Portland State University PDXScholar TREC Friday Seminar Series Transportation Research and Education Center (TREC) 11-1-2013 Clouds, Crowds, and Traffic: What 10 Emerging Megatrends Mean for the Future of Transportation Ted Trepanier INRIX, Inc. Let us know how access to this document benefits you. Follow this and additional works at: http://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/trec_seminar Part of the Transportation Commons, and the Urban Studies and Planning Commons Recommended Citation Trepanier, Ted, "Clouds, Crowds, and Traffic: What 10 Emerging Megatrends Mean for the Future of Transportation" (2013). TREC Friday Seminar Series. 95. http://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/trec_seminar/95 This Book is brought to you for free and open access. It has been accepted for inclusion in TREC Friday Seminar Series by an authorized administrator of PDXScholar. For more information, please contact pdxscholar@pdx.edu.
Clouds, Crowds & Traffic Ten Emerging Megatrends Impacting the Future of Transportation Ted Trepanier 2013. Confidential & proprietary 1 Confidential & proprietary
INRIX Powers the World's Largest Traffic Intelligence Network Crowdsourcing technology pioneer 175 million consumers reached daily 100 million GPS-enabled vehicles & devices 200+ blue-chip customers Market leader in North America and Europe 1.8 million miles of road and 32 countries 2 Confidential & proprietary
TEN MEGATRENDS Reshaping Mobility 3 Confidential & proprietary
GROWTH OF URBANIZATION Population of urban areas Now 2050 4 Confidential & proprietary UN Department of Economics & Social Affairs (ESA), 2011
GROWTH OF URBANIZATION 1980 2011 2025 5 Confidential & proprietary UN Department of Economics & Social Affairs (ESA), 2011
GROWTH OF URBANIZATION Percentage of Chinese residents living in urban centers 50% 70% Now 2025 6 Confidential & proprietary China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), 2013
COST OF CONGESTION Annual hours wasted per driver 59 Los Angeles 65 Stuttgart 63 Paris 7 Confidential & proprietary INRIX Scorecard 2012
COST OF CONGESTION Economic impact in billions $121 United States 7.8 Germany 5.6 France 8 Confidential & proprietary TTI; Centre for Economics and Business Research, 2012
POLLUTION % of carbon emissions from vehicles 23% 9 Confidential & proprietary OECD, 2011
POLLUTION World CO 2 emissions MILLION METRIC TONS 12,000 China 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 - United States Europe (OECD) India 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 10 Confidential & proprietary U.S. EIA, 2011
CONNECTED CARS 11% 60% Now 2017 11 Confidential & proprietary ABI Research (ABI), 2012
URBAN MOBILITY Rise of on-demand transportation 12 Confidential & proprietary
THE CROWD 1.3 billion drivers by 2017 G C S T V S S G C T Flow Road sensor S N C C V Traffic camera Commercial Vehicle GPS Probe Consumer Vehicle GPS Probe T C V D! D G GPS-Enabled Smartphone Probe G! Cellular Network Probe N N Incidents Driver Generated Report Accident D! Construction! Event 13 Confidential & proprietary Scotia Bank, 2011
INRIX Traffic Intelligence Network North America, Spring 2010 Road sensor Traffic camera! Incidents Driver Generated Report Accident Construction Event Examples 14 Confidential of & 15-Minute proprietary Real-Time Snapshots
INRIX Traffic Intelligence Network North America, Spring 2013 Road sensor Traffic camera! Incidents Driver Generated Report Accident Construction Event Examples 15 Confidential of & 15-Minute proprietary Real-Time Snapshots
INRIX Traffic Intelligence Network Europe, Fall 2010 Road sensor Traffic camera!! Incidents Driver Generated Report Accident Construction Event Examples of&15-minute Real-Time Snapshots 16 Confidential proprietary
INRIX Traffic Intelligence Network Europe, Spring 2013 Road sensor Traffic camera!! Incidents Driver Generated Report Accident Construction Event Examples of&15-minute Real-Time Snapshots 17 Confidential proprietary
ACTIVE ROAD NETWORK MANAGEMENT Real-time data and analytics for millions of miles 18 Confidential & proprietary
FUTURE OF TRANSPORTATION Big Data and ITS technologies will drive improved urban mobility Integrated corridor management Network-wide analysis System performance monitoring Active/adaptive traffic management Dynamic traffic signal timing Multi-modal travel Smart parking meters and predictive availability Variable HOT lanes Congestion based tolling Multi-mode management Car sharing 19 Confidential & proprietary
