weekly football tip sheet

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1 weekly football tip sheet ISSUE 15 nfl week 14 college football week 15

2 Football Weekly INDEX Rotation Schedule... 2 NFL VI Picks... 3 NFL Head-to-Head Series Breakdown... 4 NFL Top Weekly Trends... 5 NFL Strength Ratings... 6 NFL Matchups... 7 College Football VI Picks College Football Strength Ratings College Football Head-to-Head Series Breakdown Conference Championship Game Historical Angles College Football Matchups College Football Top Weekly Trends Football Line Moves WELCOME TO THE VEGASINSIDER FOOTBALL WEEKLY This week s Vegas Insider Football Weekly, issue #15, would have to be considered our Conference Championship issue, as we have made each of the conference title tilts a feature game accompanied by selections. We ve also dedicated this week s handicapping feature article to analyzing each of the big games. It is an eclectic mix of contests, with one combatant favored by as much as 20 points, three others favored by doubledigits, only two games expected to be as close as a field goal margin. Still, this final full Saturday of the season has been historically known for upsets, so who knows what might happen. Be sure to check the College Football Selections page to see what our staff predicts. The NFL also continues to roll along, and we thank you for the positive comments we received about last week s feature article on post-thanksgiving Day performance in the league. Several of the distinctive trends we uncovered already paid dividends, as Dallas again struggled, while teams like Minnesota, Green Bay, and Denver again flexed their late-season muscles. Be sure to hang on to and refer back to that article for the remaining four weeks of the regular season, as the analysis introduced in that piece was meant to last for the entire remainder of the season. Just keeping everyone up to speed on the schedule for the rest of the season for the Vegas Insider Football Weekly, we will continue to cover the entire rest of the regular season in the NFL and then move on to four special playoff issues come January. For college, this week we cover the conference championship games and other week 15 action. Next week we will be covering just the Army-Navy battle, and then after that, we will cover the bowl games on a week-to-week, Wednesday through Tuesday issue as always. If you are looking for even more great bowl coverage, don t forget to order our special Vegas Insider Bowl Guide, featuring in-depth coverage of all the bowl games, including stats, matchups, editorial previews, and staff selections on both sides and totals. If you missed the announcement, Steve Makinen will again be back to lead the effort. He and his staff have already begun feverishly putting the bowl guide together, so be sure you get your hands on a copy by pre-purchasing via any of the appropriately promotions on our website, VegasInsider. com. Enjoy the action everyone, and best of luck on this weekend s big games! VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION 1

3 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 ROTATION SCHEDULE Football Weekly NFL WEEK 14 COLLEGE FOOTBALL continued THURSDAY, DECEMBER 4, 2014 SATURDAY, DECEMBER 6, DALLAS BIG 10 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME P: 5:25PM C: 7:25PM E: 8:25PM NFL LUCAS OIL STADIUM - INDIANAPOLIS 102 CHICAGO WISCONSIN P: 5:15PM C: 7:15PM E: 8:15PM FOX COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK OHIIO ST THURSDAY, DECEMBER 4, UCF MOUNTAIN WEST CHAMPIONSHIP GAME P: 4:30PM C: 6:30PM E: 7:30PM ESPN ALBERTONSON'S STADIUM - BOISE, ID 104 EAST CAROLINA FRESNO ST P: 7:00PM C: 9:00PM E: 10:00PM CBS FRIDAY, DECEMBER 5, 2014 MAC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME 130 BOISE ST FORD FIELD - DETROIT, MI NFL WEEK 14 cont'd 105 N ILLINOIS SUNDAY, DECEMBER 7, 2014 P: 4:00PM C: 6:00PM E: 7:00PM ESPN2 151 BALTIMORE BOWLING GREEN P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM PAC 12 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME 152 MIAMI -3-3 LEVI'S STADIUM - SANTA CLARA, CA 153 PITTSBURGH ARIZONA P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM P: 6:00PM C: 8:00PM E: 9:00PM FOX 154 CINCINNATI OREGON INDIANAPOLIS P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM SATURDAY, DECEMBER 6, CLEVELAND SMU HOUSTON P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM CBSC P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 110 CONNECTICUT JACKSONVILLE IOWA ST NY GIANTS 0-1 P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM ABC P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 112 TCU TENNESSEE TEMPLE CAROLINA P: 4:30PM C: 6:30PM E: 7:30PM ESPN2 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 114 TULANE NEW ORLEANS HOUSTON TAMPA BAY P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM ESPN P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 116 CINCINNATI DETROIT KANSAS ST ST LOUIS P: 4:45PM C: 6:45PM E: 7:45PM ESPN P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 118 BAYLOR WASHINGTON OKLAHOMA ST NY JETS P: 12:30PM C: 2:30PM E: 3:30PM FOX 1 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 120 OKLAHOMA MINNESOTA BUFFALO CONF USA CHAMPIONSHIP GAME P: 1:05PM C: 3:05PM E: 4:05PM OAN EDWARDS STDIUM - HUNTINGTON, W 170 DENVER LOUISIANA TECH KANSAS CITY P: 9:00AM C: 11:00AM E: 12:00PM ESPN2 P: 1:05PM C: 3:05PM E: 4:05PM 122 MARSHALL ARIZONA SAN FRANCISCO -7-8 SEC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME P: 1:25PM C: 3:25PM E: 4:25PM GEORGIA DOME - ATLANTA, GA 174 OAKLAND MISSOURI SEATTLE P: 1:00PM C: 3:00PM E: 4:00PM CBS P: 1:25PM C: 3:25PM E: 4:25PM 124 ALABAMA PHILADELPHIA NEW ENGLAND -3-3 ACC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME P: 5:30PM C: 7:30PM E: 8:30PM NBC BANK AMERICA STADIUM - CHARLOTTE 178 SAN DIEGO FLORIDA ST P: 5:00PM C: 7:00PM E: 8:00PM ABC MONDAY, DECEMBER 8, GEORGIA TECH ATLANTA P: 5:30PM C: 7:30PM E: 8:30PM ESPN 180 GREEN BAY THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

4 Football Weekly NFL VI PICKS VI Jim (43%) (58%)* VI Jason (43%) (35%)* VI Paul (55%) (54%)* Power Ratings (43%) Effective Strength (35%) Forecaster (42%) Thursday, December 4, (101) DALLAS at (102) CHICAGO (+4) Bettors Ratings (47%) Consensus (42%) * indicates Best Bet (BB) Dallas Chicago* Chicago Chicago Dallas Chicago Chicago Chicago Thursday, December 4, (101) DALLAS at (102) CHICAGO - TOTAL (51.5) OVER OVER OVER UNDER UNDER UNDER OVER OVER Sunday, December 7, (153) PITTSBURGH at (154) CINCINNATI (-3) Pittsburgh Pittsburgh Cincinnati* Pittsburgh Cincinnati Pittsburgh Pittsburgh Pittsburgh Sunday, December 7, (153) PITTSBURGH at (154) CINCINNATI - TOTAL (47) OVER* UNDER UNDER OVER UNDER UNDER OVER UNDER Sunday, December 7, (155) INDIANAPOLIS at (156) CLEVELAND (+3.5) Cleveland Indianapolis Indianapolis Indianapolis Indianapolis Cleveland Cleveland Indianapolis Sunday, December 7, (155) INDIANAPOLIS at (156) CLEVELAND - TOTAL (49) UNDER* UNDER OVER OVER UNDER UNDER UNDER UNDER Sunday, December 7, (175) SEATTLE at (176) PHILADELPHIA (-1.5) Philadelphia Philadelphia* Seattle* Seattle Philadelphia Philadelphia Seattle Philadelphia Sunday, December 7, (175) SEATTLE at (176) PHILADELPHIA - TOTAL (48.5) OVER OVER UNDER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER Sunday, December 7, (177) NEW ENGLAND at (178) SAN DIEGO (+3) San Diego* New England New England* San Diego New England San Diego New England New England Sunday, December 7, (177) NEW ENGLAND at (178) SAN DIEGO - TOTAL (51) OVER OVER* OVER UNDER UNDER UNDER UNDER UNDER VI Jim says I absolutely love the grit the Chargers showed last week in coming back to win in Baltimore in a very crucial game. For anyone that knows this San Diego team, especially since QB Phillip Rivers has been in town, it is a team that can come up with some very surprising performances from time-to-time. They also tend to play their best football at this time of year. Last week s win was a hint that trend may be continuing in I would also expect that Rivers should have a nice day on Sunday against the Patriots, who come off a tough loss in which they couldn t stop Green Bay s offense. San Diego has been tough to beat at home with a 5-1 record, and New England is just 3-3 on the road. I expect a tight matchup here with a field goal margin being the biggest I see, thus take the underdog and points. VI Jason says Dallas laid a Thanksgiving Day egg once again, and now we are supposed to believe that they are ready to turn it around a week later on the road and wallop Chicago? Something is wrong with this picture, as the typical recipe for betting NFL football is to fade struggling road favorites with porous defenses. Now I realize that the Bears aren t exactly playing well either, but this play is more about a fade of Dallas than it is a follow of Chicago. The Cowboys can t stop the ground game, and they can t stop the aerial attack either, and with the Bears weapons, they are actually capable of doing both well this Thursday. Too much is being made here about Dallas playing better on the road this season. This line should be about 2-points, not 4. I ll take that value and the dog. VI Paul says Pittsburgh had a bad game coming off a bye and was stunned by New Orleans, who supposedly was due for a victory after three home losses. The Steelers defense as we have often seen is the not the same recent vintage. It s young, makes mistakes and the veterans they still have are on the downsides of career and slower. After playing poorly in the first part of October, Cincinnati is 5-1 since (3-2-1 ATS). Yes they were fortunate to beat Tampa Bay, but that was the third of three consecutive roads encounters and they could have been looking ahead to this contest. The Bengals are 11-3 ATS at home and 8-1 ATS in there building off an away game and win by six. VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION 3

5 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 Football Weekly 4 NFL HEAD-TO-HEAD SERIES BREAKDOWN For every issue of the Football Weekly this season, we ll take a look at each upcoming pro football matchup from a head-to-head series standpoint, searching for edges on either side or total wagering option. Here are this week s breakdowns, in rotation number order. THURSDAY, DEC. 4 (101) DALLAS at (102) CHICAGO The Bears are on a 3-0 SU/ATS run since Last Dec. 9, they were winners as 2-point home favorites. In the previous two matchups, they went into Dallas as underdogs and won and The last four games have finished over the total, and by an average of 10.5 points per game. Home teams are on a 6-3 ATS run. SUNDAY, DEC. 7 (151) BALTIMORE at (152) MIAMI Oddly, this will be the ninth meeting in South Florida in the last 11 matchups. The Ravens are on a 4-0 SU/ATS run since Three of those came in South Florida, including a win as 3-point dogs last Oct. 6. The Ravens also won very similar games there in 2009 (27-9 as 3.5-point favorites) and 2008 (27-13 as 3-point favorites). (153) PITTSBURGH at (154) CINCINNATI Strangely, this is a very-late first of two meetings this season, with another set in Pittsburgh in Week 17. The Steelers won the last matchup, as 2-point home dogs last Dec. 15. The Bengals won as 6.5-point home favorites last Sept. 16, but the Steelers are on quite a roll in the Queen City SU/ATS since (155) INDIANAPOLIS at (156) CLEVELAND The strongest trend here is under the total since 2003, and by an average of 25 points per game. Here s how: Final scores in 2003: Indy 9-6 (43.5 total); 2005: Indy 13-6 (47 total); and 2008: Indy 10-6 (44 total). The Colts won as 1-point home favorites in the last matchup (2012). That broke a ATS run for road teams. (157) HOUSTON at (158) JACKSONVILLE The Jaguars are 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings. Playing twice in a three-week span last Nov. 24-Dec. 5, the Jaguars won 13-6 as 10-point road dogs, and as 3.5-point home dogs. They also covered as 16-point road dogs in a shootout in Road teams are on a 4-1 ATS run. Under s are 4-2 since (159) NY GIANTS at (160) TENNESSEE These teams don t play often -- only five times since But when they do, its all Titans SU/ ATS. In the last matchup (2010), they went into the Meadowlands and rolled as 3-point dogs. In the last meeting in Nashville (2006), they won as 3-point dogs. Underdogs are on a 3-0 ATS run, and Over s are 3-1 since (161) CAROLINA at (162) NEW ORLEANS This is the second meeting this season, as the Saints won as 3-point road favorites on Oct. 30. Favorites have won and covered the last three matchups. The last three games also finished under totals of 49, 44.5 and 47. The Panthers have had great ATS success in the Superdome, going 6-2 ATS since 2006, although the Saints are 2-1 ATS L3. (163) TAMPA BAY at (164) DETROIT The Lions are 8-2 ATS in this series since However, both ATS losses came in Ford Field, including last Nov. 24, when the Bucs pulled a upset as 7-point underdogs. The Bucs are 3-3 ATS there since Road teams are on a 4-0 ATS run. Underdogs have covered in each of the last three meetings, and are 8-2 ATS L10. (165) ST. LOUIS at (166) WASHINGTON The Rams are 5-1 ATS since Two of those ATS wins came in D.C. back in 2009 and 2008, the latter a outright upset 11.5-point dogs. Underdogs are 4-1 ATS L5, including three SU wins. In the last meeting (2012), the Rams won as 4-point home dogs. This is the first matchup in the nation s capital since (167) NY JETS at (168) MINNESOTA These teams meet for only the sixth time since 1994, and the previous five all went the same way -- SU and ATS wins for the Jets. In the last matchup (2010), the Jets won as 4-point home favorites. You have to go back to 2006 for the last meeting in the Twin Cities. The Jets sprung a upset as 3.5-point dogs. (169) BUFFALO at (170) DENVER The Bills are on a 5-1 ATS run in this series since The last matchup (2011) turned into a Bills blowout upset as 3-point home dogs. The Bills also have covered in their last two trips to Mile High, the last in a outright upset at 4.5-point dogs. Over s are on a 5-1 run, with the exception coming in (171) KANSAS CITY at (172) ARIZONA These teams meet for the first time since 2010, and only the seventh since Home teams are on a 5-0 ATS run. In the last matchup, the Chiefs rolled as 7-point home favorites. In the last game in Arizona (2006), the Chiefs won as 3.5-point favorites. The 2002 meeting was a Chiefs rout (49-0), and they are 4-2 ATS. (173) SAN FRANCISCO at (174) OAKLAND The Bay Area rivals don t meet often -- only five times since but when they do, the 49ers have dominated. They are 4-1 SU/ATS, the exception being a Raiders win in Candlestick as 4.5-point favorites (2000). In the last matchup (2010), the 49ers won 17-9 as 7.5-point home favorites. The 49ers won in the only other meeting in Oakland (2002). (175) SEATTLE at (176) PHILADELPHIA Road teams were on a 6-0 ATS run until the last matchup (2011), when Seattle pulled a upset as 3-point home dogs. In 2008, the Eagles won 26-7 as 7-point road favorites. The last meeting in Philly was in 2007, when Seattle won as 3-point dogs. They are 3-0 SU/ATS in Philly, including shutout routs in 2007 (42-0) and 1998 (38-0). THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

