Indonesia Clean Energy Initiative. Global Low Carbon Workshop Washington DC 1 March 2011

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Transcription:

Clean nergy Global Low Carbon Workshop Washington DC 1 arch 2011

Clean nergy ore nergy Less Carbon Global Low Carbon Workshop Washington DC 1 arch 2011

nergy mix lectricity mix mission R &C arget Paradigm hift

nergy mix lectricity mix mission R &C arget Paradigm hift

nergy mix lectricity mix mission ational nergy ix Gas 22.21% R &C Oil 49.84% Hydro 2.9% Coal 23.56% arget Geothermal 1.5% Paradigm hift

nergy mix lectricity mix mission ational nergy ix Gas 22.21% R &C Oil 49.84% Hydro 2.9% Coal 23.56% arget Geothermal 1.5% Paradigm hift

nergy mix lectricity mix mission HR OF LCRICIY PRODUCIO BY YP OF RGY (2006) R &C Gas 13% Coal 26% Oil 51% Hydro 8% arget Geothermal 2% Paradigm hift

nergy mix lectricity mix mission HR OF LCRICIY PRODUCIO BY YP OF RGY (2006) R &C Gas 13% Coal 26% Oil 51% Hydro 8% arget Geothermal 2% Paradigm hift

nergy mix lectricity mix mission R &C arget Paradigm hift n emissions are estimated to grow from 2.3 to 3.6 GtCO 2 e between 2005 and 2030 Projected emissions 1, illion tons CO 2 e 20 20 70 110 2,250 150 850 150 2,820 250 340 850 500 1,030 1,160 1,230 2005 1 Includes only direct emissions from each sector OURC: GHG batement Cost Curve 2020 40 30 hare of global emissions 3,590 40 150 750 850 2030 5.0% 5.2% 70 Buildings Cement griculture ransport Power Forestry Peat

nergy mix lectricity mix mission R &C arget Paradigm hift n emissions are estimated to grow from 2.3 to 3.6 GtCO 2 e between 2005 and 2030 Projected emissions 1, illion tons CO 2 e 20 20 70 110 2,250 150 850 150 2,820 250 340 850 500 1,030 1,160 1,230 2005 1 Includes only direct emissions from each sector OURC: GHG batement Cost Curve 2020 40 30 hare of global emissions 3,590 40 150 750 850 2030 5.0% 5.2% 70 Buildings Cement griculture ransport Power Forestry Peat

nergy mix lectricity mix mission!"#$%!"&'(%))$#)*!#'%!'+*,-($!.'./.'!"#$%&#'()*+,,%(,#'()%')-./0)!%1$23"45)6'&)*7!89))))))))))))))))))))))))))) (+)"#&3:#)4"##'5+3$#)46$$#$)#,%$$%+')2;)/0/0) R &C $2)564' )B$#35' 89:' ;<9<'=%3+'!$(>'?@:' $2)564')B$#35' +(/'7(3)#(+6$(+-' 5%11$#3' arget Paradigm hift Forestry, Peat, griculture nergy ector Wastes Industry and ransport 680 million on 30 milion on 48 million on 9 Juta on!"#$%&"'()*'#)()*+,-)' )()#&.'/)0)-$12)(3'+(/' )()#&.'4$(5)#0+6$(' 721-)2)(3+6$('7('+--' 5)43$#' '

nergy mix lectricity mix mission R &C 0*))12'!"#$%&' nergy ype!"#$%&'(#)*+$,#)'-../' Resource Reserve (Proven + Possible) OIL 86.9 billion barrel 8.2 billion barrel Production (per annum) 356.6 million barrel Ratio Reserve/Production (without new exploration, years) G 384.7 CF 170.1 CF 2.89 CF 59 COL 57 billion ton 19.3 billion ton 132 million ton 146 ew Renewable nergy Potential Installed Capacity Hydro Power 75.67 GW!"#$%&'( W 23 (#"#3452#'!"#$%&' Geothermal 27 GW 1,189 W ini/icro-hydro 500 W 217.89 W Biomass 49.81 GW 1,618.4 W olar nergy 4.8 kwh/m 2 /day 13.58 W arget Wind nergy 3-6 m/sec 1.94 W Paradigm hift

nergy mix lectricity mix mission R &C 0*))12'!"#$%&' nergy ype!"#$%&'(#)*+$,#)'-../' Resource Reserve (Proven + Possible) OIL 86.9 billion barrel 8.2 billion barrel Production (per annum) 356.6 million barrel Ratio Reserve/Production (without new exploration, years) G 384.7 CF 170.1 CF 2.89 CF 59 COL 57 billion ton 19.3 billion ton 132 million ton 146 ew Renewable nergy Potential Installed Capacity Hydro Power 75.67 GW!"#$%&'( W 23 (#"#3452#'!"#$%&' Geothermal 27 GW 1,189 W ini/icro-hydro 500 W 217.89 W Biomass 49.81 GW 1,618.4 W olar nergy 4.8 kwh/m 2 /day 13.58 W arget Wind nergy 3-6 m/sec 1.94 W Paradigm hift

nergy mix lectricity mix mission R &C arget Paradigm hift! nergy conservation potential in all sector is high ector otal Consumption 2008 (illion BO) nergy Conservation Potential (%) (illion BO) Industry 316 15 30 47-95 Household & Commercial 191 10 30 11-33 ransportation 111 25 48

