Ben Roethlisberger $6, ALL

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1 POS Player Name TM OPP Salary Proj QB Ben Roethlisberger $6, ALL This game carries a whopping 57 point total. People were burned last week rolling out Ben at home vs the Patriots and they may be hesitant to attack the "chalk game" again. I'm going back for more pain. The Saints stop the run fairly well particularly at home. They have been solid defensively this season and if I was betting this game I'd bet the under. That said, on a slate where the next highest projected game total is a full 10 points lower we need to give this game plenty of attention. The nice thing about Ben is that its fairly easy to nail down who he will be throwing to on a week to week basis. JuJu and Brown. Both of them shit the bed in what was a tougher matchup then what many people suspected. This week Juju may be injured which props up Brown even more as a target monster but also brings Eli Rogers and James Washington into the potential stack mix QB Drew Brees $6, ALL Brees is the second piece of the "chalk" game of the week. He's a difficult player to include in a stack so this is a situation where he can be run out naked or in game stacks with players from the Steelers QB Jared Goff $6, Hybrid This could be a "get right" game for Goff with Gurley somewhat ailing at the moment. Goff has been awful the past few weeks but now he takes on a Cardinals defense that just got torched by Matt Ryan and company. With Patrick Peterson on the outside likely locked on to Cooks, Woods becomes the more obvious stack pairing QB Aaron Rodgers $6, Hybrid Rodgers is carrying a Q tag into this game but it looks like he is going to be fine. A healthy Aaron Rodgers should be able to put up a big number on this Jets Defense. Stack with Adams and whoever is playing out of the slot for GB. It could be St Brown or MVS. Not for the feint of heart plays. For game stacks which I am definitely going to do here I'd bring it back with Roby Anderson or Elijah McGuire. QB Mitchell Trubisky $6, GPP These recent 49ers games all seem to be high scoring. Good offenses have been able to put points on to the 49ers defense this season. Seattle put 43 points on them a few weeks back and 26 last week. I could see the Bears doing the same or similar in this spot which could lead to good things for Trubitsky. More of a tournament play for being that its a cross country road game so expectations are less then if this was in Chicago. He's tricky to stack and my favorite is probably Cohen mainly because he has such a strong passing game role. Gabriel, Allen Robinson, and Trey Burton round out the mix. QB Andrew Luck $6, ALL QB Baker Mayfield $6, GPP QB Josh Allen $5, Hybrid Luck is coming off his worst week of the season where the Cowboys just couldn't stop the RB and they never needed to throw for TDs. Recency bias will have people hesitant to roster him here but Mack hasn't been a "take over the game" type of RB all season. I would expect Luck to get back to his usual 25ish points per game ways. Stack with Hilton and/or Ebron in team stacks. Game stacking here is definitely a viable approach as well. Engram, Shepard and Barkley from the Giants are all candidates on the comeback The last time these two teams faced off Mayfield had a big day putting up 25 fantasy points. He's coming off a string of very tough matchups and now he gets to take on the league worst Bengals Defense at home. The way Mayfield spreads the football around makes it very tough to stack him. Landry would be the top candidate. My primary concern here is Chubb and the likelihood that the Browns just dominate this terrible Bengals run defense to the point where Baker doesn't really need to throw much. I don't see many paths to the Bengals making a game of this one and the steady line movement towards the Browns is an indication that Vegas agrees. GPP Only This Patriots game is going to be a major challenge for Allen and the Bills. The question is if he can keep the magic going or will the Patriots scheme up an answer for the crazy offense the Bills are putting out there right now. It's worth noting that the Patriots have excellent cover corners but they generally play man coverage which could free up the running lanes for Allen. I think this is the toughest week yet matchupwise for this Bills offense so it will be interesting to see how it goes. QB Dak Prescott $5, ALL I like targeting QB's facing this awful Bucs defense. The key for Dak here would be if the Bucs can somehow hang some points on the Cowboys and make this a competitive game. The easy stack is with Amari Cooper who is primary pass catching weapon on this team. Zeke is stackable with Dak as well in both cash and GPP formats