CONNECTED DEVICES 25 billion 50 billion 2015 2020 20 Confidential & proprietary Cisco IBSG, 2011
CONNECTED DEVICES Penetration of Internet usage by country MILLIONS OF PEOPLE 1,600 1,400 1,200 40% 11% 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 China Total population 78% United States India Japan Brazil Russia Germany Indonesia United Kingdom Internet users 80% 46% 48% 83% 22% 84% 80% France As of 6/30/2012 21 Confidential & proprietary Internetworldstats.com 6/30/2012
CONNECTED DEVICES 1.5 billion smartphones globally MILLIONS OF PEOPLE 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 China United States Japan Brazil India United Kingdom Korea Indonesia France Germany Smartphone subscribers 22 Confidential & proprietary Informa, 2013
PERSONALIZATION Navigating your world 23 Confidential & proprietary INRIX Concept, 2013
How long will it take to get to home or work? Where can I charge my electric vehicle? Where is the closest available parking? How efficiently do I drive compared to others in my city? Where is the cheapest fuel along my route? Would it be quicker to park and take the train? Is the roadway starting to ice up? What s the best way to avoid this traffic? 24 Confidential & proprietary
IN-CAR INFOTAINMENT Adoption by 2019 68% 25 Confidential & proprietary Strategy Analytics 2012
THE CONNECTED CAR B A 26 Confidential & proprietary
TRAFFIC B Traffic! A 27 Confidential & proprietary
DAILY NAVIGATION B Traffic Daily navigation A 28 Confidential & proprietary
MULTIMODAL ROUTING B Traffic Daily navigation Multimodal routing A 29 Confidential & proprietary
ROAD WEATHER B Traffic Daily navigation Multimodal routing Road weather A 30 Confidential & proprietary
LOCAL SEARCH B Traffic Daily navigation Multimodal routing Road weather Local search A 31 Confidential & proprietary
FUEL PRICES B Traffic Daily navigation Multimodal routing Road weather Local search Fuel prices A 32 Confidential & proprietary
PARKING AVAILABILITY B Traffic Daily navigation Multimodal routing Road weather Local search Fuel prices P Parking availability P A 33 Confidential & proprietary
DRIVING FORWARD Ten Megatrends Growth of Urbanization Cost of Congestion The Crowd Active Road Network Pollution Connected Devices Connected Cars Personalization 34 Confidential & proprietary Urban Mobility In-car Infotainment
AUTONOMOUS DRIVING We should be able to do 90% of miles driven within 3 years. Elon Musk, Tesla 36 Confidential & proprietary Image: Continental Automotive, 2013
Twisted Trends Woman in the Workforce The Baby Boom Household Income Suburbanization Automobile Ownership Congestion Generational Preferences 38 Confidential & proprietary U.S. EIA, 2011
The Planners Challenge It is well understood We cannot build ourselves out of congestion. 39 Confidential & proprietary China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), 2013
The Planners Challenge It s also been long assumed that VMT will continue to grow. Then the trend twisted 40 Confidential & proprietary China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), 2013
The Planners Challenge It is well understood Maximum Freeway Capacity is near 2000 vphpl Smart Cars will increase this to??? 3000 3500 4000 More 41 Confidential & proprietary China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), 2013
The Planners Challenge Consider decreasing demand added capacity 42 Confidential & proprietary China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), 2013
The Planners Challenge What does this mean to the assumption? We cannot build ourselves out of congestion 43 Confidential & proprietary China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), 2013
The Planners Challenge Instead of planning for the Next Transportation Package 44 Confidential & proprietary China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), 2013
The Planners Challenge Let s think about planning for - The Last Transportation Package 45 Confidential & proprietary China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), 2013
Multnomah County Bottlenecks 46 Confidential & proprietary
Thank You Ted Trepanier ted@inrix.com www.inrix.com 47 Confidential & proprietary