First off, the three sets of strength indicators we publish in PSW are my very own ratings. They are:

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2 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 Index Welcome to Point Spread Weekly...2 Tuley s Takes: NFL Week 11, CFB Week VSiN NFL Consensus...6 VSiN NFL Best Bets NFL Games to Watch...7 Handpicked Trends for CFB and NFL Games...8 Handing Down Judgement for NFL Rookie QBs...11 NFL Trends from The Gold Sheet NFL Matchups Inside the SuperContest...26 VSiN College Football Consensus VSiN College Football Best Bets College Football Games to Watch...28 College Football Matchups...29 College Football Trends from The Gold Sheet...71 VSiN Pro Basketball Consensus NBA Games to Watch...75 Steve Makinen s NBA Strength Ratings...76 Top NBA Head to Head Trends...79 NBA Team Reports...80 VSiN College Basketball Consensus...82 Steve Makinen s College Basketball Strength Ratings...83 Top College Basketball Head to Head Trends...93 Covering Big Spreads Early in CBB...94 College Basketball Team Reports...95 NHL Team Report Ford Ecoboost 400 Race Simulations CFL Division Finals Betting Preview European Tour, PGA Wraparound Conclude Insight the Octagon: UFC Fight Night Welcome to Point Spread Weekly Thank you for downloading Week 12 of the VSiN Point Spread Weekly. It s another huge issue to keep you on top of all the action over the next week or so. In this edition of PSW, we cover everything from college & pro football, to college & pro basketball, to golf, NHL, MMA, CFL, and the NASCAR championship race. I assure you, if you re betting this week at South Point or your other favorite establishment, we got it covered. We want to thank all of our new subscribers, as well as our long time loyal readers, as it has been a crazy month here at VSiN, and we have been overwhelmed by the response to our recent subscription specials. We hope you are enjoying the coverage, and from the sounds of it you have, but I am going to spend most of the rest of my letter this week dealing with a popular question. HOW DO I BEST USE ALL THE RATINGS PUBLISHED IN POINT SPREAD WEEKLY? It s a common question without an easy answer but I will try to describe the process from which the numbers are built and some tips on things to look for when analyzing the numbers each week. First off, the three sets of strength indicators we publish in PSW are my very own ratings. They are: 1) Power Ratings: my own manually adjusted ratings updated after every game based upon analysis of live action and box scores 2) Effective Strength Ratings: These are purely statistical ratings, using the teams key stats against schedule strength and their previous opponents averages. These are also adjusted for any key injuries the team had endured or faced against. 3) Bettors Ratings are a quantified interpretation of how bettors perceive teams based upon how lines of recent games have moved and closed against the strength of opponents played. Unfortunately, there is no foolproof or guaranteed profit method to using the ratings. Typically I would say the POWER RATINGS are the best indicator of the actual strength of a team and usually are the closest to the actual bookmakers numbers. Here you will be looking for subtle advantages for teams. Watch specifically for numbers that vary greatly from the actual numbers as these can be either great wagering opportuntiies, or perhaps red flags of other circumstances that might be affecting a game. The Effective Strength Ratings are ONLY stat based figures. Sometimes stats can tell a great story about a team, but other times can be misleading as they don t typically take into account motivational factors or any fluke circumstances that might have impacted games. Bettors Ratings can give a good indication of how a team has been perceived in the betting world recently. Teams on current Cover Photo by USA Today Sports Images Publication Design by Matt Devine 2

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4 NFL AUGUST COVERAGE 30 SEPTEMBER 3 Tuley s Takes: NFL Week 11, CFB Week 12 BY DAVE TULEY Week 10 was just your usual crazy week in the NFL. There did seem to be more blowouts than usual in the early games on Sunday, but they weren t the ones everyone was expecting. The red-hot Saints did rout the Bengals as many thought (though I mistakenly trusted the Bengals to keep it close) and the Bears dominated the Lions (again, most people were on the Bears and it was another loser for yours truly), but then there were the surprising blowouts with the Bills annihilating the Jets (at least I was on the winning side of that one), the Browns running over the Falcons and the Titans routing the Patriots With the help of the Redskins pulling a minor upset of the Buccaneers and Cardinals and Seahawks covering in losses to the Chiefs and Rams, respectively, I was able to pull a 4-3 ATS week out of the minefield of underdogs going ATS for the week. Actually, I hope followers of the dog-or-pass philosophy have been faring better than yours truly when it comes to the decision-making part of the process each week as my posted best bets here are ATS while all underdogs are ATS (54.5%) on the season through 10 weeks. Sometimes I wish I had just been betting underdogs blindly! but, seriously, we believe over the long haul that the best approach is to break down these games on an individual basis and find the most profitable plays. As for totals wagering, unders lead overs through 10 weeks, and at least I ve pulled a profitable record out of there with a mark (56%) after losing with the Falcons-Browns Over 50.5 last Sunday and winning with the Giants-49ers Over 44 on Monday night. Let s get to the NFL Week 11 card, which is a little light with just 13 games as we have six teams on their bye week. If I don t have a best bet in the NFL, I ll give a pool play for those who have contests where they pick every game. Lines are from the South Point as of Tuesday afternoon unless otherwise noted. THURSDAY Packers (o/u 49.5) at Seattle (-2.5) Tuley s Take: This is a pretty important game for both teams in the NFC wild-card chase. I give the edge to the Seahawks as they ve even been playing well in their defeats to the Rams (twice, but covering both times) and the Chargers. The Packers also covered in a loss to the Rams, so except for Seattle s home-field advantage, this is tough to pick the winning side. Instead, I love the Over as both offenses have been clicking lately while both defenses aren t as strong as they used to be. In addition, Overs are 7-2 on Thursday nights (not counting Week 1 when it wasn t a short week) as offenses have been lighting it up with the defenses having little time to prepare. In fact, the only Unders were the Jets-Browns in Week 3 and two weeks ago when the Raiders only scored 3 points (while the 49ers did their part in scoring 34). Both offense should do their part here. Best Bet: Over 49.5 (pool play: Seahawks in all of my few SU & ATS contests that include Thursday Night Football). SUNDAY, NOV. 18 Panthers (-3.5) at Lions (o/u 51.5) Tuley s Take: Home underdogs are still hitting at a ATS clip (56.3%) this year, but (spoiler alert) I don t like any of them this week (which, of course, probably means that the Lions, Redskins, Jaguars will probably go 2-1 ATS). I can t bring myself to pull the trigger on the Lions after they let me down the past two weeks against the Vikings and Bears. Those were two lackluster performances and now they face a Carolina team that was rolling along until running into the buzzsaw that is the Steelers last Thursday. I lean to the over, but the oddsmakers set it a little too high for my liking. Best Bet: Pass (pool play: Panthers around 60/40 in ATS pools and closer to 90/10 in SU contests). Cowboys (o/u 47.5) at Falcons (-3.5) Tuley s Take: This is potentially another elimination game in the cluttered NFC wild-card race. It s tempting to try to make a case for the Cowboys off their win over the Eagles (and three most recent losses to the Texans, Redskins and Titans don t look as bad in light of recent results), but I still have faith in the Falcons though they pale in comparison to the Super Bowl runner-up of two years ago. The Falcons let me down last week with the Over at Cleveland last Sunday, but I m firing again this Sunday. Yes, they re facing a better defense in Dallas, but the Falcons average 30.6 points at home (while allowing 32.2), so that should help these two offenses to comfortably exceed this total. Best Bet: Over 47.5 (pool play: Falcons in slightly more ATS pools and around 70/30 in SU contests). Bengals (OFF) at Ravens (OFF) Tuley s Take: This game was still off the board as of Tuesday s deadline due Joe Flacco s questionable status (hip). The advance line at the Westgate last week was Ravens -4.5 and it was bet up to We discussed this on The Opening Lines Show and the SuperBook s John Murray said it would have been at least Ravens -6 if Flacco was healthy but would be closer to a field goal if rookie QB Lamar Jackson gets his first start. Even though the Bengals didn t show up against the Saints, I ll probably be on them to bounce back against the Ravens no matter who ends up starting. Best Bet: Bengals +3 vs. Jackson or +6 vs. Flacco or whatever the market brings (pool play: Bengals around 70/30 in ATS pools and still more than 50/50 in SU contests). Vikings (o/u 45.5) at Bears (-2.5) Tuley s Take: Note: While we re breaking down these games in rotation order, this game has been flexed to the Sunday Night Football slot at 8:20 p.m. ET/5:20 p.m. PT. This line has been wavering between Bears -2.5 and Vikings +3, so be sure to shop around for the best price on whichever side you re backing. As much as the Bears have impressed at times this season, I still believe the Vikings are the better team and will be taking them plus the field goal (as well as +8.5 to +9 in teasers). Khalil Mack is a beast for the Bears, but the Vikings should have more success moving the ball (as long as Kirk Cousins avoids turnovers) than the Bears will have against the Minny D. Best Bet: Vikings +2.5 (pool play: Vikings around 67/33 in all SU & ATS contests). Eagles (o/u 54.5) at Saints (-8) Tuley s Take: This game could have easily been flexed into the Sunday night spot, but instead is now the marquee matchup at 4:25 p.m. ET. The Saints (8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS with seven straight covers) are the hottest team in the league with eight straight wins since their season-opening loss to the Bucs and atop many power rankings. The defending champion Eagles (4-5 SU & 3-6 ATS) are trying to stay in the playoff hunt. Of course, the perceived notion that these teams are heading in opposite directions is resulting in tremendous value on the Eagles getting more than a TD. Yes, I know they re a far cry from last year s team, but they re not that bad and can certainly compete. Best Bet: Eagles +8 or higher as +8.5 and even +9 was widely available on Tuesday (pool play: Eagles in all ATS contests and around 80/20 in SU contests in trying to steal a game vs. the vast majority of my competitors). Titans (o/u 48.5) at Colts (-2.5) Tuley s Take: I understand how a lot of people are getting on the Colts bandwagon as they ve certainly improved with a lot of their key players getting healthy and are on a 3-game winning streak, but do I need to remind people that the 4

5 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 winning streak has been against the Bills, Raiders and Jaguars? And before that, the Colts lost to the Jets. Besides, it seems to me that the Titans (5-4 ATS, 6-3 ATS) are being disrespected by this line. Didn t this Tennessee team just dominate New England (a team that ran over the Colts 38-24)? Best Bet: Titans +2.5 (pool play: Titans in nearly all SU & ATS contests). Texans (-3) at Redskins (o/u 42.5) Tuley s Take: The Redskins came through for us last week with their 16-3 upset of the Buccaneers, but I wasn t overly impressed with that performance and have to stick with my preseason Super Bowl value-bet team in the Texans as they come off their bye with a 6-game winning streak. The Redskins defense is deservedly getting a lot of credit for the team s 6-3 start, but the Texans D still ranks better (No. 9 vs. No. 17 in yards allowed per game) and DeShaun Watson is looking more comfortable in the offense. Still, I think the defenses will dominate and I ll go with the Under as the strongest play. Best Bet: Under 42.5 (pool play: Texans in nearly all SU & ATS contests). Buccaneers (o/u 52.5) at Giants (-1) Tuley s Take: I certainly don t think the Giants pulling out the win over the 49ers on Monday night proved anything, I do believe they re the right side here and wish this line would reverse and have them going off as short road dogs. But since I doubt we ll see that, I think the Over is the way to go. Eli Manning is starting to get the ball to his weapons and the Bucs despite that 16-3 loss to the Redskins last week are an Over machine at 7-2 with their No. 1 offense and No. 28 defense. Best Bet: Over 52.5 (pool play: Giants around 55/45 in all SU & ATS contests). Broncos (o/u 46.5) at Chargers (-7) Tuley s Take: I ve backed off on fading the Chargers when favored as this year s team is showing that shortcoming is mostly a thing of the past; however, I believe here s a spot where the inflated spread could come into play. Yes, the Broncos are 1-6 since their 2-0 start, but I maintain that they ve been mostly competitive overall with spread-covering losses to the Rams and Chiefs and nearly beating the Texans before their bye week. These teams obviously know each other well, so I m counting on that familiarity to be able to keep the Broncos within a score of the Chargers, who will be content escaping with a victory of any margin. Best Bet: Broncos +7 (pool play: Broncos in close to all ATS pools, especially if offered +7.5, and around 50/50 in SU contests as I try to connect the dots on many cards with my best bets). Raiders (o/u 40.5) at Cardinals (-4) Tuley s Take: It s pretty much universally accepted that the Raiders are tanking to make the team better by the time it moves here to Las Vegas, so I can t take them even though the Cardinals probably shouldn t be favored by more than a field goal over anyone. However, I was encouraged by the Cardinals covering against the Chiefs and the offense is looking better with new OC Byron Leftwich as rookie QB Josh Rosen is getting the ball to his playmakers, especially RB David Johnson. Call me crazy here as I know the Cardinals still only average 13.8 points per game and the Raiders are at 16.3 (though averaging just 4.5 the last two weeks), but I love the Over. I ll be mentioning this a lot more in coming weeks, but I love the Over when also-rans play as the defenses have no reason to step up. Best Bet: Over 40.5 (pool play: Cardinals in nearly all SU & ATS contests). Steelers (-5.5) at Jaguars (o/u 47.5) Tuley s Take: Before the season, this looked like one of the best prime-time matchups, but the struggles of the Jaguars (3-6 SU, ATS) have this flexed out of Sunday night and at 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT. For that same reason, I m unable to pull the trigger on the Jags, though another reason is the Steelers are playing as well as anyone and even if the Jaguars defense shows up, the offense hasn t shown any proof it can keep up with the Steelers. Jacksonville s lack of firepower is the only thing keeping me from getting on the Over. Best Bet: Pass (pool play: Steelers around 60/40 in ATS pools though around 80/20 in SU contests). MONDAY Chiefs (o/u 63.5) vs. Rams (-3.5) Tuley s Take: This game was moved from Mexico City due to poor field conditions at Estadio Azteca to the L.A. Coliseum. The line was Rams -2.5 before the change of venue (check with your book for house rules if you bet this game early in the week to see if you still have action; the majority of Vegas books refunded wagers but not all) and was re-opened at Rams I was considering the Chiefs at +2.5, so I really love them now getting more than a field goal. Moving to the Rams home field doesn t scare me off as the Rams (4-5-1 ATS on the year, ATS) have failed to cover their last two home games against the Packers and Seahawks, as well as pushing earlier this year against the Vikings. The Chiefs are better than all those teams, especially on the offensive side of the ball, and while the Rams defense is certainly better than the Chiefs, the gap has been closing lately and the Rams actually allow 23.1 points per game while the Chiefs aren t too much worse at 24. Best Bet: Chiefs +3.5 (pool play: Chiefs around 80/20 in ATS pools as long as getting the +3.5, and still around 67/33 in SU contests). Tuley s Takes on College Football After going 6-0 with my leans two weeks ago, it was nice to go 2-1 ATS with my posted best bets last week. I lost with Toledo against my alma mater, Northern Illinois, but won with Maryland +3 at Indiana (a 2-point loss, so hopefully followers grabbed that before it dropped to +1 later in the week) and South Carolina +7 vs. Florida. That still leads my posted best-bet record at a subpar ATS, but at least we re trending in the right direction. Buffalo (+2) at Ohio (Wednesday): Granted, I ve been wrong about a lot of things this college football season, but one thing I ve been right on is Buffalo in the Mid-American Conference (see pages 85 and 88 in VSiN s College Football Betting Guide). The Bulls (9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS) are already over their season total of 6.5 and have a great chance to cash as 12-1 longshots to win the MAC title. Wednesday night s game on ESPN2 opened at Pinnacle with Buffalo -1 but for some reason Ohio (6-4 SU & ATS) is a short home favorite. I know you can t just look at records to determine the better team, but look at their games against common opponents (Kent & Miami-Ohio) and it s clear Buffalo is far superior. I ll trust Pinny (and my own ratings) and say the wrong team is favored and call for the outright upset. Arizona St. (+4) at Oregon: I was among the skeptics when Herm Edwards left ESPN to take over the ASU program, but he has the Sun Devils at 6-4 (also 6-4 ATS) and in control of their destiny for a berth in the Pac-12 title game if they can pull this minor upset and then beat Arizona. Oregon has the better NFL prospect in QB Justin Herbert, but ASU s Manny Wilkins numbers are not only comparable but actually better in several categories (Herbert has edge in yards and TDs, but Wilkins has fewer INTs, a higher completion percentage and far better rushing stats). Edwards has had this team in every game (no loss by more than a TD) and I expect them to take this to the wire as well. UAB (+16) at Texas A&M: If you think my Buffalo pick was a team that s been flying under the radar, I don t think a radar has been invented to detect UAB s ranking as the program was dropped in 2014 and not reinstated until Yet, here the Blazers are at 9-1 SU & ATS and have clinched a spot in the Conference USA Championship Game as Western Division champs. Now, we could quote a lot of stats, but it s clear UAB has been dominating against lesser competition than Texas A&M faces in the SEC; however, I still believe this line is still set too high. My NCAA leans: Middle Tennessee St. +15 at Kentucky, Air Force +2.5 at Wyoming, UTEP +7.5 at Western Kentucky, Iowa St. +3 at Texas. 5

6 AUGUST NFL COVERAGE 30 SEPTEMBER 3 VSiN NFL Consensus Matt Youmans (51%) Dave Tuley (50%) Power Rating (43%) Effective Strength (42%) Bettors Ratings (39%) Consensus (41%) Thursday, November 15, (307) GREEN BAY at (308) SEATTLE (-2.5) Seattle Seattle Green Bay Seattle Green Bay Seattle Thursday, November 15, (307) GREEN BAY at (308) SEATTLE - TOTAL (49) OVER OVER UNDER UNDER UNDER UNDER Sunday, November 18, (457) MINNESOTA at (458) CHICAGO (-3) Minnesota Minnesota Chicago Minnesota Chicago Minnesota Sunday, November 18, (457) MINNESOTA at (458) CHICAGO - TOTAL (46) OVER UNDER OVER UNDER OVER OVER Sunday, November 18, (463) HOUSTON at (464) WASHINGTON (+3) Washington Houston Washington Washington Washington Washington Sunday, November 18, (463) HOUSTON at (464) WASHINGTON - TOTAL (42.5) UNDER UNDER OVER OVER OVER OVER Sunday, November 18, (467) DENVER at (468) LA CHARGERS (-7) LA Chargers Denver Denver LA Chargers LA Chargers LA Chargers Sunday, November 18, (467) DENVER at (468) LA CHARGERS - TOTAL (46.5) UNDER OVER UNDER UNDER UNDER UNDER Sunday, November 18, (471) PITTSBURGH at (472) JACKSONVILLE (+6) Jacksonville Pittsburgh Jacksonville Jacksonville Jacksonville Jacksonville Sunday, November 18, (471) PITTSBURGH at (472) JACKSONVILLE - TOTAL (47.5) OVER UNDER UNDER OVER UNDER UNDER VSiN NFL Best Bets Lou Finocchiaro VSiN Season: Last: 3-2 Josh Towers VSiN Season: Last: Jonathan Von Tobel VSiN Season: Last: Sam Panayotovich VSiN Season: Last: Dave Tuley VSiN Season: Last: 3-2 Matt Youmans VSiN Season: Last: Lions +4 Seahawks -2.5 Panthers -3.5 Packers-Seahawks Under 49.5 Packers-Seahawks Over 49 Seahawks -2.5 Jaguars +5.5 Falcons -3 Colts -2 Colts -2 Vikings +3 Jaguars +5.5 Colts -2 Eagles +8 Redskins +3 Eagles +8 Eagles +8.5 Giants -1 Eagles +8 Redskins +3 Vikings +3 Cardinals -4 Titans +2.5 Cardinals -4 Chiefs-Rams Under 63.5 Broncos +7 Chiefs +.5 Vikings +3 Broncos +7 Vikings +3 6

7 AUGUST NFL COVERAGE 30 SEPTEMBER 3 5 NFL Games to Watch BY MATT YOUMANS PACKERS-SEAHAWKS Aaron Rodgers revisits Seattle, where he has had nightmares, and the Packers (4-4-1) need to start stringing together wins or their offseason will arrive early. It s a similar story for Russell Wilson and the Seahawks, who dropped to 4-5 with back-to-back losses to the L.A. teams. Records aside, this is one of the marquee Thursday night matchups because of the quarterbacks. Rodgers has remarkable numbers 17 touchdowns, one interception in 355 pass attempts but Green Bay has been sabotaged by special-teams mistakes, costly fumbles and a brutal schedule. The Packers are in the midst of four road games in five weeks and all against quality opponents. The positive news is Rodgers early-season knee injury is a thing of the past and a running attack has developed courtesy of Aaron Jones, who carried the ball 15 times for 145 yards and two touchdowns in a blowout victory over Miami at Lambeau Field. Green Bay ranks 10th in the NFL in total defense (346 yards per game), just ahead of Seattle at No. 11. Even without running back Chris Carson and right guard D.J. Fluker, the Seahawks rushed for 273 yards against the Rams. Carson and Fluker are expected to return this week. The Packers figure to be favored in at least four of their five December games, so win or lose in this spot, Rodgers has time to rally. The road team on Thursdays is at a significant disadvantage because of limited prep time and travel. In a must-win spot, Seattle merits being a 2½-point favorite despite its 1-2 home record this season. EAGLES-SAINTS It s looking more like the defending Super Bowl champs could miss the playoffs. The NFC East is a mess, so Philadelphia (4-5) is not out of the race by any means, but the problems are piling up. The Eagles, according to their opponents combined records (40-23), face the most difficult remaining schedule in the league. Philadelphia has been hit hard by injuries and the latest player to fall was cornerback Ronald Darby, who suffered a seasonending knee injury in Sunday s loss to Dallas. This is the wrong time to have a depleted secondary. Drew Brees is putting on a passing clinic, connecting on 77.3 percent of his throws with 21 touchdowns and only one pick, and New Orleans ranks No. 1 in scoring offense at 36.7 points per game. If Dak Prescott can conquer the Philadelphia defense, Brees might make it look easy in the Superdome. The Saints, with eight straight wins and seven point-spread covers in a row, seem impervious to flat spots on the schedule. It s tempting to take 7½ to 8 points with Carson Wentz, but New Orleans coach Sean Payton is taking no prisoners and betting against the streaking Saints has been the same as lighting your cash on fire. RAIDERS-CARDINALS In the race to the bottom, this is a must-lose game for Jon Gruden, who has ruined the Raiders season in his quest to claim the No. 1 spot in the draft. Oakland (1-8) cannot afford to beat Arizona (2-7) and risk squandering a higher draft pick. Gruden has all but stripped quarterback Derek Carr of his confidence, and his offense failed to score in double digits in three of the past four games. Oakland is 30th in scoring offense (16.3) despite Gruden s reputation for being a play-calling guru. The Cardinals actually want to win because they have a franchise QB in rookie Josh Rosen and first-year coach Steve Wilks is desperate to save his job. My mind is not really on draft picks right now, Wilks told reporters this week. That is a loser s mentality. Handicapping this game is almost as simple as that. But on top of motivation, Wilks decision to fire conservative offensive coordinator Mike McCoy and switch to Byron Leftwich was the right move. Arizona has rediscovered running back David Johnson, who had 98 yards on 21 carries and added seven receptions for 85 yards in a competitive loss at Kansas City. The Cardinals will lose the game only if the mistake-prone Rosen hands it to the Raiders, who are ATS in their past 23 and in their past 12 away from home. Lay the 3½ points with Arizona before the line goes to 4. Play the Cards or pass. VIKINGS-BEARS Minnesota, the preseason favorite in the NFC North, is now a 3-point underdog at Soldier Field. That s how much things have changed for Chicago, which stopped a 10-game losing streak against division opponents by beating Detroit in Week 10. The new-look Bears are no longer hibernating mostly because of Matt Nagy and Khalil Mack. It was a steep price to pay to get Mack from Oakland, but he s the primary pass-rushing force for the league s No. 4 scoring defense (19.4 points per game). Nagy has tailored a much more creative offense for second-year quarterback Mitchell Trubisky, who has 17 touchdown passes to four interceptions in the past six games. The Vikings won four of five, losing only to the Saints, going into their bye and emerge from the week off in good health. Running back Dalvin Cook is ready to roll and a ground attack is just what quarterback Kirk Cousins needs. Mike Zimmer has made some defensive adjustments and will show Trubisky new looks. What this really comes down to is a role reversal the Vikings are suddenly underdogs to a team that was stuck at the bottom of the division for a long time. Do the Bears deserve to be field-goal favorites? Maybe not. CHIEFS-RAMS 7