2 QB Nick Foles $4, GPP Foles is basically free this week. He looked good in a tough Rams matchup last week even if it didn't lead to a ton of fantasy scoring. He has a clear connection with Alshon Jeffrey and that would be the primary stack partner. Ertz is in the mix as well. QB Taylor Heinicke $4, ALL/GPP Such a sneaky play. No one knows how Heincke will perform. What we do know is he's been in the system for a while and he's priced dirt cheap. We've seen debuting QB's do well all season, whether it was Mullins or Beathard or whoever. This Atlanta defense has generally been terrible and the Panthers are at home so this is as good of a spot as any for Heinicke's big chance to impress. One thing is for sure, if Heinicke is having a great day, CMC will be involved as well. After that, DJ Moore, Curtis Samuel and Ian Thomas could be involved as well. If we play this stack, consider bringing it back around with some players from the Falcons. POS Player Name TM OPP Salary Proj RB Ezekiel Elliott $9, CORE I'm going to start by addressing the elephant in the room. Where are Barkley (FANDUEL) and Gurley on this list? As I write this note on Wednesday its not clear what will happen with Gurley as far as his health status is concerned. Last week the Colts Defense stopped Zeke in his tracks. I don't have any issue rolling out Barkley this week but because we really can't afford to pay up for both him and Zeke I'm just listing my preferred play in the salary range on Fanduel. The other thing for me is the salary discrepancy. On Draftkings, Barkley comes in a full $1000 less then Zeke whereas he's more expensive on FD. I'm clipping that coupon. RB Christian McCaffrey $8, Hybrid/GPP CMC is just a tough call for me this week. The mactchup on paper is spectacular. The Falcons have bled points to RB's all season ranked 29th overall in points allowed to the position. The "Falcons suck vs pass catching RB's" narrative has been a thing for multiple seasons. My concern is the QB play with Newton on the shelf. It's not that I don't think CMC will be fine. My concern is paying up a massive salary we need a player that can't miss. I'd rather save a few dollars and use Zeke in a much better spot RB Saquon Barkley $7, Hybrid/GPP Barkley is relatively much cheaper on DK then FD so he's only making the DK version of the list this week. There is enough seperation between him and Zeke to make Barkley playable on Draftkings where his usual heavy passing game role will help. We have two recency bias items working against us here. First, Zeke just got stifled by this Colts Defense last week. Second, Barkley failed spectacularly at home vs the Titans last week. That should lead to reduced Barkley ownership for this contest but it also introduces bust risk in what appears to be a tough matchup. Barkley has beaten tough matchups (except last week) all season and that would be my expectation here as well RB Alvin Kamara $7, Hybrid/GPP I really like Kamara in this matchup. If the game plays to the Vegas numbers and winds up close and high scoring, Kamara will be heavily involved. Working in his favor, the Steelers will have Joe Haden on Michael Thomas which will lower the likelyhood of the offense flowing through MT. RB Nick Chubb $7, ALL Chubb checks in with a rare 20+ point rating on our NFL research station this week. The Bengals have been brutally bad vs the run. Now we get Chubb at home as a heavy favorite. He's been a volume machine this season and last week's "Cook" and "Mixon" performances were a reminder of how important it is to target quality matchups for RB's. To be clear, the Bengals have allowed the most points per game of any team to opposing RB's! Chubb is dangerously expensive this week and if I'm forced to choose just one high priced RB I'm going with Zeke, but the spot for Chubb is as good as it gets RB Dalvin Cook $6, ALL As long as Cook is getting opportunities in aboundance he should be putting up points. He's delivered results on a weekly basis. They have targeted him 7 and 10 times in 2 of the past three games. Latavius Murray got 15 