PowerS picks $10. Week 3 CFB Best Bets Pg 3, Week 2 NFL Best Bets Pg 7

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1 PowerS picks $10 Volume 4 Issue 7 September 15-19, BP Sports, LLC CFB & NFL Best Bets: 8-5 (62%)! VIP Picks 18-9 (67%)!! Week 3 CFB Best Bets Pg 3, Week 2 NFL Best Bets Pg 7 Week 2 News and Notes! For those of you that are new...in this section I ll recap what happened last week specifically, the misleading finals, the key injuries, the bad beats and the line moves. I ll include most of these recaps here, therefore you don t have to waste time reading about them in my game-by-game write-ups for the upcoming week. Without further adieu, here s a run down of what happened last week in the world of college football. Week 2 Trends Favorites-Dogs Straight Up ATS Home-Away Straight Up ATS Totals (O/U) Over-Under Biggest Moneyline Upsets: Central Michigan +700 at Oklahoma St won (+18) Arkansas +375 at TCU won in 2OT (+10) New Mexico St +375 vs New Mexico won (+11) Illinois St +350 at Northwestern won 9-7 (+13) NC A&T +350 at Kent won in 4OT (+10.5) Largest Favorites to Cover: Texas A&M (-49) vs. Prairie View A&M, 67-0 Colorado (-45.5) vs. Idaho State, 56-7 Marshall (-42.5) vs. Morgan State, 62-0 In the Old Dominion/Appalachian St game, the Monarchs were in good shape to continue their strong ATS run, as they stayed within the 21-point spread for over 59 minutes. But with 57 seconds left, Appalachian State s J.P. Caruso scored from 1 yard out, giving the Mountaineers a 24-point win. While that final touchdown is what lost it for Old Dominion backers, woes on fourth down were ultimately the deciding factor. On that final Appalachian State drive, the Monarchs allowed the Mountaineers to convert not one, but two fourth downs. For the game, Old Dominion allowed Appalachian State to go 4-for-5 on fourth down, its most conversions in a game since becoming an FBS member in On offense, the Monarchs converted one of six in such situations. Those five failed fourth-down conversions were tied for the most by an FBS team in any game since October Agony of Defeat We made a strong bet in the Nevada/Notre Dame game last week as we got what we thought was a very advantageous number at Nevada At the end of the 1Q, we felt pretty good about our ticket as it was 0-0. After a ND field goal made it 3-0, a long punt return allowed ND to go on a 3-play 25-yard TD drive but the Fighting Irish would miss the extra point. Yes! However, we gave that critical point back and then some when on the following kick return, a Nevada player came out of the end zone, then took a step back and took a knee (see pic below). It was a safety! Oh no! Nevada then threw an interception setting up ND for a 4-yard drive and before we knew it, ND led 25-0 at halftime. Nevada would get a TD drive late in the 4Q but because of that critical safety early in the game, did not get the back door cover and would lose by 29 points! Ugh!!! Misleading Finals We might be hard pressed to find a more misleading game this entire season than the Wyoming/Nebraska game last week. Entering the 4Q the Cowboys, who were 25-point underdogs trailed just Even at that point, Wyoming had missed 2 FG s and had thrown a Pick 6 so it was conceivable that they should have been winning the game outright entering the final stanza. In that final quarter, Nebraska got a TD to lead Wyoming would fumble on their next play setting up the Huskers for a 1-yard TD drive. 2 plays later, Wyoming interception. Nebraska scores another TD. 4 plays later, Wyoming interception. 1 play later, another Nebraska TD. 2 plays later, another Wyoming interception and when the dust settled, it was Nebraska winning (-25) outscoring the Pokes 28-0 in the 4Q thanks to a total of 6 Wyoming TO s in the game! If you just look at the final score of the Grambling St/Arizona game, you may think that the Wildcats just struggled and slept walk their way to a 10-point win. However, they were extremely close to losing outright as 45-point favorites as they trailed 21-3 at halftime, were out-gained , and out-fd d They still failed to cover the spread by 5 TD s despite being +6 in TO s! While Cincinnati easily beat Purdue (-3), the Bearcats only had a yard edge and were out-fd d They benefited from a +5 TO margin. Bad Beats If you were holding an UNDER 57.5 ticket in the Arkansas-TCU game, things were looking good at halftime with just 13 total points. With 10 minutes left, it was still only Arkansas leading 20-7 but then the fireworks began. TCU scored 21 unanswered points to take a lead with 2:05 left. Now Arkansas -- which had gone three-and-out on its previous two possessions -- needed a touchdown and a two-point conversion to tie it. Austin Allen led the Razorbacks right down the field and connected with Keon Hatcher for a 16-yard touchdown with 1:03 left. The over/under would come down to the two-point conversion, and it turned out to be quite the play. Arkansas ran a reverse that Hatcher ended up throwing to his quarterback, Allen, in the end zone to tie it. While the game ended up going over the total by 21.5 points thanks to 2OT s, make no mistake about it, this was a bad beat for those on the under. If you were laying 3.5 points with Pittsburgh in their rivalry game vs Penn St, things were looking good when it was 28-7 Panthers near the end of the first half. Things were still looking good midway through the fourth quarter, too, at However, with 5:00 to go, Penn State found the end zone and they converted the 2-point conversion to cut the lead to three and ended up with the backdoor cover. Major Injuries Arizona QB Anu Solomon missed last week s game vs Grambling with a knee injury and is questionable for this week s game against Hawaii. Tragically after last week s win over Rice, Army s leading returning tackler from last season CB Brandon Jackson died in a car accident. FIU QB Alex McGough injured his back in the last week s game against Maryland and is questionable for this week s road game at Massachusetts. Florida St All-American DB Derwin James is out indefinitely with a knee injury. That s not good news for the Seminoles who travel to Top 10 Louisville this week. LSU RB Leonard Fournette sat out last week s game against FCS Jacksonville St with ankle injury but has been upgraded to probable for this week s game against Mississippi St. Northern Illinois QB Drew Hare injured his ankle in last week s game against South Florida and is expected to miss this week s home game vs San Diego St. UCF QB Justin Holman injured his hamstring in the Michigan game last week and is questionable for this week s home game vs Maryland. Utah St RB Devante Mays injured his ankle in the USC game last week and is questionable for this week s home game vs Arkansas St. Mays ran for 208 yards (11.6) in the opener. UTEP starting QB Zack Greenlee missed last week s game vs Texas with a knee injury and is questionable for this week s home game against Army. Western Kentucky QB Mike White was injured (head) in last week s game against Alabama and is questionable for this week s game at Miami, Oh.

