Lietuvos Baltijos jūros priekrantės ir Kuršių marių verslinių žuvų trofinis modelis

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1 Lietuvos Baltijos jūros priekrantės ir Kuršių marių verslinių žuvų trofinis modelis A. Razinkovas-Baziukas, R. Uznytė, KU BPATPI L. Ložys, GTC EI E. Bacevičius, ŽTL

2

3 METODAI: Druskingumo įtaka kuojos ir ešerio augumui (ekperimentas) ECOPATH/ECOSIM modelis Sujungimas su NPZD (Nutrient- Phytoplankton-Zooplankton-Detritus) modeliu

4 Augimo eksperimentai Svoris, g Svoris, g Die nų skaičius Dienų skaičius Ešerių vidutinio svorio (g) kitimas skirtingo druskingumo sąlygomis. Kuojos vidutinio svorio kitimas (g) skirtingo druskingumo sąlygomis.

5 Grupė Populiacinės modeliuotų rūšių Paskutinės kohortos biomasė, t charkteristikos 0+ kohortos mirtingumas, t Paskutinės kohortos mirtingumas, t Tarpinių kohortų mirtingumas, t (2007) Karšis ,2 0,5 Starkis ,5 1 0,28 0,6 Ešerys ,5 1 0,25 0,5 Pugžlys ,5 1 0,4 - Kuoja ,5 1 0,28 0,4 PLakis ,5 1 0,3 - Mirtingumas dėl žvėjybos (sugavimai), t

6 Kuršių marių modelis Karšis (Abramis brama) 3 kohortos Starkis (Sander Lucioperca) 3 kohortos Ešerys (Perca fluviatilis) 3 kohortos Pugžlys (Acerina cernua) 2 kohortos Kuoja (Rutilus rutilus) 3 kohortos Plakis (Blicca bjorkna) 1 kohorta Žiobrys (Vimba vimba) 1 kohorta Dyglė (Gasterosteus aculeatus ) 1 kohorta Kormoranai ir kiti vandens paukščiai etc.

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8 5 grey heron larus goosander Great Crested Grebe Cormorants 4 Pikeperch adults Perch adults 3 Pikeperch juveniles Perch juveniles Pikerpech YOY Bream adults Ruff juveniles Roach juveniles Perch YOYRuff adults Roach adults Carnivorous zooplankton Roach YOY Bream juveniles Bream YOY Other demersal fish Planktivorous fish oligochets 2 Meiobenthos chironomids Mysids Filtrators bivalves Grazing zooplankton Bacteria deposit feeders gast 1 Fitoplankton Detritus

9 Baltijos jūra Karšis (Abramis brama) 2 kohortos Starkis (Sander Lucioperca) 2 kohortos Ešerys (Perca fluviatilis) 3 kohortos Žiobrys (Vimba vimba) 2 kohortos Plekšnė (Platychthis flessus) 3 kohortos Stinta (Osmerus eperlanus) 2 kohortos Tobis (Ammodytes tobianus) 2 kohortos Trispyglė dyglė (Gasterosteus aculeatus) 2 kohortos Strimelė (Clupea harengus ) 2 kohortos Bretlingis (Sprattus sprattus) 2 kohortos Uotas (Psetta maximus L.) 2 kohortos Gyvagimdė vėgėlė (Zoarces viviparus ) 2 kohortos Plakis (Blica bjoercna) 1 kohorta Perpelė (Alosa fallax) 2 kohortos Su bestuburiais ir paukščiais viso 45 kompartamentai. Tai pats išsamiausias mitybos tinklų modelis Baltijos jūroje.

10 5 Great cormorans 4 3 Perch (hadults) Twaite shad (juveniles) Eelpout (adults) Silver bream Vimba (adults) Round goby (adults) Bream (adults) Flounder (adults) Great sandeel (juveniles/adults) Small sandeel (juveniles/ adults) Eelpout (juveniles) Flounder Flounder (juveniles) (hadults) Bream(juveniles) Baltic herring (adults) Common goby Baltic herring (juveniles) Sprat (juveniles/ adults) Perch (adults) Atlantic salmon (adults) Twaite shad (adults) Pike perch (juveniles) Pikeperch (adults) Turbot (adults & hadults) Gulls Perch (juveniles) Ruff (adults) Three-spined Three-spined stickleback stickleback (juveniles) (adults) Turbot (juveniles) Wintering piscivorous birds European eel (adults) European smelt (adults) Wintering diving ducks European smelt (juveniles) Macrozoobenthos omnivoroes (>20mm) Mysids Macrozoobenthos omnivoroes (10-20mm) Macrozoobenthos omnivoroes (<9,9mm) Macrozoobenthos filtrators 2 Mesozooplankton Meiobenthos (omnivoroes) 1 Phytoplankton Macrophytobenthos Detritus

11 To Higher Trophic Levels Curonian LagoonTrophic Network Model ESTAS / ALUKAS Greens Diatoms Cyanobacteria Zooplankton Ex. LabilePar. Det. C + Ex. RefractoryPar. Det. C + GreensPart. Det. C + Diatoms. Part. Det. C + Cyanobacteria Part. Det. C + ZooplanktonPart. Det. C Ex. LabileDiss. Org. C + Ex. RefractoryDiss. Org. C + GreensDiss. Org. C + DiatomsDiss. Org. C + Cyanobacteria Diss. Org. C + ZooplanktonDiss. Org. C To Nutrients

12 Tolimesnė ECOSIM integracija į AQUABC modelį FORTRAN 90 kodas tiesiogiai integruotas ECOSIM duomenų bazės struktūra

13 IŠVADOS Sudarytas kohortinis (Multi-stanza) Kuršių marių trofinis modelis bei ECOSIM modelis Sudarytas kohortinis Baltijos jūros Lietuvos priekrantės modelis. Dbartiniu metu detaliausias visoje Baltijos jūroje Pradėta integracija (kodo lygmenyje) ECOSIM modelio į biogeocheminį AQUABC modelį

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