Including: Week 7 NFL selections+!!

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1 2015 WEEK 7 $25 Featuring the SDQL Including: Week 7 NFL selections+!! NFL Player Trends, SBB s Spotlight System, Dozens of NFL/NCAA Trends MTI s Newsletter Teaser Plays... Two-Team, Six-Point Teaser Play of the Week 4.5-Star Pittsburgh +4, Arizona -1.5 Supporting Teaser-Specific Trends: The Steelers are 17-0 ATSp6 after a win in which they were outgained by their opponent. The Cardinals are 16-0 ATSp6 at home off a road game after they rushed for at least 50 yards less than their average. Three-Team, Ten-Point Teaser Play of the Week 4-Star Miami +6, San Diego +6, Washington +6.5 Supporting Teaser-Specific Trends: The Dolphins are 29-0 ATSp10 off a game as a dog in which they had at least 3 more minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average. The Chargers are 24-0 ATSp10 off a road game facing a team with a better record. The Redskins are 24-0 ATSp10 when they had a positive takeaway margin in each of their last three games. Don t Miss the Trends Mart... For the first time, the Killersports.com Trends Mart is up and running for football season. Several masters and pros are offering systems on the trends mart including SportsBook Breakers with $10 featured weekly trends in both the NFL and college football. In This Issue: MTi s Week 7 Selections... 2 SportsBook Breakers Week 7 Selections... 3 SBB s NFL Player Trends... 4 SportsBook Breakers Spotlight System... 4 Cajun Sports College Football System... 5 SBB s Five NFL Trends to Watch in Week SBB s NCAA Trends to Watch... 6 Pick Sixty Sports: Tips and Totals... 7 NFL Schedule Chart... 8 NFL Trends and Notes The Power of Two-Team Teasers NFL Annual Active Trends Tracking The 2015 Season... While the powerful SDQL is great for tracking complex and very specific handicapping information, it is also just as useful for tracking the basics. In this spot all season long we will track basic handicapping situations over the full season, as well as how things went in Situation 2015 ATS record 2014 ATS record Home Home Dog Home Favorite Off a win Off a Cover Passes Per Game 36.1 passes 35.0 passes Rushes Per Game 26.4 rushes 26.7 rushes Average Total Score 46.7 ppg ppg.

2 MTi s NFL Selections / Week 7 MTi s Newsletter Side Play 4-Star Minnesota -3 over DETROIT -- The Vikings are underrated vs teams that have a much better passing game than rushing game. Minnesota is 14-0 ATS vs any team that has averaged more than 12.8 passing first downs season-to-date and neither team is laying a TD-plus. The SDQL text is: team=vikings and -7<line<7 and oa(pfd)>12.8 and date>= Minnesota has covered the spread by an average of 8.8 ppg in this spot and they are 2-0 in this spot this season, beating the Chargers at home and playing the Broncos to a final as a 6.5-point dog. The Lions have virtually no running game and this plays into the Vikings strength. The 14 points that the Vikings allowed the Chargers represents San Diego s lowest scoring output of the season. The Lions allowed San Diego to score 33 points in the opener this season and this represents the greatest number of points San Diego has scored in The Vikings have committed only six turnovers all season. The Lions have had a lot of trouble vs teams that hang onto the ball. Detroit is 0-16 ATS when they are off a game as a favorite and facing a team that has 1.25 or less turnovers per game season-to-date. The SDQL text is: team=lions and p:f and oa(to)<=1.25 and date>= Last season, they were 0-5 ATS in this spot, failing to cover against the: Panthers, Cardinals, Patriots, Vikings and Packers. In those five games, the Lions averaged 11.6 ppg. Also, the Lions are 0-8 ATS as a dog off a game as a home favorite in which they passed for 300-plus yards -- losing EVERY game by at least a TD. The SDQL text is: team=lions and D and p:hf and p:py>=300 and date>= Jim Caldwell is overmatched. The Vikings should get the job done here. FORECAST: Minnesota 24 DETROIT 14 MTi s Newsletter Totals Play 4-Star Pittsburgh at Kansas City UNDER -- The Steelers allowed 469 yards of offense to the Cardinals last week, but won Martavis Bryant had six catches for 137 yards and Bell had 88 yards on 22 