8 NFL, AUGUST COLLEGE 30 SEPTEMBER FOOTBALL 3 COVERAGE Handpicked Trends for CFB and NFL Games BY STEVE MAKINEN As we move deeper and deeper into the football season, at this point it can be safely argued that all of the teams have defined themselves by strengths, weaknesses, and game tendencies. There are certain spots where teams play better, some where they play worse. Some teams bring their A game against top teams, and vice versa, while others tend to play best against the most inferior of opponents. All of these tendencies can be quantified by using trend analysis. Trends, and betting systems for that matter, can be used to produce great profits for bettors of the college football world. For my feature article this week, I ve decided to dig through the extensive information available from my guys at the Sports Data Mine to uncover some trends that I feel might define some of the games on this week s college & pro football schedules. You might recognize some of these angles from being used previously in the Point Spread Weekly, but in any case, I handpicked these trends myself, and for each of the trends, I offer the records, the average scores of the games in the trend, plus the units won, and ROI had a bettor played the angle every time it had come up. I also provide the Sports Data Mine grade of the trend along with my own personal analysis as to why the angle has become so definitive and whether or not it should be used relevantly in the foreseeable future. As you look at these, consider for yourself the importance you put on trends. Will they stand the test of time? Are they able to carry over from season to season? Are they only valid so long as the current coach/key players are around? These are important questions to ask because of what seems to be increased changeover from year to year. Here are those top 10 handpicked trends for college football week 12 & pro football week 11. They are in order by game board number. COLLEGE FOOTBALL TRENDS (303) BUFFALO at (304) OHIO U * OHIO U is 10-0 ATS (L10G) - good teams with 70% or better winning pct (Winning Pct: 100%, R.O.I.: 90.9%, Average Score - OHIO U 28.3, Opponent Grade: 75) Steve s Analysis: Watching Ohio U lay an egg at Miami Ohio last Wednesday night really thrust this trend into the spotlight for me. The truth is that the Bobcats have played their best football against their best opponents in recent years, and while unfortunately the loss to the Redhawks may have knocked them out of the race for the MAC East title, HC Frank Solich s team can still play spoiler to Buffalo s special season. (309) TOLEDO at (310) KENT ST * TOLEDO is 10-0 ATS (L10G) on ROAD - Against lesser passing defenses yielding more than 7.40 yards per attempt (Winning Pct: 100%, R.O.I.: 90.9%, Average Score - TOLEDO 45.6, Opponent Grade: 75) Steve s Analysis: Toledo has been explosive on the road in recent years, especially when matched up against poor defenses. The Golden Flashes give up more than their share of yards through the air this season, so if the trend holds, this will figure to be a very poor matchup for them, even though they are playing at home. The Rockets have averaged 45.6 PPG in the 10 games in this sample, and should threaten for that total or more again on Thursday night. (329) NORTHWESTERN at (330) MINNESOTA * MINNESOTA is ATS (L25G) - Against lesser rushing teams averaging less than 3.6 yards per carry (Winning Pct: 82.6%, R.O.I.: 53.1%, Average Score - MINNESOTA 29.4, Opponent Grade: 70) Steve s Analysis: While Minnesota has obviously struggled since Big Ten play began this season, this week s matchup could prove to be a favorable one for the Gophers, as historically they have fared well against opponents that struggle to run the ball. Northwestern is gaining much less than 3.0 yards per rush this season, and Minnesota has won the L25 games in this trend by almost nine points per game. Considering HC P.J. Fleck s team figures to be a home dog in this one, there s a lot of leeway on the number. (331) DUKE at (332) CLEMSON * CLEMSON is 11-4 ATS (L15G) at HOME - Against lesser rushing defenses yielding more than 4.35 yards per carry (Winning Pct: 73.3%, R.O.I.: 40%, Average Score - CLEMSON 47.3, Opponent Grade: 59) Steve s Analysis: Sometimes I acknowledge the success rate of a trend based upon more than just the record. The point margin is another thing I consider. In this particular trend, Clemson has throttled its L15 opponents at home who aren t good at stopping the run. Duke hasn t been good at that in 2018, and its sets this game up as a potential hidden mistmatch. The Tigers have scored 47.3 PPG in those 15 contests, and the 33.2 PPG margin would figure to be good enough to beat this week s point spread. (341) MASSACHUSETTS at (342) GEORGIA * GEORGIA is 6-19 ATS (L25G) - Against poor passing defenses yielding more than 7.70 yards per attempt (Winning Pct: 76.0%, R.O.I.: 45.1%, Average Score - GEORGIA 37.5, Opponent 17 - Grade: 65) Steve s Analysis: This is a game in which no one will be giving the Minutemen a chance, and I m not going to be silly enough to do that either, but I will say that it could be an overlooked contest in terms of UMass ability to beat the point spread. UMass gives up a lot of yards through the air, and that would figure to give Georgia a shot at a huge day offensively, but it s more likely that the Bulldogs simply take care of the business of winning and pay little attention to the business of covering. With rival Georgia Tech on deck followed by the SEC title game versus Alabama, HC Kirby Smart s team will likely be indifferent to the point margin they achieve here. (349) OHIO ST at (350) MARYLAND * MARYLAND is 0-10 ATS (L10G) - Against prolificscoring teams averaging 36 PPG or more (Winning Pct: 100%, R.O.I.: 90.9%, Average Score - MARYLAND 11.2, Opponent Grade: 75) Steve s Analysis: Maryland has been absolutely crushed in the last 10 games it has faced against 8

9 AUGUST NFL COVERAGE 30 SEPTEMBER 3 prolific offenses. While Ohio State s defense may have its warts this season, the offense is undeniably strong still. That, along with all of Maryland s internal problems, makes this game a candidate for a major rout. If the Terps get anywhere near the 11.2 PPG they have averaged in this trend, this game should be an easy one for the Buckeyes. (375) ARIZONA ST at (376) OREGON * OREGON is ATS (L3Y) - Against decent rushing teams averaging more than 4.4 yards per carry (Winning Pct: 83.3%, R.O.I.: 54.5%, Average Score - OREGON 27, Opponent Grade: 59) Steve s Analysis: There are a number of reasons why Oregon hasn t been able to return to the glory days of the Chip Kelly-era, coaching changes, recruiting declines, and trends like this one are among them. When matched up against opponents that are capable running teams, the Ducks have not been up to snuff. Oregon has allowed 43+ PPG to teams averaging more than 4.4 yards per carry. If that holds, Arizona State could have a big day in Eugene on Saturday. (393) BOWLING GREEN at (394) AKRON * AKRON is 12-0 UNDER (L12G) at HOME - [vs OPP] On losing streak of 4 or more games (Winning Pct: 100%, R.O.I.: 90.9%, Average Score - AKRON 21.7, Opponent Grade: 75) Steve s Analysis: Just because this game is critical to Akron s bowl hopes, don t expect the Zips to come out flying offensively. While they tend to win games against teams on 4+ game losing streaks more often than they lose, the Zips have not performed real well offensively against them. Most often these games end up anemic offensive contests, averaging just 36 PPG combined. (421) SAN DIEGO ST at (422) FRESNO ST * FRESNO ST is 10-0 ATS (L2Y) - Against decent passing teams averaging more than 7.50 yards per attempt (Winning Pct: 100%, R.O.I.: 90.9%, Average Score - FRESNO ST 31.4, Opponent Grade: 75) Steve s Analysis: How hard is it for a team to hold the best passing teams it faces to just 16.9 PPG? Well, apparently not that hard for Fresno State, as the Bulldogs have done just that, winning 10 straight times in that scenario against the spread. Even with the importance of this game for both teams, if you re playing college football fantasy, there are much better options than SDSU QB Ryan Agnew this week. (423) UNLV at (424) HAWAII * HAWAII is 0-10 ATS (L10G) at HOME - In November (Winning Pct: 100%, R.O.I.: 90.9%, Average Score - HAWAII 23.6, Opponent Grade: 75) Steve s Analysis: It seems that getting a late season trip to Hawaii when the weather in most other nation locales is changing for the bad has been a real positive for visiting teams, as they have won 10 straight games against the spread over the Warriors in the month of November. This of course includes Utah State s easy victory on the Island on November 3rd. NFL TRENDS (307) GREEN BAY at (308) SEATTLE * GREEN BAY is 10-1 OVER (L3Y) on ROAD - Against decent rushing teams averaging more than 4.3 yards per carry (Winning Pct: 90.9%, R.O.I.: 73.6%, Average Score - GREEN BAY 27.5, Opponent Grade: 65) Steve s Analysis: Teams that have been good at running the football have had their way with the visiting Packers in recent years, putting up 33.4 PPG in the L3 seasons. Green Bay of course has QB Aaron Rodgers, and is typically up to the task of putting their fair share of points on the board as well. The result has been a boatload of shootout in road games for HC Mike McCarthy s teams. If this Thursday night tilt follows suit, expect a lot of points. (453) DALLAS at (454) ATLANTA * DALLAS is 20-5 UNDER (L25G) on ROAD - All games (Winning Pct: 80.0%, R.O.I.: 52.7%, Average Score - DALLAS 19.4, Opponent Grade: 70) Steve s Analysis: This is easily the most simple trend on today s list but it bears noting as a 20-5 UNDER trend with an average total point production of just 37.6 PPG is rare indeed in this day and age of the NFL. With scoring up so much in the league lately, Dallas road under tendency is tested regularly, and it will be once again when the Cowboys square off with explosive Atlanta. (455) CINCINNATI at (456) BALTIMORE * BALTIMORE is 3-12 ATS (L15G) at HOME - 2nd game of the season vs opponent (Winning Pct: 80.0%, R.O.I.: 52.7%, Average Score - BALTIMORE 19.3, Opponent Grade: 65) Steve s Analysis: This trend is a continuation of the piece I did last week on same season rematches in the NFL. I placed it in this week s article because 1) it applies to this week s game, and 2) as a reminder of just how poor the Ravens have been the second time around against an opponent when playing in Baltimore. It s strange for a team that allows just 17.7 PPG in any trend to have a record of 3-12 ATS, but the Ravens simply haven t been able to put up points against teams they ve already faced. (457) MINNESOTA at (458) CHICAGO * MINNESOTA is ATS (L45G) on ROAD - Against solid defensive teams allowing less than 20 PPG (Winning Pct: 79.5%, R.O.I.: 50.7%, Average Score - MINNESOTA 16.5, Opponent Grade: 80) Steve s Analysis: This is the longest running trend of any I ve chosen, but it sure has been effective, producing a R.O.I. of over 50% on a 45 game sample. Solid defensive teams have thwarted the Vikings offense on the road, and Chicago s defense figures to be up to the task once again in the key NFC North battle. (459) PHILADELPHIA at (460) NEW ORLEANS * NEW ORLEANS is 9-1 ATS (L10G) - Against solid defensive teams allowing less than 20 PPG (Winning Pct: 90.0%, R.O.I.: 71.8%, Average Score - NEW ORLEANS 34, Opponent Grade: 65) Steve s Analysis: The New Orleans offense has thrived against even the league s best defenses in recent years. Against units allowing fewer than 20 PPG, New Orleans has put up 34 PPG in its L10 tries, enabling a 9-1 ATS record. Philadelphia s defense has been solid in 2018, but if the Saints put up anywhere near that 34 point average, I don t see the Eagles competing here. (465) TAMPA BAY at (466) NY GIANTS * NY GIANTS are 16-9 OVER (L25G) at HOME - poor teams with 40% or less winning pct (Winning Pct: 64.0%, R.O.I.: 22.2%, Average Score - NY GIANTS 25.6, Opponent Grade: 52) Steve s Analysis: It takes some courage these days to play the Giants OVER on any total, but this just 9

10 NFL AUGUST COVERAGE 30 SEPTEMBER 3 might be the spot against high scoring/high yielding Tampa Bay. In the L25 home games against poor teams, the Giants have actually put up 25.6 PPG. It would be nice to see them finally get that many in a game, but if any of their remaining contests presents a chance for an offensive outburst, this would figure to be it. (467) DENVER at (468) LA CHARGERS * DENVER is 7-0 OVER (L7G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] On winning streak of 3 or more games (Winning Pct: 100%, R.O.I.: 90.9%, Average Score - DENVER 20.1, Opponent Grade: 62) Steve s Analysis: Assuming the Chargers survived Sunday s game at Oakland, they will be riding a 6-game winning streak into Sunday s AFC West tilt against Denver. That would be a key because in recent years, the Broncos defense has been obliterated by teams on winning streaks of 3+ games. These foes have put up 42.6 PPG on what is typically a well-respected unit, meaning QB Philip Rivers & Co. could be in for a big day. OVER would be the wager of choice. (469) OAKLAND at (470) ARIZONA * ARIZONA is 9-1 UNDER (L10G) - Against lesserscoring teams averaging 18.5 PPG or less (Winning Pct: 90.0%, R.O.I.: 71.8%, Average Score - ARIZONA 22.5, Opponent Grade: 65) Steve s Analysis: For as much as the trend would project a shootout in the Chargers-Broncos game, I found this trend that predicts quite the opposite in a game that could wind up being as ugly on the field as it looks on paper. Arizona has held poor offensive opponents down, to 10.8 PPG on average. The result against opponents scoring 18.5 PPG or less has been UNDER s, with a combined point total averaging just 33.3 PPG. (471) PITTSBURGH at (472) JACKSONVILLE * PITTSBURGH is 14-1 UNDER (L15G) on ROAD - poor teams with 40% or less winning pct (Winning Pct: 93.3%, R.O.I.: 78.2%, Average Score - PITTSBURGH 20.2, Opponent Grade: 75) Steve s Analysis: Pittsburgh s offensive tendency in recent years has been peculiar, score a lot against the best opponents, score a little against the worst. Fortunately, the Steelers defense has been up to the task against the latter, as they have held teams with winning percentages of 40% or less to just 18.1 PPG in the L15 tries. These totals are normally jacked up high too, meaning there is typically a comfortable winning margin on these UNDER wagers. (47 ) KANSAS CITY (47 ) LA RAMS * KANSAS CITY is 9-1 ATS (L10G) - Against decent passing teams averaging more than 6.80 yards per attempt (Winning Pct: 90.0%, R.O.I.: 71.8%, Average Score - KANSAS CITY 32.3, Opponent Grade: 65) Steve s Analysis: will be a matchup of two of the most explosive passing offenses in football. Well, according to this trend, the advantage will go to QB Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, as they have fared very well against opposing teams that also have prolific passing offenses. Kansas City is 9-1 ATS in their L10 such games and has won these contests by near 12 PPG. 10

11 NFL, AUGUST COVERAGE COLLEGE 30 SEPTEMBER FOOTBALL 3 COVERAGE Handing Down Judgement for NFL Rookie QBs BY MATT YOUMANS In this Twitter era of instant gratification and hot takes, there is a rush to judgment of the NFL s rookie quarterbacks. There have been plenty of opportunities for critics and defensive backs to pick on Sam Darnold, who s an easy target on a bad Jets team. Josh Rosen looks lost in Arizona, and Josh Allen is getting beat down in Buffalo. The most productive quarterback in the class has been Baker Mayfield, the top pick in the draft and the best bet to succeed for years to come. Mayfield appears to have a bright future in Cleveland, if such a fantasy exists. No question, Mayfield is head and shoulders above the others, said Tony Miller, executive director of the Golden Nugget sports book. Mayfield is a franchise quarterback and I m not sure about the others. I don t really like Darnold. A week after his four-pick fiasco in Miami, Darnold sat out the Jets latest disaster. A foot injury sidelined Darnold while the Jets were kicked around in a loss to the underdog Bills. As it turned out Sunday, veteran Josh McCown did not give the team the best chance to win. Rookie quarterbacks are a rollercoaster ride. Up one week, down the next. Mayfield peaked Sunday as the Browns, 6-point home underdogs, beat the Falcons Mayfield connected on all 12 of his passes in the first half and finished 17-for-20 for 216 yards and three touchdowns. In previous weeks, Mayfield was outgunned by Patrick Mahomes, Ben Roethlisberger and Philip Rivers in double-digit losses. Mayfield s numbers (61.8 percent completions, 13 touchdowns, seven interceptions) are not spectacular, but the gunslinger from Oklahoma displays the tools and intangibles to be a winner in the league. Mayfield is ahead of the other rookies right now, Westgate SuperBook director John Murray said. I like Mayfield a lot. When he gets some real coaching, he s going to be the best QB in the class for a long time. I like Darnold more than Rosen. Allen is so hard to evaluate because the Bills are such a mess. We don t know how good Darnold is yet. We need to see him with a good coach and a good play-caller. A level-headed talent evaluator sees the big picture. Some quarterbacks are born into better situations and grow accordingly. Mayfield was bogged down early in the season by the clumsy leadership of coach Hue Jackson, who clashed with offensive coordinator Todd Haley. Jackson and Haley were fired after a Week 8 loss to the Steelers. Sharp bettors would put their money on Todd Bowles as the next coach to be fired, though the Jets did not make that move Monday as anticipated. Coaching will play a major role in Darnold s development. The Browns and Jets could be competing for Bruce Arians, a respected quarterback whisperer, in a head-coaching search. I m not as negative about Darnold as some people. He s 21 years old and he s got a lot of talent, Murray said. The most important thing for a young quarterback is being in the right system with the right coach. Just look at Jared Goff. If Bruce Arians goes to the Browns, he might make Mayfield a superstar. Goff went 0-7 as a rookie starter for the Rams. With Jeff Fisher as his coach in Los Angeles, Goff was written off by some as a bust. Fisher was a fossil and a defensive-minded coach. Goff s story is being rewritten thanks to Sean McVay, an innovative offensive coach. Murray points to Drew Brees, who did not take off as a future Hall-of-Fame quarterback until he hooked up with Sean Payton in New Orleans. Mahomes is benefitting from the teachings of Andy Reid in Kansas City. Murray said Darnold did not get great coaching in college at USC and he sees the same problem now in New York. Darnold has experienced a few highs by winning three games, but but he has thrown a league-high 14 interceptions while suffering from a lack of support. Murray said, How many Jets wide receivers can you name? Rosen has been intercepted eight times and sacked 21 times in seven games, including six starts. Rosen was often injured and rarely a fierce competitor at UCLA. He s a pure pocket passer who looks a lot like Jay Cutler, to draw an unflattering comparison. But it s too soon to define Rosen or Allen, a wild horse from Wyoming. A raw talent, Allen has two touchdown passes and five interceptions in limited action. Lamar Jackson, a former Heisman Trophy winner from Louisville, has appeared in gimmick roles for the Ravens. The last pick of the first round, Jackson might get his first start for Baltimore in Week 11 if Joe Flacco is held out with a hip injury. Jackson will be viewed as a bet-against QB because he s a runner who s not an NFL-ready passer. Mayfield went No. 1 and remains the pick of the litter. Still, year No. 2 and some coaching changes will better define the futures of five young quarterbacks. 11

12 AUGUST NFL COVERAGE 30 SEPTEMBER 3 NFL Trends from The Gold Sheet BY BRUCE MARSHALL GREEN BAY AT SEATTLE Packers have lost six in a row SU on road and just 1-5 vs. line in those games. Pack over 13-5 since mid Tech edge- Over and slight to Seahawks, based on totals and team trends. CAROLINA AT DETROIT Panthers have covered the next game after their past five SU losses. Lions no covers past three TY. Cam Newton over 7-3 past 10. Tech edge-panthers and slight to over, based on team and totals trends. DALLAS AT ATLANTA Dak Prescott was vs. line away LY and 2-3 in Falcons over 4-1 at home TY, but Cowboys under 8-1 past nine away. Tech edge- Under and slight to Falcons, based on totals and team trends. CINCINNATI AT BALTIMORE Both slumping (Cincy 0-4 L4, Baltimore 0-3 L3) vs. spread. Bengals have covered three of past four at M&T Bank Stadium. Joe Flacco 4-6 vs. spread past 10 at home. Unders 4-1 past five meetings, and Ravens under 6-3 TY. Tech edge-slight to Bengals and under, based on series and totals trends. MINNESOTA AT CHICAGO Vikings past six on board TY, though Bears 5-1 vs. spread past six at Soldier Field. Minny over 7-3 past 10 on road. Tech edge-slight to over, based on totals trends. PHILADELPHIA AT NEW ORLEANS Eagles only ATS past 12 in regular season but Doug Pederson 12-7 as dog since Saints however have won past eight SU and covered past seven TY. Saints over 7-2 past nine at Superdome, Birds over past five as visitor. Tech edge- Over and Saints, based on totals and team trends. TENNESSEE AT INDIANAPOLIS Titans surprising 6-1 as dog this season. Prior to last season and no Andrew Luck, Titans just past eight in series. Colts unbeaten past 3 vs. line TY, and tossing out the non-luck 2017 are over in past 26. Tech edge-slight to Colts and over, based on extended series and totals trends. HOUSTON AT WASHINGTON Texans have won six straight and covered past three. If dog note Houston 6-2 in role with Deshaun Watson at QB. But Redskins 6-1 past 7 vs. line at home. Texans under 8-3 past 11, Jay Gruden under 10-3 past 13. Tech edge- Under and slight to Texans, if dog, based on totals and team trends. TAMPA BAY AT NY GIANTS Bucs 1-6 SU and vs. line past seven TY, but G-Men 0-4 vs. spread at MetLife. Bucs on 8-2 over run since late LY. Tech edge-slight to over, based on totals trends. DENVER AT LA CHARGERS Vance Joseph has covered past two away and 3 of past 4 overall, but still 3-9 vs. line away since LY and past 21 on board. Broncos have covered only one of past five in series, and under 9-4 past 13 since late Bolts under 13-6 past 19. Tech edge-chargers and under, based on team and totals trends. OAKLAND AT ARIZONA Gruden 2-7 vs. line TY, and Raiders past 23 on board since early LY. Oakland past 12 vs. spread away from home. Cards actually vs. line past seven TY. Raiders on 13-3 under run since mid-2017, Big Red under 9-4 past 13 since late Tech edge- Under and Cards, based on totals and team trends. PITTSBURGH AT JACKSONVILLE Jaguars beat Steelers twice LY at Heinz Field, but Jags no wins or covers past five TY, and Steelers have won and covered five in row. Pittsburgh over 8-3 since late Tech edge-steelers and over, based on recent and totals trends. KANSAS CITY VS. LA RAMS Andy Reid and Chiefs 8-2 ATS this year. Sean McVay just past 13 vs. spread since late LY. Tech edge-slight to Chiefs, based on team trends. 12

13 NFL COVERAGE AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 NFL Week 11 NOVEMBER 15, :20 PM on FOX CENTURYLINK FIELD (SEATTLE, WA) (307) GREEN BAY [SU:4-4-1 ATS:4-5] AT (308) SEATTLE (-3 49) [SU:4-5 ATS:5-3-1] GREEN BAY [5.2] [7.1] [4.5] [6.9] SEATTLE [4.8] [7.1] [5.0] [6.8] In a feud that has featured some pulse-pounding moments over the years, the Packers and Seahawks kick off the Week 11 schedule on Thursday. The Seahawks continue to show a lot of fight and offensive prowess as they once again went toe-to-toe with the explosive Rams offense last week and in the process were able to showcase their effective run game along with the playmaking ability of Russell Wilson. We are still waiting for the Packers to click, and even though they had a strong showing at Lambeau last week against the Dolphins, they still have underperformed this year as an offense and are yet to have that signature win. The quarterback battle in this one is elite as Wilson and Aaron Rodgers have the firepower to turn this into a track meet. Green Bay has lost six games in a row on the road while going 1-5 against the number. Due to the play of Rodgers and a still-pedestrian defense, the Packers are 13-5 over the total since the middle of last year, a stretch that could continue given the the passers involved and a total of 49. The Seahawks league-leading rushing attack is a huge advantage, as it can burn the clock and keep Rodgers off the field while simultaneously making Wilson more dangerous with the added threat of play-action passes and a more balanced offense. Rodgers does not have that luxury and will have to deal with Seattle s 12th man, as well. The Green Bay defense will have to find a way to get off the field on third downs to get the ball in Rodgers hands. GREEN BAY SEATTLE SEATTLE is ATS(L15G) at HOME - After a conference SU loss GREEN BAY is 2-6 ATS(L2Y) on ROAD - with Starting QB - RODGERS GREEN BAY is 20-5 OVER(L25G) on ROAD - Against decent rushing teams averaging more than 4.3 yards per carry RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS SEATTLE (9) at GREEN BAY (17) GREEN BAY HOME FAV UNDER SEATTLE (10) at GREEN BAY (38) GREEN BAY HOME DOG OVER SEATTLE (17) at GREEN BAY (27) GREEN BAY HOME FAV UNDER GREEN BAY (22) at SEATTLE (28) GREEN BAY ROAD DOG OVER GREEN BAY (16) at SEATTLE (36) SEATTLE HOME FAV OVER GREEN BAY is 6-4 SU & 8-2 ATS vs. Seattle since 06 SEASON GAME LOGS GREEN BAY RESULTS SEATTLE RESULTS VS CHICAGO W L O at DENVER L P O VS MINNESOTA W O at CHICAGO L L U at WASHINGTON L L O VS DALLAS W W U VS BUFFALO W W U at ARIZONA W L U at DETROIT L L O VS LA RAMS L W O VS SAN FRANCISCO W L O ** OAKLAND W W U at LA RAMS L W U at DETROIT W W U at NEW ENGLAND L L U VS LA CHARGERS PK L L U VS MIAMI W W U at LA RAMS L W O at SEATTLE VS GREEN BAY at MINNESOTA at CAROLINA VS ARIZONA VS SAN FRANCISCO VS ATLANTA VS MINNESOTA at CHICAGO at SAN FRANCISCO at NY JETS VS KANSAS CITY VS DETROIT VS ARIZONA 13

