POLL March 28 April 2, 2008

Transcription

1 POLL March 28 April 2, 2008 N = 1,368 Registered Voters = 1,196 Democratic Primary Voters= 510 Republican Primary Voters= 323 All trends are from New York Times/CBS News polls unless otherwise noted. An asterisk indicates registered respondents only. DPV* indicates Democratic Primary Voters and RPV* indicates Republican Primary Voters. 1. I'd like you to compare the way things are going in the United States to the way they were going five years ago. Generally, would you say things are going better today, worse today, or about the same today as they were going five years ago? Better Worse Same DK/NA 1/19-23/ /18-21/ /9-12/ /4-6/ /15-18/ /19-22/ /12-15/ /14-18/ /15-19/ /28-4/2/ And what is your best guess about the United States five years from now? Generally, if things go pretty much as you now expect, do you think things will be better, worse, or about the same as they are today? Better Worse Same DK/NA 1/19-23/ /18-21/ /9-12/ /4-6/ /15-18/ /19-22/ /12-15/ /14-18/ /15-19/ /28-4/2/

2 3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President? Dis- Dis- Approve approve DK/NA Approve approve DK/NA 2/10-12/01 CBS /23-27/ /8-12/ /11-15/ /4-5/01 CBS /15-18/04 CBS /10-12/01 CBS /12-16/ /14-18/ /20-22/04 CBS /28-31/01 CBS /1-3/ /11-12/01 CBS /14-17/ /13-14/ /28-30/ /20-23/ /18-21/ /25-28/ /14-18/ /7-10/ /24-28/ /5-6/02 CBS /9-14/05 NYT /15-17/02 CBS /13-16/05 CBS /21-24/ /20-24/05 CBS /24-26/02 CBS /10-15/ /1-2/02 CBS /13-14/05 CBS /28-5/1/ /29-8/2/05 CBS /13-14/02 CBS /29-31/05 CBS /19-20/02 CBS /6-7/05 CBS /18-20/02 CBS /9-13/ /8-9/02 CBS /3-5/05 CBS /13-16/ /30-11/1/05 CBS /22-23/02 CBS /2-6/ /6-7/02 CBS /5-8/06 CBS /2-5/ /20-25/ /22-23/02 CBS /22-26/06 CBS /3-6/ /9-12/06 CBS /27-31/ /6-9/06 CBS /20-24/ /28-30/06 CBS /4-6/03 CBS /4-8/ /19-22/ /10-11/06 CBS /5-6/03 CBS /21-25/ /10-12/ /11-13/06 CBS /24-25/03 CBS /17-21/ /4-5/03 CBS /15-19/ /7-9/ /5-8/ /15-16/03 CBS /27-31/ /17/03 CBS /12-13/06 CBS /20/03 PANEL /8-10/06 CBS /20-21/ /1-3/07 CBS /22/ /18-21/07 CBS /23/ /8-11/07 CBS /24/ /23-27/ /20-24/ /7-11/ /26-27/03 CBS /26-27/07 CBS /2-3/03 CBS /9-12/07 CBS /11-13/ /20-24/ /26-27/03 CBS /18-23/ /9-12/ /26-28/07 CBS /13-27/ /9-17/ /26-28/03 CBS /20-22/ /15-16/03 CBS /8-12/07 CBS /28-10/1/ /4-8/ /20-21/03 CBS /12-16/07 CBS /10-12/03 CBS /5-9/ /14-15/ /9-12/ /12-15/ /30-2/2/08 CBS /12-15/04 CBS /20-24/ /24-27/04 CBS /15-18/08 CBS /10-14/ /28-4/2/ /30-4/1/04 CBS /23-27/ /20-23/04 CBS

3 4. Do you feel things in this country are generally going in the right direction or do you feel things have pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? Right Wrong DK/NA Right Wrong DK/NA 1/27-28/91 CBS /15-18/04 CBS /4-6/ /12-16/ /15-18/ /20-22/04 CBS /27-28/94 CBS /1-3/ /3-6/95 NYT /14-17/ /8-11/96 NYT /28-30/ /16-18/96 CBS /18-21/ /19-21/ /14-18/ /8-10/ /24-28/ /12-13/ /9-14/05 NYT /26-28/ /5-8/06 CBS /10-13/ /13-16/05 CBS /8-12/ /20-24/05 CBS /23-25/01 CBS /10-15/ /14-18/ /29-8/2/05 CBS /25-28/ /9-13/ /7-10/ /4-8/ /24-27/ /3-5/05 CBS /13-16/ /30-11/1/05 CBS /22-23/02 CBS /2-6/ /6-7/02 CBS /20-25/ /2-5/ /9-12/06 CBS /3-6/ /28-30/06 CBS /27-31/ /10-11/06 CBS /20-24/ /21-25/ /10-12/ /17-21/ /22/ /27-31/ /11-13/ /8-10/06 CBS /28-10/1/ /1-3/07 CBS /13-27/ /18-21/07 CBS /10-12/03 CBS /8-11/07 CBS /10-13/ /23-27/ /14-15/ /7-11/ /12-15/ /18-23/ /12-15/04 CBS /26-28/07 CBS /10-14/ /9-17/ /30-4/1/04 CBS /4-8/ /23-27/ /5-9/ /20-23/04 CBS /9-12/ /23-27/ /28-4/2/ /11-15/