carries. We expect Tomlin to feature Bell here after the positive result last week. The Steelers are 0-7 OU on the road after a win in which a receiver had more than 100 receiving yards, staying under by an average of 13.8 ppg. The SDQL text is: team=steelers and A and max:p:receiving yards>=100 and p:w and date>= In their lone active date this season, Pittsburgh beat St Louis The Steelers are also 0-6 OU ( ppg) on the road after a home win in which they had a 75-plus yard rusher and 0-6 OU ( ppg) when they are off a home game and facing an opponent averaging fewer than 25 rushes per game; holding their opponent to single digits in each of their last two games. The Chiefs are 0-10 OU when they are off a road game and facing a team that allowed 400-plus yards of offense in their previous game, holding their opponent to single digits in each of their last four games. Check it out with this SDQL text: team=chiefs and p:a and opo:ty>=400 and date>= Take these two UNDER. FORECAST: Pittsburgh 17 KANSAS CITY

3 SportsBook Breakers NFL Selections / Week 7 SBB s Newsletter Side 4-STAR NEW ENGLAND over NY Jets While everyone was waiting for the Patriots to really lay it on the Colts last week, they were happy to get a road victory against a team with a good quarterback. While the Jets have strong weapons, they are not at home here and don t have the kind of quarterback like Andrew Luck. New York hasn t faced a test like the Patriots yet this season and it s going to take they a while to ready for such a foe. Record wise these are two of the strongest teams in the AFC with the Patriots at 5-0 and the Jets at 4-1. A matchup of such teams favors the home team. Home teams in matchups of teams that have each won at least 75% of their games in week 3 are ATS (week>=3 and WP>=75 and o:wp>=75 and H). And when a team with that kind of record is a large dog, Vegas knows something. Teams as at least 3-point dogs when they are at least 77% on the year in at least week 7 are ATS (line>=3 and week>=7 and WP>=77). New England did allow 27 points the the Colts last week in the seven point win. The Patriots are 7-0 ATS (22.86 ppg) since Dec 22, 2013 after they allowed at least 24 points last game (team=patriots and po:points>=24 and date>= ). Their passing game carried them through that one, as Tom Brady threw for three TDs. The Patriots are 7-0 ATS (19.1 ppg) since Oct 26, 2014 after a game where Tom Brady threw for at least three touchdowns (Tom Brady:p:passing touchdowns>=3 and date>= ). While they had passing yards, it wasn t quite as efficient as their usual record setting pace, as they completed just 23 of 37 passes. The Patriots are 8-0 ATS (13.12 ppg) since Nov 14, 2010 the week after a game in which their completion rate was at least 10 percentage points less than their average (team=patriots and p:cp+10<=ta(p:cp) and NB and date>= ). SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: NEW ENGLAND by 15 SportsBook Breakers Total Play 4-STAR Oakland And San Diego Under While it feels like Oakland has been a bit of a high flying team this season, save for one game against Baltimore that every team since has lite up as well, that s really not been the case. As we saw last week, San Diego has to play a very conservative ball control game offensively and Oakland s offense is not Green Bay s in the level of dynamic play when the Chargers aren t slowly moving the ball. The total here is still high at 47 though not as high as last week in a game where San Diego was a double digit dog. The Chargers are OU ( ppg) since Sep 22, 2013 with a total of at least 42 off a game as a dog of more than three points (team=chargers and total>=42 and 3<p:line and date>= ). In that loss to the Packers last week they 32 first downs. The Chargers are 0-10 OU (-11.7 ppg) since Sep 22, 2013 off a game as a dog where they picked up at least 22 first downs (team=chargers and p:first downs>=22 and p:d and date>= ). They controlled the ball for 37:59 in the game and it still wasn t enough. Teams after a regulation game where they controlled the ball for at least 35:49 but lost are OU (p:time of possession>=2149 and p:l and p:overtime=0). That was mainly to a monster effort throwing the ball from Philip Rivers