14 AUGUST NFL COVERAGE 30 SEPTEMBER 3 NFL Week 11 NOVEMBER 18, :00 PM on FOX FORD FIELD (DETROIT, MI) (451) CAROLINA ( ) [SU:6-3 ATS:5-4] AT (452) DETROIT [SU:3-6 ATS:5-4] CAROLINA [5.1] [6.7] [4.4] [7.2] DETROIT [4.3] [6.6] [4.9] [8.2] While those who have doubted the Panthers view their lopsided loss to Pittsburgh as reflective, Cam Newton is in a perfect position to recover against a Lions team that does not pose much of a threat. While the Panthers loss to the Steelers was not pretty, that contest should be viewed more in favor of the Steelers picking up steam as opposed to the Panthers losing it. The bounce-back spot will be intriguing, as Carolina has covered the next game following their past five straight-up defeats. Adding to that is the fact that the Lions have not covered a game in their past three and they possess one of the league s worst rush defenses, allowing an average of yards per game. Feeding the ball to Christian McCaffrey should be a no-brainer in this one, and once he gets going Newton tends to follow. Detroit has succeeded in spots running the football with rookie Kerryon Johnson. But the more balanced approach of Carolina, while also having an edge in personnel across the board, makes this matchup favorable for the Panthers. CAROLINA DETROIT CAROLINA is 6-1 ATS(L7G) - Before playing SEATTLE DETROIT is 2-8 ATS(L10G) - [vs OPP] After a blowout SU loss 20 points or more CAROLINA is 7-0 OVER(L7G) on ROAD - Before playing SEATTLE RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS CAROLINA (27) at DETROIT (24) CAROLINA ROAD DOG OVER DETROIT (7) at CAROLINA (24) CAROLINA HOME FAV UNDER CAROLINA (35) at DETROIT (49) DETROIT HOME FAV OVER DETROIT (22) at CAROLINA (31) DETROIT ROAD DOG OVER CAROLINA (21) at DETROIT (20) DETROIT HOME DOG x OVER the total is 4-1 in L5 games of CAR-DET h2h series SEASON GAME LOGS CAROLINA RESULTS DETROIT RESULTS VS DALLAS W W U VS NY JETS L L O at ATLANTA L L O at SAN FRANCISCO L W O VS CINCINNATI W W O VS NEW ENGLAND W W U VS NY GIANTS W L O at DALLAS L W O at WASHINGTON L L U VS GREEN BAY W W O at PHILADELPHIA W W U at MIAMI W W O VS BALTIMORE W W O VS SEATTLE L L U VS TAMPA BAY W W O at MINNESOTA L L U at PITTSBURGH L L O at CHICAGO L L O at DETROIT VS CAROLINA VS SEATTLE VS CHICAGO at TAMPA BAY VS LA RAMS at CLEVELAND at ARIZONA VS NEW ORLEANS at BUFFALO VS ATLANTA VS MINNESOTA at NEW ORLEANS at GREEN BAY 14

15 AUGUST NFL COVERAGE 30 SEPTEMBER 3 NFL Week 11 NOVEMBER 18, :00 PM on FOX MERCEDES-BENZ STADIUM (ATLANTA, GA) (453) DALLAS [SU:4-5 ATS:3-5-1] AT (454) ATLANTA (-3 48) [SU:4-5 ATS:3-6] DALLAS [5.0] [6.4] [3.6] [7.1] ATLANTA [4.0] [8.0] [5.2] [7.7] The Falcons stonewalled the Cowboys last season as they engulfed Dak Prescott and imposed their will on Dallas. The rematch comes with the Cowboys fresh off a huge win over bitter rival Philadelphia on Sunday night, while Atlanta got torched by Baker Mayfield and the Browns. While neither team is looking like a contender right now, this game does give fans and bettors something to consider as Atlanta still boasts a dangerous offensive unit. It is still hard to trust Prescott and the Dallas offense, especially on the road. The Cowboys have played to the under eight times in their past nine away games, while the Falcons are 4-1 to the over at home in The pass rush will be key for Dallas, as the play of Demarcus Lawrence and the defensive front is just about the only thing that will effectively slow the Falcons. While he is not without his detractors, QB Matt Ryan has played great this season as the Falcons have one of the top 10 offenses in the league. Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott will have to have to light it up in order for the Cowboys to catch lightning in a bottle two weeks in a row. DALLAS ATLANTA DALLAS is ATS(L7G) on ROAD - Against inept passing defenses yielding more than 7.25 yards per attempt ATLANTA is 1-4 ATS(CS) - Against lesser passing defenses yielding more than 6.75 yards per attempt DALLAS is UNDER(L15G) - Revenging a loss RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS DALLAS (7) at ATLANTA (27) ATLANTA HOME FAV UNDER ATLANTA (39) at DALLAS (28) ATLANTA ROAD DOG OVER DALLAS (13) at ATLANTA (19) ATLANTA HOME FAV UNDER ATLANTA (21) at DALLAS (37) DALLAS HOME FAV OVER DALLAS (38) at ATLANTA (28) DALLAS ROAD FAV OVER * UNDER the total is 6-1 in L7 of ATL-DAL h2h series in ATLANTA SEASON GAME LOGS DALLAS RESULTS ATLANTA RESULTS at CAROLINA L L U at PHILADELPHIA PK L L U VS NY GIANTS W W U VS CAROLINA W W O at SEATTLE L L U VS NEW ORLEANS L L O VS DETROIT W L O VS CINCINNATI L L O at HOUSTON L P U at PITTSBURGH L L O VS JACKSONVILLE W W O VS TAMPA BAY W W O at WASHINGTON L L U VS NY GIANTS W L U VS TENNESSEE L L O at WASHINGTON W W O at PHILADELPHIA W W O at CLEVELAND L L U at ATLANTA VS DALLAS VS WASHINGTON at NEW ORLEANS VS NEW ORLEANS VS BALTIMORE VS PHILADELPHIA at GREEN BAY at INDIANAPOLIS VS ARIZONA VS TAMPA BAY at CAROLINA at NY GIANTS at TAMPA BAY 15

16 AUGUST NFL COVERAGE 30 SEPTEMBER 3 NFL Week 11 NOVEMBER 18, :00 PM on (455) CINCINNATI [SU:5-4 ATS:4-5] AT (456) BALTIMORE ( ) [SU:4-5 ATS:4-5] CINCINNATI [4.6] [6.9] [5.0] [7.7] BALTIMORE [3.6] [6.3] [4.0] [5.7] With the Steelers starting to find traction, it is easy to look at the AFC North with tunnel vision, as only one legit contender seems to exist at the moment. But the Week 11 matchup between the Bengals and Ravens is important. In their past four games, the Bengals are 0-4 ATS. The Ravens are 0-3 ATS in their past three. Baltimore has dropped three in a row after a promising start. Cincinnati is off a blowout loss to the Saints. But given the current fate of the two teams, the fact it is a rivalry spot, the Bengals track record of road covers (three of their past four in Baltimore), and this being the second time the teams have met this fall, most signs point to a hard-fought, close game. Joe Flacco performed well to start the season, but he 4-6 ATS in his past 10 at home and he faces a team that can get after the quarterback. If Flacco is unable to play, the line will be adjusted for rookie Lamar Jackson, who s a downgrade. CINCINNATI BALTIMORE CINCINNATI is 6-1 ATS(L7G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After playing PITTSBURGH BALTIMORE is 3-12 ATS(L15G) at HOME - 2nd game of the season vs opponent BALTIMORE is 9-1 UNDER(L10G) at HOME - After a bye RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS BALTIMORE (23) at CINCINNATI (34) CINCINNATI HOME FAV OVER CINCINNATI (31) at BALTIMORE (27) CINCINNATI ROAD DOG OVER BALTIMORE (20) at CINCINNATI (0) BALTIMORE ROAD DOG UNDER BALTIMORE (10) at CINCINNATI (27) CINCINNATI HOME DOG UNDER CINCINNATI (14) at BALTIMORE (19) BALTIMORE HOME FAV UNDER * BALTIMORE is 14-7 SU & 12-8 ATS at home vs. Cincinnati since 97 SEASON GAME LOGS CINCINNATI RESULTS BALTIMORE RESULTS at INDIANAPOLIS W W O VS BUFFALO W W O VS BALTIMORE W W O at CINCINNATI L L O at CAROLINA L L O VS DENVER W W U at ATLANTA W W O at PITTSBURGH W W U VS MIAMI W W U at CLEVELAND L L U VS PITTSBURGH L L U at TENNESSEE W W U at KANSAS CITY L L U VS NEW ORLEANS L L U VS TAMPA BAY W L O at CAROLINA L L O VS NEW ORLEANS L L O VS PITTSBURGH L L U at BALTIMORE VS CINCINNATI VS CLEVELAND VS OAKLAND VS DENVER at ATLANTA at LA CHARGERS at KANSAS CITY VS OAKLAND VS TAMPA BAY at CLEVELAND at LA CHARGERS at PITTSBURGH VS CLEVELAND 16

17 AUGUST NFL COVERAGE 30 SEPTEMBER 3 NFL Week 11 NOVEMBER 18, :20 PM on NBC SOLDIER FIELD (CHICAGO, IL) (457) MINNESOTA [SU:5-3-1 ATS:5-3-1] AT (458) CHICAGO (-3 46) [SU:6-3 ATS:6-3] MINNESOTA [4.2] [7.0] [3.6] [7.0] CHICAGO [4.3] [7.6] [3.6] [6.3] In what could be the most interesting Vikings-Bears game in quite a while, the Minnesota-Chicago matchup was flexed to Sunday night. While the Vikings have been a disappointment defensively, it has been obvious that going after Kirk Cousins in the offseason was the right move as Cousins and his weapons in Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs have been outstanding. Minnesota finds an opponent that is young, trendy and starting to find a groove, as Mitchell Trubiksy and the Bears have an opportunity to make a major statement in the first year of the Matt Nagy era. Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its past six at Soldier Field and the innovative play-calling of Nagy paired with the rushing duo of Tarik Cohen and Jordan Howard have allowed the Bears to establish a solid offensive identity. Minnesota s high-powered offense gives an over play some value, and the over for Vikings is 7-3 in their past 10 on the road. While Khalil Mack s return to the lineup makes for a more dangerous Chicago defense, a back-and-forth shootout could be possible. MINNESOTA CHICAGO MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS(L10G) - [vs OPP] Before playing DETROIT CHICAGO is ATS(L10Y) - OU line of 45 or more CHICAGO is UNDER(L7G) at HOME - [vs OPP] More than 6 days rest RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS CHICAGO (10) at MINNESOTA (23) x x x UNDER MINNESOTA (20) at CHICAGO (17) CHICAGO HOME DOG UNDER CHICAGO (10) at MINNESOTA (38) MINNESOTA HOME FAV OVER MINNESOTA (10) at CHICAGO (20) CHICAGO HOME DOG UNDER CHICAGO (17) at MINNESOTA (38) MINNESOTA HOME FAV OVER * CHICAGO is 14-6 SU & 15-5 ATS at home vs. Minnesota since 98 SEASON GAME LOGS MINNESOTA RESULTS CHICAGO RESULTS VS SAN FRANCISCO W W U at GREEN BAY L W O at GREEN BAY L O VS SEATTLE W W U VS BUFFALO L L U at ARIZONA W L U at LA RAMS L P O VS TAMPA BAY W W O at PHILADELPHIA W W U at MIAMI L L O VS ARIZONA W W O VS NEW ENGLAND L L O at NY JETS W W O VS NY JETS W W U VS NEW ORLEANS L L U at BUFFALO W W O VS DETROIT W W U VS DETROIT W W O at CHICAGO VS MINNESOTA VS GREEN BAY at DETROIT at NEW ENGLAND at NY GIANTS at SEATTLE VS LA RAMS VS MIAMI VS GREEN BAY at DETROIT at SAN FRANCISCO VS CHICAGO at MINNESOTA 17

18 NFL AUGUST COVERAGE 30 SEPTEMBER 3 NFL Week 11 NOVEMBER 18, :25 PM on FOX MERCEDES-BENZ SUPERDOME (NEW ORLEANS, LA) (459) PHILADELPHIA [SU:4-5 ATS:3-6] AT (460) NEW ORLEANS ( ) [SU:8-1 ATS:7-2] PHILADELPHIA [4.1] [6.9] [4.7] [6.7] NEW ORLEANS [4.1] [8.4] [3.7] [8.4] Why everyone is wondering what has happened to the reigning Super Bowl champs, the Saints have climbed to the top of the power rankings across the league. Their pedestrian showing against Dallas on Sunday night may have been a bad look, but this Eagles team still has the talent to compete with most teams in the league on any given and this week against New Orleans, they better quickly forget about their loss to the Cowboys and come in with Drew Brees in mind. In fact, they better have Brees, Alvin Kamara, Mark Ingram, Michael Thomas and the rest of this New Orleans offense in mind as the Saints have solidified themselves as one of the league s elite. Eagles coach Doug Pederson is 12-7 as a dog since his initial season in 2016, but Philly is just ATS in its past 12 regular-season games. The Saints have covered their past seven and won their past eight. The numbers and trends suggest a high-scoring game, and given the fact it is still Brees vs Carson Wentz, a shootout wouldn t be a surprise and expect to see the Eagles look more fluid than last week. While doses of a Super Bowl hangover are there, this is a spot where the Eagles can prove they are still legitimate and a team to be respected. But if the Saints get out to an early lead, it could be bad news for the Birds. PHILADELPHIA NEW ORLEANS NEW ORLEANS is 7-0 ATS(L7G) - Against limited mistake offenses averaging less than 1.5 turnovers per game PHILADELPHIA is 0-7 ATS(L7G) - Against poor passing defenses yielding more than 6.90 yards per attempt PHILADELPHIA is 10-0 OVER(L10G) on ROAD - After a conference SU loss RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS NEW ORLEANS (17) at PHILADELPHIA (39) PHILADELPHIA HOME FAV OVER NEW ORLEANS (26) at PHILADELPHIA (24) NEW ORLEANS ROAD DOG UNDER PHILADELPHIA (13) at NEW ORLEANS (28) NEW ORLEANS HOME FAV UNDER NEW ORLEANS (48) at PHILADELPHIA (22) NEW ORLEANS ROAD FAV OVER PHILADELPHIA (38) at NEW ORLEANS (23) PHILADELPHIA ROAD DOG OVER NEW ORLEANS is 5-7 SU & 4-8 ATS vs. Philadelphia since 93 SEASON GAME LOGS PHILADELPHIA RESULTS NEW ORLEANS RESULTS VS ATLANTA PK W W U VS TAMPA BAY L L O at TAMPA BAY L L O VS CLEVELAND W L U VS INDIANAPOLIS W L U at ATLANTA W W O at TENNESSEE L L O at NY GIANTS W W U VS MINNESOTA L L U VS WASHINGTON W W O at NY GIANTS W W O at BALTIMORE W W U VS CAROLINA L L U at MINNESOTA W W U ** JACKSONVILLE W W U VS LA RAMS W W O VS DALLAS L L O at CINCINNATI W W O at NEW ORLEANS VS PHILADELPHIA VS NY GIANTS VS ATLANTA VS WASHINGTON at DALLAS at DALLAS at TAMPA BAY at LA RAMS at CAROLINA VS HOUSTON VS PITTSBURGH at WASHINGTON VS CAROLINA 18

19 AUGUST NFL COVERAGE 30 SEPTEMBER 3 NFL Week 11 NOVEMBER 18, :00 PM on CBS LUCAS OIL STADIUM (INDIANAPOLIS, IN) (461) TENNESSEE [SU:5-4 ATS:6-3] AT (462) INDIANAPOLIS (-2 48) [SU:4-5 ATS:4-4-1] TENNESSEE [3.9] [6.6] [3.9] [6.8] INDIANAPOLIS [4.6] [6.4] [3.9] [7.4] A months ago, a Titans-Colts battle would have seemed a waste of time, but with Indianapolis overachieving and Tennessee off an impressive victory over the Patriots, this game matters in the AFC Siytg. In consecutive weeks against the Cowboys and Patriots, Marcus Mariota has become a new quarterback. Looking calm, smooth, and efficient from the pocket, Mariota is getting the ball down field in dynamic fashion, stepping into his throws and wisely making his reads before releasing the ball. It is a much different look than the Maritoa who was jumpy, flustered and stagnant just a few weeks ago. The red-hot Andrew Luck continues to tear it up as he has amassed 26 touchdowns to nine interceptions. Luck and the Colts effective running game will put the pressure on Mariota to match scores. Indianapolis is 3-0 ATS in its past three, with the Titans at a mark of 6-1 as a dog this year. While it is not out of the question that Mariota and the Tennessee offense have another strong showing, Luck has proved he is much easier to trust and he should be due for another big day. TENNESSEE INDIANAPOLIS INDIANAPOLIS is 8-2 ATS(L10G) at HOME - VS TENNESSEE TENNESSEE is 2-8 ATS(L10G) - AT LUCAS OIL STADIUM INDIANAPOLIS is 22-9 UNDER(L10Y) at HOME - Against limited mistake offenses averaging less than 1.5 turnovers per game RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS TENNESSEE (20) at INDIANAPOLIS (16) TENNESSEE ROAD FAV UNDER INDIANAPOLIS (22) at TENNESSEE (36) TENNESSEE HOME FAV OVER TENNESSEE (17) at INDIANAPOLIS (24) INDIANAPOLIS HOME FAV UNDER INDIANAPOLIS (34) at TENNESSEE (26) INDIANAPOLIS ROAD DOG OVER TENNESSEE (24) at INDIANAPOLIS (30) INDIANAPOLIS HOME FAV OVER * UNDER the total is 13-5 in L18 of IND-TEN h2h series in INDIANAPOLIS SEASON GAME LOGS TENNESSEE RESULTS INDIANAPOLIS RESULTS at MIAMI PK L L O VS CINCINNATI L L O VS HOUSTON W W U at WASHINGTON W W U at JACKSONVILLE W W U at PHILADELPHIA L W U VS PHILADELPHIA W W O VS HOUSTON L L O at BUFFALO L L U at NEW ENGLAND L L O VS BALTIMORE L L U at NY JETS L L O ** LA CHARGERS L W U VS BUFFALO W W U at DALLAS W W O at OAKLAND W W O VS NEW ENGLAND W W U VS JACKSONVILLE W P O at INDIANAPOLIS VS TENNESSEE at HOUSTON VS MIAMI VS NY JETS at JACKSONVILLE VS JACKSONVILLE at HOUSTON at NY GIANTS VS DALLAS VS WASHINGTON VS NY GIANTS VS INDIANAPOLIS at TENNESSEE 19

20 AUGUST NFL COVERAGE 30 SEPTEMBER 3 NFL Week 11 NOVEMBER 18, :00 PM on CBS FEDEX FIELD (LANDOVER, MD) (463) HOUSTON ( ) [SU:6-3 ATS:4-4-1] AT (464) WASHINGTON [SU:6-3 ATS:6-3] HOUSTON [3.9] [7.8] [3.6] [6.6] WASHINGTON [4.4] [6.5] [4.2] [7.2] The Texans are the hottest team in football and have reached the point in the season where their talent superiority at key positions is starting to show. Houston has won six straight and covered its past three, with key players making their presence known in that span. Additionally, the Texans are 6-2 as dogs with DeShaun Watson taking snaps. But the Redskins are 6-1 versus the number in their past seven at home. The Washington defense has been underrated all season, and their talented defensive front will need to be active against a player of Watson s skill. Watson has taken a lot of hits this year, so constant pressure will give the Redskins chances to control the pace. Adrian Peterson s running will have much to do with Washington s offensive success, and Alex Smith will keep the fierce Texans pass rush on its heels with short, quick throws. Watson is due to make plays in this game regardless of how well the Washington defense performs, so whether or not Smith will be able to counter could be the ultimate difference. HOUSTON WASHINGTON WASHINGTON is 8-2 ATS(L10G) at HOME - Against decent-scoring teams averaging 24 PPG or more HOUSTON is ATS(L7G) - After a close SU win of 3 points or less WASHINGTON is 11-1 UNDER(L12G) - After playing TAMPA BAY RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS WASHINGTON (6) at HOUSTON (17) HOUSTON HOME FAV UNDER HOUSTON (30) at WASHINGTON (27) x x x OVER WASHINGTON (31) at HOUSTON (15) WASHINGTON ROAD FAV OVER HOUSTON (10) at WASHINGTON (26) WASHINGTON HOME FAV UNDER SEASON GAME LOGS HOUSTON RESULTS WASHINGTON RESULTS at NEW ENGLAND L L U at ARIZONA W W U at TENNESSEE L L U VS INDIANAPOLIS L L U VS NY GIANTS L L O VS GREEN BAY W W O at INDIANAPOLIS W W O at NEW ORLEANS L L O VS DALLAS W P U VS CAROLINA W W U VS BUFFALO W L U VS DALLAS W W U at JACKSONVILLE W W U at NY GIANTS W W U VS MIAMI W W O VS ATLANTA L L O at DENVER W W U at TAMPA BAY W W U at WASHINGTON VS HOUSTON VS TENNESSEE at DALLAS VS CLEVELAND at PHILADELPHIA VS INDIANAPOLIS VS NY GIANTS at NY JETS at JACKSONVILLE at PHILADELPHIA at TENNESSEE VS JACKSONVILLE VS PHILADELPHIA 20

21 AUGUST NFL COVERAGE 30 SEPTEMBER 3 NFL Week 11 NOVEMBER 18, :00 PM on FOX METLIFE STADIUM (EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ) (465) TAMPA BAY [SU:3-6 ATS:3-6] AT (466) NY GIANTS (-1 52) [SU:2-7 ATS:4-5] TAMPA BAY [3.8] [8.7] [4.4] [8.3] NY GIANTS [4.2] [6.9] [4.4] [7.0] The Giants may have gotten further away from the No. 1 draft pick with their win over the 49ers on but they were also able to finally incorporate Odell Beckham Jr. and the rest of their offensive weapons into the game plan. New York still is a talented team that must be respected. The Giants are 0-4 ATS at MetLife Stadium, yet like their matchup with San Francisco, this game against one of the league s worst teams gives the Giants another chance to show they are not lifeless. In the past seven, Tampa Bay is 1-6 straight up and ATS. While the offense still racks up yardage, the team is a mess with quarterback uncertainty and no defensive identity. The Buccaneers are 8-2 to the over since late Two bad defenses and offenses with nothing to lose means look over the total, but it is hard to feel comfortable with Eli Manning and the Bucs putting up a lot of points. TAMPA BAY NY GIANTS NY GIANTS are ATS(L7G) - VS TAMPA BAY TAMPA BAY is 9-23 ATS(S2000) - [vs OPP] Less than 6 days rest TAMPA BAY is 10-0 OVER(L10G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] Less than 6 days rest RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS NY GIANTS (23) at TAMPA BAY (25) NY GIANTS ROAD DOG OVER NY GIANTS (32) at TAMPA BAY (18) NY GIANTS ROAD FAV OVER TAMPA BAY (34) at NY GIANTS (41) TAMPA BAY ROAD DOG OVER NY GIANTS (24) at TAMPA BAY (0) NY GIANTS ROAD FAV UNDER NY GIANTS (24) at TAMPA BAY (14) NY GIANTS ROAD DOG UNDER * NY GIANTS are 6-2 SU & 6-1 ATS in its L8 vs. Tampa Bay SEASON GAME LOGS TAMPA BAY RESULTS NY GIANTS RESULTS at NEW ORLEANS W W O VS JACKSONVILLE L L U VS PHILADELPHIA W W O at DALLAS L L U VS PITTSBURGH L L O at HOUSTON W W O at CHICAGO L L O VS NEW ORLEANS L L U at ATLANTA L L O at CAROLINA L W O VS CLEVELAND W L U VS PHILADELPHIA L L O at CINCINNATI L W O at ATLANTA L W U at CAROLINA L L O VS WASHINGTON L L U VS WASHINGTON L L U at SAN FRANCISCO W W O at NY GIANTS VS TAMPA BAY VS SAN FRANCISCO at PHILADELPHIA VS CAROLINA VS CHICAGO VS NEW ORLEANS at WASHINGTON at BALTIMORE VS TENNESSEE at DALLAS at INDIANAPOLIS VS ATLANTA VS DALLAS 21

