2017 Renewable Energy Plan Public Service Company of Colorado February Volume 2. Hearing Exhibit 101 Attachment RLK-2 Page 1 of 12
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1 Hearing Exhibit 101 Page 1 of Renewable Energy Plan February 2016 Volume 2 xcelenergy.com 2016 Xcel Energy Inc. Xcel Energy is a registered trademark of Xcel Energy Inc., an Xcel Energy Company /16
2 Page 2 of 12 Table Renewable Energy Plan Requirements Forecast 2017 Renewable Energy Standard Compliance Plan (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) (f) (g) Non-DG RES 1 RES DG Retail DG Wholesale DG Requirement Calendar Retail Sales (Recycled Energy Requirement Minimum Minimum (Recycled Energy Row Year (MWhs) And RECs) (RECs Only) (RECs Only) (RECs Only) And RECs) ,696,721 5,739, , , ,096 5,237, ,038,422 5,807, , , ,086 5,299, ,355,686 5,871, , , ,557 5,284, ,546,862 5,909, , , ,469 5,318, ,004,547 6,000, , , ,045 5,400, ,617,950 9,185, , , ,269 8,266, ,351,135 9,405, , , ,267 8,464, ,571,658 9,471, , , ,575 8,524, ,800,646 9,540, , , ,010 8,586, ,053,198 9,615, , , ,798 8,654, ,236,554 9,670, , , ,548 8,703, ,440,281 9,732, , , ,604 8,758, Checks RES Requirements 17 Total DG % 1.75% % 1.75% % 2.00% % 2.00% % 2.00% % 3.00% % 3.00% % 3.00% % 3.00% % 3.00% % 3.00% % 3.00%
3 Page 3 of 12 Table Renewable Energy Credits Aquired/Sold/Retired 2017 Renewable Energy Standard Compliance Plan Capacity FORECAST (MW) (1) Column Reference Row (b) (c) (d) (e) (f) (g) (h) (i) (j) 1 Retail DG FORECAST 2 Small Program 169, , , , ,267 Retail DG (MW) Capacity Medium Program 90, , , , ,780 Solar Rewards Large Program 43,220 41,828 41,612 49,766 63,458 Solar Rewards Community Solar Rewards Community 17,389 25,631 81, , ,184 Non Solar Rewards Connected REC Only 1,499 1,499 1,499 1,499 1,499 7 Total Retail DG 321, , , , , Wholesale DG Utility Solar 12 Power Purchase w/recs: 13 SunE Alamosa ,318 17,240 17,095 17,021 16, Greater Sandhill ,419 46,059 45,704 45,473 45, SolarTAC Cogentrix ,222 63,252 62,763 62,446 62, San Luis Solar ,015 76,930 76,353 75,967 75, Total Utility Solar 192, , , , , Biomass 21 Power Purchase w/recs: 22 WM Denver/Aurora Disposal Site ,630 20,198 20,198 20,198 20, Total Biomass 21,630 20,198 20,198 20,198 20, Small Hydropower 26 Company-Owned Generation: 27 Ames ,737 9,500 9,500 9,500 9, Georgetown ,580 4,430 4,430 4,430 4, Salida ,714 1,714 1,714 1, Shoshone ,454 85,000 85,000 85,000 85, Tacoma ,460 9,490 9,990 9,990 9, Power Purchase w/recs: 33 Bridal Veil Betasso/SL/Lakewood ,985 29,215 8, Boulder Canyon Grand Valley/Orchard Mesa ,678 11,531 11,531 11,531 11, Kohler Maxwell Orodell Sunshine ,537 3,273 2, Dillon Dam ,716 10,293 10,293 10,293 10, Foothills ,170 5,527 5,527 5,527 5, Hillcrest ,706 6,706 6,706 6, Roberts Tunnel ,547 11,914 11,914 11,914 11, Strontia Springs ,793 6,630 6,630 6,630 6, Gross Reservoir ,627 18,171 18,171 18,171 18, Redlands ,528 6,881 6,881 6,881 6, Stagecoach , Mt. Elbert , Total Small Hydropower 198, , , , ,287