2 CFB/NFL Schedules Week 3 Sept 15th-19th NFL/CFB Thursday, Sept 15th Line BP All Times Eastern 101 NY JETS :25 p.m. CBS 102 BUFFALO PK HOUSTON :30 p.m. ESPN 104 CINCINNATI Friday, September 16th Line BP 105 BAYLOR :00 p.m. ESPN 106 RICE ARIZONA ST :30 p.m. ESPN2 108 UTSA ARKANSAS ST :00 p.m. CBS College 110 UTAH ST -9-8 Saturday, September 17th Line BP 111 EASTERN MICHIGAN :00 p.m. 112 CHARLOTTE WESTERN MICHIGAN :00 p.m. ESPN News 114 ILLINOIS EAST CAROLINA :00 p.m. SEC Network 116 SOUTH CAROLINA FLORIDA ST :00 p.m. ABC 118 LOUISVILLE TEMPLE :00 p.m. Big Ten 120 PENN ST MARYLAND CBS College 122 CENTRAL FLORIDA VIRGINIA :30 p.m. 124 CONNECTICUT IOWA ST :00 p.m. FOX Sports TCU COLORADO :30 p.m. Big Ten 128 MICHIGAN NEW MEXICO :00 p.m. ESPN News 130 RUTGERS MIDDLE TENNESSEE :00 p.m. 132 BOWLING GREEN FIU :30 p.m. 134 MASSACHUSETTS PK GEORGIA ST :00 p.m. Big Ten 136 WISCONSIN UNLV :00 p.m. 138 CENTRAL MICHIGAN VANDERBILT :30 p.m. 140 GEORGIA TECH ARMY UTEP FLORIDA ATLANTIC :30 p.m. 144 KANSAS ST FRESNO ST :00 p.m. 146 TOLEDO BOSTON COLLEGE :30 p.m. ESPNU 148 VIRGINIA TECH SOUTH FLORIDA :30 p.m. 150 SYRACUSE SAN DIEGO ST :30 p.m. CBS College 152 NORTHERN ILLINOIS WKU :30 p.m. 154 MIAMI, OH NORTH TEXAS :30 p.m. ESPNU 156 FLORIDA LOUISIANA TECH TEXAS TECH NEW MEXICO ST :00 p.m. SEC Network 160 KENTUCKY TEXAS ST :30 p.m. SEC Network 162 ARKANSAS OHIO :00 p.m. SEC Network 164 TENNESSEE AKRON :00 p.m. CBS College 166 MARSHALL OREGON :30 p.m. ABC 168 NEBRASKA UCLA :15 p.m. ESPN2 170 BYU MIAMI, FL :00 p.m. ESPN 172 APPALACHIAN ST PITTSBURGH :30 p.m. ESPN 174 OKLAHOMA ST UL-MONROE :00 p.m. 176 GEORGIA SOUTHERN OLD DOMINION :00 p.m. 178 NC STATE TROY SOUTHERN MISS SOUTH ALABAMA UL-LAFAYETTE KANSAS :00 p.m. ESPNU 184 MEMPHIS MICHIGAN ST :30 p.m. NBC 186 NOTRE DAME TEXAS A&M ESPN 188 AUBURN DUKE :00 p.m. Big Ten 190 NORTHWESTERN OHIO ST :30 p.m. FOX 192 OKLAHOMA ALABAMA :30 p.m. CBS 194 OLE MISS GEORGIA :30 p.m. SEC Network 196 MISSOURI MISSISSIPPI ST ESPN2 198 LSU NAVY TULANE HAWAII :45 p.m. Pac ARIZONA USC :00 p.m. ABC 204 STANFORD TEXAS :30 p.m. ESPN 206 CALIFORNIA BUFFALO :00 p.m. 208 NEVADA UTAH :30 p.m. CBS College 210 SAN JOSE ST WASHINGTON ST NFL Wk 2 Sunday, Sept 18th Line BP All Times Eastern 261 TENNESSEE DETROIT KANSAS CITY HOUSTON MIAMI NEW ENGLAND IDAHO :00 p.m. Pac BALTIMORE CLEVELAND CINCINNATI PITTSBURGH DALLAS :00 p.m. FOX 272 WASHINGTON NEW ORLEANS :00 p.m. FOX 274 NY GIANTS SAN FRANCISCO :00 p.m. FOX 276 CAROLINA TAMPA BAY :05 p.m. FOX 278 ARIZONA SEATTLE :05 p.m. FOX 280 LOS ANGELES INDIANAPOLIS :25 p.m. CBS 282 DENVER ATLANTA :25 p.m. CBS 284 OAKLAND JACKSONVILLE :25 p.m. CBS 286 SAN DIEGO GREEN BAY :30 p.m. NBC 288 MINNESOTA 44-1 Monday, September 19th Line BP All Times Eastern 289 PHILADELPHIA :30 p.m. ESPN 290 CHICAGO -3-4

3 THE POWERS PACK 3H Michigan St (+8) over NOTRE DAME 3H Texas St (+31.5) over ARKANSAS 2H Virginia (+4.5) over CONNECTICUT 2H NORTHERN ILLINOIS (+10.5) over San Diego St 2H Hawaii/ARIZONA OVER H = BEST 3H = BETTER 2H = GOOD 1H = FAIR Games in Rotation Order HOME TEAM IN CAPS Thursday, September 15th Houston 38 CINCINNATI 30. UC has gone ATS vs Houston and last year should have beaten the Cougars outright as they lost (+9) on the road but were +162 yards in the game. This year Cincinnati has benefited from TO s in each of the first two weeks. Last week they beat Purdue (-3) but were +5 TO s and were outfd d On the other side, Houston QB Greg Ward, Jr sat out last week s win over Lamar as the team rested many of its players off the big win over Oklahoma in order to get ready for this short travel week. He should be ready to go here. The team showed its depth with 3 RB s topping 100 yards for the first time since 1974 despite starting RB Catalon resting (also back for this game). Both teams are in their preferred roles with UC 8-2 ATS as a home underdog the last 10 years while Houston is ATS in true road games the last 4 years. We re passing. Friday, September 16th Baylor 49 RICE 20. Baylor won last year s meeting (-33) and while they are down a couple notches this year, still field the far superior squad in this match-up. Obviously, we backed the Owls on these pages last week with a 3H and while they had their opportunities, they didn t deserve to cover against Army in their loss (+8.5). On the other side, Baylor was in a big struggle with SMU tied 6-6 at halftime before eventually pulling away in a (-34) non-covering win. We re wondering what type of matchup is good for this Rice defense who allowed 552 passing yards in Week #1 vs WKU, then allowed 346 rushing yards to Army in Week #2. Baylor rolls but the price is too steep for our liking. Pass. Arizona St 41 UTSA 20. Arizona St is already 2-0 SU/ATS this season as last week they won a shootout (-1) over Texas Tech. RB Ballage tied an NCAA-record with 8 TD s and the Sun Devils offense has really got it going after struggling the first 3Q s of the season opener against Northern Arizona. It was a bit shocking to see the markets go against the Sun Devils last week who opened 4-point favorites but closed 2-point underdogs vs Texas Tech. On the other side, the UTSA offense is struggling so far this season averaging just 20 ppg and 342 ypg despite playing an FCS school and an overrated Colorado St team. However, they have played fellow Pac-12 Arizona tough the last 3 years only losing by 13 ppg. We have a lean on the Sun Devils, but this is a bit of a flat spot with a conference revenger vs Cal on deck. UTAH ST 31 Arkansas St 23. Arkansas St has been very disappointing at 0-2 SU/ATS with back-to-back blowout losses to Toledo and Auburn. They have the nation s worst defense allowing 631 yards per game and are incredibly -335 ypg so far this season. On the other side, VIP customers cashed a top totals play of the week with Utah St/USC UNDER last week in the Aggies 45-7 loss (+16.5). Utah St RB Devante Mays is questionable here with an ankle injury and it s tough laying too many points if he is a no go. Pass. Saturday, September 17th CHARLOTTE 31 Eastern Michigan 30. Both teams have similar resumes as both have blowout wins vs FCS teams and also blowout losses to Power 5 conference teams. Eastern Michigan has been a road favorite just one time in the last 15 seasons and