in the loss. He threw for an unbelievable 503 yards. The Chargers are 0-12 OU (-9.62 ppg) since Sep 22, 2013 after a game where they threw for at least 300 yards (team=chargers and p:passing yards>=300 and season>=2013). Oakland meanwhile was on bye last week but lost the week before, to the Broncos as a home dog of 4.5 points. The Raiders are 0-8 OU (-9.12 ppg) since Oct 12, 2008 as an away dog after a game as a home dog of more than three points that they failed to cover (team=raiders and AD and p:atsl and p:h and 3<p:line and date>= ). They had trouble moving the ball in that game with 288 yards of total offense. The Raiders are 0-8 OU (-9.56 ppg) since Nov 16, 2008 off a game as a home dog of more than three points where they had less than 300 total yards (team=raiders and p:ty<300 and p:h and 3<p:line and date>= ). SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: 41 points Vince Akins of SportsBook Breakers has proven to be one of the best handicappers in the business and has dominated the NFL the past four seasons. Over that time, SportsBook Breakers has gone a huge +$4109 with its selections. Last season, SBB finished as the top handicapper on VegasInsider.com with a +$1826 finish. Vince Akins picks, which include can be found at Vegasinsider.com NFL Week 7 3

4 SBB s SportsBook College Football Breakers Trends NFL Player to Watch Trends (9-12) Trends The Chargers are 0-9 ATS (-9.9 ppg) since Oct 12, 2014 after a game where Philip Rivers threw at least two touchdowns. The Patriots are 7-0 ATS (19.1 ppg) since Oct 26, 2014 after a game where Tom Brady threw for at least three touchdowns. The Vikings are 0-7 ATS (-14.9 ppg) since December 2009 as a road favorite facing a team Adrian Peterson ran for at least 75 yards against last meeting. The Dolphins are 0-7 ATS (-14.0 ppg) since December 2014 coming off a game where Ryan Tannehill completed at least 60% of his passes. The Lions are 0-7 OU (-11.6 ppg) since November 10, 2013 after a game in which Calvin Johnson had a reception of 30+ yards. Sports Data Query Language Philip Rivers:p:passing touchdowns>=2 and date>= Tom Brady:p:passing touchdowns>=3 and date>= AF and Adrian Peterson:P:rushing yards>=75 and date>= Ryan Tannehill:p:completions / Ryan Tannehill:p:passes>=.60 and date>= <=Lions:Calvin Johnson:p:longest reception and date>= SportsBook Breakers Spotlight System SportsBook Breakers has spent the past season focused on league systems and has found over 100 that are winners at well over the 55% required rate for the long-term success. Each week, SBB will highlight an active league system here. If you are looking for more SDQL-based systems from SBB each week, check out their offerings on the Killersports.com Trends Mart. PLAY AGAINST: Teams when it is at least week 6 and they lost their first game of the season last game (-1.01, 40.6%) SDQL TEXT: losses=1 and p:l and week>=6 NFL players and teams use this classic clique more than in any other sports - we re just taking things one game at a time. The fact is we see several systems that show this isn t really the case. This is one such system. System: Teams in at least week six of the season who lost their first game of the year last game are ATS. When a team loses their first game of the season after a huge start, it s only natural for there to be a bit of a hangover with the dream of a perfect season gone, and there is a necessary readjustment period for this team that is 4-1 or better. We see a similar same phenomenon in NCAA Football as well with an even larger sample size, leading us to believe that there is indeed a hangover effect. This situation often leads to a second straight loss as teams that made it to at least week 5 of the season before just suffering their first loss last game pick up their second loss the next game 45.9% of the time. And naturally, these 1-loss teams have been favored in over 70% of these games. With a large group of undefeated teams this season, this system will be active several times in 2015 starting this week with the Atlanta Falcons, who saw their perfect season snapped in New Orleans last week. The Falcons are again heavy road favorites in Tennessee despite that road loss. Consider the underdog Titans here.

