Florida Division of Emergency Management State Watch Office

Transcription

1 Florida Division of Emergency Management State Watch Office Morning Situation Report Thursday, October 18, 2018

2 State Emergency Operations Center Activation Level Level 1 Activation

3 SERT On-Call Personnel Position Personnel Phone Operations Chief Ashley Davis (850) Watch Officer Axel Runtschke (850) Duty Officer Taylor Cheney (850) Operations Officer- Day Kassidy Grant (850) Operations Officer- Swing Chris Dorans (850) Operations Officer- Night Jim Lawhon (850) Meteorologist Cameron Young (850) Plans Chief Ryan Lock (850) Logistics Chief Andrew Baxter (850) Human Services Director Pam Hughes (850) Emergency Services Director Rob Dietrich (850) Infrastructure Branch Director Danny Kilcollins (850) ESF 8 On-Call Robert Mills (850) Robert.Mills@flhealth.gov Public Information Officer Alberto Moscoso (850) Alberto.Moscoso@em.myflorida.com DEM Finance and Admin Phyllis Vaughn (850) Phyllis.Vaughn@em.myflorida.com

4 Regional EM Liaison Team Regional EM Liaisons County Location Status / Activities REMLT Manager: Jim Roberts Leon Michael Response Operations Region 1: Wanda Stafford In Region Michael Response Operations Region 2: Brian Bradshaw Branch IV Michael Response Operations Region 3: Gina Lambert Washington Michael Response Operations Region 4: Paul Siddall Bay / Gulf Michael Response Operations Region 5: Vacant VACANT See Coverage Region 6: Jodie Fiske Leon Michael Response Operations Region 7: Willie Bouie Branch IV Michael Response Operations R3 covering Lake, Seminole, & Volusia R4 covering Brevard, Orange, & Osceola R7 covering R6, Indian River, Martin, & St. Lucie Status Normal Operations Delayed Response Out of Service / Unavailable

5 Meteorology Summary Threat R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 Lightning M M L L Flooding (Rivers) L Damaging Wind Hail Tornado Excessive Heat L L Fire Fog Rip Currents M M M L H L M Space Weather Very Low Lake Okeechobee Status: Keetch-Byram Drought Index: Elevation is at ft. 325 (+13) on a scale from 0 (very moist) to 800 (very dry) Today s Weather Map Rainfall Amounts Next 24 Hours

6 Meteorology Summary Statewide Overview, Next 24 Hours: A weak cold front has moved into the northern Gulf of Mexico and the northern Peninsula this morning. The cold front will continue to slide southward through the Peninsula today. This will result in some isolated to scattered thunderstorms over the Peninsula today, with the best chance being north of I-4. A few strong storms are possible, but severe weather is not expected. Temperatures will be slightly cooler across North Florida this afternoon with highs in the lower to middle 80s. Elsewhere, highs will rise into the upper 80s to lower 90s. Heat indices in the Peninsula will be in the middle to upper 90s. Lows will be pleasant across the Panhandle settling into the middle to upper 60s. Elsewhere, lows will remain muggy in the middle to upper 70s. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will remain possible along the East Coast through the night. Chance of Rain Today Today s High Temperatures

7 Coastal Hazards / Hydrology Rip Currents: Onshore winds will continue to result in a moderate risk of rip currents for East Central Florida beaches. A high risk is forecast for Northeast and Southeast Florida. The rip current risk is moderate along all Panhandle beaches, with a low risk along the West Coast. Wave heights will be around 1-3 along all beaches. Remember, always swim within sight of a lifeguard. Rip currents can still occur on low risk days! Lake Okeechobee average elevation was feet as of Wednesday, which is 0.86 feet below normal for this time of year. Rip Current Outlook Hydrology: A River Flood Warning remains in effect for the Chipola River at Altha. The river will have a second crest in minor flood stage later today. Some minor flooding near Scott s Ferry should be expected through the end of this week. Otherwise, little additional rainfall is expected in the region for the next few days. All other rivers are below flood stage, and are currently cresting or already receding. For more information on specific river stages, please visit the Southeast River Forecast Center here. Current & Forecast River Conditions

8 Tropical Weather Tropics: No tropical development is expected in the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico, or Caribbean Sea over the next five days. For more information on the tropics, please visit the National Hurricane Center at

9 Space Weather Current Sunspots Solar Flare Risk Active Watches & Warnings Past 24 hours M-class: 1% Geomagnetic Storm: Yes (G1 Watch) A1 Solar Flare X-class: 1% Radiation Storm: No No Radio Blackouts 48 Hour Geomagnetic Forecast 10/18 10/19 Max Kp= 3 (G0) Chance of minor activity = 10% severe activity = 1% Max Kp= 5 (G1) Chance of minor activity = 25% severe activity = 5% Coronal holes on the Earthfacing side of the sun Space Weather: Sunspot #2725 remains a small, wavering sunspot, and the risk for significant solar flares is very low. Some solar wind from the coronal hole near the sun s north pole may brush by Earth on Friday. Some G1 conditions are possible tomorrow, and a Geomagnetic Storm Watch is in effect for Friday. Most impacts would be confined to the polar latitudes. The space weather threat to Florida is very low.

10 SWO Communications Systems & Contact Information Equipment Contact Status Phone: or Fax: SWO Tracker: SLERS: DEM Statewide NAWAS: State Watch Office EMnet Message: FL.000- State Watch Office EMnet Voice: FL SWP- State Watch Office State EAS: FL Interoperable Network: Website: WebEOC: LP.1 Stations via Emnet SOFEOC Users wishing to subscribe (approval pending) to this distribution list, register at: Taylor Cheney Comments Digitally signed by Taylor Cheney DN: cn=taylor Cheney, o=florida Division of Emergency Management, ou=operations Duty Officer, c=us Date: :11:50-04'00'