22 AUGUST NFL COVERAGE 30 SEPTEMBER 3 NFL Week 11 NOVEMBER 18, :05 PM on CBS STUBHUB CENTER (CARSON, CA) (467) DENVER [SU:3-6 ATS:3-5-1] AT (468) LA CHARGERS ( ) [SU:7-2 ATS:5-4] DENVER [5.2] [6.8] [4.8] [7.0] LA CHARGERS [5.1] [8.7] [4.5] [6.9] DENVER LA CHARGERS LA CHARGERS are 5-0 ATS(L2Y) - In November DENVER is ATS(L15G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] On winning streak of 3 or more games LA CHARGERS are 13-2 UNDER(L15G) - After SU win RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS DENVER (0) at LA CHARGERS (21) LA CHARGERS HOME DOG UNDER LA CHARGERS (21) at DENVER (24) x x x OVER SAN DIEGO (19) at DENVER (27) DENVER HOME FAV OVER DENVER (13) at SAN DIEGO (21) SAN DIEGO HOME DOG UNDER SAN DIEGO (20) at DENVER (27) SAN DIEGO ROAD DOG OVER * UNDER the total is 6-0 in L6 of LAC-DEN h2h series in LA CHARGERS SEASON GAME LOGS DENVER RESULTS LA CHARGERS RESULTS VS SEATTLE W P O VS KANSAS CITY L L O VS OAKLAND W L U at BUFFALO W W O at BALTIMORE L L U at LA RAMS L L O VS KANSAS CITY L L U VS SAN FRANCISCO W L O at NY JETS PK L L O VS OAKLAND W W U VS LA RAMS L W U at CLEVELAND PK W W O at ARIZONA W W O ** TENNESSEE W L U at KANSAS CITY L W U at SEATTLE PK W W U VS HOUSTON L L U at OAKLAND W W U at LA CHARGERS VS DENVER VS PITTSBURGH VS ARIZONA at CINCINNATI at PITTSBURGH at SAN FRANCISCO VS CINCINNATI VS CLEVELAND at KANSAS CITY at OAKLAND VS BALTIMORE VS LA CHARGERS at DENVER 22

23 AUGUST NFL COVERAGE 30 SEPTEMBER 3 NFL Week 11 NOVEMBER 18, :05 PM on CBS UNIVERSITY OF PHOENIX STADIUM (GLENDALE, AZ) (469) OAKLAND [SU:1-8 ATS:1-7-1] AT (470) ARIZONA ( ) [SU:2-7 ATS:5-4] OAKLAND [4.2] [7.1] [4.8] [8.9] ARIZONA [3.4] [5.2] [4.3] [7.0] There are several trends with the Raiders and not one of them points to anything positive in their game at Arizona. While trends never tell the full story, Oakland is trending in the wrong direction in many ways. To start, Jon Gruden is 2-7 against the line this season and the Raiders are in their past 23 since the beginning of the 2017 campaign. In their past 12 road spots, they are ATS. While all of these are red flags, the Cardinals have been a disaster in Arizona is in the process of establishing rookie Josh Rosen, and while only time will tell if the UCLA product is the right guy for the Cards, it has not gone well thus far. The Cardinals are 9-4 to the under in their past 13 and bring little to the table this week to suggest a change in identity. Arizona needs to rely heavily on running back David Johnson again this week. If Johnson has success, Rosen should benefit. This is a game Gruden and the Raiders, in pursuit of the No. 1 draft pick, should not want to win. OAKLAND ARIZONA ARIZONA is 6-1 ATS(L7G) at HOME - After SU loss OAKLAND is ATS(L7G) - with Head coach - GRUDEN ARIZONA is 5-0 UNDER(L2Y) - Against lesser-scoring teams averaging 18.5 PPG or less RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS ARIZONA (24) at OAKLAND (13) ARIZONA ROAD FAV UNDER OAKLAND (23) at ARIZONA (24) OAKLAND ROAD DOG OVER ARIZONA (9) at OAKLAND (22) OAKLAND HOME DOG UNDER OAKLAND (41) at ARIZONA (20) OAKLAND ROAD FAV OVER ARIZONA (34) at OAKLAND (31) ARIZONA ROAD DOG OVER * ROAD TEAMS are 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS in L5 of OAK-ARI h2h series SEASON GAME LOGS OAKLAND RESULTS ARIZONA RESULTS VS LA RAMS L L U VS WASHINGTON L L U at DENVER L W U at LA RAMS L L U at MIAMI L L O VS CHICAGO L W U VS CLEVELAND W P O VS SEATTLE L W U at LA CHARGERS L L U at SAN FRANCISCO W W O ** SEATTLE L L U at MINNESOTA L L O VS INDIANAPOLIS L L O VS DENVER L L O at SAN FRANCISCO L L U VS SAN FRANCISCO W W U VS LA CHARGERS L L U at KANSAS CITY L W U at ARIZONA VS OAKLAND at BALTIMORE at LA CHARGERS VS KANSAS CITY at GREEN BAY VS PITTSBURGH VS DETROIT at CINCINNATI at ATLANTA VS DENVER VS LA RAMS at KANSAS CITY at SEATTLE 23

24 NFL AUGUST COVERAGE 30 SEPTEMBER 3 NFL Week 11 NOVEMBER 18, :00 PM on CBS TIAA BANK FIELD (JACKSONVILLE, FL) (471) PITTSBURGH ( ) [SU:6-2-1 ATS:6-3] AT (472) JACKSONVILLE [SU:3-6 ATS:3-5-1] PITTSBURGH [4.3] [7.6] [4.1] [6.3] JACKSONVILLE [4.0] [6.6] [4.2] [6.6] It s obvious the Jaguars, who whipped Pittsburgh in the playoffs, are in chaos on both sides of the ball. This game comes at a time when the Steelers are starting to look like the Super Bowl contender many expected. Pittsburgh is moving forward with running back James Conner and moving past the Le Veon Bell drama. The Steelers went down to the Jags twice last year, with both defeats coming at Heinz Field in games that were all Jacksonville. The return of Leonard Fournette is huge for the Jags as the second-year back found the end zone last week against the Colts, but the defense was shredded by Andrew Luck and the same could happen against Ben Roethlisberger. Jacksonville has not won or covered in its past five contests. On the flip side, the Steelers have won and covered five straight, and they are 8-3 to the over since late last season. All things point to the Steelers in this one, as even if Fournette has a big day on the ground, the mismatch at quarterback paired with a struggling Jaguars defense will most likely be too much for the home underdog to overcome. PITTSBURGH JACKSONVILLE PITTSBURGH is 11-4 ATS(L15G) on ROAD - OU line of 45 or more JACKSONVILLE is ATS(L7G) at HOME - [vs OPP] On winning streak of 4 or more games PITTSBURGH is 13-2 UNDER(L15G) - [vs OPP] After a conference SU loss RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS JACKSONVILLE (45) at PITTSBURGH (42) JACKSONVILLE ROAD DOG OVER JACKSONVILLE (30) at PITTSBURGH (9) JACKSONVILLE ROAD DOG UNDER PITTSBURGH (17) at JACKSONVILLE (9) PITTSBURGH ROAD FAV UNDER JACKSONVILLE (13) at PITTSBURGH (17) JACKSONVILLE ROAD DOG UNDER PITTSBURGH (26) at JACKSONVILLE (21) PITTSBURGH ROAD DOG OVER UNDERDOGS are 8-7 SU & 12-3 ATS in L15 of JAC-PIT h2h series SEASON GAME LOGS PITTSBURGH RESULTS JACKSONVILLE RESULTS at CLEVELAND L O at NY GIANTS W W U VS KANSAS CITY L L O VS NEW ENGLAND W W O at TAMPA BAY W W O VS TENNESSEE L L U VS BALTIMORE L L U VS NY JETS W W O VS ATLANTA W W O at KANSAS CITY L L U at CINCINNATI W W U at DALLAS L L O VS CLEVELAND W W O VS HOUSTON L L U at BALTIMORE W W U ** PHILADELPHIA L L U VS CAROLINA W W O at INDIANAPOLIS L P O at JACKSONVILLE VS PITTSBURGH at DENVER at BUFFALO VS LA CHARGERS VS INDIANAPOLIS at OAKLAND at TENNESSEE VS NEW ENGLAND VS WASHINGTON at NEW ORLEANS at MIAMI VS CINCINNATI at HOUSTON 24

25 AUGUST NFL COVERAGE 30 SEPTEMBER 3 NFL Week 11 NOVEMBER 19, :15 PM on ESPN LOS ANGELES MEMORIAL COLISEUM (LOS ANGELES, CA) (47 ) KANSAS CITY [SU:9-1 ATS:8-2] AT (47 ) LA RAMS ( ) [SU:9-1 ATS:4-5-1] KANSAS CITY [4.8] [8.9] [5.1] [6.9] LA RAMS [4.9] [9.1] [5.2] [7.1] KANSAS CITY LA RAMS KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS(L2Y) on ROAD - with Starting QB - MAHOMES LA RAMS are 1-6 ATS(L7G) - [vs OPP] Head coach - REID KANSAS CITY is 13-2 UNDER(L15G) - Against mistake-free offenses averaging less than 1.3 turnovers per game RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS ST LOUIS (7) at KANSAS CITY (34) KANSAS CITY HOME FAV UNDER KANSAS CITY (27) at ST LOUIS (13) KANSAS CITY ROAD DOG UNDER KANSAS CITY (31) at ST LOUIS (17) KANSAS CITY ROAD DOG x ST LOUIS (10) at KANSAS CITY (49) KANSAS CITY HOME FAV OVER ST LOUIS (34) at KANSAS CITY (54) KANSAS CITY HOME DOG OVER SEASON GAME LOGS KANSAS CITY RESULTS LA RAMS RESULTS at LA CHARGERS W W O at OAKLAND W W U at PITTSBURGH W W O VS ARIZONA W W U VS SAN FRANCISCO W W O VS LA CHARGERS W W O at DENVER W W U VS MINNESOTA W P O VS JACKSONVILLE W W U at SEATTLE W L O at NEW ENGLAND L W O at DENVER W L U VS CINCINNATI W W U at SAN FRANCISCO W W U VS DENVER W L U VS GREEN BAY W L U at CLEVELAND W W O at NEW ORLEANS L L O VS ARIZONA W L U VS SEATTLE W L O at LA RAMS VS KANSAS CITY at OAKLAND at DETROIT VS BALTIMORE at CHICAGO VS LA CHARGERS VS PHILADELPHIA at SEATTLE at ARIZONA VS OAKLAND VS SAN FRANCISCO 25

26 AUGUST NFL COVERAGE 30 SEPTEMBER 3 Inside the SuperContest BY BRADY KANNON As is to be expected, the books bounced back in Week 10 of the NFL and following suit, the top consensus plays in the SuperContest suffered. It had been two weeks in a row that the sportsbooks took a real hit from the betting public. Over a three week span, the top 5 consensus plays in The SuperContest, had put together a 14-1 run. But this past Sunday was a different story. The books were very lopsided on a handful of games and they got their wish in nearly every one. The Eagles were the top selection in both SuperContest Classic and SuperContest Gold. They lost to the underdog Cowboys outright on Sunday Night. The Atlanta Falcons were the second most popular pick in each version of the contest and also lost outright to the underdog Cleveland Browns. The pattern continued with the Jets falling hard to the Buffalo Bills, the Buccaneers losing to the Redskins and the Titans, as 6.5 underdogs, clobbering the Patriots Often the books are rooting for underdogs to cover, but getting the outright wins as well this past week, helped the house turn a good day into a great day, collecting too on any teasers, parlays, and moneyline plays, in addition to the straight spread bets on the favorites. About the only game they did not get to fall their way was the New Orleans Saints steamrolling the Cincinnati Bengals as 5.5-point favorites. The top six selections in SuperContest Classic went 2-4. The top five selections in SuperContest Gold went Sans Souci s week was certainly reflective of what went down in general as we put together an unfortunate 2-3 card. Dawg was The Deuce, backing the Bears -6.5 and the Eagles The good news is The Deuce followed the rules and did not go 0-2. Red was on the very situational play of the Bengals plus the points and I think many of us found out that no matter what the venue and the scheduling spot, the Saints are really good -- maybe the very best team in the NFL. Clamp was on the Jets and Mule took The Seahawks +9.5 for a winner. I really liked our card going in, but was not personally convinced on the Jets being a big favorite over just about anyone. I made this number 4.5 and it closed -7. There is a huge difference between going 3-2 and going 2-3. We were irresponsible as a team for letting this one slip through the cracks -- but it is easy to be nonchalant when nine weeks into the contest you are under.500. When you are in contention, certainly it is more engaging and taken with a heightened sense of seriousness. A lack of focus must be shed soon however, as the Mini Contest is only about a month away, and we will indeed have to have our game face on for this if we want to have any sort of chance at the consolation prize. Looking at the Week 11 card around the early week, Sans Souci round table, the game that sticks out as a very confusing one is the Texans at the Redskins. Personally, I believe there are a number of angles and arguments you can point to in this contest, none of which produces a convincing edge one way or the other. The Redskins are atop the NFC East at 6-3. They return home after an outright win as a road underdog to Tampa Bay. Their offensive line is decimated due to injury... last week s game could fall into the Fallen Hero theory of sorts as the team rallied around the fact that the line was half gone. Maybe this week reality sets in against a much better defense. The Texans, on the other hand, are atop the AFC South, also at 6-3. I believe they are also very Paper Tiger-ish. They have won more games than any other team this season by being the beneficiary of poor coaching decisions late in games. Like the saying goes, It s better to be lucky than good, Houston may be just that -- very lucky but not very good. They have added Demaryius Thomas as another star receiver to replace Will Fuller and complement DeAndre Hopkins. I would venture to say Houston probably is the better team, but by how much better? Whenever it looks like Washington is inferior, it seems to step up and win a game. The Redskins do have a solid defense. Opening this game with the Texans as a 3.5-point favorite was surprising. It is down to 3 in most spots and 2.5 in a handful of others. I feel that both of these squads are still two unknowns as we re just not sure what we are going to get from either of them on any particular Sunday... and for that reason, Sans Souci is staying on the sidelines for this one so far in Week 11. Tune into A Numbers Game with Gill Alexander on Friday at VSiN for more Inside The SuperContest 26

27 COLLEGE AUGUST 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 VSiN College Football Consensus Matt Youmans (51%) Dave Tuley (46%) Power Rating (50%) Effective Strength (44%) Bettors Ratings (50%) Consensus (47%) Wednesday, November 14, (305) MIAMI OHIO at (306) N ILLINOIS (-6) N Illinois Miami Ohio N Illinois N Illinois N Illinois N Illinois Saturday, November 17, (325) WISCONSIN at (326) PURDUE (-5.5) Purdue Wisconsin Wisconsin Purdue Wisconsin Wisconsin Saturday, November 17, (353) CINCINNATI at (354) UCF (-7.5) Cincinnati Cincinnati Cincinnati Cincinnati UCF Cincinnati Saturday, November 17, (367) SYRACUSE vs. (368) NOTRE DAME (-9) Syracuse Notre Dame Notre Dame Notre Dame Notre Dame Notre Dame Saturday, November 17, (375) ARIZONA ST at (376) OREGON (-4) Oregon Arizona St Arizona St Arizona St Oregon Arizona St Saturday, November 17, (385) UAB at (386) TEXAS A&M (-15.5) UAB UAB UAB UAB TexasA&M UAB Saturday, November 17, (389) WEST VIRGINIA at (390) OKLAHOMA ST (+5.5) Oklahoma St West Virginia West Virginia Oklahoma St West Virginia West Virginia Saturday, November 17, (417) IOWA ST at (418) TEXAS (-3) Texas Iowa St Iowa St Iowa St Texas Iowa St Saturday, November 17, (419) USC at (420) UCLA (+3) UCLA USC USC USC USC USC Saturday, November 17, (421) SAN DIEGO ST at (422) FRESNO ST (-15) San Diego St Fresno St Fresno St San Diego St San Diego St San Diego St VSiN College Football Best Bets Paul Howard VSiN Season: Last: 3-2 Brett Lawson VSiN Season: Last: 3-2 Mitch Moss VSiN Season: Last: 4-1 Sam Panayotovich VSiN Season: Last: Paul Season: Last: 3-2 Matt Youmans VSiN Season: Last: Indiana +28 Tennessee +6 Purdue -4.5 Buffalo +2.5 SMU +9 Indiana +28 UAB-Texas A&M Under 47 Oregon State +33 West Virginia- Oklahoma St. Over 71 Miami-Virginia Tech Under 51.5 Nebraska +2 Toledo -13 Wyoming -2 Cincinnati +7.5 Oklahoma State +5 Wake Forest +6 Syracuse-Notre Dame Under 62 Oklahoma State +5 USC -3.5 Iowa State +3 Utah State -27 Syracuse +10 Baylor -2 Nebraska +2 Hawaii -6.5 Hawaii -6.5 Hawaii -6.5 Oregon -4 San Diego State +15 UCLA

28 COLLEGE AUGUST 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 5 College Football Games to Watch BY MATT YOUMANS MICHIGAN STATE-NEBRASKA The storm clouds are in Scott Frost s rearview mirror but there s no looking back for the Cornhuskers, who survived their 0-6 start and persevered through misery. Nebraska has won three of its past four games mostly due to Frost s offense. The Cornhuskers have scored at least 30 points in five straight games and have topped 450 yards of total offense in seven straight games, averaging 538 during that stretch. Freshman quarterback Adrian Martinez will be a good Heisman Trophy long shot next year. Martinez has passed for 2,212 yards and 15 touchdowns while topping 50 yards rushing in six games. Devine Ozigbo, a 235-pound power runner, has 958 yards and 12 TDs on the ground. Nebraska has one of the Big Ten s worst defenses, however, and that makes its meeting with Michigan State a clash of contrasting styles. The Spartans allow 19.7 points per game to rank 17th in the nation in scoring defense. The offense misses the punishing running of LJ Scott, who battled an ankle injury and opted to redshirt after playing in four games this season. The quarterback situation remains up in the air as Brian Lewerke fights a sore right shoulder. It appears Rocky Lombardi, who s as tough as his name suggests, will get the start in Lincoln. The Spartans are in a bad spot on the road after losing to Ohio State. Michigan State is a 2-point favorite, which is a little surprising, and coach Mark Dantonio is 2-9 against the spread in his past 11 games when laying points on the road. The Cornhuskers are rolling and look live as small underdogs. SYRACUSE-NOTRE DAME After a one-game injury absence, Irish quarterback Ian Book is expected to start Saturday in this Top 25 matchup at Yankee Stadium in New York. Book, who has completed 74.5 percent of his passes, is 6-0 as the starter for No. 3 Notre Dame (10-0, 6-4 ATS). Brandon Wimbush, who beat Michigan and started the season s first three games, led the Irish to a victory over Florida State last week, yet there s no doubt Book is the more effective QB. Dexter Williams rushed for 202 yards on 20 carries as Notre Dame continues to pound away on the ground behind a strong offensive line. This is probably coach Brian Kelly s best team. The Irish rank 15th in scoring defense, allowing 18.7 points per game. Kelly has only two hurdles left to clear this one in the Bronx and next week at Southern California to reach the four-team playoff. Both could be stressful tests, and the pressure is on the Irish, who will get plenty of fan support this week. Syracuse (8-2) proved its worth in a loss at Clemson in late September. Senior quarterback Eric Dungey is a mobile playmaker who triggers the No. 7-ranked scoring offense at 44.4 points per game. The Orange can hang around with the Irish, who are favored by 9 or 9½ points. If the line hits 10, Syracuse is worth a small play. This should not be easy for Kelly. DUKE-CLEMSON Dabo Swinney and the Tigers are headed back to the playoff and nine of 10 pundits are putting them on a collision course with Alabama. While the Blue Devils (7-3) are not going to spoil the party, this is not a dog that will roll over and play dead. Duke coach David Cutcliffe is 4-0 ATS as an underdog this year and on a run getting points. He s also got an NFL prospect at quarterback in 6-foot- 5 junior Daniel Jones, who might not sleep well this week. Clemson, of course, has the nation s top-ranked scoring defense (12.7) and an offense putting up 45.7 points per game. The Tigers can torch defenses through the air with Trevor Lawrence and on the ground with Travis Etienne, who has 1,076 yards rushing and is getting 8.5 per carry. Clemson s strong defensive front and offensive speed will outclass Duke. The point spread is meant to be the equalizer, though, and 28 is a lot to give a coach as crafty as Cutcliffe. CINCINNATI-CENTRAL FLORIDA It s not a knock against the Knights, but the chatter about Central Florida sneaking into the fourteam playoff field can stop. The system is rigged to prevent small-conference teams from getting in while protecting the big leagues such as the Southeastern Conference. UCF, the defending American Athletic Conference champion, owns the nation s longest win streak at 22 games. The streak is no fluke and includes a convincing bowl victory over Auburn. The star of the show is McKenzie Milton, a junior quarterback from Hawaii. Milton has accounted for 29 touchdowns (21 passing, eight rushing) for an offense averaging 44.2 points. The Knights are soft on the defensive side, though, and allowed 670 yards in a victory over Temple two weeks ago. Cincinnati (9-1) is one of the top surprise teams in college football in coach Luke Fickell s second year. Fickell has a history with Ohio State and is being mentioned as a possible candidate if Urban Meyer bows out. The Bearcats rank seventh in scoring defense (14.9) and boast a workhorse running back in Michael Warren, who has piled up 1,082 yards and 17 touchdowns. Consider this common opponent score comparison: Cincinnati beat Navy 42-0 two weeks ago; UCF struggled to get by Navy last week. ESPN s pregame circus is rolling into Orlando to crank up the hype for a prime-time game on ABC. This smells like a matchup with upset potential, so consider the Bearcats as 7½-point dogs. USC-UCLA At the tail end of a lost season, the Bruins are improving and playing hard for coach Chip Kelly. This rivalry game at the Rose Bowl is UCLA s bowl game. A victory over USC would give the Bruins (2-8) something to celebrate. The Trojans (5-5) are limping to the finish line and the end could be near for coach Clay Helton. Kelly s offense is showing signs of life. Wilton Speight, a Michigan transfer who got the starting nod over freshman Dorian Thompson-Robinson last week, passed for 335 yards and two touchdowns in a loss at Arizona State. USC quarterback JT Daniels has been an overhyped freshman and he flopped last week, when the Trojans went scoreless in the second half of a loss to California. Helton is 7-18 ATS in his past 25 games. There are few statistics or trends that make a bold case for the Bruins, but these teams seem headed in opposite directions and UCLA is the play getting 3½ points. 28

29 COLLEGE FOOTBALL COVERAGE AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 College Football Week 12 NOVEMBER 14, :00 PM on ESPN2 PEDEN STADIUM (ATHENS, OH) (303) BUFFALO [SU:9-1 ATS:8-2] AT (304) OHIO U ( ) [SU:6-4 ATS:6-4] BUFFALO [4.5] [7.8] [3.8] [6.2] OHIO U [5.7] [8.9] [4.3] [8.1] Last year, Buffalo beat Ohio to close the season on a three-game winning streak to get bowl eligible. The only problem is the Bulls did not get invited to a bowl. This season, at 9-1, they will be invited to their first bowl since The Bulls also have the opportunity to play for their first MAC Championship since 2008 with a victory here. Buffalo is currently 6-0 in the MAC East Division and Ohio is the nearest pursuer. However, the Bulls are only -1.5 road chalk off a dominant win over Kent State where they led 48-0 after three quarters before a win. Ohio comes in off its first Battle for the Bricks loss against Miami (Ohio) in five seasons. The Bobcats are in the underdog role for the first time in over a month. Buffalo has the better defense (22nd nationally) and everything to play for and yet the Bulls are such a tepid favorite? Hmmm. BUFFALO OHIO U OHIO is 10-0 ATS(L10G) at HOME - Against opportunistic offenses averaging less than yards per point BUFFALO is 1-6 ATS(L7G) on ROAD - Against big play passing teams averaging more than 8.30 yards per attempt OHIO is 8-2 UNDER(L10G) - [vs OPP] On winning streak of 5 or more games RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS OHIO (24) at BUFFALO (31) BUFFALO HOME DOG UNDER BUFFALO (10) at OHIO (34) OHIO HOME FAV UNDER OHIO (17) at BUFFALO (41) BUFFALO HOME DOG OVER BUFFALO (14) at OHIO (37) OHIO HOME FAV UNDER OHIO (3) at BUFFALO (30) BUFFALO HOME FAV UNDER HOME TEAMS are on a 5-0 SU & ATS run in the BUF-OHU h2h series BUFFALO RESULTS OHIO U RESULTS VS DELAWARE ST W L U VS HOWARD W L O at TEMPLE W W O ** VIRGINIA L L O VS E MICHIGAN W W O at CINCINNATI L W O at RUTGERS W W O VS MASSACHUSETTS W W O VS ARMY L L O at KENT ST W L U at C MICHIGAN W W O at N ILLINOIS L W U VS AKRON W W U VS BOWLING GREEN W W U at TOLEDO W W U VS BALL ST W W O VS MIAMI OH W W O at W MICHIGAN W W O VS KENT ST W W O at MIAMI OH L L U at OHIO VS BUFFALO at BOWLING GREEN VS AKRON 29