carries as well last week which could have been due to the blowout more then an indication of the type of time share we are looking at with Cook. I prefer RB's at home but the Vikings should be the better team in this spot. RB Jaylen Samuels $6, GPP It looks like Samuels will get the full workload again this week with Conner still likely to sit out. The salary has exploded to the upside and this matchup isn't the best with the Saints ranking at the top of the league at limiting opposing RB scoring. Samuels' heavy passing game role will keep him relevant but the salary is overinflated RB Tarik Cohen $6, GPP He generally sees around 10 touches per game with the occasional spike in touches. His floor is lower then other RB's in his salary range which keeps him in the tournament conversation for me but when he hits he brings a GPP winning ceiling to the table. I like stacking him with Trubitsky because he does most of his damage via the pass RB Marlon Mack $5, Hybrid Mack is interesting. Since he started playing mid-season Mack has faced Ten and Jax defenses twice, Houston, Dallas and Buffalo. Before a recent tough stretch of defensive opponents he had smashed the Raiders for 31.9 points. He had so many mediocre performances in bad matchups until last week when he smashed what was a solid Dallas run defense. This is a great matchup facing a road Giants Defense that is giving up the 26th most points to opposing RB's. Mack isn't used much in the passing game which takes him out of cash lineup consideration for me. RB Jamaal Williams $5, Hybrid Williams should get a full compliment of snaps next week with no one but Kapri Bibbs backing him up. He saw 5 targets last week proving they are willing to use him in the passing game. Jets defense has been pretty solid vs the run this season ranked 11th overall. That said, an RB with a path to 20+ touches in an Aaron Rodgers led offense for under 6K on Fanduel is just too cheap to pass up RB Sony Michel $4, GPP RB Tevin Coleman $4, GPP I'll start with the fact that the Patriots are 13.5 point home favorites this week. The first rule of the RB position is to target heavy favorites at home. If the lines are anywhere near correct for this game then it's a smash spot for Michel. I'm expecting exremely low ownership numbers for Michel because Buffalo carries this perception of being a tough defense. In reality they have been below average vs the run allowing 23.4 fantasy points per game to the position (22nd overall). Michel splits touches with White and Burkhead which lowers his touch floor a bit. That said, if the Patriots take a big lead or if the run is working with Michel, he could absolutely see a spike game. I love him as a GPP pivot off some chalkier options in what it actually a solid spot on paper The Panthers have actually been stingy vs the run this season allowing the 7th fewest fantasy points to the position. The Falcons tend to split carries on their teams and the coach has already stated that he wants to give backup RB Brian Hill "a closer look". I think that way too many people will chase last week's points with Coleman to where he will be extremely chalky. Before last week he had multiple low scoring weeks. I'll throw him into my GPP mix but not a cash play for me.

3 RB Elijah McGuire $4, Hybrid RB Alfred Blue $4, Hybrid Last week McGuire had 18 carries and 4 targets in the passing game. If the Jets can muster up a competent offensive performance for this game then McGuire will benefit. His low salary and high floor make for a nice cash play consideration and he will probably just need a TD to exceed salary based expectations. The Packers have actually been above average at limiting fantasy scoring to opposing RB's allowing just 20.8 points to opposing RB's, 12th overall. In the end of the day, opportunity wins out. If he gets most of the carries and targets he should have a reasonably high floor. Lamar Miller is out this week which leaves Blue as a workhorse RB in what is actially an excellent matchup on paper. I expect ownership on Blue to be extremely low this week which is nice in GPP's. The most intriguing part for me is his passing game usage. Back in week 5, Miller was hurt and Blue got the start. He was targeted 8 times in that game. I don't expect that to happen again here but its nice to know thats in his repetoire. Give me 20 touches for this salary level. It's really tough to pass up.

