Patrick Mahomes $7, CORE. QB Aaron Rodgers $6, CORE. QB Andrew Luck $6,

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Neil Jared Pierce
5 years ago
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QB Patrick Mahomes $7,000 25.60 53.5 31.50-9.5 CORE I love Mahomes as an everyweek stud. He's looked incredible regardless of who the opponent is.

1 QB Patrick Mahomes $7, CORE I love Mahomes as an everyweek stud. He's looked incredible regardless of who the opponent is. Now we get him facing an overmatched Broncos team that isn't likely to be able to keep this close. He hasn't had a dud all season bottoming out at 20 points in his worst game. This one does not set up as a smash spot mainly because the Broncos probably won't be able to keep up combined with the fact that the Broncos are so much worse vs the run that it could wind up as a Hunt smash day. I'm not sure as of this writing that Mahomes will make it into my cash lineup but he is a strong consideration. Stack with Sanders, Hill or Hunt. QB Aaron Rodgers $6, CORE QB Andrew Luck $6, CORE QB Andy Dalton $6, CORE I love it when Rodgers is likely to be playing from behind and that is the scenario here. The Rams are 9 point favorites at home in a game with a 57 point vegas total. All the signs point to come from behind fantasy goodness for Rodgers. The Rams are solid vs opposing QB's with ranking 7th in overall DVOA vs the pass. I'm not sure that matters all that much. Generally when the Packers are down in a game they will at least push for a comeback and thats where the fantasy points start raining down on Rodgers. He's a cash game consideration for me in this spot ideally stacked with two of his pass catchers. It looks like Adams, Cobb and Allison with round out the corps for the Packers with Graham at TE. Adams is the top "chalk" stack partner Luck has been fantastic the past few games. I'll be the first to admit that I'm shocked that he actually seems back to his old self. I thought the two years off and the shoulder problems would be an issue this season and outside of some early rust, it hasn't been. Luck has been consistently putting up 20+ points regardless of matchup so far but a deeper look reveals some reasons. First, at 2-5 they have not exactly been leading most of their games. The catchup mode offense combined with the lack of a legitimate running game had forced Luck to throw as many as 60 passes in a game. With Mack in the mix, and facing a weakened opponent, its less of a lock that this game will stay close enough to force the type of passing attack from the Colts that will test Lucks ceiling. With so many high total games on this slate, with QB's priced similarly to Luck, I'm probably looking elsewhere in cash. As a tournament play I'd stack him with Hilton and possibly one of the Raiders pass catchers in a game stack scenario. Dalton stands out this week with the highest overall "Rocket Arm" rating on the Research Station. The Bucs have allowed the most points of any team to the QB position. We have been attacking this defense week in and week out with incredible success. Last week it was Mayfield, this week its Dalton. This is a home game, not prime time. with a massive 54 point game total. This is a game I want a ton of exposure to this week. It's less sexy on paper then the Packers Rams game but it has just as much potential famtasy goodness. The obvious stacks are AJ Green and Boyd, even Uzomah. This is the type of game I generally want to game stack as well. Load up on combinations of Dalton, Green, Boyd, Uzomah, Jackson, Evans, Godwin, Etc QB Jameis Winston $6, HYBRID This matchup is too good to ignore. The 54 point game total and horrible defensive stats from the Bengals so far this season firmed this up as a hybrid play. Oddly I don't think he needs to be stacked with any one player. The Bucs spread the ball around to 6 different pass catching weapons lowering the cash floor of any given one of them. I love it when QB's don't have dangerous RB's to vulture their fantasy points. QB Jared Goff $6, HYBRID The only thing that holds this Rams offense back on a week to week basis is the inability of their opponents to make a game of it. That and the fact that Gurley is so freaking good that they often don't bother or need to throw. The Packers aren't particularly special vs the run but they can score and are likely to at worst, keep this game somewhat competitive. The choice between Rodgers and Goff is tough. Rams are actually solid defensively va QB's which is a negative for Rodgers. On the flipside, Rodgers is somewhat matchup proof as a QB. He tends to put up his highest points totals in games where the Packers go down early which is very likely this week/