6 Football Weekly (177) NEW ENGLAND at (178) SAN DIEGO The Patriots won as 6-point home favorites in the last matchup (2011), and are 8-4 ATS in this series since In the last meeting in San Diego (2010), the Patriots won as 3-point dogs, and they are 3-2 ATS all-time there. The last four matchups in San Diego finished under the total. Underdogs are 8-4 ATS. TOP NFL WEEKLY TRENDS TEAMS TO PLAY ON TEAMS TO PLAY AGAINST $1460 (173) SAN FRANCISCO AT (174) OAKLAND SAN FRANCISCO is ATS(L5Y) - Against lesser defensive teams allowing more than 23.5 PPG(CS) ( $1460 Profit with a 53.1% ROI ) MONDAY, DEC. 8 (179) ATLANTA at (180) GREEN BAY The Falcons lost but covered as 3.5-point road dogs last Dec. 8, and are 8-4 ATS in this series since Surprisingly, they have amassed a stellar 6-1 ATS record in Lambeau Field, with the exception coming in 1995 (a SU loss). The Falcons also won SU in Lambeau in 2008, 2003 and Underdogs are 8-4 ATS in the series. $960 (163) TAMPA BAY AT (164) DETROIT DETROIT is 4-14 ATS(L3Y) - Against lesser rushing teams averaging less than 3.9 yards per carry(cs) ( $960 Profit with a 48.5% ROI ) $1090 (153) PITTSBURGH AT (154) CINCINNATI CINCINNATI is ATS(L3Y) - Against decent rushing teams averaging more than 4.3 yards per carry(cs) ( $1090 Profit with a 70.8% ROI ) $660 (165) ST LOUIS AT (166) WASHINGTON WASHINGTON is 4-11 ATS(L2Y) - Against lesser defensive teams allowing more than 23.5 PPG(CS) ( $660 Profit with a 40.0% ROI ) $680 (165) ST LOUIS AT (166) WASHINGTON ST LOUIS is 9-2 ATS(L3Y) - Against strong passing teams averaging more than 7.1 yards per attempt(cs) ( $680 Profit with a 56.2% ROI ) $580 (101) DALLAS AT (102) CHICAGO CHICAGO is 2-8 ATS(L3Y) at HOME - Against decentscoring teams averaging 25 PPG or more(cs) ( $580 Profit with a 52.7% ROI ) GAMES TO PLAY OVER $1190 (169) BUFFALO AT (170) DENVER DENVER is 13-1 OVER(L5Y) at HOME - Against solid defensive teams allowing less than 20 PPG(CS) ( $1190 Profit with a 77.3% ROI ) GAMES TO PLAY UNDER $370 (157) HOUSTON AT (158) JACKSONVILLE HOUSTON is 7-3 UNDER(L3Y) - In December ( $370 Profit with a 33.6% ROI ) $1070 (169) BUFFALO AT (170) DENVER BUFFALO is 14-3 OVER(L5Y) - Against stout rushing defenses yielding less than 3.6 yards per(cs) ( $1070 Profit with a 57.2% ROI ) $760 (151) BALTIMORE AT (152) MIAMI MIAMI is 12-4 UNDER(L3Y) - Against poor defensive teams yielding more than 5.7 yards per play(cs) ( $760 Profit with a 43.2% ROI ) (163) TAMPA BAY AT (164) DETROIT DETROIT is 7-3 OVER(L10G) at HOME - AGAINST POOR TEAMS WITH 20%+ WINNING PCT(CS) ( $370 Profit with a 33.6% ROI ) $370 $760 (171) KANSAS CITY AT (172) ARIZONA ARIZONA is 12-4 UNDER(L16G) at HOME - Against weak rushing defenses yielding more than 4.7 yards per carry(cs) ( $760 Profit with a 43.2% ROI ) VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION 5

7 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 NFL STRENGTH Football Weekly Four different types of time-tested strength ratings have been created for use in the Weekly. In the chart below, you ll find the ratings, along with potential edges shown for the upcoming games. The Power Ratings columns RATINGS are in-house ratings kept and maintained manually for every game throughout the season. The Effective Strength (Effective Strg) Ratings quantify a team s performance against varied schedule strengths. The Simulation is run using a formula factoring in a number of variables, most notably stats in recent games. Finally, the Bettors Ratings (Bettors Rtng) are built using a unique formula of a team s closing lines in relation to its past opponents and game performances, giving a good indication of how bettors feel about a team. Each rating is built exclusive from the others, and thus has its own merits. Track the results of the ratings weekly and see which one works best for you. Edges are given when a projection varies 4.5 points or more from an actual line or total. BRD Power Ratings Effective Strg Simulation Bettors Rtng # s Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge? Proj Edge? Proj Edge? Proj Edge? 101 DALLAS UNDER CHICAGO BALTIMORE MIAMI PITTSBURGH CINCINNATI INDIANAPOLIS CLEVELAND HOUSTON HOU JACKSONVILLE NY GIANTS TENNESSEE CAROLINA NEW ORLEANS TAMPA BAY DETROIT ST LOUIS WASHINGTON WAS 167 NY JETS MINNESOTA MIN BUFFALO DENVER KANSAS CITY ARIZONA SAN FRANCISCO OAKLAND SEATTLE PHILADELPHIA NEW ENGLAND SAN DIEGO ATLANTA GREEN BAY THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

8 Football Weekly NFL MATCHUPS (101) DALLAS ( ) [SU:8-4 ATS:6-6] AT (102) CHICAGO [SU:5-7 ATS:5-7] DECEMBER 4, :25 PM on NFL - SOLDIER FIELD (CHICAGO, IL) Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics DALLAS [4.8] [7.6] [4.5] [7.4] CHICAGO [4.0] [6.5] [4.2] [7.7] In Big D, the sky is falling and the Cowboys are headed to another 8-8 season if you listen to local talk radio after the Eagles debacle. What was more noticeable was how more thoroughly prepared Philadelphia was to play and Dallas played their poorest game of the season. The Cowboys are still playoff worthy, but a recent 1-4 ATS trend is a negative. And speaking of negative, what about the Bears? What Mark Trestman learned about being a head coach in the CFL is not transferring, Jay Cutler is not a better quarterback under his tutelage and he has the wrong defensive coordinator. Dallas is 10-2 ATS on the road after a loss by 21 or more points. DALLAS is ATS(L43G) - Against weak teams being outscored by opponents by more than 6.0 points per game(cs) CHICAGO is 1-9 ATS(L3Y) at HOME - Against decent passing teams averaging more than 6.8 yards per attempt(cs) DALLAS is 9-1 OVER(L5Y) - VS NFC-NORTH (151) BALTIMORE [SU:7-5 ATS:7-5] AT (152) MIAMI (-3 45) [SU:7-5 ATS:7-5] DECEMBER 7, :00 PM on CBS - SUN LIFE STADIUM (MIAMI, FL) BALTIMORE [4.6] [7.1] [3.6] [7.3] MIAMI [4.6] [6.2] [4.3] [5.7] We were high on Baltimore coming into the season, but were somewhat leery about the Ravens secondary when injuries hit. Baltimore s front office lack of decisiveness in this area caused them to give away a home game to San Diego and leaves this club 7-5 and 31st in pass defense. The positive is being 3-0 SU and ATS in recent visits to South Florida. Artistically it left a lot to be desired, but compared to other games, it was a win for Miami and that mattered most. No doubt the Ravens will look to test Miami s rush defense which looks vulnerable. Curious to see if Ryan Tannehill finally throws down the field against the Baltimore secondary. MIAMI is ATS(L3Y) at HOME - Against efficient defenses allowing more than 16.3 yards per point(cs) BALTIMORE is 2-8 ATS(L2Y) on ROAD - Conference games MIAMI is 9-2 UNDER(L3Y) - In December (153) PITTSBURGH [SU:7-5 ATS:5-7] AT (154) CINCINNATI (-3 47) [SU:8-3-1 ATS:6-5-1] DECEMBER 7, :00 PM on CBS - PAUL BROWN STADIUM (CINCINNATI, OH) PITTSBURGH [4.3] [7.6] [4.4] [7.5] CINCINNATI [4.2] [6.9] [4.2] [6.1] Having swept Baltimore, Cincinnati could open up nearly an insurmountable lead in the AFC North with a win over rival Pittsburgh. Thankfully, Bengals coaches could count to 12 and coach Marvin Lewis was able to get the officials attention to have Tampa Bay flagged for penalty, instead of setting up game winning field goal. Even with last year s victory and cover, Cincy is 5-18 and 6-17 ATS at home when the Steelers visit. Pittsburgh had a chance to bury New Orleans in the first quarter, but came away with two field goals and the Saints offense gained confidence and handed the Steelers a stunning loss. Pittsburgh s No. 24 ranked scoring defense is not doing the job and allows big plays. CINCINNATI is ATS(L3Y) - Against decent rushing teams averaging more than 4.3 yards per carry(cs) PITTSBURGH is 4-9 ATS(L5Y) - Against anemic teams being outscored by opponents by more than 8.0 points per game(cs) CINCINNATI is 19-6 UNDER(L25G) at HOME - Against poor rushing defenses yielding more than 4.4 yards per carry(cs) 7 VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