4 POS Player Name TM OPP Salary Proj Julio Jones $8, GPP/Injury Jones draws a tough on paper matchup facing Panthers elite CB Bradberry who limited him to just 5 receptions on 9 targets in week two when these teams first met. Jones has a hip injury which complicates matters as well. Finally, Jones was in the nuts lineup last week so recency bias will increase his ownership level in this spot. ***Update - Jones is currently a game time decision so obviously pay attention to injury reports as the week progresses DeAndre Hopkins $8, Hybrid It's no secret that the Eagles secondary has been in tatters. They are ranked 31st in points allowed to opposing 's this season. The Texans passing offense flows through him and I think the Eagles at home will keep the pressure up. I love him in game stacks with Foles, Alshon and Ertz this week and potentially as a stand alone play Davante Adams $8, ALL Adams is my every week mancrush. He is a target monster and the most consistent in the NFL all season. He's had bad matchup after bad matchup and it hasn't mattered. The Jets are a bad team and as long as Rodgers is playing he will be peppering Adams with targets. Antonio Brown $8, ALL This game carries the highest projection on the slate by a large margin. AB is having a down season and is coming off of a brutal week where he put up just 14.9 DK points and crushed the dreams of anyone that rostered him. I'm looking for a bounceback from AB in a great on paper spot facing a very mediocre Saints pass defense. Stack with Ben Michael Thomas $8, GPP Thomas is going to see a healthy dose of Joe Haden in this week's matchup. Not ideal. Haden has been elite all season. Thomas has the talent to beat quality coverage but I prefer paying up for players with plus matchups. GPP only in some stacks with Brees JuJu Smith- Schuster $8, INJ? Schuster popped up on the injury report mid-week with a groin injury. That is not a good sign for him. I'm definitely concerned about soft tissue injuries to speedy 's. Even if he plays I will be minimizing exposure. If he is out, AB and James Washington get bumps Adam Thielen $7, GPP Thielen's salary has been dropping as has his recent production. Vikings have been focusing more on the run in recent weeks and his target share has suffered. This Lions defense has actually been decent vs the run recently and much more vulnerable to the pass. With Diggs getting the Slay treatment this could be an ideal get right spot. The issue for me is the lack of production we have seen from Thielen over the past few weeks and the reduced passing volume in this offense overall with the emergence of Cook as a workhorse weapon doesn't justify this salary level for Thielen in anything outside of a GPP Amari Cooper $7, Hybrid/GPP Last week in my slack channel we discussed (shout out to Chimo) how Dak has been much more successful historically facing man coverage teams and how the Colts play zone defense most of the time which might be a problem for Cooper chalk. That proved correct and Cooper predictably busted. This is a different spot. Cooper is priced up a bit here but he's at home facing the awful Bucs defense. As a bonus, the Bucs actually have an offense capable of keeping up with the Cowboys which could push Dak to throw a bit more frequently they he otherwise might. This is still a Zeke smash spot but Cooper is in a solid spot as well. He's basically the only that Dak looks for at this point and he put up massive numbers in two of the past four weeks Stefon Diggs $7, GPP Diggs should see a healthy dose of Darius Slay in this game. Diggs has been the most sensitive to quality coverage in the league over the past two seasons mainly because when he is covered the Vikings just shift the focus to Thielen. Julian Edelman $7, Hybrid There is some temptation to go to Edelman here with Gordon out for the Patriots. I'm concerned about his ankle/foot injury situation. He was grabbing at it multiple times in last week's game and Edelman's superpower is generally his quick cutting ability which could be impacted here. I'm throwing up a "caution" sign on this play T.Y. Hilton $7, ALL The Giants have actually been decent against 's this season ranked 7th overall and allowing just 25.4 points per game to opposing 's. Hilton should see a combination of Janorice Jenkins and B.W. Webb in coverage this week. Webb has actually been the better CB by far this season even though Jenkins has the name value. In the end of the day, Hilton allways has the ability