5 Cajun Sports College Football System Play ON a CFB home favorite of more than eight points coming off a conference shutout SU win versus an opponent coming off a road SU victory. SDQL Text p:conference = po:conference and game number>1 and site=home and line < -8 and opo:points < op:points and op:site=away and po:points < p:points and po:points=0 and o:game number>1 System Analysis The college football season continues to surprise with unbelievable special teams play determining the outcome of games in the final seconds and remarkable performances from players who will certainly be playing on Sundays. Unless you are a Michigan Wolverine fan this past weekend provided a level of excitement and an experience only found on the college gridiron all part of what makes college football great. Each week during the college football season we review the previous week s games and we do this for several reasons one of which is situational awareness. Well that is what we call it around the office it is where we look at performances and outcomes hoping to find something that could have an effect on one or more games this week and one which could put us on a winner. The Big 12 matchup between the Sooners and Wildcats was intriguing to us because it was a huge blowout victory and of course it was a shutout of a conference opponent. Also it happened to be our College Football Big 12 Total Game of the Month. We had the Over and to say we were sweating that result would be an understatement as the Sooners put up 35 points in the first half but Kansas State failed to score a single point. Surely Kansas State will make adjustments at halftime and score a couple touchdowns while the Sooners score a couple more of their own, no problem right? No not a single point from the Wildcats but we did manage a lone Sooners touchdown in the fourth which pushed it Over the posted total giving us our Big 12 Game of the Month TOTAL Winner. You have to love college football! On to this week s college football system focusing on the shutout of a conference opponent as our baseline parameter looking at the following week s matchup to see what impact that win and the shutout had on the winning team. Would the winning team be able to use that momentum the following week and take down their next opponent or would they come out flat and not play with any emotion failing to get the win or at least failing to cover the spread. Our research uncovered a solid situation where we have both teams in this week s matchup coming off straight up victories their last time out. We also made our play On team a home favorite of more than a touchdown which meant the oddsmakers felt that the play On team would be the team most expected to win the game based on their current power ratings. To ensure we had a focused home favorite we had their opponent coming off a road straight up victory in their last game which got the attention and focus of our home favorite. So we have a play ON team coming off a shutout victory installed as a home favorite of more than a touchdown squaring off against a team that has just dispatched their last opponent on the road. What we have found was an almost perfect against the spread home favorite winner from this week s college card. With all the system parameters met, this week s Cajun Sports Wire NCAA Football System of the Week calls for a play on the Oklahoma Sooners in their game versus Big 12 Conference foe Texas Tech Red Raiders on Saturday afternoon in Norman Oklahoma. Each week Cajun Sports Wire releases their college and pro best bets at KillerCappers.com make sure you join them each week. Cajun Sports Wire is coming off another 3-0 ATS sweep on Saturday in college football. There is still time to join the winning team at Cajun Sports Wire where Winning is a Tradition for more than 25 years. SU: (28.00, 100.0%) ATS: (9.03, 93.3%) avg line: O/U: (-2.75, 25.0%) avg total: 49.5 Rushes Rush Yds Passes Completions Passing Yds TrnOvrs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team Opp NFL Week 7 5