4 Page 4 of 12 Capacity FORECAST (MW) (1) Column Reference Row (b) (c) (d) (e) (f) (g) (h) (i) (j) Wind 53 Company Owned Generation: 54 Ponnequin II-VI , Power Purchase w/recs: 56 NREL Siemens ,302 11, Northern Colorado Wind II ,628 70,901 70,677 70,677 70, Ridgecrest ,652 72, Wholesale DG Wind 185, ,098 70,677 70,677 70, Total Wholesale DG 598, , , , , Non-DG 63 Recycled Energy 64 Power Purchase Offsetting Requirement: 65 Recycled Energy Total Recycled Energy Wind 69 Power Purchase w/recs: 70 Cedar Creek , , , , , Cedar Creek II , , , , , Cedar Point , , , , , Colorado Green , , , ,384 35, Limon I , , , , , Limon II , , , , , Limon III , , , , , Logan , , , , , Northern Colorado Wind I , , , , , Peetz Table , , , , , Spring Canyon , , , , , Twin Buttes , , , , , Total Non-DG Wind 6,286,819 7,112,580 7,092,880 7,092,880 6,666, Solar 85 Comanche Solar , , , , Solar Star , , , , , Total Non-DG Solar 8, , , , , Total Non-DG 6,295,195 7,401,059 7,542,243 7,539,988 7,110, Total Non Retail DG Renewable Resources 6,893,736 8,001,632 8,041,861 8,020,338 7,590, Total Renewable Resources 7,215,608 8,431,738 8,611,281 8,762,645 8,529, Wholesale Allocation (465,380) (477,436) (497,533) (510,174) (463,897) 96 Retired for Windsource (159,748) (156,029) (151,366) (146,845) (142,459) 97 RECs Sold (788,051) (209,425) Total RECs Available 5,802,429 7,588,848 7,962,382 8,105,626 7,922, Compliance Requirements: 102 Retail DG 251, , , , , Wholesale DG 251, , , , , Non-DG 5,237,152 5,299,512 5,284,023 5,318,435 5,400, Compliance Obligation REC Carry Over 19,104,965 20,505,633 23,976,395 27,789,711 31,728, RECs Available 5,802,429 7,588,848 7,962,382 8,105,626 7,922, In State Bonus including qualified Retail DG 1,337,583 1,689,598 1,722,071 1,742,719 1,648, Add'l Community Based Bonus Total RECs Available for Compliance 26,244,977 29,784,079 33,660,848 37,638,056 41,300, RES / RECs Retired for Compliance (5,739,344) (5,807,684) (5,871,137) (5,909,372) (6,000,909) 113 RECs Carried Forward 20,505,633 23,976,395 27,789,711 31,728,684 35,299,267
5 Page 5 of 12 Table Planned Procurement of RECs 2017 Renewable Energy Standard Compliance Plan Recycled Retail DG RECs Retail DG Community- Wholesale New Wholesale Wholesale DG Wholesale Wholesale Existing New Non-DG Wind RECs Non-DG Non-DG Bonus Energy & Retail DG Retired for RECs Bonus Based Retail DG DG DG RECs Retired for DG RECs Bonus DG Non-DG Non-DG Recycled Retired for RECs For RECs & Non-DG Calendar Year RECs (1) Windsource Sold (2) RECs (3) Bonus RECs Total RECs RECs (1) RECs (1) Windsource Sold (2) RECs Total RECs RECs (1) RECs (1) Energy Windsource Sold (2) Recycled Energy Total RECs Column Reference a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s