to smash in a home game. This Colts offense has been incredible for most of the season but moreso at home. They should smash the Giants in this spot. I love Luck this week and I see him connecting with Hilton frequently in this game Mike Evans $6, GPP Evans actually had a nice game in a brutal matchup vs the Ravens last week. This spot isn't that much better on paper. Dallas has been fantastic at home this season defensively. They allow the 3rd fewest points per game to enemy 's on the season. This is exclusively a game stack play for me. Robert Woods $6, ALL Woods should avoid Patrick Peterson coverage in this game and is actually in a sneaky smash spot this week. As of this writing its not clear what the Rams will do with Gurley but if they limit or rest him it will be to the benefit of of the Goff and the Rams corps. Woods continues to get a steady weekly target share with 11,8, 13 and 9 over the past four weeks. Some down games from Godd have lulled us to sleep on what has otherwise been an explosive offense. Ownership will be low on Woods and he could deliver GPP winning numbers in this spot Brandin Cooks $6, GPP Cooks is more likely to see Patrick Peterson coverage on the outside as compared to Woods out of the slot in this matchup. With Gurley's health questionable at best, this is a potential smash spot for Goff and his pass catchers. Woods has been seeing more targets on a week to week basis as compared to Cooks and has the better on paper matchup. I'm leaving Cooks as a GPP only "stack with Goff" play this week where as Woods is an all formats play

5 Jarvis Landry $6, Hybrid This is obviously a solid spot for Landry in the sense that the Bengals defense is terrible in all categories. The primary concern here is volume. Landy's target share has been down significantly since the early part of the season lowering his floor significantly. He has GPP winning upside in this matchup for this salary. Stack with Mayfield Allen Robinson II $5, Hybrid Robinson has only passed 100 yards once this season so he will need tuddies to make value. This 49ers matchup isn't particularly difficult with the 49ers ranked 28th overall in fantasy points allowed to opposing 's. I'm more interested in him as a stack with Mitch play as opposed to a stand alone value play Alshon Jeffery $5, Hybrid Alshon has been garbage for most of the season. Last week he had a breakout game with his old buddy Foles. Now we have a decision to make. His salary is reasonable and the conncetion between him and Foles is undeniable. He's most definitely a "stack with Foles" only piece on this slate. The question is if we can play him outside of game stacks? I'm leaning no. If Alshon has a tournement winning Day then paying down for Foles was probably also the right move. Calvin Ridley $5, GPP Strictly a GPP pivot off of what will be the more popular Julio play. Panthers CB Bradberry has been shutting down opposing #1 's all season. In a "silly for the Milly" approach, Ridley could be stacked with CMC and Heinike Robert Foster $4, Hybrid Foster has now crushed value in 4 out of the 5 games he's been involved in since the Bills trimmed the fat and got rid of Kelvin. This is his most difficult matchup yet facing a Patriots defense that boasts elite cornerback play. I still like him this week but the floor is lower in this matchup as compared to the past few weeks when the Bills were at home facing subpar pass defenses. Stack with Allen Sterling Shepard $4, Hybrid Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me. Fool me three times? Last week Shepard saw 9 targets but was only able to haul in two of them. This isn't the greatest spot on paper for Sterling but if OBJ is out again he should be on track for another 6-9 targets. At his dirt cheap salary and with no ownership after the previous two duds, I'm going back to the well in tournaments Adam Humphries $4, Hybrid Its not the best matchup as far as the game as a whole but there is reason for optimism with both Humphries and Godwin here. Cowboys elite corner Byron Jones should be across from Mike Evans for most of this game which should open thing up for Humphries out of the slot. This Dallas defense has been excellent as far as slowing teams down and limiting opposing fantasy points. This Bucs defense is so bad that it may turn that dynamic around a bit with Dallas scoring faster the usual which would actually reduce the "slow the game down" effect we saw against a more stout defense like the Saints. After a