it came all the way back in They re also just 8-62 SU away from home in the last 11 years and it s very tough making them a favorite here. There s a key injury that is not getting much play as EMU RB Vann (shoulder) is questionable here. On the other side Charlotte QB Olsen has completed 65% of his passes with a 4-0 ratio so far and we ll gladly take the points here. Western Michigan 30 ILLINOIS 27. The Broncos come in red hot at 2-0 SU/ATS and are 19-9 ATS the last 3 seasons. On the other side, Illinois suffered their first loss of the Lovie Smith era as despite the money being all over them last week (opened 10-point dogs, closed as 7-point dogs), they lost to North Carolina at home. It is tough laying points with a MAC team on the Big Ten road. Keep in mind, the Broncos were +6.5 at Northwestern two weeks ago (markets bet them down to +3). With everything equal that basically means on a neutral field, would you lay at least a TD with Northwestern over this Illinois team? Our power ratings say Northwestern would be -3. However, it should be noted that according to Marc Lawrence s Playbook, MAC teams are 4-0 SU/ATS when laying points to Big Ten teams. We re not getting too involved. SOUTH CAROLINA 27 East Carolina 21. Last week, we went against the Pirates on these pages and they won outright (+6) over NC State. On the other side, South Carolina fell behind Miss St 24-0 at halftime before making the final score a little more respectful at (+8). South Carolina s offense has been anemic to say the least and East Carolina has clearly surprised us so far this season particularly QB Nelson who s averaging 348 passing ypg (81%) with a 6-1 ratio. However, this is Will Muschamp s first home game at SC while it is the first road game for new ECU head coach Scottie Montgomery. We think there s slight value in backing the home favorite. However, we ve learned our lesson in going against ECU with a H-rated pick. Florida St 36 LOUISVILLE 34. Arguably the biggest game in Louisville football history with ESPN College GameDay on hand. Louisville QB Lamar Jackson has been incredible so far this season with 13 TD s in about 5.5 quarters of action and he was our #1 surprise Heisman Trophy contender when we did ESPN Radio in Vegas this summer. Last week the Cardinals offense piled up 845 yards in their (-17) win over Syracuse. However, FSU s defense isn t Charlotte or Syracuse for that matter and there ll be an adjustment early to FSU s speed. No one is better than Florida St head coach Jimbo Fisher when it comes to halftime adjustments and FSU has outscored Louisville in the 2H of the last two meetings. QB Francois is making his first road start here. We re leaning OVER in what should be an instant classic! 3 PENN ST 31 Temple 21. Obviously, the revenge card factor for Penn St will be widely mentioned here. Last year Temple snapped their 31-game losing streak in the series dating back to 1941 in the upset win. We can t emphasize this enough that we are not big fans of James Franklin and the Nittany Lions got a very fortunate cover vs Pittsburgh last week (trailed by as many as 21) but still were soundly beaten at the line of scrimmage (out-rushed !!!). Temple is clearly not the same team they were a year ago as they ve been dealing with injury issues including RB Jahad Thomas not playing yet (? here). While Penn St is tempting, we want nothing to do with laying near double-digits with Franklin and Co. Pass. Maryland 34 CENTRAL FLORIDA 27. Back-to-back road trips to Florida for Maryland here who is already 2-0 under new head coach DJ Durkin after last week s beat down (-12.5) of FIU. They have a chance at a 4-0 start with lowly Purdue on deck. Last week UCF ran into a tough Michigan team and despite losing (+37), they did remarkably have a rushing yard edge (6.0 vs 2.9 ypc!). While we have a lean on the home dog here, until, UCF QB Holman s injury situation clears up (pulled hamstring last week), we re in wait and see mode. 2H Virginia 24 CONNECTICUT 23. Last week Connecticut came back from a 21-0 deficit to Navy and nearly pulled off the outright upset if not for some horrible clock management at the end. On the other side, VIP customers were treated to a star-rated play winner on UVA in their loss to Oregon (covered by a TD). The Cavaliers did show a lot of improvement after losing to FCS Richmond in Week 1 by 17. Keep in mind, new Virginia head coach Bronco Mendenhall has prepped for UConn in each of the last two years while he was head coach at BYU (won by a combined 65-23). Also notable is that UConn is on a 0-12ATS run as a favorite while UVA is on a 10-2 ATS run as an underdog. We ll call for the outright upset. TCU 45 Iowa St 20. Both teams come in at 0-2 ATS failing to cover each game by double-digits. Both struggled vs a FCS opponent in Week 1 (Iowa St lost outright) and then both disappointed last week in big games. Iowa St was trounced by in-state rival Iowa 42-3 (+15) while TCU lost a heart-breaking double-ot game to Arkansas despite laying double-digits (all the late money poured in on TCU last Saturday). Quite frankly, it s tough recommending either team at this point considering the large line (TCU s defense has allowed 41 points in back-to-back games). Pass. MICHIGAN 38 Colorado 20. Any time these two play we go back the Kordell Stewart 64-yard Hail-Mary TD pass to Michael Westbrook in 1994 with a fantastic call by ABC s Keith Jackson (ah the good ol days). The Wolverines have outscored their first two opponents and clearly have the look of a Top 5 team. However, not to be outdone Colorado is also off back-to-back blowout victories and have outscored their over-matched competition so far. This looks like the deepest and most talented Buffaloes team in a decade. Slightest of leans on the road underdog as Michigan was out-rushed last week to UCF while Colorado has averaged 260 rushing ypg in the first two weeks. RUTGERS 34 New Mexico 26. Last week Rutgers fell behind Howard 14-0 early before outscoring them 52-0 to close. On the other side, New Mexico blew a Q lead and lost outright to their in-state rival New Mexico St as double-digit favorites. We have a lean on Rutgers here as we think New Mexico could have a bit of hangover and NM is making the