Calculation (a - b - c + d + e) ((g + h - i - j) * 0.25) (g + h - i - j + k) (m + n + o - p - q + r) Row , , , , , ,515 5,847, , , ,051 1,224,901 6,301, , , , , , ,024 6,656,505 1,288, , ,425 1,572,763 9,152, , , , , , ,303 6,694,941 1,365, ,366-1,615,609 9,524, , , , , , ,291 6,689,512 1,361, ,845-1,615,137 9,519, , , , , , ,275 6,304,090 1,363, ,459-1,520,832 9,045, ,138, ,816-1,162, , , ,540 6,283,297 1,363, ,137-1,518,685 9,036, ,338, ,816-1,362, , , ,454 6,258,460 1,356, ,280-1,513,134 9,002, ,536, ,816-1,560, , , ,576 6,250,753 1,352, ,540-1,511,757 8,993, ,734, ,816-1,758, , , ,750 6,243,503 1,349, ,912-1,510,492 8,985, ,930, ,816-1,954, , , ,021 6,254,023 1,349, ,392-1,513,599 9,002, ,126, ,816-2,149, , , ,560 6,229,646 1,341, ,978-1,508,081 8,968, ,320, ,816-2,344, , , ,613 6,070,314 1,337, ,667-1,468,660 8,769,254 Notes: RECs presented are net of wholesale (1) transfers and City of Boulder transfers (if applicable) and do not include in-state bonus (2) RECs sold based on executed transactions by vintage (3) Bonus applied to retail DG based on purchase transactions entered into prior to August 11, 2010
6 Page 6 of 12 Table Planned Procurement of Solar Connect RECs 2017 Renewable Energy Standard Compliance Plan Solar Connect RECs Non-DG RECs Retired for Solar Connect(1) RECS Remaining Calendar Year Column Reference a b c Calculation (a-b) Row , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,968 0 Notes: (1) Solar Connect RECs Retired on behalf of customers
7 Page 7 of 12 Table 7-1 Renewable Energy Standard Adjustment Estimate For the Years Table 7-1 Renewable Resource Costs Base Case (NO CARBON) ($000) UNLOCKED Renewable Resources LOCKED Renewable Resources Year Total Costs to be Recovered Costs Recovered by RESA Avoided Costs Recovered by ECA Total Costs to be Recovered Costs Recovered by RESA Avoided Costs Recovered by ECA 2016 $93,691 $14,677 $79,014 $182,767 $28,289 $154, $282,817 $96,134 $186,683 $6,241 $1,572 $4, $294,977 $67,250 $227,726 $6,206 $1,430 $4, $306,143 $48,577 $257,566 $6,166 $1,343 $4, $318,786 $14,984 $303,801 $6,142 $1,005 $5, $329,754 ($26,569) $356,324 $6,093 $760 $5, $341,304 ($45,274) $386,578 $6,059 $1,080 $4, $352,546 ($38,291) $390,837 $6,019 $1,026 $4, $364,449 ($48,534) $412,983 $5,995 $850 $5, $375,046 ($73,170) $448,216 $5,947 $748 $5, $386,360 ($75,774) $462,134 $5,913 $633 $5,280 The grey shading denotes the costs for Northern Colorado I, Northern Colorado II, Solar Rewards Jan-Sept 2009, Cedar Creek II, Cedar Point, Iberdrola (aka San Luis Solar), Greater Sand Hill, Limon I and Limon II are presented as unlocked in this RE Plan. As such, for the greyed years the costs for these resources will move from the Locked to the Unlocked columns and will have their incremental costs calculated using current modeling assumptions.