30 AUGUST COLLEGE 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 NOVEMBER 14, :00 PM ON ESPNU HUSKIE STADIUM (DEKALB, IL) (305) MIAMI OHIO [SU:4-6 ATS:6-4] AT (306) N ILLINOIS (-6 47) [SU:7-3 ATS:6-4] MIAMI OHIO [4.2] [6.8] [3.8] [7.1] N ILLINOIS [4.1] [4.9] [2.7] [6.9] Miami got its first victory over rival Ohio in five years and kept slim bowl chances alive. Meanwhile, Northern Illinois has won six straight and its win over Toledo put the Huskies in position to clinch the MAC West Division with a win here or at Western Michigan next week. Note that Western Michigan plays at Ball State on Tuesday and should they lose, Northern Illinois will have already clinched the division and the spot in the MAC Championship game. NIU has gotten it done this year the old-fashioned way by running the ball and playing solid defense. It is pretty remarkable that the Huskies are in the drivers seat for a shot at a conference title considering they rank 123rd of 129 FBS teams in total offense (318.5 ypg), 122nd in passing offense (138.3 ypg) and 120th in scoring offense (21.1 ppg). One interesting statistical comparison is that Miami is the worst in college football at stopping fourth downs on defense (opponents convert 11-for-13; 84.6%). On the other hand, NIU is 127th on converting fourth downs (4-for-15; 26.7%). It is senior night for NIU but oftentimes senior nights get overvalued and inflated by the bettors without them realizing it s baked into the line. Miami s backs are against the wall to remain bowl eligible; whereas, NIU has a bit of wiggle room at the end of the season. MIAMI OHIO N ILLINOIS MIAMI OH is 8-2 ATS(L10G) - [vs OPP] On winning streak of 4 or more games N ILLINOIS is 2-5 ATS(L2Y) at HOME - Conference games MIAMI OH is 13-2 UNDER(L15G) - Against anemic passing teams averaging less than 5.70 yards per attempt RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS N ILLINOIS (45) at MIAMI OH (12) N ILLINOIS ROAD FAV OVER MIAMI OH (41) at N ILLINOIS (51) MIAMI OH ROAD DOG OVER * MIAMI OH (26) vs N ILLINOIS (21) MIAMI OH x DOG UNDER N ILLINOIS (27) at MIAMI OH (22) MIAMI OH HOME DOG OVER MIAMI OH (13) at N ILLINOIS (17) MIAMI OH ROAD DOG UNDER MIAMI OHIO is 1-5 SU but 5-1 ATS in its L6 vs. N ILLINOIS MIAMI OHIO RESULTS N ILLINOIS RESULTS VS MARSHALL L L O at IOWA L L U ** CINCINNATI L L U VS UTAH L W U at MINNESOTA L L U VS C MICHIGAN W L U at BOWLING GREEN W W O at FLORIDA ST L L O VS W MICHIGAN L W O at E MICHIGAN W W U at AKRON W W O at BALL ST W W U VS KENT ST W W U VS OHIO W L U at ARMY L W O at BYU W W U at BUFFALO L L O at AKRON W W O VS OHIO W W U VS TOLEDO W W U at N ILLINOIS VS MIAMI OH VS BALL ST at W MICHIGAN

31 AUGUST COLLEGE 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 (309) TOLEDO ( ) [SU:5-5 ATS:4-6] AT (310) KENT ST [SU:2-8 ATS:6-4] NOVEMBER 15, :00 PM on CBSSN - DIX STADIUM (KENT, OH) TOLEDO [4.9] [7.7] [4.8] [7.5] KENT ST [4.1] [5.9] [4.5] [8.7] TOLEDO KENT ST KENT ST is 3-12 ATS(L15G) at HOME - [vs OPP] After a blowout SU loss 20 points or more HOME TEAMS are on a 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS run in the KS-TOL h2h series TOLEDO RESULTS KENT ST RESULTS VS VMI W W O at ILLINOIS L W U VS MIAMI FL L L O VS HOWARD W W O VS NEVADA W W O at PENN ST L L O at FRESNO ST L L O at MISSISSIPPI L W U VS BOWLING GREEN W L O at BALL ST L L O at E MICHIGAN L L U VS OHIO L W U VS BUFFALO L L U at MIAMI OH L L U at W MICHIGAN W W O VS AKRON L W U VS BALL ST W W U at BOWLING GREEN W W U at N ILLINOIS L L U at BUFFALO L L O at KENT ST VS TOLEDO VS C MICHIGAN VS E MICHIGAN (311) TULANE [SU:5-5 ATS:5-5] AT (312) HOUSTON ( ) [SU:7-3 ATS:5-5] NOVEMBER 15, :00 PM on ESPN - TDECU STADIUM (HOUSTON, TX) TULANE [4.7] [7.8] [3.9] [7.3] HOUSTON [5.7] [8.6] [3.8] [7.7] TULANE HOUSTON TULANE is 8-2 UNDER(L10G) - OU line of 60 or more FAVORITES are 13-3 SU & 12-4 ATS in the TUL-HOU h2h series since 2000 TULANE RESULTS HOUSTON RESULTS VS WAKE FOREST L W U at RICE W L O VS NICHOLLS ST W W O VS ARIZONA W W U at UAB L L U at TEXAS TECH L L O at OHIO ST L L U VS TEXAS SOUTHERN W W O VS MEMPHIS W W U VS TULSA W L U at CINCINNATI L L O at EAST CAROLINA W W U VS SMU L L U at NAVY W W O at TULSA W W U VS SOUTH FLORIDA W W O at SOUTH FLORIDA W W U at SMU L L O VS EAST CAROLINA W L U VS TEMPLE L L O at HOUSTON VS TULANE VS NAVY at MEMPHIS 31

32 AUGUST COLLEGE 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 (313) FLA ATLANTIC [SU:5-5 ATS:3-7] AT (314) NORTH TEXAS ( ) [SU:7-3 ATS:4-6] NOVEMBER 15, :30 PM on CBSSN - APOGEE STADIUM (DENTON, TX) FLA ATLANTIC [5.4] [7.5] [4.3] [7.5] NORTH TEXAS [4.2] [7.9] [3.1] [6.7] FLA ATLANTIC NORTH TEXAS NORTH TEXAS is 8-2 UNDER(L10G) - After a close SU loss 3 points or less HOME TEAMS are on a 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS run in the FAU-NTX h2h series FLA ATLANTIC RESULTS NORTH TEXAS RESULTS at OKLAHOMA L L O VS SMU W W U VS AIR FORCE W L O VS INCARNATE WORD W L U VS BETHUNE-COOK W L O at ARKANSAS W W U at UCF L L O at LIBERTY W W U at MIDDLE TENN ST L L U VS LOUISIANA TECH L L U VS OLD DOMINION W W O at UTEP W L U at MARSHALL L L U VS SOUTHERN MISS W W U VS LOUISIANA TECH L L U at UAB L L U at FLORIDA INTL W W O VS RICE W L U VS W KENTUCKY W W U at OLD DOMINION L L U at NORTH TEXAS VS FL ATLANTIC VS CHARLOTTE at TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO (315) MEMPHIS ( ) [SU:6-4 ATS:6-4] AT (316) SMU [SU:5-5 ATS:5-5] NOVEMBER 16, :00 PM on ESPN2 - GERALD J. FORD STADIUM (DALLAS, TX) MEMPHIS [6.5] [9.0] [4.1] [7.4] SMU [3.8] [7.1] [4.5] [7.1] MEMPHIS SMU SMU is 5-1 ATS(L2Y) at HOME - Against prolific-scoring teams averaging 36 PPG or more SMU is on a 0-4 SU & ATS slide vs. MEMPHIS MEMPHIS RESULTS SMU RESULTS VS MERCER W W O at NORTH TEXAS L L U at NAVY L L U VS TCU L L U VS GEORGIA ST W W O at MICHIGAN L W O VS S ALABAMA W L O VS NAVY W W O at TULANE L L U VS HOUSTON BAPTIST W L O VS CONNECTICUT W W U at UCF L L U VS UCF L W U at TULANE W W U at MISSOURI L L O VS CINCINNATI L W U at EAST CAROLINA W W O VS HOUSTON W W O VS TULSA W W O at CONNECTICUT W L O at SMU VS MEMPHIS VS HOUSTON at TULSA 32

33 AUGUST COLLEGE 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 (317) BOISE ST ( ) [SU:8-2 ATS:5-4-1] AT (318) NEW MEXICO [SU:3-7 ATS:4-6] NOVEMBER 16, :00 PM on CBSSN - DREAMSTYLE STADIUM (ALBUQUERQUE, NM) BOISE ST (23) [4.0] [8.5] [3.7] [8.3] NEW MEXICO [3.8] [7.8] [4.6] [8.8] BOISE ST (23) NEW MEXICO NEW MEXICO is 12-3 OVER(L15G) at HOME - Against mistake-free offenses averaging less than 1.4 turnovers per game BOISE ST is 6-1 SU but 1-6 ATS in its L7 vs. NEW MEXICO BOISE ST (23) RESULTS NEW MEXICO RESULTS at TROY W W O VS INCARNATE WORD W L O VS CONNECTICUT W W O at WISCONSIN L W O at OKLAHOMA ST L L U at NEW MEXICO ST W W O at WYOMING W W O VS LIBERTY L L O VS SAN DIEGO ST L L U at UNLV W W O at NEVADA W L P at COLORADO ST L L U VS COLORADO ST W W O VS FRESNO ST L L U at AIR FORCE W P O at UTAH ST L L O VS BYU W L U VS SAN DIEGO ST L W O VS FRESNO ST W W U at AIR FORCE L L O at NEW MEXICO VS BOISE ST VS UTAH ST VS WYOMING (319) INDIANA [SU:5-5 ATS:4-6] AT (320) MICHIGAN ( ) [SU:9-1 ATS:6-4] NOVEMBER 17, :00 PM on FS1 - MICHIGAN STADIUM (ANN ARBOR, MI) INDIANA [4.3] [6.5] [4.6] [7.6] MICHIGAN (4) [5.0] [8.4] [3.1] [4.8] INDIANA MICHIGAN (4) INDIANA is 7-0 OVER(L7G) - Revenging a loss HOME TEAMS are on a 4-1 ATS run in the IND-MIC h2h series INDIANA RESULTS MICHIGAN (4) RESULTS at FLORIDA INTL W L O at NOTRE DAME L L U VS VIRGINIA W L U VS W MICHIGAN W W U VS BALL ST W W U VS SMU W L O VS MICHIGAN ST L L O VS NEBRASKA W W O at RUTGERS W L U at NORTHWESTERN W L U at OHIO ST L W O VS MARYLAND W W O VS IOWA L L O VS WISCONSIN W W O VS PENN ST L W O at MICHIGAN ST W W U at MINNESOTA L L O VS PENN ST W W P VS MARYLAND W W O at RUTGERS W L O at MICHIGAN VS INDIANA VS PURDUE at OHIO ST 33

34 COLLEGE AUGUST 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 NOVEMBER 17, :00 PM on ACCNE BB&T FIELD (WINSTON-SALEM, NC) (321) PITTSBURGH (-5 61) [SU:6-4 ATS:6-4] AT (322) WAKE FOREST [SU:5-5 ATS:3-7] PITTSBURGH [6.5] [6.4] [4.4] [7.8] WAKE FOREST [4.4] [6.8] [5.2] [7.2] Pitt was 2-3 and off an embarrassing loss at UCF to close out September. Since then, the Panthers have gone 4-1, including a close loss at Notre Dame where they had the Irish in trouble, and now only have to win this one or at Miami next week to win the ACC Coastal Division and get a shot at Clemson in the conference championship game. The Panthers come to Wake Forest in as good a position as they could have anticipated. Last week, Pitt set a school record with 654 total yards, 492 on the ground, in a blowout over Virginia Tech. This week they get Wake Forest, which ranks in the bottom 10 (120th) in total defense (486.3 ypg) and gives up on the ground (103rd). That said, Wake Forest kept its season alive with a fourth-quarter comeback down double-digits (27-23; +19.5) at NC State, Wake s first win over a ranked opponent in 10 years. The Demon Deacons usually have one of the fastest tempos in the country on offense (85 plays per game) but slowed the tempo with a QB in Jamie Newman making his first start and only ran 71 plays. Expect more of the same here to keep their defense off the field as Pitt can really pound the ball. While Pitt can clinch the division, Wake still needs another win for bowl eligibility. Dave Clawson has taken Wake to two straight bowls after two 3-9 seasons and clearly doesn t want to take a step back. It s a much different role for Pitt being a road favorite. This opened Pitt -6 anticipating Panthers money to push it to -7 but it s likely that buyback on Wake comes in beforehand. PITTSBURGH WAKE FOREST PITTSBURGH is 6-1 ATS(L7G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After a conference SU win WAKE FOREST is 1-4 ATS(CS) at HOME - On Saturday WAKE FOREST is OVER(L10Y) at HOME - good teams with 80% or better winning pct RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS No Recent Head-Head Games PITTSBURGH RESULTS WAKE FOREST RESULTS VS ALBANY W L U at TULANE W L U VS PENN ST L L O VS TOWSON W L O VS GEORGIA TECH W W U VS BOSTON COLLEGE L L O at NORTH CAROLINA L L O VS NOTRE DAME L L O at UCF L L U VS RICE W W O VS SYRACUSE W W O VS CLEMSON L L O at NOTRE DAME L W U at FLORIDA ST L L U VS DUKE W W O at LOUISVILLE W W O at VIRGINIA W W U VS SYRACUSE L L U VS VIRGINIA TECH W W O at NC STATE W W U at WAKE FOREST VS PITTSBURGH at MIAMI FL at DUKE 34

35 AUGUST COLLEGE 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 (323) IOWA ( ) [SU:6-4 ATS:6-3-1] AT (324) ILLINOIS [SU:4-6 ATS:4-6] NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM on BTN - MEMORIAL STADIUM (CHAMPAIGN, IL) IOWA [3.8] [7.3] [3.0] [6.3] ILLINOIS [6.3] [6.2] [6.0] [8.6] IOWA ILLINOIS ILLINOIS is 5-12 ATS(L5Y) - Underdog of more than 14 points FAVORITES are on a 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS run in the ILL-IOW h2h series IOWA RESULTS ILLINOIS RESULTS VS N ILLINOIS W W U VS KENT ST W L U VS IOWA ST W W U VS W ILLINOIS W W U VS N IOWA W W O ** SOUTH FLORIDA L W U VS WISCONSIN L L O VS PENN ST L L O at MINNESOTA W W O at RUTGERS W W O at INDIANA W W O VS PURDUE L L U VS MARYLAND W W U at WISCONSIN L L O at PENN ST L L O at MARYLAND L L O at PURDUE L P O VS MINNESOTA W W O VS NORTHWESTERN L L U at NEBRASKA L L O at ILLINOIS VS IOWA VS NEBRASKA at NORTHWESTERN 35

36 AUGUST COLLEGE 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM on BTN ROSS-ADE STADIUM (WEST LAFAYETTE, IN) (325) WISCONSIN [SU:6-4 ATS:2-8] AT (326) PURDUE ( ) [SU:5-5 ATS:5-4-1] WISCONSIN [6.2] [6.9] [4.6] [6.8] PURDUE [4.8] [8.0] [4.0] [7.3] Two teams off very disappointing offensive performances and losses last week meet here. Wisconsin has been ravaged by injuries on both sides of the ball and may be without QB Alex Hornibrook for the second straight week with a concussion Backup Jack Coan was only 9-for-20 for 60 yards with 2 INT and 2 lost fumbles in a loss at Penn State. Meanwhile Purdue, who had defeated two top 16 teams (No. 2 Ohio State and No. 16 Iowa) in the last three weeks, played their worst game of the season in a loss at Minnesota. The Boilermakers offense was held to a season-low of 233 yards and now still need to win at least one of their last two to be bowl eligible. The obvious elephant in the room now is that the Louisville job came open over the weekend with the sacking of Bobby Petrino. The obvious number one candidate, if you believe the media, is Purdue coach Jeff Brohm. He makes total sense in that he was born and raised in Louisville, graduated from Trinity HS and the University of Louisville and also coached on the Cardinals staff from Wisconsin will see some support at the window largely due to these rumors but Brohm and his staff may be able to put that aside and focus and take care of business at least in the short-term here. WISCONSIN PURDUE WISCONSIN is 12-3 ATS(L15G) on ROAD - Against strong passing teams averaging more than 7.90 yards per attempt PURDUE is 1-9 ATS(L10G) at HOME - After a blowout SU loss 20 points or more PURDUE is 11-4 OVER(L5Y) at HOME - Against efficient defenses allowing more than yards per point RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS PURDUE (9) at WISCONSIN (17) PURDUE ROAD DOG UNDER WISCONSIN (49) at PURDUE (20) WISCONSIN ROAD FAV OVER PURDUE (7) at WISCONSIN (24) PURDUE ROAD DOG UNDER WISCONSIN (34) at PURDUE (16) WISCONSIN ROAD FAV UNDER PURDUE (10) at WISCONSIN (41) WISCONSIN HOME FAV OVER PURDUE is 0-6 SU & ATS in its L6 hosting WISCONSIN WISCONSIN RESULTS PURDUE RESULTS VS W KENTUCKY W L U VS NORTHWESTERN L L O VS NEW MEXICO W L O VS E MICHIGAN L L U VS BYU L L U VS MISSOURI L W O at IOWA W W O VS BOSTON COLLEGE W W U VS NEBRASKA W L O at NEBRASKA W W O at MICHIGAN L L O at ILLINOIS W W U VS ILLINOIS W W O VS OHIO ST W W O at NORTHWESTERN L L U at MICHIGAN ST L L U VS RUTGERS W L U VS IOWA W P O at PENN ST L L U at MINNESOTA L L U at PURDUE VS WISCONSIN VS MINNESOTA at INDIANA 36

37 COLLEGE AUGUST 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 (327) VIRGINIA [SU:7-3 ATS:7-3] AT (328) GEORGIA TECH ( ) [SU:6-4 ATS:5-5] NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM on ACCNE - BOBBY DODD STADIUM AT GRANT FIELD (ATLANTA, GA) VIRGINIA [4.6] [7.4] [4.2] [6.6] GEORGIA TECH [6.0] [9.6] [4.3] [7.2] VIRGINIA GEORGIA TECH VIRGINIA is UNDER(L15G) on ROAD - Against opportunistic offenses averaging less than yards per point HOME TEAMS are 7-1 SU & 7-0 ATS in the L8 of the GAT-VIR h2h series VIRGINIA RESULTS GEORGIA TECH RESULTS VS RICHMOND W W O VS ALCORN ST W L U at INDIANA L W U at SOUTH FLORIDA L L O ** OHIO W W O at PITTSBURGH L L U VS LOUISVILLE W W U VS CLEMSON L L O at NC STATE L L O VS BOWLING GREEN W W O VS MIAMI FL W W U at LOUISVILLE W W O at DUKE W W U VS DUKE L L U VS NORTH CAROLINA W W O at VIRGINIA TECH W W O VS PITTSBURGH L L U at NORTH CAROLINA W W O VS LIBERTY W L O VS MIAMI FL W W U at GEORGIA TECH VS VIRGINIA at VIRGINIA TECH at GEORGIA (329) NORTHWESTERN ( ) [SU:6-4 ATS:5-4-1] AT (330) MINNESOTA [SU:5-5 ATS:6-4] NOVEMBER 17, :00 PM on BTN - TCF BANK STADIUM (MINNEAPOLIS, MN) NORTHWESTERN (24) [2.8] [6.0] [4.1] [6.8] MINNESOTA [4.1] [7.9] [5.5] [6.6] NORTHWESTERN (24) MINNESOTA MINNESOTA is 13-2 ATS(L15G) at HOME - Against lesser rushing teams averaging less than 3.6 yards per carry UNDER the total is 7-0 in the L7 of the MIN-NW h2h series NORTHWESTERN (24) RESULTS MINNESOTA RESULTS at PURDUE W W O VS NEW MEXICO ST W W O VS DUKE L L U VS FRESNO ST W W U VS AKRON L L O VS MIAMI OH W W U VS MICHIGAN L W U at MARYLAND L L O at MICHIGAN ST W W O VS IOWA L L O VS NEBRASKA W L O at OHIO ST L W U at RUTGERS W L U at NEBRASKA L L O VS WISCONSIN W W U VS INDIANA W W O VS NOTRE DAME L P O at ILLINOIS L L O at IOWA W W U VS PURDUE W W U at MINNESOTA VS NORTHWESTERN VS ILLINOIS at WISCONSIN 37

38 AUGUST COLLEGE 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 NOVEMBER 17, :00 PM on ESPN MEMORIAL STADIUM (CLEMSON, SC) (331) DUKE [SU:7-3 ATS:5-5] AT (332) CLEMSON ( ) [SU:10-0 ATS:6-4] DUKE [4.7] [7.0] [5.0] [6.2] CLEMSON (2) [6.7] [8.2] [2.1] [6.4] Duke is the latest team to get a shot at Clemson as a big underdog. The Blue Devils won their third straight Victory Bell over arch rival North Carolina last weekend and now get a quasi-bowl game in Death Valley. Clemson didn t earn a ton of style points in a dominant 27-7 win at Boston College. The Tigers were held more than 100 yards under their average but also knocked BC QB Anthony Brown out of the game in the first quarter and subsequently suffocated the Eagles offense holding them to only a minuscule 113 yards. Clemson still has business to handle here this week and then the rivalry game with South Carolina before the ACC title game. This is a bit of a sandwich spot, though, off a prime-time win and with the Palmetto Bowl on deck. Duke, already bowl eligible at 7-3, should play with nothing to lose and David Cutcliffe is as crafty as they come. The situation calls for a Duke cover, but this Clemson team has won games by 60, 34, 49 and 61 before the close win by 20 at BC. Can Duke catch the Tigers sleeping? DUKE CLEMSON (2) DUKE is 13-2 ATS(L15G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better CLEMSON is 1-4 ATS(L2Y) at HOME - as AP #2 CLEMSON is 13-2 UNDER(L15G) at HOME - good teams with 70% or better winning pct RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS CLEMSON (56) at DUKE (20) CLEMSON ROAD FAV OVER DUKE (7) at CLEMSON (31) CLEMSON HOME FAV UNDER CLEMSON (47) at DUKE (10) CLEMSON ROAD FAV OVER DUKE (20) at CLEMSON (49) CLEMSON HOME FAV OVER CLEMSON (13) at DUKE (16) DUKE HOME DOG UNDER * CLEMSON is on a 4-0 SU & ATS run vs. DUKE DUKE RESULTS CLEMSON (2) RESULTS VS ARMY W W O VS FURMAN W L U at NORTHWESTERN W W U at TEXAS A&M W L O at BAYLOR W W O VS GEORGIA SOUTHERN W L U VS NC CENTRAL W L O at GEORGIA TECH W W O VS VIRGINIA TECH L L U VS SYRACUSE W L U at GEORGIA TECH W W U at WAKE FOREST W W O VS VIRGINIA L L U VS NC STATE W W U at PITTSBURGH L L O at FLORIDA ST W W O at MIAMI FL W W U VS LOUISVILLE W W O VS NORTH CAROLINA W L O at BOSTON COLLEGE W W U at CLEMSON VS DUKE VS WAKE FOREST VS SOUTH CAROLINA 38

39 COLLEGE AUGUST 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 (333) PENN ST ( ) [SU:7-3 ATS:6-4] AT (334) RUTGERS [SU:1-9 ATS:5-5] NOVEMBER 17, :00 PM on BTN - HIGH POINT SOLUTIONS STADIUM (PISCATAWAY, NJ) PENN ST (16) [5.2] [7.6] [4.2] [5.5] RUTGERS [4.0] [4.5] [5.6] [6.9] PENN ST (16) RUTGERS PENN ST is 10-0 ATS(L10G) - Against anemic teams being outscored by opponents by more than 13.5 points per game UNDER the total is on a 4-0 run in the PSU-RUT h2h series PENN ST (16) RESULTS RUTGERS RESULTS VS APPALACHIAN ST W L O VS TEXAS ST W W U at PITTSBURGH W W O at OHIO ST L L U VS KENT ST W W O at KANSAS L L O at ILLINOIS W W O VS BUFFALO L L O VS OHIO ST L W U VS INDIANA L W U VS MICHIGAN ST L L U VS ILLINOIS L L O at INDIANA W L O at MARYLAND L L U VS IOWA W W O VS NORTHWESTERN L W U at MICHIGAN L L P at WISCONSIN L W U VS WISCONSIN W W U VS MICHIGAN L W O at RUTGERS VS PENN ST VS MARYLAND at MICHIGAN ST (335) TEXAS TECH (-6 57) [SU:5-5 ATS:6-4] AT (336) KANSAS ST [SU:4-6 ATS:5-5] NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM on ESPNU - BILL SNYDER STADIUM (MANHATTAN, KS) TEXAS TECH [3.8] [8.2] [4.3] [7.8] KANSAS ST [4.4] [6.5] [5.1] [6.7] TEXAS TECH KANSAS ST TEXAS TECH is 6-1 ATS(L7G) on ROAD - After a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better OVER the total is 9-1 in the KSU-TT h2h series since 2005 TEXAS TECH RESULTS KANSAS ST RESULTS ** MISSISSIPPI L L O VS S DAKOTA W L U VS LAMAR W W O VS MISSISSIPPI ST L L U VS HOUSTON W W O VS TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO W W O at OKLAHOMA ST W W U at WEST VIRGINIA L L U VS WEST VIRGINIA L L O VS TEXAS L W U at TCU W W U at BAYLOR L W O VS KANSAS W W O VS OKLAHOMA ST W W U at IOWA ST L L O at OKLAHOMA L L O VS OKLAHOMA L W O at TCU L W U VS TEXAS L L O VS KANSAS W L U at KANSAS ST VS TEXAS TECH ** BAYLOR at IOWA ST 39