4 5. What do you think is the most important problem facing this country today? 7/06 9/06 10/06 3/07 5/07 7/07 9/07 12/07 1/08 2/08 4/08 Health Care Social Security Budget Deficit Education Medicare/ Medicaid Taxes Economy Immigration Defense Poverty Crime Foreign Policy Jobs Abortion Moral Values Welfare President War Iraq Politicians/ Government Heating oil/gas Crisis Environment Religious Values Terrorism general Other DK/NA

5 6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the economy? Dis- Dis- Approve approve DK/NA Approve approve DK/NA 3/8-12/ /11-15/ /4-5/01 CBS /15-18/04 CBS /23-25/01 CBS /12-16/ /10-12/01 CBS /1-3/ /14-18/ /9-11/04 CBS /25-28/ /14-17/ /7-10/ /28-30/ /5-6/02 CBS /18-21/ /15-17/02 CBS /14-18/ /21-24/ /24-28/ /24-26/02 CBS /13-16/05 CBS /13-14/02 CBS /20-24/05 CBS /18-20/02 CBS /10-15/ /8-9/02 CBS /29-8/2/05 CBS /13-16/ /29-31/05 CBS /22-23/02 CBS /9-13/ /6-7/02 CBS /3-5/05 CBS /2-5/ /30-11/1/05 CBS /22-23/02 CBS /2-6/ /3-6/ /5-8/06 CBS /27-31/ /20-25/ /20-24/ /22-26/06 CBS /4-6/03 CBS /9-12/06 CBS /19-22/ /6-9/06 CBS /5-6/03 CBS /28-30/06 CBS /10-12/ /4-8/ /24-25/03 CBS /10-11/06 CBS /4-5/03 CBS /21-25/ /7-9/ /11-13/06 CBS /20-21/ /17-21/ /22/ /15-19/ /23/ /5-8/ /24/ /27-31/ /20-24/ /8-10/06 CBS /11-13/ /1-3/07 CBS /26-27/03 CBS /18-21/07 CBS /9-12/ /8-11/07 CBS /13-27/ /23-27/ /11-12/03 CBS /7-11/ /26-28/03 CBS /26-27/07 CBS /15-16/03 CBS /9-12/07 CBS /28-10/1/ /20-24/ /10-13/ /18-23/ /14-15/ /9-17/ /12-15/ /8-12/07 CBS /12-15/04 CBS /4-8/ /24-27/04 CBS /14-16/07 CBS /10-14/ /5-9/ /30-4/1/04 CBS /30-2/2/08 CBS /23-27/ /20-24/ /20-23/04 CBS /15-18/08 CBS /23-27/ /28-4/2/

6 7. How would you rate the condition of the national economy these days? Is it very good, fairly good, fairly bad or very bad? Very Fairly Fairly Very Very Fairly Fairly Very Good good bad bad DK/NA good good bad bad DK/NA 1/92A /20-23/ /92B /25-28/ /92A /07-10/ /92B /5-6/02 CBS / /15-17/02 CBS / /21-24/ / /24-26/02 CBS /92A /13-14/02 CBS /92A /18-20/02 CBS /92A /13-16/ /92C /22-23/02 CBS /92D /6-7/02 CBS /92E /2-5/ / /3-6/ / /27-31/ / /20-24/ / /4-6/03 CBS /93A /19-22/ /93B /10-12/ / /20-24/ / /11-13/ / /9-12/ / /28-10/1/ / /20-21/03 CBS / /10-13/ / /14-15/ / /12-15/ / /10-14/ / /23-27/ / /20-23/04 CBS / /23-27/ / /15-18/04 CBS / /12-16/ / /1-3/ / /14-17/ / /18-21/ / /24-28/ / /10-15/ / /29-8/2/05 CBS / /9-13/ / /30-11/1/05 CBS / /2-6/ /96B /5-8/06 CBS / /20-25/ / /22-26/06 CBS / /9-12/06 CBS / /6-9/06 CBS /96C /28-30/06 CBS / /4-8/ / /21-25/ / /17-21/ / /15-19/ / /5-8/ / /27-31/ / /8-10/06 CBS / /1-3/07 CBS / /18-21/07 CBS /11-13/ /8-11/07 CBS /19-20/ /23-27/ /98A /7-11/ /98B /9-12/07 CBS / /18-23/ / /9-17/ /00D* /8-12/07 CBS / /4-8/ / /12-16/07 CBS /00 CBS /5-9/ /01 CBS /9-12/ /8-12/ /30-2/2/08 CBS /01B CBS /20-24/ /01 CBS /15-18/08 C BS /14-18/ /28-4/2/