unique road trip east (furthest trip east in nearly 20 years). The Lobos will also be playing at 10am their time and Rutgers has fared well vs option teams in the recent past, but do have a new coaching staff this year. Middle Tennessee 40 BOWLING GREEN 31. In the spring football issue, we said BG made a bad hire bringing in the inexperienced Mike Jinks who had no prior head coach or coordinator experience (neither did any of his assistants) and also didn t have any local ties. So far the Falcons have lost by 67 to Ohio St (failed to cover by 5 TD s) and then were nearly upset as 17.5-point favorites at home against FCS North Dakota (ND failed a 2-point conversion in the final seconds). Keep in mind, that s North Dakota, not to be confused with 5-time defending champ North Dakota St. On the other side, we think there is some value on Middle Tennessee who out-gained Vanderbilt last week but still somehow lost by 23. The Falcons are a PLAY AGAINST team this year and we ll continue to do so here. MASSACHUSETTS 24 Fiu 21. These teams just played here last year with UMass winning (-3). Both teams have played Power 5 schools in each of their first two games. However, we have come away far more impressed with UMass who has played the tougher of the two schedules only losing to Florida and Boston College by 18 ppg. Meanwhile, FIU has lost a pair of home games to mediocre Big Ten teams in Indiana and Maryland by 24 ppg. FIU QB Alex McGough injured his back in the last week s game against Maryland and is questionable here. We ll pass for now but will call for UMass to pick up their first win. WISCONSIN 45 Georgia St 10. Even in a flat spot last week Wisconsin drilled Akron (-23.5) as most of the bigger money players in Vegas were on the road underdog. On the other side, Georgia St has been a mess this year as they are 0-2 SU/ATS and they re rush defense has allowed a nation-worst ypg (5.8). That s not good news facing a rejuvenated Wisconsin rush offense that had 294 yards rushing against Akron last week. Not much value on the side here (Wisconsin does have Michigan St and Michigan on deck), but we do have a clear lean on the OVER. CENTRAL MICHIGAN 34 Unlv 23. We like what Tony Sanchez is doing in Vegas as the Rebels are off to a 1-1 SU/2-0 ATS start and played UCLA tough last week only trailing at the start of the 4Q before two late UCLA TD s. Obviously, one of the biggest stories in CFB this week is Central Michigan s controversial Hail Mary TD pass to beat Oklahoma St last week. The play came on an un-timed down and was the incorrect call by the officials. We ll play against the Chips as this isn t that unique of a trip for the Rebels who played in the Big House last year and covered against mighty Michigan. They ll cover here too. brad powers ats stat of the week: In the last 15 years, Eastern Michigan has been a road favorite just ONE time and that came all the way back in This week EMU is -3 at Charlotte.

4 GEORGIA TECH 26 Vanderbilt 20. Last week Vanderbilt beat Middle Tennessee despite getting outgained by 150 yards although RB Webb did have 211 rushing yards. The late money was against the Commodores as they went from 6.5-point to 2.5-point favorites. We do expect Derek Mason to have a solid game plan vs the option. On the other side, Georgia Tech expectedly was sleep-walking last week off their Ireland trip and only led Mercer late 3Q before pulling away. Despite Georgia Tech having a big ACC home game on deck vs Clemson next Thursday, we don t see much value here. Pass. Army 24 UTEP 23. What an impressive start for the Black Knights who are 2-0 SU/ATS and beat us on these pages last week in their (-8.5) win over Rice. However, it should be noted that Army has not won and covered 3 straight games since Tragically after the game, Army s leading returning tackler CB Brandon Jackson died in a car accident and the Cadets will no doubt be playing with heavy hearts here. Meanwhile UTEP QB Zack Greenlee missed last week s game vs Texas with a knee injury and is questionable here. Pass on this game for now but the early line says there could be some value on the home dog provided Greenlee plays. Also note that UTEP RB Aaron Jones is #2 in the country with 372 rush yards already. KANSAS ST 37 Florida Atlantic 13. While it was our only college winner on these pages last week, we actually were fortunate to come away with a win in FAU s (+25) loss to Miami, Fl as the Hurricanes got a TD with a minute left. FAU did get outgained On the other side, Kansas St comes in off a bye after a decent performance at Stanford where they actually had the yardage advantage ( ). The Wildcats only have FCS Missouri St on deck so they should be plenty focused for this one. Slight lean on the home team. TOLEDO 38 Fresno St 20. Toledo comes in off back-to-back blowout wins and is averaging 536 ypg on offense. While we have been impressed with what we ve seen so far under head coach Jason Candle (3-0 SU/ATS dating back to last year s bowl game), this number is too high. The Rockets blowout win over Arkansas St doesn t look as good with the Red Wolves allowing more than 700 yards to an overrated Auburn offense last week. There s some value on Fresno as they were outscored in the 4Q to Nebraska 22-0 in Week 1, which obviously skewed that final. We ll take the near 3 TD s here but UT does have a bye on deck. VIRGINIA TECH 23 Boston College 20. Virginia Tech comes in off a loss (+11) vs Tennessee in front of nearly 157,000 fans at Bristol Motor Speedway. The Hokies led 14-0 but self-destructed with TO s. On the other side, BC expectedly started off slow vs UMass coming off the Ireland trip but outscored the Minutemen 26-0 to get the cover (they were +222 yards). You simply can t lay too many points against this BC defense which remains one of the best in the country even with their DC now at Michigan. The Eagles have given up just 181 ypg (#3 in the country) while their offense is much improved (averaging 73 ypg more this season). On the other side, Virginia Tech has lost more fumbles (8) than they did all of last season. We re leaning with the defensive dog here. South Florida 38 SYRACUSE 31. Last week the Bulls managed a win over Northern Illinois despite playing without RB Marlon Mack. They ve been on a roll ever since last year s (-1.5) win over Syracuse as they are 9-2 ATS their last 11 games. On the other side, we do like what we re seeing from Syracuse under Dino Babers especially on offense. Let s talk line value here, the Bulls are laying as many points as what a Top 10 Louisville team was laying in the Carrier Dome last week. While Syracuse didn t get the cover, they did hold up their end of things most of the game as they only trailed by 14 entering the 4Q (did give up 845 yards of offense but Quinton Flowers is no Lamar Jackson speed wise). We ll be on the take in this match-up as this line looks inflated. 