mvam NigeriaBuletin#6:January/February2017 Whilefoodaccesshasincreasedforsome,theupcominglean-seasonandincreasingpricespresentsadiresituation.

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1 mvam NigeriaBuletin#6: KeyPoints Inthelastsixmonths,thenumberofdisplacedhouseholdsthat arefoodinsecurehasdecreased,whilethenumberoffood insecurehouseholdsamongresidentshasincreasedslightly. Overal,theproportionofhouseholdswithnotenoughfoodand moneyhasdecreased,butthoseinneedarecontinuingtorelyon desperatestrategiesinordertoeat. Pricesforcommoditieshaverisenwhilemanuallaborwageshave remainedstagnant,resultinginfurtherloweringofhousehold purchasingpower. Improvementscouldbeattributedtoassistanceandseasonality (post-harvestperiod).householdfoodstocksareexpectedto depleteasthelean-seasonapproachesinapril/may. W FP/Vornic Context TheefectsofconflicthavedevastatedlivelihoodsandfoodsecurityinNorth-EastNigeria.Currently,5.1milionpeopleareestimatedtobefoodinsecurewith55,000 peopleestimatedlivinginfamine-likeconditions.whiletheunitednationsandpartnershavescaledupefortstoprovideemergencyfoodassistance,humanitarian accessinmanyareas,especialyinbornostate,remainsachalenge.intheupcominglean-seasoninapril/may,alreadytenuoushouseholdfoodstocksmaybe exhausted.withoutincreasedassistanceandagriculturalinputsaheadoftherains,householdsarelikelytofalintoevenworsenedconditions.inordertomonitorfood securityconditionsandinform humanitarianresponse,sincejanuarywfpandnemacontinuetoremotelycolectbasicfoodsecurityandmarketdatainnorth-east Nigeria. Foradditionalinformation: NigeriaVAM Team:nigeria.VAM@wfp.org RegionalBureauDakar:rbd.vam@wfp.org Jean-MartinBauer:jean-martin.bauer@wfp.org website:htp://vam.wfp.org/sites/mvam_monitoring/ blog:mvam.org toolkit:htp://resources.vam.wfp.org/mvam

2 mvam NigeriaBuletin#6: Datacolectionfrom January9thtoFebruary6th2017markedthefifthroundofremotemonitoringofhouseholdinformationinNigeriausinglivecals.Toestimatechanges infoodsecuritymeasuresandpricesinthelastsixmonths,respondentsfrom thejune/julysurveyround(htp://bit.ly/2bhigi6)werere-contacted.oftheoriginal 6,107respondents,75% ofrespondentsweresuccessfulyre-contacted.asthemapandfiguresbelow ilustrate,thecompositionofre-contactedrespondentswassimilarto therespondentsinjune/july.additionaly,toaugmentthesample,976respondentsfrom January/February/Marchrounds(htp://bit.ly/1sYnVTK)werealso re-contacted.inthisreport,wheretimetrendsarepresented,onlyrespondentswhocompletedsurveysinjune/julyandareused. respondentsinareincludedwhencurrentestimatesaregiven. Forthepurposeofanalysis,LocalGovernmentAreas(LGAs)havebeenaggregatedintozoneswithsimilarsecurityandlivelihoodcharacteristics.Resultsarenotpresented forthreeconflictaflictedzonesinbornoandyobestatewithoutsuficientsamplesize.inthisreport,figuresareviewablebyresidencestatus,sexofheadofhouseholdand accesstoelectricity(usedasaproxymeasureforpoverty).readersarecautionedagainstmakinginferencesfrom geographicanddemographicselectionswithsmalsample sizesandalsotonotethatrespondentsreachedviamobilephonearelikelytobeyounger,moreeducatedandmoreinurbanareasthanthelargerpopulation.additional methodologicalinformationincludingthequestionnaireisavailableonlineathtp://bit.ly/2mrrzhy MapofResponsesbyLGA bysurveyround ResidenceStatusbySurveyRound Resident 86% Returnee 5% Displaced 8% AccesstoElectricitybySurveyRound Eletricity(powergridor generator) 73% Noelectricity 27% SexofHeadofHouseholdbySurveyRound June/July 92% W oman 8%

