Professional Interests

Transcription

1 Craig Smith Principal at Cumulus Weather Solutions LLC Assistant Research Professor at the Desert Research Institute (mobile) Professional Interests My professional and scientific interests are quantifying and improving the predictability of wind energy and solar energy to facilitate and accelerate their integration onto the electrical grid. I am also interested in improving the predictability of extreme wildfire events and high wind events. I build operational weatherdecision support systems based on numerical weather prediction for energy meteorology and wildfire meteorology applications. Professional Experience present Founder and Principal, Cumulus Weather Solutions LLC present Assistant Research Professor, Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV Faculty, Graduate program in Atmospheric Sciences, University of Nevada, Reno Project Scientist, Vertum Partners, Los Angeles, CA Postdoctoral Research Fellow, Desert Research Institute, Indiana University, Ecole Polytechnique Federale du Lausanne (EPFL) Graduate Research Assistant and Graduate Teaching Assistant, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR Education 2010 Ph.D., Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon State University. Advisor: Eric Skyllingstad 2003 M. S.., Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon State University. Advisor: Eric Skyllingstad 1999 B. S., Mechanical Engineering, University of California at Los Angeles Proposals and Funding Four year ( ) cumulative funding totals as PI or co-pi: Funded: $ 1,004,034 Rejected: $ 2,561,643 Pending: $ 2,346,720 Funded Explosive Wildfire Growth: Using observations and coupled fire-weather models to explore the role of fuels, topography and weather. DRI Institute Project Assignments, 01/ /2017, $12,052. PI: Craig Smith (DRI) Operational numerical weather prediction and decision support system for field testing of highvalue device. Client/Agency subject to NDA. 02/ /2017, $170,251 to DRI. PI: Craig Smith (DRI)

2 The multi-scale dynamics of Sundowner wind systems. National Science Foundation (NSF) Physical and Dynamic Meteorology # , 09/ /2018, $600,327 to DRI. PI s: Mike Kaplan (DRI), Jeff Tilley (DRI) and Craig Smith (DRI) Integrated Predictive Systems for Solar Energy with Modeling, Post Processing and Machine Learning. Department of Energy (DOE) Small Business Innovative Research (SBIR) #DE- SC , 06/ /2016, $224,805 to Vertum Partners. PI: Cameron Whiteman (Vertum Partners), Technical Lead: Craig Smith (Vertum Partners). Wind resource assessment and low level jet investigation. Client/Agency subject to NDA. 10/ /2015, $28,988 to DRI. PI: Craig Smith (DRI) Recently declined Enhanced operational meteorological intelligence of extreme wildfire events. Submitted to the Joint Fire Science Program (JFSP) 11/17/2016, $297,182 to DRI, PI: Craig Smith (DRI) Convection resolving ensemble probabilistic snow level forecast for Donner Pass on I-80 and spillover precipitation in the greater Truckee Meadows Region. Submitted to NOAA Collaborative Science Technology and Applied Research (C-STAR) 01/2017, total budget ~$445,641 PIs: Craig Smith (DRI) and Ben Hatchett (DRI) in collaboration with NWS Reno. In review POSEIDON: Predictability and observations of Sundowner events using an enhanced in situ data observation network. Submitted to NSF AGS 01/24/2018, $2,346,720 total, with $645,308 to DRI. PI: Craig Smith (DRI), Co-PI s Ron Calhoun (ASU), Joe Fernando (Notre Dame), Raghu Krishnamurthy (Notre Dame), Mike Kaplan (DRI), Clive Dorman (Scripps), Eric Skyllingstad (OSU). In preparation Meteorological analysis of Diablo wind events and explosive wildfire growth. To be submitted to NSF AGS by 12/01/2017, ~$600,000 to DRI. PI: Mike Kaplan (DRI), Co-PI s Craig Smith (DRI) Peer reviewed publications Published or in press ( * denotes postdoctoral advisee) B. Hatchett *, C. M. Smith, N. J. Nauslar, and M. Kaplan, Differences between Sundowner and Santa Ana wind regimes in the Santa Ynez Mountains, California. Submitted to Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences Discussions, doi: /nhess Smith, C. M., B. Hatchett * and M. Kaplan, Characteristics of Sundowner winds near Santa Barbara, CA from a dynamically downscaled climatology. Environment and effects near the surface. Accepted for publication in Journal of Meteorology and Climatology, in press, early on-line view available. 2

