Beyond Congestion: Sex, Neuroscience, and Walkable Urbanism. Jeffrey Tumlin
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1 Beyond Congestion: Sex, Neuroscience, and Walkable Urbanism Jeffrey Tumlin
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9 Dallas Morning News
10 Dallas Morning News
11 A strong conviction that something must be done is the parent of many bad measures Daniel Webster
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13 Object Thinking
14 Systems Thinking
15 Systems Thinking Systems-Thinking.org Source: systemsthinking.org
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22 Image source: Dan Burden
23 Image source: Dan Burden
24 Image source: Diabetes Daily
25 Mixed message? Image source: Diabetes Daily Image source: Carbolic Smokeball
26 1. Measure What Matters
27 Old Speed Paradigm -> Roadway LOS Source: Reid Ewing
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29 Level of Service A 29
30 Level of Service F Source: Neighborhoods.org 30
31 Level of Service F Source: Downtown San Jose Blog 31
32 What s important depends upon perspective Traffic engineer: F A Economist: A F 32
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35 Measure what matters Why not Consider Economic Development Job creation Real estate value increase Retail sales Quality of Life Access to jobs Access to shopping Residential property value impact Social Justice Do benefits accrue equitably? Are investments spread equitably? Ecological Sustainability VMT per capita (=CO 2, NO x, runoff, etc.) Land use/transportation connection 35
36 Benefits of VMT in Environmental Review Removes barriers to infill Easier to model Already used (e.g. for GHGs) More accurate Sees the big picture Mitigation doesn t undo itself by inducing more car travel Mitigation reduces long run maintenance burden Mitigation forwards other environmental and human health factors Chris Ganson, California Governor s Office of Planning and Research
37 Using Big Data to Measure What Matters Bluetooth and cellular signal data Where people are traveling to and from Number of people who live and work in specific locations Traffic volumes Travel time between two points Time/day/seasonal variation Trends over time
38 2. Use the Right Tools, and Use them Correctly
39 All models are wrong, but some are useful. George E. P. Box, Empirical Model-Building and Response Surfaces (1987)
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41 Induced and Latent Demand Congestion More People Drive Widen Roadway Faster Driving
42 Despite recovery, driving rates continue to decline since peak in 2005 Source: Eric Jaffe, Driving in America is Approaching a New Normal. CityLab
43 3. Put the Needs of Daily Life within Walking Distance and make the walk delightful
44 San Mateo, CA El Camino Real and 3 rd Avenue looking south
45 San Mateo, CA El Camino Real and 3 rd Avenue looking south
46 San Mateo, CA El Camino Real and 3 rd Avenue looking south
47 San Mateo, CA El Camino Real and 3 rd Avenue looking south
48 San Mateo, CA El Camino Real and 3 rd Avenue looking south
49 4. Balance Jobs & Housing
50 Match Jobs and Housing Reduced driving and congestion Less air pollution Lower costs to commuters and businesses Lower public expenditures on facilities and services Greater family stability Higher quality of life Improved health
51 5. Make Cycling Safe and Pleasant for All Ages
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53 Source: Roger Geller 53
54 Strong & Fearless Will ride regardless of facilities Trip distance not an issue Interested but Concerned Not attracted by bike lanes Not comfortable in traffic Will ride in low-volume, low-speed conditions (boulevards, off-street) No way No How Enthused & Confident Comfortable in traffic with appropriate facilities Prefer shorter trip distances Source: City of Portland Survey 54
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56 6. Make Transit Fast, Frequent, Reliable and Dignified
57 Dumbarton Corridor
58 7. Adopt the Right Street Design Manual
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60 Tunnel Vision: As Speed Increases, Peripheral Vision Decreases mph mph mph 45+ mph
61 8. Be Smart About Parking
62 Smart Meters
63 Smart Technology
64 Right Price 6
65 Right Time
66 Invest Revenue 6
67 Smart Requirements Tailor to the location Consider removing minimums Maximums instead of minimums Encourage shared parking What works in downtown Doesn t necessarily work in Sharon Park.
68 School Shop P P P T T T T T T T T T T T Play P P P Work
69 Mixed Use, Park Once District Shop Work School Play P T T Results: <½ the parking <½ the land area ¼ the arterial trips 1/6 th the arterial turning movements <¼ the vehicle miles traveled
70 9. Invest in Transportation Demand Management
71 Transportation Demand Management (TDM) Financial incentives to walk, bike, take transit (cash, passes, prizes) Shuttles, short- and long-distance Bike parking, all kinds! Carsharing and bike sharing Alternative work schedules Guaranteed Ride Home Outreach and education Parking fees, showing the true cost of parking Reduced and managed parking supply
72 Transportation Management Associations (TMA) Pool of funding rather than piecemeal employer programs Coordination of programs Shuttles Transit passes Ridesharing platform Walk/bike platform Marketing Bulk purchase possible Caltrain Go Pass program Other incentives
73 Trip and Parking Caps North Bayshore, Mountain View (Google, Intuit, LinkedIn, Microsoft, etc.)
74 9. Don t Forget the Region
75 Average daily traffic volumes Willow Road Traffic Volumes over Time 60,000 50,000? 40,000 30,000 20,000 >80% of Willow traffic is regional. These trips don t start or end in Menlo Park. 10, Source: Average daily traffic volumes, Caltrans
76 Is Congestion Pricing Part of the Solution? London Stockholm, Sweden
77 Is Congestion Pricing Part of the Solution? Dumbarton Bridge Peak Toll
78 Bayfront Expressway Improvements Intelligent Transportation Systems Traffic signal coordination Signage to guide traffic through Marsh Express lanes, toll lanes
79 10. Create a New Vision
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81 It s not sustainable if it s not beautiful
82 Jeffrey Tumlin 116 New Montgomery Street, Suite 500 San Francisco CA NELSON\NYGAARD CONSULTING ASSOCIATES 2013
83 For More Information Jeffrey Tumlin Mobility Accessibility Sustainability 116 New Montgomery St, Ste 500 San Francisco, CA Tel:
84 Projects Underway
85 Projects Underway
86 Projects Underway
Complete Streets 101: Placemaking, Mobility and Parking
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modes, the increased roadway capacity is the implied solution, which, in turn, has been shown to lead to more driving (induced demand).
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