nergy mix lectricity mix mission R &C arget Paradigm hift! nergy conservation potential in all sector is high ector otal Consumption 2008 (illion BO) nergy Conservation Potential (%) (illion BO) Industry 316 15 30 47-95 Household & Commercial 191 10 30 11-33 ransportation 111 25 48

nergy mix lectricity mix mission!"#$%"&'(%)*+,'-./'0"*+)1' 23*)4.5)%#"&'6)+7&"#$%'!$8'9':)"*';<<=>' R &C Oil 20% Biofuel 5% arget Gas 30% Coal 33% R,17% Geothermal 5% Biomass, uclear, Hydro Power, olar, Wind Power 5% Liquefaction Coal 2% Paradigm hift

nergy mix lectricity mix mission!"#$%"&'(%)*+,'-./'0"*+)1' 23*)4.5)%#"&'6)+7&"#$%'!$8'9':)"*';<<=>' R &C Oil 20% Biofuel 5% arget Gas 30% Coal 33% R,17% Geothermal 5% Biomass, uclear, Hydro Power, olar, Wind Power 5% Liquefaction Coal 2% Paradigm hift

nergy mix lectricity mix mission R &C arget Paradigm hift

nergy mix lectricity mix mission R &C arget Paradigm hift

nergy mix lectricity mix mission!"#"$%&'()*%+,(-+(./.#&0('"/"&.'./,( UPPLY RGY UPPLY ID G DD RGY DD ID G DD UPPLY R &C arget!"##$%&'()*+,&-$./&0(,& 1"#.& 2)3)(&#45#$6$7)68& 9)()-05%)&'()*+,&0#&0(&& :%.)*(0;3)& <()=1$)(.&>)1."*0%& '()*+,&?"(#4@;"(&B&! C"4#)/"%6&! &D*0(#"*.&! &<(64#.*,&! &?"@@)*1$0%& & '=1$)(.&>)1."*0%& '()*+,&?"(#4@;"(&B&! C"4#)/"%6&! &D*0(#"*.&! &<(64#.*,&! &?"@@)*1$0%& & (CORVIO) 0F$@$7)&./)&>4%,& 0(6&G;%$70;"(&"H& 9)()-05%)&'()*+,&-$./& :3"$6)6&&!"##$%&'()*+,&?"#.#& (DIVRIFICIO) & & &!"##$%&'()*+,&0#& I0%0(1$(+&!01."*& Paradigm hift

nergy mix lectricity mix mission!"#"$%&'()*%+,(-+(./.#&0('"/"&.'./,( UPPLY RGY UPPLY ID G DD RGY DD ID G DD UPPLY R &C arget!"##$%&'()*+,&-$./&0(,& 1"#.& 2)3)(&#45#$6$7)68& 9)()-05%)&'()*+,&0#&0(&& :%.)*(0;3)& <()=1$)(.&>)1."*0%& '()*+,&?"(#4@;"(&B&! C"4#)/"%6&! &D*0(#"*.&! &<(64#.*,&! &?"@@)*1$0%& & '=1$)(.&>)1."*0%& '()*+,&?"(#4@;"(&B&! C"4#)/"%6&! &D*0(#"*.&! &<(64#.*,&! &?"@@)*1$0%& & (CORVIO) 0F$@$7)&./)&>4%,& 0(6&G;%$70;"(&"H& 9)()-05%)&'()*+,&-$./& :3"$6)6&&!"##$%&'()*+,&?"#.#& (DIVRIFICIO) & & &!"##$%&'()*+,&0#& I0%0(1$(+&!01."*& Paradigm hift

nergy mix lectricity mix mission R &C arget Paradigm hift

nergy mix lectricity mix mission R &C arget Paradigm hift

nergy mix lectricity mix mission R &C arget Paradigm hift Introducing RFF-Burn

nergy mix lectricity mix mission R &C arget Paradigm hift Introducing RFF-Burn RFF-Burn as s

nergy mix lectricity mix mission R &C arget Paradigm hift Introducing RFF-Burn RFF-Burn as s Umbrella for policy harmony

nergy mix lectricity mix mission R &C arget Paradigm hift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

nergy mix lectricity mix mission R &C arget Paradigm hift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

nergy mix lectricity mix mission R &C arget Paradigm hift!"#$%&'()&*+#,%-.+*/)0(##!"#!!$%&'(%()*"*+,)!,-!."*+,)"'!/*")0"10!,)!2'(")!3)(145!!6#!!3)-,17(%()*!,-!."*+,)"'!/*")0"10!,)!2'(")!3)(145!65! *8(!939:!!7#!!;771(0+*"*+,)!!0#!!2(1*+<7"*+,)!!(#!!9:=!!"#$%&'#$()#*+,#-.'/$()#*+0#'12$()#3+ 1"###2*340(#5*36%/#,%-.+*/)0(# "# 2"16,)!9"1>(*!:(4?'"*,15!@,05! 6# 2"16,)!%"1>(*!&'"5(1! 7# ((0B+)!C"1+D! 0# 2"16,)!2,%%,0+*5!!F1+7(!")0!G?")*+*5!,-! %"1>(*"6'(!7"16,)H!

nergy mix lectricity mix mission R &C arget Paradigm hift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

nergy mix lectricity mix mission R &C arget Paradigm hift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

nergy mix lectricity mix mission R &C arget Paradigm hift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