22 Upper Ground, London, SE1 9PD + 44 (0)

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1 22 Upper Ground, London, SE1 9PD + 44 (0)

2 BREXIT, THE CHEQUERS DEAL AND THE CONSERVATIVES CLIENT NAME: The Sun on Sunday FIELDWORK DATES: 12 th 14 th July 2018 METHODOLOGY: Online POPULATION SAMPLED: All GB adults aged 18+ SAMPLE SIZE: 1,484 WEIGHTING: Demographic - Gender - Age - Social class - Household tenure - Work status - Region Recall of 2017 GE Recall of EU referendum Political attention SURVEY DESIGN: online Quota based selection from panels, controlling for: - Gender - Age - Educational attainment - Work status - Region General Election vote

3 DATA WEIGHTING For each poll, a nationally representative sample is selected in proportion to population distribution from an online panel. Data is rim-weighted to a matrix of geo-demographic variables. Weighting targets are sourced from various locations, including Census 2010 updated to mid-year population estimates, British Election Study and the National Readership Survey. Recall of 2017 vote. Any poll that includes the vote intentions suite of questions is weighted back to the actual 2017 result, making allowance for non-voting, don t know and refusal. Recall of 2016 EU referendum vote. Any poll that includes the vote intention suite of questions is also weighted back to the actual 2016 result, making allowance for non-voting, don t know and refusal. Political Interest. Any poll that includes the vote intention suite of questions is weighted to high, medium and low strength in line with the latest British Election Survey data.

4 OTHER RELEVANT ISSUES The computer tables show the actual question wording used for each question, in the order in which they were asked, and all response options. Base sizes are shown on each table. All questions are based on all respondents unless otherwise stated. Further enquiries should be sent to Deltapoll abides by the Market Research Society Code of Conduct, and by the British Polling Council rules, All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error. On the basis of the historical record of the polls at recent general elections, there is a 9 in 10 chance that the true value of a party s support lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll, and a 2 in 3 chance that they lie within 2 points.

5 To discuss commissioning research with Deltapoll, please call us on , or visit our website Martin Boon Paul Flatters Joe Twyman 22 Upper Ground, London, SE1 9PD + 44 (0)

6 Deltapoll Survey Results Sample Size: 1484 Fieldwork: 12th - 14th July 2018 If there were a general election held tomorrow, which party would you vote for? (Excluding 'Don't know' and 'Would not vote') Gender Age Voting Intention EU Ref Past Total Male Female Con Lab Lib Dem Leave Remain Weighted Sample Unweighted Sample % % % % % % % % % % % % % % Conservative Labour Liberal Democrat UK Independence Party UKIP) Scottish National Party (SNP) Plaid Cymru (PC) Green Some other party Deltapoll Ltd. All Rights Reserved

7 Deltapoll Survey Results Sample Size: 1484 Fieldwork: 12th - 14th July 2018 Total Weighted Sample 1484 Unweighted Sample 1484 % If there were a general election held tomorrow, which party would you vote for? (Excluding 'Don't know' and 'Would not vote') Conservative 37 Labour 42 Liberal Democrat 7 UK Independence Party UKIP) 6 Scottish National Party (SNP) 3 Plaid Cymru (PC) 1 Green 3 Some other party General Election Con Lab Lib Dem London Rest of South Region North Wales % % % % % % % % % % % % Midlands Scotland Social Grade ABC1 C2DE Deltapoll Ltd. All Rights Reserved

8 For each of the following party leaders, do you think they are doing Gender Age Voting Intention EU Ref Past Total Male Female Con Lab Lib Dem Leave Remain Weighted Sample Unweighted Sample very well in their job, quite well, quite badly or very badly? The Prime Minister, Theresa May The leader of the Labour Party, Jeremy Corbyn % % % % % % % % % % % % % % Very well Quite well Total well Quite badly Very badly Total badly Don't know Net score Very well Quite well Total well Quite badly Very badly Total badly Don't know Net score Deltapoll Ltd. All Rights Reserved

