Pace Numbers Available At HowToPickLongShots.com/blog/

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Daniel Peters
5 years ago
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1 Please note: Win Rate relates to the pattern win rate. "28%w" means 28% win rate. "58%itm" means 58% of starters with this pattern finished in the money. And the last single number refers to how many starters the percentages are based on. If "0 0 0" is listed for pace numbers, data is unavailable. Same for "no data". Turf Report: take note of first time starters with turf pedigree. Also take note of horses with turf pedigree who are returning to grass after racing on dirt/synthetic. Woodbine 6/27/2015 4F Pace Late Pace Combined Days since last start indicates class drop Win Rate based on pattern Race Win Program # # Rate R1 Synthetic 1 7 Synthetic Sprint _days 1 8 BADJEROS BOY _days 1 7 BOURBON FIRST _days 1 2 OUR BRO LORENZO _days 1 4 PISTON BROKE _days 1 1 WITTLE WED WABBIT _days 1 6 LOCAL BREW R2 Synthetic 2 6 Synthetic Sprint _days 2 28%w 53%itm 32 3 SHE'S EXPLOSIVE _days 2 17%w 66%itm 6 5 SCINDIA _days 2 0%w 0%itm 7 6 FIFTYSHADESLIGHTER _days 2 5%w 43%itm 21 2 SCOTTY'S MODEL _days 2 4 CAPTIVATING DANCER _days 2 1 VIRREINA R3 Turf Turf Route _days 3 4 BEARALLLEGS _days 3 6 GREEN WATERS _days 3 9 MISSILE THREAT _days 3 5 BYZIE LIZZY _days 3 7 MANHATTAN MOXY _days 3 3 SIX ROADS _days 3 14%w 50%itm 14 8 COREY'S BEST _days 3 1 BREAKINTHECLOUDS _days 3 2 COURT ADJOURED R4 Synthetic 4 7 Synthetic Sprint _days 4 1 ANGEL WITH CLASS 17%w 42%itm 12

2 _days 4 8 MAVIS ROAD _days 4 0%w 13%itm 8 4 REEL GOOD MOVIE _days 4 6 JANBEAR _days 4 7 VICTORIA BEEBE _days 4 5 SPOT A KISS _days 4 9 I'M A SINNER _days 4 2 BE MIND PHIL _days 4 10 MISS VICTORIA _days 4 3 BLUE WATERS R5 Turf 5 8 Turf Route _days 5 7%w 26%itm 27 6 SPANISH REBELLION _days 5 0%w 30%itm 10 5 ANGEL'S KNIGHT _days 5 13 LION OF JUDAH _days 5 9 GAMBOLINO _days 5 2 GLUTEN FREE _days 5 7 MARCH TO MY TUNE _days 5 16 ROYAL CALVADOS _days 5 3 THEFORGOTTENONE _days 5 4 WINNING SHOT _days 5 14 ESPIRITUGANADOR _days 5 10 BEST BOY _days 5 11 ETHICAL FUNDS _days 5 12 LET THE SAINTS _days 5 1 SLEEPY P _days 5 8 COOL LUKE R6 Synthetic Synthetic Sprint _days 6 2 KEEPLAFFINLESLIE _days 6 3 INPERSON _days 6 6 MATILDA GIRL _days 6 7 FIRST DANCE _days 6 8 TIMEQUAKE R7 Synthetic 7 5 Synthetic Sprint _days 7 5 LA NENA EXECUTIVE _days 7 1 MYLENE _days 7 6 FINALLY RITTA YOU _days 7 7 DULCE MAJESTICA _days 7 10 DALAT ROSE _days 7 12 WHITEWATER MIST _days 7 2 ELSIE'S SONG _days 7 11 SIX FIFTY

3 _days 7 13 EARLY RINGALING _days 7 4 TRIVIA TIME _days 7 9 GOT PUMP R8 Turf 8 7 Turf Sprint _days 8 1 HILLABY _days 8 7 WAVELL AVENUE _days 8 0%w 50%itm 6 3 SILENT TREAT _days 8 5 EXECUTIVE ALLURE _days 8 4 CRYSTA'S COURT _days 8 9 SKYLANDER GIRL _days 8 8 SURTSEY _days 8 6 LAPSANG _days 8 10 MAHOGANY ROAD _days 8 2 PALADIN BAY R9 Synthetic Synthetic Route _days 9 7%w 26%itm 27 1 TIZ RO _days 9 0%w 30%itm 10 5 NORQUAY _days 9 6 CHARMING DELILAH _days 9 3 AWFULLY SINFUL _days 9 13%w 63%itm 8 2 SILENT STAR _days 9 4 MADAME G R10 Synthetic 10 6 Synthetic Sprint _days 10 9 CONCORDE'S MARCH _days CAT ZAPPER _days 10 3 SAVE MY SOUL _days 10 8 ORBIT EXPRESS _days 10 6 NO LOOK PASS _days 10 4 GO SHERMIN GO _days 10 5 LAYOVER IN TOKYO _days 10 7 SONNTAG _days 10 2 FLYING ECHO _days EZZTHETIC _days 10 1 SKIMMER JIM