2 RB Todd Gurley II $9, CORE RB Saquon Barkley $8, CORE Fanduel raised Gurley up to 11,000 this week and they finally may have nailed the true value. The packers have been one of the worst teams at stopping the run so far this season with a 29th overall DVOA. Not good. This game has a massive 57 point projection with the Rams as heavy home favorites facing one of the worst run defenses in the league. What more could we really ask for? The question this week will come down to what you have to sacrifice to pay up this far for Gurley. On Fanduel he is a solid 2100 more then the next most expensive RB, Barkley.. Over 3K more then Connor. Hunt or Mixon.. Barkley has been a force. He's heavily utilized in the Giants passing game as well as getting a full carries workload. The biggest risk with him on a week to week basis is the Giants poor offensive line play and that Eli is not an efficient QB at all. The Redskins play a very slow type of offense where they go run heavy and stick almost exclusively with a short passing game. It leads to lots of time taken off the clock. so opposing offenses dont have as many opportunities to make plays. This game has one of the lowest projected totals on this slate. With all of that said, Barkley remains a top play on this slate with one of the highest usage floors of any RB in the league RB James Conner $7, CORE The formula for RB's for me - heavy workload, home team favorite, high scoring game - and the addendim - a game that doesn't carry much risk of the RB's team getting blown out. As a bomus, the Browns are middle of the pack vs the run but #1 overall in DVOA (how the fuck can this even be true) vs the pass this season. The numbers point to a heavy dose of The Terminator in this game RB Joe Mixon $7, HYBRID RB Kareem Hunt $7, CORE My biggest issue with Mixon right now and the reason the research station didn't tag Mixon with a massive rating this week, is his yardage totals. He hasn't had a 100 yard rushing game all season. The Bengals running offense as a whole hasn't produced much in terms of ground yardage. Its a sign that this team can sometimes be too comfortable going away from the running game. The past two weeks he came in with 11 and 13 carries total with 3 to 4 receptions. The Bucs give up alot of TDs to RB's but not a ton of actual yardage. I was suprised to see that they are at the top of the league in terms of the 68.2 yards per game to opposing RB's by the Bucs. Combined with the Bengals below average run total, Mixon would need a couple of trips into the endzone or heavy passing game work to make up for these sub-optimal numbers Hunt is coming off consecutive smash games and this one sets up similarly for him. The Broncos have been a team to attack via the run all season ranking 28th in DVOA vs the position. Thats bad. I've also been impressed the past few weeks to see the Chiefs finally scheming some passing game work to Hunt. Obviously there is some risk with Hunt in that the Chiefs in the past have at times forgotten about him but all the check marks are checked here - heavy home favorite facing a bottom 5 run defense. RB David Johnson $6, GPP The Cardinals switched offensive coordinators and now they are promising to use DJ the way he was used under Bruce Arian. I kind of believe it will happen here. The 49ers are allowing 9 targets and 7 receptions per game on average to opposing RB's, If DJ is going to do anything here it will be via the pass in space. I don't think I'm ready to trust him in cash but as a hybrid/gpp play, I don't think many people will be on him. RB Tarik Cohen $5, GPP Cohen is coming off a number of quality games and has locked down the "James White" role in the Bears offense. I loved him last week in a game where I figured the Bears would be behind and throwing to catch up. This is a different scenario because I expect the Bears to dominate this game defensively. That doesn't mean that Cohen won't break one or two big play receptions but just that he's less likely to then he was last week based on the expected gameflow. RB Marlon Mack $5, CORE Mack made the most of his workhorse touches last week and wound up with over 100 yards on the ground and 2 TD's. This game sets up equally well against a dejected Raiders team that just wants this season to end already. The only real question for me is his health. Mack has been plagued by injuries throughout his career and now he's not practicing with some sort of an ankle issue. Its a reminder that he carries higher then usual in game injury risk as well. Still, if he plays he's in a smash spot. RB Kerryon Johnson $5, HYBRID Seattle is giving up a ton of yardage on the ground to enemy RB's this season and we saw KJ break out last week for 158 yards on the ground while adding in some passing game work. It's only a matter of time before then hand KJ the reigns and put LGBT out to pasture but it would be speculation to assume that is a lock to happen this week. On Fanduel, TD's are king and I can't trust KJ to get one here based on the way the Lions tend to pull him in goal line situations. RB Phillip Lindsay $5, CORE Chiefs are a much better home then away defense but with the possibility that Royce Freeman may not play this week, the target/touch floor for Lindsay is quite a bit higher then it's been so far this season when he's split touches with Royce. I don't mind Lindsay even if Freeman plays but if he's out that could raise the floor to cash play levels. Obviously there is some game flow risk here but I can't see the Broncos completely abandoning the run outside of a complete blowout **** Edit - Freeman is indeed out for this game. Lindsay should get the bulk of the carries for Denver. His viability will come down to which Broncos offense shows up. If its the semi-competent version, Lindsay should have a nice game RB Chris Carson $4, GPP I never trust the Seahawks RB usage. Carson sets up well here against a bottom ranked Lions defense and I expect this game to be close throughout so I would expect Carson to see plenty of reps. Any time a team is splitting carries between two (or 3) RB's there is that chance the other guy (Mike Davis) vultures the potential TD's which would destroy Carson's value. Still, its hard to ignore this plus matchup.