6 SBB s Five NFL Trends to Watch: Week 7 Trends The Seahawks are ATS (12.9 ppg) since October 2011 on the road after a home game in which a receiver had more than 75 receiving yards. The Buccaneers are 10-0 ATS (10.4 ppg) since November 20, 2005 as a road dog after scoring at least 30 points last game. The Titans are 0-11 ATS (-13.9 ppg) since December 2010 vs opponents off a game in which they were sacked at least 4 times. The Steelers are OU (9.5ppg) since December 18, 2004 on the road as a favorite after a game in which their completion rate was at least 6 percentage points less than their average. The Dolphins are 0-11 OU (-9.0 ppg) since Jan 13, 2002 at home as a favorite after a game in which they had more than 150 rushing yards. Sports Data Query Language team=seahawks and A and 75<=max:p:receiving yards and p:h and date>= team=buccaneers and AD and p:points>=30 and date>= team=titans and 4<=opo:sacks and date>= team=steelers and AF and p:cp-ta(p:cp)<=-6 and NB and date>= team=dolphins and HF and 150<=p:RY and date>= SBB s College Football Trends to Watch (10-24) Trends Sports Data Query Language Ball State is 11-0 ATS (12.7 ppg) since October 30, 2004 as a dog when they have failed to cover at least two straight games. Wyoming is 11-0 ATS (10.3 ppg) since November 2008 on the road after a game where they did not commit a turnover. Western Michigan is 10-0 ATS (15.5 ppg) since September 13, 2014 after a game where they had at least 400 yards total offense. UTEP is ATS (-13.4 ppg) since October 29, 2011 and as a dog after a game where they picked up no more than 18 first downs. South Florida is 0-15 OU (-15.0 ppg) since 2010 at home after a game where they allowed at least 150 rushing yards. team=ball and D and ats streak<=-2 and date>= team=wyo and A and p:turnovers=0 and date>= team=wmch and p:passing yards + p:rushing yards>=400 and date>= team=utep and D and p:first downs<=18 and date>= team=sfl and H and po:rushing yards>=150 and season>=2010 Sportsbook Breakers NFL and NCAA selections are now Available Under Vince Akins at VegasInsider.com 6

7 Pick Sixty Sports: Tips and Totals In this week s edition of Tips and Totals I have an underdog play from the Bucs and Redskins along with a strategy for identifying value with rookie head coaches. First off, let s get to Washington where the Skins are trying to snap a two-game skid. One of the Redskins two wins this season was at home against a sub-.500 team but they are only 2-4 ATS in that role since Jay Gruden took over, and have not had a winning record in any season since 1998 (10-32 ATS). SDQL Text: team = Redskins and season > 1998 and H and o:wp < 50 Washington has been gashed by the run game in back-to-back weeks vs. the Falcons and Jets, and home faves of -2 or more who have given up 170-plus rushing yards in back-to-back games are ATS since When the total was 43 or more, the record falls to 4-12 ATS including an 0-6 ATS run since SDQL Text: H and po:ry >= 170 and ppo:ry >= 170 and line <= -2 and NB and season >= 2003 and total >= 43 Tampa Bay is playing the first of back-to-back road games here with Atlanta on-deck. It might seem like a look-ahead spot but a lot of teams like riding into big divisional games on a high note, evidenced by this next code. The past 16 teams are 11-5 ATS, with dogs of +3 or more going 7-2 ATS. SDQL Text: A and NDIV and n:a and n:div and n:nb and week = p:week + 2 and season >= 2000 When the line is no more than +3.5, road teams off a bye have a database history of ATS against hosts that have a bye week on-deck. SDQL Text: A and week = p:week + 2 and on:week = o:week + 2 and line < 4 Washington has played better ball at home but the caliber of competition has not been all that high. With an extra week of prep, Tampa Bay has an advantage here and the points are bonus. I ve split my bet with a half-unit on the Bucs +3.5 (-120) and an half getting +3 at even money (average juice = -110). Pick: Take the Bucs with +3 points or more FIRST-YEAR HEAD COACHES Interim NFL head coaches since the early 70 s have only a 40-percent ATS success rate when making their season debut but last Sunday, Dan Campbell and the Dolphins bucked the trend with a good old fashioned butt kicking in Tennessee. It s interesting to see how first-year coaches do with their new teams and whether they are temps like Campbell, or crusty old vets such as John Fox, in the midst of his rookie season in Chicago, I like to look for value with these teams as the season rolls along. Here is an example from 2014, tracking the four true rookie head coaches, Bill O Brien (HOU), Gruden (WSH), Mike Zimmer (MIN) and Mike Pettine (CLE). SDQL