8 Page 8 of 12 Table 7-2 (a) Renewable Energy Standard Adjustment Estimate For the Years Renewable Energy Plan UNLOCKED Renewable Resources and Avoided Costs Base Case (NO CARBON) A B C D E F G H I J K L M Unlocked Renewable Resources except On-Site Solar Unlocked On-Site Solar Unlocked Totals Central Solar Wind Other Renewable (B+C+D) B, C, D Modeled Cost B,C,D Calculated Avoided Cost (E-F) [2] On-Site Solar Modeled On-Site Solar Avoided Cost [2] Calculated On-Site Solar Cost (H-I) s (E+H) Costs (F+J) Avoided Costs (G+I) [2] ,902,314 53,093, ,995,430 7,765,108 61,230,322 24,695,610 17,784,158 6,911,452 93,691,040 14,676,560 79,014, ,792, ,445, ,237,943 89,521, ,715,977 29,578,903 22,966,659 6,612, ,816,846 96,134, ,682,637 [3] ,702, ,240, ,943,207 62,892, ,050,618 36,033,658 31,675,788 4,357, ,976,865 67,250, ,726, ,607, ,111, ,718,684 47,037, ,681,180 43,424,068 41,884,934 1,539, ,142,751 48,576, ,566, ,619, ,717, ,336,877 20,196, ,140,255 51,448,969 56,661,191 (5,212,222) 318,785,846 14,984, ,801, ,420, ,168, ,589,029 (11,422,848) 282,011,877 59,165,413 74,311,682 (15,146,269) 329,754,442 (26,569,117) 356,323, ,330, ,348, ,678,479 (22,763,189) 297,441,668 66,625,161 89,136,102 (22,510,941) 341,303,639 (45,274,131) 386,577, ,240, ,615, ,855,545 (14,022,570) 292,878,115 73,690,217 97,958,478 (24,268,262) 352,545,761 (38,290,832) 390,836, ,256, ,665, ,921,771 (16,356,665) 300,278,436 80,527, ,704,637 (32,177,536) 364,448,872 (48,534,201) 412,983, ,063, ,482, ,546,839 (30,695,749) 318,242,588 87,499, ,972,926 (42,473,900) 375,045,865 (73,169,649) 448,215, ,977, ,085, ,063,036 (26,583,187) 318,646,223 94,296, ,487,741 (49,190,996) 386,359,781 (75,774,183) 462,133, costs of renewable resources are recovered through the RESA. [2] Avoided costs of renewable resources are recovered through the ECA. [3] The grey shading denotes the costs for Northern Colorado I, Northern Colorado II, Solar Rewards Jan-Sept 2009, Cedar Creek II, Cedar Point, Iberdrola (aka San Luis Solar), Greater Sand Hill, Limon I and Limon II are presented as unlocked in this RE Plan. As such, for the greyed years the costs for these resources will move from the Locked table (7-3b) to the Unlocked table (7-3a) and will have their incremental costs calculated using current modeling assumptions.
9 Page 9 of 12 Table 7-2 (b) Renewable Energy Standard Adjustment Estimate For the Years Renewable Energy Plan LOCKED Renewable Resources and Avoided Costs Base Case (NO CARBON) A B C D E F G H I J K L M Locked Renewable Resources except On-Site Solar Locked On-Site Solar Locked Totals Central Solar Wind Other Renewable (B+C+D) B, C, D Locked Cost B,C,D Calculated Avoided Cost (E-F) [2] On-Site Solar Locked On-Site Solar Avoided Cost [2] Calculated On-Site Solar Cost (H-I) s (E+H) Costs (F+J) Avoided Costs (G+I) [2] ,852, ,840, ,693,350 28,715, ,978,059 4,073,860 4,499,795 (425,935) 182,767,210 28,289, ,477, ,743, ,743,863 2,094,000 1,649,863 2,496,940 3,018,562 (521,623) 6,240,803 1,572,377 4,668,425 [3] ,727, ,727,656 2,052,000 1,675,656 2,478,580 3,100,210 (621,631) 6,206,236 1,430,369 4,775, ,706, ,706,047 1,989,000 1,717,047 2,460,360 3,106,401 (646,041) 6,166,407 1,342,959 4,823, ,699, ,699,694 1,911,000 1,788,694 2,442,280 3,348,211 (905,931) 6,141,974 1,005,069 5,136, ,668, ,668,229 1,846,000 1,822,229 2,424,350 3,509,865 (1,085,515) 6,092, ,485 5,332, ,652, ,652,022 1,947,000 1,705,022 2,406,560 3,273,411 (866,851) 6,058,582 1,080,149 4,978, ,630, ,630,412 1,928,000 1,702,412 2,388,910 3,290,804 (901,894) 6,019,322 1,026,106 4,993, ,623, ,623,859 1,928,000 1,695,859 2,371,400 3,449,032 (1,077,632) 5,995, ,368 5,144, ,592, ,592,595 1,928,000 1,664,595 2,354,030 3,534,330 (1,180,300) 5,946, ,700 5,198, ,576, ,576,389 1,928,000 1,648,389 2,336,800 3,631,652 (1,294,852) 5,913, ,148 5,280, costs of renewable resources are recovered through the RESA [2] Avoided costs of renewable resources are recovered through the ECA [3] The grey shading denotes the costs for Northern Colorado I, Northern Colorado II, Solar Rewards Jan-Sept 2009, Cedar Creek II, Cedar Point, Iberdrola (aka San Luis Solar), Greater Sand Hill, Limon I and Limon II are presented as unlocked in this RE Plan. As such, for the greyed years the costs for these resources will move from the Locked table (7-3b) to the Unlocked table (7-3a) and will have their incremental costs calculated using current modeling assumptions.