9 Total Weighted Sample 1484 Unweighted Sample 1484 % For each of the following party leaders, do you think they are doing very well in their job, quite well, quite badly or very badly? The Prime Minister, Theresa May Very well 7 Quite well 23 Total well 30 Quite badly 32 Very badly 30 Total badly 62 Don't know 8 Net score -32 The leader of the Labour Party, Jeremy Corbyn Very well 7 Quite well 28 Total well 35 Quite badly 24 Very badly 28 Total badly 52 Don't know 12 Net score General Election Con Lab Lib Dem London Rest of South Region North Wales % % % % % % % % % % % % Midlands Scotland Social Grade ABC1 C2DE Deltapoll Ltd. All Rights Reserved

10 Total Male Female Con Lab Lib Dem Leave Remain Weighted Sample Unweighted Sample The leader of the Liberal Democrats, Vince Cable The Brexit Secretary, Dominic Raab Gender Age Voting Intention EU Ref Past % % % % % % % % % % % % % % Very well Quite well Total well Quite badly Very badly Total badly Don't know Net score Very well Quite well Total well Quite badly Very badly Total badly Don't know Net score Deltapoll Ltd. All Rights Reserved

11 Total Weighted Sample 1484 Unweighted Sample 1484 % The leader of the Liberal Democrats, Vince Cable Very well 3 Quite well 18 Total well 21 Quite badly 29 Very badly 18 Total badly 47 Don't know 32 Net score General Election Con Lab Lib Dem London Rest of South Region North Wales % % % % % % % % % % % % Midlands Scotland Social Grade ABC1 C2DE The Brexit Secretary, Dominic Raab Very well 2 Quite well 13 Total well 15 Quite badly 21 Very badly 22 Total badly 43 Don't know 42 Net score Deltapoll Ltd. All Rights Reserved

12 The Chancellor of the Exchequer, Phillip Hammond Foreign Secretary, Jeremy Hunt Gender Age Voting Intention EU Ref Past Total Male Female Con Lab Lib Dem Leave Remain Weighted Sample Unweighted Sample % % % % % % % % % % % % % % Very well Quite well Total well Quite badly Very badly Total badly Don't know Net score Very well Quite well Total well Quite badly Very badly Total badly Don't know Net score Deltapoll Ltd. All Rights Reserved

13 Total Weighted Sample 1484 Unweighted Sample 1484 % The Chancellor of the Exchequer, Phillip Hammond Very well 4 Quite well 25 Total well 29 Quite badly 25 Very badly 17 Total badly 42 Don't know 29 Net score -13 Foreign Secretary, Jeremy Hunt Very well 3 Quite well 20 Total well 23 Quite badly 22 Very badly 18 Total badly 40 Don't know 37 Net score General Election Con Lab Lib Dem London Rest of South Region North Wales % % % % % % % % % % % % Midlands Scotland Social Grade ABC1 C2DE Deltapoll Ltd. All Rights Reserved

14 Putting aside any support for a Gender Age Voting Intention EU Ref Past Total Male Female Con Lab Lib Dem Leave Remain Weighted Sample Unweighted Sample political party you may have, which of the following do you think would be best for the British economy? A Conservative government led by Theresa May with Philip Hammond as Chancellor of the Exchequer A Labour government led Jeremy Corbyn with John McDonnell as Chancellor of the Exchequer % % % % % % % % % % % % % % Don't know As you may have seen or heard, last weekend a Cabinet 'away day' took place at Chequers where a proposed Brexit deal was agreed by Ministers. Which one of the following best describes what you think of the deal? A betrayal of the decision in the referendum to leave the European Union An ill thought out compromise that will please few people on either side A good compromise that will please as many people as possible The best possible Brexit solution Don't know Deltapoll Ltd. All Rights Reserved

15 Total Weighted Sample 1484 Unweighted Sample 1484 % 2017 General Election Con Lab Lib Dem London Rest of South Region North Wales % % % % % % % % % % % % Midlands Scotland Social Grade ABC1 C2DE Putting aside any support for a political party you may have, which of the following do you think would be best for the British economy? A Conservative government led by Theresa May with Philip Hammond as 39 Chancellor of the Exchequer A Labour government led Jeremy Corbyn with John McDonnell as Chancellor of 36 the Exchequer Don't know As you may have seen or heard, last weekend a Cabinet 'away day' took place at Chequers where a proposed Brexit deal was agreed by Ministers. Which one of the following best describes what you think of the deal? A betrayal of the decision in the referendum to leave the European 21 Union An ill thought out compromise that will please few people on either side 32 A good compromise that will please as many people as possible 13 The best possible Brexit solution 7 Don't know Deltapoll Ltd. All Rights Reserved