40 AUGUST COLLEGE 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 (337) CONNECTICUT [SU:1-9 ATS:3-7] AT (338) EAST CAROLINA (-17 68) [SU:2-7 ATS:3-6] NOVEMBER 17, :00 PM on CBSSN - DOWDY-FICKLEN STADIUM (GREENVILLE, NC) CONNECTICUT [5.2] [6.3] [7.6] [10.9] EAST CAROLINA [3.3] [6.0] [4.0] [8.4] CONNECTICUT EAST CAROLINA CONNECTICUT is 2-13 ATS(L15G) - Against tough-luck defenses allowing less than yards per point UNDER the total is on a 3-1 run in the CON-ECU h2h series CONNECTICUT RESULTS EAST CAROLINA RESULTS VS UCF L L O VS N CAROLINA A&T L L U at BOISE ST L L O VS NORTH CAROLINA W W O VS RHODE ISLAND W L O at SOUTH FLORIDA L W U at SYRACUSE L W U VS OLD DOMINION W L O VS CINCINNATI L L U at TEMPLE L L O at MEMPHIS L L U VS HOUSTON L L U at SOUTH FLORIDA L W O VS UCF L L U VS MASSACHUSETTS L L U VS MEMPHIS L L O at TULSA L L O at TULANE L W U VS SMU L W O VS CONNECTICUT at EAST CAROLINA at CINCINNATI VS TEMPLE 40

41 AUGUST COLLEGE 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 NOVEMBER 17, :00 PM on ESPNN LINCOLN FINANCIAL FIELD (PHILADELPHIA, PA) (339) SOUTH FLORIDA [SU:7-3 ATS:3-7] AT (340) TEMPLE (-14 61) [SU:6-4 ATS:7-3] SOUTH FLORIDA [5.3] [7.7] [5.1] [6.9] TEMPLE [4.1] [7.5] [4.4] [5.3] This game opened off the board with South Florida starting QB Blake Barnett, who missed last week at Cincinnati with a shoulder injury, still listed as questionable, Most college football observers felt USF was a bit of a paper tiger at 7-0 but the Bulls have now lost three straight and have given up 133 points in the past three weeks. That looks like bad news facing a Temple team who has scored 99 over the last two weeks at UCF and at Houston. The Owls had one of the more impressive wins last weekend picking themselves off the mat from a disappointing loss at unbeaten UCF where they gained a little under 700 yards and still lost and also failed to cover. Temple went back out on the road and won outright (+4) behind Ryquell Armstead s six touchdowns on 30 carries for 210 yards. Temple still has an outside chance to get to the AAC Championship game if UCF somehow slips up. Two teams that look like they are going in the proverbial opposite directions here, but you never know. SOUTH FLORIDA TEMPLE TEMPLE is 19-4 ATS(L3Y) - VS AAC SOUTH FLORIDA is 4-11 ATS(L15G) - [vs OPP] Non-ranked team TEMPLE is 22-8 UNDER(S2000) at HOME - Against high-scoring teams averaging 32 PPG or more RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS TEMPLE (7) at SOUTH FLORIDA (43) SOUTH FLORIDA HOME FAV UNDER SOUTH FLORIDA (30) at TEMPLE (46) TEMPLE HOME DOG OVER TEMPLE (23) at SOUTH FLORIDA (44) SOUTH FLORIDA HOME DOG OVER SOUTH FLORIDA (28) at TEMPLE (37) TEMPLE HOME DOG OVER HOME TEAMS are on a 4-0 SU & ATS run in the TEM-USF h2h series SOUTH FLORIDA RESULTS TEMPLE RESULTS VS ELON W L U VS VILLANOVA L L U VS GEORGIA TECH W W O VS BUFFALO L L O ** ILLINOIS W L U at MARYLAND W W U VS EAST CAROLINA W L U VS TULSA W W U at MASSACHUSETTS W W O at BOSTON COLLEGE L W O at TULSA W L U VS EAST CAROLINA W W O VS CONNECTICUT W L O at NAVY W W U at HOUSTON L L O VS CINCINNATI W W U VS TULANE L L U at UCF L L O at CINCINNATI L W O at HOUSTON W W O at TEMPLE VS SOUTH FLORIDA VS UCF at CONNECTICUT 41

42 COLLEGE AUGUST 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 (341) MASSACHUSETTS [SU:4-7 ATS:4-7] AT (342) GEORGIA (-44 63) [SU:9-1 ATS:6-4] NOVEMBER 17, :00 PM on SECN - SANFORD STADIUM (ATHENS, GA) MASSACHUSETTS [4.1] [8.7] [5.6] [8.5] GEORGIA (5) [5.9] [9.0] [4.1] [5.5] MASSACHUSETTS GEORGIA (5) MASSACHUSETTS is 13-3 OVER(L5Y) - Against decent passing teams averaging more than 7.50 yards per attempt MASSACHUSETTS RESULTS GEORGIA (5) RESULTS VS DUQUESNE W W O VS AUSTIN PEAY W L U at BOSTON COLLEGE L L O at SOUTH CAROLINA W W O at GEORGIA SOUTHERN L L U VS MIDDLE TENN ST W W U at FLORIDA INTL L L O at MISSOURI W L O VS CHARLOTTE W W O VS TENNESSEE W L U at OHIO L L O VS VANDERBILT W W U VS SOUTH FLORIDA L L O at LSU L L O VS COASTAL CAROLINA L L U ** FLORIDA W W U at CONNECTICUT W W U at KENTUCKY W W O VS LIBERTY W W O VS AUBURN W W U VS BYU L L U VS MASSACHUSETTS at GEORGIA VS GEORGIA TECH (343) GEORGIA SOUTHERN ( ) [SU:7-3 ATS:7-3] AT (344) COASTAL CAROLINA [SU:5-5 ATS:5-5] NOVEMBER 17, :00 PM on ESPN+ - BROOKS STADIUM (CONWAY, SC) GEORGIA SOUTHERN [5.0] [9.2] [4.2] [7.7] COASTAL CAROLINA [4.9] [8.5] [6.4] [8.3] GEORGIA SOUTHERN COASTAL CAROLINA GEORGIA SOUTHERN is 10-4 OVER(L14G) - [vs OPP] After a conference SU loss GEORGIA SOUTHERN RESULTS COASTAL CAROLINA RESULTS VS S CAROLINA ST W W U at SOUTH CAROLINA L L O VS MASSACHUSETTS W W U VS UAB W W O at CLEMSON L W U at CAMPBELL W W O VS ARKANSAS ST W W U at LA LAFAYETTE W W U VS S ALABAMA W W O at TROY L L O at TEXAS ST W L U VS LA MONROE L L U at NEW MEXICO ST W W O at MASSACHUSETTS W W U VS APPALACHIAN ST W W O at GEORGIA ST W W O at LA MONROE L L O VS APPALACHIAN ST L L U VS TROY L L O VS ARKANSAS ST L L U at COASTAL CAROLINA VS GEORGIA SOUTHERN at GEORGIA ST at S ALABAMA 42

43 COLLEGE AUGUST 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 (345) MISSOURI ( ) [SU:6-4 ATS:5-5] AT (346) TENNESSEE [SU:5-5 ATS:5-5] NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM on CBS - NEYLAND STADIUM (KNOXVILLE, TN) MISSOURI [4.7] [7.8] [3.9] [7.8] TENNESSEE [3.6] [8.4] [4.3] [7.2] MISSOURI TENNESSEE TENNESSEE is 0-7 ATS(L7G) at HOME - Against mistake-free offenses averaging less than 1.4 turnovers per game * FAVORITES are on a 4-1 SU & ATS run in the MIZ-TEN h2h series MISSOURI RESULTS TENNESSEE RESULTS VS TENNESSEE-MARTIN W W O ** WEST VIRGINIA L L U VS WYOMING W W O VS E TENNESSEE ST W W O at PURDUE W L O VS UTEP W L U VS GEORGIA L W O VS FLORIDA L L O at SOUTH CAROLINA L L O at GEORGIA L W U at ALABAMA L L U at AUBURN W W O VS MEMPHIS W W O VS ALABAMA L L O VS KENTUCKY L L U at SOUTH CAROLINA L W U at FLORIDA W W U VS CHARLOTTE W L U VS VANDERBILT W L U VS KENTUCKY W W U at TENNESSEE VS MISSOURI VS ARKANSAS at VANDERBILT (347) MIDDLE TENN ST [SU:7-3 ATS:6-4] AT (348) KENTUCKY ( ) [SU:7-3 ATS:4-6] NOVEMBER 17, :00 PM on SECN - KROGER FIELD (LEXINGTON, KY) MIDDLE TENN ST [3.8] [7.0] [4.3] [6.9] KENTUCKY (20) [4.6] [6.6] [4.0] [6.2] MIDDLE TENN ST KENTUCKY (20) MIDDLE TENN ST is 8-2 UNDER(L10G) on ROAD - teams with a winning record MIDDLE TENN ST RESULTS KENTUCKY (20) RESULTS at VANDERBILT L L U VS C MICHIGAN W L O VS TENNESSEE-MARTIN W W O at FLORIDA W W U at GEORGIA L L U VS MURRAY ST W L O VS FL ATLANTIC W W U VS MISSISSIPPI ST W W U at MARSHALL W W O VS SOUTH CAROLINA W W U at FLORIDA INTL L L U at TEXAS A&M L L U VS CHARLOTTE W L U VS VANDERBILT W L U at OLD DOMINION W W O at MISSOURI W W U VS W KENTUCKY W W U VS GEORGIA L L O at UTEP W W O at TENNESSEE L L U at KENTUCKY VS MIDDLE TENN ST VS UAB at LOUISVILLE 43

44 COLLEGE AUGUST 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 (349) OHIO ST ( ) [SU:9-1 ATS:4-5-1] AT (350) MARYLAND [SU:5-5 ATS:5-5] NOVEMBER 17, :00 PM on ABC - MARYLAND STADIUM (COLLEGE PARK, MD) OHIO ST (9) [4.3] [8.6] [4.2] [7.1] MARYLAND [5.8] [6.4] [4.0] [6.6] OHIO ST (9) MARYLAND MARYLAND is 12-3 OVER(L15G) at HOME - Against high-scoring teams averaging 32 PPG or more OVER the total is on a 4-0 run in the MD-OSU h2h series OHIO ST (9) RESULTS MARYLAND RESULTS VS OREGON ST W W O ** TEXAS W W O VS RUTGERS W W U at BOWLING GREEN W W U ** TCU W P O VS TEMPLE L L U VS TULANE W W U VS MINNESOTA W W O at PENN ST W L U at MICHIGAN L L O VS INDIANA W L O VS RUTGERS W W U VS MINNESOTA W L U at IOWA L L U at PURDUE L L O VS ILLINOIS W W O VS NEBRASKA W L U VS MICHIGAN ST L L U at MICHIGAN ST W W U at INDIANA L L O at MARYLAND VS OHIO ST VS MICHIGAN at PENN ST (351) NC STATE ( ) [SU:6-3 ATS:4-5] AT (352) LOUISVILLE [SU:2-8 ATS:1-9] NOVEMBER 17, :20 PM on ACCNE - CARDINAL STADIUM (LOUISVILLE, KY) NC STATE [3.4] [8.5] [3.2] [8.1] LOUISVILLE [3.6] [6.5] [6.0] [8.3] NC STATE LOUISVILLE NC STATE is UNDER(L15G) on ROAD - poor teams with 40% or less winning pct UNDER the total is on a 3-1 run in the LOU-NCS h2h series NC STATE RESULTS LOUISVILLE RESULTS VS JAMES MADISON W L U ** ALABAMA L L O VS GEORGIA ST W W U VS INDIANA ST W L U at MARSHALL W W O VS W KENTUCKY W L U VS VIRGINIA W W O at VIRGINIA L L U VS BOSTON COLLEGE W L U VS FLORIDA ST L W O at CLEMSON L L U VS GEORGIA TECH L L O at SYRACUSE L L O at BOSTON COLLEGE L L O VS FLORIDA ST W W O VS WAKE FOREST L L O VS WAKE FOREST L L U at CLEMSON L L O at LOUISVILLE at SYRACUSE L L O at NORTH CAROLINA VS NC STATE VS KENTUCKY 44

45 AUGUST COLLEGE 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 NOVEMBER 17, :00 PM on ABC SPECTRUM STADIUM (ORLANDO, FL) (353) CINCINNATI [SU:9-1 ATS:6-4] AT (354) UCF ( ) [SU:9-0 ATS:6-3] CINCINNATI (19) [5.0] [7.7] [3.2] [5.5] UCF (11) [6.0] [8.6] [4.5] [6.6] The nonppower 5s get their turn this week in the national spotlight with the prime time ABC game and ESPN College Gameday coming to town. Teams usually make their improvement most in the second year under a new coach and Cincinnati has done just that under Luke Fickell with a 9-1 record after 4-8 last season. The Bearcats are led by their 6th-rated defense (279.8 ypg) and rank 7th in scoring defense (14.9 ppg). It will be put to the test this week though against UCF s high-octane No. 3 offense (543 ypg). The Knights have now won 22 straight and still have long shot CFP aspirations but they will need to impress here. Early support in the betting market seems to be going towards Cincinnati but you would expect money to be bet on both sides as bettors don t exactly chomp at the bit to go against a long streak. CINCINNATI (19) UCF (11) UCF is ATS(L39G) - Against solid passing defenses yielding less than 6.20 yards per attempt CINCINNATI is 2-8 ATS(L3Y) - [vs OPP] After a conference SU win CINCINNATI is 12-3 UNDER(L5Y) on ROAD - On grass field RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS UCF (51) at CINCINNATI (23) UCF ROAD FAV OVER CINCINNATI (3) at UCF (24) UCF HOME FAV UNDER UCF (7) at CINCINNATI (52) CINCINNATI HOME FAV UNDER CINCINNATI (19) RESULTS UCF (11) RESULTS at UCLA W W U at CONNECTICUT W W O ** MIAMI OH W W U VS S CAROLINA ST W L U VS ALABAMA A&M W W O VS FL ATLANTIC W W O VS OHIO W L O VS PITTSBURGH W W U at CONNECTICUT W W U VS SMU W W U VS TULANE W W O at MEMPHIS W L U at TEMPLE L L U at EAST CAROLINA W W U at SMU W L U VS TEMPLE W W O VS NAVY W W U VS NAVY W L U VS SOUTH FLORIDA W L O VS CINCINNATI at UCF at SOUTH FLORIDA VS EAST CAROLINA 45

46 COLLEGE AUGUST 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 (355) LIBERTY [SU:4-5 ATS:5-4] AT (356) AUBURN ( ) [SU:6-4 ATS:4-6] NOVEMBER 17, :00 PM on SECN - JORDAN-HARE STADIUM (AUBURN, AL) LIBERTY [3.9] [7.7] [5.4] [8.2] AUBURN [4.2] [7.1] [3.8] [6.9] LIBERTY AUBURN AUBURN is 1-7 ATS(L2Y) - Non-conference games LIBERTY RESULTS AUBURN RESULTS VS OLD DOMINION W W O ** WASHINGTON W W U at ARMY L L U VS ALABAMA ST W L O VS NORTH TEXAS L L U VS LSU L L U at NEW MEXICO W W O VS ARKANSAS W W U at NEW MEXICO ST L L O VS SOUTHERN MISS W L U VS TROY W W U at MISSISSIPPI ST L L U VS IDAHO ST W W O VS TENNESSEE L L O at MASSACHUSETTS L L O at MISSISSIPPI W W U at VIRGINIA L W O VS TEXAS A&M W W O at AUBURN at GEORGIA L L U VS NEW MEXICO ST VS LIBERTY at ALABAMA (357) FLA INTERNATIONAL ( ) [SU:7-3 ATS:7-3] AT (358) CHARLOTTE [SU:4-6 ATS:6-4] NOVEMBER 17, :00 PM on ESPN3 - MCCOLL-RICHARDSON FIELD (CHARLOTTE, NC) FLA INTERNATIONAL [4.4] [8.7] [5.0] [6.4] CHARLOTTE [3.2] [6.8] [3.0] [8.0] FLA INTERNATIONAL CHARLOTTE FLORIDA INTL is 13-2 ATS(L15G) - After a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse FLA INTERNATIONAL RESULTS CHARLOTTE RESULTS VS INDIANA L W O VS FORDHAM W W U at OLD DOMINION W W U VS APPALACHIAN ST L L O VS MASSACHUSETTS W W O VS OLD DOMINION W W O at MIAMI FL L W U at MASSACHUSETTS L L O VS ARK-PINE BLUFF W L U at UAB L L U VS MIDDLE TENN ST W W U VS W KENTUCKY W W O VS RICE W L U at MIDDLE TENN ST L W U at W KENTUCKY W W O VS SOUTHERN MISS W W U VS FL ATLANTIC L L O at TENNESSEE L W U at TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO W W O at MARSHALL L L O at CHARLOTTE VS FLORIDA INTL VS MARSHALL at FL ATLANTIC 46

47 COLLEGE AUGUST 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 (359) NEW MEXICO ST [SU:3-7 ATS:2-8] AT (360) BYU ( ) [SU:5-5 ATS:6-4] NOVEMBER 17, :15 PM on ESPN2 - LAVELL EDWARDS STADIUM (PROVO, UT) NEW MEXICO ST [3.8] [6.2] [5.2] [8.1] BYU [3.9] [6.8] [3.8] [6.4] NEW MEXICO ST BYU BYU is 8-2 ATS(L3Y) - In November NEW MEXICO ST RESULTS BYU RESULTS VS WYOMING L L U at ARIZONA W W U at MINNESOTA L L O VS CALIFORNIA L L U at UTAH ST L L O at WISCONSIN W W U VS NEW MEXICO L L O VS MCNEESE ST W W U at UTEP W W U at WASHINGTON L L U VS LIBERTY W W O VS UTAH ST L L O at LA LAFAYETTE L L O VS HAWAII W W O VS GEORGIA SOUTHERN L L O VS N ILLINOIS L L U at TEXAS ST L L U at BOISE ST L W U VS ALCORN ST W L O at MASSACHUSETTS W W U at BYU VS NEW MEXICO ST at LIBERTY at UTAH (361) AIR FORCE [SU:4-6 ATS:6-3-1] AT (362) WYOMING (-2 42) [SU:4-6 ATS:3-7] NOVEMBER 17, :00 PM on ESPNN - WAR MEMORIAL STADIUM (LARAMIE, WY) AIR FORCE [4.6] [10.1] [3.5] [8.7] WYOMING [4.7] [5.5] [3.5] [6.2] AIR FORCE WYOMING AIR FORCE is 13-2 OVER(L15G) on ROAD - Conference games WYOMING is 9-0 ATS in its L9 vs. AIR FORCE AIR FORCE RESULTS WYOMING RESULTS VS STONY BROOK W W U at NEW MEXICO ST W W U at FL ATLANTIC L W O VS WASHINGTON ST L L O at UTAH ST L L O at MISSOURI L L O VS NEVADA L L U VS WOFFORD W L U VS NAVY W W U VS BOISE ST L L O at SAN DIEGO ST L W U at HAWAII L L U at UNLV W L O at FRESNO ST L L U VS BOISE ST L P O VS UTAH ST L W U at ARMY L W U at COLORADO ST W W O VS NEW MEXICO W W O VS SAN JOSE ST W L U at WYOMING VS AIR FORCE VS COLORADO ST at NEW MEXICO 47

48 AUGUST COLLEGE 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 (363) UTAH ( ) [SU:7-3 ATS:6-4] AT (364) COLORADO [SU:5-5 ATS:5-5] NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM on PAC12 - FOLSOM FIELD (BOULDER, CO) UTAH (21) [5.0] [7.7] [3.1] [6.5] COLORADO [4.1] [7.5] [3.9] [7.0] UTAH (21) COLORADO COLORADO is ATS(S2000) at HOME - Against decent passing defenses yielding less than 6.50 yards per attempt * UNDERDOGS are 1-6 SU but 6-1 ATS in the L7 of the COL-UTA h2h series UTAH (21) RESULTS COLORADO RESULTS VS WEBER ST W W O ** COLORADO ST W W U at N ILLINOIS W L U at NEBRASKA W W U VS WASHINGTON L L U VS NEW HAMPSHIRE W L O at WASHINGTON ST L L O VS UCLA W W U at STANFORD W W O VS ARIZONA ST W W U VS ARIZONA W W U at USC L L U VS USC W W O at WASHINGTON L W U at UCLA W W U VS OREGON ST L L O at ARIZONA ST L L O at ARIZONA L L O VS OREGON W W O VS WASHINGTON ST L L U at COLORADO VS UTAH VS BYU at CALIFORNIA (365) UTAH ST (-27 68) [SU:9-1 ATS:9-1] AT (366) COLORADO ST [SU:3-7 ATS:3-7] NOVEMBER 17, :00 PM - CANVAS STADIUM (FORT COLLINS, CO) UTAH ST (14) [5.7] [8.4] [3.4] [6.4] COLORADO ST [3.1] [6.9] [5.2] [9.6] UTAH ST (14) COLORADO ST UTAH ST is OVER(L7G) on ROAD or more travel miles COLORADO ST is 2-4 ATS in its L6 vs. UTAH ST UTAH ST (14) RESULTS COLORADO ST RESULTS at MICHIGAN ST L W O VS HAWAII L L O VS NEW MEXICO ST W W O ** COLORADO L L U VS TENNESSEE TECH W W O VS ARKANSAS W W U VS AIR FORCE W W O at FLORIDA L L U at BYU W W O VS ILLINOIS ST L L U VS UNLV W W O at SAN JOSE ST W W O at WYOMING W L U VS NEW MEXICO W W U VS NEW MEXICO W W O at BOISE ST L L O at HAWAII W W P VS WYOMING L L O VS SAN JOSE ST W W O at NEVADA L L U at COLORADO ST VS UTAH ST at BOISE ST at AIR FORCE 48

49 COLLEGE AUGUST 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM on NBC YANKEE STADIUM (NEW YORK, NY)[NEUT] (367) SYRACUSE [SU:8-2 ATS:7-3] VS (368) NOTRE DAME ( ) [SU:10-0 ATS:5-4-1] SYRACUSE (12) [4.7] [7.3] [4.4] [7.5] NOTRE DAME (3) [4.6] [8.3] [3.7] [5.3] The Fighting Irish neutral-site road show continues with this one to be played at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx. The Irish got their first clear cover in over a month with a win over Florida State. They should also get QB Ian Book back for this one. This team really isn t elite in any statistical categories except winning. Notre Dame is now just two games away from essentially clinching its spot in the CFP. However, this could be the biggest test since the season opener against Michigan. The Orange come to New York City with the 7th best scoring offense at 44.4 ppg and has put up 186 in the past four games. Keep in mind these guys had Clemson on the ropes in Death Valley so they won t be intimidated by ND. SYRACUSE (12) NOTRE DAME (3) SYRACUSE is 6-1 ATS(L7G) at NEUT - More than 6 days rest NOTRE DAME is 1-6 ATS(L7G) at NEUT - Against dominant teams outscoring opponents by more than 15.0 points per game SYRACUSE is 13-2 UNDER(L15G) - [vs OPP] After SU win RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS * SYRACUSE (33) vs NOTRE DAME (50) NOTRE DAME x FAV OVER * SYRACUSE (15) vs NOTRE DAME (31) NOTRE DAME x FAV UNDER SYRACUSE (24) at NOTRE DAME (23) SYRACUSE ROAD DOG UNDER SYRACUSE (10) at NOTRE DAME (34) SYRACUSE ROAD DOG UNDER NOTRE DAME (12) at SYRACUSE (38) SYRACUSE HOME DOG OVER UNDER the total is on a 3-1 run in the ND-SYR h2h series SYRACUSE (12) RESULTS NOTRE DAME (3) RESULTS at W MICHIGAN W W O VS MICHIGAN W W U VS WAGNER W W O VS BALL ST W L U VS FLORIDA ST W W U VS VANDERBILT W L U VS CONNECTICUT W L U at WAKE FOREST W W O at CLEMSON L W U VS STANFORD W W O at PITTSBURGH L L O at VIRGINIA TECH W W O VS NORTH CAROLINA W L O VS PITTSBURGH W L U VS NC STATE W W O ** NAVY W L O at WAKE FOREST W W U at NORTHWESTERN W P O VS LOUISVILLE W W O VS FLORIDA ST W W O ** NOTRE DAME ** SYRACUSE at BOSTON COLLEGE at USC 49