10 Page 10 of 12 Table 7-2 (c) 2.000% 2016 Renewable Energy Standard Adjustment Estimate 2.000% 2026 For the Years A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O Renewable Resource s 2017 Renewable Energy Plan Estimated RESA Balance Base Case (NO CARBON) RESA Related Costs RESA Related Revenues/Credits ECA Related Costs RESA Revenue % Unlocked Costs (Table 7-2a, Col K) Locked Costs (Table 7-2b, Col K) Unlocked Costs (Table 7-2a, Col L) Locked Costs (Table 7-2b, Col L) RESA Program & Admin Costs RESA Rider Revenue WindSource Revenue REC Margin Revenue Wholesale Customer RESA RJA Credit Unlocked Avoided Costs (Table 7-2a, Col M) Locked Avoided Costs (Table 7-2b, Col M) ,691, ,767,210 14,676,560 28,289, ,403 56,768,819 3,772, ,178 3,248,875 79,014, ,477, ,816,846 6,240,803 96,134,210 1,572, ,333 58,322,086 2,810,940 6,690, ,682,637 4,668, ,976,865 6,206,236 67,250,460 1,430,369 1,020,921 59,515,860 3,064,170 4,844, ,726,406 4,775, ,142,751 6,166,407 48,576,637 1,342,959 1,049,749 60,950,796 3,190,800 3,599, ,566,115 4,823, ,785,846 6,141,974 14,984,400 1,005,069 1,081,241 62,155,276 3,241,440 1,644, ,801,446 5,136, ,754,442 6,092,580 (26,569,117) 760,485 1,113,678 63,398,381 3,292,095 (723,531) 356,323,559 5,332, ,303,639 6,058,582 (45,274,131) 1,080,149 1,147,089 64,666,349 3,342,735 (1,598,920) 386,577,770 4,978, ,545,761 6,019,322 (38,290,832) 1,026,106 1,181,501 65,959,676 3,393,390 (943,612) 390,836,593 4,993, ,448,872 5,995,259 (48,534,201) 850,368 1,216,946 67,278,869 3,444,030 (1,142,203) 412,983,073 5,144, ,045,865 5,946,625 (73,169,649) 747,700 1,253,455 68,624,447 3,494,685 (2,309,558) 448,215,514 5,198, ,359,781 5,913,189 (75,774,183) 633,148 1,291,058 69,996,935 3,545,325 (2,014,214) 462,133,964 5,280, P Total Renewable Resource Costs (B+C) Totals Q Total RESA Costs (D+E+F) S T U V Annual Excess/ (Deficiency) (R-Q) Interest Annual Excess/ (Deficiency) w/ Interest (S+T) RESA Rolling Balance (Deferred) ,583, ,458,250 43,804,319 64,754,615 20,950,296 4,104,193 25,054,489 64,638, ,057,649 98,570,920 67,823,487 (30,747,433) 2,297,781 (28,449,651) 36,188, ,183,101 69,701,750 67,424,444 (2,277,306) 2,299,169 21,864 36,210, ,309,159 50,969,344 67,741,041 16,771,697 3,592,174 20,363,871 56,574, ,927,820 17,070,711 67,041,701 49,970,990 7,223,757 57,194, ,768, ,847, ,966,945 65,966,945 12,186,086 78,153, ,921, ,362, ,410,164 66,410,164 17,514,912 83,925, ,846, ,565, ,409,454 68,409,454 23,340,584 91,750, ,596, ,444, ,580,696 69,580,696 29,640,647 99,221, ,818, ,992, ,809,573 69,809,573 36,383, ,192, ,011, ,272, ,528,046 71,528,046 43,699, ,227, ,239, R Total RESA Revenue (G+H+I+J) Calculations Interest Rate 6.780%