9 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 8 NFL MATCHUPS Football Weekly (155) INDIANAPOLIS ( ) [SU:8-4 ATS:9-3] AT (156) CLEVELAND [SU:7-5 ATS:6-5-1] DECEMBER 7, :00 PM on CBS - FIRSTENERGY STADIUM (CLEVELAND, OH) INDIANAPOLIS [4.1] [7.9] [4.5] [7.1] CLEVELAND [3.6] [7.4] [4.4] [6.2] The greatness of Andrew Luck is measured in scouts and opposing player s eyes. Indianapolis has an average offensive line, with no distinctive running back and their short-handed defense makes enough plays to keep the Colts afloat. But it is not luck the Stanford quarterback is able to elevate his team above their talent level and posts victories. Indy is 22-6 ATS after two straight wins by 10 or more points. What does Cleveland do at quarterback, hope Brian Hoyer rekindles his confidence to hunt down a division title or play a potential dynamic Johnny Manziel and hope he does not destroy what has been a good season? There is no right answer for a team whose season could be floating away. INDIANAPOLIS is 12-1 ATS(L3Y) - Against inefficient offenses averaging more than 16.6 yards per point(cs) CLEVELAND is ATS(L5Y) - VS AFC-SOUTH INDIANAPOLIS is 11-3 OVER(L5Y) on ROAD - as favorite of 7 or less points (157) HOUSTON ( ) [SU:6-6 ATS:7-5] AT (158) JACKSONVILLE [SU:2-10 ATS:3-8-1] DECEMBER 7, :00 PM on CBS - EVERBANK FIELD (JACKSONVILLE, FL) HOUSTON [4.1] [7.3] [3.9] [7.1] JACKSONVILLE [4.3] [5.8] [4.3] [7.2] The Jacksonville defense deserves the credit for the greatest comeback in Jaguars history, in defeating the Giants Down 21-0 the defense, sacked Eli Manning four times, generated three turnovers and scored twice in the improbable victory. Coach Gus Bradley will need the same defensive intensity against Houston, with Ryan Fitzpatrick being the third different quarterback with half dozen TD tosses in a single contest. The Jags are 5-17 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. The Ivy leaguer throws a good ball, but makes mistakes under duress. Bradley will also have to game plan for J.J. Watt, who only needs to run or pass out of the wildcat to have an even greater impact. HOUSTON is 10-4 ATS(L3Y) on ROAD - On grass field JACKSONVILLE is ATS(L2Y) - Against decent passing teams averaging more than 6.8 yards per attempt(cs) JACKSONVILLE is 13-3 UNDER(L3Y) at HOME - Conference games (159) NY GIANTS (-1 46) [SU:3-9 ATS:4-8] AT (160) TENNESSEE [SU:2-10 ATS:3-8-1] DECEMBER 7, :00 PM on FOX - LP FIELD (NASHVILLE, TN) NY GIANTS [3.6] [6.6] [4.9] [7.6] TENNESSEE [4.0] [7.2] [4.2] [7.1] Change is in the air concerning the Giants, blowing a 12-point lead to then 1-10 Jacksonville. New York now has a seven-game losing streak and looked bad in putting it together with only a 1-6 ATS record. No question injuries have stripped Big Blue of much of its depth, but the honest answer here is the regular starters would have made this no better than a.500 club. The G-Men are 1-8 ATS off a loss. First-year coach Ken Whisenhunt has had zero impact on the Titans season. Nobody is going to confuse Zack Mettenberger with Andrew Luck as rookie quarterbacks, but surrendering SIX touchdown passes to Ryan Fitzpatrick! Ouch. Tennessee is 2-9 ATS after an away game. NY GIANTS is 13-4 ATS(L17G) on ROAD - Against pathetic defensive teams allowing more than 26.5 PPG(CS) TENNESSEE is ATS(CS) - Against poor passing defenses yielding more than 6.9 yards per attempt(cs) TENNESSEE is 10-3 OVER(L3Y) at HOME - AS underdog of 7 or less points THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

10 Football Weekly NFL MATCHUPS (161) CAROLINA [SU:3-8-1 ATS:6-6] AT (162) NEW ORLEANS ( ) [SU:5-7 ATS:5-7] DECEMBER 7, :00 PM on FOX - MERCEDES-BENZ SUPERDOME (NEW ORLEANS, LA) CAROLINA [3.8] [6.4] [4.4] [7.0] NEW ORLEANS [4.7] [7.5] [4.5] [7.7] New Orleans will try to carryover what they accomplished at Pittsburgh and make it work at home. The two big factors in the upset of the Steelers was the return of the big play in the passing game and the defense generating enough stops to help the offense, especially early. The Saints need to regain confidence at the M-B Superdome, but are only 6-12 ATS when Carolina hits the Big Easy. The Panthers outgained Minnesota by 138 yards, yet were never in the contest thanks to two blocked punts for touchdowns. Carolina just doesn t play with sustained effort, which causes execution problems, which leads to breakdowns. The Cats are 8-1 ATS off a road loss, let s see what they have. CAROLINA is ATS(L25G) - Against anemic teams being outscored by opponents by more than 8.0 points per game(cs) NEW ORLEANS is 4-13 ATS(L5Y) - AGAINST POOR TEAMS WITH 30%+ WINNING PCT(CS) NEW ORLEANS is 9-1 OVER(L5Y) - as double digit favorite (163) TAMPA BAY [SU:2-10 ATS:5-7] AT (164) DETROIT ( ) [SU:8-4 ATS:6-6] DECEMBER 7, :00 PM on FOX - FORD FIELD (DETROIT, MI) TAMPA BAY [3.8] [6.7] [3.9] [7.2] DETROIT [3.3] [6.8] [3.1] [6.3] Tampa Bay keeps finding ways to lose games and among the most egregious is penalties. The Buccaneers are dead last in penalties taken and while other playoff teams are near them, they have the ability to overcome them, something this squad does not. The Bucs are 2-8 ATS against Detroit. The Lions offense finally exploded against Chicago on Thanksgiving and they will hope to continue this success against another pedestrian defense like the Buccaneers. Now that Lions can see the offense will work, coach Jim Caldwell has to be steadying force, with a winnable game here and a trio of division matchups to follow. Detroit has gone belly-up after scoring 30 or more points since 2012 with a 1-9 ATS record. TAMPA BAY is 9-4 ATS(L5Y) on ROAD - Against efficient defenses allowing more than 16.3 yards per point(cs) DETROIT is 3-11 ATS(L3Y) - Against poor rushing teams averaging less than 3.8 yards per carry(cs) TAMPA BAY is 9-2 OVER(L5Y) on ROAD - AS underdog of more than 7 points (165) ST LOUIS ( ) [SU:5-7 ATS:6-6] AT (166) WASHINGTON [SU:3-9 ATS:3-8-1] DECEMBER 7, :00 PM on FOX - FEDEX FIELD (LANDOVER, MD) ST LOUIS [4.2] [6.5] [4.3] [7.1] WASHINGTON [4.3] [7.6] [4.0] [7.6] St. Louis is three or four plays away from being on a five-game winning streak with a few malfunctions against Arizona and San Diego which cost them victories. Coach Jeff Fisher has this team playing like many anticipated even in the rugged NFC West, with an offense that is gelling and defense that has quality front seven. The Rams are 11-3 ATS vs. teams averaging 5.65 or more yards a play. Washington is once again adrift, with another season going down the drain and the endless cycle of ineptness has not mattered the head coach or players. The Redskins are capable of winning this contest, but just the fact they are underdogs (6-15 ATS L3Y in this role) heightens the issues. ST LOUIS is 11-2 ATS(L3Y) - Against strong offensive teams averaging more than 5.8 yards per play(cs) WASHINGTON is ATS(L2Y) - AS underdog of 7 or less points ST LOUIS is 10-1 UNDER(L5Y) on ROAD - In December 9 VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

11 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 NFL MATCHUPS Football Weekly (167) NY JETS [SU:2-10 ATS:3-8-1] AT (168) MINNESOTA ( ) [SU:5-7 ATS:7-5] DECEMBER 7, :00 PM on CBS - TCF BANK STADIUM (MINNEAPOLIS, MN) NY JETS [4.8] [5.1] [3.5] [7.1] MINNESOTA [4.5] [5.6] [4.4] [6.7] Minnesota is 3-2 in their past five games and is 5-1 ATS in their last six. The Vikings are paying attention to detail, which has made them competitive, like winning on special teams, not making massive miscues on offense and being stout on defense when required. This will be their sixth meeting with New York since 1994 and they are an ugly 0-5 SU and ATS. The Jets like all bad teams do found a way to lose Monday night with mistakes and normally reliable Nick Folk missing a pair of field goals. Let s see if New York stays with the running game this week again or opens it up after throwing only 13 times on Monday night. MINNESOTA is 9-2 ATS(L5Y) at HOME - Against inefficient defenses allowing less than 14.4 yards per point(cs) NY JETS is ATS(L25G) on ROAD - Against strong rushing teams averaging more than 4.4 yards per carry(cs) MINNESOTA is 9-3 UNDER(L3Y) - Against pathetic defensive teams allowing more than 26.5 PPG(CS) (169) BUFFALO [SU:7-5 ATS:6-6] AT (170) DENVER (-10 48) [SU:9-3 ATS:6-6] DECEMBER 7, :05 PM on CBS - SPORTS AUTHORITY FIELD AT MILE HIGH (DENVER, CO) BUFFALO [3.8] [6.3] [3.9] [6.0] DENVER [4.1] [7.6] [3.4] [5.7] The Buffalo defense is second in the NFL in points allowed at 18.1 and the past two weeks has conceded just 13 points. However, that was against Mike Vick, Brian Hoyer and some dude doing Snickers commercials, not Peyton Manning. The Bills defense and offense will have to raise their level of play to stay in playoff contention, yet they are 0-6 ATS after two spread covers. The Broncos were extremely well prepared for Kansas City and led 17-0 before the beer started to freeze for Chiefs fans. Denver was domineering on a night Manning was not and if the Broncos can start fast again, Buffalo lacks the resources to come from behind. Denver is 9-1 ATS in December. DENVER is 9-1 ATS(L3Y) - In December BUFFALO is 2-8 ATS(L3Y) - Against strong teams outscoring opponents by more than 6.0 points per game(cs) DENVER is 11-0 OVER(L5Y) at HOME - Against decent rushing defenses yielding less than 3.9 yards per carry(cs) (171) KANSAS CITY [SU:7-5 ATS:8-3-1] AT (172) ARIZONA ( ) [SU:9-3 ATS:8-4] DECEMBER 7, :05 PM on CBS - UNIVERSITY OF PHOENIX STADIUM (GLENDALE, AZ) KANSAS CITY [4.6] [6.3] [4.9] [5.9] ARIZONA [3.1] [7.0] [3.7] [7.1] Kansas City and Arizona are both slipping and another loss could send the loser into free fall. The Chiefs offensive line injuries have finally taken their toll and the defensive line is being pushed around like dirt at a housing development. Drew Stanton is showing why his a career backup, not getting Arizona into the end zone despite adequate numbers. K.C. is 7-0 ATS off one or more consecutive Under s and the Cardinals are 9-1 ATS off one or more Over s, so something has to give. Watch for this contest to hinge on both quarterbacks to get the pigskin in the hands of playmakers. Whichever field general does this will be your winner. 10 ARIZONA is 9-2 ATS(L2Y) at HOME - VS Opp With 1000 or more travel miles KANSAS CITY is 7-14 ATS(L5Y) - Against poor rushing teams averaging less than 3.8 yards per carry(cs) KANSAS CITY is UNDER(L25G) - Against decent passing teams averaging more than 6.8 yards per attempt(cs) THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