2H NIU (plus the points) San Diego St 27 NORTHERN ILLINOIS 24. While NIU QB Drew Hare is out with an ankle injury, his backup Ryan Graham started 4 games last year. Graham led a comeback win at #20 Toledo and also a win over Western Michigan before getting hurt against Ohio. While NIU has been a very unimpressive 0-2 SU/ATS this season, they ve had a very tough opening schedule having to travel to elevation to take on Wyoming in a weather delayed game that ended at 4:30am ET in the morning. Then they had to travel to the heat and humidity of South Florida last week. On the flip side, San Diego St is coming off one of their biggest wins in years as they beat Cal (-7) despite getting outgained by nearly 150 yards. Now they have to make the unique road trip to Dekalb. Meanwhile, NIU is in their first home underdog role since 2001 and have gone 10-0 AT with 8 outright upsets in that role dating back to 2001! While going against RB Pumphrey and Co is a tough pill to swallow, we re woofing it with the underdog Huskies here. Western Kentucky 40 MIAMI, OH 24. Despite their 0-2 record Miami, Oh has out-gained each of the their first two opponents by 53 ypg and last week blew a Q lead vs FCS Eastern Illinois. On the other side, WKU after a strong opening showing vs Rice expectedly fell to #1 Alabama last week (+27). Their QB Mike White was knocked out of the game (? here) and if he doesn t go, it s tough laying more than 2 TD s against a Miami, Oh team that has revenge on their minds from a drubbing at WKU a year ago. FLORIDA 45 North Texas 10. North Texas did get their first win of the Seth Littrell era with a win over FCS Bethune-Cookman last week. Meanwhile the Florida offense finally awoke from its doldrums dating back to last year as they hammered Kentucky last week 45-7 (-14) outgaining the Wildcats So far new Florida QB Del Rio has a solid 6-1 TD-to-INT ratio and last week threw for 320 yards and 4 TD s. Florida does have Tennessee on deck so it s tough laying a lot of points here but we do lean with the OVER. TEXAS TECH 43 Louisiana Tech 33. Last week the betting markets loved Texas Tech as they went from being 4-point road underdogs to 2-point favorites at Arizona St. It didn t make much sense to us (we had ASU -3) and the Red Raiders ended up losing allowing 8 TD s to a single ASU player. On the other side, despite the inexperience Louisiana Tech has actually looked good so far this season at 2-0 ATS with a near upset of SEC Arkansas. Last week, the Bulldogs got QB Higgins back from suspension and he threw for 409 yards and 4 TD s. Quite simply you can t lay too many points with this terrible Texas Tech defense and Skip Holtz is one of the best underdog coaches in the country (7-1 ATS their last 8 getting points). KENTUCKY 40 New Mexico St 21. Not a great spot for New Mexico St coming off the biggest win under Doug Martin in their upset over in-state rival New Mexico last week. They rallied from a 9-point 4Q deficit. On the other side, Kentucky has been outscored 72-7 in the last 6 quarters and were destroyed at Florida last week 45-7 (+14) getting outgained Obviously head coach Mark Stoops desperately needs a feel-good win. We re passing here. 3H (Texas St plus the points) ARKANSAS 41 Texas St 20. Huge flat spot for Arkansas coming off the 2OT win at TCU last week and have double-revenge for Texas A&M on deck (lost to Aggies in OT in each of the last 2 seasons). While they did lead a majority of the game, Arkansas did get outgained by 169 yards. Meanwhile, Texas St is coming off an early bye after pulling the big upset at Ohio two weeks ago in 3OT. That win looked even better last week when Ohio went on the road and pounded Big 12 doormat Kansas. We said Everett Withers was a great hire in our Spring Preview and their new up-tempo offense will be able to cover this inflated spread. Note Texas St QB Tyler Jones was 40 of 55 for 418 yards in the opener. TENNESSEE 40 Ohio 17. Despite their 2-0 record, we have not come away impressed with the Volunteers so far as they probably should have lost to Appalachian St in the opener outright and last week fell behind Virginia Tech 14-0 before the Hokies self-destructed with 5 turnovers (VT had a 70-yard edge in the game). Just like Arkansas above, Tennessee is in a huge flat spot coming off the Battle at Bristol (more than 156,000 in attendance) and they have arguably their most important game of the season on deck when they host Florida, a team that has beat them in 11 straight seasons. Meanwhile, Ohio showed great improvement off the loss to Texas St in the opener by manhandling Kansas last week (+2.5) including a rush yard edge. QB Greg Windham ran for 146 yards and had 167 yards passing). As usual we re backing the underdog here. MARSHALL 35 Akron 21. We re not sure what to make of Marshall yet as they had an opening week bye and then played an FCS school last week (beat Morgan St 62-0 laying around 42 points). On the other side, Akron disappointed many sharper players last week as they lost to Wisconsin (line went from Akron down to +21.5). Marshall does have a big home game vs Louisville on deck and we re not sure they should be laying 17 here. Take it or leave it! Oregon 38 NEBRASKA 37. Nebraska has outscored their opponents 50-0 in the 4Q in their first two games which has allowed them to go 2-0 ATS. Last week s (-25) win over Wyoming was arguably the most misleading game of the week much to our dismay (see page 1). On the other side, VIP customers did get a star-rated play winner going against Oregon last week in their non-covering win over Virginia but