few bad games in brutal matchups, everyone has forgotten about Humphries Robby Anderson $4, ALL Anderson could wind up as one of the chalkier plays on this slate. He is the primary "playmaker" in the Jets offense right now with target counts of 7, 7, and 11 over the past three weeks. The nice thing is that he is used as a deep threat so the targets are high value. He's bargain priced on Fanduel and Draftkings this week and if the Jets offense can get anything at all going he should be heavily involved. Chris Godwin $4, Hybrid Dante Pettis $4, Hybrid Its not the best matchup as far as the game (Dallas is at the top of the league at limiting opposing team fantasy scoring) as a whole but there is reason for optimism. Cowboys elite corner Byron Jones should be across from Mike Evans for most of this game which should open thing up for Humphries out of the slot. This Dallas defense has been excellent as far as slowing teams down and limiting opposing fantasy points. This Bucs defense is so bad that it may turn that dynamic around a bit with Dallas scoring faster the usual which would actually reduce the "slow the game down" effect we saw against a more stout defense like the Saints. After a few bad games in brutal matchups, everyone has forgotten about Godwin. This wee he will see the burnable Chidobe Awuzie in coverage. Awuzie is allowing a QBR of on passes thrown in his direction. Not good The Bears stop the run so well that they teams generally abandon it and attack via the pass. Pettis has been solid over the past few weeks under the Mullins regime. In a similar matchup vs the Seahawks thee weeks ago, Pettis beasted for 32.7 DK points. I'm not expecting that but he should be in a good spot to see 5-7 targets in this game. Tre'Quan Smith $4, GPP Smith has been much better at home then on the road this season. He brings a floor of 0 to the table here but the ceiling if he gets targets is sky high. A classic GPP only play with a narrative (home road splits) to support it Chris Hogan $3, GPP Hogan didn't do much early in the season when Edelman and Gordon weren't around so it's a stretch to assume that this time things will be different. That said, Gordon is gone and that should at worst lead to more snaps for Hogan. He will still be a low floor boom or bust play

6 POS Player Name TM OPP Salary Proj TE George Kittle $6, Hybrid Kittle is a contrarian pivot off of Ertz. It's generally unwise to target players going up against this Bears Defense. They are giving up just 39.1 yards per game to opposing TE's this season which is very low. Kittle is a special player and one of just a handfull of featured TE's in the league. He can beat a mediocre on paper matchup. TE Zach Ertz $5, ALL TE Eric Ebron $5, ALL TE is a shit show at the lower salary levels this week. Ertz is the safest bet for a high target volume game particularly considering that the Texans sport a spectacular run defense and generally need to be attacked through the air. Houston is giving up 10.9 points per game (20th overall) and a 76% catch rate to opposing TE's. Ertz should easily see 7+ targets in this spot. Stack with Foles Ebron failed spectacularly in a chalk spot last week. The equasion however remains the same. Luck does like targeting his TE's and Ebron is the only one playing for them right now. Last week they didn't need him as they leaned heavily on the running game and Dallas couldn't slow Mack down at all. Ebron's redzone role is secure in this offense however and I'm looking for a bounce back vs a Giants team that is allowing 5 recptions and 56.8 yards per game to opposing TE's. They have actually only allowed 3 TD's to TE's which has kept their PPG numbers artificially low. In a neutral matchup we can go right back to Ebron TE Rob Gronkowski $5, GPP The Patriots tried to feed Gronk in the first matchup with the Bills. He got 8 targets in that game and didn't do much with them. With Josh Gordon out this week I could see more of the same. Its frustrating to pay up for Gronk because he is frequently forgotten in this offense. Last week's 5 target 2 reception dud will keep ownership down. TE Evan Engram $4, ALL Engram had a nice game last week where he saw a whopping 12 targets. If OBJ is out again I'm going right back to Engram as a pay down option in this spot. TE's beat zone defenses. Last week when Dallas faced the Colts, Blake "The Snake" Jarwin, the Dallas TE, was targeted a whopping 7 times with 4 receptions. That may not sound like much but that was a