12 Football Weekly NFL MATCHUPS (173) SAN FRANCISCO (-8 41) [SU:7-5 ATS:5-6-1] AT (174) OAKLAND [SU:1-11 ATS:6-6] DECEMBER 7, :25 PM on FOX - O.CO COLISEUM (OAKLAND, CA) SAN FRANCISCO [4.0] [6.6] [4.1] [6.2] OAKLAND [3.7] [5.2] [4.0] [7.1] Oakland might have known St. Louis likes to start games fast but was ill-prepared in all phases to do anything about it. The Raiders stunk at everything after having extra time to prepare after their first victory. Oakland will play face the other team that resides in the Bay Area and they are 8-23 ATS at home after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half. San Francisco is 8-1 ATS as road favorite under coach Jim Harbaugh, whose days seemed numbered with all the off the field drama. In these types of contests, the 49ers typically identify the opposing team s biggest weakness and start attacking continually until they stop them. SAN FRANCISCO is ATS(L5Y) on ROAD - Against poor passing defenses yielding more than 6.9 yards per attempt(cs) OAKLAND is 6-19 ATS(L25G) at HOME - VS OPP with more than 6 days rest SAN FRANCISCO is 11-4 OVER(L15G) on ROAD - Against anemic passing teams averaging less than 5.4 yards per attempt(cs) (175) SEATTLE [SU:8-4 ATS:6-6] AT (176) PHILADELPHIA ( ) [SU:9-3 ATS:8-3-1] DECEMBER 7, :25 PM on FOX - LINCOLN FINANCIAL FIELD (PHILADELPHIA, PA) SEATTLE [5.3] [6.9] [3.5] [6.2] PHILADELPHIA [4.2] [7.0] [3.9] [6.9] Seattle is within a game of first place in the NFC West and has a very important road trip east to maintain the momentum they have been building. The Seahawks defense has looked like last year s crew in recent games, not allowing a touchdown in two games and only six points. The challenge will be containing all the Eagles weapons and that will start be pressuring Mark Sanchez. Don t forget Seattle is 10-1 ATS as an underdog. Philadelphia has put the Green Bay blowout in the rearview mirror and is back to playing great football. Chip Kelly will strive for fast start since his team plays super with a lead. Philly is 6-0 and 5-1 ATS at the Linc. SEATTLE is 10-1 ATS(L3Y) - As underdog PHILADELPHIA is ATS(L5Y) at HOME - Against strong teams outscoring opponents by more than 6.0 points per game(cs) SEATTLE is 8-2 OVER(L5Y) on ROAD - Against decent teams outscoring opponents by more than 3.0 points per game(cs) (177) NEW ENGLAND (-3 51) [SU:9-3 ATS:7-5] AT (178) SAN DIEGO [SU:8-4 ATS:6-6] DECEMBER 7, :30 PM on NBC - QUALCOMM STADIUM (SAN DIEGO, CA) NEW ENGLAND [4.0] [7.0] [4.2] [6.8] SAN DIEGO [3.4] [7.5] [4.3] [6.5] New England s vaunted secondary met its match in Aaron Rodgers and Packers receivers and they will face another talented crew from San Diego. The Patriots cannot feel bad about the setback and will deal with much less mobile quarterback in Philip Rivers, which will help their pass rush. The Pats are 6-0 ATS off a road loss and will try and make the Chargers one-dimensional by taking away their feeble run game. San Diego stole one at Baltimore and needs W to keep pace with Denver with monster showdown next week. Rivers will have to find the right receiver matchups like Rodgers did against New England. The Chargers defense has to claw at Tom Brady in the pocket to disrupt him. NEW ENGLAND is 19-6 ATS(L25G) on ROAD - Against lesser rushing teams averaging less than 3.9 yards per carry(cs) SAN DIEGO is 3-8 ATS(L3Y) at HOME - Against decent teams outscoring opponents by more than 3.0 points per game(cs) NEW ENGLAND is 8-2 OVER(L3Y) - Against strong passing teams averaging more than 7.1 yards per attempt(cs) VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION 11

13 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 NFL MATCHUPS Football Weekly (179) ATLANTA [SU:5-7 ATS:5-7] AT (180) GREEN BAY (-12 55) [SU:9-3 ATS:7-4-1] DECEMBER 8, :30 PM on ESPN - LAMBEAU FIELD (GREEN BAY, WI) ATLANTA [4.0] [7.1] [4.1] [7.9] GREEN BAY [4.2] [8.2] [4.5] [6.5] One was expected the other was not. Julio Jones let his play speak for him against CB Patrick Peterson and he befuddled him for a career day in receiving yards. The Atlanta defense did the rest in the victory over Arizona, which was not counted on by Falcons fans as their team stayed tied for first place in the NFC South. Next up is a return visit to Lambeau Field where they lost last season. Atlanta is 3-13 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog. Green Bay showcased they are an elite team with an improving defense in win over New England. Aaron Rodgers and friends are 7-1 ATS as favorites this season. GREEN BAY is ATS(L5Y) at HOME - Against decent passing teams averaging more than 6.8 yards per attempt(cs) ATLANTA is 3-8 ATS(L2Y) on ROAD - As underdog GREEN BAY is 11-3 OVER(L5Y) at HOME - Against poor passing defenses yielding more than 6.9 yards per attempt(cs) 12 THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

14 Football Weekly COLLEGE FOOTBALL VI PICKS VI Jim (53%) (57%)* VI Jason (47%) (44%)* VI Paul (48%) (36%)* Power Ratings (48%) Effective Strength (47%) Forecaster (50%) Thursday, December 4, (103) UCF at (104) EAST CAROLINA (-6.5) UCF East Carolina UCF* UCF UCF UCF East Friday, December 5, (105) N ILLINOIS at (106) BOWLING GREEN (+6.5) Bowling Green N Illinois Bowling Green Bowling Green N Illinois Bowling Green Friday, December 5, (107) ARIZONA at (108) OREGON (-13) Bettors Ratings (54%) Carolina Bowling Green Consensus (48%) * indicates Best Bet (BB) UCF Bowling Green Arizona Arizona* Oregon* Arizona Arizona Arizona Oregon Arizona Saturday, December 6, (113) TEMPLE at (114) TULANE (+3.5) Temple Temple* Tulane Temple Temple Tulane Tulane Temple Saturday, December 6, (115) HOUSTON at (116) CINCINNATI (-6.5) Cincinnati Houston Cincinnati Cincinnati Cincinnati Houston Houston Cincinnati Saturday, December 6, (119) OKLAHOMA ST at (120) OKLAHOMA (-20) Oklahoma Oklahoma St Oklahoma Oklahoma Oklahoma Oklahoma Oklahoma St Oklahoma Saturday, December 6, (123) MISSOURI at (124) ALABAMA (-14.5) Missouri* Alabama* Alabama Missouri Missouri Missouri Alabama Missouri Saturday, December 6, (125) FLORIDA ST at (126) GEORGIA TECH (+3.5) Georgia Tech* Florida St Georgia Tech* Georgia Tech Georgia Tech Georgia Tech Florida St Georgia Tech Saturday, December 6, (127) WISCONSIN at (128) OHIO ST (+4.5) Ohio St* Wisconsin Wisconsin Ohio St Ohio St Ohio St Ohio St Ohio St Saturday, December 6, (129) FRESNO ST at (130) BOISE ST (-20) Boise St Fresno St Boise St Boise St Boise St Fresno St Fresno St Boise St VI Jim says Things took a bad turn for Ohio State on Saturday with the JT Barrett injury. At least that is what oddsmakers and crackpots on TV would have you believe. Lest they forget that the Buckeyes have already overcome a quarterback injury this season, when Braxton Miller s season-ending injury supposedly left the sky falling. Well, bettors also seem to feel that Ohio State has no chance in the Big Ten title game either, as they have driven the number quite high to 4.5 at pick time. I, on the other hand, give the Buckeyes a good shot at winning this game, and advancing to the playoff. First off, this has been an underdog driven game, with dogs covering all three prior matchups while using the spread as motivation. Secondly, OSU has owned Wisconsin the last three years, and has been the Badgers toughest matchup. Don t write off Urban Meyer s team just yet. VI Jason says For those of you who might think that Arizona s win at Oregon in October was a fluke, consider that in the prior matchup between the teams, the Wildcats won even more decisively, at home. That means that if the last two games were played on neutral fields like this weekend s Pac 12 title game, Arizona s average win would be 16.5 points. What is to say that Oregon has made up that much ground for this week? Perhaps it s just a bad matchup for the Ducks, and Arizona HC Rich Rodriguez has a great feel for how to stop them offensively and gash their defense. Going back even further in this head-to-head series, Arizona is 7-3 ATS in the L10. This game will be the first Pac 12 title game played on neutral field. I don t think either team will be that comfortable. I don t expect a rout under any circumstances. VI Paul says While many have considered Florida State to be frauds this season, I have stood in their corner supporting them (not betting them however) for having the resiliency to find ways to win time and again despite not looking like the best team in the country. But the buck stops here and the way Jameis Winston is playing and all the turnovers he s committing will finally catchup with them against a difficult opponent with a style that is frustrating to play against. Seminoles defenders will not like being cut-blocked for over 30 minutes of game time and Georgia Tech has been extremely opportunistic in creating turnovers, a bad match for the Noles. Put me down for the Yellow Jackets to sting Florida State VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION 13

15 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 COLLEGE FOOTBALL Football Weekly Four different types of time-tested strength ratings have been created for use in the Weekly. In the chart below, you ll find the ratings, along with potential edges shown for STRENGTH RATINGS the upcoming games. The Power Ratings columns are in-house ratings kept and maintained manually for every game throughout the season. The Effective Strength (Effective Strg) Ratings quantify a team s performance against varied schedule strengths. The Simulation is run using a formula factoring in a number of variables, most notably stats in recent games. Finally, the Bettors Ratings (Bettors Rtng) are built using a unique formula of a team s closing lines in relation to its past opponents and game performances, giving a good indication of how bettors feel about a team. Each rating is built exclusive from the others, and thus has its own merits. Track the results of the ratings weekly and see which one works best for you. Edges are given when a projection varies 4.5 points or more from an actual line or total. BRD Power Ratings Effective Strg Simulation Bettors Rtng # s Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge? Proj Edge? Proj Edge? Proj Edge? 103 UCF EAST CAROLINA ECU 105 N ILLINOIS OVER BOWLING GREEN BGSU 107 ARIZONA UNDER 28.4 ARI OREGON UNDER SMU CONNECTICUT CON 111 IOWA ST UNDER 18.0 IST 22.4 IST 112 TCU UNDER TEMPLE TEM TULANE TUL HOUSTON CINCINNATI KANSAS ST UNDER 24.6 UNDER BAYLOR OKLAHOMA ST UNDER OKLAHOMA OKL LOUISIANA TECH LT 25.5 LT 20.5 UNDER 122 MARSHALL UNDER 32.5 UNDER MISSOURI MIS 13.9 UNDER 124 ALABAMA UNDER FLORIDA ST UNDER 36.8 FSU 126 GEORGIA TECH GT 29.3 GT 28.0 OVER 127 WISCONSIN OVER OHIIO ST OHST OHST 129 FRESNO ST FST BOISE ST THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

16 Football Weekly COLLEGE FOOTBALL HEAD-TO-HEAD SERIES BREAKDOWN For every issue of the Football Weekly this season, we ll take a look at each upcoming college football matchup from a head-to-head series standpoint, searching for edges on either side or total wagering option. Here are this week s breakdowns, in rotation number order. THURSDAY, DEC.4, 2014 (103) CENTRAL FLORIDA at (104) EAST CAROLINA Central Florida is attempting to grab a share of the AAC title when they travel to East Carolina. These teams faced off regularly from 2005 thru 2012 in C-USA competition and the home team has enjoyed more of the success with a 5-1 SU and ATS record. In the past five meetings the Knights are 4-1 ATS and the Over is on a 3-0 roll. FRIDAY, DEC.5, 2014 (105) NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. (106) BOWLING GREEN This is a rematch from last year s MAC title tilt which Bowling Green nailed Northern Illinois as threepoint underdogs. The Huskies has won the previous four of five meetings from , covering the spread three times. The underdog has a 4-2 ATS in these contests and the Under is also 4-2. The Falcons have lost their last two contests, the last as 10-point favorites. (107) ARIZONA vs. (108) OREGON Oregon will not be lacking in motivation, having lost their last two to Arizona as 21.5 and 19.5-point favorites respectively, including in early October at Eugene The Ducks have been favored in each of the last 15 contests, however in the last 10, the Wildcats are 7-3 ATS as underdogs. The Under has hit three straight times after being 1-5 previously. SATURDAY, DEC. 6, 2014 (109) SMU at (110) CONNECTICUT Chances are both teams will be happy to put this campaign behind them with Connecticut 2-9 SU and ATS and SMU winless and 3-8 against the spread. The Mustangs will be hiring a new head coach and have to figure what direct they want to take their football program. SMU won last year as two-touchdown home favorites which seems like forever ago. (111) IOWA STATE at (112) TCU Iowa State is another Big 12 squad that has given TCU some trouble. The past two years the Cyclones covered both games, falling in Ames as touchdown underdogs last year and won in Fort Worth in as seven-point underdogs. The Horned Frogs did win and cover the 2005 Houston Bowl as two-point favorites. TCU have a lot riding on this contest. (113) TEMPLE at (114) TULANE These AAC schools conclude their seasons, looking for improvement next year. Temple is 5-6 SU and ATS and has won and covered two of five away games this season. After last season s stunning 7-5 regular season which included a 3-0 SU and ATS mark as home underdogs, Tulane is 3-8 and 4-7 ATS in There has been one other contest, the 1935 Sugar Bowl. (115) HOUSTON at (116) CINCINNATI After being C-USA partners from 1996 to 2004, Cincinnati left for the Big East which has evolved into the ACC where these two schools hook up again. The Bearcats won at Houston as 2.5-point underdogs a year ago. From 1996 to 2002, Cincy was 4-3 SU and ATS and the home team was a sharp 6-1 against the oddsmaker. (117) KANSAS STATE at (118) BAYLOR These Big 12 clubs have gotten together fairly regularly in last 11 years, meeting on the gridiron eight times. On those occasions Kansas State has won the game five times, but Baylor has beaten the number in five instances. The visitor has not had much luck with a 2-6 ATS record, which includes three straight losses. The underdog has captured the past four. (119) OKLAHOMA STATE at (120) OKLAHOMA The Bedlam rivalry continues with Oklahoma trying to continue their dominance. The Sooners are 9-1 and 7-3 ATS in the past decade and enters this battle as the better team. After the favorite was 6-1 ATS from , the underdog has cashed tickets in three of four. Only twice in the past seven contests has the total been under The Over is 4-2 recently. (121) LOUISIANA TECH at (122) MARSHALL Marshall returns to the Conference USA championship, but their mood will be very important off their first loss of the season. The Thundering Herd has never played Louisiana Tech since becoming a D-1 member. Marshall is 5-1 and ATS at home while the Bulldogs are an outstanding 6-1 ATS on the road (4-3 SU). The two teams are a combined Over this season. (123) MISSOURI at (124) ALABAMA These SEC division champions faced off two years ago in Columbia and the Crimson Tide rolled as three-touchdown favorites. These two squads were a miracle field goal return from playing last season in this game. Missouri is 13-4 ATS the past two years in SEC action with Alabama 9-7 ATS in same span but always as much larger favorites. (125) GEORGIA TECH vs. (126) FLORIDA STATE The last time these two collided was the ACC championship two years ago, with Florida State getting by as 15.5-point favorites. Prior to this Georgia Tech was 2-12 and 7-7 ATS dating back to These squads have not played in a regular season game in five years and the Yellow Jackets have stung the Seminoles five straight and is 6-1 ATS since (127) WISCONSIN vs. (128) OHIO STATE Since 1999, the only two years these Big Ten division champions have not met was Ohio State has won the past three (2-0-1 ATS), but the dynamics of this game change dramatically without quarterback J.T. Barrett. In the last 15 years the underdog was 6-0 ATS, 0-3 against the number and is now the dog is ATS since (129) FRESNO STATE at (130) BOISE STATE Fresno State lost as 18-point road underdogs to the Broncos back on Oct. 17. That was the Bulldogs first cover in nine tries against Boise State and just their second in 14 games in this matchup. After the favorite winning 11 in a row, the underdog has taken the past two. The scores have been creeping up and the Over is 5-2 since VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION 15