Text: season = 2014 and A and (team = Redskins or team = Vikings or team = Browns or team = Texans) The true rooks finished SU in road games but they were a value play against the spread, going (59-percent). Totals were O/U overall but if we focus on games from the second-half of the season, there was huge value on the Under (3-11 O/U). Of the 11 games with a total of 48 or less, only one made it over the hump. It s also worth noting that in the second-half, these teams were 9-5 ATS including a record of 7-3 ATS when getting more than a field goal. The theory is simple. These are rookie head coaches that took over losing teams and then struggled through the first-half of the season. More often than not they are getting too many points and they are not going to get the best effort from their opponents. A lot of times, these rookie-led teams are the classic look-ahead foe. The result: Low scoring covers. The true rookies this year are Dan Quinn (ATL), Todd Bowles (NYJ) and Jim Tomsula (SF). From this point on, feel free to add Campbell into the mix. Use this code to track thier progress in road games or any other situation that creates value. SDQL Text: season = 2015 and A and (team = Falcons or team = Jets or team = Fortyniners) Note: So far in 2015, these teams are 5-3 ATS and O/U very similar to the 2014 group s record through Week 6 (6-5 ats and 7-4 O/U). The Jets are in New England this weekend (O/U 48), and if that game goes over it could create solid value in Week 8, when the Jets travel west to Oakland NFL Week 7 7

8 2015 NFL Week 7 Time Teams Prev. Next Lines Final Notes 8:25 THUR 9:30 1;00 4:05 4:25 8:20 8:30 MON Seattle at San Francisco Buffalo vs Jacksonville Pittsburgh at Kansas City Houston at Miami Atlanta at Tennessee Cleveland at St. Louis Tampa Bay at Washington Minnesota at Detroit New Orleans at Indianapolis N.Y. Jets at New England Oakland at San Diego Dallas at N.Y. Giants Philadelphia at Carolina Baltimore at Arizona L vs CAR W vs BAL L vs CIN L vs JAC W vs ARZ MIN JAC TEN NO^ L vs MIA L vs DEN NYJ W vs KC W vs CHI W vs ATL^ L vs NE* W vs WAS IND* GB PHL W vs NYG# SEA SF STL vs CIN vs DET vs NE^ vs HOU vs ARZ vs KC vs OAK vs MIA^ vs BAL vs NO vs IND# vs CLE #On Monday Night, *On Sunday Night, % On Saturday Night, ^On Thursday Night Notes: 8

9 Trends and Notes / Week 7 Seahawks at Fortyniners - The Seahawks are 7-0 ATS (10.14 ppg) since Oct 18, 2012 against the Fortyniners. The Fortyniners are 0-8 ATS (-9.44 ppg) since Jan 19, 2014 and vs an opponent averaging less than 1.25 turnovers per game. The Fortyniners are ATS (11.86 ppg) since Nov 30, 2008 off a game as a dog after passing for three times as many yards as they rushed for. The Fortyniners are 6-0 ATS (13.75 ppg) since Jan 03, 2010 off a home game and with their opponent after two consecutive losses. The Seahawks are 0-7 OU (-9.29 ppg) since Dec 16, 2007 on the road off a home game with zero turnovers. The Seahawks are 6-0 OU (6.25 ppg) since Oct 19, 2014 after playing at home in a game where they had a rushing touchdown. Bills vs Jaguars - The Bills are 0-7 ATS ( ppg) since Sep 19, 2010 off a home game as a dog where they suffered a loss and ATS loss. The Jaguars are 6-0 ATS (3.50 ppg) since Oct 12, 2014 as a dog and after a loss and ATS loss. Raiders at Chargers - The Chargers are 0-6 ATS (-9.92 ppg) since Oct 12, 2014 and vs an opponent averaging at least 35 passes per game. The Raiders are 0-8 OU (-5.75 ppg) since Oct 03, 1993 on the road as a dog after their bye week. The Chargers are 8-0 OU (14.12 ppg) since Oct 15, 2006 as a favorite after a game in which they threw at least 10 more passes than their season-to-date average. The Chargers are 0-6 OU ( ppg) since Dec 01, 2013 and after their passing yards increased over the past 3 games. The Chargers are 0-6 OU (-8.08 ppg) since Dec 05, 2010 as a favorite off a game as a dog with more than 34 minutes of possession time. Steelers at Chiefs - The Steelers are 9-0 ATS (8.28 ppg) since Nov 04, 2012 within 3 of pickem after a 10+ ATS win. The Steelers are 6-0 ATS (7.33 ppg) since Nov 04, 2012 and on the road and after a game with zero turnovers. The Chiefs are 0-8 ATS (-6.31 ppg) since Nov 21, 1999 and at home and within 3 of pickem and after two consecutive losses and ATS losses. The Steelers are 0-7 OU ( ppg) since Oct 02, 2011 on the road after a win in which