note that Oregon is 1-10 ATS when laying 23 or more points. However, they are very profitable when the line is in the single digits (either favored or dog) going 16-2 ATS the last 6 years including a perfect 13-0 ATS in the regular season! We like their experience in big-time close games while Nebraska s track record wasn t so good last year. Yes, Mike Riley has experience facing Oregon but he was 0-7 SU/2-5 ATS in his last 7 games vs the Ducks while head coach at Oregon St. Ucla 27 BYU 24. We like what we ve seen so far from new BYU head coach Kilani Sitake but this is now the third straight Pac-12 opponent and that s gotta start wearing on the Cougars sooner or later. The Cougars are playing with revenge from a loss last year at UCLA (+16.5) but we re not sure they have enough left in the tank here especially considering how tough last week s loss was to Utah losing on a 2-point conversion in the final seconds. They also couldn t win the game despite Utah having 6 TO s. Meanwhile, we haven t been overly impressed with UCLA so far as they trailed Texas A&M 24-9 late in the 4Q before forcing OT and last week only led UNLV into the 4Q before again scoring a couple of TD s late. We re passing here as UCLA does have Stanford on deck. Miami, Fl 31 APPALACHIAN ST 23. While we were a bit fortunate to cover with the Hurricanes last week with a 2H on these pages, they did have yard edge vs Florida Atlantic. Meanwhile Appalachian St is off a very misleading game vs Old Dominion (see page 1). While this is the biggest home game in school history for the Mountaineers, this game also has to be circled for Miami who is off an FCS foe and Florida Atlantic with a bye on deck. Miami has owned the line of scrimmage this year with a yard rushing advantage. This seems like a suckers bet considering the line is only -3.5, but we re backing the Hurricanes for a second straight week. OKLAHOMA ST 31 Pittsburgh 24. We like the situation here for the Cowboys who should be mad as hell after last week s controversial loss to Central Michigan in which a referee error allowed CMU to get an untimed down and they got a 51- yard Hail Mary TD off a lateral. Meanwhile the Panthers are coming off one of their biggest wins in years beating dreaded in-state rival Penn St. The Panthers deserved the cover as they led the Nittany Lions by 21 and had a dominating rush yard edge (Penn St converted the dreaded 2-point conversion late to make their backers happy). Not sure we a lot of line value here, however. Pass. GEORGIA SOUTHERN 44 Ulm 17. Obviously, ULM is on 2nd of back-to-back road games after losing (+46) to Oklahoma last week and we still have the War Hawks power-rated dead last in the country. On the other side,georgia Southern is 2-0 SU/ATS under new coach Tyson Summers and last week beat South Alabama 24-9 (-13.5). Their ground game is averaging 362 rushing ypg while ULM is allowing 264 rushing ypg on defense. That s not a good sign. While we don t see a tremendous amount of value here, we do have a slight lean on the favorite. NC STATE 41 Old Dominion 20. Obviously NC State disappointed us greatly last week in their (-6.5) loss at East Carolina dropping a 2H on these pages. They did lead entering the 4Q (included two missed FG s in 1H) but were never really comfortably out in front. Meanwhile, ODU is off a misleading and bad beat loss to Appalachian St last week (see page 1). NC State is 7-1 ATS their last 8 laying double-digits under head coach Dave Doeren and beat Old Dominion (-17.5) last year. They usually like to bully these over-matched teams while ODU is on a 0-6 ATS run as a double-digit underdog. However, we re not falling for the NC State trap for a second week in a row. Pass. Follow Brad on 4

5 CFB VIP Late Phone/ Service (Includes Every CFB H-Rated Play): Just $499 Call ! Mention Special Code: Page 5 SOUTHERN MISS 38 Troy 28. Both teams have been impressive so far this season. Last week Troy went into #2 Clemson and gave the Tigers all they could handle in a loss (+35). It wasn t a fluke as they were only outgained and the turnovers were even. Meanwhile, on the other side, after falling behind at Kentucky in Week 1, Southern Miss has scored 90 unanswered points! Last week they destroyed a FCS bottom-feeder in Savannah St. Slightest of leans on Troy who have covered 6 of their last 7 on the road as dogs. UL-LAFAYETTE 27 South Alabama 23. While we lost with UL-Lafayette in Week 1, we went right back to them on the VIP update last week as they were only laying -3.5 to FCS McNeese St who has a brand new coach this year. The Ragins Cajuns came away with a win (McNeese scored a late TD) and our FBS vs FCS star-rated picks are now 9-0 the last 2 years!!! Keep in mind head coach Mark Hudspeth fired his DC after the loss to Boise St in the opener. On the other side, South Alabama coming off their biggest win in school history, fell to Georgia Southern 24-9 (+13.5). This number looks right on the money. Pass. MEMPHIS 38 Kansas 21. After beating FCS Rhode Island, it was the same ol Kansas as they were beaten soundly at home to Ohio last week. This despite the fact, the money was on them as they opened 2-point underdogs but closed as 2.5-point favorites. The Jayhawks were out-rushed ! Meanwhile, Memphis comes in off a bye after beating FCS SE Missouri St (-30) in Mike Norvell s head coaching debut. This seems like a large number and while we do lean with Kansas here (certainly holding our noses), we can t back them as a star-rated play as they are 0-35 SU and ATS in their last 35 road games. 3H Michigan St 27 NOTRE DAME 26. While Brian Kelly and Co have won 3 straight over Mark Dantonio and the Spartans ( ), we think MSU has been game-planning for this game all off-season as they are off a bye and played an FCS team in Week 1. They did struggle with Furman (won laying 6 TD s) but QB O Connor now has another start under his belt and in the off week, MSU got the news that All-Big Ten caliber LB Ed Davis was granted a 6th year of eligibility. Meanwhile, ND is off a 2OT loss at Texas, had a short week and barely covered vs Nevada (see page 1) and are a poor home favorite ( ATS last 12 years). Meanwhile, MSU won outright last year as an underdog in Ann Arbor and Columbus! MSU is on a 12-2 ATS run as an underdog with 9 outright upsets! Make it 10!! AUBURN 27 Texas A&M 24. Shockingly the road team is 4-0 SU/ATS in the recent SEC meetings. Last year Auburn won (+7.5) as their offense had a season-high 311 rush yards (6.0). Both teams have impressed so far at 2-0 ATS. After their near upset of Clemson in the opener, last week Auburn beat Arkansas St (opened 17-point favorites and were bet up to -20.5) thanks to 706 yards of offense (most in school history vs an FBS foe). Meanwhile, A&M beat UCLA in OT in Week 1 and followed that up with a 67-0 win over Prairie View. This is an important game for both head coaches who find themselves on the hot seat. We re expecting this one to go down to the wire and we re passing. NORTHWESTERN 24 Duke 20. These two met last year with Northwestern winning (+4) but were out-gained by 56 yards. Northwestern is in desperation mode here at 0-2 SU/ATS losing back-to-back home games outright as a favorite to Western Michigan and Illinois St. Neither game was a fluke as they were outgained by 95 and 97 yards respectfully and the Wildcats now stand at ATS the last 11 years in the home chalk role. Speaking of losing as home chalk, Duke is off a upset loss at home to Wake Forest as 7-point favorites. Slightest of leans on the road team here. OKLAHOMA 31 Ohio St 30. The Sooners are in their first home underdog role since 2000, a game where they upset #1 Nebraska en route to the National Championship in Bob Stoops 2nd season. That was 95 games ago! Remember OU opened up as a 9-point favorite over Ohio St in May and the Buckeyes were heavily bet all summer long. Obviously, we made the Cardinal Sin and went against Pope Urban last week and were drilled 48-3 (+28.5) on these pages with a 3H. Although we must mention it was a 6-3 ball game late 2Q when Tulsa had a meltdown and threw not 1, but 2 Pick 6 s to give OSU momentum into the 2H where they outscored Tulsa On the other side, the Sooners rebounded from the loss to Houston in the opener and pummeled ULM (-46). While OSU has been impressive so far, this is an inexperienced Buckeyes team making their first road trip of the season and we ll fade all the public money and call for the minor upset. Alabama 31 OLE MISS 23. Obviously Ole Miss has gotten the upper hand over Alabama in each of the last two years. Last year s (+6.5) was a bit misleading as they were +5 TO s. While we re not recommending going against Saban and Co in a double-revenge spot as a top play of the week, this is the first true road game for a freshman Alabama QB and Ole Miss has quite simply been a bad matchup for the Crimson Tide the last 2 years. The betting public has already bet this game up 3-points and keep in mind in the last two years when Bama was upset, they were only laying 4.5 and 6.5-points. This line was Alabama -4.5 in the summer markets. The Rebels have the major experience edge at QB and Freeze is on a 5-1 ATS run as a home underdog. Obviously, we re hoping for the Ole Miss team we saw in the first half against FSU and not the one that was outscored 39-6 to close the game. Georgia 31 MISSOURI 27. Totals players note that Missouri has gone way up-tempo this year and the betting markets finally caught on after their win vs Eastern Michigan last week where their offense generated 647 yards. This total has already moved up 11-points from a 45.5 opener and congrats to all that took advantage of that bad line. Speaking of a bad line, Georgia failed to cover the spread by 50-points last week in their near upset loss to FCS Nicholls St. Frosh QB Eason made his first start and is the honeymoon already over for first year head coach Kirby Smart? It doesn t get any easier for them here. Slight lean on the home dog. LSU 30 Mississippi St 17. It s obviously been a rocky start for LSU as they lost outright as double-digit favorites in the opener and last week with RB Fournette resting, they only beat FCS Jacksonville St (Tigers were only +3 yds in the 5 game). Purdue transfer QB Danny Etling gave their offense some momentum but it wasn t overwhelming. On the other side, Miss St off their embarrassing season opening loss to South Alabama led South Carolina 24-0 at halftime last week before cruising in the second half. QB Fitzgerald had 195 yards rushing! Not sure we can trust LSU laying a lot of points but they have dominated this series. Pass. Navy 28 TULANE 20. While Navy beat Tulane last year 31-14, Tulane was +95 yards and shockingly held Navy s option to only 133 yards rushing (2.5). New head coach Willie Fritz has the Green Wave 2-0 ATS this year after they almost upset Wake Forest in the opener, they hammered FCS Southern last week On the other side, Navy is 2-0 SU but are down to their 2nd string QB. Navy after leading 21-0, benefited from UConn s clock mismanagement last week and escaped with a win (-4). It is interesting to note that these two head coaches met in 2014 and Niumatalolo got the big upper hand over Fritz with Navy beating Georgia Southern (-3). We don t see much value here. Pass. 2H OVER 62 ARIZONA 47 Hawaii 24. Arizona trailed Grambling St 21-3 at halftime last week as a 45-point favorite but would rally for the win thanks to 6 Grambling TO s. They needed everyone of them as they were out-gained QB Anu Solomon sat out the game with a knee injury and is questionable here. Meanwhile, Hawaii picked up their first win of the season but they were outgained by UT-Martin in a shootout. This is their 3rd long road trip of the season so far and their defense has to have some tired legs. We ve been waiting patiently the last few weeks to give you a H-rated total (20-9 on totals plays last year on these pages!!) and we think there s value with Arizona games only averaging 43 total ppg so far. Keep in mind, they were 11-2 ATS to the OVER last year. STANFORD 31 Usc 23. Last year we cashed a H-rated play on these pages in this game as Stanford pulled the outright upset at USC (+9.5). The Cardinal followed that up with a (-4) win in the Pac-12 Championship game as they have now won 6 of the last 8 meetings. The Cardinal come in off an early season bye after a so-so performance vs Kansas St in the opener (only 13 first downs and 272 yards for Stanford offense). On the other side, USC after being humiliated in the opener, crushed Utah St 45-7 last week as VIP customers were treated to a top totals play on the UNDER. The Trojans have not fared well in the underdog role away from home going just 2-7 ATS and there s a massive coaching mismatch here between Shaw and Helton. Still, this line seems high. Pass. Texas 42 CALIFORNIA 38. Last year, Texas late rally came up just short thanks to a missed extra-point. While the Longhorns are one of the most improved teams in the country this year (already 2-0 SU/ATS), we expected Cal to take a major step back. They ve actually looked alright beating Hawaii by 20 in Australia and last week covered on the road against a tough San Diego St team in a loss (+7). They did have a yard edge. This will be the first road start for Texas freshman QB Shane Buechele. Slight lean on the home underdog here. NEVADA 31 Buffalo 23. Last year Nevada beat Buffalo (+1) despite being outgained (were +3 TO s). Last week s handicapping 101 section detailed backing teams off FCS losses and lo and behold Virginia and Washington St came through in those roles. Buffalo was a team that was not only upset by an FCS team in Week 1, but it was also a very misleading game (see last week s issue). They had a bye last week while Nevada is off a game vs Notre Dame which was an unfortunate loss for us (see page 1). Slightest of leans on the road underdog here. Utah 31 SAN JOSE ST 20. A massive flat spot here for Utah coming off a last second win over rival BYU last week with a huge revenge home game against USC on deck. With that being said, we haven t been that impressed with San Jose St so far this season. They were crushed by Tulsa in the opener and last week benefited from a +6 TO margin in their win over Portland St. Usually we d be all over the home dog here but note that Utah was able to win last week despite having 6 TO s themselves (first team since 2009 to win a game with that many turnovers). WASHINGTON ST 48 Idaho 24. These schools are just 8 miles apart. The Cougars are desperate at 0-2 SU but did have a solid performance last week in their near upset of Boise St as they were +100 yards. Their first 6 drives all finished in Boise territory but they had 0 points to show for it. Still head coach Mike Leach ripped into his team this week in the media calling them a JC Softball team. Meanwhile, not much positive things can be said for 0-2 SU/ATS Idaho who was annihilated at Washington last week. Not sure we want to lay this big of number here, but we do expect a motivated Cougars bunch this week. Watch Brad Powers give his FREE picks each week at pregame.com

6 Updated College Football Records: Straight Up, ATS and Over/Under Straight-Up Against The Spread Over/Under Team Total Home Away Total Home Away Total Home Away Air Force Akron Alabama Appalachian State Arizona State Arizona Arkansas Arkansas State Army Auburn Ball State Baylor Boise State Boston College Bowling Green BYU Buffalo California Central Florida Central Michigan Charlotte Cincinnati Clemson Colorado Colorado State Connecticut Duke East Carolina Eastern Michigan Florida Atlantic Florida Florida Intl Florida State Fresno State Georgia Georgia Southern Georgia State Georgia Tech Hawaii Houston Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Iowa State Kansas Kansas State Kent State Kentucky LSU Louisiana Tech Louisville Marshall Maryland Massachusetts Memphis Miami (FL) Miami (OH) Michigan State Michigan Middle Tennessee Minnesota Mississippi Mississippi State Updated College Football Power Ratings for Week 3 1 Alabama Florida State Clemson Ohio State Michigan Washington Tennessee Stanford Oklahoma Ole Miss Louisville Houston LSU Wisconsin Texas A&M Texas Notre Dame Iowa Florida UCLA Baylor Oregon Georgia Auburn USC North Carolina Michigan State Miami (FL) Arkansas Pittsburgh Boise State Nebraska TCU Oklahoma State Utah BYU West Virginia South Florida Virginia Tech Kansas State Arizona State Mississippi State Penn State San Diego State California Colorado Western Michigan Georgia Tech Minnesota Boston College Missouri Western Kentucky Washington State Texas Tech Appalachian State NC State Arizona Toledo Central Michigan Indiana Vanderbilt South Carolina Duke Northwestern Straight-Up Against The Spread Over/Under Team Total Home Away Total Home Away Total Home Away Missouri Navy Nebraska Nevada New Mexico New Mexico State NC State North Carolina North Texas Northern Illinois Northwestern Notre Dame Ohio Ohio State Oklahoma Oklahoma State Old Dominion Oregon Oregon State Penn State Pittsburgh Purdue Rice Rutgers San Diego State San Jose State SMU South Alabama South Carolina South Florida Southern Miss Stanford Syracuse TCU Temple Tennessee Texas A&M Texas Texas State Texas Tech Toledo Troy Tulane Tulsa UCLA UL-Lafayette UL-Monroe UNLV USC Utah State Utah UTEP UTSA Vanderbilt Virginia Virginia Tech Wake Forest Washington Washington State West Virginia Western Kentucky Western Michigan Wisconsin Wyoming Air Force Southern Miss Cincinnati Marshall Wake Forest Maryland Temple Memphis Navy Georgia Southern Syracuse Illinois Louisiana Tech East Carolina Rutgers Tulsa Virginia Utah State Oregon State Middle Tennessee Kentucky Connecticut Purdue Arkansas State Northern Illinois Iowa State Army Nevada Bowling Green Troy San Jose State Ohio SMU New Mexico UCF Ball State Fresno State Wyoming Florida Atlantic South Alabama Colorado State UNLV Akron UTEP Old Dominion Kansas UL-Lafayette Tulane Kent State Miami (OH) FIU Rice Buffalo New Mexico State Hawaii Idaho Eastern Michigan Texas State Georgia State UTSA Massachusetts Charlotte North Texas ULM Biggest Movers Since Preseason Team Pts Houston +6 South Alabama +6 Wisconsin +5 Army +5 Central Michigan +4.5 East Carolina +4 Texas State +4 Louisiana Tech +3.5 Southern Miss +3.5 Tulane +3.5 Ball State +3.5 Colorado +3 Appalachian State +3 Ohio State +2.5 UTEP +2.5 Toledo +2.5 Arizona -3.5 Arkansas State -3.5 Georgia State -4 Oklahoma State -4.5 Washington State -4.5 Kentucky -5 Northern Illinois -5 Mississippi State -5 Virginia -5 Bowling Green -5 Northwestern -6 Oklahoma -6 Iowa State -6 LSU -7.5 NFL VIP Late Phone/ Service (Includes Every CFB H-Rated Play): Just $499 Call ! Mention Special Code: Page 6