3 Tyreek Hill $8, GPP Hill is the most valuable when his team isn't completely dominating their opponent. The question becomes if Denver is an opponent we can rely on to not be able to put many points up and keep the game competetive. Antonio Brown $8, HYBRID Brown put up a big number versus the Browns in week one. Theres no reason to think he wont do the same thing at home this week. Brown will be lower owned then usual as he's competing with Adams and Green who bots have even better on paper matchups A.J. Green $8, HYBRID Green's salary has been jacked up to Antonio Brown levels? Thats crazy. Obviously this is a spectacular matchup for Green and he certainly carries a nice floor/ceiling combination but I'll have a hard time paying this much for him outside of stacks with Dalton Davante Adams $7, CORE Adams will be one of the most popular stud plays and overall plays this week. The game total is massive and Rodgers has been laser focused on Adams all season. Adams is coming off a 16 target 10 reception effort and its his 4th double digit target game to start the season. Mike Evans $7, GPP Evans lacks the floor I look for in a high dollar cash/hybrid play mainly because the Bucs to tend to spread their targets around. He brings a 2+ TD ceiling to the table in just about every game but if he doesn't get into the endzone he's not likely to deliver enough PPR/Yardage points to pay off in what is an otherwise ideal spot on paper Odell Beckham Jr. $7, GPP Redskins have been middle of the pack vs opposing 's this season. This game projects as a low scoring run fest. With Green, Brown and Adams all in higher projected games, OBJ is no more then a GPP low ownership pivot here. JuJu Smith- Schuster $7, HYBRID JuJu has been good but AB has better. I'd prefer to find the extra 800 and pay up here in hybrids for Brown. Brandin Cooks $6, HYBRID Cooks and Woods are in the same boat. This game looks like it will be a fantasy points bonana. I want as much exposure to it as I can get Robert Woods $6, HYBRID With Kupp out both Woods and Cooks are set up for some extra volume at home in the highest projected game on the slate. I'm of the mind that Rodgers and company will keep this game close enough to keep Goff throwing throughout the game somewhat mitigating the issues we saw the past few weeks when Gurley simply took the games over and absorbed all the fantasy points for himself. Tyler Boyd $6, HYBRID Boyd is a reasonable way to get exposure to the Bengals offense in a potential smash spot. I'll use him even outside of stacks with Dalton Emmanuel Sanders $6, CORE Sanders has been the best thing about the Broncos offense this season and this is another potential spot for him to shine. Lets face it, the Chiefs are going to lay the smack down on the Broncos in this game. Keenum will be throwing in come from behind mode starting in the 2nd quarter. Most of those targets should go to Sanders who has been far and away the best on the team. T.Y. Hilton $6, HYBRID If the Raiders can put up any resistance at all, Luck will be throwing to Hilton frequently. Golden Tate $6, HYBRID I feel like this game has potential to play to the over. Tate is generally more of a Draftkings play for me where his tendency to pile up receptions and pass 100 yards recieving is reflected more healvily in the scoring system. John Brown $5, HYBRID Brown has hit more often then he's missed. Hes seeing a healthy 6-8 targets per game, most of them deep targets. The Ravens have not had success running the football this season so they throw a ton of passes every game.

4 Kenny Golladay $5, HYBRID Golliday is a redzone threat in a high projected game. We need salary relief at the position this week and Golliday seems underpriced relative to some other options in this range. Doug Baldwin $5, HYBRID Baldwin should go overlooked in this matchup. His target shares have been all over the place and the Seahawks have been trying to go run heavy for most of this season. That said, its not likely that the Seahawks take a lead and lean on the run here. They are road dogs facing a fairly potent Lions offense. I expect both teams to pingpong score and the Seahawks just don't have that many other passing game weapons to lean on. DeSean Jackson $5, HYBRID Jackson has been surprisingly consistent this season, somewhat defying the boom or bust label we normally have assigned to him. I cant discount his history however. He's always been big play reliant but this season he's been seeing plenty of big plays so far this year. This spot is as good as any he's been in all season as well. Tyler Lockett $5, GPP Lockett is a lower floor similar upside to John Brown play this week Taylor Gabriel $5, HYBRID Gabriel can pop off a big play at any time. With Alan Robinson hobbled and possibly out this week, Gabriel could see a few extra targets in this game. Massive upside and working with a hot QB. One of my favorite pay dow Geronimo Allison $5, CORE Allison is my preferred "pay down" spot with the Packers this week. He's been around 10+ fantasy points every game that he's started this season. This is a great way to get exposure to Aaron Rodgers and this 57+ point projected game for cheap. Randall Cobb $4, GPP Cobb is someone I might stack with Rodgers assuming he plays and appears healthy this week. He's more of a "Draftkings" PPR type play for me generally but this spot could elevate all of Rodgers pass catching weapons. I do feel there is at least some reinjury risk to content with here Michael Crabtree $4, HYBRID I don't love this matchup for Crabtree but he's been peppered with targets over the past few weeks which raises up his floor to a reasonable level. Chris Godwin $4, Hybrid I want exposure to this Bucs offense and Godwin is a cheaper way to get there. Godwin is a rotational player for the Bucs but he's consistently produced this season and he's averaging 5-6 receptions per game. Christian Kirk $4, Hybrid I have a sneaky feeling that the Cardinals will look better on offense this week under a new offensive coordinator. The 49ers are really bad vs the pass and even worse when Richard Sherman is hobbled or doesn't play. There are very limited options below 5K on Draftkings this week and Kirk Martavis Bryant $3, HYBRID Bryant is starting for the Raiders in a game with a massive projection. I'm not expecting a ton but he knows the offense and in a game where I expect the Raiders to be down and chasing, Bryant should see at least 5 targets in this game. I'm not expecting much here but he does posses the deep threat skill set that could potentially lead to a splash play or two.