a receiver had more than 100 receiving yards. The Chiefs are 0-7 OU ( ppg) since Nov 19, 2006 and at home and after scoring 10+ points less than their season-to-date average. Saints at Colts - The Saints are 7-0 ATS (10.79 ppg) since Oct 13, 2002 on the road off a home win in which they were outgained by their opponent. The Colts are 7-0 ATS (8.71 ppg) since Dec 01, 2013 at home and vs a team with a worse record. The Saints are OU (-6.93 ppg) since Nov 18, 2007 and on the road and after their defense achieved 4+ sacks. The Colts are 0-7 OU (-7.79 ppg) since Oct 30, 2011 and after their rushing yards increased over the past 3 games. Texans at Dolphins - The Texans are 0-6 ATS (-7.50 ppg) since Dec 15, 2013 as a dog and vs an opponent averaging at least 35 passes per game. The Dolphins are 0-6 ATS (-9.83 ppg) since Nov 13, 2005 and at home and after a game in which they threw at least 10 fewer passes than their season-to-date average. The Dolphins are 0-6 ATS ( ppg) since Oct 06, 2013 and at home and vs a team with more losses. The Texans are 8-0 OU (9.62 ppg) since Oct 17, 2010 and after their passing yards decreased over the past 3 games. The Texans are 0-7 OU ( ppg) since Dec 01, 2002 off a game as a dog and after their rushing yards increased over the past 3 games. The Dolphins are 0-9 OU (-7.61 ppg) since Nov 13, 2011 and after a 10+ win in which they were up by at least a TD at the half. Cowboys at Giants - The Giants are 0-8 ATS ( ppg) since Sep 26, 2010 as a favorite off a game as a dog and after a loss and ATS loss. The Giants are 0-6 ATS ( ppg) since Sep 29, 2013 off a road game and after a 10+ ATS loss. The Giants are OU (12.12 ppg) since Dec 21, 2009 the week after playing the Eagles. Vikings at Lions - The Vikings are 0-9 ATS ( ppg) since Oct 25, 2009 and on the road and off a game as a favorite and vs a team with more losses. The Lions are 0-7 ATS ( ppg) since Nov 10, 2002 off a home 1 to 3 point win. The Lions are 6-0 ATS (10.08 ppg) since Nov 22, 1992 and within 3 of pickem and after they passed for at least 100 yards more than their average last game. The Vikings are OU (10.50 ppg) since Oct 24, 2010 off a home win in which they were outgained by their opponent. The Lions are 0-6 OU (-8.83 ppg) since Sep 15, 2013 after a home win in which a receiver had a reception of 40+ yards. Eagles at Panthers - The Eagles are 6-0 ATS (5.00 ppg) since Sep 17, 2000 on the road and as a dog off a home game against the Giants last week. The Panthers are 7-0 ATS (13.14 ppg) since Dec 24, 1995 off a win as dog in which they were down at the continued on page NFL Week 7 9

10 Trends and Notes / Week 7 continued end of each of the first three quarters. The Eagles are 9-0 OU (14.78 ppg) since Jan 03, 1994 on the road as a dog off a home game and after two consecutive wins and ATS wins. The Eagles are 6-0 OU (11.00 ppg) since Dec 23, 2012 and after they had 4+ turnovers. The Eagles are 0-6 OU ( ppg) since Nov 10, 2013 vs a team with more wins. The Panthers are 6-0 OU (12.58 ppg) since Sep 21, 2014 after their defense achieved 4+ sacks. Jets at Patriots - The Patriots are 7-0 ATS (18.00 ppg) since Jan 02, 2011 at home as a favorite after they sacked the opponents QB 3+ times in each of their last two games. The Jets are 6-0 OU (12.50 ppg) since Oct 08, 2006 as a 7+ dog off a home game with fewer than 10 incompletions. The Patriots are 7-0 OU (8.29 ppg) since Oct 31, 2010 and at home and vs an opponent whose completion rate has decreased over then last three games. Browns at Rams - The Browns are ATS (5.10 ppg) since Dec 18, 2005 on the road and after a 1 to 3 point loss. The Browns are ATS ( ppg) since Dec 21, 2008 after a game with at least one defensive TD. The Browns are 7-0 ATS (6.86 ppg) since Sep 30, 2007 as a dog and after three consecutive games with a positive DPA. The Browns are 6-0 OU (6.42 ppg) since Sep 22, 2013 as a dog and vs a team with the same record. The Browns are 0-6 OU (-6.92 ppg) since Oct 30, 2005 off a home game where they passed for at least 100 yards less than their average. The Rams are 0-6 OU ( ppg) since Dec 07, 2014 after a game in which a receiver had a least 1 receiving touchdown. Buccaneers at Redskins - The Redskins are 0-6 ATS (-9.67 ppg) since Sep 26, 2010 after a game in which they had less than 50 rushing yards. The Buccaneers are 0-6 OU (-5.42 ppg) since