ceiling game for Jarwin. Opposing TE's are catching 77% of targets going their way vs the Colts this season and they are giving up a massive 73.6 yards per game to the position. In a week where there is a lack of quality pay down at TE options, Engram, sans OBJ, is actually one of the best situations to target TE Vance McDonald $4, GPP Vance is a "get exposure to the high total game" play much more then a matchup based play this week. He's facing a Saints Defense that has been extremelt stingy to opposing TE's allowing just 3.5 receptions per game and 7.4 fantasy points to the position. GPP stack with Ben only for me TE Cameron Brate $3, GPP This is actially a solid matchup for Brate facing a Dallas defense that is allowing 5.5 receptions and 55.1 yards per game to opposing TE's. They rank 19th overall in fantasy points allowed to the position. Brate is basically TD or bust on a week to week basis rarely exceeding 4-5 targets so this is a bet on his endzone role TE David Njoku $3, Hybrid Burn me once, shame on you. Burn me twice, shame on me. Burn me 10X and just send me to the nut house. Njoku has been rightfully priced down on both sites. Earlier this season he was looking like a high floor, high targets, low efficiency player we could rely on. He had a nice 3-4 week run in the early part of the season where he was seeing 7+ targets per game. The Browns changed up their offense since then and have been spreading the football around generously. Njoku is good for 4-6 targets per week at this point regardless of the matchup. That said, this is an excellent matchup facing a Bungles offense giving up a massive 13.3 points per game on average to opposing TE's. 2nd worst in the league. TE Austin Hooper $3, Hybrid Hooper is a volatile player that I rarely use in DFS. This week he faces a Carolina Defense that tends to funnel targets to opposing TE's, allowing 5.2 receptions per game to the position on average. Jones will have a difficult matchup going up agaist Bradberry coverage which could potentially push targets away from him to the inside. TE Ian Thomas $3, Hybrid Thomas is an interesting "stack with Heinkie" candidate and potentially a stand alone TE pay down option. We know young QB's will often lean on their TE. There aren't any plays at TE that stand out as must pay up situations so this is a way to pay down and hopefully build some floor in a situation where Thomas should see 4-6 targets POS Player Name TM OPP Salary Proj DEF Bears $3, Hybrid I'm generally looking to pay down further then this and utilize home defenses but this is a good spot for the Bears and it needs to be pointed out. They have been solid all season and get to face an inexperienced QB. The potential for turnovers is high DEF Colts $3, GPP Giants play worse on the road generally and this Colts defense just completely stopped what had been a surging Cowboys offense. DEF Rams $3, ALL Anytime a team is favored by a massive 14.5 points facing the worst offense in the NFL it seems like a no brainer to utilize the Defense.

7 DEF Texans $3, GPP Just in case Foles implodes, this Texans Defense has been solid all season. Worth a stab in tournaments DEF Browns $3, ALL The Bengals will be without Dalton, Green and Boyd for this game. That's alot of missing weapons. The Browns have actually been much better vs the pass then the run this season ranking 5th in DVOA vs the pass and 26th vs the run. I'm thinking that the lack of much of a passing game threat will allow the Browns to focus on stopping Mixon who is coming off of a very big game DEF Vikings $2, Hybrid This Lions offense lacks balance. They can't really run the football right now and with Rhoades taking out Golliday, they should have a hard time advancing the football. DEF Cowboys $2, Hybrid Cowboys defense has been incredible solid at home this season and they are helped by the slow methodical scheme they use on offense where they eat the clock and focus on Elliott runs to drive down the field. DEF Patriots $2, Hybrid There aren't many great pay down options this week but the dynamic I've looked for all season is in play. Rookie QB on the road facing a competent defense can often lead to turnovers. Pats D has actually been very solid as far as getting to the QB all season. I think Belichik is sharp enough to scheme a defense that will stop the one dimensional attack that the Bills bring to the table DEF Falcons $2, GPP Strictly a play on hoping that the backup QB for the Panthers fails in his first ever start