3 Kaplan, M. K., J. S. Tilley, B. J. Hatchett *, C. M. Smith, J. M. Watson, K. N. Shourd, and J. M. Lewis, The record Los Angeles Heat Event of September 2010 Part I: Synoptic Meso-Beta Scale Analysis of interactive planetary wave breaking, terrain and coastal induced circulations. Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, Smith, C. M., D. Koračin, D., and K. Horvath, Day-ahead predictability of complex terrain flows for wind resource production: a case study of the Washoe Zephyr. Weather and Forecasting, 29, Barthelmie, R. J., P. Crippa, H. Wang, C. M. Smith, R. Krishnamurthy, R. Calhoun, D. Valyou, P. Marzocca, D. Matthiesen, G. Brown, S.C. Pryor, D wind and turbulence characteristics of the atmospheric boundary-layer. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. v. 95, Smith, C. M. and F. Porte-Agel, An intercomparison of subgrid models for large eddy simulation of katabatic flows. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. v. 140 (681), Koračin, D., R. Belu, B. Canadillas, K. Horvath, R. Vellore, C. M. Smith, J. Jiang, T. McCord, A review of challenges in assessment and forecasting of wind resources: Croatian Meteorological Journal, v. 47, Smith, C. M., R. J. Barthelmie, and S. C. Pryor, In-situ observations of the influence of a large onshore wind farm on near-surface temperature, turbulence intensity and wind speed profiles. Environmental Research Letters, v. 8 (3), Smith, C. M. and E. D. Skyllingstad, Effect of inversion height and surface heat flux on downslope windstorms, Monthly Weather Review, v. 139, p Smith, C. M. and E. D. Skyllingstad, Investigation of upstream boundary layer influence on mountain wave breaking and lee wave rotors using a large eddy simulation: Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, v. 66, p Smith, C. M. and E. D. Skyllingstad, Numerical simulation of katabatic flow with changing slope angle, Monthly Weather Review, v. 133, p In review or in revision ( * denotes postdoctoral advisee) Smith, C. M., B. Hatchett * and M. Kaplan, Characteristics of Sundowner winds near Santa Barbara, CA from a dynamically downscaled climatology. Environment and effects aloft. Submitted to Journal of Meteorology and Climatology, 10/2017. In preparation ( * denotes postdoctoral advisee) B. Hatchett *, M. Kaplan, and C. M. Smith, Observed snow levels during peak winter streamflow events in the Northern Sierra Nevada. To be submitted, Spring Smith, C. M., B. Hatchett *, and M. Kaplan, Reconstruction and future projections of Diablo Wind events. 02/2018 estimated submission date. Smith, C. M., M. Kaplan, and B. Hatchett *, Predictability of Sundowner winds of Santa Barbara from numerical weather prediction models. No estimated submission date. 3