7 8. Do you think the economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? Better Worse Same DK/NA Better Worse Same DK/NA 9/ / /76A /96C /76B / / / / / / / / / / /97 CBS / / / / / /98A / /98B / / / /01 CBS /80A /01 CBS / /8-12/ / /01 CBS / /01 CBS / /14-18/ /86* /20-23/ /87A /25-28/ /87BNYT /07-10/ / /5-6/02 CBS / /21-24/ / /13-14/02 CBS /88* /13-16/ /88A* /3-5/ /88A* /27-31/ /88B /20-24/ / /19-22/ / /11-13/ / /9-12/ /90B /13-27/ /91 CBS /26-28/03 CBS /91 CBS /28-10/1/ / /10-13/ / /14-15/ / /12-15/ /91D /12-15/04 CBS / /10-14/ /92A /23-27/ /92B /20-23/04 CBS /92B /23-27/ / /12-16/ / /12-16/ / /14-17/ /92A /18-21/ /92A /14-18/ /92A /24-28/ /92C /10-15/ /92D /29-8/2/05 CBS /92E /9-13/ / /30-11/1/05 CBS / /2-6/ / /5-8/06 CBS / /20-25/ /93A /9-12/ /93 CBS /4-8/ / /21-25/ / /15-19/ / /5-8/ / /27-31/ / /8-11/07 CBS / /23-27/ / /9-12/07 CBS /95 CBS /18-23/ / /9-17/ / /4-8/ / /12-16/07 CBS / /5-9/ / /9-12/ / /30-2/2/08 CBS / /20-24/ / /15-18/08 CBS / /28-4/2/ /96 NYT /

8 9. Right now, do you think the United States is in an economic recession, or not? Yes No DK/NA 2/10-12/01 CBS /4-5/01 CBS /23-25/01 CBS /28-31/01 CBS /12/01 CBS /20-23/ /15-17/02 CBS /6-7/02 CBS /30-2/2/08 CBS /28-4/2/ What do you think is the most important ECONOMIC problem facing the country today? 3/28-4/2/08 Fuel costs 20 Jobs and Unemployment 11 Home Mortgage Crisis 8 Housing 6 Personal finances / making ends meet 5 Defense spending /spending on war 5 Jobs going overseas/ outsourcing of jobs 4 Health care / health insurance 3 Value of the dollar 3 Budget / National Debt 3 Foreign Trade / balance of trade 2 Too much government 2 Foreign Trade / balance of trade 2 Taxes 2 Interest rates 1 Immigration 1 Inflation 1 Education 1 Poverty / Homelessness 1 Welfare 1 Income gap 1 Food prices 1 Social Security - Stock Market problems/return on investments - Recession - Job security - Everything - Other 4 Don't know/no answer 12 8

9 11. When it comes to the availability of good jobs for American workers, some say that America's best years are behind us. Others say that the best times are yet to come. What do you think? Best years behind Best yet to come DK/NA 3/26-29/ /3-6/95 NYT /2-4/ /10-13/ /30-11/2/ /8-11/96 NYT /28-4/2/ What is your biggest personal economic concern right now - paying everyday bills, OR paying for healthcare OR saving for retirement OR something else? IF ELSE, ASK: What is that? 3/28-4/2/08 Everyday bills 29 Healthcare 24 Retirement 25 All three 3 Something else: College tuition/children s education 4 Gas/transportation 2 Housing 1 Other 6 Nothing 3 Don't know/no answer How would you rate the financial situation in your household these days? Is it very good, fairly good, fairly bad or very bad? Very good Fairly good Fairly bad Very bad DK/NA 11/10-16/ /8-10/ /21-25/ /20-24/ /20-24/ /28-4/2/ In the past couple of years, would you say you have been getting ahead financially, just staying even financially, or falling behind financially? Getting ahead Staying even Falling behind DK/NA 12/3-6/95 NYT /22-24/ /8-11/96 NYT /24-25/ /8-10/06 CBS /9-12/07 CBS /28-4/2/ In general, how concerned are you about not having enough money to pay for your current health care costs very concerned, somewhat concerned, or not at all concerned? Very concerned Somewhat concerned Not at all concerned DK/NA 2/23-27/ /28-4/2/

10 16. How concerned are you about the health care costs you and your family might face in the coming years very concerned, somewhat concerned, or not at all concerned? Very concerned Somewhat concerned Not at all concerned DK/NA 2/23-27/ /28-4/2/ How concerned are you about being able to pay your housing costs very concerned, somewhat concerned, or not at all concerned? Very concerned Somewhat concerned Not at all concerned DK/NA 3/28-4/2/ Do you have any children? IF YES, ASK: Are any of your children under 18? Yes, under 18 Yes, over 18 No DK/NA 3/28-4/2/ How concerned are you about being able to afford college tuition very concerned, somewhat concerned, or not at all concerned? BASED ON PARENTS Very concerned Somewhat concerned Not at all concerned 3/28-4/2/ How concerned are you about not having enough money for retirement very concerned, somewhat concerned, or not at all concerned? Very concerned Somewhat concerned Not at all concerned DK/NA 2/23-27/ /28-4/2/ How concerned are you that in the next 12 months you or someone else in your household might be out of work or looking for a job very concerned, somewhat concerned, or not concerned at all? Very Somewhat Not at all DK/NA 10/3-5/ /23-27/ /23-27/ /12-16/ /14-17/ /10-15/ /2-6/ /20-25/ /20-24/ /28-4/2/ In recent years, have you made cutbacks in your day-to-day spending? IF YES, ASK: Would you call those cutbacks severe, or not so severe? Yes, severe Yes, b ut not severe No DK/ NA 3/28-4/2/