Dec 16, 2012 after a home game in which a receiver had continued on page 11 The Power of Two-Team Teasers One of the fantastic and unique features of is the ability to run teaser trends. Each week we ll show off five such two-team teaser trends in this space utilizing this important and often overlooked area of handicapping. Any trend with a p6 designation is for a play on/under 6-pt teaser and a trend including m6 is for a play against/over 6-pt teaser. Teaser Trends The Fortyniners are ATSp6 (15.53 ppg) since Nov 16, 2008 and with their opponent after two consecutive losses The Browns are 0-25 ATSm6 (-9.32 ppg) since Dec 12, 2010 vs an opponent averaging fewer than 25 rushes per game. The Bills are 0-23 ATSm6 ( ppg) since Dec 11, 2000 the week after a home game where they failed to cover by at least 10 points. The Vikings are 22-0 OUm6 (13.14 ppg) since Nov 12, 1995 and on the road and off a home game and after a win in which they were outgained by their opponent The Dolphins are OUp6 (-9.45 ppg) since Nov 19, 2009 after a game in which they had more than 150 rushing yards. Sports Data Query Language team=fortyniners and o:streak<=-2 and opp:week+2=week and date>= team=browns and oa(rushes)<25 and date>= team=bills and p:h and p:ats margin<=-10 and NB and date>= team=vikings and A and p:hw and p:ty<po:ty and date>= team=dolphins and 150<=p:RY and date>=

11 Trends and Notes / Week 7 continued a reception of 40+ yards. The Redskins are 0-7 OU ( ppg) since Dec 02, 2007 at home as a favorite vs opponents averaging less than 10 passing first downs per game. Falcons at Titans - The Falcons are 7-0 ATS (12.07 ppg) since Sep 21, 2008 as a favorite after a game in which they had at least 10 more rushes than their season-to-date average. The Falcons are 6-0 ATS (9.00 ppg) since Nov 09, 2014 on the road after a game in which a receiver had a least 1 receiving touchdown. The Falcons are 0-6 ATS (-9.08 ppg) since Dec 30, 2012 as a favorite vs opponents off a game in which they were sacked at least 4 times. The Falcons are OU ( ppg) since Dec 09, 1990 off a road game as a favorite in which their opponent had more than 300 passing yards. The Titans are 7-0 OU (13.79 ppg) since Oct 31, 1999 as a dog at home before 2+ road games. The Titans are 0-7 OU (-9.86 ppg) since Dec 22, 2013 after a home game in which a receiver had more than 6 receptions. Ravens at Cardinals - The Cardinals are 7-0 ATS (11.36 ppg) since Sep 15, 2013 and at home and after passing for three times as many yards as they rushed for. The Cardinals are 6-0 ATS (9.33 ppg) since Dec 02, 2012 and after a 10+ ATS loss. The Ravens are 6-0 OU (8.33 ppg) since Feb 03, 2013 on the road as a dog and vs a team with a better record. The Ravens are 6-0 OU (14.67 ppg) since Nov 21, 2010 and on the road and off a road loss and ATS loss. The Cardinals are 7-0 OU (8.93 ppg) since Oct 17, 2013 and vs opponents scoring more than 25% of their points from field goals. The Cardinals are 6-0 OU (10.08 ppg) since Dec 21, 2014 after a game in which a receiver had at least 6 receptions. NFL HANDICAPPING ANNUAL Active Trends Trends SF007: The 49ers are 0-12 ATS vs a team that has averaged fewer than 1.6 turnovers per game season-to-date. PHI010: The Eagles are 0-8 ATS off a home win in which they returned an interception for a TD. NYJ005: The Jets are 8-0 ATS as a dog vs a divisional opponent when they are on the road next. NE011: The Patriots are 16-0 OU when hosting a team that has averaged more than 6 rushing first downs per game. SD012: The Chargers are 0-12 OU after a game in which they had at least 300 passing yards. Sports Data Query Language team=49ers and oa(to)<1.6 and date>= team=eagles and p:interception touchdowns>0 and p:hw and date>= team=jets and D and DIV and n:a and date>= team=patriots and H and oa(rfd)>6 and date>= team=chargers and p:py>=300 and season >= 2013 COPYRIGHT NOTICE All the material in this publication is copyrighted by the United States Government. No part of this periodical may be reproduced in any form by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, and electronic recording without written consent from Killer Sports Publishing. If the reader has any questions or comments about this newsletter, please write us at: Killer Sports Publishing or us at: PO Box 862, Berea OH support@killersports.com 2015 NFL Week 7 11