16 Gender Age Voting Intention EU Ref Past Total Male Female Con Lab Lib Dem Leave Remain Weighted Sample Unweighted Sample % % % % % % % % % % % % % % What do you think should happen next? Brexit should be abandoned altogether Negotiators should try to get the Prime Minister s deal agreed because it is the only remaining chance of getting Brexit though The Prime Minister should go back to the drawing board and come up with a more acceptable plan by Brexit date of March 29th next year Delay Article 50 to postpone Brexit and give the Prime Minister as much time as needed to come up with a more acceptable plan Refuse to make any more concessions with the EU and leave without a Brexit deal if necessary Don t know Deltapoll Ltd. All Rights Reserved

17 Total Weighted Sample 1484 Unweighted Sample 1484 % 2017 General Election Con Lab Lib Dem London Rest of South Region North Wales % % % % % % % % % % % % Midlands Scotland Social Grade ABC1 C2DE What do you think should happen next? Brexit should be abandoned altogether 27 Negotiators should try to get the Prime Minister s deal agreed because it is the 9 only remaining chance of getting Brexit though The Prime Minister should go back to the drawing board and come up with a 20 more acceptable plan by Brexit date of March 29th next year Delay Article 50 to postpone Brexit and give the Prime Minister as much time as 6 needed to come up with a more acceptable plan Refuse to make any more concessions with the EU and leave without a Brexit 24 deal if necessary Don t know Deltapoll Ltd. All Rights Reserved

18 If you were forced to choose, which one of the following would you most agree with? Gender Age Voting Intention EU Ref Past Total Male Female Con Lab Lib Dem Leave Remain Weighted Sample Unweighted Sample Delaying Brexit beyond next year's March 29th deadline if we can't get a good deal by then Leave the European Union on March 29th without a deal (hard Brexit) % % % % % % % % % % % % % % Don't know Thinking about the final Brexit deal, do you think that each of the following should be up for negotiation, or should not be up for negotiation? The ability to decide our own laws Should be up for negotiation Should not be up for negotiation Don't know How many billions of pounds we pay the European Union each year to pay for alleged commitments made by us while EU members Should be up for negotiation Should not be up for negotiation Don't know Deltapoll Ltd. All Rights Reserved

19 Total Weighted Sample 1484 Unweighted Sample 1484 % If you were forced to choose, which one of the following would you most agree with? Delaying Brexit beyond next year's March 29th deadline if we can't get a 43 good deal by then Leave the European Union on March 39 29th without a deal (hard Brexit) Don't know General Election Con Lab Lib Dem London Rest of South Region North Wales % % % % % % % % % % % % Midlands Scotland Social Grade ABC1 C2DE Thinking about the final Brexit deal, do you think that each of the following should be up for negotiation, or should not be up for negotiation? The ability to decide our own laws Should be up for negotiation 40 Should not be up for negotiation 52 Don't know 8 How many billions of pounds we pay the European Union each year to pay for alleged commitments made by us while EU members Should be up for negotiation 55 Should not be up for negotiation 32 Don't know Deltapoll Ltd. All Rights Reserved

20 Total Male Female Con Lab Lib Dem Leave Remain Weighted Sample Unweighted Sample The ability to control our own borders by ending free movement Gender Age Voting Intention EU Ref Past % % % % % % % % % % % % % % Should be up for negotiation Should not be up for negotiation The ability of the European Court of Justice to make laws that we have to abide by Don't know Should be up for negotiation Should not be up for negotiation The ability to set our own trade deals with non-eu countries Don't know Should be up for negotiation Should not be up for negotiation Don't know Deltapoll Ltd. All Rights Reserved