11 23. If you had to choose, would you rather have a smaller government providing fewer services, or a bigger government providing more services? Smaller Bigger Depends(vol.) DK/NA 10/15-18/ /22-25/ /14-18/99 CBS /29-31/00* CBS /1-4/00* /15-17/01 CBS /25-28/ /21-24/ /13-27/ /10-13/03 CBS /28-4/2/ Do you think race relations in the United States are generally good or generally bad? Generally good Generally bad DK/NA 5/22-24/ /6-8/ /28-31/ /27-28/96 CBS /4-5/96 CBS /30-2/1/97 CBS /10-11/97 CBS / CBS /21-27/00 NYT /28-4/2/ Do you think race relations in your community are generally good or generally bad? Generally good Generally bad DK/NA 5/6-8/ /4-5/ /10-11/97 CBS / CBS /21-27/00 NYT /28-4/2/ Some people are registered to vote and others are not. Are you registered to vote in the precinct or election district where you now live, or aren't you? Yes No DK/NA 3/28-4/2/

12 28. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2008 presidential campaign a lot, some, not much, or no attention so far? A lot Some Not much None at all DK/NA 2/8-11/07 CBS /7-11/ /26-27/07 CBS /9-12/07 CBS /18-23/ /26-28/07* CBS /9-17/ /8-12/07 CBS /4-9/ /12-16/07 CBS /5-9/ /9-12/ /30-2/2/08* CBS /20-24/08* /15-18/08* CBS /28-4/2/08* Have you already voted in or do you plan to vote in a Democratic primary or caucus this year, OR in a Republican Primary or caucus, or are you not voting in a primary or caucus at all this year? Democratic Republican primary primar y Not voting Never vote(vol.) DK/NA 3/28-4/2/08* Who would you like to see the Democratic party nominate as its presidential candidate in 2008 Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama? CANDIDATE NAMES ROTATED 12/5-9/07 1/9-12/08 1/30-2/2/08 2/20-24/08 3/15-18/08 3/28-4/2/08 DPV* 1 DPV* 2 CBS DPV* DPV* CBS DPV* DPV* Clinton Obama Edwards Biden 2 Kucinich 2 4 Richardson 2 - Dodd 1 Gravel - Gore (vol.) - Someone else/ None (vol) Undecided DK/NA Question included John Edwards, Bill Richardson, Dennis Kucinich, Joe Biden, Christopher Dodd and Mike Gravel. 2 Question included John Edwards, Dennis Kucinich and Mike Gravel. Bill Richardson was deleted from question on 1/10. 3/15-18/08 3/28-4/2/08* CBS* Clinton Obama Someone else/none 3 10 Undecided 6 9 DK/NA

13 30. Would you describe your support for CANDIDATE NAME as strongly favoring CANDIDATE NAME, or do you like him/her but with reservations, or do you support him/her because you dislike the other candidates? BASED ON THOSE WITH PREFERENCE Strongly Like with Dislike favor reservations others DK/NA 12/5-9/07 DPV* /9-12/08 DPV* /20-24/08 DPV* /28-4/2/08 DPV* Clinton supporters Obama supporters Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you expect to finally win the Democratic nomination for President in Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama? Clinton Obama Edwards Someone else DK/NA 4/9-12/07 CBS /9-12/08 DPV* /30-2/2/08 CBS DPV* /20-24/08 DPV* /15-18/08 CBS* /28-4/2/08* /28-4/2/08 DPV* Question included John Edwards and or someone else? 13

14 32. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Hillary Clinton yet to have an opinion? QUESTIONS WERE ROTATED. Not DK Not DK Fav Fav Und engh Ref Fav Fav Und engh Ref 3/92* /98B /92* / /92A* / /92D* /98 CBS /92A* /98 CBS / / / / / /99 CBS /93A 2 CBS /99 CBS /93B 2 CBS / /93B / /93 2 CBS /13-17/ / /12-13/03 CBS /93 2 CBS /20-24/05 CBS / /20-25/ /94 CBS /4-8/ / /21-25/ /94 CBS /15-18/ / /1-3/07 CBS / /18-21/07* CBS /94 CBS /7-11/ / /26-27/07 CBS / /9-12/07* CBS /94A /18-23/07* /95 CBS /26-28/07* CBS / /9-17/ / /9-17/07* /96* /8-12/07* CBS /96* /4-9/07* /96* DPV* /96* NYT /12-16/07 CBS DPV* /96* /5-9/07 DPV* /96* /9-12/08 DPV* /96C* /30-2/2/08 CBS DPV* /96D* CBS /20-24/08* /96* DPV* / /15-18/08* CBS / /28-4/2/08* /97 CBS DPV* / QUESTION READ: HILLARY CLINTON, BILLCLINTON'S WIFE,..." NOTE: PRIOR TO JULY 2007, QUESTION INCLUDED RODHAM 14

