 basis points from the same period last year. Using similar math shows a submarket with an equivalent of 3 buildings of suitable space. MARKET OVERVIEW (Change from last quarter) AVAILABILITY - 4.6% Down from 5.1% last quarter VACANCY - 2.9% Up from 2.7% last quarter AVAILABILITY RATE VS VACANCY RATE 18.% 15.% 12.% 9.% ABSORPTION - 13,25 SQ. FT. Down from 823,977 SF last quarter AVERAGE LEASE RATE - $.82 NNN Up from $.79 last quarter *All numbers are based on industrial buildings 1, sq. ft. and larger. Availability Vacancy The Orange County Industrial Market Report is published quarterly by the Lee & Associates Irvine, Newport Beach and Orange offices. C 216 Lee & Associates, Inc
2 216 NUMBER OF LEASES EXECUTED FOR THE QUARTER # of Deals WIDE NET ABSORPTION Sq. Ft North County West County Airport Area South County 1,3, 1,1, 9, 7, 5, 3, 1, -1, -3, BY SUBMARKET DIRECT LEASE SUBLEASE Outlying OC INCLUDING SUBLET SPACE -5, UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 1 9.5% 9.% 8.5% 8.% 7.5% 7.% 6.5% 5.5% 5.% 4.5% Source: EDD YTD NET ABSORPTION Sq. Ft. 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, -1, -2, -3, -4, BY SUBMARKET, INCLUDING SUBLET SPACE AREA California Orange County 4.% 1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 1/15 11/15 12/15 1/16 2/16 OC VACANCY RATE BY SUBMARKET - INCLUDING SUBLET SPACE VACANCY RATE BY QUARTER 8.% 7.% 5.% 4.% 3.5% 3.5% 2.7% 2.% 2.2% 1.% North County West County Airport Area South County Outlying OC 5.5% 5.% 4.5% 4.% 3.5% 2.5% 2.% 1.5% 1.%.5%
3 215 AVERAGE NNN LEASE RATE BY SUBMARKET AVERAGE NNN LEASE RATES BY QUARTER NNN $1.3 $1.1 $.9 $.8 $.6 $.4 $.2 $. AREA OC COMPLETED LEE & ASSOCIATES TRANSACTIONS NNN $.75 $.7 $.65 $.6 $.55 $.5 $.45 $ Best Ave. Santa Fe Springs, CA 96 Toledo Way Irvine, CA E Wilshire Ave. Lease Transactions 1Q 16 PROPERTY SF TENANT LANDLORD REPRESENTING BROKERS Best Ave. Santa Fe Springs 96 Toledo Way Irvine, CA E. Wilshire Ave. 2, Haringa Inc. Best Avenue Centre Chuck Noble and Dave Hunsaker represented the Landlord and Phillip DeRousse represented the Tenant. 91,761 Nutrawise, Inc. Icon Owner Pool I Jim Snyder and Pat Lacey represented the Tenant. 39,816 OC Superintendent Pelican Asset Management Group, Kurt Bruggerman and Ryan Swanson represented the Landlord. 6 Journey Aliso Viejo, CA 311 S. Croddy W. 1st St. Sale Transactions 1Q 16 PROPERTY SF BUYER SELLER REPRESENTING BROKERS 6 Journey Aliso Viejo, CA 311 S. Croddy 6811 Walker St. La Palma, CA 6,648 Wilson Journey, LL & DM Investments, 28,896 Baseqamp, Finch/CA Properties 22,888 Emad Hakim Clark & Barbara June Cornell Alton Burgess, Travis Haining and Ryan Lawler represented the Buyer. Dale Camera and Jason Helmick represented the Buyer. Chris Destino & Peter Sowa represented the Buyer.