3 mvam NigeriaBuletin#6: Comparingresultsfrom thelastsurveyroundintheleanseason(june/july)tothis roundinthepost-harvestperiod(),foodconsumptionhasimproved modestlyfordisplacedandreturneehouseholds,whileithasworsenedslightlyforresidents. Theseresultscouldbeindicativeoftargetedassistanceefortstodisplacedhouseholdswhile theresidentpopulationhasbeenmoreexposedtoandafectedbyrestrictedagricultural productionandtradeinthenorth-east. Atpresent,foodconsumptionisthepoorestinBornoStatewheretheconflictragesand manyareasremaininaccessible.inthemaidiguri/jerearea,improvementsinfood consumptionfordisplacedpersonsinthelastsixmonthshavebeenmodest.inyobe, improvementsinfoodconsumptionamongdisplacedpeoplearevisibleindamaturubutare lesspronouncedinpotiskum. InAdamawa,wherethesituationhasbeenrelativelystable, improvementsappeartobemostsubstantialintheyolanorth/southurbanareaandlessso intheformerconflictareasborderingbornostate. ChangeinFCS AverageChangeinFoodConsumptionScorebyLGA Zone June/July- Foodconsumptiongroupsbysurveyroundanddemographicgroups SexofHeadofHousehold AverageChangeinFoodconsumptiongroupsbydemographicgroups SexofHeadofHousehold W oman 62% 59% 58% 59% 22% 26% 16% 15% 23% 23% 20% 18% W oman June/July June/July MedianChangeinFCSbetweenJune/Julyand

4 mvam NigeriaBuletin#6: AveragereducedCopingStrategiesIndex(rCSI)byLGA Zone Overal,theproportionofhouseholdswithnotenoughfoodormoneytobuyfood hasdecreasedinthelast6monthsforalgroupsandinalgeographiczones,with varyinglevelsofimprovement. Whenfamiliesstatedtheydidnothaveenoughfoodorenoughmoneytobuyfood, weaskedthem how manytimesinthepastweektheyreliedontwoseverecoping strategies:restrictingconsumptionandborrowing/seekinghelp.acrossnearlyal groupsandgeographicareas,theaveragenumberofdaysfamiliesborrowedor restrictedfoodstayedeitherthesameorworsened. Theseresultssuggestthatwhileaccesstofood/moneyhasincreasedformany households,thoseinneedarestilrelyingondesperatestrategiesinordertoeat. AveragerCSI % householdswithoutenoughfood/moneybydemographicgroups ResidenceStatus Averagechangeincopingstrategiesbydemographicgroups SexofHeadofHousehold Displaced Resident Returnee Restrictingconsumption-Jun/Jul Restrictingconsumption-Jan/Feb % 38% 40% 51% 33% 51% Borrowingorrelyingonhelp-Jun/Jul Borrowingorrelyingonhelp-Jan/Feb 2017 Woman Restrictingconsumption-Jun/Jul 70% 62% 60% 49% 67% 49% Restrictingconsumption-Jan/Feb2017 Borrowingorrelyingonhelp-Jun/Jul Borrowingorrelyingonhelp-Jan/Feb 2017 June/July- January/ February-2017 June/July- January/ February-2017 June/July- January/ February Mediannumberofdaysusingnegativecopingstrategy

5 mvam NigeriaBuletin#6: MapofLGA zones-selectareatoview figuresbyzone Despitegeneralyfavorableharvestsinthecountry,intheNorthEast,limited agriculturalproductionduetoconflict,generalefectsoftheniara sdepreciationand restrictedtradehaveledtoincreasedprices.comparingpricesoverthelastsix months,averageincreasesfrom 15% to35% incommoditiesisobserved.inthe sameperiod,manuallaborwageshavenotincreasedresultinginsignificantlyreduced purchasingpowerforhouseholds. In,termsoftradevaryby commoditybutaregeneralyhigherinurbancentersofeachstate. AcrossthethreeStates,nearly70-80% ofrespondentsreportaccesstomarkets. ThismostrecentinformationcorroboratespreviousWFPreportsfrom keyinformants: htp://bit.ly/2modlaw andtradershtp://bit.ly/2m6hc0d,findingthatdespite increasingaccessibilityofmarkets,risingfoodpricesareasignificantchalengefor manyhouseholds. % pricechangepercommodity June/Julyto Average(median)pricespercommodity MarketAccess ImportedRice ual Labour Local cowpeas Imported Rice Vegetable LocalMaize Localmilet Oil LocalRice Local Sorghom 80% LocalCowpeas Borno 1, , Localmaize LocalRice Localmilet Yobe 1, , Localsorghom 20% uallabourdaily Rate 0% 10% 20% 30% median% changepercommodity Adama. 1, , No Yes alunitsforgrainsare1bigmudu;vegetableoilmeasuredin0.75litres

6 mvam NigeriaBuletin#6: Thisround,attheendofthequestionnaire,weaskedrespondents"Whatdoyousuggesttoimprovethefoodsituationinyourcommunity?"Typical responsesincludedtheneedforpricecontrols,fosteringagriculture,jobcreation,addressingthesecuritysituationanddeliveringmorefood assistance.inthegraphicbelow,individualresponsesareviewablebyhoveringoverthecircles.responsescanalsobefilteredbyfoodconsumption score,keywordorbyseveralsocio-demographicvariables. Responses(hovercursorovercirclestoview individualresponses) Filterresponsesbykeywordorphrase Filterresponsesbyresidencestatus Filterresponsesbysexofheadofhousehold Filterresponsesbygender Filterresponsesbyaccesstoelectricity values FilterresponsesbyFoodConsumptionScore-(higherscore= improvedfoodconsumption)

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