50 AUGUST COLLEGE 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 (369) GEORGIA ST [SU:2-8 ATS:2-7-1] AT (370) APPALACHIAN ST ( ) [SU:7-2 ATS:7-2] NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM on ESPN+ - KIDD BREWER STADIUM (BOONE, NC) GEORGIA ST [4.5] [7.3] [6.6] [9.3] APPALACHIAN ST [5.9] [7.7] [3.3] [5.4] GEORGIA ST APPALACHIAN ST GEORGIA ST is 6-1 UNDER(L7G) - [vs OPP] After a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse * UNDER the total is on a 4-0 run in the APST-GAST h2h series GEORGIA ST RESULTS APPALACHIAN ST RESULTS VS KENNESAW ST W W O at PENN ST L W O at NC STATE L L U at CHARLOTTE W W O at MEMPHIS L L O VS GARDNER WEBB W W O VS W MICHIGAN L L U VS S ALABAMA W W O VS LA MONROE W W U at ARKANSAS ST W W U at TROY L P O VS LA LAFAYETTE W L U at ARKANSAS ST L L O at GEORGIA SOUTHERN L L O VS COASTAL CAROLINA L L O at COASTAL CAROLINA W W U VS TEXAS ST L L O at TEXAS ST W W U at LA LAFAYETTE L L U VS GEORGIA ST at APPALACHIAN ST VS TROY VS GEORGIA SOUTHERN (371) TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO [SU:3-7 ATS:2-8] AT (372) MARSHALL ( ) [SU:6-3 ATS:4-5] NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM - JOAN C. EDWARDS STADIUM (HUNTINGTON, WV) TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO [3.1] [4.4] [4.1] [9.3] MARSHALL [4.2] [6.3] [2.9] [6.5] TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO MARSHALL MARSHALL is 11-4 UNDER(L15G) at HOME - Against anemic teams being outscored by opponents by more than 13.5 points per game TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO RESULTS MARSHALL RESULTS at ARIZONA ST L L O at MIAMI OH W W O VS BAYLOR L L O VS E KENTUCKY W L U at KANSAS ST L L O VS NC STATE L L O VS TEXAS ST W L U at W KENTUCKY W L U VS UTEP W L O VS MIDDLE TENN ST L L O at RICE W W U at OLD DOMINION W W O VS LOUISIANA TECH L L U VS FL ATLANTIC W W U at SOUTHERN MISS L W O at SOUTHERN MISS L L O at UAB L L O VS CHARLOTTE W W O VS FLORIDA INTL L L O VS TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO at MARSHALL at FLORIDA INTL VS NORTH TEXAS 50

51 AUGUST COLLEGE 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 (373) STANFORD (-2 45) [SU:6-4 ATS:6-4] AT (374) CALIFORNIA [SU:6-4 ATS:5-4-1] NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM on PAC12 - CALIFORNIA MEMORIAL STADIUM (BERKELEY, CA) STANFORD [3.8] [8.4] [4.1] [7.5] CALIFORNIA [4.4] [6.0] [3.6] [6.0] STANFORD CALIFORNIA CALIFORNIA is UNDER(L10Y) - [vs OPP] After a conference SU win * CALIFORNIA is on a 0-4 SU & ATS slide when hosting STANFORD STANFORD RESULTS CALIFORNIA RESULTS VS SAN DIEGO ST W W U VS NORTH CAROLINA W P U VS USC W W U at BYU W W U VS UC-DAVIS W L U VS IDAHO ST W L O at OREGON W W O VS OREGON L L O at NOTRE DAME L L O at ARIZONA L L U VS UTAH L L O VS UCLA L L U at ARIZONA ST W W U at OREGON ST W W U VS WASHINGTON ST L L O VS WASHINGTON W W U at WASHINGTON L W O at WASHINGTON ST L W U VS OREGON ST W W O at USC W W U at CALIFORNIA VS STANFORD at UCLA VS COLORADO 51

52 AUGUST COLLEGE 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM on PAC12 AUTZEN STADIUM (EUGENE, OR) (375) ARIZONA ST [SU:6-4 ATS:6-4] AT (376) OREGON (-4 63) [SU:6-4 ATS:4-6] ARIZONA ST [5.0] [8.1] [3.9] [7.6] OREGON [4.3] [7.9] [3.9] [7.3] The Sun Devils were in yet another one-score game, their seventh this season, in a victory over UCLA. ASU is still right in the mix to win the Pac-12 South, while any hopes for Oregon to make a Rose Bowl appearance are long gone. The Ducks have lost three of their past four since that emotional OT win over Washington but this could be a get-right game for them. While disappointing of late, Oregon still has lost only once at home this year, a game the Ducks really gave away to Stanford. ASU ranks slightly better in both total offense and defense and seem to have more momentum but Oregon has the looks of a contrarian favorite here and is laying only -4 at home in a venue that this still tough for road opponents. ARIZONA ST OREGON OREGON is 7-0 ATS(L7G) at HOME - Favorite of 7 or less points ARIZONA ST is 1-6 ATS(L7G) on ROAD - After a close SU win of 3 points or less OREGON is 14-1 OVER(L15G) at HOME - After SU loss RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS OREGON (35) at ARIZONA ST (37) ARIZONA ST HOME DOG UNDER ARIZONA ST (35) at OREGON (54) OREGON HOME FAV OVER OREGON (61) at ARIZONA ST (55) OREGON ROAD DOG OVER OREGON (43) at ARIZONA ST (21) OREGON ROAD FAV UNDER ARIZONA ST (27) at OREGON (41) x x x OVER ARIZONA ST is 1-10 SU & 2-8 ATS vs. OREGON since 2005 ARIZONA ST RESULTS OREGON RESULTS VS UTSA W W O VS BOWLING GREEN W W O VS MICHIGAN ST W W U VS PORTLAND ST W L U at SAN DIEGO ST L L O VS SAN JOSE ST W L U at WASHINGTON L W U VS STANFORD L L O VS OREGON ST W W O at CALIFORNIA W W O at COLORADO L L U VS WASHINGTON W W U VS STANFORD L L U at WASHINGTON ST L L U at USC W W O at ARIZONA L L U VS UTAH W W O VS UCLA W W O VS UCLA W L U at UTAH L L O at OREGON VS ARIZONA ST at ARIZONA at OREGON ST 52

53 AUGUST COLLEGE 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM on ESPN MARTIN STADIUM (PULLMAN, WA) (377) ARIZONA [SU:5-5 ATS:6-4] AT (378) WASHINGTON ST ( ) [SU:9-1 ATS:9-1] ARIZONA [5.0] [7.8] [4.1] [7.0] WASHINGTON ST (8) [3.6] [7.3] [3.9] [6.3] The Wildcats looked DOA a couple weeks ago but a couple of big wins over Oregon and Colorado have actually kept them in the Pac-12 South race. Khalil Tate s ankle plus new coach Kevin Sumlin s stubbornness has limited the effectiveness of the quarterback this season. Nevertheless, Tate comes off his best game of the season throwing the ball with five touchdown passes against Colorado. Many sharp bettors thought last week that the Cougars would stumble last week at Colorado but they walked out of Boulder with an easier-than-expected 31-7 win. This spot could actually be the tough one for Wazzu with the big Apple Cup showdown on deck next week. Cal challenged them in Pullman a couple weeks ago and perhaps a suddenly resurgent Arizona can do the same. ARIZONA WASHINGTON ST (8) WASHINGTON ST is 13-2 ATS(L15G) at HOME - Against decent rushing teams averaging more than 4.4 yards per carry ARIZONA is ATS(L5Y) - [vs OPP] After SU win ARIZONA is 8-2 OVER(L3Y) - Against mistake-free offenses averaging less than 1.4 turnovers per game RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS WASHINGTON ST (37) at ARIZONA (58) ARIZONA HOME FAV OVER ARIZONA (7) at WASHINGTON ST (69) WASHINGTON ST HOME FAV OVER WASHINGTON ST (45) at ARIZONA (42) WASHINGTON ST ROAD DOG OVER ARIZONA (59) at WASHINGTON ST (37) ARIZONA ROAD FAV OVER WASHINGTON ST (24) at ARIZONA (17) WASHINGTON ST ROAD DOG UNDER OVER the total is on a 4-0 run in the ARI-WASU h2h series ARIZONA RESULTS WASHINGTON ST (8) RESULTS VS BYU L L U at WYOMING W W O at HOUSTON L L U VS SAN JOSE ST W W U VS S UTAH W W O VS E WASHINGTON W W O at OREGON ST W W U at USC L W O VS USC L L U VS UTAH W W O VS CALIFORNIA W W U at OREGON ST W W O at UTAH L L U VS OREGON W W U at UCLA L W O at STANFORD W W O VS OREGON W W U VS CALIFORNIA W L U VS COLORADO W W O at COLORADO W W U at WASHINGTON ST VS ARIZONA VS ARIZONA ST VS WASHINGTON 53

54 AUGUST COLLEGE 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 (379) NEVADA ( ) [SU:6-4 ATS:6-4] AT (380) SAN JOSE ST [SU:1-9 ATS:5-5] NOVEMBER 17, :00 PM on ESPN3 - CEFCU STADIUM (SAN JOSE, CA) NEVADA [4.9] [7.4] [3.5] [7.3] SAN JOSE ST [2.1] [7.0] [4.8] [7.8] NEVADA SAN JOSE ST NEVADA is 19-6 UNDER(L25G) - Against pathetic defensive teams allowing more than 35 PPG FAVORITES are on a 4-0 SU & ATS run in the NEV-SJS h2h series NEVADA RESULTS SAN JOSE ST RESULTS VS PORTLAND ST W W O VS UC-DAVIS L L O at VANDERBILT L L U at WASHINGTON ST L L U VS OREGON ST W L O at OREGON L W U at TOLEDO L L O VS HAWAII L W O at AIR FORCE W W U VS COLORADO ST L L O VS FRESNO ST L L U ** ARMY L L O VS BOISE ST L W P at SAN DIEGO ST L W U at HAWAII W W U VS UNLV W W O VS SAN DIEGO ST W W O at WYOMING L W U VS COLORADO ST W W U at UTAH ST L L O at SAN JOSE ST VS NEVADA at UNLV at FRESNO ST (381) TCU [SU:4-6 ATS:1-8-1] AT (382) BAYLOR ( ) [SU:5-5 ATS:5-5] NOVEMBER 17, :00 PM on FS1 - MCLANE STADIUM (WACO, TX) TCU [4.0] [7.0] [3.7] [6.8] BAYLOR [4.4] [7.5] [5.3] [7.8] TCU BAYLOR TCU is 9-1 UNDER(L10G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] Non-ranked team UNDERDOGS are 7-0 ATS in the L7 of the BAY-TCU h2h series TCU RESULTS BAYLOR RESULTS VS SOUTHERN U W L O VS ABILENE CHRISTIAN W L O at SMU W W U at TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO W W O ** OHIO ST L P O VS DUKE L L O at TEXAS L L U VS KANSAS W W U VS IOWA ST W L U at OKLAHOMA L L O VS TEXAS TECH L L U VS KANSAS ST W L O VS OKLAHOMA L L O at TEXAS L W U at KANSAS L L O at WEST VIRGINIA L L O VS KANSAS ST W L U VS OKLAHOMA ST W W U at WEST VIRGINIA L L O at IOWA ST L W U at BAYLOR VS TCU VS OKLAHOMA ST ** TEXAS TECH 54

55 COLLEGE AUGUST 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 (383) TULSA [SU:2-8 ATS:4-6] AT (384) NAVY ( ) [SU:2-8 ATS:3-7] NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM on CBSSN - NAVY-MARINE CORPS MEMORIAL STADIUM (ANNAPOLIS, MD) TULSA [4.3] [6.3] [5.1] [6.7] NAVY [5.0] [6.9] [5.4] [8.5] TULSA NAVY TULSA is 6-1 UNDER(L7G) - After playing MEMPHIS ROAD TEAMS are on a 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS run in the NAV-TLS h2h series TULSA RESULTS NAVY RESULTS VS C ARKANSAS W L O at HAWAII L L O at TEXAS L W U VS MEMPHIS W W U VS ARKANSAS ST L L U VS LEHIGH W L O at TEMPLE L L U at SMU L L O at HOUSTON L W U at AIR FORCE L L U VS SOUTH FLORIDA L W U VS TEMPLE L L U at ARKANSAS L L U VS HOUSTON L L O VS TULANE L L U ** NOTRE DAME L W O VS CONNECTICUT W W O at CINCINNATI L L U at MEMPHIS L L O at UCF L W U at NAVY VS TULSA VS SMU at TULANE ** ARMY 55

56 AUGUST COLLEGE 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 NOVEMBER 17, :00 PM on ESPN2 KYLE FIELD (COLLEGE STATION, TX) (385) UAB [SU:9-1 ATS:8-2] AT (386) TEXAS A&M ( ) [SU:6-4 ATS:7-3] UAB [5.1] [8.4] [3.1] [5.7] TEXAS A&M [4.7] [7.7] [3.0] [8.8] Arguably the most under covered story in college football has to be UAB. The Blazers football program was disbanded a little over two years ago and now they are 9-1 and have already clinched a spot in the Conference USA title game. Obviously they take a big step up in class here from the Rices, UTSAs and UTEPs of the world. Blazers QB A.J. Erdely is listed as questionable, but the spread hasn t been all that affected. With UAB playing an SEC team this week, they will get more national media attention than they have gotten all season and you wonder how a young team will be able to handle that. Clearly the Blazers can play with nothing to lose but it s going to be a different atmosphere playing in College Station versus playing road games in half-empty stadiums in Conference USA. UAB TEXAS A&M TEXAS A&M is 5-0 ATS(CS) at HOME - with Head coach - FISHER UAB is 2-8 ATS(L10G) on ROAD - On grass field UAB is UNDER(L7G) - good teams with 80% or better winning pct RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS UAB (19) at TEXAS A&M (56) TEXAS A&M HOME FAV OVER UAB RESULTS TEXAS A&M RESULTS VS SAVANNAH ST W W U VS NORTHWESTERN ST W W O at COASTAL CAROLINA L L O VS CLEMSON L W O VS TULANE W W U VS LA MONROE W W U VS CHARLOTTE W W U at ALABAMA L W O at LOUISIANA TECH W W U ** ARKANSAS W L U at RICE W W U VS KENTUCKY W W U VS NORTH TEXAS W W U at SOUTH CAROLINA W W U at UTEP W W U at MISSISSIPPI ST L L U VS UTSA W W O at AUBURN L L O VS SOUTHERN MISS W L O VS MISSISSIPPI W W U at TEXAS A&M VS UAB at MIDDLE TENN ST VS LSU 56

57 AUGUST COLLEGE 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 (387) ARKANSAS [SU:2-8 ATS:6-4] AT (388) MISSISSIPPI ST ( ) [SU:6-4 ATS:6-4] NOVEMBER 17, :00 PM on ESPN - DAVIS WADE STADIUM (STARKVILLE, MS) ARKANSAS [4.4] [6.5] [4.0] [8.4] MISSISSIPPI ST (25) [5.7] [7.1] [3.3] [5.4] ARKANSAS MISSISSIPPI ST (25) MISSISSIPPI ST is 21-4 UNDER(L25G) - poor teams with 30% or less winning pct * UNDERDOGS are on a 4-0 ATS run in the ARK-MSS h2h series ARKANSAS RESULTS MISSISSIPPI ST (25) RESULTS VS E ILLINOIS W W O VS STEPHEN F AUSTIN NL 63-6 W W at COLORADO ST L L U at KANSAS ST W W U VS NORTH TEXAS L L U VS LA LAFAYETTE W W O at AUBURN L L U at KENTUCKY L L U ** TEXAS A&M L W U VS FLORIDA L L U VS ALABAMA L W O VS AUBURN W W U VS MISSISSIPPI L W O at LSU L L U VS TULSA W W U VS TEXAS A&M W W U VS VANDERBILT L L O VS LOUISIANA TECH W W U VS LSU L W U at ALABAMA L L U at MISSISSIPPI ST VS ARKANSAS at MISSOURI at MISSISSIPPI 57

58 COLLEGE AUGUST 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM on ABC BOONE PICKENS STADIUM (STILLWATER, OK) (389) WEST VIRGINIA ( ) [SU:8-1 ATS:7-2] AT (390) OKLAHOMA ST [SU:5-5 ATS:5-5] WEST VIRGINIA (7) [4.7] [9.8] [3.4] [7.3] OKLAHOMA ST [4.8] [8.8] [4.4] [7.5] You have to wonder how much Oklahoma State has left in the tank here after laying it all on the line in Bedlam at Oklahoma last week. As nearly three-touchdown underdogs, you can t really blame Mike Gundy for going for two and trying to win the game late, but it did put the Cowboys at 5-5 and needing another win to just become bowl eligible. It s hard to imagine a team with good wins over Boise State and Texas missing out on a bowl but that could very well happen to Oklahoma State. West Virginia didn t let down after the late heroics at Texas and followed it up with an easy win over TCU. However, this could be that spot where the proverbial letdown doesn t come immediately after the big win. The Mountaineers have the Sooners coming to Morgantown the day after Thanksgiving to essentially decide the Big 12 regular season title should they take care of business in Stillwater first. Of course there s always the storyline of Dana Holgorsen taking on his old boss Gundy, who has gotten the better of his former OC four of six times. WEST VIRGINIA (7) OKLAHOMA ST WEST VIRGINIA is 6-1 ATS(L7G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After a close SU loss 3 points or less OKLAHOMA ST is 4-11 ATS(L5Y) at HOME - Against big play passing teams averaging more than 8.30 yards per attempt OKLAHOMA ST is OVER(L76G) at HOME - Conference games RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS OKLAHOMA ST (50) at WEST VIRGINIA (39) OKLAHOMA ST ROAD FAV OVER WEST VIRGINIA (20) at OKLAHOMA ST (37) OKLAHOMA ST HOME DOG UNDER OKLAHOMA ST (33) at WEST VIRGINIA (26) OKLAHOMA ST ROAD DOG UNDER WEST VIRGINIA (34) at OKLAHOMA ST (10) WEST VIRGINIA ROAD FAV UNDER OKLAHOMA ST (21) at WEST VIRGINIA (30) WEST VIRGINIA HOME DOG UNDER * UNDER the total is on a 4-1 run in the OKS-WVU h2h series WEST VIRGINIA (7) RESULTS OKLAHOMA ST RESULTS ** TENNESSEE W W U VS MISSOURI ST W L O VS YOUNGSTOWN ST W W O VS S ALABAMA W W O VS KANSAS ST W W U VS BOISE ST W W U at TEXAS TECH W W O VS TEXAS TECH L L U VS KANSAS W L U at KANSAS W W O at IOWA ST L L U VS IOWA ST L L O VS BAYLOR W W O at KANSAS ST L L U at TEXAS W W O VS TEXAS W W O VS TCU W W O at BAYLOR L L U at OKLAHOMA ST at OKLAHOMA L W O VS OKLAHOMA VS WEST VIRGINIA at TCU 58

59 AUGUST COLLEGE 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 (391) LOUISIANA TECH ( ) [SU:7-3 ATS:5-5] AT (392) SOUTHERN MISS [SU:4-5 ATS:5-4] NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM - ROBERTS STADIUM (HATTIESBURG, MS) LOUISIANA TECH [3.9] [6.9] [4.4] [6.7] SOUTHERN MISS [2.9] [7.3] [3.5] [5.9] LOUISIANA TECH SOUTHERN MISS LOUISIANA TECH is 12-3 ATS(L15G) on ROAD - Favorite of 7 or less points * UNDER the total is 5-2 in the L7 of the LAT-SM h2h series LOUISIANA TECH RESULTS SOUTHERN MISS RESULTS at S ALABAMA W L O VS JACKSON ST W W O VS SOUTHERN U W W O VS LA MONROE L L U at LSU L W O VS RICE W W O at NORTH TEXAS W W U at AUBURN L W U VS UAB L L U at NORTH TEXAS L L U at TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO W W U VS TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO W L O VS UTEP W L O at CHARLOTTE L L U at FL ATLANTIC W W U VS MARSHALL W W O at MISSISSIPPI ST L L U at UAB L W O VS RICE W L U VS LOUISIANA TECH at SOUTHERN MISS at UTEP VS W KENTUCKY (393) BOWLING GREEN [SU:2-8 ATS:3-7] AT (394) AKRON ( ) [SU:4-5 ATS:3-6] NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM on ESPN3 - INFOCISION STADIUM (AKRON, OH) BOWLING GREEN [3.1] [7.1] [6.1] [8.2] AKRON [3.2] [6.4] [4.0] [6.1] BOWLING GREEN AKRON AKRON is 10-0 UNDER(L10G) at HOME - Against weak defensive teams allowing more than 31.5 PPG AKRON is on a 1-4 SU & 0-5 ATS slide when hosting BOWLING GREEN BOWLING GREEN RESULTS AKRON RESULTS at OREGON L L O VS MORGAN ST W L U VS MARYLAND L L U at NORTHWESTERN W W O VS E KENTUCKY W L O at IOWA ST L W U VS MIAMI OH L L O VS MIAMI OH L L O at GEORGIA TECH L L O at BUFFALO L L U at TOLEDO L W O at KENT ST W L U VS W MICHIGAN L W O VS C MICHIGAN W W U at OHIO L L U VS N ILLINOIS L L O VS KENT ST L L U at E MICHIGAN L L U at C MICHIGAN W W U VS BOWLING GREEN at AKRON at OHIO VS BUFFALO 59

60 AUGUST COLLEGE 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 (395) RICE [SU:1-10 ATS:5-6] AT (396) LSU (-44 51) [SU:8-2 ATS:5-5] NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM on ESPNU - TIGER STADIUM (BATON ROUGE, LA) RICE [3.7] [6.1] [4.9] [9.7] LSU (10) [4.0] [6.9] [4.0] [5.9] RICE LSU (10) LSU is 1-6 ATS(L7G) - Before playing TEXAS A&M RICE RESULTS LSU (10) RESULTS VS PRAIRIE VIEW A&M W L O ** MIAMI FL W W O VS HOUSTON L W O VS SE LOUISIANA W L U at HAWAII L W O at AUBURN W W U at SOUTHERN MISS L L O VS LOUISIANA TECH W L O at WAKE FOREST L L O VS MISSISSIPPI W W O VS UTSA L L U at FLORIDA L L O VS UAB L L U VS GEORGIA W W O at FLORIDA INTL L W U VS MISSISSIPPI ST W W U at NORTH TEXAS L W U VS ALABAMA L L U VS UTEP L L O at ARKANSAS W L U at LOUISIANA TECH L W U VS RICE at LSU at TEXAS A&M VS OLD DOMINION Exclusive Offers from VSiN Partners You hear or watch the spots on VSiN, but here are the offer codes. Feel free to share with friends. You must know people who like wine, right? HARRY S: Get $5 off a shave set with the code vsin at Harrys.com. That means you can get a starter set that comes with a 5-blade razor, weighted handle, foaming shave gel, and travel cover, all for just $3 and free shipping when you use code vsin at the checkout. CAMERON HUGHES WINE: To purchase the wine that Brent and others have been praising, go to chwine.com/vegas or text the word VEGAS TO and receive free shipping, with a minimum 3-bottle order. X-CHAIR: To get the special X-Chair offer, go to xchairvegas.com and you will get $100 off. Use the code vegas footrest and get a free footrest. QUIP TOOTHBRUSH: Go to getquip.com/money to get your first refill pack free with a Quip electric toothbrush. VSiN advertisers include: Freeprints.com: Go to freeprintsnow.com to download a new app. You can download all of your pictures from your phone and print them out for FREE. Type SXM at checkout to get the offer SelectQuote.com: The term life insurance provider. AwayTravel.com: First-class luggage. RightCounsel.com: Find a lawyer you can count on. BlinkForHome.com: Home security system specialists. HomeTitleLock.com: 24-7 protection of your home and property title. Use code - PROTECT.t Interested in advertising on VSiN on any of our many platforms? Bill@VSiN.com. 60