15 33. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Barack Obama yet to have an opinion? QUESTIONS WERE ROTATED. Not Haven t Favorable Fav Undecided heard enough Refused 1/1-3/07 CBS /18-21/07* CBS /7-11/ /26-27/07 CBS /9-12/07* CBS /18-23/07* /26-28/07* CBS /9-17/ /9-17/07* /8-12/07* CBS /4-9/07* DPV* /12-16/07 CBS DPV* /5-9/07 DPV* /9-12/08 DPV* /30-2/2/08 CBS DPV* /20-24/08* DPV* /15-18/08* CBS /28-4/2/08* DPV*

16 34. Is your opinion of John McCain favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven t you heard enough about John McCain yet to have an opinion? QUESTIONS WERE ROTATED. Not Don t know Favorable Favorable Undecided enough Refused 4/ /99* CBS /99*CBS /99* /99*CBS /00* /00* CBS /00* /14-18/ /20-23/03 CBS /20-25/ /4-8/ /21-25/ /15-18/ /1-3/07 CBS /8-11/07* CBS /7-11/ /9-12/07* CBS /18-23/07* /26-28/07* CBS /9-17/ /9-17/07* /8-12/07* CBS /4-9/07* RPV* /12-16/07 CBS RPV* /5-9/07 RPV* /9-12/08 RPV* /30-2/2/08 CBS RPV* /20-24/08* RPV* /15-18/08* CBS /28-4/2/08* RPV* If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and John McCain, the Republican, would you vote for Barack Obama or John McCain? CANDIDATE NAMES WERE ROTATED; QUESTIONS 35 & 36 WERE ROTATED Obama McCain Other (Vol.) Won't vote (Vol.) Depends (Vol.) DK 2/20-24/08* /28-4/2/08* If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and John McCain, the Republican, would you vote for Hillary Clinton or John McCain? CANDIDATE NAMES WERE ROTATED; QUESTIONS 35 & 36 WERE ROTATED Clinton McCain Other (Vol.) Won't vote (Vol.) Depends (Vol.) DK 2/20-24/08* /28-4/2/08*

17 37. Compared to past presidential campaigns, do you think the Democratic nomination campaign this year has been more positive, more negative, or about the same as past campaigns? More positive More negative About the same DK/NA 3/28-4/2/08* Who do you think has the best chance of beating John McCain in the general election in November Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama? Clinton Obama Both equally (vol.) Neither (vol.) DK/NA 2/20-24/08 DPV* /28-4/2/08* DPV* Regardless of how you intend to vote for president in 2008, how confident are you in Hillary Clinton's ability to make the right decisions about health care -- are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident? Very Somewhat Not too Not at all Confident confident confident confident DK/NA 3/28-4/2/08* DPV* Regardless of how you intend to vote, do you think Hillary Clinton would be the kind of president who would be able to unite the country or wouldn't she be that kind of president? Would unite country Not that kind of president DK/NA 1/9-12/08 DPV* /20-24/08* DPV* /28-4/2/08* DPV* How much do you think Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of people like yourself a lot, some, not much, or not at all? A lot Some Not much Not at all DK/NA 8/8-12/07* CBS /9-12/08 DPV* /30-2/2/08 CBS DPV* /20-24/08 DPV* /28-4/2/08* DPV* How confident are you in Hillary Clinton's ability to make the right decisions about the economy are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident or not at all confident? Very Somewhat Not too Not at all Confident confident confident confident DK/NA 2/20-24/08* DPV* /28-4/2/08* DPV*

18 43. If Hillary Clinton is elected President, do you think the policies of her Administration will favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or will they treat all groups the same? Rich Middle Poor Treat all the same DK/NA 3/28-4/2/08* DPV* Do you think Hillary Clinton shares the moral values most Americans try to live by, or doesn't she? Yes No DK/NA 7/9-17/ /28-4/2/08* DPV* If Hillary Clinton is elected President, do you think race relations in the United States will get better, get worse, or stay about the same? Better Worse Same DK/NA 3/28-4/2/08* DPV* Regardless of how you intend to vote for president in 2008, how confident are you in Barack Obama 's ability to make the right decisions about health care are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident? Very Somewhat Not too Not at all Confident confident confident confident DK/NA 3/28-4/2/08* DPV* Regardless of how you intend to vote, do you think Barack Obama would be the kind of president who would be able to unite the country or wouldn't he be that kind of president? Would unite country Not that kind of president DK/NA 1/9-12/08 DPV* /20-24/08* DPV* /28-4/2/08* DPV* How much do you think Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like yourself a lot, some, not much, or not at all? A lot Some Not much Not at all DK/NA 8/8-12/07* CBS /9-12/08 DPV* /30-2/2/08 CBS DPV* /20-24/08 DPV* /28-4/2/08* DPV*