17 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 Football Weekly CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP GAME HISTORICAL ANGLES The college football regular season essentially wraps up this weekend with a host of matchups, including the conference championship tilts for seven different leagues. These games will have a huge impact on which teams go where for the bowl games, including the prized BCS contests. Florida State and Ohio State are on a collision course for the national title games, but a loss on Saturday could eliminate either team from consideration. Both teams are favored in their respective games, but crazier things have happened, just look at last weekend. With that in mind, let s take a look at the recent history of the conference championship games, hoping to uncover some strong betting angles that we can put to work this weekend. Before getting into the specific games however, you should know that UNDERDOGS have been a remarkable wager overall in these contests since their inception, ATS (62.3%) in the currently active leagues. In regards to totals, OVER s have been the preferred flavor, (56.5%). MAC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (105) NORTHERN ILLINOIS (-6.5) VS. (106) BOWLING GREEN FORD FIELD, DETROIT, MI MAC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME LOG Date Team 1 (FL/FT) Scr Team 2 Scr Team SU Team ATS FAV/DOG SU FAV/DOG ATS O/U 12/5/97 MARSHALL 34 TOLEDO 14 MARSHALL N/A N/A N/A N/A 12/4/98 MARSHALL (-12, 48) 23 TOLEDO 17 MARSHALL (HOME) TOLEDO (ROAD) FAVORITE UNDERDOG UNDER 12/3/99 MARSHALL (-20, 56.5) 34 W MICHIGAN 30 MARSHALL (HOME) W MICHIGAN (ROAD) FAVORITE UNDERDOG OVER 12/2/00 MARSHALL (+6.5, 54.5) 19 W MICHIGAN 14 MARSHALL (HOME) MARSHALL (HOME) UNDERDOG UNDERDOG UNDER 11/30/01 TOLEDO (+2.5, 63.5) 41 MARSHALL 36 TOLEDO (HOME) TOLEDO (HOME) UNDERDOG UNDERDOG OVER 12/7/02 MARSHALL (-2.5, 62.5) 49 TOLEDO 45 MARSHALL (HOME) MARSHALL (HOME) FAVORITE FAVORITE OVER 12/4/03 BOWLING GREEN (+6.5, 57) 27 MIAMI OHIO 49 MIAMI OHIO (ROAD) MIAMI OHIO (ROAD) FAVORITE FAVORITE OVER 12/2/04 MIAMI OHIO (-1.5, 64) 27 TOLEDO 35 TOLEDO TOLEDO UNDERDOG UNDERDOG UNDER 12/1/05 N ILLINOIS (-13, 53.5) 30 AKRON 31 AKRON AKRON UNDERDOG UNDERDOG OVER 11/30/06 OHIO U (+3, 46.5) 10 C MICHIGAN 31 C MICHIGAN C MICHIGAN FAVORITE FAVORITE UNDER 12/1/07 C MICHIGAN (-3, 64) 35 MIAMI OHIO 10 C MICHIGAN C MICHIGAN FAVORITE FAVORITE UNDER 12/5/08 BUFFALO (+15, 62.5) 42 BALL ST 24 BUFFALO BUFFALO UNDERDOG UNDERDOG OVER 12/4/09 C MICHIGAN (-13.5, 57) 20 OHIO U 10 C MICHIGAN OHIO U FAVORITE UNDERDOG UNDER 12/3/10 MIAMI OHIO (+19.5, 55) 26 N ILLINOIS 7 MIAMI OHIO MIAMI OHIO UNDERDOG UNDERDOG UNDER 12/2/11 N ILLINOIS (-3.5, 71) 23 OHIO U 20 N ILLINOIS OHIO U FAVORITE UNDERDOG UNDER 11/30/12 KENT ST (+7, 60) 37 N ILLINOIS 44 N ILLINOIS TIE FAVORITE TIE OVER 12/6/13 N ILLINOIS (-3, 58) 27 BOWLING GREEN 47 BOWLING GREEN BOWLING GREEN UNDERDOG UNDERDOG OVER Friday s MAC title game will be the 11th one played at Ford Field in Detroit, and is a rematch of last year s championship tilt. Prior to that, games were played at participant host sites. Northern Illinois is 10-2 while Bowling Green comes in at 7-5. The winner of course will be here again in Detroit in just three short weeks or so its bowl game. The teams did not meet in the regular season. Here are some trends to consider regarding the 2014 MAC Championship game: Northern Illinois is making its fifth straight appearance in the MAC title game. The Huskies have won two times in that span, but are ATS in the games. In all, they are ATS all-time in this contest. Bowling Green won its first ever MAC championship by beating NIU as a 3-point dog last December. Underdogs are on a ATS run in the MAC title contest. The last favorite to win and cover the pointspread was Central Michigan in PAC 12 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (107) ARIZONA VS. (108) OREGON (-13.5) LEVI S STADIUM, SANTA CLARA, CA PAC 12 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME LOG Date Home Team (FL/FT) Scr Road Team Scr Team SU Team ATS FAV/DOG SU FAV/DOG ATS O/U 12/2/11 OREGON (-31, 67) 49 UCLA 31 OREGON (HOME) UCLA (ROAD) FAVORITE UNDERDOG OVER 11/30/12 STANFORD (-8.5, 47) 27 UCLA 24 STANFORD (HOME) UCLA (ROAD) FAVORITE UNDERDOG OVER 12/7/13 ARIZONA ST (-3, 52.5) 14 STANFORD 38 STANFORD (ROAD) STANFORD (ROAD) UNDERDOG UNDERDOG UNDER 16 Friday s Pac 12 Championship will be the fourth such contest, but the first one to be played on a neutral field, as Arizona and Oregon square off in the 49ers brand new Levi s Stadium. It should make for a fantastic host site for this event for years to come. Arizona (10-2) is representing the South Division for the first time, and also represents the only blemish on Oregon s season record. The Wildcats defeated the Ducks back in the first week of October. Oregon was in the inaugural Pac 12 title game back in 2011, and won that game but failed to cover the lofty 31-point spread. The Ducks will be in the college football 4-team playoff with a win, so the stakes are high for the conference. Here are some other quick handicapping tidbits concerning the 2014 Pac 12 Championship game: The most important Pac 12 title game trend of note is that the underdog teams have covered the pointspread in all three previous games, with Stanford pulling the outright upset last season over Arizona State. THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

18 Football Weekly Two of the three prior Pac 12 title games surpassed the posted total, with the only under occurring a year ago, when the Cardinal and Sun Devils feel a half-point shy of the number. The Pac 12 title game is one of only two rematches from an earlier season game of the conference championships. Back in October, the host Ducks fell to the Wildcats despite being favored by 21.5 points. Arizona won the yardage battle in that game and controlled the scoreboard for most of the contest thanks to a few key turnovers by the hosts. Oregon was a perfect 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS on the road this season and has for long been one of the country s best teams away from home, going 17-6 ATS over the L4 years. Arizona was 4-1 SU & 3-2 ATS on the road, including 2-1 SU & ATS as an underdog. CONFERENCE USA CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (121) LOUISIANA TECH AT (122) MARSHALL (-11) JOAN EDWARDS STADIUM - HUNTINGTON, WV CONFERENCE USA CHAMPIONSHIP GAME LOG Date Home Team (FL/FT) Scr Road Team Scr Team SU Team ATS FAV/DOG SU FAV/DOG ATS O/U 12/3/05 UCF (+2.5, 57) 27 TULSA 44 TULSA (ROAD) TULSA (ROAD) FAVORITE FAVORITE OVER 12/1/06 HOUSTON (-5.5, 53.5) 34 SOUTHERN MISS 20 HOUSTON (HOME) HOUSTON (HOME) FAVORITE FAVORITE OVER 12/1/07 UCF (-7.5, 73) 44 TULSA 25 UCF (HOME) UCF (HOME) FAVORITE FAVORITE UNDER 12/6/08 TULSA (-12, 66.5) 24 EAST CAROLINA 27 EAST CAROLINA (ROAD) EAST CAROLINA (ROAD) UNDERDOG UNDERDOG UNDER 12/5/09 EAST CAROLINA (+1, 68.5) 38 HOUSTON 32 EAST CAROLINA (HOME) EAST CAROLINA (HOME) UNDERDOG UNDERDOG OVER 12/4/10 UCF (-8, 56) 17 SMU 7 UCF (HOME) UCF (HOME) FAVORITE FAVORITE UNDER 12/3/11 HOUSTON (-12, 73) 28 SOUTHERN MISS 49 SOUTHERN MISS (ROAD) SOUTHERN MISS (ROAD) UNDERDOG UNDERDOG OVER 12/1/12 TULSA (-3, 52) 33 UCF 27 TULSA (HOME) TULSA (HOME) FAVORITE FAVORITE OVER 12/7/13 RICE (+6.5, 65) 41 MARSHALL 24 RICE (HOME) RICE (HOME) UNDERDOG UNDERDOG TIE Marshall and Louisiana Tech will be squaring off in the Conference USA championship game, with the host Herd playing as hefty favorites. They suffered their first loss of the season this past weekend, at home to Western Kentucky, so an unbeaten season and a likely New Year s Day bowl bid with a win here is no longer in the picture. Marshall makes its second straight appearance in this game after losing at Rice 12 months ago, as a 6.5-point favorite. They ll look to avoid a similar fate in 2014 against the upset-minded Bulldogs, who play in this game for the first time ever. They come in with an 8-4 record, winners of the West Division with a 7-1 league mark. Let s take a look at trends to consider regarding the 2014 Conference USA Championship game, the 10th such game of its kind: Favorites and underdogs have alternated wins over the past five seasons, making Marshall the preferred pattern play for Teams that have won outright in the C-USA title game are also 9-0 ATS in its history. Favorites own a 5-4 SU & ATS edge in the history of this championship series, but dogs have gotten the better of things of late, 4-2 SU & ATS in the L6. Teams that have scored 33 points or more in the CUSA title game are a perfect 7-0 SU & ATS. The Conference USA title game has been a high scoring series, with all but one game producing 51 points or more combined. The average point production has been 60.1 PPG, with this year s posted total about a touchdown higher than that. SEC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (123) MISSOURI VS. (124) ALABAMA (-14) GEORGIA DOME, ATLANTA, GA SEC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME LOG Date Team 1 (FL/FT) Scr Team 2 Scr Team SU Team ATS FAV/DOG SU FAV/DOG ATS O/U 12/5/92 ALABAMA (-10, 37) 28 FLORIDA 21 ALABAMA FLORIDA FAVORITE UNDERDOG OVER 12/4/93 ALABAMA (+4.5, 43.5) 13 FLORIDA 28 FLORIDA FLORIDA FAVORITE FAVORITE UNDER 12/3/94 FLORIDA (-7, 46.5) 24 ALABAMA 23 FLORIDA ALABAMA FAVORITE UNDERDOG OVER 12/2/95 ARKANSAS (+24, 56) 3 FLORIDA 34 FLORIDA ARKANSAS FAVORITE UNDERDOG UNDER 12/7/96 FLORIDA (-14, 48.5) 45 ALABAMA 30 FLORIDA FLORIDA FAVORITE FAVORITE OVER 12/6/97 TENNESSEE (-7.5, 58.5) 30 AUBURN 29 TENNESSEE AUBURN FAVORITE UNDERDOG OVER 12/5/98 TENNESSEE (-15, 48) 24 MISSISSIPPI ST 14 TENNESSEE MISSISSIPPI ST FAVORITE UNDERDOG UNDER 12/4/99 FLORIDA (-7, 51) 7 ALABAMA 34 ALABAMA ALABAMA UNDERDOG UNDERDOG UNDER 12/2/00 FLORIDA (-10, 51.5) 28 AUBURN 6 FLORIDA FLORIDA FAVORITE FAVORITE UNDER 12/8/01 TENNESSEE (-7, 54) 20 LSU 31 LSU LSU UNDERDOG UNDERDOG UNDER 12/7/02 GEORGIA (-9, 47) 30 ARKANSAS 3 GEORGIA GEORGIA FAVORITE FAVORITE UNDER 12/6/03 LSU (-3, 42) 34 GEORGIA 13 LSU LSU FAVORITE FAVORITE OVER 12/4/04 TENNESSEE (+14.5, 47.5) 28 AUBURN 38 AUBURN TENNESSEE FAVORITE UNDERDOG OVER 12/3/05 LSU (-2, 42) 14 GEORGIA 34 GEORGIA GEORGIA UNDERDOG UNDERDOG OVER 12/2/06 FLORIDA (-3, 44.5) 38 ARKANSAS 28 FLORIDA FLORIDA FAVORITE FAVORITE OVER 12/1/07 LSU (-7, 58) 21 TENNESSEE 14 LSU TIE FAVORITE TIE UNDER 12/6/08 FLORIDA (-10, 54) 31 ALABAMA 20 FLORIDA FLORIDA FAVORITE FAVORITE UNDER 12/5/09 ALABAMA (+5, 41) 32 FLORIDA 13 ALABAMA ALABAMA UNDERDOG UNDERDOG OVER 12/4/10 SOUTH CAROLINA (+4, 61.5) 17 AUBURN 56 AUBURN AUBURN FAVORITE FAVORITE OVER 12/3/11 LSU (-11.5, 46.5) 42 GEORGIA 10 LSU LSU FAVORITE FAVORITE OVER 12/1/12 GEORGIA (+8.5, 48) 28 ALABAMA 32 ALABAMA GEORGIA FAVORITE UNDERDOG OVER 12/7/13 AUBURN (+2.5, 59.5) 59 MISSOURI 42 AUBURN AUBURN UNDERDOG UNDERDOG OVER As always, the stakes for SEC Championship game are high, but a victory by Missouri could throw a wrench into the league s playoff hopes. The Tigers are 10-2 and playing in this game for a second straight season but are too far out of the playoff standings to make a splash in with an 17 VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