5 TE Travis Kelce $6, Hybrid This isn't a week with enough value at other positions to pay up at TE, but if it was, Kelce is the top dog TE Jared Cook $5, CORE With all the drama surrounding the Raiders this play is a little scary but on the flip side, Cooper is gone and those targets need to go somewhere. Cook has shined when targeted for this offense and the Colts have given up the 7th most fantasy points to the TE position. TE Jimmy Graham $4, Hybrid Rams have not been great vs TE's ranking 22nd overall. I want as much exposure to this game and the 57 point total as I can find this week. TE David Njoku $4, CORE This is another great on paper matchup for Njoku. It was scary last week for a bit but eventually the Njoku chalk play came through. The Steelers are giving up 14.8 Fanduel points per game to the TE position. That's the 2nd most of any team in the league. Njoku continues to see plenty of targets on a weekly basis and this matchup just stands out against a Steelers Defense that just can't stop TE's at all. TE Evan Engram $4, GPP Engram is probably underpriced for his role. He's coming back from an injury and looked decent last week in limited action. TE O.J. Howard $3, Hybrid Bengals are at the bottom of the league at defending the TE position. Howard was targeted a whopping 9 times in last week's game vs Cleveland. There's no reason to expect that to change in an even better on paper matchup TE C.J. Uzomah $3, Hybrid The target shares for Uzomah are all over the place. Over the past three weeks, 2,7, and 2 targets. This week he faces a Bucs defense giving up the most points in the league to the TE position. POS Player Name TM OPP Salary Proj DEF Bears $4, HYBRID The Jets offense has been completely descimated by injuries. They should be without Robby Anderson and Enunwa at this week. In addition Bilal Powell is on IR. That leaves Jermain Kearse and two doods they signed over the past few weeks at the spots. It's not a good look. Add in a turnover prone rookie QB on the road facing one of the more ferocious defenses. It has all the makings of a multiturnover day with potential to smash for the Bears defense.primary concers is if Khalil Mack is actually healthy? Not sure. He will play but he wasn't his usual disruptive self these past couple of weeks. Either way the Bears should be able to have their way with this Jets offense that is devoid of weapons DEF Cardinals $3, HYBRID I have a good feeling about the Cardinals at home this week. I think the firing of the previous offensive coordinator will fire up the team. He ran a horrible offense and I wound think the players felt the same way. If the offense is sparked by a change of approach, that would translate over defensively as well. This is a 49ers team that is rolling out Beatherd at the helm of their offense. Its fair to speculate that Beatherd is in competition with Derek Anderson for the worst starting QB of any of the teams in the slate. I can't think of two worse starting QBs then those two so I want to target defenses against them. If Beatherd has an efficient turnover free day at qb then so be it. But I like paying down at defense and this feels like a misprice. DEF Chiefs $2, GPP Chiefs defense hasn't been great all season but they play much better at home then on the road and they looked great against the Bengals last week. In the first game vs Denver they got 4 sacks and an INT. I'd say that is along the lines of a reasonable expectation this week. DEF Steelers $2, CORE Each week I try to find the "cash game sweetspot" on defense. This week its the Steelers at home facing a Browns team helmed by a rookie QB, that has been vulnerable to sacks. More importantly is the salary. They are on the bottom range of the D spectrum but have one of the best home matchups. Looking across the slate the only Defense I might like more are the Bears but they happen to be the most expensive to roster.

- Week 12. QB Cam Newton $8, ALL. QB Andrew Luck $8, Hybrid

- Week 12. QB Cam Newton $8, ALL. QB Andrew Luck $8, Hybrid QB Cam Newton $8,600 21.97 46.5 25.00-3.5 ALL Newton brings the weekly floor that comes from his goalline involvement and his usage in the running game. He brings a weekly high floor to the table which