4 Smith, C. M., Persistent systematic bias in over-prediction of downslope windstorms in the Owens Valley, CA. No estimated submission date. Non-refereed publications Smith, C. M., An evaluation of the local wind climate and low level jet occurrence for wind generation purposes. Prepared for undisclosed company, 02/28/2015, 93 pg. D. Koračin, M. L. Kaplan, C. M. Smith, G. D. McCurdy, A. J. Wolf, R. Belu, and K. Horvath, Tall Tower Wind energy monitoring and numerical model validation in Northern Nevada. Prepared for DOE-NREL Award #: NAX (DE-AC36-08G028308), 09/2014. Conference Proceedings 2018 Scheduled: American Meteorological Society General Meeting 01/2018, AMS Fire Meteorology 05/2018, Notre Dame Conference on Stratified Fluids 06/2018, AMS Mountain Meteorology 06/2018 Smith, C.M., B. Hatchett, and M. Kaplan, Influence of the California Coastal Jet on Analysis of Sundowners from a dynamically downscaled climatology. Meteorology and Climate modeling for Air Quality, UC Davis, 09/2017. Tilley, J., M. Kaplan, C. M. Smith, and B. Hatchett, Southern California Sundowner events: simulation studies and conceptual models. 18 th annual WRF Users conference. 06/2017. Tilley, J., M. Kaplan, C. M. Smith, and B. Hatchett, Multi-scale simulations of the dynamics associated with the 27 September 2010 Los Angeles / Southern California extreme heat event. 18 th annual WRF Users conference. 06/2017. Smith, C.M., B. Hatchett, and M. Kaplan, Dynamics of Sundowner winds of Santa Barbara, CA from a downscaled climatology. Desert Research Institute Division of Atmospheric Sciences meeting, 05/2017. Tilley, J., M. Kaplan, C. M. Smith, and B. Hatchett, Southern California Sundowner events: simulation studies and conceptual models. American Meteorological Society General meeting, 01/2017. Hatchett, B., C.M., Smith, M. Kaplan, and J. Tilley, Revisiting the Sundowner winds of Santa Barbara, CA through observations reanalysis and high resolution modeling. Workshop on Sundowner meteorology, UCSB, 10/2016. Tilley J., C. M. Smith, M. Kaplan, and B. Hatchett, On the search for dynamical commonalities among Southern California Sundowner events. Workshop on Sundowner meteorology, UCSB, 10/2016. Smith, C.M., M. Kaplan, J. Tilley, and B. Hatchett, A numerical study of the 06/2016 Sherpa fire and the relative role of internal gravity wave and shallow water dynamics during Sundowner events. Workshop on Sundowner meteorology, UCSB, 10/2016. M. L. Kaplan and B. J. Hatchett, N. J. Nauslar, N. Oakley, J.S. Tilley and C. M. Smith, The massive space and time scale of atmospheric processes that create localized extreme heat bursts, dry lightning, fire weather, and debris flow in the Western US. Restoring the West, 10/

5 Tilley, J., Kaplan, M., and C. M. Smith, Observational analysis of the multi-day and multi-scale forcing organizing the 2010/09/27 Los Angeles Basin heat burst event. American Meteorological Society Mountain Meteorology conference, 06/2016. Smith, C.M., M. Kaplan, J. Tilley, and B. Hatchett, A climatology of extreme heating Sundowner events near Santa Barbara (CA) based on surface observations. American Meteorological Society Mountain Meteorology conference, 06/2016. Kaplan, M., C. M. Smith, and J. Tilley, High resolution multi-scale simulations of the 2010 Los Angeles/Southern California heat burst event. American Meteorological Society Mountain Meteorology conference, 06/2016. Tilley, J., M. Kaplan, and C. M. Smith, Observational analysis of the multi-day and multi-scale forcing organizing the 2010/09/27 Los Angeles Basin heat burst event. American Meteorological Society Mountain Meteorology conference, 06/2016. Smith, C. M., Predictability of high wind events in the Owens Valley, CA. American Meteorological Society general meeting, 01/2016 (poster). King, KC, M. Kaplan, C. M. Smith, and T. Tilley, Analysis of the September 2010 Los Angeles extreme heating event. American Geophysical Union, 12/2015. Smith, C. M., Predictability of high wind events in the Owens Valley, CA. American Geophysical Union, 12/2015. Smith, C. M., Case study of a wind ramp event in the Columbia River Basin. International Conference on Energy Meteorology, 06/2015 (poster). Smith, C. M., Predictability of wind ramps in the Columbia River Basin. American Meteorological Society Mountain Meteorology conference, 08/2014. Smith, C. M., Prospects for object-based forecast improvements in complex terrain. American Wind Energy Association (AWEA) WindPower, 05/2014. K.C. King, M. Kaplan, and C. M. Smith, Differentiating Sundowner and Santa Ana wind environments, American Meteorological Society General meeting, 01/ American Geophysical Union, American Wind Energy Association (AWEA) Wind Resource and Project Energy Assessment, Traversing new terrain in meteorological modeling, air quality, and dispersion, International Conference on Alpine Meteorology 2012 American Wind Energy Association offshore, American Meteorological Society Boundary Layers and Turbulence, European Wind Energy Association 2011 American Geophysical Union, European Meteorological Society, International, Conference on Alpine Meteorology, European Geophysical Union 2010 American Meteorological Society Mountain Meteorology conference 2008 American Meteorological Society Mountain Meteorology conference, T-REX conference 5