19 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 Football Weekly upset. Alabama (11-1) is regarded as one of the nation s best teams but without a conference championship on their record, the resume would be incomplete. Missouri got here by way of its East Division clinching win over Arkansas last weekend, while Alabama comes in off a huge win in the Iron Bowl game over rival Auburn. These teams have met just once since Missouri came to the SEC, a Tide win on the road in Let s take a look at some trends to consider regarding the 2014 SEC Championship game: Missouri is making its second straight SEC title game appearance and did play in the Big 12 title game a couple of times recently as well, making the Tigers no strangers to such stakes. However, they are 0-3 since 07 in conference championships, allowing 159 points in the process, or 53.0 PPG. Auburn hit them for 59 last year on 677 yards of offense. The SEC title game series is the longest standing league championship game. It all started in 1992 at Legion Field in Birmingham. In 1994, the game moved to the Georgia Dome and has been there ever since. Alabama is making its ninth appearance and boasts a 4-4 SU & 3-5 ATS record prior, winning its two most recent appearances. The West Division representative in the SEC title game has won five straight times, going 4-1 ATS. Georgia nearly upended heavily favored Alabama in The last five SEC title games, and nine of the L11 have gone OVER the total. Those five games have produced 66.2 PPG. All-time, favorites are 17-5 SU but dogs hold a ATS edge in SEC championship contests. ACC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (125) FLORIDA ST (-3.5) VS. (126) GEORGIA TECH BANK OF AMERICA STADIUM, CHARLOTTE, NC ACC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME LOG Date Team 1 (FL/FT) Scr Team 2 Scr Team SU Team ATS FAV/DOG SU FAV/DOG ATS O/U 12/3/05 FLORIDA ST (+14.5, 45) 27 VIRGINIA TECH 22 FLORIDA ST FLORIDA ST UNDERDOG UNDERDOG OVER 12/2/06 GEORGIA TECH (-1, 40) 6 WAKE FOREST 9 WAKE FOREST WAKE FOREST UNDERDOG UNDERDOG UNDER 12/1/07 BOSTON COLLEGE (+4, 48) 16 VIRGINIA TECH 30 VIRGINIA TECH VIRGINIA TECH FAVORITE FAVORITE UNDER 12/6/08 VIRGINIA TECH (+1, 38) 30 BOSTON COLLEGE 12 VIRGINIA TECH VIRGINIA TECH UNDERDOG UNDERDOG OVER 12/5/09 CLEMSON (+1, 56.5) 34 GEORGIA TECH 39 GEORGIA TECH GEORGIA TECH FAVORITE FAVORITE OVER 12/4/10 VIRGINIA TECH (-4.5, 51) 44 FLORIDA ST 33 VIRGINIA TECH VIRGINIA TECH FAVORITE FAVORITE OVER 12/3/11 CLEMSON (+7, 54) 38 VIRGINIA TECH 10 CLEMSON CLEMSON UNDERDOG UNDERDOG UNDER 12/1/12 GEORGIA TECH (+15.5, 59) 15 FLORIDA ST 21 FLORIDA ST GEORGIA TECH FAVORITE UNDERDOG UNDER 12/7/13 FLORIDA ST (-30, 66.5) 45 DUKE 7 FLORIDA ST FLORIDA ST FAVORITE FAVORITE UNDER Last year s ACC championship game boasted the biggest neutral field title game pointspread in college football top level history, as Florida State closed as a 30-point favorite over Duke. Nevertheless, the Seminoles still took care of business and won In this year s game, the third straight appearance for FSU, the motto is again take care of business, as doing that will land them in the college football playoff. Head coach Jimbo Fisher s team has been a bookmaker s dream this season, going 12-0 while failing to cover nine of those 12 pointspreads. Their opponent for this year s ACC title tilt is the same as it was two years ago, Georgia Tech. In that game, the Seminoles were also a heavy favorite (-15.5) but did what they ve continued to do this season, win without covering, Saturday s contest will mark the 10th game in the history of this league title series, and fifth appearance for FSU.the matchup pits a first time Coastal Division champ in Duke against the team that has represented the Atlantic Division the most times, the Seminoles, making their fourth appearance in the game. They are 3-1 SU & 2-2 ATS in the four prior contests. Tech has won one ACC title and lost twice in this game. These are some other angles you will want to consider regarding the 2014 ACC Championship game: The Atlantic Division has won three straight ACC title games, snapping a string of four straight wins by the Coastal Division from Outright winners are 8-1 ATS in the ACC title game series. Favorites of a touchdown or less are just 3-3 SU & ATS in this game all-time. The last three ACC title games all went UNDER the total. BIG 10 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (127) WISCONSIN (-4) VS. (128) OHIO ST LUCAS OIL STADIUM, INDIANAPOLIS, IN BIG TEN CHAMPIONSHIP GAME LOG Date Team 1 (FL/FT) Scr Team 2 Scr Team SU Team ATS FAV/DOG SU FAV/DOG ATS O/U 12/3/11 MICHIGAN ST (+9.5, 56) 39 WISCONSIN 42 WISCONSIN MICHIGAN ST FAVORITE UNDERDOG OVER 12/1/12 WISCONSIN (+3, 51) 70 NEBRASKA 31 WISCONSIN WISCONSIN UNDERDOG UNDERDOG OVER 12/7/13 MICHIGAN ST (+5.5, 53.5) 34 OHIO ST 24 MICHIGAN ST MICHIGAN ST UNDERDOG UNDERDOG OVER 18 The Big 10 title contest is playing just its fourth installment, but the combatants are no strangers to the surroundings, as Wisconsin is looking for its third conference title via these means and Ohio State returns for the second straight season. The big news surrounding the game is injuries, as quarterback J.T. Barrett will miss after breaking his ankle last weekend against Michigan. On the other sideline, RB Melvin Gordon, a top Heisman Trophy candidate, left last week s win over Minnesota with an ankle injury as well, but is considered probable to play. Because of this news, the pointspread has swung dramatically to what it would have been, and the Badgers now play as the favorites, with a probable Fiesta Bowl bid on the line. Here are some betting things to consider regarding the 2014 Big 10 Championship game: THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

20 Football Weekly Ohio State was ineligible for the Big 10 Championship in 2012, otherwise would have played in place of Wisconsin. The Buckeyes lost last year to Michigan State, Wisconsin won both the 2011 & 2012 Big 10 title contests, scoring 112 points in the process. They were only 1-1 ATS however, after nearly being upset by Michigan State in the inaugural game. Underdogs boast a perfect 3-0 ATS record in this title game series, and OVER the total is also 3-0. Considering that the Big 10 is not known for its explosive scoring, the 80.0 PPG produced in the first three championship contests is remarkable. These two teams did not meet in the regular season, however, Ohio State has beaten Wisconsin in each of the three seasons prior, including two in upset fashion. MOUNTAIN WEST CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (129) FRESNO STATE AT (130) BOISE STATE (-20) ALBERTSONS STADIUM - BOISE, ID MOUNTAIN WEST CHAMPIONSHIP GAME LOG Date Home Team (FL/FT) Scr Road Team Scr Team SU Team ATS FAV/DOG SU FAV/DOG ATS O/U 12/7/13 FRESNO ST (-2.5, 61) 24 UTAH ST 17 FRESNO ST (HOME) FRESNO ST (HOME) FAVORITE FAVORITE UNDER The Mountain West went to 12 teams before last year and will be showcasing a championship game for the second time on Saturday. It is no surprise to anyone that Boise State is one of the qualifying teams, and the Broncos will represent the East Division as a hefty 20-point favorite. The surprise team is Fresno State of the West Division, making a second straight appearance. What makes the Bulldogs such a surprise, and such heavy underdogs is that they were just 5-3 in league play and 6-6 overall. Most experts wrote them off for dead after a brutal 0-3 start in which they were outscored by 34.3 PPG in losses to USC, Utah, and Nebraska. With just one season of title game history to go on, here are some other quick facts to consider regarding the 2014 Mountain West Championship game: Fresno State and Boise State played one another in the regular season, with the host Broncos (-18) winning while outgaining the Bulldogs Boise State is on an incredible roll offensively, and since losing to Air Force in week five has scored 50.6 PPG. Running back Jay Ajayi has scored 28 touchdowns. Fresno State is just 2-4 SU & 3-3 ATS on the road this season and owns that same mark as an underdog. The Bulldogs are led by QB Brian Burrell, who had the unenviable task of replacing Derek Carr s production of a year ago. Fresno State was the MWC champ a year ago, beating Utah State as a 2.5-point favorite in this game a year ago. The 41 points combined were a full 20 points shy of the posted total. 19 VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