4 215 BY CITY Bldg Count SF RBA Available Avail. Total Vac. Direct SF Direct Vac. Net YTD Net SF Avail SF Avg Asking Lease Aliso Viejo 57 1,741,272 82, % 31,75 1.8% 28, % 64,472 64,472 34,593 3,175 $1.12 NNN - - Anaheim 1,449 46,383,16 1,959, % 1,313,11 2.8% 1,36, % 38,893 38, ,28 6,49 $.72 NNN - - SF Under Construction Brea ,324,23 75, % 227, % 221,31 1.8% (135,762) (135,762) 37,5 6,458 $.64 NNN 367,194 Buena Park 24 14,128,66 395,38 2.8% 13,914.9% 13,914.9% (27,263) (27,263) 26, $.54 NNN - - Capistrano Beach 1 35, Costa Mesa 394 1,3, ,14 3.6% 221, % 218, % (17,94) (17,94) 45,915 2,178 $.97 NNN - - Cypress 12 6,532, ,49 15.% 199, ,196 64,667 64, , $.83 NNN - - Dana Point 1 12, 2, % 2, % 2, % Foothill Ranch 5 3,594,451 24, % 248, % 243, % (179,887) (179,887) 37,87 5,18 $.89 NNN - - Fountain Valley 26 5,124, ,51 2.2% 122, % 122, % 77,943 77, $.82 NNN - - Fullerton ,966,95 1,13,66 5.1% 719, % 685, % (49,49) (49,49) 144,668 33,74 $.61 NNN - - Garden Grove 38 12,852, ,39 4.4% 293, % 293, % (21,836) (21,836) 13, $.68 NNN - - Huntington Beach ,631,174 73, % 84, % 658, % (343,589) (343,589) 146,1 146,1 $.66 NNN 41,668 Irvine 1,31 38,815,68 2,159, % 1,196, % 1,93, % 195, , ,565 12,874 $1.9 NNN - - La Habra 15 3,153,844 83, % 58,11 1.8% 58,11 1.8% (3,662) (3,662) La Palma 17 1,859,689 89,46 4.8% 164,46 8.8% 164,46 8.8% (52,112) (52,112) Ladera Ranch 1 21, Laguna Beach 3 51,768 3,28 6.3% 3,28 6.3% 3,28 6.3% Laguna Hills 111 2,24,712 86, % 82, % 82, % 8,356 8, $1.4 NNN - - Laguna Niguel ,42 13, % 9, % 9, % 7,192 7,192 1, Laguna Woods 1 2, Lake Forest 182 5,53,317 4, % 239, % 226, % 13,193 13,193 3,238 13,139 $.9 NNN - - Los Alamitos 17 3,14,313 22,252.7% 25,.8% 25,.8% (11,82) (11,82) $.69 NNN - - Mission Viejo 57 1,329,13 55, % 48, % 48, % (19,654) (19,654) $.99 NNN - - Newport Beach 5 1,116,522 32, % 61, % 61, % (6,917) (6,917) Orange ,194, , % 152,12 1.1% 152,12 1.1% 35,929 35,929 52, $.89 NNN - - Placentia 17 4,217,567 58, % 28,341.7% 28,341.7% 43,6 43, $.74 NNN - - Rancho Santa Margarita 84 2,722,741 43,17 1.6% 4,34.2% 4,34.2% (537) (537) 6, $.96 NNN - - San Clemente 12 2,771, , % 12, % 89, % 6,594 6,594 4,48 3,48 $.98 NNN - - San Juan Capistrano 78 1,762,915 3, % 3, % 3, % 1,152 1, $1.11 NNN - - Santa Ana 1,121 31,828,294 1,365, % 767, % 7, % 56,897 56,897 67,467 67,17 $.71 NNN 12,1 Seal Beach , $.73 NNN - - Stanton 73 1,377,219 2,8.2% 6,64.4% 6,64.4% 1,68 1, Tustin 188 7,474,3 536,12 7.2% 462,87 6.2% 462,87 6.2% (157,161) (157,161) 1, $.76 NNN - - Westminster 83 2,372,467 39, % 66, % 66, % (6,97) (6,97) 1, $.71 NNN - - Yorba Linda 84 2,242, , % 95,27 4.2% 95,27 4.2% (36,486) (36,486) 1, $1.16NNN - - Orange County Totals 8,33 278,45,97 12,767, % 7,936, % 7,519, % (13,25) (13,25) 1,279, ,849 $.82 NNN 42,962 Bldg Count SF RBA Available Avail. Total Vac. Direct SF Direct Vac. Net YTD Net SF Avail SF Avg Asking Lease SF Under Construction BY AREA North Orange County 3, ,61,27 4,59, % 2,559, % 2,513, % 3,345 3, , 46,688 $.68 NNN 367,194 West Orange County 1,327 44,743,851 2,599,43 5.8% 1,546, % 1,546, % (369,899) (369,899) 39, ,1 $.72 NNN 41,668 Airport Area 2,511 74,556,71 3,344,83 4.5% 2,43, % 1,957,15 2.6% 38,869 38, ,12 86,1 $.8 NNN 12,1 South Orange County 1,262 41,957,423 2,179, % 1,48, % 1,351, % 2,681 2, , ,886 $1.5 NNN - - Outlying Orange County 1 186, Orange County Totals 8,33 278,45,97 12,767, % 7,936, % 7,519, % (13,25) (13,25) 1,279, ,849 $.82 NNN 42,962