6 2007 Terrain induced rotor experiment (T-REX) conference 2004 American Meteorological Society Mountain Meteorology conference Popular media Strong winds can create the ideal surfing conditions in Lake Tahoe, KTVN Channel 2, Reno, NV, 11/16/2017. WINDS of change: next generation of weather intelligence, National Public Radio (NPR) Reno (KUNR), 09/30/2015. DRI unveils new weather research project, KTVN, 09/28/2015. What does it take to surf Lake Tahoe in the Sierra Nevada, National Public Radio (NPR), Around the Nation, 05/21/2014. Service External Committees Member, American Meteorological Society Renewable Energy committee, Chair, Solar Forecasting session, American Meteorological Society General meeting. New Orleans, LA, 01/2016. Chair, Complex Terrain session, Traversing new terrain in Meteorological modeling, air quality and dispersion. UC Davis, 09/2013. Conference sponsored by the California Air Resources Board (CARB). Internal Committees Admissions committee, University of Nevada Atmospheric Sciences graduate program, 2015 to present Applied Innovation Center hiring committee, DRI, 2014 Indiana University Science Olympiad, IU, March 2012 Promotion and tenure committee, Student Advisory committee, Instructional programs committee, OSU, Reviewer National Science Foundation (NSF), Atmospheric and Geosciences (2016) Bulletin of the American Meteorology Society (2011, 2013) Boundary Layer Meteorology (2011) Earth Interactions (2013) Environmental Research Letters (2013) Environmental Science and Technology (2014) Journal of Applied Science (2015, 2016) Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology (2010, 2014, 2015, 2017) Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres (2014) Journal of Wind Energy (2012 x2) Monthly Weather Review (2015) Oxford Handbooks (2016) Pure and Applied Geophysics (2017) 6

7 Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (2012) Weather and Forecasting (2013) Water Resources Research (2013) Wind and Structures (2015) Advising and Academic committees Ben Hatchett, Postdoctoral Scholar, DRI, 08/2016 to present Ashok Pohkarel, PhD, University of Nevada Reno, Graduated 04/2016 Nina Coakley, PhD in progress, University of Nevada Reno Brendan Lawrence, Masters degree in progress, University of Nevada Reno Teaching Experience Full courses Python programming for Meteorological and Earth Science applications, University of Nevada Reno, Spring 2018 (scheduled), Spring 2016, Spring 2014 Guest lectures Mountain meteorology Boundary layer meteorology graduate level class, EPFL, 2011 Mesoscale meteorology Introduction to Atmospheric Sciences undergraduate class, OSU, 2009 Downslope windstorms Mesoscale Meteorology graduate level class, OSU, 2009 Teaching Assistant Introduction to atmospheric sciences, OSU, x3 Man s impact on climate, OSU Various Climate change lectures, IU Areas of Interest Energy meteorology, Wildfire meteorology, Mountain meteorology Software development for atmospheric applications Weather-driven intelligence and decision support systems Numerical weather prediction using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model Predictability of extreme weather events Predictability and integration of wind and solar energy onto the electrical grid Environmental effects of wind energy and wind turbine wake characterization Remote sensing of atmospheric boundary layer February