21 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 Football Weekly COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS (103) UCF [SU:8-3 ATS:7-4] AT (104) EAST CAROLINA ( ) [SU:8-3 ATS:5-6] DECEMBER 4, :30 PM on ESPN - DOWDY-FICKLEN STADIUM (GREENVILLE, NC) Offensive Offensive Statistics Statistics UCF [3.1] [7.6] [3.3] [5.0] EAST CAROLINA [5.3] [7.7] [3.2] [6.6] Central Florida will be out to claim a share of the AAC title with at least Memphis when they travel to East Carolina. The Knights defense is strong enough to get the job done at just 16.8 PPG allowed, but the offense is problematic because they are averaging three turnovers a game in last seven contests. Despite this, UCF is 8-1 and 7-2 ATS since Week 4. Quarterback Shane Carden and the East Carolina offense averages 37.8 PPG this season, but an inconsistent defense left them out of the title chase and they are only 1-6 ATS in conference play. The Pirates are 6-1 SU (2-2 ATS) when Central Florida plays at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium. UCF is 8-2 ATS(L3Y) - Against decent offensive teams averaging more than 5.7 yards per play(cs) EAST CAROLINA is 5-12 ATS(L5Y) - Against efficient defenses allowing more than 15.7 yards per point(cs) UCF is 8-3 UNDER(L2Y) - Against inefficient defenses allowing less than 15.3 yards per point(cs) MAC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (105) N ILLINOIS ( ) [SU:10-2 ATS:6-6] VS (106) BOWLING GREEN [SU:7-5 ATS:4-7-1] DECEMBER 5, :00 PM on ESPN2 - FORD FIELD (DETROIT, MI)[NEUT] N ILLINOIS [5.0] [7.3] [4.1] [7.0] BOWLING GREEN [4.6] [6.5] [4.9] [7.1] Since falling at Central Michigan, Northern Illinois has won six in a row and covered three of their past four to become MAC West champions for the fifth consecutive year. What made this more impressive is four of the wins came on the road. The Huskies can focus their attention on payback having lost in this same game to Bowling Green as three-point favorites a year ago. NIU comes in 11-0 ATS off a MAC upset win as an underdog. The Falcons lost preseason All-MAC quarterback Matt Johnson in their first game of the season yet prevailed to win the MAC East again. However, they are off two losses, yet are 19-8 ATS off an upset setback. N ILLINOIS is ATS(L3Y) NON HOME GAMES - VS MAC BOWLING GREEN is ATS(L5Y) - Against elite rushing teams averaging more than 5.0 yards per carry(cs) BOWLING GREEN is 8-2 UNDER(L2Y) - Against decent-scoring teams averaging 30 PPG or more(cs) PAC 12 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (107) ARIZONA [SU:10-2 ATS:5-7] VS (108) OREGON ( ) [SU:11-1 ATS:8-4] DECEMBER 5, :00 PM on FOX - LEVIS STADIUM (SANTA CLARA, CA)[NEUT] ARIZONA (8) [4.7] [7.2] [3.9] [7.2] OREGON (3) [5.4] [10.2] [4.2] [6.7] Oregon will be in a rare double revenge situation in the Pac-12 title tilt in Santa Clara against flabbergasting Arizona. The Ducks were stunned in Eugene as 21.5-point favorites by the Wildcats and that was coming off a thrashing they suffered in Tucson on Nov. 23rd in Marcus Mariota and Oregon appear to be playing to talent level and are 17-4 ATS after gaining 7.25 or more yards a play in consecutive games. Arizona will attempt to do what seems impossible, down the Ducks three times in 54 weeks. The Wildcats just being in this game is a shocker and confidence will not be an issue. Let s see if Arizona can control the line of scrimmage again. 20 OREGON is 9-1 ATS(L2Y) - Against efficient offenses averaging less than 13.2 yards per point(cs) ARIZONA is ATS(L5Y) NON HOME GAMES - Against decent rushing teams averaging more than 4.4 yards per carry(cs) ARIZONA is 10-2 UNDER(L2Y) - Against efficient defenses allowing more than 15.7 yards per point(cs) THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

22 Football Weekly COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS (109) SMU [SU:0-11 ATS:3-8] AT (110) CONNECTICUT ( ) [SU:2-9 ATS:2-9] DECEMBER 6, :00 PM on CBSSN - RENTSCHLER FIELD (HARTFORD, CT) SMU [2.9] [4.7] [5.2] [8.8] CONNECTICUT [3.0] [6.0] [4.1] [6.6] With Connecticut 2-9 and SMU winless, they storylines for this contest are about what they can do to improve next year. First-year coach Bob Diaco has already stated Memphis as the benchmark, going from 3-9 to at least a share of the AAC crown. Diaco s defense showed improvement but tired down the stretch because the offense averaged a miserable 15.1 PPG. UConn is 2-9 ATS this season. SMU has failed to reach 10 points in seven of their 11 defeats and this is horrible team which was riddled with injuries. The Mustangs will have a whole new coaching staff next year and it s hard to imagine they can improve on 3-8 ATS record this season here. SMU is 9-3 ATS(L3Y) - Against inefficient offenses averaging more than 15.3 yards per point(cs) CONNECTICUT is 1-9 ATS(CS) - VS Non-ranked team CONNECTICUT is 7-1 UNDER(L3Y) at HOME - VS OPP with more than 6 days rest (111) IOWA ST [SU:2-9 ATS:4-7] AT (112) TCU (-34 68) [SU:10-1 ATS:9-2] DECEMBER 6, :00 PM on ABC - AMON CARTER STADIUM (FORT WORTH, TX) IOWA ST [3.8] [6.0] [5.7] [7.1] TCU (4) [5.4] [7.8] [3.0] [7.3] TCU has two jobs this week, finish in a first place tie in the Big 12 and to impress the bowl committee they belong among the top 4 teams in the country. The Horned Frogs are better than 30-point favorites in their season finale and realistically cannot impress the committee but they can affirm they belong by winning by 40 or more points in convincing fashion. TCU is 9-2 ATS this season. Iowa State is 2-9 (4-6-1 ATS) and it s only wins have come against Iowa and Toledo. The Cyclones are 123rd in total defense and are surrendering 5.7 yards a carry. Iowa State is 2-10 ATS versus teams averaging 4.75 or more yards a carry since TCU is 10-2 ATS(L5Y) - Against pathetic defensive teams allowing more than 35 PPG(CS) IOWA ST is 2-8 ATS(L5Y) on ROAD - Against decent rushing teams averaging more than 4.4 yards per carry(cs) IOWA ST is 8-2 OVER(L2Y) - Against decent rushing teams averaging more than 4.4 yards per carry(cs) (113) TEMPLE ( ) [SU:5-6 ATS:5-6] AT (114) TULANE [SU:3-8 ATS:4-7] DECEMBER 6, :30 PM on ESPN2 - YULMAN STADIUM (NEW ORLEANS, LA) TEMPLE [3.6] [5.9] [3.8] [6.4] TULANE [4.2] [5.6] [4.3] [7.4] Temple is attempting to finish.500 and become bowl eligible (unlikely they would get bid however), which would be a nice upgrade after a 2-10 campaign. The biggest upside for coach Matt Rhule s squad has been on defense, holding opposing teams to 18.8 PPG, which is 11th nationally. This is remarkable when you consider the Owls offense was 125th (out of 128) in time of possession. Tulane took a step backwards this season at 3-8 (4-7 ATS) after going to bowl game for the first time in 11 years in The Green Wave could not overcome an offense only putting up 17.2 PPG. Tulane however is 9-2 ATS at home against recent conference foes. TEMPLE is 8-3 ATS(L5Y) on ROAD - Against lesser offensive teams averaging less than 5.0 yards per play(cs) TULANE is 4-7 ATS(CS) - All Games TEMPLE is 8-2 UNDER(L5Y) on ROAD - As favorite 21 VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

23 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 Football Weekly COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS (115) HOUSTON [SU:7-4 ATS:6-5] AT (116) CINCINNATI ( ) [SU:8-3 ATS:7-4] DECEMBER 6, :00 PM on ESPN - PAUL BROWN STADIUM (CINCINNATI, OH) HOUSTON [4.7] [6.2] [3.5] [6.0] CINCINNATI [4.6] [7.8] [4.6] [7.4] Cincinnati goes after a share of the AAC title hosting Houston. The Bearcats are 6-0 SU and ATS since losing three in row and are peaking under coach Tommy Tuberville. Gunner Kiel has played well in his first season as a starting quarterback and has still has ample room for improvement, especially with mechanics. The Bearcats defense ranks 94th in yards allowed, but they have held consecutive opponents out of the end zone and are 7-2 SU and ATS against Houston, including 4-0 SU and ATS at home. The Cougars have speed and ability, but never completely gelled as a victory at Memphis (28-24) and losing to Tulane (24-31) at home proves. Houston is 9-2 ATS in conference away games. HOUSTON is 9-2 ATS(L3Y) - Against efficient defenses allowing more than 15.7 yards per point(cs) CINCINNATI is 3-7 ATS(L5Y) - Against solid passing defenses yielding less than 6.15 yards per attempt(cs) HOUSTON is 9-3 UNDER(L3Y) - Against decent-scoring teams averaging 30 PPG or more(cs) (117) KANSAS ST [SU:9-2 ATS:8-3] AT (118) BAYLOR ( ) [SU:10-1 ATS:7-4] DECEMBER 6, :45 PM on ESPN - MCLANE STADIUM (WACO, TX) KANSAS ST (9) [4.0] [9.1] [3.6] [6.5] BAYLOR (5) [4.7] [8.8] [3.0] [7.3] As opposed to TCU, Baylor has a chance to impress those picking the four teams for the playoffs with a convincing triumph over Kansas State. This might not come easy since we do not know the concussion status of QB Bryce Petty. Also, the Bears pass defense was torched for over 600 yards by Texas Tech as they hung on to defeat the Red Raiders Baylor is just 1-4 ATS versus K-State. If the Bears secondary could not stop Texas Tech pass catchers, they will not enjoy chasing the Wildcats Tyler Lockett, now the school s all-time leader in receptions. QB Jake Waters can fling the pigskin around and his team is sixth in the country at 9.1 yards per attempt. KANSAS ST is 11-1 ATS(L3Y) - Against strong passing teams averaging more than 7.9 yards per attempt(cs) BAYLOR is 5-10 ATS(L5Y) - Against good teams with 80%+ winning pct(cs) BAYLOR is 9-1 OVER(L5Y) at HOME - Against efficient defenses allowing more than 15.7 yards per point(cs) (119) OKLAHOMA ST [SU:5-6 ATS:4-7] AT (120) OKLAHOMA (-20 60) [SU:8-3 ATS:5-6] DECEMBER 6, :30 PM on FS1 - OKLAHOMA MEMORIAL STADIUM AT OWEN FIELD (NORMAN, OK) OKLAHOMA ST [3.5] [7.5] [4.0] [7.9] OKLAHOMA (18) [6.3] [7.3] [3.1] [6.8] The Bedlam game will lack the national vibe of the last several meetings, but inside Memorial Stadium, the intensity will be as strong as ever. Both teams might be starting quarterbacks which have not spent much time on the gridiron due to injury. At least Oklahoma can turn to bulldozing RB Samaje Perine, who leads the Big 12 with 1,428 rushing yards and 19 touchdowns, leading an offense which averages 265 yards on the ground and a superlative 6.3 YPC. Oklahoma State does not have the bell-cow this season, which is why they are only at 138 YPG rushing. True freshman QB Mason Rudolph played well against Baylor, but his team is 1-9 and 3-7 ATS vs. the Sooners. 22 OKLAHOMA ST is 13-4 ATS(L5Y) - Against solid rushing defenses yielding less than 3.35 yards per carry(cs) OKLAHOMA is 3-8 ATS(L5Y) at HOME - Against decent passing teams averaging more than 7.5 yards per attempt(cs) OKLAHOMA ST is 9-1 OVER(L3Y) - VS OPP with more than 6 days rest THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