61 AUGUST COLLEGE 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 (397) OLE MISS [SU:5-5 ATS:3-7] AT (398) VANDERBILT ( ) [SU:4-6 ATS:6-3-1] NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM on SECN - VANDERBILT STADIUM (NASHVILLE, TN) OLE MISS [5.0] [9.7] [4.9] [8.3] VANDERBILT [4.8] [7.5] [4.8] [7.3] OLE MISS VANDERBILT VANDERBILT is 7-0 UNDER(L7G) - After a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse * OLE MISS is 5-12 ATS vs. VANDERBILT since 2001 OLE MISS RESULTS VANDERBILT RESULTS ** TEXAS TECH W W O VS MIDDLE TENN ST W W U VS S ILLINOIS W W O VS NEVADA W W U VS ALABAMA L L U at NOTRE DAME L W U VS KENT ST W L U VS SOUTH CAROLINA L L U at LSU L L O VS TENNESSEE ST W L O VS LA MONROE W W O at GEORGIA L L U at ARKANSAS W L O VS FLORIDA L P O VS AUBURN L L U at KENTUCKY L W U VS SOUTH CAROLINA L L O at ARKANSAS W W O at TEXAS A&M L L U at MISSOURI L W U at VANDERBILT VS MISSISSIPPI VS MISSISSIPPI ST VS TENNESSEE (399) BOSTON COLLEGE ( ) [SU:7-3 ATS:7-3] AT (400) FLORIDA ST [SU:4-6 ATS:3-7] NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM on ESPN2 - DOAK CAMPBELL STADIUM (TALLAHASSE, FL) BOSTON COLLEGE (22) [4.3] [7.7] [3.6] [6.2] FLORIDA ST [2.5] [7.2] [3.4] [6.9] BOSTON COLLEGE (22) FLORIDA ST BOSTON COLLEGE is 13-2 UNDER(L15G) on ROAD - poor teams with 40% or less winning pct UNDERDOGS are 8-4 ATS in the BC-FSU h2h series since 2006 BOSTON COLLEGE (22) RESULTS FLORIDA ST RESULTS VS MASSACHUSETTS W W O VS VIRGINIA TECH L L U VS HOLY CROSS W W O VS SAMFORD W L O at WAKE FOREST W W O at SYRACUSE L L U at PURDUE L L U VS N ILLINOIS W W O VS TEMPLE W L O at LOUISVILLE W L O at NC STATE L W U at MIAMI FL L W O VS LOUISVILLE W W O VS WAKE FOREST W W U VS MIAMI FL W W U VS CLEMSON L L O at VIRGINIA TECH W W U at NC STATE L L O VS CLEMSON L L U at NOTRE DAME L L O at FLORIDA ST VS BOSTON COLLEGE VS SYRACUSE VS FLORIDA 61

62 COLLEGE FOOTBALL COVERAGE AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 College Football Week 12 (401) KANSAS [SU:3-7 ATS:5-5] AT (402) OKLAHOMA ( ) [SU:9-1 ATS:4-6] NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM on FOX - OKLAHOMA MEMORIAL STADIUM AT OWEN FIELD (NORMAN, OK) KANSAS [4.0] [6.0] [4.2] [8.4] OKLAHOMA (6) [6.8] [11.8] [3.6] [7.9] KANSAS OKLAHOMA (6) KANSAS is 7-0 UNDER(L7G) - On grass field HOME TEAMS are 6-1 ATS in the L7 of the KAN-OKL h2h series KANSAS RESULTS OKLAHOMA (6) RESULTS VS NICHOLLS ST L L U VS FL ATLANTIC W W O at C MICHIGAN W W U VS UCLA W L O VS RUTGERS W W O at IOWA ST W L O at BAYLOR L L U VS ARMY W L U VS OKLAHOMA ST L L O VS BAYLOR W W O at WEST VIRGINIA L W U ** TEXAS L L O at TEXAS TECH L L O at TCU W W O VS TCU W W O VS KANSAS ST W W O VS IOWA ST L L U at TEXAS TECH W L O at KANSAS ST L W U VS OKLAHOMA ST W L O at OKLAHOMA VS KANSAS VS TEXAS at WEST VIRGINIA (403) OREGON ST [SU:2-8 ATS:3-7] AT (404) WASHINGTON ( ) [SU:7-3 ATS:2-8] NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM on PAC12 - HUSKY STADIUM (SEATTLE, WA) OREGON ST [4.0] [7.0] [6.9] [8.2] WASHINGTON (17) [4.2] [8.6] [3.6] [5.9] OREGON ST WASHINGTON (17) OREGON ST is 5-0 OVER(CS) on ROAD - with Head coach - SMITH * OREGON ST is 0-6 SU & 1-5 ATS in its L6 vs. WASHINGTON OREGON ST RESULTS WASHINGTON (17) RESULTS at OHIO ST L L O ** AUBURN L L U VS S UTAH W W O VS N DAKOTA W L U at NEVADA L W O at UTAH W W U VS ARIZONA L L U VS ARIZONA ST W L U at ARIZONA ST L L O VS BYU W W U VS WASHINGTON ST L L O at UCLA W L O VS CALIFORNIA L L U at OREGON L L U at COLORADO W W O VS COLORADO W L U VS USC L L U at CALIFORNIA L L U at STANFORD L L O VS STANFORD W L O at WASHINGTON VS OREGON ST VS OREGON at WASHINGTON ST 62

63 COLLEGE FOOTBALL COVERAGE AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 College Football Week 12 (405) LA MONROE [SU:6-4 ATS:4-6] AT (406) ARKANSAS ST ( ) [SU:6-4 ATS:4-6] NOVEMBER 17, :00 PM on ESPN+ - CENTENNIAL BANK STADIUM (JONESBORO, AR) LA MONROE [5.1] [7.6] [4.5] [8.8] ARKANSAS ST [4.8] [7.6] [5.1] [7.0] LA MONROE ARKANSAS ST ARKANSAS ST is 7-0 ATS(L7G) at HOME - Against weak defensive teams allowing more than 31.5 PPG ARKANSAS ST is 8-0 SU & ATS in its L8 vs. LA MONROE LA MONROE RESULTS ARKANSAS ST RESULTS VS SE LOUISIANA W L U VS SE MISSOURI ST W L O at SOUTHERN MISS W W U at ALABAMA L L O at TEXAS A&M L L U at TULSA W W U VS TROY L L O VS UNLV W L U at GEORGIA ST L L U at GEORGIA SOUTHERN L L U at MISSISSIPPI L L O VS APPALACHIAN ST L L U at COASTAL CAROLINA W W U VS GEORGIA ST W W O VS TEXAS ST W L U at LA LAFAYETTE L L O VS GEORGIA SOUTHERN W W O VS S ALABAMA W W U at S ALABAMA W W U at COASTAL CAROLINA W W U at ARKANSAS ST VS LA MONROE VS LA LAFAYETTE at TEXAS ST (407) TEXAS ST [SU:3-7 ATS:5-4-1] AT (408) TROY ( ) [SU:8-2 ATS:7-2-1] NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM on ESPN+ - VETERANS MEMORIAL STADIUM (TROY, AL) TEXAS ST [3.8] [6.8] [4.7] [6.1] TROY [5.2] [8.4] [3.1] [7.5] TEXAS ST TROY TEXAS ST is UNDER(L7G) on ROAD - Against strong teams outscoring opponents by more than 10.0 points per game TEXAS ST RESULTS TROY RESULTS at RUTGERS L L U VS BOISE ST L L O VS TEXAS SOUTHERN W L O VS FLORIDA A&M W W O at S ALABAMA L P O at NEBRASKA W W U at TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO L W U at LA MONROE W W O VS LA LAFAYETTE L L O VS COASTAL CAROLINA W W O VS GEORGIA SOUTHERN L W U VS GEORGIA ST W P O at LA MONROE L W U at LIBERTY L L U VS NEW MEXICO ST W W U at S ALABAMA W W O at GEORGIA ST W W O VS LA LAFAYETTE W W U VS APPALACHIAN ST L L U at GEORGIA SOUTHERN W W O at TROY VS TEXAS ST VS ARKANSAS ST at APPALACHIAN ST 63

64 COLLEGE FOOTBALL COVERAGE AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 College Football Week 12 (409) S ALABAMA [SU:2-8 ATS:3-6-1] AT (410) LA LAFAYETTE ( ) [SU:5-5 ATS:7-3] NOVEMBER 17, :00 PM on ESPN3 - CAJUN FIELD (LAFAYETTE, LA) S ALABAMA [3.4] [7.1] [5.1] [9.1] LA LAFAYETTE [5.8] [8.5] [5.2] [8.9] S ALABAMA LA LAFAYETTE LA LAFAYETTE is 7-0 OVER(L7G) at HOME - Favorite of more than 14 points UNDER the total is on a 5-0 run in the LAL-USA h2h series S ALABAMA RESULTS LA LAFAYETTE RESULTS VS LOUISIANA TECH L W O VS GRAMBLING ST W W O at OKLAHOMA ST L L O at MISSISSIPPI ST L L O VS TEXAS ST W P O VS COASTAL CAROLINA L L U at MEMPHIS L W O at ALABAMA L W O at APPALACHIAN ST L L O at TEXAS ST W W O at GEORGIA SOUTHERN L L O VS NEW MEXICO ST W W O VS ALABAMA ST W W U at APPALACHIAN ST L W U VS TROY L L O VS ARKANSAS ST W W O at ARKANSAS ST L L U at TROY L L U VS LA MONROE L L U VS GEORGIA ST W W U at LA LAFAYETTE VS S ALABAMA VS COASTAL CAROLINA at LA MONROE (411) MIAMI FL ( ) [SU:5-5 ATS:3-7] AT (412) VIRGINIA TECH [SU:4-5 ATS:3-6] NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM on ESPN - WORSHAM FIELD/LANE STADIUM (BLACKSBURG, VA) MIAMI FL [4.9] [6.8] [3.4] [5.5] VIRGINIA TECH [4.3] [7.8] [5.3] [8.1] MIAMI FL VIRGINIA TECH VIRGINIA TECH is 7-0 UNDER(L7G) - After playing PITTSBURGH FAVORITES are on a 4-0 SU & ATS run in the MIA-VAT h2h series MIAMI FL RESULTS VIRGINIA TECH RESULTS ** LSU L L O at FLORIDA ST W W U VS SAVANNAH ST W W O VS WILLIAM & MARY W W O at TOLEDO W W O at OLD DOMINION L L O VS FLORIDA INTL W L U at DUKE W W U VS NORTH CAROLINA W W O VS NOTRE DAME L L O VS FLORIDA ST W L O at NORTH CAROLINA W L U at VIRGINIA L L U VS GEORGIA TECH L L O at BOSTON COLLEGE L L U VS BOSTON COLLEGE L L U VS DUKE L L U at PITTSBURGH L L O at GEORGIA TECH L L U VS MIAMI FL at VIRGINIA TECH VS VIRGINIA VS PITTSBURGH 64

65 AUGUST COLLEGE 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 (413) UTEP [SU:1-9 ATS:5-5] AT (414) W KENTUCKY ( ) [SU:1-9 ATS:4-6] NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM - LT SMITH STADIUM (BOWLING GREEN, KY) UTEP [3.6] [6.6] [5.0] [7.6] W KENTUCKY [3.6] [6.4] [4.8] [7.3] UTEP W KENTUCKY W KENTUCKY is 9-1 OVER(L10G) at HOME - Against weak teams being outscored by opponents by more than 8.5 points per game UTEP RESULTS W KENTUCKY RESULTS VS N ARIZONA L L U at WISCONSIN L W U at UNLV L L O VS MAINE L L O at TENNESSEE L W U at LOUISVILLE L W U VS NEW MEXICO ST L L U at BALL ST W W U at TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO L W O VS MARSHALL L W U VS NORTH TEXAS L W U at CHARLOTTE L L O at LOUISIANA TECH L W O VS OLD DOMINION L L O VS UAB L L U VS FLORIDA INTL L L O at RICE W W O at MIDDLE TENN ST L L U VS MIDDLE TENN ST L L O at FL ATLANTIC L L U at W KENTUCKY VS UTEP VS SOUTHERN MISS at LOUISIANA TECH (415) MICHIGAN ST ( ) [SU:6-4 ATS:4-6] AT (416) NEBRASKA [SU:3-7 ATS:5-5] NOVEMBER 17, :00 PM on FOX - MEMORIAL STADIUM (LINCOLN, NE) MICHIGAN ST [3.5] [6.3] [2.5] [6.4] NEBRASKA [5.6] [7.8] [5.0] [7.2] MICHIGAN ST NEBRASKA NEBRASKA is 1-14 ATS(L15G) at HOME - Against lesser passing teams averaging less than 6.50 yards per attempt MICHIGAN ST is 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS in its L6 vs. NEBRASKA MICHIGAN ST RESULTS NEBRASKA RESULTS VS UTAH ST W L O VS COLORADO L L U at ARIZONA ST L L U VS TROY L L U at INDIANA W W O at MICHIGAN L L O VS C MICHIGAN W L O VS PURDUE L L O VS NORTHWESTERN L L O at WISCONSIN L W O at PENN ST W W U at NORTHWESTERN L W O VS MICHIGAN L L U VS MINNESOTA W W O VS PURDUE W W U VS BETHUNE-COOKMAN W L U at MARYLAND W W U at OHIO ST L W U VS OHIO ST L L U VS ILLINOIS W W O at NEBRASKA VS MICHIGAN ST VS RUTGERS at IOWA 65

66 COLLEGE AUGUST 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 NOVEMBER 17, :00 PM on LHN ROYAL TEXAS MEMORIAL STADIUM (AUSTIN, TX) (417) IOWA ST [SU:6-3 ATS:6-3] AT (418) TEXAS ( ) [SU:7-3 ATS:4-6] IOWA ST (18) [3.6] [8.5] [3.1] [6.8] TEXAS (13) [3.9] [7.6] [4.1] [7.6] Iowa State, after a 1-3 start, can actually get into the Big 12 Championship game with two wins and a West Virginia loss. The Cyclones will have to do so at least for the first half without leading rusher David Montgomery, who will serve a suspension for a fight last week against Baylor. Tom Herman was a favorite and got a cover with a late win at Texas Tech. That brings his record to only ATS in the role of chalk. Furthermore, over the weekend, Herman was accused on social media of extramarital affairs, among other things, by former Ohio State assistant Zach Smith so there s the potential for a lot of distractions this week for the Horns. With a five-game Cyclones winning streak and the poor recent ATS trends on the Texas side, it will be no surprise if the sports books are going to be rooting for small home chalk come Saturday night. IOWA ST (18) TEXAS (13) IOWA ST is 7-0 ATS(L7G) - [vs OPP] AP top 25 TEXAS is ATS(L15G) at HOME - Against solid rushing defenses yielding less than 3.35 yards per carry IOWA ST is 13-2 UNDER(L15G) on ROAD - Against mistake-free offenses averaging less than 1.4 turnovers per game RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS TEXAS (17) at IOWA ST (7) TEXAS ROAD FAV UNDER IOWA ST (6) at TEXAS (27) TEXAS HOME FAV UNDER TEXAS (0) at IOWA ST (24) IOWA ST HOME DOG UNDER IOWA ST (45) at TEXAS (48) IOWA ST ROAD DOG OVER TEXAS (31) at IOWA ST (30) IOWA ST HOME DOG OVER * UNDER the total is 5-1 in the L6 of the ISU-TEX series at TEXAS IOWA ST (18) RESULTS TEXAS (13) RESULTS at IOWA L L U ** MARYLAND L L O VS OKLAHOMA L W O VS TULSA W L U VS AKRON W L U VS USC W W O at TCU L W U VS TCU W W U at OKLAHOMA ST W W O at KANSAS ST W L U VS WEST VIRGINIA W W U ** OKLAHOMA W W O VS TEXAS TECH W W O VS BAYLOR W L U at KANSAS W W U at OKLAHOMA ST L L O VS BAYLOR W L U VS WEST VIRGINIA L L O at TEXAS at TEXAS TECH W W O VS KANSAS ST VS IOWA ST at KANSAS 66

67 COLLEGE AUGUST 30 FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER COVERAGE 3 College Football Week 12 NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM on FOX ROSE BOWL (PASADENA, CA) (419) USC (-3 55) [SU:5-5 ATS:3-7] AT (420) UCLA [SU:2-8 ATS:4-6] USC [4.1] [7.3] [4.1] [6.2] UCLA [4.1] [6.6] [4.7] [7.5] USC still has a potential minor bowl to play for but the Los Angeles college football program that comes into this game with a more positive mindset might actually be the 2-8 Bruins. It s been a tough debut season for Chip Kelly in Westwood, but his team looks as if it is still competing at least. Meanwhile the Trojans look so disinterested and blew the game versus Cal on Saturday for back-to-back home losses. Saturday was the first time since Steve Sarkisian was coaching that USC has lost consecutive games in the Coliseum. Obviously the Trojans have a big edge over the Bruins right now in terms of talent, but can you really back a team that looks like they ve tuned out their coach and appears ready for the season to be over? USC UCLA USC is 7-0 ATS(L7G) on ROAD - poor teams with 30% or less winning pct UCLA is 1-4 ATS(CS) at HOME - with Head coach - KELLY UCLA is 7-0 UNDER(L7G) at HOME - Against inopportunistic teams with a turnover differential of worse than TO s/g RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS UCLA (23) at USC (28) UCLA ROAD DOG UNDER USC (36) at UCLA (14) USC ROAD FAV UNDER UCLA (21) at USC (40) USC HOME FAV x USC (20) at UCLA (38) UCLA HOME FAV UNDER UCLA (35) at USC (14) UCLA ROAD DOG UNDER UNDER the total is 10-1 in the UCL-USC h2h series since 2006 USC RESULTS UCLA RESULTS VS UNLV W L O VS CINCINNATI L L U at STANFORD L L U at OKLAHOMA L W O at TEXAS L L O VS FRESNO ST L L U VS WASHINGTON ST W L O at COLORADO L L U at ARIZONA W W U VS WASHINGTON L W O VS COLORADO W W U at CALIFORNIA W W U at UTAH L L O VS ARIZONA W L O VS ARIZONA ST L L O VS UTAH L L U at OREGON ST W W U at OREGON L L O VS CALIFORNIA L L U at ARIZONA ST L W U at UCLA VS USC VS NOTRE DAME VS STANFORD 67

68 COLLEGE FOOTBALL COVERAGE AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 College Football Week 12 NOVEMBER 17, :30 PM on CBSSN BULLDOG STADIUM (FRESNO, CA) (421) SAN DIEGO ST [SU:7-3 ATS:2-8] AT (422) FRESNO ST (-15 44) [SU:8-2 ATS:8-2] SAN DIEGO ST [4.0] [7.9] [2.7] [6.7] FRESNO ST [4.1] [8.6] [3.7] [5.9] Fresno is still in the driver s seat to get into the Mountain West title game but any outside hopes of a bid to the New Year s Six bowl games were ended with a loss at Boise State. San Diego State experienced its own disappointment losing outright as a 24-point favorite to a UNLV team that looked like it couldn t beat anybody coming into that game. However, the Aztecs still have a shot to win the MWC West and can put themselves in position with an upset win here. They did win in Boise earlier this year and Rocky Long has performed historically well in the underdog role. You would expect a better effort out of the Aztecs off such an embarrassing loss. The question is how Fresno responds off such a tough loss in a big spot. Both teams rank in the top 20 nationally in total defense so points should be at a premium and over two touchdowns is a big number. so Fresno is still getting a lot of respect from the oddsmakers for its recent ATS run. SAN DIEGO ST FRESNO ST SAN DIEGO ST is 6-1 ATS(L7G) on ROAD - After a close SU loss 3 points or less FRESNO ST is 2-8 ATS(L10G) at HOME - Against solid defensive teams allowing less than 22 PPG SAN DIEGO ST is 13-2 UNDER(L15G) on ROAD - good teams with 60% or better winning pct RECENT HEAD-TO-HEAD GAME DATE ROAD TEAM HOME TEAM LINE OU ATS/OU RESULTS FRESNO ST (27) at SAN DIEGO ST (3) FRESNO ST ROAD DOG UNDER SAN DIEGO ST (17) at FRESNO ST (3) FRESNO ST HOME DOG UNDER FRESNO ST (7) at SAN DIEGO ST (21) SAN DIEGO ST HOME FAV UNDER SAN DIEGO ST (13) at FRESNO ST (24) FRESNO ST HOME FAV UNDER FRESNO ST (35) at SAN DIEGO ST (28) FRESNO ST ROAD FAV UNDER UNDER the total is on a 5-0 run in the FRS-SDS h2h series SAN DIEGO ST RESULTS FRESNO ST RESULTS at STANFORD L L U VS IDAHO W W O VS SACRAMENTO ST W L U at MINNESOTA L L U VS ARIZONA ST W W O at UCLA W W U VS E MICHIGAN W L U VS TOLEDO W W O at BOISE ST W W U at NEVADA W W U VS AIR FORCE W L U VS WYOMING W W U VS SAN JOSE ST W L U at NEW MEXICO W W U at NEVADA L L O VS HAWAII W W O at NEW MEXICO W L O at UNLV W W U VS UNLV L L U at BOISE ST L L U at FRESNO ST VS SAN DIEGO ST VS HAWAII VS SAN JOSE ST 68

69 COLLEGE FOOTBALL COVERAGE AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 College Football Week 12 (423) UNLV [SU:3-7 ATS:5-5] AT (424) HAWAII ( ) [SU:6-5 ATS:3-8] NOVEMBER 17, :00 PM - ALOHA STADIUM (HONOLULU, HI) UNLV [5.1] [5.8] [5.1] [8.5] HAWAII [4.0] [7.9] [5.0] [8.6] UNLV HAWAII HAWAII is 0-15 ATS(L15G) - After SU loss OVER the total is 8-1 in the L9 of the HAW-NLV h2h series UNLV RESULTS HAWAII RESULTS at USC L W O at COLORADO ST W W O VS UTEP W W O VS NAVY W W O VS PRAIRIE VIEW A&M W L U VS RICE W L O at ARKANSAS ST L W U at ARMY L L U VS NEW MEXICO L L O VS DUQUESNE W L U at UTAH ST L L O at SAN JOSE ST W L O VS AIR FORCE L W O VS WYOMING W W U at SAN JOSE ST L L O at BYU L L O VS FRESNO ST L L U VS NEVADA L L U at SAN DIEGO ST W W U at FRESNO ST L L O at HAWAII VS UTAH ST L L P VS NEVADA VS UNLV at SAN DIEGO ST (101) N ILLINOIS (-7 54) [SU:7-3 ATS:6-4] AT (102) W MICHIGAN [SU:6-4 ATS:3-7] NOVEMBER 20, :00 PM - WALDO STADIUM (KALAMAZOO, MI) N ILLINOIS [4.1] [4.9] [2.7] [6.9] W MICHIGAN [4.8] [8.3] [4.9] [7.9] N ILLINOIS W MICHIGAN N ILLINOIS is 7-0 ATS(L7G) on ROAD - On winning streak of 6 or more games N ILLINOIS is 13-4 SU & 13-3 ATS vs. W MICHIGAN since 2001 N ILLINOIS RESULTS W MICHIGAN RESULTS at IOWA L L U VS SYRACUSE L L O VS UTAH L W U at MICHIGAN L L U VS C MICHIGAN W L U VS DELAWARE ST W W U at FLORIDA ST L L O at GEORGIA ST W W U at E MICHIGAN W W U at MIAMI OH W L O at BALL ST W W U VS E MICHIGAN W L U VS OHIO W L U at BOWLING GREEN W L O at BYU W W U at C MICHIGAN W W U at AKRON W W O VS TOLEDO L L O VS TOLEDO W W U VS OHIO L L O VS MIAMI OH at BALL ST at W MICHIGAN VS N ILLINOIS

70 COLLEGE FOOTBALL COVERAGE AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 College Football Week 12 (103) BALL ST [SU:3-7 ATS:4-6] AT (104) MIAMI OHIO ( ) [SU:4-6 ATS:6-4] NOVEMBER 20, :00 PM - YAGER STADIUM (OXFORD, OH) BALL ST [4.3] [6.1] [4.9] [7.1] MIAMI OHIO [4.2] [6.8] [3.8] [7.1] BALL ST MIAMI OHIO MIAMI OH is 20-5 UNDER(L25G) at HOME - Against lesser defensive teams allowing more than 29 PPG UNDER the total is 6-1 in the L7 of the BLS-MOH h2h series BALL ST RESULTS MIAMI OHIO RESULTS VS C CONN ST W W U VS MARSHALL L L O at NOTRE DAME L W U ** CINCINNATI L L U at INDIANA L L U at MINNESOTA L L U VS W KENTUCKY L L U at BOWLING GREEN W W O VS KENT ST W W O VS W MICHIGAN L W O VS N ILLINOIS L L U at AKRON W W O at C MICHIGAN W W U VS KENT ST W W U VS E MICHIGAN L L O at ARMY L W O at OHIO L L O at BUFFALO L L O at TOLEDO L L U VS OHIO W W U VS W MICHIGAN at N ILLINOIS at MIAMI OH VS BALL ST