21 Total Weighted Sample 1484 Unweighted Sample 1484 % The ability to control our own borders by ending free movement Should be up for negotiation 45 Should not be up for negotiation 44 Don't know 10 The ability of the European Court of Justice to make laws that we have to abide by Should be up for negotiation 46 Should not be up for negotiation 40 Don't know 14 The ability to set our own trade deals with non-eu countries Should be up for negotiation 52 Should not be up for negotiation 37 Don't know General Election Con Lab Lib Dem London Rest of South Region North Wales % % % % % % % % % % % % Midlands Scotland Social Grade ABC1 C2DE Deltapoll Ltd. All Rights Reserved

22 Putting aside your own party preference, when do you think Theresa May should step down as Prime Minister? Gender Age Voting Intention EU Ref Past Total Male Female Con Lab Lib Dem Leave Remain Weighted Sample Unweighted Sample After Brexit takes place on March 29th % % % % % % % % % % % % % % Immediately next year A year before the next general election, which has to take place by June She should stay on and fight the next General Election as Prime Minister Don't know Deltapoll Ltd. All Rights Reserved

23 Total Weighted Sample 1484 Unweighted Sample 1484 % Putting aside your own party preference, when do you think Theresa May should step down as Prime Minister? Immediately 36 After Brexit takes place on March 29th 17 next year 2017 General Election Con Lab Lib Dem London Rest of South Region North Wales Midlands Scotland Social Grade % % % % % % % % % % % % ABC1 C2DE A year before the next general election, which has to take place by June She should stay on and fight the next General Election as Prime Minister 22 Don't know Deltapoll Ltd. All Rights Reserved

24 Again putting aside your party preference, which one of the Gender Age Voting Intention EU Ref Past Total Male Female Con Lab Lib Dem Leave Remain Weighted Sample Unweighted Sample following Conservatives do you think would be the best Prime Minister for Britain if Theresa May stood down before the next General Election? % % % % % % % % % % % % % % Boris Johnson Ruth Davidson Jeremy Hunt Sajid Javid Philip Hammond David Davis Michael Gove Matthew Hancock Dominic Raab Penny Mordaunt Don't know Deltapoll Ltd. All Rights Reserved

25 Total Weighted Sample 1484 Unweighted Sample 1484 % 2017 General Election Con Lab Lib Dem London Rest of South Region North Wales % % % % % % % % % % % % Midlands Scotland Social Grade ABC1 C2DE Again putting aside your party preference, which one of the following Conservatives do you think would be the best Prime Minister for Britain if Theresa May stood down before the next General Election? Boris Johnson 21 Ruth Davidson 8 Jeremy Hunt 6 Sajid Javid 5 Philip Hammond 5 David Davis 4 Michael Gove 3 Matthew Hancock 1 Dominic Raab 1 Penny Mordaunt 1 Don't know Deltapoll Ltd. All Rights Reserved

26 Has England's progress in the World Gender Age Voting Intention EU Ref Past Total Male Female Con Lab Lib Dem Leave Remain Weighted Sample Unweighted Sample Cup made you feel more or less..., or has it made no difference one way or the other? Patriotic Positive that the UK can succeed outside of the EU Happy % % % % % % % % % % % % % % More No difference Less Don't know More No difference Less Don't know More No difference Less Don't know In a referendum held today on whether the UK should remain in or leave the European Union, how would you vote? To Leave the European Union To Remain in the European Union Don't know/would not vote All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error. On the basis of the historical record of the polls at recent general elections, there is a 9 in 10 chance that the true value of a party s support lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll, and a 2 in 3 chance that they lie within 2 points Deltapoll Ltd. All Rights Reserved

27 Total Weighted Sample 1484 Unweighted Sample 1484 % Has England's progress in the World Cup made you feel more or less..., or has it made no difference one way or the other? Patriotic More 35 No difference 57 Less 5 Don't know 3 Positive that the UK can succeed outside of the EU More 26 No difference 62 Less 8 Don't know 4 Happy More 45 No difference 47 Less 5 Don't know General Election Con Lab Lib Dem London Rest of South Region North Wales Midlands Scotland Social Grade % % % % % % % % % % % % ABC1 C2DE In a referendum held today on whether the UK should remain in or leave the European Union, how would you vote? To Leave the European Union 45 To Remain in the European Union 45 Don't know/would not vote 11 All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error. On th true value of a party s support lies within 4 points of the estimates pro Deltapoll Ltd. All Rights Reserved