4 Woodbine FTS=First Time Starter Ranks top 88 Turf Sires of /27/2015 Return To Grass / First Grass Start (Lower Rankings = Better Sire) Turf Report Program Number TPs = Turf Sire Turf Sire Dam Sire TPds = Turf Dam Sire Race # Ranking Ranking 3 RTG/FGS 1 TPs_#_24 BREAKINTHECLOUDS 3 RTG/FGS 2 COURT ADJOURED 3 RTG/FGS 3 SIX ROADS 3 4 TPs_#_38 BEARALLLEGS 3 RTG/FGS 5 BYZIE LIZZY 3 6 TPs_#_20 GREEN WATERS 3 7 TPs_#_4 TPds_#_55 MANHATTAN MOXY 3 RTG/FGS 8 COREY'S BEST 3 RTG/FGS 9 MISSILE THREAT 5 RTG/FGS 1 SLEEPY P 5 RTG/FGS 2 GLUTEN FREE 5 RTG/FGS 3 THEFORGOTTENONE 5 RTG/FGS 4 WINNING SHOT 5 RTG/FGS 5 ANGEL'S KNIGHT 5 RTG/FGS 6 SPANISH REBELLION 5 RTG/FGS 7 MARCH TO MY TUNE 5 RTG/FGS 8 COOL LUKE 5 RTG/FGS 9 GAMBOLINO 5 RTG/FGS 10 BEST BOY 5 RTG/FGS 11 ETHICAL FUNDS 5 RTG/FGS 12 TPds_#_2 LET THE SAINTS 5 RTG/FGS 13 LION OF JUDAH 5 RTG/FGS 14 ESPIRITUGANADOR 5 FTS 15 BRAS D'OR 5 RTG/FGS 16 TPds_#_6 ROYAL CALVADOS 8 RTG/FGS 1 TPs_#_45 HILLABY 8 2 PALADIN BAY 8 RTG/FGS 3 TPs_#_52 SILENT TREAT 8 4 TPs_#_52 TPds_#_45 CRYSTA'S COURT 8 RTG/FGS 5 TPds_#_15 EXECUTIVE ALLURE 8 RTG/FGS 6 LAPSANG 8 RTG/FGS 7 WAVELL AVENUE 8 8 TPs_#_85 SURTSEY 8 9 TPs_#_67 SKYLANDER GIRL 8 RTG/FGS 10 MAHOGANY ROAD

5 There are three types of pace scenarios: 1) Fast to the ½ mile and then slow 2) Slow to the ½ mile and then fast 3) Evenly distributed pace throughout the race My pace numbers are designed to reveal the different pace scenarios and help you spot potential winners you might otherwise ignore. 4f Pace This is a pace measurement for each horse based on the first 4 furlongs of the previous race. Late Pace This is a pace measurement for the remaining portion of the race after the ½ mile time. Combined This is a direct comparison of each horse against the others. The higher the number the better. Class drop the arrow indicates a significant class drop (minor class drops usually won't be noted). Win Rate This percentage is based on the pattern of the horse. I currently track close to 5,000 patterns based on surface, distance, and pace style. It's important to remember the Win Rate percentage is based on the pattern and not the horse. Things to note: The 4f Pace and the Late Pace can be compared against each other. The Combined number can only be compared against combined numbers. Always respect horses with the highest combined number even if their 4F Pace or the Late Pace numbers are low. Horses with the highest pace numbers (either 4F Pace or Late Pace) should always be respected. Example: In a 6 furlong dirt race, the fastest early pace horse has a 100 pace rating. Its Late Pace number is only a 25, and its combined number is a 12. Its Late Pace and Combined numbers are dismal compared to every other horse in the field. Should you ignore this horse? Never! This is one type of horse that can win in wire-to-wire fashion at a big price. Horses that are ranked highest for early pace should always be considered for the win slot.

Pace Numbers Available At HowToPickLongShots.com/blog/

Pace Numbers Available At HowToPickLongShots.com/blog/ Please note: Win Rate relates to the pattern win rate. "28%w" means 28% win rate. "58%itm" means 58% of starters with this pattern finished in the money. And the last single number refers to how many starters