5 ABOUT LEE & ASSOCIATES As a group of independently owned and operated companies, Lee & Associates currently has more than 54 offices in Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Maryland, Michigan, Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Texas and Wisconsin. With a broad array of regional, national and international clients ranging from individual investors and small businesses, to large corporations and institutions Lee & Associates has successfully completed transactions with a total value of more than $9 billion last year, alone. INDUSTRIAL SERVICES Lee & Associates knows industrial real estate. Large, mid-size and small, we help clients transact their way through the intricacies of manufacturing plans, bulk warehousing/distribution facilities, specialized flex complexes, modern build-to-suit flex space and turn-key, high-tech campuses. Our industrial specialists provide skilled guidance running the gamut from facility, site and land acquisition/disposition to advisory services, sale and lease negotiations, build-to-suit analysis and planning. SUBMARKETS: Anaheim, Break, Buena Park, Fullerton, La Habra, Orange, Placentia, Yorba Linda Anaheim, Cypress, Garden Grove, Huntington Beach, La Palma, Los Alamitos, Santa Ana, Seal Beach, Stanton, Westminster Costa Mesa, Fountain Valley, Garden Grove, Irvine, Newport Beach, Santa Ana, Tustin Aliso Viejo, Capistrano Beach, Dana Point, Foothill Ranch, Irvine, Ladera Ranch, Laguna Beach, Laguna Hills, Laguna Niguel, Laguna Woods, Lake Forest, Mission Viejo, Rancho Santa Margarita, San Clemente, San Juan Capistrano San Juan Capistrano MARKET FORECAST: If average asking rents continue increasing at the current pace they easily should surpass the pre-recession all-time high of 85 cents per sq. ft. triple net. That likelihood was improved as the latest Cal State Fullerton periodic survey of local executives shows the highest level of optimism in their outlook in the last four quarters. Industrial Members of the Lee & Associates Group of Companies-Orange County Jeff Bischofberger Kurt Bruggeman Dale Camera Phil Cohen Chris Conway BJ Fell Craig Fitterer Brian Garbutt Ryan Harman Jason Helmick Mark Jerue Guy LaFerrara Nate Pivaroff Ted Rommel LEE & ASSOCIATES - IRVINE 9838 Research Drive Irvine, California (949) LEE & ASSOCIATES - NEWPORT BEACH 1 Bayview Circle, Suite 6 Newport Beach, California 9266 (949) Frank Adler Sean Ahern Tim Arguello Chris Barnett David Bolt Alton Burgess John Collins Chris Coyte Jim deregt Matt Durkin Bill Garrett Bob Griffin Travis Haining Jeff Hirsch Steve Jehorek LEE & ASSOCIATES - ORANGE 14 West Taft Avenue, Suite 15 Orange, California (714) Allen Buchanan Pat Delaney Phillip DeRousse Christopher Destino Greg Diab Johnny Eubanks Ian Fewel Jeff Gahagan Brad Gilmer Tom Gilmer Tom Grant Jack Haley Chuck Hardy James Hawkins Doug Himes Mark Hintergardt Luke Hudson Elizabeth Hughes Dave Hunsaker Joel Hutak Skyler Serrano Justin Smith Brock Stryker John Suggs Ryan Swanson Todd Swanson Pat Lacey Ryan Lawler Mike Long John Martin Darin McDonald Matt McKinlay Kevin Quick Dick Silva Jim Snyder Curt Stalder Kevin Thomas Tim Walker Tom West Jedd Zaun Dan Kruse Robert Leiter Frank Mejia Bryan Miller David Newton Chuck Noble Jon Passafiume Bob Sattler Scott Seal John Son Peter Sowa David Tabata Randy Verdieck Dave Williams No warranty or representation is made to the accuracy of the foregoing information. Terms of sale or lease and availability are subject to change or withdrawal without notice.
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