24 Football Weekly COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS CONF-USA CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (121) LOUISIANA TECH [SU:8-4 ATS:9-3] AT (122) MARSHALL ( ) [SU:11-1 ATS:7-4-1] DECEMBER 6, :00 PM on ESPN2 - JOAN C. EDWARDS STADIUM (HUNTINGTON, WV) LOUISIANA TECH [4.3] [7.7] [3.3] [6.4] MARSHALL [7.1] [8.8] [3.7] [5.9] Coach Doc Holliday and his Marshall staff have their work cut out for them even though his team has a chance to be C-USA champions. Dreams of an unbeaten season and possibly a New Year s Day bowl ended with dramatic OT home loss to Western Kentucky. QB Rakeem Cato is the team s emotional leader, but his emotions can be counter-productive, like the four picks he had last week. The Thundering Herd is 9-2 ATS as home favorites. Louisiana Tech suffered a pair of curious defeats (Northwestern State and Old Dominion) this season, yet was 6-1 down the stretch to advance to this contest. The Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS on the road and have nothing to lose, making them dangerous. LOUISIANA TECH is 9-3 ATS(CS) - All Games MARSHALL is 6-9 ATS(L5Y) - Against efficient offenses averaging less than 13.2 yards per point(cs) LOUISIANA TECH is 11-1 OVER(L3Y) - Against efficient offenses averaging less than 13.2 yards per point(cs) SEC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (123) MISSOURI [SU:10-2 ATS:8-4] VS (124) ALABAMA ( ) [SU:11-1 ATS:4-7] DECEMBER 6, :00 PM on CBS - THE GEORGIA DOME (ATLANTA, GA)[NEUT] MISSOURI (14) [4.5] [6.3] [3.4] [5.9] ALABAMA (1) [5.1] [8.7] [2.9] [6.2] It s about time Missouri gets some legitimate respect, being the two-time SEC East champs after being picked fourth each of the past two years. They did so with pressure in both instances, needing to win out after a mid-october loss. Once again the Tigers will face a fantastic offensive team and must find ways to turnover Alabama to move to 12-3 ATS against winning teams. The Crimson Tide is the odds on favorite to not only win another SEC championship but become the kings of college football again. The offense is lethal even when QB Blake Sims makes mistakes and the defense can dominate. Alabama has a big edge on offense and is ATS after six or more consecutive W s. MISSOURI is 11-1 ATS(L2Y) NON HOME GAMES - All Games ALABAMA is 3-8 ATS(L2Y) NON HOME GAMES - All Games ALABAMA is OVER(L3Y) - as double digit favorite ACC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (125) FLORIDA ST ( ) [SU:12-0 ATS:3-9] VS (126) GEORGIA TECH [SU:10-2 ATS:8-4] DECEMBER 6, :00 PM on ABC - BANK OF AMERICA STADIUM (CHARLOTTE, NC)[NEUT] FLORIDA ST (2) [4.2] [8.2] [3.7] [7.0] GEORGIA TECH ( [6.0] [9.2] [5.1] [7.2] Is this were Florida State finally stumbles? At some point it would seem committing all these turnovers will bite you no matter how resilient you are. And Georgia Tech s option offense is a bear to prepare for and play against and can mentally wear teams down. The Seminoles are the first lone unbeaten team in 21 years not to ranked No. 1 at this point of the season. Can they make it 29 straight wins? After falling to Duke and North Carolina in mid-season, the Yellow Jackets were dismissed, but they did not quit and enter this contest on a 5-0 SU and ATS streak. The ground attack is relentless and the defense has forced 17 turnovers in this stretch. GEORGIA TECH is 8-4 ATS(CS) - All Games FLORIDA ST is 3-9 ATS(CS) - All Games FLORIDA ST is 9-3 UNDER(L5Y) - as favorite of 7 or less points 23 VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

25 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 Football Weekly COLLEGE FOOTBALL MATCHUPS BIG 10 CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (127) WISCONSIN ( ) [SU:10-2 ATS:5-7] VS (128) OHIO ST [SU:11-1 ATS:7-5] DECEMBER 6, :17 PM on FOX - LUCAS OIL STADIUM (INDIANAPOLIS, IN)[NEUT] WISCONSIN (11) [7.2] [7.0] [3.0] [6.1] OHIO ST (6) [5.6] [8.9] [4.0] [6.0] If you use or study power rankings, by any measure, the loss of quarterback J.T. Barrett is worth seven points, which is why Ohio State comes into this title game as an underdog. Backup Cardale Jones comes into an impossible situation and faces the No. 2 total defense in the land. The Buckeyes defense could help, but this group has allowed almost 200 YPG rushing in the past four games and faces Melvin Gordon. Without a true passing game, Wisconsin was only 5-7 ATS this year, but ran the ball expertly and the defense exceeded all expectations. The Badgers are 11-2 ATS vs. foes averaging 31 or more points and strive for third conference crown in four seasons. WISCONSIN is ATS(L2Y) - Against high-scoring teams averaging 32 PPG or more(cs) OHIO ST is ATS(L2Y) - Against decent defensive teams yielding less than 5.0 yards per play(cs) OHIO ST is 9-1 OVER(L3Y) - Against good teams with 80%+ winning pct(cs) MOUNTAIN WEST CHAMPIONSHIP GAME (129) FRESNO ST [SU:6-6 ATS:6-6] AT (130) BOISE ST (-20 68) [SU:10-2 ATS:7-5] DECEMBER 6, :00 PM on CBS - ALBERTSONS STADIUM (BOISE, ID) FRESNO ST [4.8] [6.1] [4.7] [8.5] BOISE ST (22) [5.0] [8.7] [4.2] [6.6] Not sure what to make of Boise State. One thought is they played the only team to knock off Alabama (Ole Miss) even for three quarters in opening game loss and fell to the Air Force because of seven turnovers. Nevertheless, the Broncos were only 4-4 ATS in Mountain West play and one of the spread losses was to Fresno State, as 18-point favorites. The MWC West was abysmal, but the Bulldogs took control with a 3-0 finish and will defend their conference title. If Fresno State can play a clean game, they could make this interesting because the offense has improved. Though Fresno State earned the earlier cover, they are 2-12 ATS against Boise State lifetime. FRESNO ST is 11-2 ATS(L5Y) on ROAD - Against decent rushing teams averaging more than 4.4 yards per carry(cs) BOISE ST is 2-11 ATS(L5Y) at HOME - Against lesser defensive teams yielding more than 5.7 yards per play(cs) FRESNO ST is 13-1 OVER(L5Y) - Against strong passing teams averaging more than 7.9 yards per attempt(cs) 24 THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

26 Football Weekly COLLEGE FOOTBALL TOP WEEKLY TRENDS TEAMS TO PLAY ON $780 (107) ARIZONA VS (108) OREGON OREGON is 10-2 ATS(L3Y) - VS AP top 25 ( $780 Profit with a 59.1% ROI ) TEAMS TO PLAY AGAINST $580 (129) FRESNO ST AT (130) BOISE ST BOISE ST is 2-8 ATS(L5Y) at HOME - Against poor defensive teams yielding more than 6.0 yards per play(cs) ( $580 Profit with a 52.7% ROI ) $780 (123) MISSOURI VS (124) ALABAMA MISSOURI is 10-2 ATS(L2Y) - Against strong passing teams averaging more than 7.9 yards per attempt(cs) ( $780 Profit with a 59.1% ROI ) $480 (127) WISCONSIN VS (128) OHIO ST OHIO ST is ATS(L2Y) - Against decent rushing teams averaging more than 4.4 yards per carry(cs) ( $480 Profit with a 43.6% ROI ) $1090 (117) KANSAS ST AT (118) BAYLOR KANSAS ST is ATS(L5Y) on ROAD - Against decent teams outscoring opponents by more than 7 points per game(cs) ( $1090 Profit with a 70.8% ROI ) $690 (109) SMU AT (110) CONNECTICUT CONNECTICUT is ATS(L3Y) - Against weak defensive teams allowing more than 31.5 PPG(CS) ( $690 Profit with a 62.7% ROI ) GAMES TO PLAY OVER $670 (127) WISCONSIN VS (128) OHIO ST WISCONSIN is 10-3 OVER(L5Y) - Against high-scoring teams averaging 32 PPG or more(cs) ( $670 Profit with a 46.9% ROI ) GAMES TO PLAY UNDER $660 (115) HOUSTON AT (116) CINCINNATI CINCINNATI is 11-4 UNDER(L5Y) - as favorite of 7 or less points ( $660 Profit with a 40.0% ROI ) $770 (123) MISSOURI VS (124) ALABAMA MISSOURI is 11-3 OVER(L5Y) - Against prolific-scoring teams averaging 36 PPG or more(cs) ( $770 Profit with a 50.0% ROI ) $670 (107) ARIZONA VS (108) OREGON OREGON is 10-3 UNDER(L3Y) - Against decent rushing teams averaging more than 4.4 yards per carry(cs) ( $670 Profit with a 46.9% ROI ) $890 (121) LOUISIANA TECH AT (122) MARSHALL LOUISIANA TECH is 10-1 OVER(L5Y) - Against good teams with 70%+ winning pct(cs) ( $890 Profit with a 73.6% ROI ) $670 (113) TEMPLE AT (114) TULANE TEMPLE is 10-3 UNDER(L5Y) - Against poor passing teams averaging less than 6.15 yards per attempt(cs) ( $670 Profit with a 46.9% ROI ) 25 VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

27 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 Football Weekly FOOTBALL LINE MOVES It is the last weekend of the college football and we are down to the last quarter of the regular season in the NFL. Here are the early line moves for this week s gridiron action. CFB Thursday (103) CENTRAL FLORIDA at (104) EAST CAROLINA 7:30 ET ESPN The total in this AAC action is down a point to 54.5 and that would suggest football bettors are thinking Central Florida s top-ranked scoring defense (16.8 PPG) in the conference might dictate the tempo. However, UCF is OVER on the conference road and East Carolina is 11-0 OVER after scoring 31 or more points in a trio of outings. Our Take Lean Over CFB Friday (105) NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. (106) BOWLING GREEN 7:00 ET ESPN2 The Huskies will not be dogs in the MAC title tilt, elevated from -5.5 to -6.5 over Bowling Green. Reasons as to why include Northern Illinois on a six-game winning streak with the defense forcing turnovers and the offense converting into points. The Falcons have lost two in a row and NIU losing in this same contest to Bowling Green a year ago. Our Take Bowling Green covers CFB (109) SMU at (110) CONNECTICUT 12:00 ET CBSSN Connecticut is 2-9 SU and ATS, only scored 15.1 points a game yet they are a growing favorite. The Huskies are up a digit to because SMU is the worst team in country at 0-11 and is being outscored by a ginormous 33.7 PPG. The offense averages a 9.6 PPG, which is punier than Rob Lowe s arms in the latest Direct TV commercial. Our Take Connecticut covers NFL (101) DALLAS at (102) CHICAGO 8:25 ET NFLN The Dallas defense is showing signs of vulnerability, allowing 26.5 PPG in November, while the Chicago is no longer the Monsters of the Midway in conceding 28.1 PPG this season. This combination has helped push the total from 50 to This could be correct with the Bears 7-1 OVER as an underdog and the Cowboys 10-2 OVER off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a home favorite. Our Take Play Over NFL (157) HOUSTON at (158) JACKSONVILLE 1:00 ET CBS Jacksonville s win over the Giants did nothing to enhance their chances for consecutive victories. The Jaguars have been bumped from +3.5 to +5 with those making football picks not convinced Jacksonville can duplicate its last effort. Here is something to ponder about the AFC South encounter, the SU winner is ATS since Our Take Lean Houston NFL (161) CAROLINA at (162) NEW ORLEANS 1:00 ET FOX New Orleans offense is beginning to play like its old self and both the Saints and Panthers defenses are surrendering better than 26 points a contest. Thus the total is percolating from 48 to Carolina is 8-1 OVER on the road after a defeat and New Orleans is 6-0 OVER at the Superdome after posting a 1-2 ATS record in last three outings. Our Take Play Over NFL (171) KANSAS CITY at (172) ARIZONA 4:05 ET CBS Arizona has one garbage time touchdown in their last 11 quarters with QB Drew Stanton at the controls, yet they have been taken from a Pick to -1.5 over Kansas City. Being home should help the Cardinals who are 6-0 and 5-1 ATS in their building. Also, Arizona can focus on stopping the Chiefs running game since they do not have one touchdown to a wide receiver this season. Our Take Lean Arizona 26 CFB (111) IOWA STATE at (112) TCU 12:00 ET ABC This is not a spot many coaches enjoy, but TCU s Gary Patterson understands his team has to win by a larger margin over Iowa State to have a chance to secure a Final Four bid in its final impression. Football bettors concur and lifted the Horned Frogs from to -34. TCU is a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS at home this season and needs to run up the score. Our Take Lean TCU CFB (119) OKLAHOMA STATE at (120) OKLAHOMA 3:30 ET FS1 The Bedlam game carries little importance outside Oklahoma this year, except to those betting football, who have shoved the Sooners from to -19. With two back-up quarterbacks starting, Oklahoma s superior running game, better defense and playing at home is considered the difference. The Sooners are 7-3 ATS over Oklahoma State the last decade in this conflict. Our Take Oklahoma covers NFL (175) SEATTLE at (176) PHILADELPHIA 4:25 ET FOX Found it intriguing Seattle started as Pick at Philadelphia, which is definitive statement by oddsmakers whom they think is the better team. The wagering public has since moved the Eagles to -1 with Philly a perfect 6-0 SU at the Linc this season. However, impossible to disregard the Seahawks are 10-1 ATS as underdog the past three years. Our Take Lean Seattle NFL Monday (179) ATLANTA at (180) GREEN BAY 8:30 ET ESPN Atlanta is averaging 18.9 PPG on the road compared to 30.1 PPG in the comfort of the Georgia Dome. With Green Bay s defense improving, the total has drifted downward from 55 to 54. Weather of course is always a factor this time of year at Lambeau, which could change conditions, but we ll go the other way with Packers pass-catchers torching Atlanta s secondary. Our Take Lean Over Records: College NFL THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION