COLLEGE BOWL GUIDE

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1 VOLUME 13 - NUMBER 2 COLLEGE BOWL GUIDE ALABAMA OREGON WHO WILL WIN IT ALL? INSIDE: HANDICAPPING ANALYSIS & PICKS FOR BOWL 38 GAMES OHIO STATE FLORIDA STATE

2 StatFox Staff Selections 3 Recent Bowl Game Trends 4 Bowl Game Power Ratings 6 Bowl Game Top Statistical Edges 7 Bowl Game Outplay Factor Ratings 8 Bowl Game Breakdowns: New Orleans Bowl 10 New Mexico Bowl 11 Las Vegas Bowl 12 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl 13 Camellia Bowl 14 Miami Beach Bowl 15 Boca Raton Bowl 16 Poinsettia Bowl 17 Bahamas Bowl 18 Hawaii Bowl 19 Heart of Dallas Bowl 20 Quick Lane Bowl 21 EDGE COLLEGE football BOWL GAME GUIDE St. Petersburg Bowl 22 Military Bowl 23 Sun Bowl 24 Independence Bowl 25 Pinstripe Bowl 26 Holiday Bowl 27 Liberty Bowl 28 Russell Athletic Bowl 29 Texas Bowl 30 Music City Bowl 31 Belk Bowl 32 Foster Farms Bowl 33 Belk Bowl 34 Fiesta Bowl 35 Orange Bowl 36 Outback Bowl 37 Cotton Bowl 38 Citrus Bowl 39 Rose Bowl 40 Sugar Bowl 41 Armed Forces Bowl 42 TaxSlayer Bowl 43 Alamo Bowl 44 Cactus Bowl 45 Birmiongham Bowl 46 GoDaddy.com Bowl 47 Managing Editor Scott Gramling Executive Editor Jeff Makinen Creative Director Ian Knowles Contributing WRITERS Dave Bartman Gary Bennett Brian Graham ASSISTANT EDItor Zachary Cohen Editorial Direction 10Ten Media Daily Racing Form LLC Jim Kostas President Todd Unger President of SIG Digital Jacob Luft Director, Digital Products The StatFox Edge College Football Bowl Game Guide is published by Daily Racing Form LLC, 708 Third Avenue, 12th Floor, New York, NY All rights reserved. Welcome to the ninth annual edition of the StatFox Edge College Football Bowl Game Guide. It has long been our belief that this should be the most rewarding time of the college football season being that we re given weeks to prepare for each game as opposed to the five or six days between games throughout the regular season. What we ve aimed to do with this publication is once again arm you with all of the trends, background, insight and statistics so that you can maximize your opportunities. This year s Bowl Guide includes Power Ratings, Outplay Factor Ratings, Stat Differentials and more of the useful tools that readers of StatFox.com, FoxSheets.com and our weekly Platinum Sheet publication have come to rely on. Our 38-page section of bowl-by-bowl matchups is where we thoroughly analyze each game. And, of course, we provide picks from our StatFox, which uses proprietary algorithms to generate remarkably reliable predictions year-in and year-out. Check out our Web sites, StatFox.com and FoxSheets.com, throughout the bowl season, as we ll be updating news and developments to ensure you have the up-to-date information you need. ThIS PUBLICATION IS NOT SPONSORED OR AUTHORIZED BY ANY ATHLETIC CONFERENCE NOR HOLDER OF ANY TRADEMARK OR SERVICE MARK. ALL TEAM NAMES AND LOGOS ARE TRADEMARKS OF THE TEAMS INDICATED. THIS PUBLICATION MAKES NO REP- RESENTATION AS TO WHETHER ONLINE GAMBLING IS LEGAL IN YOUR JURISDICTION. PLEASE CHECK WITH YOUR LOCAL AUTHORITIES. ALL INFORMATION IS FOR NEWS MATTER ONLY. Now go get em! Scott Gramling Managing Editor 2

3 staff presents picksthe week s Best Bets STATFOX EDGE college bowl guide BOWL GAME Matchups: December 19 - JANUARY 4 ** FORECASTER PREDICTS BAYLOR WILL WIN BY EXACTLY THREE POINTS StatFox dave StatFox GARY StatFox SCOTT StatFox BRIAN StatFox forecaster NEW ORLEANS BOWL (201) NEVADA vs. (202) UL - LAFAYETTE -1 CLICK FOR BEST BET NEVADA UL - LAFAYETTE UL-LAFAYETTE NEVADA NEW MEXICO BOWL (203) UTEP vs. (204) UTAH STATE -10½ Utah State CLICK FOR BEST BET UTEP UTAH STATE UTAH STATE LAS VEGAS BOWL (205) UTAH vs. (206) COLORADO STATE +4½ Utah UTAH UTAH CLICK FOR BEST BET COLORADO STATE FAMOUS IDAHO POTATO BOWL (207) WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. (208) AIR FORCE +1 WESTERN MICHIGAN WESTERN MICHIGAN WESTERN MICHIGAN AIR FORCE AIR FORCE CAMELLIA BOWL (209) SOUTH ALABAMA vs. (210) BOWLING GREEN +2½ CLICK FOR BEST BET SOUTH ALABAMA BOWLING GREEN BOWLING GREEN BOWLING GREEN MIAMI BEACH BOWL (211) BYU vs. (212) MEMPHIS -1 CLICK FOR BEST BET MEMPHIS MEMPHIS MEMPHIS MEMPHIS BOCA RATON BOWL (213) NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. (214) MARSHALL -10 NO. Illinois CLICK FOR BEST BET CLICK FOR BEST BET CLICK FOR BEST BET MARSHALL POINSETTIA BOWL (215) NAVY vs. (216) SAN DIEGO STATE -2½ San Diego State NAVY SAN DIEGO STATE NAVY SAN DIEGO STATE BAHAMAS BOWL (217) CENTRAL MICHIGAN vs. (218) WESTERN KENTUCKY -2½ CLICK FOR BEST BET WESTERN KENTUCKY WESTERN KENTUCKY WESTERN KENTUCKY CENTRAL MICHIGAN HAWAII BOWL (219) FRESNO STATE vs. (220) RICE -1 Fresno State RICE RICE FRESNO STATE RICE HEART OF DALLAS BOWL (221) ILLINOIS vs. (222) LOUISIANA TECH -6 Illinios ILLINOIS LOUISIANA TECH ILLINOIS LOUISIANA TECH QUICK LANE BOWL (223) RUTGERS vs. (224) NORTH CAROLINA -3 North Carolina NORTH CAROLINA NORTH CAROLINA NORTH CAROLINA RUTGERS ST.PETERSBURG BOWL (225) NC STATE vs. (226) CENTRAL FLORIDA -1½ CLICK FOR BEST BET CENTRAL FLORIDA CENTRAL FLORIDA CLICK FOR BEST BET CENTRAL FLORIDA MILITARY BOWL (227) VIRGINIA TECH vs. (228) CINCINNATI -3½ Virginia Tech VIRGINIA TECH CLICK FOR BEST BET VIRGINIA TECH CINCINNATI SUN BOWL (229) DUKE vs. (230) ARIZONA STATE -8 Arizona State DUKE CLICK FOR BEST BET DUKE DUKE INDEPENDENCE BOWL (231) MIAMI FLORIDA vs. (232) SOUTH CAROLINA +3 South Carolina SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTH CAROLINA CLICK FOR BEST BET MIAMI FLORIDA PINSTRIPE BOWL (233) PENN STATE vs. (234) BOSTON COLLEGE -2½ Boston College CLICK FOR BEST BET BOSTON COLLEGE PENN STATE BOSTON COLLEGE HOLIDAY BOWL (235) NEBRASKA vs. (236) USC -6½ USC CLICK FOR BEST BET NEBRASKA USC NEBRASKA LIBERTY BOWL (237) WEST VIRGINIA vs. (238) TEXAS A&M +3½ Texas AM TEXAS A&M WEST VIRGINIA TEXAS A&M TEXAS A&M RUSSELL ATHLETIC BOWL (239) CLEMSON vs. (240) OKLAHOMA -3 Clemson CLICK FOR BEST BET CLEMSON OKLAHOMA OKLAHOMA TEXAS BOWL (241) TEXAS vs. (242) ARKANSAS -6 Arkansas TEXAS TEXAS TEXAS ARKANSAS MUSIC CITY BOWL (243) NOTRE DAME vs. (244) LSU -7½ Notre Dame NOTRE DAME NOTRE DAME NOTRE DAME NOTRE DAME BELK BOWL (245) LOUISVILLE vs. (246) GEORGIA -7 Georgia CLICK FOR BEST BET LOUISVILLE LOUISVILLE LOUISVILLE FOSTER FARMS BOWL (247) MARYLAND vs. (248) STANFORD -14 Stanford STANFORD MARYLAND MARYLAND MARYLAND CHICK-FIL-A PEACH BOWL (249) MISSISSIPPI vs. (250) TCU -3½ TCU TCU MISSISSIPPI CLICK FOR BEST BET MISSISSIPPI FIESTA BOWL (251) BOISE STATE vs. (252) ARIZONA -3 Boise State ARIZONA CLICK FOR BEST BET ARIZONA BOISE STATE ORANGE BOWL (253) GEORGIA TECH vs. (254) MISSISSIPPI STATE -7 CLICK FOR BEST BET CLICK FOR BEST BET MISSISSIPPI STATE CLICK FOR BEST BET GEORGIA TECH OUTBACK BOWL (255) WISCONSIN vs. (256) AUBURN -6½ Auburn CLICK FOR BEST BET AUBURN WISCONSIN WISCONSIN COTTON BOWL CLASSIC (257) MICHIGAN STATE vs. (258) BAYLOR -3 CLICK FOR BEST BET BAYLOR CLICK FOR BEST BET CLICK FOR BEST BET ** NO PICK ** CITRUS BOWL (259) MINNESOTA vs. (260) MISSOURI -5½ Minnesota MISSOURI MISSOURI MISSOURI MINNESOTA ROSE BOWL (261) FLORIDA STATE vs. (262) OREGON -9 Florida State OREGON FLORIDA STATE FLORIDA STATE FLORIDA STATE SUGAR BOWL (263) OHIO STATE vs. (264) ALABAMA -9½ CLICK FOR BEST BET ALABAMA CLICK FOR BEST BET ALABAMA OHIO STATE ARMED FORCES BOWL (265) PITTSBURGH vs. (266) HOUSTON +3 Houston HOUSTON HOUSTON HOUSTON PITTSBURGH TAXSLAYER BOWL (267) IOWA vs. (268) TENNESSEE -3½ Tennessee CLICK FOR BEST BET IOWA IOWA IOWA ALAMO BOWL (269) UCLA vs. (270) KANSAS STATE -1½ Kansas State KANSAS STATE UCLA CLICK FOR BEST BET KANSAS STATE CACTUS BOWL (271) OKLAHOMA STATE vs. (272) WASHINGTON -5½ Oklahoma State OKLAHOMA STATE WASHINGTON WASHINGTON OKLAHOMA STATE BIRMINGHAM BOWL (273) EAST CAROLINA vs. (274) FLORIDA -7 East Carolina EAST CAROLINA EAST CAROLINA EAST CAROLINA EAST CAROLINA GO DADDY.COM BOWL (275) TOLEDO vs. (276) ARKANSAS STATE +2½ Toledo TOLEDO ARKANSAS STATE ARKANSAS STATE TOLEDO 3

4 Bowl game betting INSIGHT Learning from the past A breakdown of trends from recent bowl seasons In the past seven seasons, the FAVORITES have a slight edge, going ATS (52%), but were ATS (49%) last bowl season. The Over/Under has also been close in the past seven seasons, as the UNDER has hit 130 of 239 times (54%), including (58%) over the past two bowl seasons. FAVORITES in post-new Year s non-bcs games were a hefty SU & ATS (63%) from 2008 to 2013, but that trend reversed last year to January UNDERDOGS going 10-2 ATS (8-4 SU). North Texas and Vanderbilt were the only January favorites to both win and cover. Prior to the bowl season, a distinct pattern had been forming in which UNDERDOGS were dominating the bowl games between Christmas Day and New Year s Day. But in the past five seasons (2008 to 2012), that pattern reversed itself, with FAVORITES holding the slight edge at ATS (52%). However, trend went back to underdogs in 2013 with underdogs tallying a 9-5 ATS (64%) record (two games pick em) in games played from Dec. 26 to Dec. 31. The bowl season had eight matchups of BCS schools against non-bcs opponents. BCS schools were 6-2 ATS (5-3 SU) in these contests. Over the past seven bowl seasons, BCS schools are ATS (62%) against non-bcs. Since 1992, double-digit underdogs are a solid ATS (56%), which includes a 6-2 ATS mark last year. The three biggest dogs last bowl season all won outright (Oklahoma +17 vs. Bama, UCF vs. Baylor, TTU +16 vs. ASU). In terms of Over/Under totals, 21 of the 35 games went UNDER in the bowl season, giving a six-year mark of 56% UNDER (115 Under in 205 games). In , the UNDER was just 3-10 (23%) when the Total was less than 53, but in the past three bowl seasons, the UNDER was (53%) in these sub-53 games. When the Total was 53 or above last year, the UNDER was 17-7 (71%). Here are some angles digging deeper into the quality of past bowl games, broken down into four different categories: Dec Bowl Games: In post-christmas, pre-new Year s bowl games the past four years, 46-of-77 (60%) went UNDER the total. Dating back to 1998, UNDERDOGS own a giant ATS (60%) edge in this grouping of bowl games. But last season the dogs were only 5-12 ATS (29%). Double-digit UNDERDOGS are a nearly automatic during this portion of bowl season, going 22-7 ATS (76%) since 98. January Low-Level Bowl Games: As the point spread increases in this category, the 4 Toledo running back Kareem Hunt, who rushed for 1,360 yards on 173 carries with 11 touchdowns in 2014, will look to reverse the trend of MAC teams having gone 3-9 ATS over their past dozen January bowl games. FAVORITE has more chance for a large win. FAVORITES of 6+ points from non-bcs January bowls are 13-8 ATS (62%) in the past 21 games. The Heart of Dallas Bowl is the only game where these big favorites have won SU & ATS in the past two seasons (Oklahoma St -17.5, North Texas -6). MAC teams are the most frequent victim in the January bowl games at 3-9 ATS, which includes Ball State losing to 7-point underdog Arkansas St. by a score last season. Premium January NON-BCS Bowl Games: These games typically include the Outback, Gator, Capital One and Cotton Bowl games and are usually the most likely to go UNDER the total, (59%) since Last season, the Under was 2-2 in these four bowls, with both the Gator (Nebraska 24-19) and Outback (LSU 21-14) finishing well under their totals of 61 and 48.5 respectively). In these Premium Games with 7+ point spreads, the OVER is (58%) since However, both such games from last season (Gator and Outback) finished Under the total. BCS Bowl Games: Dating back to 2004, UNDERDOGS own a ATS (60%) edge in the five BCS Bowls, including a perfect 5-0 ATS mark in 2013, including a surprising 4-1 SU record. FAVORITES laying 5 points or less are ATS (57%) in the last 31 BCS bowl games, but in the one instance of this last season, 3-point underdog Clemson beat Ohio State. The SEC owns a 10-6 SU & 11-5 ATS (69%) in its last 16 BCS bowl games, best of any league. In 2014, 17-point favorite Alabama lost SU, but Auburn won ATS in the title game.

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6 BOWL GAME POWER RATINGS The StatFox Power Ratings are generated by a formula that weighs several key factors, including point margins, strength of schedule and team stats. The ratings are not as reactive as those found elsewhere, and thus have proven to be a great handicapping tool. Use the column to keep track of the winners and losers. OL Opening Line PR StatFox Power Rating PRL Calculated Power Rating Line Edge The difference between the Power Rating Line and the actual Opening Line Keep track of winners and losers NEW ORLEANS BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 201 NEVADA -1½ ½ 202 UL - LAFAYETTE 27 MILITARY BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 227 VIRGINIA TECH CINCINNATI ORANGE BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 253 GEORGIA TECH MISSISSIPPI STATE NEW MEXICO BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 203 UTEP UTAH STATE -11½ ½ SUN BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 229 DUKE ARIZONA STATE OUTBACK BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 255 WISCONSIN 50 6½ 256 AUBURN -6½ 50 0 LAS VEGAS BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 205 UTAH COLORADO STATE 38 1 INDEPENDENCE BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 231 MIAMI FLORIDA SOUTH CAROLINA COTTON BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 257 MICHIGAN STATE BAYLOR FAMOUS IDAHO POTATO BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 207 WESTERN MICHIGAN -2½ AIR FORCE 30 1½ PINSTRIPE BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 233 PENN STATE BOSTON COLLEGE CITRUS BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 259 MINNESOTA 45 1½ 260 MISSOURI -5½ 49-4 CAMELLIA BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 209 SOUTH ALABAMA BOWLING GREEN HOLIDAY BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 235 NEBRASKA USC ROSE BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 261 FLORIDA STATE OREGON MIAMI BEACH BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 211 BYU MEMPHIS 42 0 LIBERTY BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 237 WEST VIRGINIA -3½ TEXAS A&M ½ SUGAR BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 263 OHIO STATE ALABAMA BOCA RATON BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 213 NORTHERN ILLINOIS MARSHALL RUSSELL ATHLETIC BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 239 CLEMSON OKLAHOMA 54-3 ARMED FORCES BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 265 PITTSBURGH -2½ HOUSTON 38 ½ POINSETTIA BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 215 NAVY 36 ½ 216 SAN DIEGO STATE -1½ 37-1 TEXAS BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 241 TEXAS ARKANSAS TAXSLAYER BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 267 IOWA 39 ½ 268 TENNESSEE -2½ 41-2 BAHAMAS BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 217 CENTRAL MICHIGAN WESTERN KENTUCKY -2½ ½ MUSIC CITY BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 243 NOTRE DAME LSU -7½ ½ ALAMO BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 269 UCLA KANSAS STATE -1½ ½ HAWAII BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 219 FRESNO STATE RICE 28 BELK BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 245 LOUISVILLE GEORGIA CACTUS BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 271 OKLAHOMA STATE WASHINGTON HEART OF DALLAS BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 221 ILLINOIS LOUISIANA TECH FOSTER FARMS BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 247 MARYLAND STANFORD BIRMINGHAM BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 273 EAST CAROLINA 41 3½ 274 FLORIDA -8½ 46-5 QUICK LANE BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 223 RUTGERS NORTH CAROLINA -3½ ½ CHICK-FIL-A PEACH BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 249 MISSISSIPPI TCU GO DADDY.COM BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 275 TOLEDO ARKANSAS STATE 30 ST.PETERSBURG BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 225 NC STATE CENTRAL FLORIDA -2½ ½ FIESTA BOWL OL PR PRL Edge 251 BOISE STATE ARIZONA

7 TOP STATISTICAL EDGES Below is a listing of the team statistical edges when compared head-to-head with their bowl game opponent. Keep track of the ATS wins and losses of the teams in each of the various statistics to determine if any particular category stands out in terms of success. o f f e n s i v e s tat i s t i c s d e f e n s i v e s tat i s t i c s o f f / d e f D i f f e r e n t i a l Points Scored (PPG) 1. WESTERN KENTUCKY (vs CENTRAL MICHIGAN): TCU (vs OLE MISS): MARSHALL (vs NORTHERN ILLINOIS): CINCINNATI (vs VIRGINIA TECH): OREGON (vs FLORIDA STATE): LOUISIANA TECH (vs ILLINOIS): ARKANSAS (vs TEXAS): +9.4 Points Allowed (PPG) 1. CENTRAL MICHIGAN (vs WESTERN KENTUCKY): STANFORD (vs MARYLAND): LSU (vs NOTRE DAME): SAN DIEGO STATE (vs NAVY): CENTRAL FLORIDA (vs NC STATE): LOUISIANA TECH (vs ILLINOIS): MEMPHIS (vs BYU): +8.2 Scoring Differential (PPG) 1. LOUISIANA TECH (vs ILLINOIS): MARSHALL (vs NORTHERN ILLINOIS): ARKANSAS (vs TEXAS): OREGON (vs FLORIDA STATE): WASHINGTON (vs OKLAHOMA STATE): TCU (vs OLE MISS): STANFORD (vs MARYLAND): +9.5 Rushing Yards Gained (RYPG) 1. BOSTON COLLEGE (vs PENN STATE): NAVY (vs SAN DIEGO STATE): OKLAHOMA (vs CLEMSON): GEORGIA (vs LOUISVILLE): OREGON (vs FLORIDA STATE): GEORGIA TECH (vs MISSISSIPPI STATE): AIR FORCE (vs WESTERN MICHIGAN): Rushing Yards Allowed (RYPG) 1. LOUISIANA TECH (vs ILLINOIS): CENTRAL MICHIGAN (vs WESTERN KENTUCKY): STANFORD (vs MARYLAND): LOUISVILLE (vs GEORGIA): CENTRAL FLORIDA (vs NC STATE): TOLEDO (vs ARKANSAS STATE): MIAMI (vs SOUTH CAROLINA): Rushing Yds Differential (RYPG) 1. LOUISIANA TECH (vs ILLINOIS): BOSTON COLLEGE (vs PENN STATE): STANFORD (vs MARYLAND): ARKANSAS (vs TEXAS): OREGON (vs FLORIDA STATE): CENTRAL MICHIGAN (vs WESTERN KENTUCKY): W VIRGINIA (vs TEXAS A&M): Yards Per Rush Gained (YPR) 1. OKLAHOMA (vs CLEMSON): GEORGIA (vs LOUISVILLE): NC STATE (vs CENTRAL FLORIDA): BOSTON COLLEGE (vs PENN STATE): MARSHALL (vs NORTHERN ILLINOIS): NEBRASKA (vs USC): WISCONSIN (vs AUBURN): +1.4 Yards Per Rush Allowed (YPR) 1. UTAH STATE (vs UTEP): LOUISIANA TECH (vs ILLINOIS): MIAMI (vs SOUTH CAROLINA): MISSISSIPPI STATE (vs GEORGIA TECH): CENTRAL MICHIGAN (vs WESTERN KENTUCKY): STANFORD (vs MARYLAND): LOUISVILLE (vs GEORGIA): +1.2 Yards Per Rush Differential (YPR) 1. MIAMI (vs SOUTH CAROLINA): LOUISIANA TECH (vs ILLINOIS): OKLAHOMA (vs CLEMSON): MARSHALL (vs NORTHERN ILLINOIS): WISCONSIN (vs AUBURN): UTAH STATE (vs UTEP): BOSTON COLLEGE (vs PENN STATE): +1.7 Passing Yards Gained (PYPG) 1. EAST CAROLINA (vs FLORIDA): WESTERN KENTUCKY (vs CENTRAL MICHIGAN): MISSISSIPPI STATE (vs GEORGIA TECH): NOTRE DAME (vs LSU): COLORADO STATE (vs UTAH): W MICHIGAN (vs AIR FORCE): MARSHALL (vs NORTHERN ILLINOIS): Passing Yards Allowed (PYPG) 1. CLEMSON (vs OKLAHOMA): SOUTH ALABAMA (vs BOWLING GREEN): VIRGINIA TECH (vs CINCINNATI): LSU (vs NOTRE DAME): WISCONSIN (vs AUBURN): NEBRASKA (vs USC): FLORIDA (vs EAST CAROLINA): Passing Yds Differential (PYPG) 1. CLEMSON (vs OKLAHOMA): COLORADO STATE (vs UTAH): W MICHIGAN (vs AIR FORCE): SAN DIEGO STATE (vs NAVY): MARSHALL (vs NORTHERN ILLINOIS): PENN STATE (vs BOSTON COLLEGE): EAST CAROLINA (vs FLORIDA): Yards Per Pass Attempted (PYA) 1. COLORADO STATE (vs UTAH): AUBURN (vs WISCONSIN): RICE (vs FRESNO STATE): ARIZONA STATE (vs DUKE): OREGON (vs FLORIDA STATE): PITTSBURGH (vs HOUSTON): MARSHALL (vs NORTHERN ILLINOIS): +1.7 Yards Per Pass Allowed (PYA) 1. CENTRAL MICHIGAN (vs WESTERN KENTUCKY): LSU (vs NOTRE DAME): TEXAS (vs ARKANSAS): MICHIGAN STATE (vs BAYLOR): CLEMSON (vs OKLAHOMA): STANFORD (vs MARYLAND): CENTRAL FLORIDA (vs NC STATE): +1.3 Yards Per Pass Differential (PYA) 1. COLORADO STATE (vs UTAH): MARSHALL (vs NORTHERN ILLINOIS): RICE (vs FRESNO STATE): STANFORD (vs MARYLAND): CENTRAL FLORIDA (vs NC STATE): BOISE STATE (vs ARIZONA): OREGON (vs FLORIDA STATE): +2.2 Total Yards Gained (TYPG) 1. EAST CAROLINA (vs FLORIDA): WESTERN KENTUCKY (vs CENTRAL MICHIGAN): COLORADO STATE (vs UTAH): MARSHALL (vs NORTHERN ILLINOIS): OREGON (vs FLORIDA STATE): TCU (vs OLE MISS): CINCINNATI (vs VIRGINIA TECH): Total Yards Allowed (TYPG) 1. CENTRAL MICHIGAN (vs WESTERN KENTUCKY): STANFORD (vs MARYLAND): CLEMSON (vs OKLAHOMA): VIRGINIA TECH (vs CINCINNATI): SOUTH ALABAMA (vs BOWLING GREEN): LOUISIANA TECH (vs ILLINOIS): WISCONSIN (vs AUBURN): Total Yds Differential (TYPG) 1. STANFORD (vs MARYLAND): LOUISIANA TECH (vs ILLINOIS): MARSHALL (vs NORTHERN ILLINOIS): BOISE STATE (vs ARIZONA): W VIRGINIA (vs TEXAS A&M): COLORADO STATE (vs UTAH): EAST CAROLINA (vs FLORIDA): Yards Per Play Attempted (YPP) 1. COLORADO STATE (vs UTAH): MARSHALL (vs NORTHERN ILLINOIS): CINCINNATI (vs VIRGINIA TECH): GEORGIA (vs LOUISVILLE): EAST CAROLINA (vs FLORIDA): WESTERN KENTUCKY (vs CENTRAL MICHIGAN): OKLAHOMA (vs CLEMSON): +1.2 Yards Per Play Allowed (YPP) 1. STANFORD (vs MARYLAND): CLEMSON (vs OKLAHOMA): LOUISIANA TECH (vs ILLINOIS): W VIRGINIA (vs TEXAS A&M): CENTRAL MICHIGAN (vs WESTERN KENTUCKY): VIRGINIA TECH (vs CINCINNATI): CENTRAL FLORIDA (vs NC STATE): +1.6 Yards Per Play Differential (YPP) 1. STANFORD (vs MARYLAND): LOUISIANA TECH (vs ILLINOIS): MARSHALL (vs NORTHERN ILLINOIS): COLORADO STATE (vs UTAH): BOISE STATE (vs ARIZONA): MIAMI (vs SOUTH CAROLINA): W VIRGINIA (vs TEXAS A&M): +1.3 Turnovers Committed Per Game (TOPG) 1. OREGON (vs FLORIDA STATE): NC STATE (vs CENTRAL FLORIDA): USC (vs NEBRASKA): N ILLINOIS (vs MARSHALL): GEORGIA (vs LOUISVILLE): RICE (vs FRESNO STATE): BOSTON COLLEGE (vs PENN STATE): +0.9 Turnovers Forced Per Game (TOPG) 1. LOUISIANA TECH (vs ILLINOIS): HOUSTON (vs PITTSBURGH): ARKANSAS STATE (vs TOLEDO): FLORIDA (vs EAST CAROLINA): WASHINGTON (vs OKLAHOMA STATE): OHIO STATE (vs ALABAMA): NEVADA (vs UL - LAFAYETTE): +0.8 Turnover Differential (TODiff ) 1. WASHINGTON (vs OKLAHOMA STATE): OREGON (vs FLORIDA STATE): LOUISIANA TECH (vs ILLINOIS): MEMPHIS (vs BYU): N ILLINOIS (vs MARSHALL): HOUSTON (vs PITTSBURGH): USC (vs NEBRASKA):

8 BOWL GAME OUTPLAY FACTOR RATINGS StatFox s renowned Outplay Factor Ratings are a great team strength indicator: They provide a quantitative measure of how teams are outplaying or being outplayed by their opponents. They are determined by a sophisticated formula that takes into account a team s points for and points against as compared to how their previous opponents have fared. OL Opening Line OF StatFox Outplay Factor Rating OFL Calculated Outplay Factor Rating Line Edge Difference between the Outplay Factor Rating Line and actual Opening Line Keep track of winners and losers NEW ORLEANS BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 201 NEVADA -1½ UL - LAFAYETTE 27 ½ MILITARY BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 227 VIRGINIA TECH CINCINNATI ORANGE BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 253 GEORGIA TECH MISSISSIPPI STATE NEW MEXICO BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 203 UTEP 22 4½ 204 UTAH STATE -11½ 29-7 SUN BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 229 DUKE ARIZONA STATE OUTBACK BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 255 WISCONSIN 39 4½ 256 AUBURN -6½ 41-2 LAS VEGAS BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 205 UTAH COLORADO STATE INDEPENDENCE BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 231 MIAMI FLORIDA SOUTH CAROLINA COTTON BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 257 MICHIGAN STATE BAYLOR FAMOUS IDAHO POTATO BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 207 WESTERN MICHIGAN -2½ 29-3 ½ 208 AIR FORCE 26 PINSTRIPE BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 233 PENN STATE BOSTON COLLEGE CITRUS BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 259 MINNESOTA 36 4½ 260 MISSOURI -5½ 37-1 CAMELLIA BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 209 SOUTH ALABAMA BOWLING GREEN HOLIDAY BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 235 NEBRASKA USC ROSE BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 261 FLORIDA STATE OREGON MIAMI BEACH BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 211 BYU MEMPHIS LIBERTY BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 237 WEST VIRGINIA -3½ TEXAS A&M 31 2½ SUGAR BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 263 OHIO STATE ALABAMA BOCA RATON BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 213 NORTHERN ILLINOIS MARSHALL RUSSELL ATHLETIC BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 239 CLEMSON OKLAHOMA 47-7 ARMED FORCES BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 265 PITTSBURGH -2½ HOUSTON 28 1½ POINSETTIA BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 215 NAVY ½ 216 SAN DIEGO STATE -1½ 29 TEXAS BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 241 TEXAS ARKANSAS TAXSLAYER BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 267 IOWA TENNESSEE -2½ ½ BAHAMAS BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 217 CENTRAL MICHIGAN WESTERN KENTUCKY -2½ 32-9 ½ MUSIC CITY BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 243 NOTRE DAME LSU -7½ 41-8 ½ ALAMO BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 269 UCLA KANSAS STATE -1½ ½ HAWAII BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 219 FRESNO STATE RICE BELK BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 245 LOUISVILLE GEORGIA CACTUS BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 271 OKLAHOMA STATE WASHINGTON HEART OF DALLAS BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 221 ILLINOIS LOUISIANA TECH FOSTER FARMS BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 247 MARYLAND STANFORD BIRMINGHAM BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 273 EAST CAROLINA 27 ½ 274 FLORIDA -8½ 35-8 QUICK LANE BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 223 RUTGERS NORTH CAROLINA -3½ 25-4 ½ CHICK-FIL-A PEACH BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 249 MISSISSIPPI TCU GO DADDY.COM BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 275 TOLEDO ARKANSAS STATE ST.PETERSBURG BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 225 NC STATE CENTRAL FLORIDA -2½ ½ FIESTA BOWL OL OF OFL Edge 251 BOISE STATE ARIZONA

9 FIND THE RIGHT SHOPS... FROM THE RIGHT SOURCE!

10 new orleans Bowl NEVADA LOUISIANA- LAFAYETTE SUPERDOME - NEW ORLEANS, LA SATURDAY, Dec. 20, 2014; 11:00 A.m. EST Line: NEVADA BY 1 OVER/UNDER: 60½ Recent NEVADA Bowl Game Log 12/15/12 NEW MEXICO vs. ARIZONA L W (+8½) O (79½) 12/24/11 HAWAII vs. SOUTHERN MISS L P (+7) U (65) 1/9/11 FIGHT HUNGER vs. BOSTON COLLEGE W L (-7½) U (54) 12/24/09 HAWAII vs. SMU L L (-11) U (69½) 2014 GAME LOG (7-5 SU, 7-5 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.9) (6.3) (5.5) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.6) (7.3) (5.8) Offense Road Games : (5.0) (6.5) (5.6) Defense (All Games) : (4.8) (6.9) (5.9) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.3) (7.4) (5.8) Defense Road Games : (5.1) (6.6) (5.8) August 30 vs S. Utah W L (-24) U (47½) September 5 vs Washington State W W (+3½) U (66½) September 13 at Arizona L W (+20) U (66) September 27 at San Jose State W W (-6½) U (55) October 4 vs Boise State L L (+3½) O (53) October 11 vs Colorado State L L (+2) U (64) October 18 at BYU W W (+10) O (59) October 25 at Hawaii W W (-3) U (54½) November 1 vs San Diego State W W (-2½) U (49) November 15 at Air Force L L (+3) O (53) November 22 vs Fresno State L L (-7) U (63½) November 29 at UNLV W W (-7) O (62½) Recent LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE Bowl Game Log 12/21/13 NEW ORLEANS vs. TULANE W W (pk) U (50½) 12/22/12 NEW ORLEANS vs. E CAROLINA W W (-6½) O (70) 12/17/11 NEW ORLEANS vs. SAN DIEGO ST W W (+6) O (60½) 2014 GAME LOG (8-4 SU, ATS) Offense (All Games) : (5.5) (6.7) (5.9) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.9) (6.9) (5.7) Offense Road Games : (5.3) (6.8) (5.8) Defense (All Games) : (4.1) (8.0) (6.0) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.3) (7.0) (5.6) Defense Road Games : (3.7) (8.0) (5.9) August 30 vs Southern U. W 45 6 W (-38) U (58½) September 6 vs Louisiana Tech L L (-15½) O (58½) September 13 at Mississippi L L (+26) O (59) September 20 at Boise State L 34 9 L (+17½) U (60) October 4 vs Georgia State W L (-16) O (64½) October 1 at Texas State W W (+2½) U (62) October 21 vs Arkansas State W W (+3) O (59) November 1 vs South Alabama W 19 9 W (-7) U (57) November 8 at New Mexico State W W (-17) U (67½) November 15 at Louisiana-Monroe W P (-7) O (52) November 22 vs Appalachian State L L (-8) U (62½) November 29 at Troy W W (-9½) O (59½) Louisiana-Lafayette enters this virtual home game with a 7-1 SU mark (5-2-1 ATS) since Oct. 1, but Nevada is 4-2 SU (5-1 ATS) away from home this year where it has outscored hosts 34 to 17 on average. The Wolf Pack are propelled by senior QB Cody Fajardo who has rushed for 100+ yards in four of his past five games. The Ragin Cajuns have just three turnovers in the past eight contests combined, and will run the football with RBs Elijah McGuire and Alonzo Harris (1,902 rush yards, 26 TD combined). Both schools lost to Boise State this year, but Nevada fell 51-46, while ULL was trounced NEVADA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) vs. awful passing defenses (allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse) over the last 3 seasons. The average score was NEVADA 32.6, OPPONENT * Play Under - Any game involving two good rushing teams (190 to 230 YPG), after one of them allowed an average of 5.5 or more yards per carry in its last game over the last 5 seasons (76.5%, units). Nevada Wolfpack 33 Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns 26

11 NEW MEXICO Bowl UTEP UTAH STATE UNIVERSITY STADIUM - ALBUQUERQUE, NM SATURDAY, Dec. 20, 2014; 2:20 p.m. EST Line: UTAH STATE BY 10½ OVER/UNDER: 49 Recent UtEP Bowl Game Log 12/18/10 NEW MEXICO vs. BYU L L (+10½) O (51) 12/21/05 GMAC vs. TOLEDO L L (+3) U (62½) 12/29/04 TEXAS vs. COLORADO L L (+3) O (55) 12/28/00 HUMANITARIAN vs. BOISE ST L L (+9) U (66½) Recent UTAH STATE Bowl Game Log 12/26/13 POINSETTA vs. N ILLINOIS W W (-2½) U (55½) 12/15/12 HUMANITARIAN vs. TOLEDO W W (-10) U (60½) 12/17/11 HUMANITARIAN vs. OHIO U L L (pk) U (62) 12/29/97 HUMANITARIAN vs. CINCINNATI L L (+2) O (46½) 2014 GAME LOG (7-5 SU, 9-3 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.9) (6.6) (5.5) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.8) (7.6) (6.0) Offense Road Games : (4.0) (6.9) (5.2) Defense (All Games) : (5.1) (7.8) (6.3) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.5) (7.4) (5.8) Defense Road Games : (5.1) (9.1) (6.5) August 30 at New Mexico W W (+9½) U (56½) September 6 vs Texas Tech L W (+21) U (65½) September 13 vs New Mexico State W W (-10) O (55) September 27 at Kansas State L L (+28) O (53½) October 4 at Louisiana Tech L 55 3 L (+12) O (56½) October 11 vs Old Dominion W W (-1½) O (63½) October 25 at UTSA W 34 0 W (+14) U (47) November 1 vs Southern Miss W W (-8½) U (55) November 8 at Western Kentucky L W (+9½) U (69) November 15 vs North Texas W W (-6½) O (47½) November 21 at Rice L L (+7½) U (49) November 29 vs Middle Tennessee W W (-2½) U (52½) 2014 GAME LOG (9-4 SU, 6-7 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.7) (7.2) (5.8) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.8) (7.2) (5.8) Offense Road Games : (4.3) (7.2) (5.6) Defense (All Games) : (3.3) (6.5) (4.8) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.2) (7.0) (5.5) Defense Road Games : (3.6) (6.7) (5.1) August 31 at Tennessee L 38 7 L (+3) U (51) September 6 vs Idaho State W L (-37) O (52) September 13 vs Wake Forest W L (-15½) O (45) September 20 at Arkansas State L L (+3) U (46) October 3 at BYU W W (+21) O (52½) October 11 vs Air Force W W (-7) U (50½) October 18 at Colorado State L W (+5½) U (55) October 25 vs UNLV W L (-17) O (50) November 1 at Hawaii W W (-3) O (41½) November 7 at Wyoming W 20 3 W (-7½) U (48) November 15 vs New Mexico W L (-20) U (52½) November 21 vs San Jose State W 41 7 W (-14½) O (46½) November 29 at Boise State L L (+10) O (55) UTEP RB Aaron Jones (six 100-yard rushing games in 2014) powers a strong ground game (212.7 YPG, 34th in nation) that will try to penetrate an excellent Utah State defense allowing 20.8 PPG (21st in FBS). The Aggies have lost three quarterbacks to season-ending injuries, but freshman QB Kent Myers is 4-1 SU (3-2 ATS) as a starter thanks to a 69% completion rate and a ground game averaging 227 YPG when he starts. While UTEP has committed more than one turnover in a game just twice all year, Utah State has 29 takeaways in UTAH STATE is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) off a road blowout loss by 28 points or more since The average score was UTAH STATE 19.8, OPPONENT * Play Under - Any non-conference game against the total in which a good rushing team ( YPG) is facing a good rushing defense ( YPG) over the last 5 seasons (69.9%, units). Texas-El Paso Miners 18 Utah State Aggies

12 LAS VEGAS Bowl UTAH COLORADO STATE sam boyd stadium - las vegas, NV SATURDAY, Dec. 20, 2014; 3:30 p.m. EST Line: utah BY 4½ OVER/UNDER: 58½ Recent UTAH Bowl Game Log 12/31/11 SUN vs. GEORGIA TECH W W (+1½) O (49) 12/22/10 LAS VEGAS vs. BOISE ST L 3 26 L (+16) U (58) 12/23/09 POINSETTA vs. CALIFORNIA W W (+2½) O (52½) 1/2/09 SUGAR vs. ALABAMA W W (+9½) O (46½) Recent colorado STATE Bowl Game Log 12/21/13 NEW MEXICO vs. WASHINGTON ST W W (+4) O (64) 12/20/08 NEW MEXICO vs. FRESNO ST W W (+1½) O (61) 12/22/05 POINSETTA vs. NAVY L L (+3) O (59) 12/31/03 FIGHT HUNGER vs. BOSTON COLLEGE L L (+2) O (52½) 2014 GAME LOG (8-4 SU, 8-4 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.1) (6.8) (5.2) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.3) (7.1) (5.6) Offense Road Games : (3.7) (6.1) (4.6) Defense (All Games) : (3.9) (7.1) (5.4) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.3) (7.2) (5.8) Defense Road Games : (3.7) (7.1) (5.2) August 28 vs Idaho State W W (-41) O (56½) September 6 vs Fresno State W W (-13) O (65) September 20 at Michigan W W (+3) U (53½) September 27 vs Washington State L L (-13½) U (60) October 4 at UCLA W W (+13) U (64½) October 16 at Oregon State W W (-1) U (52½) October 25 vs Southern Cal W W (+1) U (51½) November 1 at Arizona State L W (+6½) U (56) November 8 vs Oregon L L (+9½) O (61½) November 15 at Stanford W W (+10) U (41) November 22 vs Arizona L L (-5½) U (53½) November 29 at Colorado W L (-7) O (53) 2014 GAME LOG (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.9) (9.5) (7.2) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.8) (7.8) (6.1) Offense Road Games : (4.1) (7.8) (6.1) Defense (All Games) : (4.7) (6.7) (5.6) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.6) (6.8) (5.5) Defense Road Games : (4.8) (7.3) (5.9) August 29 at Colorado W W (+2½) U (53½) September 6 at Boise State L L (+8) O (55) September 13 vs UC Davis W W (-22½) O (55) September 27 at Boston College W W (+6) U (56) October 4 vs Tulsa W W (-18) U (63) October 11 at Nevada W W (-2) U (64) October 18 vs Utah State W L (-5½) U (55) October 25 vs Wyoming W L (-19½) O (54½) November 1 at San Jose State W W (-6) O (58) November 8 vs Hawaii W W (-20½) O (57½) November 22 vs New Mexico W W (-21) O (65½) November 28 at Air Force L L (-7½) U (62) COACHING trend Utah fizzled after November (2-3 SU), but its only away loss all season was a three-point defeat to No. 15 Arizona State the Utes won at UCLA, Stanford and Michigan. Colorado State had a nine-game win streak (7-2 ATS) snapped in the regular-season finale at Air Force, which was also the finale for head coach Jim McElwain who took the Florida job, leaving offensive coordinator Dave Baldwin in charge. Utes DE Nate Orchard (17.5 sacks) will try to pressure Rams star QB Garrett Grayson (3,779 pass yards, 32 TD, 6 INT), whose WR Rashard Higgins leads FBS with 1,640 receiving yards. KYLE WHITTINGHAM is 6-23 ATS (-19.3 Units) as a favorite of between 3.5 and 10 points as the coach of UTAH. The average score was UTAH 25.7, OPPONENT ** Play Over - Games between teams with winning records where total is between 56.5 and 63 and one team is coming off upset loss to a conference rival as favorite over the last 5 seasons (75.7%, units). Utah Runnin Utes 31 Colorado State Rams

13 FAMOUS IDAHO POTATO Bowl WESTERN MICHIGAN AIR FORCE BRONCO STADIUM - BOISE, ID SATURDAY, Dec. 20, 2014; 5:45 p.m. EST Line: WESTERN MICHIGAN BY 1 OVER/UNDER: 56½ STATFOX EDGE college bowl guide Recent western michigan Bowl Game Log 12/27/11 LITTLE CAESARS vs. PURDUE L L (+1½) O (62½) 12/30/08 TEXAS vs. RICE L L (+2) U (73½) 1/6/07 INTERNATIONAL vs. CINCINNATI L W (+7) O (42) 2014 GAME LOG (8-4 SU, 10-2 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.5) (9.5) (6.6) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.8) (7.3) (5.9) Offense Road Games : (4.9) (8.6) (6.4) Defense (All Games) : (4.3) (6.8) (5.6) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.2) (6.6) (5.4) Defense Road Games : (4.3) (6.1) (5.2) August 30 at Purdue L L (+7) O (50½) September 13 at Idaho W W (+3) O (57½) September 20 vs Murray State W W (-13) U (71½) September 27 at Virginia Tech L W (+20) O (49½) October 4 vs Toledo L W (+5) U (61½) October 11 at Ball State W W (+1½) O (53) October 18 at Bowling Green W W (+3) U (67½) October 25 vs Ohio W W (-8½) O (53) November 1 at Miami (Ohio) W W (-6½) U (55½) November 15 vs Eastern Michigan W 51 7 W (-27½) O (0½) November 22 at Central Michigan W W (+1) O (51½) November 28 vs Northern Illinois L L (-8) U (58½) Recent air force Bowl Game Log 12/29/12 ARMED FORCES vs. RICE L L (+1) U (61) 12/28/11 EAGLE BANK vs. TOLEDO L W (+3) O (68½) 12/27/10 INDEPENDENCE vs. GEORGIA TECH W 14 7 W (-3) U (55) 12/31/09 FORT WORTH vs. HOUSTON W W (+4½) O (65½) 2014 GAME LOG (9-3 SU, 7-5 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.5) (9.3) (5.5) Opponents Defensive Avg : (5.4) (7.4) (6.2) Offense Road Games : (4.0) (9.5) (5.4) Defense (All Games) : (3.9) (7.8) (5.8) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.8) (7.3) (5.8) Defense Road Games : (3.1) (8.5) (5.8) August 30 vs Nicholls State W W (-27) U (69½) September 6 at Wyoming L L (-1) U (51) September 13 at Georgia State W L (-12) O (63½) September 27 vs Boise State W W (+12½) U (57½) October 4 vs Navy W W (+3) U (56) October 11 at Utah State L L (+7) U (50½) October 18 vs New Mexico W L (-7) O (56½) November 1 at Army W 23 6 W (-3½) U (54) November 8 at UNLV W W (-4½) O (57) November 15 vs Nevada W W (-3) O (53) November 21 at San Diego State L L (+6) U (49) November 28 vs Colorado State W W (+7½) U (62) These schools both made quite a turnaround this year after a combined record of 3-21 in But while Western Michigan was 6-1 ATS away from home in 2014, Air Force was only 2-4 ATS on the road. The Broncos were carried by freshman RB Jarvion Franklin, who rushed for 1,525 yards and 24 TD (second in nation). The Falcons also pounded the football for YPG (8th in FBS) with eight players getting more than 30 carries and at least one rushing TD. Both schools have heady quarterbacks with WMU sophomore QB Zach Terrell (9.5 YPA) and AFA senior QB Kale Pearson (9.3 YPA). AIR FORCE is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive games of forcing 1 or 0 turnovers in the last 3 seasons. The average score was AIR FORCE 22.3, OPPONENT ** Play Under - Any team against the total in a game involving two excellent passing teams (>=8.3 YPA) after 7+ games, in non-conference games over the last 5 seasons (81.2%, units). * Western Michigan Broncos 27 Air Force Falcons

14 Camellia Bowl SOUTH ALABAMA bowling GREEN CRAMTON BOWL - MONTGOMERY, AL SATURDAY, Dec. 20, 2014; 9:15 p.m. EST Line: SOUTH ALABAMA BY 2½ OVER/UNDER: 54 THIS WILL BE SOUTH ALABAMA S FIRST BOWL GAME Recent bowling green Bowl Game Log 12/26/13 LITTLE CAESARS vs. PITTSBURGH L L (-6½) O (50) 12/27/12 EAGLE BANK vs. SAN JOSE ST L L (+7) O (46) 12/30/09 HUMANITARIAN vs. IDAHO L L (pk) O (69) 1/6/08 GMAC vs. TULSA L 7 63 L (+6) U (76) 2014 GAME LOG (6-6 SU, 4-8 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.4) (6.1) (5.1) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.9) (7.3) (5.9) Offense Road Games : (3.8) (7.1) (5.2) Defense (All Games) : (4.7) (7.0) (5.6) Opponents Offensive Avg : (5.1) (7.2) (6.0) Defense Road Games : (4.1) (6.5) (5.2) September 6 at Kent State W W (-2) U (53½) September 13 vs Mississippi State L 35 3 L (+15) U (55) September 20 vs Ga Southern L 28 6 L (+2½) U (58½) September 27 at Idaho W W (-3) U (58) October 4 at Appalachian State W W (-4) O (52½) October 18 vs Georgia State W L (-19½) O (56½) October 24 vs Troy W L (-16) U (54½) November 1 at Louisiana-Lafayette L 19 9 L (+7) U (57) November 8 at Arkansas State L L (+11) O (52½) November 15 vs Texas State W L (-5½) U (50½) November 22 at South Carolina L L (+24) U (57) November 28 vs Navy L W (+7½) O (54) 2014 GAME LOG (7-6 SU, ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.5) (6.5) (5.5) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.6) (7.3) (5.8) Offense Road Games : (3.8) (6.5) (5.2) Defense (All Games) : (5.1) (6.9) (6.0) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.7) (6.9) (5.7) Defense Road Games : (5.5) (6.8) (6.2) August 29 at Western Kentucky L L (-6½) O (63½) September 6 vs VMI W 48 7 W (-38½) U (63) September 13 vs Indiana W W (+8½) O (75½) September 20 at Wisconsin L L (+26) O (63) September 27 at Massachusetts W L (-6) O (69½) October 4 vs Buffalo W L (-3½) U (75½) October 11 at Ohio W W (-1) U (66½) October 18 vs Western Michigan L L (-3) U (67½) November 4 at Akron W W (+3½) U (59½) November 12 vs Kent State W L (-14½) U (55) November 19 at Toledo L P (+7) U (59½) November 28 vs Ball State L L (-10) O (57½) December 5 vs Northern Illinois L L (+5½) O (63½) These two schools limped to the finish line with a combined 3-7 SU record after Nov. 1, with each giving up 37+ points in their final two games. South Alabama is playing in its first bowl since entering FBS in 2012 and will continue to pound the football with its 183 rushing YPG on 4.4 YPC. Bowling Green has allowed 286 rushing YPG on 6.0 YPC during its three-game losing skid, but RB Travis Greene has run for 264 yards on 8.3 YPC in two games since returning from injury. Although Jaguars QB Brandon Bridge has NFL talent, he s a big reason why his team has 15 turnovers in its past four games. SOUTH ALABAMA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after ATS defeats in 4 or 5 of its previous 6 games over the last 3 seasons. The average score was S. ALA- BAMA 14.9, OPPONENT Play Under - All games after 7+ games where the total is between 49.5 and 56 and a good offense ( YPG) is facing a poor defense ( YPG) over the last 5 seasons (65.3%, units). South Alabama Jaguars 22 Bowling Green Falcons

15 MIAMI BEACH Bowl BRIGHAM YOUNG MEMPHIS MARLINS PARK - MIAMI, FL MONDAY, Dec. 22, 2014; 2:00 p.m. EST Line: MEMPHIS BY 1 OVER/UNDER: 58 Recent brigham young Bowl Game Log 12/27/13 FIGHT HUNGER vs. WASHINGTON L L (+6) U (65½) 12/20/12 POINSETTA vs. SAN DIEGO ST W 23 6 W (-3) U (46) 12/30/11 ARMED FORCES vs. TULSA W W (+2½) U (59½) 12/18/10 NEW MEXICO vs. UTEP W W (-10½) O (51) Recent memphis Bowl Game Log 12/20/08 ST PETERSBURG vs. S FLORIDA L L (+10½) U (56½) 12/21/07 NEW ORLEANS vs. FLA ATLANTIC L L (+3½) O (67½) 12/26/05 LITTLE CAESARS vs. AKRON W W (-4½) O (50) 12/22/04 GMAC vs. BOWLING GREEN L L (+3) O (66) 2014 GAME LOG (8-4 SU, 5-7 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.4) (7.6) (5.8) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.4) (7.1) (5.6) Offense Road Games : (3.8) (7.5) (5.5) Defense (All Games) : (3.3) (6.4) (4.9) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.1) (6.7) (5.3) Defense Road Games : (3.2) (6.7) (5.1) August 29 at Connecticut W W (-15) U (54) September 6 at Texas W 41 7 W (+1) P (48) September 11 vs Houston W L (-17) U (62½) September 20 vs Virginia W L (-15) O (49½) October 3 vs Utah State L L (-21) O (52½) October 9 at Central Florida L L (+2½) O (46) October 18 vs Nevada L L (-10) O (59) October 24 at Boise State L L (+7) O (58) November 1 at Middle Tennessee W 27 7 W (-3) U (64½) November 15 vs UNLV W L (-26½) O (63) November 22 vs Savannah St W 64 0 W (-59) U (74) November 29 at California W W (+3½) O (71½) 2014 GAME LOG (9-3 SU, 7-5 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.2) (7.4) (5.5) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.5) (7.3) (5.7) Offense Road Games : (3.5) (8.2) (5.4) Defense (All Games) : (3.6) (5.9) (4.8) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.1) (6.5) (5.2) Defense Road Games : (4.2) (5.6) (5.0) August 30 vs Austin Peay W 63 0 W (-39) O (42½) September 6 at UCLA L W (+22½) O (56½) September 20 vs Middle Tennessee W W (-11½) U (61) September 27 at Mississippi L 24 3 L (+20) U (58½) October 4 at Cincinnati W W (+3) U (62½) October 11 vs Houston L L (-7½) O (48) October 25 at Southern Methodist W W (-22) O (51½) October 31 vs Tulsa W L (-24½) O (57) November 7 at Temple W L (-7½) U (48½) November 15 at Tulane W 38 7 W (-8) U (49) November 22 vs South Florida W L (-19½) O (45½) November 29 vs Connecticut W W (-23½) O (44½) Both schools are riding high into the postseason: While BYU was a perfect 4-0 SU (3-1 ATS) in November with a 27.5 PPG margin, Memphis is riding a six-game win streak, the school s longest in-season surge since Cougars back-up QB Christian Stewart has thrown for 320 YPG, 14 TD and 1 INT during the four straight wins, while Tigers QB Paxton Lynch (school record 28 total TD) has thrown for 221 YPG, 9 TD and zero interceptions during his team s six-game win streak. BYU star WR Mitch Mathews (840 rec yards, 8 TD) suffered a concussion in the last game but expects to play in this matchup. MEMPHIS is ATS (+15.0 Units) vs. good offensive teams scoring 31 or more points per game since The average score was MEMPHIS 23.5, OPPONENT Rating = * Play Under - Any game involving two good teams (outgaining opponents by 0.6 to 1.2 YPP) after 7+ games over the last 10 seasons (61.1%, units). Brigham Young Cougars 25 Memphis Tigers

16 BOCA RATON Bowl NORTHERN ILLINOIS MARSHALL FAU STADIUM - BOCA RATON, FL TUESDAY, Dec. 23, 2014; 6:00 p.m. EST Line: MARSHALL BY 10 OVER/UNDER: 65 Recent northern illinois Bowl Game Log 12/26/13 POINSETTA vs. UTAH ST L L (+2½) U (55½) 1/1/13 ORANGE vs. FLORIDA ST L L (+14½) U (58) 1/8/12 GMAC vs. ARKANSAS ST W W (+1½) U (66) 12/18/10 HUMANITARIAN vs. FRESNO ST W W (-1½) O (56½) 2014 GAME LOG (11-2 SU, 7-6 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (5.2) (6.9) (5.8) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.9) (7.3) (6.0) Offense Road Games : (4.9) (6.3) (5.4) Defense (All Games) : (4.1) (7.0) (5.4) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.1) (6.7) (5.3) Defense Road Games : (3.9) (6.7) (5.2) August 28 vs Presbyterian W 55 3 W (-40) U (60) September 6 at Northwestern W W (+7½) U (59½) September 13 at UNLV W W (-10) O (62) September 20 at Arkansas L L (+13½) O (65) October 4 vs Kent State W L (-26) U (59) October 11 vs Central Michigan L L (-8) U (57) October 18 vs Miami (Ohio) W L (-13) O (58) October 25 at Eastern Michigan W L (-18) U (62) November 5 at Ball State W W (-3) U (62½) November 11 vs Toledo W L (-3½) U (62½) November 18 at Ohio W W (-1) U (52) November 28 at Western Michigan W W (+8) U (58½) December 5 at Bowling Green W W (-5½) O (63½) Recent MARSHALL Bowl Game Log 12/27/13 EAGLE BANK vs. MARYLAND W W (-2½) U (64) 12/20/11 ST PETERSBURG vs. FL INT L W W (+4) U (48½) 12/26/09 LITTLE CAESARS vs. OHIO U W W (+3) U (49) 12/23/04 FORT WORTH vs. CINCINNATI L L (+2) U (54) 2014 GAME LOG (12-1 SU, ATS) Offense (All Games) : (6.9) (8.6) (7.7) Opponents Defensive Avg : (5.0) (7.5) (6.1) Offense Road Games : (7.1) (7.8) (7.4) Defense (All Games) : (3.8) (5.8) (4.7) Opponents Offensive Avg : (3.9) (7.0) (5.4) Defense Road Games : (3.6) (5.5) (4.4) August 30 at Miami (Ohio) W L (-24½) O (62) September 6 vs Rhode Island W 48 7 P (-41) U (63) September 13 vs Ohio W W (-20½) P (58) September 20 at Akron W W (-10½) O (60) October 4 at Old Dominion W W (-18½) U (75) October 11 vs Middle Tennessee W W (-24) O (68) October 18 at Florida International W W (-21½) O (56½) October 25 vs Florida Atlantic W L (-27½) U (65½) November 8 at Southern Miss W W (-26½) O (63) November 15 vs Rice W W (-21) U (66) November 22 at UAB W L (-17½) U (69½) November 28 vs Western Kentucky L L (-23½) O (75) December 6 vs Louisiana Tech W L (-9) U (67½) A pair of high-scoring conference champions should make for an entertaining Boca Raton Bowl. Northern Illinois posted its third 50-point game this season in a MAC Championship rout of Bowling Green; Marshall won Conference USA in a tight game with Louisiana Tech, but ranked fifth in FBS scoring (45.1 PPG) with balanced passing (287.8 YPG) and running (275.6 YPG) attacks that are both among the nation s -20. While Huskies QB Drew Hare has thrown for 17 TD and only two picks in 299 pass attempts, Thundering Herd QB Rakeem Cato has thrown for 3,622 yards and 37 TD NORTHERN ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a win by 21 or more points over the last 2 seasons. The average score was NO. IL- LINOIS 44.3, OPPONENT Rating = * Play Under - Neutral field games where the total is between 63.5 and 70 and both teams have excellent offenses averaging at least 440 total YPG over the last 10 seasons (80.0%, units). * Marshall Thundering Herd 42 Northern Illinois Huskies 19

17 POINSETTIA Bowl Navy San Diego State QUALCOMM STADIUM - SAN DIEGO, CA TUESDAY, Dec. 23, 2014; 9:30 p.m. EST Line: SAN DIEGO STATE BY 2½ OVER/UNDER: 55 Recent NAVY Bowl Game Log 12/30/13 ARMED FORCES vs. MID TENN ST W 24 6 W (-7) U (57) 12/29/12 FIGHT HUNGER vs. ARIZONA ST L L (+12) O (55) 12/23/10 POINSETTA vs. SAN DIEGO ST L L (+3) U (57½) 12/31/09 TEXAS vs. MISSOURI W W (+6½) U (54½) Recent SAN DIEGO STATE Bowl Game Log 12/21/13 HUMANITARIAN vs. BUFFALO W W (pk) O (48½) 12/20/12 POINSETTA vs. BYU L 6 23 L (+3) U (46) 12/17/11 NEW ORLEANS vs. LA LAFAYETTE L L (-6) O (60½) 12/23/10 POINSETTA vs. NAVY W W (-3) U (57½) 2014 GAME LOG (7-5 SU, 5-7 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (6.4) (8.4) (6.7) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.8) (7.1) (5.8) Offense Road Games : (6.3) (8.6) (6.6) Defense (All Games) : (5.0) (7.2) (5.9) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.7) (7.3) (5.8) Defense Road Games : (4.8) (7.1) (5.8) August 30 vs Ohio State L L (+13½) U (54) September 6 at Temple W W (-3) U (58½) September 13 at Texas State W W (-6) U (56½) September 20 vs Rutgers L L (-6) U (55½) September 27 vs Western Kentucky L L (-7½) U (66½) October 4 at Air Force L L (-3) U (56) October 11 vs VMI W L (-38) October 25 vs San Jose State W W (-8½) O (53½) November 1 vs Notre Dame L W (+14) O (54½) November 15 vs Georgia Southern W W (-3) O (60) November 28 at South Alabama W L (-7½) O (54) December 13 vs Army W L (-16½) U (55) 2014 GAME LOG (7-5 SU, ATS) Offense (All Games) : (5.4) (6.8) (6.0) Opponents Defensive Avg : (5.0) (7.6) (6.1) Offense Home Games : (5.4) (8.0) (6.3) Defense (All Games) : (3.8) (6.6) (5.0) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.3) (6.9) (5.5) Defense Home Games : (3.5) (6.6) (4.9) August 30 vs Northern Arizona W 38 7 W (-17½) U (49½) September 6 at North Carolina L W (+14½) U (60) September 20 at Oregon State L 28 7 L (+10½) U (57) September 27 vs UNLV W L (-18) U (56½) October 3 at Fresno State L L (+3½) U (58½) October 10 at New Mexico W W (-3) U (53½) October 18 vs Hawaii W P (-10) U (49) November 1 at Nevada L L (+2½) U (49) November 8 vs Idaho W L (-20½) U (57) November 15 at Boise State L W (+14) O (56½) November 21 vs Air Force W W (-6) U (49) November 29 vs San Jose State W 38 7 W (-14½) U (47) San Diego State will be playing at home when the tripleoption attack of Navy pays a visit. The Aztecs were 6-0 SU this season at home, where they held visitors to a mere 12.7 PPG, and committed only three turnovers. The Midshipmen were 3-1 SU in true road games, averaging 32.3 PPG. Navy QB Keenan Reynolds entered the Army game leading all FBS signal callers in both rushing TD (20) and rushing yards (1,082). San Diego State, however, has the major defensive edge in this matchup, in addition to RB Donnel Pumphrey (19 TD), who ranks third in FBS with 1,761 rushing yards. NAVY is ATS (+32.0 Units) as a road underdog since The average score was NAVY 23.7, OPPONENT * Play On - Road teams that are winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in games where the line is +3 to over the last 5 seasons (70.7%, units). Navy Midshipmen 24 San Diego State Aztecs

18 BAHAMAS Bowl central michigan w e s t e r n kentucky THOMAS A. ROBINSON NATIONAL STADIUM - NASSAU, BAHAMAS WEDNESDAY, Dec. 24, 2014; NOON EST Line: WESTERN KENTUCKY BY 2½ OVER/UNDER: 66 Recent CENTRAL MICHIGAN Bowl Game Log 12/26/12 LITTLE CAESARS vs. W KENTUCKY W W (+6) U (55½) 1/6/10 GMAC vs. TROY W L (-3½) O (63) 12/26/08 LITTLE CAESARS vs. FLA ATLANTIC L L (-7) U (70) 12/26/07 LITTLE CAESARS vs. PURDUE L W (+8) O (71½) 2014 GAME LOG (7-5 SU, 5-7 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.0) (7.9) (5.6) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.3) (7.4) (5.7) Offense Road Games : (4.0) (9.0) (5.9) Defense (All Games) : (3.6) (6.7) (5.1) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.3) (6.7) (5.4) Defense Road Games : (3.3) (6.4) (4.9) August 28 vs Chattanooga W L (-10½) U (53½) September 6 at Purdue W W (+3) O (53) September 13 vs Syracuse L 40 3 L (+5) U (50½) September 20 at Kansas L L (+5½) U (45) September 27 at Toledo L L (+10) O (59) October 4 vs Ohio W W (-3) U (49½) October 11 at Northern Illinois W W (+8) U (57) October 18 vs Ball State L L (-10) O (53½) October 25 at Buffalo W W (-3½) U (55) November 1 at Eastern Michigan W 38 7 W (-13) U (48) November 15 vs Miami (Ohio) W L (-18½) O (54) November 22 vs Western Michigan L L (-1) O (51½) Recent WESTERN KENTUCKY Bowl Game Log 12/26/12 LITTLE CAESARS vs. C MICHIGAN L L (-6) U (55½) 2014 GAME LOG (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.9) (8.5) (6.9) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.6) (7.2) (5.8) Offense Road Games : (4.3) (7.5) (6.3) Defense (All Games) : (5.0) (8.7) (6.5) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.9) (7.2) (5.8) Defense Road Games : (5.5) (8.4) (6.8) August 29 vs Bowling Green W W (+6½) O (63½) September 6 at Illinois L L (+3½) O (68) September 13 at Middle Tennessee L L (+1) O (62½) September 27 at Navy W W (+7½) U (66½) October 4 vs UAB L L (-10) O (69½) October 18 at Florida Atlantic L L (-3) O (65½) October 25 vs Old Dominion W W (-12½) O (77) November 1 at Louisiana Tech L L (+7½) P (69) November 8 vs UTEP W L (-9½) U (69) November 15 vs Army W W (-7½) O (71½) November 22 vs UTSA W 45 7 W (-10) U (55½) November 28 at Marshall W W (+23½) O (75) Two schools that saved their best football for November meet in the Bahamas. Central Michigan closed out the year 3-1 SU (2-2 ATS) while Western Kentucky averaged a hefty 49.8 PPG in its current four-game surge (3-1 ATS). The Chippewas feed RB Thomas Rawls (1,103 rush yards, 10 TD) 23.3 times per game, while the Hillpers trust QB Brandon Doughty (4,344 pass yards, 44 TD, 10 INT) with the football. He capped off a stellar regular season with eight TD passes in the upset of Marshall. But WKU s defense allows 502 YPG (560 YPG on the road) CENTRAL MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games after playing 2 straight conference games over the last 3 seasons. The average score was C MICHI- GAN 30.4, OPPONENT * Play Under - Neutral field bowl games where the total is between 63.5 and 70 and both teams have winning records on the season over the last 5 seasons (81.2%, units). * Central Michigan Chippewas 32 Western Kentucky Hillpers 34

19 hawaii Bowl fresno state Rice aloha stadium - honolulu, hi WEDNESDAY, Dec. 24, 2014; 8:00 p.m. EST Line: RICE BY 1 OVER/UNDER: 59 Recent FRESNO STATE Bowl Game Log 12/21/13 LAS VEGAS vs. USC L L (+4½) U (65½) 12/24/12 HAWAII vs. SMU L L (-13½) U (62½) 12/18/10 HUMANITARIAN vs. N ILLINOIS L L (+1½) O (56½) 12/19/09 NEW MEXICO vs. WYOMING L L (-10) O (54½) Recent RICE Bowl Game Log 12/31/13 LIBERTY vs. MISSISSIPPI ST L 7 44 L (+7) O (50½) 12/29/12 ARMED FORCES vs. AIR FORCE W W (-1) U (61) 12/30/08 TEXAS vs. W MICHIGAN W W (-2) U (73½) 12/22/06 NEW ORLEANS vs. TROY ST L L (-5) O (55) 2014 GAME LOG (6-7 SU, 7-6 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.6) (6.2) (5.4) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.8) (7.1) (5.8) Offense Road Games : (4.2) (6.6) (5.4) Defense (All Games) : (4.7) (8.6) (6.2) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.6) (7.3) (5.8) Defense Road Games : (4.7) (8.7) (6.1) August 30 at Southern Cal L L (+18½) O (58) September 6 at Utah L L (+13) O (65) September 13 vs Nebraska L L (+11) O (60) September 20 vs S. Utah W W (-19) O (61½) September 26 at New Mexico W W (-6) U (66½) October 3 vs San Diego State W W (-3½) U (58½) October 10 at UNLV L L (-9½) U (65½) October 17 at Boise State L W (+18) O (60½) November 1 vs Wyoming L L (-15½) O (58) November 8 vs San Jose State W W (+1) O (57½) November 22 at Nevada W W (+7) U (63½) November 29 vs Hawaii W L (-8½) U (60½) December 6 at Boise State L W (+22½) U (70) 2014 GAME LOG (7-5 SU, 8-4 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (3.9) (8.2) (5.5) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.4) (7.2) (5.7) Offense Road Games : (3.7) (7.9) (5.4) Defense (All Games) : (4.4) (7.8) (6.0) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.4) (7.1) (5.6) Defense Road Games : (5.1) (8.8) (6.7) August 30 at Notre Dame L L (+19½) O (52½) September 13 at Texas A&M L W (+30½) U (70) September 20 vs Old Dominion L L (-7) O (63½) September 27 at Southern Miss W W (-8½) O (58½) October 4 vs Hawaii W W (-6) U (56) October 11 at Army W W (-2½) O (57½) October 25 vs North Texas W W (-17) O (56½) November 1 at Florida International W W (-6) O (45½) November 8 vs UTSA W 17 7 W (-8) U (43½) November 15 at Marshall L L (+21) U (66) November 21 vs UTEP W W (-7½) U (49) November 29 at Louisiana Tech L L (+7½) O (47½) Sub-.500 Fresno State has four straight ATS wins as an underdog, but Rice has seven consecutive ATS victories when favored. The Bulldogs are led by the duo of mistakeprone QB Brian Burrell (2,576 pass yards, 22 TD, 16 INT) and WR Josh Harper (86 catches for 1,072 yards, 7 TD), who are trying to erase two straight ugly bowl losses for Fresno. The Owls were humiliated in the regular-season finale, but have zero turnovers in six different games in Both defenses have allowed an identical total yards per game on the road this season, where both schools are 4-3 ATS. RICE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when coming off a game that went Over the total this season. The average score was RICE 28.0, OPPONENT Play Under - All games where total is between 56.5 and 63 with one team coming off a road loss and the other coming off a road loss by 28 points or more over the last 10 seasons (73.6%, units). Fresno State Bulldogs 28 Rice Owls

20 HEART OF DALLAS Bowl Illinois Louisiana Tech COTTON BOWL - DALLAS, TX FRIDAY, Dec. 26, 2014; 1:00 p.m. EST Line: LOUSIANA TECH BY 6 OVER/UNDER: 61½ Recent ILLINOIS Bowl Game Log 12/31/11 FIGHT HUNGER vs. UCLA W W (-3) U (45) 12/29/10 TEXAS vs. BAYLOR W W (-2) U (64½) 1/1/08 ROSE vs. USC L L (+13) O (48) 1/1/02 SUGAR vs. LSU L L (+1½) O (55½) Recent LOUISIANA TECH Bowl Game Log 12/21/11 POINSETTA vs. TCU L W (+9½) O (53) 12/28/08 INDEPENDENCE vs. N ILLINOIS W W (-2½) U (46) 12/31/01 HUMANITARIAN vs. CLEMSON L L (+6½) O (60½) 2014 GAME LOG (6-6 SU, 5-7 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (3.7) (6.9) (5.4) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.1) (6.7) (5.3) Offense Road Games : (3.9) (6.5) (5.1) Defense (All Games) : (5.1) (7.5) (6.0) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.7) (7.0) (5.6) Defense Road Games : (6.0) (6.9) (6.4) August 30 vs Youngstown State W L (-17) U (67½) September 6 vs Western Kentucky W W (-3½) O (68) September 13 at Washington L L (+13) U (64) September 20 vs Texas State W L (-10½) O (62) September 27 at Nebraska L L (+20½) O (58) October 4 vs Purdue L L (-10½) O (53) October 11 at Wisconsin L W (+27) O (58½) October 25 vs Minnesota W W (+4) U (54) November 1 at Ohio State L L (+28) O (62½) November 15 vs Iowa L L (+5½) U (54) November 22 vs Penn State W W (+5½) U (45) November 29 at Northwestern W W (+7) O (52) 2014 GAME LOG (8-5 SU, 10-3 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.3) (7.5) (5.8) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.4) (7.8) (5.9) Offense Road Games : (3.8) (6.9) (5.3) Defense (All Games) : (3.3) (6.4) (4.9) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.6) (7.4) (5.8) Defense Road Games : (3.6) (6.8) (5.2) August 30 at Oklahoma L W (+33) O (56½) September 6 at Louisiana-Lafayette W W (+15½) O (58½) September 11 at North Texas W W (+3) O (48) September 20 vs Northwestern Stat L L (-23) U (62½) September 27 at Auburn L W (+32) U (64) October 4 vs Texas El Paso W 55 3 W (-12) O (56½) October 18 vs UTSA W L (-11) O (44½) October 25 at Southern Miss W W (-7½) U (56) November 1 vs Western Kentucky W W (-7½) P (69) November 8 at UAB W W (-5½) O (53½) November 22 at Old Dominion L L (-13½) U (66) November 29 vs Rice W W (-7½) O (47½) December 6 at Marshall L W (+9) U (67½) OVER/UNDER TREND Illinois became bowl-eligible with two straight SU wins as an underdog, while Louisiana Tech lost two of its final three games. The Illini are a poor rushing team (117.1 YPG, 114th in nation), but QB Wes Lunt rushed for 147 yards in the regularseason finale at Northwestern. The Bulldogs will continue to ride RB Kenneth Dixon, who has galloped for 478 yards and 10 touchdowns in the past four games to give him 21 TD for the season. Louisiana Tech leads all FBS schools with 40 forced turnovers, but Illinois has committed less than two miscues in five of its past six games. ILLINOIS is ATS (-25.2 Units) after a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers since The average score was ILLINOIS 21.7, OPPONENT Rating = * ILLINOIS is 20-5 UNDER (+14.5 Units) after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game since The average score was ILLINOIS 20.3, OPPONENT Illinois Fighting Illini 23 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

21 QUICK LANE Bowl Rutgers NORTH CAROLINA FORD FIELD - DETROIT, MI FRIDAY, Dec. 26, 2014; 4:30 p.m. EST Line: NORTH CAROLINA BY 3 OVER/UNDER: 66½ Recent RUTGERS Bowl Game Log 12/28/13 PINSTRIPE vs. NOTRE DAME L W (+14½) U (53½) 12/28/12 CHAMPS SPORTS vs. VA TECH L L (-1) U (42) 12/30/11 PINSTRIPE vs. IOWA ST W W (+1½) U (46) 12/19/09 ST PETERSBURG vs. UCF W W (-2½) O (45) Recent NORTH CAROLINA Bowl Game Log 12/28/13 BELK vs. CINCINNATI W W (-2½) U (60) 12/26/11 INDEPENDENCE vs. MISSOURI L L (+4½) O (54) 12/30/10 MUSIC CITY vs. TENNESSEE W W (+1) O (50) 12/26/09 MEINEKE CAR CARE vs. PITT L L (+1) U (46) 2014 GAME LOG (7-5 SU, 7-5 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.0) (8.2) (5.8) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.0) (7.0) (5.4) Offense Road Games : (4.3) (7.8) (5.8) Defense (All Games) : (5.6) (7.7) (6.5) Opponents Offensive Avg : (5.1) (6.8) (5.8) Defense Road Games : (6.0) (9.2) (7.5) August 28 at Washington State W W (+7½) O (61) September 6 vs Howard W L (-38) O (56½) September 13 vs Penn State L W (+3½) U (52½) September 20 at Navy W W (+6) U (55½) September 27 vs Tulane W 31 6 W (-13½) U (53) October 4 vs Michigan W L (-3) O (46) October 18 at Ohio State L L (+21) O (63) October 25 at Nebraska L W (+19½) O (60½) November 1 vs Wisconsin L 37 0 L (+12½) U (51) November 15 vs Indiana W W (-8½) O (53) November 22 at Michigan State L 45 3 L (+24) U (57) November 29 at Maryland W W (+7½) O (53) 2014 GAME LOG (6-6 SU, 5-7 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (3.8) (7.2) (5.5) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.0) (6.8) (5.3) Offense Road Games : (3.6) (8.0) (5.7) Defense (All Games) : (5.0) (8.5) (6.4) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.7) (7.3) (5.9) Defense Road Games : (4.7) (8.5) (6.4) August 30 vs Liberty W L (-31) September 6 vs San Diego State W L (-14½) U (60) September 20 at East Carolina L L (-1½) O (66½) September 27 at Clemson L L (+14) O (63½) October 4 vs Virginia Tech L L (+2½) U (56½) October 11 at Notre Dame L W (+16½) O (62½) October 18 vs Georgia Tech W W (-2½) O (67½) October 25 at Virginia W W (+7) U (60) November 1 at Miami L L (+16½) U (67½) November 15 vs Pittsburgh W W (-2½) O (67) November 20 at Duke W W (+5) U (66½) November 29 vs North Carolina St L 35 7 L (-6½) U (70) Two teams ride nice momentum into Detroit with Rutgers erasing a 25-point deficit to win at Maryland, and North Carolina finishing 4-2 (SU and ATS) in the second half of the season. The Scarlet Knights don t have a 500-yard rusher on their roster, but junior WR Leonte Carroo (1,043 rec yards, 10 TD) averages a hefty 19.7 yards per catch. The Tar Heels got a strong season out of dual-threat QB Marquise Williams, although he threw only 3 TD passes in his final four games. Both defenses have struggled, especially on the road where Rutgers allows 40.5 PPG, while UNC surrenders 44.0 PPG. RUTGERS is ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games in nonconference games since The average score was RUTGERS 26.9, OPPONENT Rating = * Play Under - Any team against the total, after allowing 475 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after being outgained by 175+ total yards in their previous game since 1992 (63.4%, units). Rutgers Scarlet Knights 38 North Carolina Tar Heels

22 North Carolina State ST. PETERSBURG Bowl Central Florida TROPICANA FIELD - ST. PETERSBURG, FL FRIDAY, Dec. 26, 2014; 8:00 p.m. EST Line: CENTRAL FLORIDA BY 1½ OVER/UNDER: 49½ Recent NORTH CAROLINA STATE Bowl Game Log 12/31/12 MUSIC CITY vs. VANDERBILT L L (+7½) O (54) 12/27/11 BELK vs. LOUISVILLE W W (-1½) O (44) 12/28/10 CHAMPS SPORTS vs. W VIRGINIA W 23 7 W (+3) U (49½) 12/29/08 PAPAJOHNS.COM vs. RUTGERS L P (+6) U (57½) 2014 GAME LOG (7-5 SU, 7-5 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (5.4) (6.7) (5.9) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.5) (7.1) (5.6) Offense Road Games : (5.0) (6.1) (5.4) Defense (All Games) : (4.3) (6.7) (5.3) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.4) (7.0) (5.5) Defense Road Games : (3.0) (6.4) (4.7) August 30 vs Ga Southern W L (-20½) U (57½) September 6 vs Old Dominion W L (-15½) O (65) September 13 at South Florida W W (-2½) O (52) September 20 vs Presbyterian W 42 0 W (-41) U (58½) September 27 vs Florida State L W (+16½) O (60) October 4 at Clemson L 41 0 L (+14) U (64) October 11 vs Boston College L L (-2½) U (55) October 18 at Louisville L W (+19) P (48) November 1 at Syracuse W W (+2½) U (53) November 8 vs Georgia Tech L L (+3) O (62½) November 15 vs Wake Forest W W (-16½) O (44½) November 29 at North Carolina W 35 7 W (+6½) U (70) Recent CENTRAL FLORIDA Bowl Game Log 1/1/14 FIESTA vs. BAYLOR W W (+17) O (74½) 12/21/12 ST PETERSBURG vs. BALL ST W W (-7) U (60) 12/31/10 LIBERTY vs. GEORGIA W 10 6 W (+7) U (53½) 12/19/09 ST PETERSBURG vs. RUTGERS L L (+2½) O (45) 2014 GAME LOG (9-3 SU, 8-4 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (3.2) (7.6) (5.1) Opponents Defensive Avg : (3.9) (6.9) (5.3) Offense Road Games : (3.0) (6.9) (4.7) Defense (All Games) : (3.1) (5.4) (4.3) Opponents Offensive Avg : (3.7) (6.4) (5.0) Defense Road Games : (3.0) (6.7) (5.1) August 30 vs Penn State L L (-2) O (43½) September 13 at Missouri L L (+10½) U (53½) September 20 vs Bethune-Cookman W 41 7 W (-23) U (50½) October 2 at Houston W W (+2½) U (49½) October 9 vs BYU W W (-2½) O (46) October 18 vs Tulane W L (-17) U (44) October 25 vs Temple W W (-6) O (47) November 1 at Connecticut L L (-9) O (38) November 1 vs Tulsa W 31 7 W (-19) U (54) November 22 vs Southern Methodist W 53 7 W (-28½) O (48½) November 28 at South Florida W 16 0 W (-10) U (42½) December 4 at East Carolina W W (+6½) O (55) Both schools closed out the regular season on a high with wins as 6.5-point underdogs. NC State won three of its final four games (SU and ATS) by playing turnover-free football in all three victories. UCF finished with four straight wins (SU and ATS), capped off by a pair of road victories at USF and then East Carolina on a final-play Hail Mary. Wolfpack QB Jacoby Brissett threw 22 TD and only 5 INT this season, and rushed for 498 yards, but the Knights allow a mere 17.9 PPG this season, good for ninth-best in the nation. Both teams won at USF, as NC State prevailed 49-17, and UCF won UCF is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) after playing their last game on the road over the last 2 seasons. The average score was UCF 38.7, OPPONENT *** Play Under - All non-conference games where the total is between 49.5 and 56 between two good teams (+0.6 to 1.2 YPP margin) after 7+ games since 1992 (80.0%, units). ** North Carolina State Wolfpack 23 Central Florida Knights 26

23 MILITARY Bowl VIRGINIA TECH CINCINNATI NAVY-MARINE CORPS MEMORIAL STADIUM - ANNAPOLIS, MD SATURDAY, Dec. 27, 2014; 1:00 p.m. EST Line: CINCINNATI BY 3½ OVER/UNDER: 51 Recent VIRGINIA TECH Bowl Game Log 12/31/13 SUN vs. UCLA L L (+7) O (45½) 12/28/12 CHAMPS SPORTS vs. RUTGERS W W (+1) U (42) 1/3/12 SUGAR vs. MICHIGAN L P (+3) U (52) 1/3/11 ORANGE vs. STANFORD L L (+3½) U (58½) Recent CINCINNATI Bowl Game Log 12/28/13 BELK vs. N CAROLINA L L (+2½) U (60) 12/27/12 BELK vs. DUKE W W (-8½) O (62½) 12/31/11 LIBERTY vs. VANDERBILT W W (+2) O (50½) 1/1/10 SUGAR vs. FLORIDA L L (+12) O (59) 2014 GAME LOG (6-6 SU, 5-7 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (3.7) (6.3) (4.9) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.2) (6.9) (5.5) Offense Road Games : (2.8) (5.8) (4.1) Defense (All Games) : (3.9) (6.5) (5.0) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.6) (7.3) (5.8) Defense Road Games : (3.4) (5.6) (4.4) August 30 vs William & Mary W 34 9 W (-23½) September 6 at Ohio State W W (+10) O (46) September 13 vs East Carolina L L (-10) U (54) September 20 vs Georgia Tech L L (-7½) U (52½) September 27 vs Western Michigan W L (-20) O (49½) October 4 at North Carolina W W (-2½) U (56½) October 16 at Pittsburgh L L (-1) U (45) October 23 vs Miami L 30 6 L (+2½) U (47½) November 1 vs Boston College L L (-2½) O (40) November 15 at Duke W W (+3½) U (47½) November 22 at Wake Forest L 6 3 L (-13½) U (38) November 28 vs Virginia W W (+1½) O (38½) 2014 GAME LOG (9-3 SU, ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.5) (7.9) (6.3) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.1) (6.8) (5.3) Offense Road Games : (4.6) (7.2) (5.9) Defense (All Games) : (4.8) (7.4) (6.1) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.4) (6.8) (5.6) Defense Road Games : (5.1) (6.5) (5.8) September 12 vs Toledo W W (-9½) O (58) September 20 vs Miami (Ohio) W L (-30) U (61½) September 27 at Ohio State L L (+16½) O (60) October 4 vs Memphis L L (-3) U (62½) October 11 at Miami L L (+15½) O (65½) October 18 at Southern Methodist W 41 3 W (-12½) U (62) October 24 vs South Florida W W (-10) U (60) October 31 at Tulane W W (-4½) U (56½) November 13 vs East Carolina W W (+1½) O (71½) November 22 at Connecticut W 41 0 W (-9) U (55½) November 29 at Temple W 14 6 W (-7) U (58) December 6 vs Houston W P (-7) O (57½) These schools are meeting for the second time in three seasons, as Cincinnati edged Virginia Tech on a neutral field in Bearcats QB Gunner Kiel (3,010 pass yards, 30 TD, 11 INT) wasn t around then, but he has led his team to seven straight wins (6-0-1 ATS) with 14 total touchdowns in that span. The Hokies have not gotten great production from QB Michael Brewer (17 TD, 14 INT), who has thrown for 300 yards just once all season. Although Virginia Tech is the superior defensive team (20.4 PPG allowed), Cincinnati gives up only 21.3 PPG away from home, where it is 4-2 (SU and ATS). CINCINNATI is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after playing 2 straight conference games over the last 3 seasons. The average score was CINCIN- NATI 33.6, OPPONENT Play On - Any team (VA TECH) - average rush team ( YPC) vs. poor rush defense ( YPC) after 7+ games, after allowing 75 or less rushing yards over the last 5 seasons (86.2%, units). ** Virginia Tech Hokies 24 Cincinnati Bearcats

24 SUN Bowl DUKE ARIZONA STATE sun bowl - el paso, TX SATURDAY, Dec. 27, 2014; 2:00 p.m. EST Line: ARIZONA STATE BY 8 OVER/UNDER: 66½ Recent DUKE Bowl Game Log 12/31/13 CHICK-FIL-A vs. TEXAS A&M L W (+14) O (76) 12/27/12 BELK vs. CINCINNATI L L (+8½) O (62½) 1/2/95 OUTBACK vs. WISCONSIN L L (+8½) O (53) Recent ARIZONA state Bowl Game Log 12/30/13 HOLIDAY vs. TEXAS TECH L L (-17) U (71½) 12/29/12 FIGHT HUNGER vs. NAVY W W (-12) O (55) 12/22/11 LAS VEGAS vs. BOISE ST L L (+14) O (65) 12/27/07 HOLIDAY vs. TEXAS L L (+1) O (62½) 2014 GAME LOG (9-3 SU, ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.9) (5.9) (5.4) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.6) (7.1) (5.7) Offense Road Games : (4.5) (5.5) (5.0) Defense (All Games) : (4.5) (6.3) (5.2) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.2) (6.5) (5.3) Defense Road Games : (4.8) (6.7) (5.6) August 30 vs Elon W P (-39) September 6 at Troy W L (-18) U (64) September 13 vs Kansas W 41 3 W (-11) U (57) September 20 vs Tulane W W (-16½) O (53) September 27 at Miami L L (+3½) U (58½) October 11 at Georgia Tech W W (+3½) U (58½) October 18 vs Virginia W W (-3) U (49) November 1 at Pittsburgh W W (+3) O (52½) November 8 at Syracuse W W (-4) U (53) November 15 vs Virginia Tech L L (-3½) U (47½) November 20 vs North Carolina L L (-5) U (66½) November 29 vs Wake Forest W W (-19) O (45½) 2014 GAME LOG (9-3 SU, 6-6 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.3) (7.7) (5.9) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.4) (7.1) (5.7) Offense Road Games : (4.5) (7.9) (6.1) Defense (All Games) : (4.0) (7.5) (5.7) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.4) (7.2) (5.8) Defense Road Games : (4.5) (6.9) (5.5) August 28 vs Weber State W L (-48) U (65½) September 6 at New Mexico W W (-24½) O (67) September 13 at Colorado W L (-16) U (68) September 25 vs UCLA L L (+3½) O (64½) October 4 at Southern Cal W W (+12) O (67½) October 18 vs Stanford W W (+3½) U (54) October 25 at Washington W W (-3½) U (61) November 1 vs Utah W L (-6½) U (56) November 8 vs Notre Dame W W (-3) O (60½) November 15 at Oregon State L L (-7) U (63½) November 22 vs Washington State W W (-14½) O (71½) November 28 at Arizona L L (+2) O (64½) Duke and Arizona State each enter this contest with two losses in their past three games. Both offenses can put up points: The Blue Devils are the better running team (183 rushing YPG) while the Sun Devils prefer to throw more often (276 passing YPG). It is not yet known which ASU quarterback will be under center, Taylor Kelly or Mike Bercovici. ASU has an opportunistic defense with 14 takeaways in the past four games, but has allowed more than 30 points in each of these contests as well. Duke has held three of its past four opponents to fewer than 150 rushing yards. DUKE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a game where they committed fewer than 2 turnovers over the last 2 seasons. The average score was DUKE 30.9, OPPONENT Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (DUKE) - off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival against opponent after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more since 1992 (74.5%, units). * Duke Blue Devils 28 Arizona State Sun Devils

25 Independence Bowl miami florida south carolina Independence Stadium - Shreveport, LA SATURDAY, Dec. 27, 2014; 3:30 p.m. EST Line: MIAMI FLORIDA BY 3 OVER/UNDER: 61 Recent MIAMI FLORIDA Bowl Game Log 12/28/13 CHAMPS SPORTS vs. LOUISVILLE L 9 36 L (+5½) U (60) 12/31/10 SUN vs. NOTRE DAME L L (-3) O (48) 12/29/09 CHAMPS SPORTS vs. WISCONSIN L L (-3½) U (55½) 12/27/08 FIGHT HUNGER vs. CALIFORNIA L W (+10) U (51) Recent SOUTH CAROLINA Bowl Game Log 1/1/14 CAPITAL ONE vs. WISCONSIN W W (pk) O (51½) 1/1/13 OUTBACK vs. MICHIGAN W L (-5½) O (47½) 1/2/12 CAPITAL ONE vs. NEBRASKA W W (-3) U (45) 12/31/10 CHICK-FIL-A vs. FLORIDA ST L L (-2) U (53½) 2014 GAME LOG (6-6 SU, 5-7 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (5.3) (8.4) (6.8) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.4) (6.9) (5.6) Offense Road Games : (4.7) (7.8) (6.3) Defense (All Games) : (3.7) (6.1) (4.7) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.4) (7.2) (5.6) Defense Road Games : (4.7) (6.5) (5.2) September 1 at Louisville L L (+6) U (55½) September 6 vs Florida A&M W 41 7 L (-45) U (60) September 13 vs Arkansas State W W (-14½) O (52½) September 20 at Nebraska L L (+8) O (54½) September 27 vs Duke W W (-3½) U (58½) October 4 at Georgia Tech L L (+2½) U (58) October 11 vs Cincinnati W W (-15½) O (65½) October 23 at Virginia Tech W 30 6 W (-2½) U (47½) November 1 vs North Carolina W W (-16½) U (67½) November 15 vs Florida State L L (+2) U (61½) November 22 at Virginia L L (-4) U (45) November 29 vs Pittsburgh L L (-10½) O (56) 2014 GAME LOG (6-6 SU, 4-8 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.5) (7.8) (6.1) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.2) (6.8) (5.4) Offense Road Games : (4.1) (6.5) (5.4) Defense (All Games) : (5.4) (7.4) (6.3) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.6) (7.0) (5.7) Defense Road Games : (6.1) (9.0) (7.1) August 28 vs Texas A&M L L (-9) O (60½) September 6 vs East Carolina W L (-14½) U (64½) September 13 vs Georgia W W (+8½) O (59½) September 20 at Vanderbilt W L (-21½) O (51) September 27 vs Missouri L L (-6½) U (60½) October 4 at Kentucky L L (-4½) O (54½) October 18 vs Furman W L (-37) U (58) October 25 at Auburn L W (+18) O (63) November 1 vs Tennessee L L (-5½) O (55) November 15 at Florida W W (+6½) U (57) November 22 vs South Alabama W W (-24) U (57) November 29 at Clemson L L (+4½) U (53) OVER/UNDER TREND Two once-proud programs stumbling to 6-6 finishes will be spending their holidays in Shreveport, LA. Miami had unbeaten Florida State on the ropes on Nov. 15, but relinquished a late lead that began a current three-game losing skid where it has surrendered 95 points. South Carolina dropped five of its final eight games (SU and ATS), with two of the wins coming versus Furman and South Alabama. Both schools have struggled away from home (Hurricanes 1-4 SU with 20.8 PPG, Gamecocks 2-3 SU with 35.2 PPG allowed) and have been hurt by turnovers with a combined 13 multi-giveaway games. MIAMI is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons. The average score was MIAMI 29.1, OPPONENT MIAMI is 9-0 UNDER (+9.0 Units) versus poor rushing defenses - allowing at least 4.75 rushing yards per carry since The average score was MIAMI 36.8, OPPONENT * Miami Florida Hurricanes 36 South Carolina Gamecocks

26 PINSTRIPE Bowl PENN STATE BOSTON COLLEGE YANKEE STADIUM - BRONX, NY SATURDAY, Dec. 27, 2014; 4:30 P.m. EST Line: BOSTON COLLEGE BY 2½ OVER/UNDER: 40 Recent PENN STATE Bowl Game Log 1/2/12 TICKET CITY vs. HOUSTON L L (+6½) U (56) 1/1/11 OUTBACK vs. FLORIDA L L (+7) O (47½) 1/1/10 CAPITAL ONE vs. LSU W W (+2) U (40) 1/1/09 ROSE vs. USC L L (+10) O (44½) Recent BOSTON COLLEGE Bowl Game Log 12/31/13 INDEPENDENCE vs. ARIZONA L L (+7) O (57½) 1/9/11 FIGHT HUNGER vs. NEVADA L W (+7½) U (54) 12/26/09 FIGHT HUNGER vs. USC L L (+7½) U (45) 12/31/08 MUSIC CITY vs. VANDERBILT L L (-5) U (40) 2014 GAME LOG (6-6 SU, 5-7 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (2.9) (6.0) (4.5) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.3) (6.6) (5.3) Offense Road Games : (2.8) (7.0) (4.9) Defense (All Games) : (2.6) (5.8) (4.1) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.3) (6.9) (5.5) Defense Road Games : (2.6) (6.0) (4.2) August 30 at Central Florida W W (+2) O (43½) September 6 vs Akron W 21 3 W (-14) U (51) September 13 at Rutgers W L (-3½) U (52½) September 20 vs Massachusetts W 48 7 W (-27) O (47½) September 27 vs Northwestern L 29 6 L (-10) U (46½) October 11 at Michigan L L (+2½) U (42½) October 25 vs Ohio State L W (+13½) O (53) November 1 vs Maryland L L (-3) U (44) November 8 at Indiana W 13 7 L (-6½) U (44½) November 15 vs Temple W W (-11) O (40½) November 22 at Illinois L L (-5½) U (45) November 29 vs Michigan State L L (+13) O (43½) 2014 GAME LOG (7-5 SU, 8-4 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (5.1) (7.1) (5.7) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.3) (6.6) (5.3) Offense Road Games : (5.2) (7.3) (5.7) Defense (All Games) : (3.1) (7.0) (5.1) Opponents Offensive Avg : (3.9) (7.4) (5.5) Defense Road Games : (2.1) (7.3) (4.9) August 30 at Massachusetts W 30 7 W (-17) U (49) September 5 vs Pittsburgh L L (+5½) P (50) September 13 vs Southern Cal W W (+17) O (58) September 20 vs Maine W W (-23½) O (46½) September 27 vs Colorado State L L (-6) U (56) October 11 at North Carolina St W W (+2½) U (55) October 18 vs Clemson L W (+5½) U (45½) October 25 at Wake Forest W L (-13½) U (40½) November 1 at Virginia Tech W W (+2½) O (40) November 8 vs Louisville L L (+3) O (45½) November 22 at Florida State L W (+16½) U (57½) November 29 vs Syracuse W 28 7 W (-11) U (45) Two schools looking for a program-boosting win meet at Yankee Stadium, as Penn State enters on a 2-6 SU skid, while B.C. has lost two of three. The Eagles are propelled by dualthreat QB Tyler Murphy, who set an ACC record for quarterback rushing yards (1,079) and produced 21 total TD, but also 10 picks. Murphy could have a hard time gaining yards on the Nittany Lions, who lead the nation in rushing defense (85 YPG allowed) and rank third in total defense (270 YPG allowed). While B.C. is 4-1 ATS with 26.6 PPG on the road, Penn State is 1-3 ATS with 15.8 PPG away from home. PENN STATE is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons. The average score was PENN STATE 17.6, OPPONENT * Play Over - Games where total is 42 or less in which one team rushed for 75 or less yards in its last game and other allowed 125 or less rush yards in 2 straight games over the last 10 seasons (70.7%, units). Penn State Nittany Lions 16 Boston College Golden Eagles

27 HOLIDAY Bowl STATFOX EDGE college bowl guide NEBRASKA S O U T H E R N CALIFORNIA QUALCOMM STADIUM - SAN DIEGO, CA SATURDAY, Dec. 27, 2014; 8:00 P.m. EST Line: SOUTHER CALIFORNIA BY 6½ OVER/UNDER: 61½ Recent NEBRASKA Bowl Game Log 1/1/14 GATOR vs. GEORGIA W W (+9½) U (60) 1/1/13 CAPITAL ONE vs. GEORGIA L L (+9½) O (61½) 1/2/12 CAPITAL ONE vs. S CAROLINA L L (+3) U (45) 12/30/10 HOLIDAY vs. WASHINGTON L 7 19 L (-12) U (55) 2014 GAME LOG (9-3 SU, ATS) Offense (All Games) : (5.5) (7.7) (6.3) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.6) (6.9) (5.6) Offense Road Games : (4.2) (7.3) (5.5) Defense (All Games) : (4.7) (5.9) (5.2) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.6) (6.9) (5.6) Defense Road Games : (5.4) (5.2) (5.3) August 30 vs Florida Atlantic W 55 7 W (-20) O (51) September 6 vs McNeese State W L (-35½) U (66) September 13 at Fresno State W W (-11) O (60) September 20 vs Miami W W (-8) O (54½) September 27 vs Illinois W W (-20½) O (58) October 4 at Michigan State L W (+8½) U (51½) October 18 at Northwestern W W (-6½) O (54½) October 25 vs Rutgers W L (-19½) O (60½) November 1 vs Purdue W P (-21) U (58½) November 15 at Wisconsin L L (+5) O (55½) November 22 vs Minnesota L L (-8½) O (51½) November 28 at Iowa W W (+1) O (53) Recent SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA Bowl Game Log 12/21/13 LAS VEGAS vs. FRESNO ST W W (-4½) U (65½) 12/31/12 SUN vs. GEORGIA TECH L 7 21 L (-7) U (63½) 12/26/09 FIGHT HUNGER vs. BOSTON COLL. W W (-7½) U (45) 1/1/09 ROSE vs. PENN ST W W (-10) O (44½) 2014 GAME LOG (8-4 SU, 7-5 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (3.9) (8.4) (6.0) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.1) (7.3) (5.6) Offense Road Games : (3.4) (7.9) (5.6) Defense (All Games) : (3.9) (6.4) (5.3) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.3) (7.2) (5.8) Defense Road Games : (4.2) (6.8) (5.5) August 30 vs Fresno State W W (-18½) O (58) September 6 at Stanford W W (+3) U (53) September 13 at Boston College L L (-17) O (58) September 27 vs Oregon State W W (-7) U (56) October 4 vs Arizona State L L (-12) O (67½) October 11 at Arizona W W (+1½) U (66) October 18 vs Colorado W W (-19) O (59½) October 25 at Utah L L (-1) U (51½) November 1 at Washington State W W (-7½) U (68) November 13 vs California W L (-14) U (72) November 22 at UCLA L L (+3½) U (62) November 29 vs Notre Dame W W (-5½) P (63) Nebraska will be playing under Barney Cotton, who served as run game coordinator and tight ends coach under Bo Pelini Pelini was fired after finishing on a 1-4 ATS skid. USC is 5-2 SU (4-3 ATS) in its past seven contests, but losses at Utah and UCLA ended its Pac-12 title hopes. There is firepower here, with the Huskers offense revolving around RB Ameer Abdullah (1,523 rush yards, 18 TD) and the Trojans around QB Cody Kessler (3,505 pass yards, 36 TD, 4 INT). Nebraska has committed multiple turnovers in eight of nine games, while USC has multiple takeaways in five of the past six contests. NEBRASKA is 25-6 ATS (+18.4 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since The average score was NEBRAS- KA 38.4, OPPONENT * Play Under - Any nonconference game between two major FBS teams involving two good teams ( YPP margin) after 7+ games since 1992 (67.9%, units). * Nebraska Cornhuskers 32 Southern California Trojans

28 LIBERTY Bowl WEST VIRGINIA TEXAS A&M LIBERTY BOWL memorial stadium - MEMPHIS, TN MONDAY, Dec. 29, 2014; 2:00 p.m. EST Line: WEST VIRGINIA BY 3½ OVER/UNDER: 66½ Recent WEST VIRGINIA Bowl Game Log 12/29/12 PINSTRIPE vs. SYRACUSE L L (-4) U (70) 1/4/12 ORANGE vs. CLEMSON W W (+3) O (64½) 12/28/10 CHAMPS SPORTS vs. NC STATE L 7 23 L (-3) U (49½) 1/1/10 GATOR vs. FLORIDA ST L L (-3) U (56) Recent TEXAS A&M Bowl Game Log 12/31/13 CHICK-FIL-A vs. DUKE W L (-14) O (76) 1/4/13 COTTON vs. OKLAHOMA W W (-3) U (72½) 12/31/11 TEXAS vs. NORTHWESTERN W W (-9½) U (68½) 1/7/11 COTTON vs. LSU L L (+1½) O (48½) 2014 GAME LOG (8-4 SU, 7-5 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.2) (7.7) (5.9) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.2) (7.1) (5.6) Offense Road Games : (4.5) (7.6) (6.0) Defense (All Games) : (4.3) (6.5) (5.3) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.3) (7.3) (5.7) Defense Road Games : (5.3) (6.4) (5.9) August 30 vs Fresno State W W (-18½) O (58) September 6 at Stanford W W (+3) U (53) September 13 at Boston College L L (-17) O (58) September 27 vs Oregon State W W (-7) U (56) October 4 vs Arizona State L L (-12) O (67½) October 11 at Arizona W W (+1½) U (66) October 18 vs Colorado W W (-19) O (59½) October 25 at Utah L L (-1) U (51½) November 1 at Washington State W W (-7½) U (68) November 13 vs California W L (-14) U (72) November 22 at UCLA L L (+3½) U (62) November 29 vs Notre Dame W W (-5½) P (63) 2014 GAME LOG (7-5 SU, 4-8 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.6) (7.7) (6.3) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.3) (7.2) (5.7) Offense Road Games : (5.0) (8.0) (6.7) Defense (All Games) : (5.1) (7.0) (5.9) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.3) (7.0) (5.5) Defense Road Games : (5.3) (8.4) (6.5) August 28 at South Carolina W W (+9) O (60½) September 6 vs Lamar W 73 3 W (-47) U (76½) September 13 vs Rice W L (-30½) U (70) September 20 at Southern Methodist W 58 6 W (-35) O (60) September 27 vs Arkansas W L (-7½) U (72) October 4 at Mississippi State L L (+3) O (72) October 11 vs Mississippi L L (-2½) U (64) October 18 at Alabama L 59 0 L (+11½) U (62½) November 1 vs Louisiana-Monroe W L (-32) U (61) November 8 at Auburn W W (+23½) O (68½) November 15 vs Missouri L L (-3½) O (55½) November 27 vs LSU L L (+3) U (53) While West Virginia went 1-3 SU (2-2 ATS) in November, Texas A&M dropped five of its final seven games SU and was 1-7 ATS in its final eight contests. The Mountaineers love to air out the football with passing YPG (9th in nation), thanks to star WR Kevin White (1,318 rec yards, 9 TD). QB Clint Trickett (3,285 pass yards, 18 TD) missed the season finale with a concussion but is expected to be cleared in time to play in this bowl. Texas A&M has averaged YPG (12th in FBS), with freshman Kyle Allen tossing 8 TDs over his past three games. TEXAS A&M is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. The average score was TEXAS A&M 31.2, OPPONENT * Play Under - Non-conference games on a neutral field where the total is between 63.5 and 70 and both teams are average on defense (21-28 PPG) over the last 10 seasons (92.3%, units). ** West Virginia Mountaineers 32 Texas A&M Aggies

29 Russell Athletic Bowl STATFOX EDGE college bowl guide CLEMSON OKLAHOMA Florida Citrus Bowl - Orlando, FL MONDAY, Dec. 29, 2014; 5:30 p.m. EST Line: OKLAHOMA BY 3 OVER/UNDER: 54 Recent CLEMSON Bowl Game Log 1/3/14 ORANGE vs. OHIO ST W W (+2½) O (71½) 12/31/12 CHICK-FIL-A vs. LSU W W (+5½) U (58) 1/4/12 ORANGE vs. W VIRGINIA L L (-3) O (64½) 12/31/10 MEINEKE CAR CARE vs. S FLORIDA L L (-5) O (40½) Recent OKLAHOMA Bowl Game Log 1/2/14 SUGAR vs. ALABAMA W W (+16½) O (51½) 1/4/13 COTTON vs. TEXAS A&M L L (+3) U (72½) 12/30/11 INSIGHT vs. IOWA W W (-13½) U (58) 1/1/11 FIESTA vs. CONNECTICUT W W (-16) O (53½) 2014 GAME LOG (9-3 SU, 5-7 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (3.7) (7.5) (5.4) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.5) (7.5) (5.8) Offense Road Games : (3.1) (6.5) (4.7) Defense (All Games) : (2.8) (5.5) (4.0) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.2) (6.9) (5.4) Defense Road Games : (3.8) (6.3) (4.8) August 30 at Georgia L L (+9½) O (55½) September 6 vs South Carolina St W 73 7 W (-34) O (58) September 20 at Florida State L W (+9½) U (55) September 27 vs North Carolina W W (-14) O (63½) October 4 vs North Carolina St W 41 0 W (-14) U (64) October 11 vs Louisville W L (-8½) U (46½) October 18 at Boston College W L (-5½) U (45½) October 25 vs Syracuse W 16 6 L (-16½) U (46½) November 6 at Wake Forest W L (-21) O (42½) November 15 at Georgia Tech L 28 6 L (-2) U (57) November 22 vs Georgia State W 28 0 L (-39½) U (57½) November 29 vs South Carolina W W (-4½) U (53) 2014 GAME LOG (8-4 SU, 5-7 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (6.1) (7.3) (6.6) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.3) (7.2) (5.6) Offense Road Games : (6.6) (7.2) (6.8) Defense (All Games) : (3.2) (6.9) (5.2) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.1) (7.3) (5.7) Defense Road Games : (3.4) (7.1) (5.5) August 30 vs Louisiana Tech W L (-33) O (56½) September 6 at Tulsa W 52 7 W (-24) O (57½) September 13 vs Tennessee W W (-21) U (58½) September 20 at West Virginia W W (-8½) O (66) October 4 at TCU L L (-3½) O (57) October 11 vs Texas W L (-16½) O (44½) October 18 vs Kansas State L L (-7) O (53½) November 1 at Iowa State W W (-15½) O (61½) November 8 vs Baylor L L (-5½) U (68) November 15 at Texas Tech W L (-14) O (65) November 22 vs Kansas W 44 7 W (-26) U (55) December 6 vs Oklahoma State L L (-19½) O (57½) Both participants in this bowl could be without their starting quarterbacks. Clemson QB Deshaun Watson (14 TD, 2 INT) is questionable with a knee injury, while Oklahoma QB Trevor Knight (14 TD, 9 INT) has a neck injury, and his RB Samaje Perine (1,579 rush yards, 21 TD) is questionable with an injured ankle. The Tigers have allowed only 17.6 PPG this season (7th in FBS), but the Sooners average 38.9 PPG on offense (11th in nation), including 43.7 PPG in non-home games. Both teams have been poor wagers since October, as both schools are 2-6 ATS in their final eight games. Play Against - Any team (OKLAHOMA) - after allowing 37 points or more last game against opponent after 2 straight wins by 17 or more points over the last 5 seasons (63.6%, units). Play Against - Any team (OKLAHOMA) - off a loss against a conference rival against opponent off 2 consecutive home wins by 14 points or more over the last 5 seasons (71.2%, units). Clemson Tigers 22 Oklahoma Sooners

30 TEXAS Bowl TEXAS ARKANSAS NRG STADIUM - HOUSTON, TX MONDAY, Dec. 29, 2014; 9:00 p.m. EST Line: ARKANSAS BY 6 OVER/UNDER: 45½ Recent TEXAS Bowl Game Log 12/30/13 ALAMO vs. OREGON L 7 30 L (+15½) U (68) 12/29/12 ALAMO vs. OREGON ST W W (+3) O (56) 12/28/11 HOLIDAY vs. CALIFORNIA W W (-3) U (48) 1/7/10 BCS TITLE GAME vs. ALABAMA L L (+3½) O (44½) Recent ARKANSAS Bowl Game Log 1/6/12 COTTON vs. KANSAS ST W W (-9) U (65) 1/4/11 SUGAR vs. OHIO ST L L (+3) U (57½) 1/2/10 LIBERTY vs. E CAROLINA W L (-7½) U (60) 1/1/08 COTTON vs. MISSOURI L 7 38 L (+4) U (68½) 2014 GAME LOG (6-6 SU, 7-5 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (3.9) (6.5) (5.1) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.2) (7.1) (5.5) Offense Road Games : (3.7) (7.1) (5.3) Defense (All Games) : (3.9) (5.7) (4.7) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.4) (7.5) (5.9) Defense Road Games : (3.7) (5.8) (4.6) August 30 vs North Texas W 38 7 W (-20½) U (47½) September 6 vs BYU L 41 7 L (-1) P (48) September 13 vs UCLA L W (+8½) U (50) September 27 at Kansas W 23 0 W (-10½) U (42) October 4 vs Baylor L 28 7 L (+14) U (58) October 11 at Oklahoma L W (+16½) O (44½) October 18 vs Iowa State W L (-10½) O (45½) October 25 at Kansas State L 23 0 L (+9½) U (47½) November 1 at Texas Tech W W (-4) U (57) November 8 vs West Virginia W W (+3) U (51) November 15 at Oklahoma State W 28 7 W (-1) U (46½) November 27 vs TCU L L (+4½) O (53½) 2014 GAME LOG (6-6 SU, 9-3 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (5.2) (6.8) (5.8) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.7) (6.8) (5.6) Offense Road Games : (5.6) (5.6) (5.6) Defense (All Games) : (3.6) (7.2) (5.3) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.7) (7.6) (6.0) Defense Road Games : (4.8) (8.6) (6.7) August 30 at Auburn L L (+17½) O (56) September 6 vs Nicholls State W 73 7 W (-41½) O (64) September 13 at Texas Tech W W (+0) O (66) September 20 vs Northern Illinois W W (-13½) O (65) September 27 at Texas A&M L W (+7½) U (72) October 11 vs Alabama L W (+9) U (53½) October 18 vs Georgia L L (+3) O (53½) October 25 vs UAB W W (-24½) O (60½) November 1 at Mississippi State L W (+10) U (55½) November 15 vs LSU W 17 0 W (-1½) U (45) November 22 vs Mississippi W 30 0 W (+3) U (46) November 28 at Missouri L L (-2½) U (43) Two big-name programs try to finish the 2014 campaign with a winning record. Both defenses have stood tall at times this year, with Arkansas holding seven teams to 17 points or fewer, and Texas limiting five teams to 16 points or fewer. The Razorbacks love to run the football with their two 1,000-yard backs in Jonathan Williams (11 TD) and Alex Collins (12 TD), while Longhorns QB Tyrone Swoopes (13 TD, 10 INT) tries to feed WR John Harris (1,015 rec yards, 7 TD). Arkansas has 12 giveaways in its six defeats while Texas has 15 turnovers in its half-dozen losses this year. ARKANSAS is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) off an upset loss as a road favorite since The average score was ARKAN- SAS 38.6, OPPONENT Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TEXAS) - an average offensive team (21-28 PPG) vs. good offensive team (28-34 PPG) after 7+ games, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game since 1992 (75.8%, units). ** Texas Longhorns 19 Arkansas Razorbacks

31 Music City Bowl NOTRE DAME LOUISIANA STATE LP Field - Nashville, TN TUESDAY, Dec. 30, 2014; 3:00 p.m. EST Line: LOUISIANA STATE BY 7½ OVER/UNDER: 52½ Recent NOTRE DAME Bowl Game Log 12/28/13 PINSTRIPE vs. RUTGERS W L (-14½) U (53½) 1/7/13 BCS TITLE GAME vs. ALABAMA L L (+10) O (39½) 12/29/11 CHAMPS SPORTS vs. FLORIDA ST L L (+3) U (47½) 12/31/10 SUN vs. MIAMI W W (+3) O (48) Recent LOUISIANA STATE Bowl Game Log 1/1/14 OUTBACK vs. IOWA W L (-7½) U (48) 12/31/12 CHICK-FIL-A vs. CLEMSON L L (-5½) U (58) 1/9/12 BCS TITLE GAME vs. ALABAMA L 0 21 L (+2½) U (42) 1/7/11 COTTON vs. TEXAS A&M W W (-1½) O (48½) 2014 GAME LOG (7-5 SU, 5-7 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.2) (8.1) (6.1) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.0) (6.9) (5.4) Offense Road Games : (3.8) (8.2) (6.1) Defense (All Games) : (4.0) (7.2) (5.4) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.3) (7.1) (5.6) Defense Road Games : (4.0) (7.8) (5.7) August 30 vs Rice W W (-19½) O (52½) September 6 vs Michigan W 31 0 W (-4) U (56) September 13 vs Purdue W L (-30) U (60) September 27 at Syracuse W W (-8½) U (52) October 4 vs Stanford W W (+3) U (46) October 11 vs North Carolina W L (-16½) O (62½) October 18 at Florida State L W (+7) O (57) November 1 at Navy W L (-14) O (54½) November 8 at Arizona State L L (+3) O (60½) November 15 vs Northwestern L L (-17) O (54) November 22 vs Louisville L L (-2½) O (51½) November 29 at Southern Cal L L (+5½) P (63) 2014 GAME LOG (8-4 SU, ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.5) (7.5) (5.4) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.3) (7.1) (5.5) Offense Road Games : (4.0) (6.2) (4.7) Defense (All Games) : (4.2) (5.4) (4.8) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.6) (7.3) (5.8) Defense Road Games : (4.8) (6.4) (5.5) August 30 at Wisconsin W W (-3½) O (49½) September 6 vs Sam Houston State W 56 0 W (-31½) U (66) September 13 vs Louisiana-Monroe W 31 0 W (-30½) U (49½) September 20 vs Mississippi State L L (-7) O (48) September 27 vs New Mexico State W 63 7 W (-43) O (57½) October 4 at Auburn L 41 7 L (+7) U (55½) October 11 at Florida W W (-2½) O (44) October 18 vs Kentucky W 41 3 W (-11½) U (49½) October 25 vs Mississippi W 10 7 W (+3½) U (45) November 8 vs Alabama L P (+7) U (46½) November 15 at Arkansas L 17 0 L (+1½) U (45) November 27 at Texas A&M W W (-3) U (53) COACHING trend Once a playoff contender, Notre Dame limps in having lost four in a row and five of six SU, as well as five straight ATS. In the regular-season finale, a loss at USC, QB Everett Golson was benched in favor of Malik Zaire, as the Irish turned it over 12 times during their four-game slide. They ve also allowed 30-plus points in seven straight games. LSU relies on defense, as they held their last five SEC opponents, including two -five teams, to under 21 points. Their running game keys the offense, but the Tigers were held to less than 100 rush yards in each of their last two games. LES MILES is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games after playing their last game on the road as the coach of LSU. The average score was LSU 35.1, OPPONENT ** Play Under - Non-conference games where the total is between 49.5 and 56 involving two good teams (outgaining opponents by 0.6 to 1.2 YPP) after 7+ games since 1992 (80.0%, units). ** Notre Dame Fighting Irish 25 Louisiana State Tigers

32 BELK Bowl LOUISVILLE GEORGIA BANK OF AMERICA STADIUM - CHARLOTTE, NC TUESDAY, Dec. 30, 2014; 6:30 p.m. EST Line: GEORGIA BY 7 OVER/UNDER: 56½ Recent LOUISVILLE Bowl Game Log 12/28/13 CHAMPS SPORTS vs. MIAMI W 36 9 W (-5½) U (60) 1/2/13 SUGAR vs. FLORIDA W W (+14) O (47½) 12/27/11 BELK vs. NC STATE L L (+1½) O (44) 12/21/10 ST PETERSBURG vs. SOUTHERN MISS W W (-2) O (58½) Recent GEORGIA Bowl Game Log 1/1/14 GATOR vs. NEBRASKA L L (-9½) U (60) 1/1/13 CAPITAL ONE vs. NEBRASKA W W (-9½) O (61½) 1/2/12 OUTBACK vs. MICHIGAN ST L L (-2) O (48) 12/31/10 LIBERTY vs. UCF L 6 10 L (-7) U (53½) 2014 GAME LOG (9-3 SU, 7-5 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (3.7) (7.7) (5.5) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.1) (6.8) (5.3) Offense Road Games : (3.0) (7.7) (5.0) Defense (All Games) : (3.0) (6.2) (4.6) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.0) (7.0) (5.4) Defense Road Games : (2.9) (5.9) (4.3) September 1 vs Miami W W (-6) U (55½) September 6 vs Murray State W W (-35) O (66) September 13 at Virginia L L (-4) U (44½) September 20 at Florida International W 34 3 W (-25½) U (45½) September 27 vs Wake Forest W L (-21) U (44) October 3 at Syracuse W 28 6 W (-1½) U (46½) October 11 at Clemson L W (+8½) U (46½) October 18 vs North Carolina St W L (-19) P (48) October 30 vs Florida State L L (+3½) O (51) November 8 at Boston College W W (-3) O (45½) November 22 at Notre Dame W W (+2½) O (51½) November 29 vs Kentucky W L (-14) O (51½) 2014 GAME LOG (9-3 SU, 7-5 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (6.1) (8.0) (6.8) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.3) (7.1) (5.6) Offense Road Games : (5.2) (8.5) (6.5) Defense (All Games) : (4.2) (5.6) (4.8) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.5) (7.0) (5.5) Defense Road Games : (4.7) (6.2) (5.3) August 30 vs Clemson W W (-9½) O (55½) September 13 at South Carolina L L (-8½) O (59½) September 20 vs Troy W 66 0 W (-41½) O (64) September 27 vs Tennessee W L (-19) O (56½) October 4 vs Vanderbilt W L (-33) O (53) October 11 at Missouri W 34 0 W (-3) U (57) October 18 at Arkansas W W (-3) O (53½) November 1 vs Florida L L (-12) O (46) November 8 at Kentucky W W (-10) O (58) November 15 vs Auburn W 34 7 W (-2½) U (71) November 22 vs Charleston Southern W 55 9 W (-43) O (58½) November 29 vs Georgia Tech L L (-10½) U (67) COACHING TREND Louisville QB Reggie Bonnafon will make his third straight start. He led the Cards to big numbers in wins over Notre Dame (31 points, 409 yards of offense) and Kentucky (44 points, 472 yards), aided by the return of star WR DeVante Parker (147.0 receiving YPG). Louisville s defense did not allow more than 173 rushing yards in any game. Two of Georgia s SU losses came as double-digit favorites. They allowed 399 rush yards to Georgia s Tech less than a month after allowing 418 in an upset loss to Florida. Those two losses were also the only times this season the Bulldogs had fewer than 200 rush yards. LOUISVILLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. The average score was LOUIS- VILLE 29.4, OPPONENT 20.4 MARK RICHT is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) away from home against ACC opponents as the coach of GEORGIA. The average score was GEORGIA 30.4, OPPONENT * Louisville Cardinals 27 Georgia Bulldogs

33 FOSTER FARMS Bowl Maryland stanford LEVI S STADIUM - SANTA CLARA, CA TUESDAY, Dec. 30, 2014; 10:00 p.m. EST Line: STANFORD BY 14 OVER/UNDER: 48 Recent MARYLAND Bowl Game Log 12/27/13 EAGLE BANK vs. MARSHALL L L (+2½) U (64) 12/29/10 EAGLE BANK vs. E CAROLINA W W (-8) O (70½) 12/30/08 HUMANITARIAN vs. NEVADA W W (+2) O (61) 12/28/07 FIGHT HUNGER vs. OREGON ST L L (+4) U (47) Recent STANFORD Bowl Game Log 1/1/14 ROSE vs. MICHIGAN ST L L (-7½) O (41½) 1/1/13 ROSE vs. WISCONSIN W W (-4) U (46½) 1/2/12 FIESTA vs. OKLAHOMA ST L W (+4½) O (73) 1/3/11 ORANGE vs. VIRGINIA TECH W W (-3½) U (58½) 2014 GAME LOG (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (3.9) (6.8) (5.3) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.2) (6.5) (5.2) Offense Road Games : (2.8) (7.3) (4.9) Defense (All Games) : (4.5) (6.6) (5.4) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.6) (6.7) (5.5) Defense Road Games : (4.8) (5.3) (5.0) August 30 vs James Madison W 52 7 W (-24½) O (49½) September 6 at South Florida W L (-10½) U (52½) September 13 vs West Virginia L L (-3) O (61) September 20 at Syracuse W W (+1½) U (56½) September 27 at Indiana W W (+2½) U (70) October 4 vs Ohio State L L (+6½) O (59) October 18 vs Iowa W W (-4) O (45½) October 25 at Wisconsin L 52 7 L (+9½) O (56½) November 1 at Penn State W W (+3) U (44) November 15 vs Michigan State L L (+10½) U (58) November 22 at Michigan W W (+6) U (43) November 29 vs Rutgers L L (-7½) O (53) 2014 GAME LOG (7-5 SU, ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.3) (7.8) (5.9) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.2) (7.6) (5.9) Offense Road Games : (3.8) (7.4) (5.4) Defense (All Games) : (3.2) (5.2) (4.2) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.3) (7.5) (5.8) Defense Road Games : (3.9) (5.6) (4.7) August 30 vs UC Davis W 45 0 W (-43½) September 6 vs Southern Cal L L (-3) U (53) September 13 vs Army W 35 0 W (-29½) U (54½) September 27 at Washington W L (-7½) U (48½) October 4 at Notre Dame L L (-3) U (46) October 10 vs Washington State W P (-17) U (52½) October 18 at Arizona State L L (-3½) U (54) October 25 vs Oregon State W W (-12½) O (42½) November 1 at Oregon L L (+7) O (57) November 15 vs Utah L L (-10) U (41) November 22 at California W W (-5½) U (56) November 28 at UCLA W W (+6) U (48½) COACHING trend This will feel a lot like a home game for the Cardinal, who are playing about 13 miles from campus. Stanford ended the regular-season on a high note with their only win over a ranked team, at UCLA. They were excellent defensively this season, holding nine of 12 opponents below 20 points. Maryland comes in off an upset home loss to Rutgers, a game in which they allowed 491 yards of offense to a weak opponent. The Terps will get some help back offensively though, as WR Stefon Diggs, their playmaker, returns from a three-game absence due to a lacerated kidney. RANDY EDSALL is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games off an upset loss as a home favorite in all games he has coached. The average score was EDSALL 29.1, OPPONENT Play Under - Non-conference games where total is between involving two average rush teams ( YPR) over the last 10 seasons (85.0%, units). ** Maryland Terrapins 18 Stanford Cardinal

34 PEACH Bowl MISSISSIPPI TEXAS CHRISTIAN GEORGIA DOME - ATLANTA, GA WEDNESDAY, Dec. 31, 2014; 12:30 p.m. EST Line: TEXAS CHRISTIAN BY 3½ OVER/UNDER: 56½ Recent MISSISSIPPI Bowl Game Log 12/30/13 MUSIC CITY vs. GEORGIA TECH W W (-2½) U (55½) 1/5/13 PAPAJOHNS.COM vs. PITTSBURGH W W (-4) O (54) 1/2/10 COTTON vs. OKLAHOMA ST W 21 7 W (-3½) U (51) 1/2/09 COTTON vs. TEXAS TECH W W (+4) O (66) Recent TEXAS CHRISTIAN Bowl Game Log 12/29/12 INSIGHT vs. MICHIGAN ST L L (-1½) U (40) 12/21/11 POINSETTA vs. LOUISIANA TECH W L (-9½) O (53) 1/1/11 ROSE vs. WISCONSIN W L (-3½) U (54½) 1/4/10 FIESTA vs. BOISE ST L L (-7½) U (54½) 2014 GAME LOG (9-3 SU, 8-4 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (4.6) (8.3) (6.3) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.4) (6.9) (5.6) Offense Road Games : (3.3) (8.2) (5.6) Defense (All Games) : (3.4) (6.2) (4.6) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.6) (7.4) (5.7) Defense Road Games : (3.6) (6.4) (4.8) August 28 at Boise State W W (-9½) U (52) September 6 at Vanderbilt W 41 3 W (-18) U (49½) September 13 vs Louisiana-Lafayette W W (-26) O (59) September 27 vs Memphis W 24 3 W (-20) U (58½) October 4 vs Alabama W W (+4½) U (53) October 11 at Texas A&M W W (+2½) U (64) October 18 vs Tennessee W 34 3 W (-15½) U (45½) October 25 at LSU L 10 7 L (-3½) U (45) November 1 vs Auburn L L (-1) O (54) November 8 vs Presbyterian W 48 0 L (-52) November 22 at Arkansas L 30 0 L (-3) U (46) November 29 vs Mississippi State W W (+2½) U (52½) 2014 GAME LOG (11-1 SU, 10-2 ATS) Offense (All Games) : (5.4) (8.1) (6.8) Opponents Defensive Avg : (4.4) (7.2) (5.7) Offense Road Games : (4.8) (7.5) (6.1) Defense (All Games) : (3.0) (7.0) (4.9) Opponents Offensive Avg : (4.1) (7.0) (5.4) Defense Road Games : (3.2) (7.4) (5.1) August 30 vs Samford W W (-33½) O (51½) September 13 vs Minnesota W 30 7 W (-17½) U (50½) September 27 at Southern Methodist W 56 0 W (-31) O (47) October 4 vs Oklahoma W W (+3½) O (57) October 11 at Baylor L W (+7) O (66) October 18 vs Oklahoma State W 42 9 W (-10½) U (62) October 25 vs Texas Tech W W (-24½) O (71½) November 1 at West Virginia W L (-3½) U (68½) November 8 vs Kansas State W W (-6½) O (59½) November 15 at Kansas W L (-27½) O (55) November 27 at Texas W W (-4½) O (53½) December 6 vs Iowa State W 55 3 W (-35) U (70) After being snubbed from the playoffs, TCU has something to prove against a quality SEC opponent. Led by QB Trevone Boykin, the Horned Frogs scored 30-plus points in every game this season. They were sloppy at times late in the season though, with seven giveaways over their last three games. Ole Miss allowed the fewest PPG (13.8), though they allowed 30-plus points in two of their last three SEC games. The Rebels dropped three of their last four SEC games, SU and ATS. Though they finished the year with an impressive victory over a high-powered Mississippi State team. OLE MISS is 13-3 UNDER (+9.7 Units) vesus good rushing teams - averaging >=4.75 rushing yards/ carry over the last 3 seasons. The average score was OLE MISS 22.6, OPPONENT Play Under - Non-conference games in which a good rushing team (190 to 230 RY/game) is facing a team with a good rushing defense ( RY/game) over the last 5 seasons (69.9%, units). Mississippi Rebels 27 Texas Christian Horned Frogs

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