11 Page 11 of 12 Table 7-3 (a) Renewable Energy Standard Adjustment Estimate For the Years Locked Costs (Transferred from the ECA to the RESA) SunE Alamosa NCW MW NCW - 23 MW NCW MW NCW - 23 MW , , , , , , , , , , ,928 Total Cost ($000) Cost ($/MWh) Resource Cost Unlocked Total Cost ($000) Cost ($/MWh) Cedar Creek II Cedar Point Iberdrola Greater Cedar Cedar Greater Limon I Limon II Iberdrola SandHill Creek II Point SandHill Limon I Limon II ,215 16,091 5,469 3,335 (5,958) (3,030) (8.37) (4.80) Resource Cost Unlocked Locked Avoided Costs (Transferred from the RESA to the ECA) Total Avoided Cost ($000) Solar Solar Rewards Rewards Prior to 2009 Jan-Sept 2009 Avoided Cost ($/MWh) Solar Rewards Jan-Sept ,924 1, , , , , , , , , , ,291 Avoided Resource Cost Unlocked Locked down costs in Docket No. 08A-532E were locked on a total dollar basis
12 Page 12 of 12 Table 7-3 (b) Renewable Energy Standard Adjustment Estimate For the Years Locked Costs (Transferred from the ECA to the RESA) Approved Plan Resource Description RES Plan SunE Alamosa Cost ($000) $ 2,161 $ 2,094 $ 2,052 $ 1,989 $ 1,911 $ 1,846 $ 1,947 $ 1,928 $ 1,928 $ 1,928 $ 1, RES Plan 2012 RES Plan Limon II Application Cedar Creek II Locked Inc Cost ($/MWh) $ 0.12 Expected Generation (MWh) 435,214 Cost ($000) $ 51 Locked Inc Cost ($/MWh) $ 5.36 Expected Generation (MWh) 70,901 Cost ($000) $ 380 Locked Inc Cost ($/MWh) $ Expected Generation (MWh) 750,932 Cost ($000) $ 10,215 Locked Inc Cost ($/MWh) $ Expected Generation (MWh) 826,961 Cost ($000) $ 16,091 Locked Inc Cost ($/MWh) $ Expected Generation (MWh) 76,930 Cost ($000) $ 5,469 Locked Inc Cost ($/MWh) $ Expected Generation (MWh) 46,059 Cost ($000) $ 3,335 Locked Inc Cost ($/MWh) $ (8.37) Expected Generation (MWh) 712,107 Cost ($000) $ (5,958) Locked Inc Cost ($/MWh) $ (4.80) Expected Generation (MWh) 630,955 Cost ($000) $ (3,030) Total Locked Costs $ 28,715 $ 2,094 $ 2,052 $ 1,989 $ 1,911 $ 1,846 $ 1,947 $ 1,928 $ 1,928 $ 1,928 $ 1,928 Locked Avoided Costs (Transferred from the RESA to the ECA) Approved Plan Resource Description RES Plan On-Site Solar (Pre-2009) Locked Avoided Cost ($000) $ 2,924 $ 3,019 $ 3,100 $ 3,106 $ 3,348 $ 3,510 $ 3,273 $ 3,291 $ 3,449 $ 3,534 $ 3, RES Plan NCW MW NCW - 23 MW Cedar Point Iberdrola Greater Sandhill Limon I Limon II On-Site Solar (Jan - Sept 2009) Locked Avoided Cost ($/MWh) $ Expected Generation (MWh) 14,356 Locked Avoided Cost ($000) $ 1,576 Total Locked Avoided Costs $ 4,500 $ 3,019 $ 3,100 $ 3,106 $ 3,348 $ 3,510 $ 3,273 $ 3,291 $ 3,449 $ 3,534 $ 3,632 Locked down costs in Docket No. 08A-532E were locked on a total dollar basis Resource Cost Unlocked Resource Cost Unlocked Resource Cost Unlocked Avoided Resource Cost Unlocked
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