THE ST. LOUIS PREDICTIVE MAINTENANCE PROGRAM
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1 THE ST. LOUIS PREDICTIVE MAINTENANCE PROGRAM Program Results & Application in Your Organization Ray Friem, Chief Operating Officer Metro Transit
2 STRATEGIC FLEET MAINTENANCE Strategic Vehicle Procurement Predictive Maintenance Program Lower Maintenance Costs & Greater Reliability
3 PRE-PROGRAM BUS MAINTENANCE COST PER MILE $2.00 $1.80 $1.60 $1.40 $1.20 $1.00 $0.80 $0.60 $0.40 $0.20 $ Original Cost/ Mile
4 HISTORICAL BUS REPLACEMENT STRATEGY Number of Buses Purchased Based On Funding (earmarks) Number of Buses
5 PROCUREMENT STRATEGY DRIVES OPERATING COST U n i t s P u r c h a s e d $35,000, $30,000, $25,000, $20,000, $15,000, $10,000, $5,000, $0.00 A n n u a l O p e r a t i n g C o s t Fiscal Year Units Purchased Annual Maintenance Cost
6 TRADITIONAL MAINTENANCE PROGRAM HISTORICALLY 1500 MILE PACE 1500, 3000, 4500, 6000, 7500, 9000, 10,500, 12,000 repeat Driven by the need to adjust brakes every 1500 miles 3000 MILE PACE 3000, 6000, 9000, 12,000 repeat Changed with the advent of automatic slack adjusters but synced with the need to change Oil at 6000, ATF at 12,000 and Diff lube at 24,0000 miles
7 TRADITIONAL MAINTENANCE PROGRAM Components changed as needed Bus to main rebuild center for major engine repair or replacement and body repairs (usually mid-life) Dwell time on major repairs of 100 days or more Low expectations
8 IN 2002 IT WAS CLEAR THAT WE ABSOLUTELY HAD TO BREAK THIS CYCLE IF THE TRANSIT SYSTEM WOULD BE SUCCESSFUL System had just completed the purchase of 260 new buses in the past two years for a bus fleet that was 415 buses (now 380 plus contingency). That meant that we had about 5 years before major work and cost for midlife activities would commence. Further, our work load was immediately lessened by the new buses, in other words, we had time, but time works both for you and against you. It was imperative that we do everything we could to break the cycle.
9 REDESIGNED BUS & VAN FLEET MAINTENANCE IN 2002 CMO MANDATE Design a Program that could: Control operating cost Manage life cycle cost Extend the life of a bus beyond 12 years / 500,000 miles. Required to stagger future procurement efforts. If necessary retire some buses early on mileage only to further stretch procurement cycle.
10 PROGRAM GOALS Budgeting should be consistent and predictable Plan our work so that both operating and capital costs are consistent from year to year This is a go-long strategy that may require more than one capital purchase cycle to complete
11 PREDICTIVE MAINTENANCE Basic Concept: Replace or overhaul parts before they fail in service Ensure your preventative maintenance is part of your fleet management strategy Rigidly enforce configuration management No sub-fleets within sub-fleets Measure, adjust, and measure again Perform replacement at regular intervals
12 MANAGE AND PROGRAM LIFE CYCLE AND COST Determine expected life for asset Bus 15 years and 800,000 miles Create a maintenance program in order to attain the expected life Condition based maintenance point every 50,000 miles PM inspection schedule at 10,000 miles Oil change only (Jiffy Lube) at 6,000 miles
13 PREDICTIVE MAINTENANCE PLAN Minor actions every 50,000 miles 50k, 150k, 250k, 350k, 450k, 550k Major actions every 100,000 miles 100k, 200k, 300k, 400k, 500k, 600k
14 PREDICTIVE MAINTENANCE PLAN
15 BASE VS. PROGRAM BUS MAINTENANCE COST PER MILE $2.00 $1.80 $1.60 $1.40 $1.20 $1.00 $0.80 $0.60 $0.40 $0.20 $ Traditional Cost Per Mile Predictive Cost Per Mile
16 HOW EXACTLY DOES OUR PREDICTIVE MAINTENANCE PROGRAM SAVE US MONEY? We looked at when historical failures occurred and found: We would bring a bus in four times to replace four identical components as they failed individually. (Changing them all at once saved three trips into the shop). We were running components into the ground, for example transmissions: Complete Overhaul of failed unit costs between $10K and $16K depending on model. Providing overhaul of seals and bearings before failure costs $4K. By determining which components historically failed and scheduling them for replacement in the 50K mile increment before failure we could predict when we needed the part (Inventory reduction / Cost of $$$)
17 HOW EXACTLY DOES OUR PREDICTIVE MAINTENANCE PROGRAM SAVE US MONEY? Every failure that occurred happened with people on the bus! Reduce in route failures, save on in route replacements (less angry customers = more customer revenue). Reduction in Accidents: Zero claims of Brake Failure in Five Years Enhanced Schedule Performance Helped Improve adherence to bus schedules from 75% to 93%. Needed the Capital Component (Rational Replacement Strategy) to Assure Success..
18 BUS FLEET REPLACEMENT STRATEGIES Units Purchased $40,000, $35,000,000 Purchase As Funded Strategy Transitional Purchase Strategy Planned Purchase 140 Strategy $30,000, $25,000, $20,000, $15,000, $10,000, $5,000, $0 Annual Maintenance Cost Number of Buses Cost 0
19 PRE-PROGRAM EXPENSE ($) VS. VEHICLE USAGE (MILES) $120, $100, $80, $60, $40, $20, $ Old Annual Cost Old Annual Mileage 0
20 PREDICTIVE PLAN EXPENSE ($) VS. USAGE (MILES) 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 $70,000 $60,000 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $ Predictive Annual Mileage Predictive Annual Cost
21 BUS LIFE-CYCLE UTILIZATION Old Cumulative Miles Predictive Cumulative Mileage
22 DIRECT PROGRAM BENEFITS: GREATER VEHICLE RELIABILITY AVG AGE MDBF
23 DIRECT PROGRAM BENEFITS: REDUCTION IN STOREROOM INVENTORY REQUIREMENT $7,000,000 $6,000,000 $5,000,000 $4,000,000 $3,000,000 $2,000,000 $1,000,000 $ Storeroom Value Complaints
24 INFLUENCES OTHER SYSTEM OUTCOMES Accident Rates Workers Comp Claims FY02FY03FY04FY05FY06FY07FY08FY09FY10FY11FY12FY13FY14 Year Measured FY02FY03FY04FY05FY06FY07FY08FY09FY10FY11FY12FY13FY14 Call-A-Ride (Preventable) MetroBus (Total) Call-A-Ride MetroBus MetroLink On Time Performance Complaint / 100,000 Boardings % % % % % % % FY02FY03FY04FY05FY06FY07FY08FY09FY10FY11FY12FY13FY14 0 FY02FY03FY04FY05FY06FY07FY08FY09FY10FY11FY12FY13FY14 Call-A-Ride MetroLink MetroBus Call-A-Ride MetroLink Metrobus
25 INDICATORS OF INEFFICIENT MAINTENANCE PRACTICES Campaigns or Systems Approach The practice of moving through fleet to repair or install a single component Expensive and a configuration nightmare! Competitive or Cooperative Competition between locations fosters secrecy Objective or Subjective Do personnel appraisal programs include objective measures both on individual (cost center), modal (division) and system levels?
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