2018 & 22 Final LCR Study Results Kern Area

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1 2018 & 22 Final LCR Study Results Kern Area Abhishek Singh Senior Regional Transmission Engineer Stakeholder Call April 13, 2017

2 Kern LCR Area Slide 2

3 Kern Load and Resources (MW) Kern Area Load AAEE BTM DG Transmission Losses 7 6 Total Load Market Generation/Net Seller Muni Generation 0 0 QF/Self Generation Total Qualifying Capacity Slide 3

4 Kern Area LCR West Park Sub-Area Midway Category B: No Category B requirement Category C: No Category C requirement Smyrna Famoso Ultra Power Lerdo Vedder Semitropic Mt Poso 7TH STND Dexel Kern PP West Park sub-area may be eliminated as no overloads seen in the 2018 analysis. Kern PP 115 kv reinforcement project fixes the issue for future years West Park Kern Oil Live Oak Discovery Kern Front Oildale Magunden PSE Bear Mtn Bolthouse Farms Double C, High Sierra, Bader Creek Lamont Wheeler Ridge Slide 4

5 Limiting Contingencies: Category C (NERC Cat. P6): L-1/L-1: Kern PP-Live Oak 115 kv Line & Kern PP-7th Standard 115 kv lines Constraint: Kern PP-Magunden-Witco 115 kv Line ( Kern PP-Kern Water section) LCR Results (MW): Contingency Cat. B Cat. C Cat. B Cat. C LCR NA 133 NA 49 Kern Area LCR Kern Oil Sub-Area Midway Semitropic Kern PP Smyrna Lerdo Vedder Mt Poso 7TH STND West Park Famoso Live Oak Ultra Power Kern Oil Requirement goes down in 2022 due to Kern PP 115 kv area Reinforcement project & Closing of Magunden NO 162 switch modeled in the 2022 case. Kern Front 2022 Oildale Magunden PSE Bear Mtn Bolthouse Farms Lamont Double C, High Sierra, Bader Creek Wheeler Ridge Slide 5

6 Limiting Contingencies: Category C (NERC Cat. P6): L-1/L-1: Kern PP-Magunden-Witco 115 kv Line & Kern PP-7th Standard 115 kv lines Constraint: Kern PP-Live Oak 115 kv Line LCR Results (MW): Contingency Cat. B Cat. C Cat. B Cat. C LCR NA 117 NA 123 Kern Area LCR Kern Oil Sub-Area Midway Semitropic Kern PP Smyrna Lerdo Vedder Mt Poso 7TH STND West Park Famoso Live Oak Ultra Power Kern Oil Oildale 2022 Category C number used for overall Kern Area requirements. Kern Front 2022 Magunden PSE Bear Mtn Bolthouse Farms Lamont Double C, High Sierra, Bader Creek Wheeler Ridge Slide 6

7 Kern Area LCR South Kern PP Sub-Area Midway Limiting Contingencies: Category C: Midway-Kern PP # 3 & # kv lines Constraint: Midway-Kern PP 230 kv # kv line LCR Results (MW): Smyrna Famoso Ultra Power Semitropic Lerdo Vedder Mt Poso 7TH STND Contingency Cat. B Cat. C Cat. B Cat. C Kern PP 4 5 Kern Oil Live Oak LCR NA 453 NA NA West Park This Requirement goes away in 2022 due to Midway-Kern PP 230 kv line capacity increase project. Kern Oil Subarea 2022 Category C requirement drives overall Kern requirement. Kern Front Double C, High Sierra, Badger Creek Oildale Magunden PSE Bear Mtn Bolthouse Farms Lamont Wheeler Ridge Slide 7

8 Kern Area Overall Summary 2018 Limiting Contingencies: 2022 Limiting Contingencies: Category C: Midway-Kern PP # 3 & # kv lines Constraint: Midway-Kern PP 230 kv # kv line Category C: L-1/L-1: Kern PP-Magunden-Witco 115 kv Line & Kern PP-7th Standard 115 kv lines Constraint: Kern PP-Live Oak 115 kv Line Contingency Cat. B Cat. C Cat. B Cat. C LCR NA 453 NA 123 Slide 8

9 Since last year: Changes 1) Westpark sub-area has been eliminated due to reduction in overall Kern Area load. 2) 2018 area load forecasts has decreased by 272 MW and the LCR has decreased by 39 MW vs ) 2022 area has been redefined as compared to 2021 and the LCR has increased by 18 MW. Since last stakeholder meeting: 1) Updated NQC. 2) Recalculated load in the area. 3) Reduced single contingency needs due to higher ratings for the Kern 230/115 kv banks. Your comments and questions are welcome. For written comments, please send to: Slide 9

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