19 49. How confident are you in Barack Obama's ability to make the right decisions about the economy are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident? Very Somewhat Not too Not at all Confident confident confident confident DK/NA 2/20-24/08* DPV* /28-4/2/08* DPV* If Barack Obama is elected President, do you think the policies of his Administration will favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or will they treat all groups the same? R ich Middle Poor Treat all the same DK/ NA 3/28-4/2/08* DPV* Do you think Barack Obama shares the moral values most Americans try to live by, or doesn't he? Yes No DK/NA 7/9-17/ /28-4/2/08* DPV* If Barack Obama is elected President, do you think race relations in the United States will get better, get worse, or stay about the same? Better Worse Same DK/NA 3/28-4/2/08* ` 3 DPV* Regardless of how you intend to vote for president in 2008, how confident are you in John McCain's ability to make the right decisions about health care are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident? Very Somewhat Not too Not at all Confident confident confident confident DK/NA 3/28-4/2/08* RPV* Regardless of how you intend to vote, do you think John McCain would be the kind of president who would be able to unite the country or wouldn't he be that kind of president? Would unite country Not that kind of president DK/NA 2/20-24/08* RPV* /28-4/2/ RPV* How much do you think John McCain cares about the needs and problems of people like yourself -- a lot, some, not much, or not at all? A lot Some Not much Not at all DK/NA 3/28-4/2/08* RPV*

20 56. How confident are you in John McCain's ability to make the right decisions about the economy -- are you very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident? Very Somewhat Not too Not at all Confident confident confident confident DK/NA 2/20-24/08* RPV* /28-4/2/08* RPV* If John McCain is elected President, do you think the policies of his Administration will favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or will they treat all groups the same? Rich Middle Poor Treat all the same DK/NA 3/28-4/2/08* RPV* Do you think John McCain shares the moral values most Americans try to live by, or doesn't he? Yes No DK/NA 3/28-4/2/08* RPV* If John McCain is elected President, do you think race relations in the United States will get better, get worse, or stay about the same? Better Worse Same DK/NA 3/28-4/2/08* RPV* Has Barack Obama's campaign for the Democratic presidential nomination brought blacks and whites closer together, or has it pushed them further apart or hasn't it had much effect one way or the other? QUESTIONS 60 & 61 WERE ROTATED Closer together Further apart No effect DK/NA 3/28-4/2/08* DPV* Has Hillary Clinton's campaign for the Democratic presidential nomination brought blacks and whites closer together, or has it pushed them further apart or hasn't it had much effect one way or the other? QUESTIONS 60 & 61 WERE ROTATED Closer together Further apart No effect DK/NA 3/28-4/2/08* DPV*

21 62. How much have you heard or read about the controversy over statements made by Dr. Jeremiah Wright, who has been Barack Obama's minister a lot, some, not much or nothing at all? QUESTIONS 62 & 63 WERE ROTATED WITH 64 & 65 A lot Some Not much None at all DK/NA 3/16-17/08* CBS /28-4/2/08* DPV* IF HEARD A LOT, SOME or NOT MUCH: Have Rev. Wright's statements affected your opinion of Barak Obama? IF YES, ASK: Do they make you feel more favorable or less favorable towards Barack Obama? QUESTIONS 62 & 63 WERE ROTATED WITH 64 & 65 More favorable Less favorable No difference DK/NA 3/16-17/08* CBS /28-4/2/08* DPV* How much have you heard or read about Barack Obama s speech on race relations a lot, some, or not much or nothing at all? QUESTIONS 62 & 63 WERE ROTATED WITH 64 & 65 A lot Some Not much None at all DK/NA 3/28-4/2/08* DPV* IF HEARD A LOT, SOME or NOT MUCH: Has Barack Obama s speech affected your opinion of him? IF YES, ASK: Do you feel more favorable or less favorable towards Barack Obama? QUESTIONS 62 & 63 WERE ROTATED WITH 64 & 65 More favorable Less favorable No difference DK/NA 3/28-4/2/08* DPV* Do you think the future of the next generation of Americans will be better, worse, or about the same as life today? Better Worse Same DK/NA 6/26-29/ /4-6/ /5-7/ /22-25/ /29-11/1/ /9-12/ /6-10/00 CBS /21-27/ /27-31/ /15-19/ /26-28/07 CBS /28-4/2/ Do you think the future for the next generation of Americans will be better, worse, or about the same as life today? 21

22 69. Compared to your parents when they were the age you are now, do you think your own standard of living now is much better, somewhat better, about the same, somewhat worse, or much worse than theirs was? Much better Somewhat better Same Somewhat worse Much worse DK/NA 3/9-14/ /21-25/ /28-4/2/ IF PARENT: When your children are the age you are now, do you think their standard of living will be much better, somewhat better, about the same, somewhat worse, or much worse than yours is now? Much better Somewhat better Same Somewhat worse Much worse DK/NA 3/9-14/ /21-25/ /28-4/2/ From what you know, how much do you think the cost of the war in Iraq has contributed to the U.S. economic problems a lot, some, not much or not at all? A lot Some Not much Not at all DK/NA 3/28-4/2/ Currently the federal government taxes the estates that is, the property and money people leave when they die. In a few years, that tax will only apply to estates worth more than $3.5 million, and by 2010 there would be no tax on any estate, no matter what it is worth. Which comes closer to your view 1. There should be no tax on any estate or 2. The estate tax should be eliminated for most people, but kept in place for the very largest estates? No tax on Tax only on any estate large estates Tax all estates(vol.) DK/NA 11/20-24/ /28-4/2/ Some members of Congress have proposed increasing federal income taxes for households making more than $250,000 a year. Under this plan, Congress would use the money raised by these new taxes to pay for new government programs and for tax cuts for households making less money. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea? Good idea Bad idea DK/NA 3/28-4/2/ On balance, do you think trade with other countries both buying and selling products is good for the U.S. economy, or is it bad for the U.S. economy, or does it have no effect? Good Bad No effect DK/NA 11/11-14/ /23-27/96 CBS /20-25/ /23-27/ /28-4/2/

23 75. Which of the following statements comes closer to your opinion trade restrictions are necessary to protect domestic industries, or free trade must be allowed, even if domestic industries are hurt by foreign competition? Restrictions Allow necessary free trade DK/NA 5/14-18/ /26-29/ /5-8/ /3-6/ /22-24/ /3-5/96* /23-27/ /13-16/ /20-25/ /28-4/2/ Do you think of investment in the stock market as generally a safe investment or generally a risky investment? Generally safe Generally risky Neither(vol.) DK/NA 5/19-21/98 CBS /10-13/ /28-31/01 CBS /22-23/02 CBS /10-15/ /8-10/ /28-4/2/

24 79. How much have you heard or read about the home mortgage crisis that is, problems concerning mortgages repayments and the banking and home-loan industry? Have you heard a lot, some, not much or nothing at all? A lot Some Not much Not at all DK/NA 3/28-4/2/ Do you think the federal government should provide financial help to homeowners who are having trouble repaying their mortgages because their rates went up or shouldn't the federal government do this? Should Should not DK/NA 3/28-4/2/ IF SHOULD IN Q. 80, ASK: What if assisting these homeowners could cost the government and taxpayers at least $30 billion? Then, do you think the federal government should help homeowners who took out mortgage loans that they are now having trouble paying or shouldn't the federal government do this? Should Should not DK/NA 3/28-4/2/ IF SHOULD NOT, ASK: What if assisting these homeowners would prevent them from losing their homes, then, do you think the federal government should help homeowners who took out mortgage loans that they are now having trouble paying or shouldn't the federal government do this? Should Should not DK/NA 3/28-4/2/ Do you think the federal government should provide financial help to banks and mortgage companies that made loans that people can no longer afford to pay back or shouldn't the federal government do this? Should Should not DK/NA 3/28-4/2/ Some people say having the federal government help out banks and mortgage companies could limit any possible recession. Other people say having the federal government help out banks and mortgage companies would encourage the companies to rely too much on government assistance. What do you think? Do you think the federal government should help out banks and mortgage companies or shouldn't the federal government do this? Should Should not DK/NA 3/28-4/2/ Who do you think is mostly to blame for the home mortgage crisis: 1. The borrowers who should not have taken out loans they might have trouble paying if interest rates went up, OR 2. The mortgage lenders who approved mortgages to people who might not be able to afford higher interest rates, OR 3. The regulators who were supposed to supervise the mortgage lending business and protect consumers? Borrowers Lenders Regulators Other All three Comb DK/NA 3/28-4/2/

25 86. Are you currently employed, or are you temporarily out of work, or are you not in the market for work at all? Currently Temporarily Not in the employed out of work market for work Retired DK/NA 3/28-4/2/ In the past couple of years, would you say you have felt MORE secure and confident that you can continue in your job as long as you want, or LESS secure and confident, or has there been no change? BASED ON EMPLOYED RESPONDENTS More Less No change DK/NA 12/3-6/95 NYT /8-11/96 NYT /17-19/99 NYT /28-4/2/ Do you think what you are currently paying for housing is more than you can afford, about as much as you can afford, or could you afford more if you wanted? More As much Could afford more DK/NA 4/1-3/ /9-14/05 NYT /28-4/2/ In your community, are wages generally keeping up with the cost of living, or not? Yes No DK/NA 3/28-4/2/

26 90. Looking back, do you think the United States did the right thing in taking military action against Iraq, or should the U.S. have stayed out? Right thing Stay out DK/NA 12/10-13/ /14-16/ /12-15/04 CBS /24-27/04 CBS /10-14/ /23-27/ /20-23/04 CBS /23-27/ /11-15/ /15-18/04 CBS /12-16/ /1-3/ /9-11/04 CBS /14-17/ /28-30/ /18-21/ /14-18/ /24-28/ /13-16/05 CBS /20-24/05 CBS /10-15/ /13-14/05 CBS /29-8/2/05 CBS /29-31/05 CBS /9-13/ /3-5/05 CBS /30-11/1/05 CBS /2-6/ /5-8/06 CBS /20-25/ /22-26/06 CBS /8-12/06 CBS /6-9/06 CBS /28-30/06 CBS /4-8/ /21-25/ /11-13/06 CBS /17-21/ /15-19/ /5-8/ /27-31/ /12-13/06 CBS /8-10/06 CBS /1-3/07 CBS /18-21/07 CBS /23-27/ /7-11/ /9-12/07 CBS /18-23/ /20-22/ /8-12/07 CBS /4-8/ /14-16/07 CBS /12-16/07 CBS /5-9/ /9-12/ /20-24/ /15-18/CBS /28-4/2/

27 Did you vote in the 2004 presidential election, did something prevent you from voting, or did you choose not to vote? IF VOTED, ASK: Did you vote for John Kerry, George W. Bush, or Ralph Nader? Voted, won t Kerry Bush Nader say whom(vol.) Didn't vote DK/NA 3/28-4/2/ Do you personally have any close friends or relatives who have filed for bankruptcy or have had a foreclosure during the past year, or not? Yes No DK/NA 3/28-4/2/ Do you personally, or jointly with a spouse, have any money invested in the stock market right now either in an individual stock or in a mutual fund, or don't you? Yes No DK/NA 3/28-4/2/ Do you currently rent your home, or are you buying it with a mortgage, or is it entirely paid for? Rent Mortgage Paid for Live with parents(vol.)dk/na 11/13-15/ /5-14/ /10-15/ /8-10/06 CBS /20-24/ /28-4/2/ Some people think of themselves as evangelical or born again Christians. think of yourself in either of these ways? Do you ever Yes No DK/NA 3/28-4/2/ What is your religious preference today? Protestant Catholic Jewish Other None DK/NA 3/28-4/2/ Are you now married, widowed, divorced, separated, or have you never been married? Never Married Widowed Divorced Separated married DK/NA 3/28-4/2/

28 Generally speaking, do you usually consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what? Rep Dem Ind DK/NA Rep Dem Ind DK/NA 1/92A /98B /92B / /92A / /92B / / / / / /92A / / / / /00B /92B /00A /92A /00D /92D / /92E / /92A /00L /92A /8-12/ /92C /14-18/ /92D /25-28/ /92E /7-10/ / /21-24/ / /28-5/1/ / /13-16/ / /2-5/ /93A /3-5/ /93A /27-31/ /93B /20-24/ / /19-22/ / /10-12/ / /7-9/ / /11-13/ / /13-27/ / /28-10/1/ / /10-13/ / /14-15/ / /12-15/ / /10-14/ / /23-27/ / /23-27/ / /11-15/ / /12-16/ / /1-3/ / /14-17/ / /28-30/ / /18-21/ / /14-18/ / /24-28/ / /10-15/ /96 NYT /9-13/ / /2-6/ / /20-25/ /96C /4-8/ / /21-25/ / /17-21/ /96C /15-19/ / /5-8/ / /27-31/ / /24-27/ / /7-11/ / /20-24/ /98B /18-23/ / /9-17/ / /20-22/ / /4-8/ / /5-9/ / /9-12/ /98B /20-24/ /98C /28-4/2/ /98A

29 How would you describe your views on most political matters? Generally, do you think of yourself as liberal, moderate, or conservative? Lib Mod Con DK/NA Lib Mod Con DK/NA 1/92A / /92B /98C /92A /98B /92B / / / / / /92A / / / / / /92B / /92A /00B /92D /00A /92A /00D /92C /7-10/ /92D /21-24/ /92E /28-5/1/ / /13-16/ / /2-5/ / /3-5/ / /27-31/ /93A /20-24/ /93A /19-22/ /93B /10-12/ / /7-9/ / /11-13/ / /13-27/ / /28-10/1/ / /10-13/ / /14-15/ / /12-15/ / /10-14/ / /23-27/ / /23-27/ / /11-15/ / /12-16/ / /1-3/ / /14-17/ / /28-30/ / /18-21/ / /14-18/ / /24-28/ / /10-15/ / /9-13/ / /2-6/ / /20-25/ / /4-8/ / /21-25/ / /17-21/ /96C /15-19/ / /5-8/ / /27-31/ /96C /24-27/ / /7-11/ / /20-24/ / /18-23/ / /9-17/ / /20-22/ / /4-8/ / /5-9/ / /9-12/ / /20-24/ / /28-4/2/ /