2020 & 2024 LCR Study Draft Results Greater Bay Area
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1 2020 & 2024 LCR Study Draft Results Greater Bay Area Binaya Shrestha Regional Transmission Engineer Lead Stakeholder Meeting March 14, 2019
2 Greater Bay Area Transmission System & LCR Subareas Contra Costa Subarea Oakland Subarea Pittsburg-AMES Subarea TBC San Francisco San Jose Subarea South Bay-Moss Landing Subarea Morgan Hill Llagas Subarea Slide 2
3 New major transmission projects Project Name Trimble-San Jose B 115 kv Line Limiting Facility Upgrade Moss Landing Panoche 230 kv Path Upgrade Trimble-San Jose B 115 kv Series Reactor South of San Mateo Capacity Increase (revised scope) Metcalf-Evergreen 115 kv Line Reconductoring East Shore-Oakland J 115 kv Reconductoring Project Morgan Hill Area Reinforcement (revised scope) Metcalf-Piercy & Swift and Newark-Dixon Landing 115 kv Upgrade Oakland Clean Energy Initiative Project Vaca Dixon-Lakeville 230 kv Corridor Series Compensation Expected ISD Feb-19 Jan-19 Feb-19 Feb-19 Mar-26 May-19 Apr-21 May-21 Apr-22 Aug-22 Aug-22 Slide 3
4 Power plant changes Additions: No new resource addition Resolution E-4949 modeled in 2024 Retirements: No new retirements Oakland CTs considered offline in 2024 Slide 4
5 Llagas Subarea: Load and Resources Load (MW) Generation (MW) Gross Load Market AAEE -2-7 Wind 0 0 Behind the meter DG Muni 0 0 Net Load QF 0 0 Transmission Losses 0 0 Pumps 0 0 Load + Losses + Pumps Future preferred resource and energy storage Total Qualifying Capacity Slide 5
6 Llagas Subarea: One-line diagram Slide 6
7 Llagas Subarea: Requirements Year Category Limiting Facility Contingency LCR (MW) (Deficiency) 2020 B Metcalf-Llagas 115 kv line Metcalf D-Morgan Hill 115 kv with one of the Gilroy peakers off line 79 C Same as category B B No requirement 2024 C Metcalf-Llagas 115 kv line Metcalf-Morgan Hill & Morgan Hill-Green Valley115kV 16 Slide 7
8 Llagas Subarea: Load Profiles Slide 8
9 San Jose Subarea: Load and Resources Load (MW) Generation (MW) Gross Load Market AAEE Wind 0 0 Behind the meter DG Muni Net Load 2,385 2,458 QF 0 0 Transmission Losses Pumps 0 0 Load + Losses + Pumps 2,452 2,527 Future preferred resource and energy storage Total Qualifying Capacity Slide 9
10 San Jose Subarea: One-line diagram Slide 10
11 San Jose Subarea: Requirements Year Category Limiting Facility Contingency LCR (MW) (Deficiency) B No requirement 2020 C El Patio-San Jose A 115 kv line Stone-Evergreen-Metcalf & Metcalf-Evergreen #1 115kV 305 B No requirement 2024 C El Patio-San Jose A 115 kv line Stone-Evergreen-Metcalf & Metcalf-Evergreen #1 115kV 462 Slide 11
12 San Jose Subarea: Load Profiles Slide 12
13 South Bay-Moss Landing Subarea: Load and Resources Load (MW) Generation (MW) Gross Load Market AAEE Wind 0 0 Behind the meter DG Muni Net Load 3,944 3,979 QF 0 0 Transmission Losses Pumps 0 0 Load + Losses + Pumps 4,052 4,091 Future preferred resource and energy storage Total Qualifying Capacity ,377 2,935 Slide 13
14 South Bay-Moss Landing Subarea: One-line diagram Slide 14
15 South Bay-Moss Landing Subarea: Requirements Year Category Limiting Facility Contingency LCR (MW) (Deficiency) B No requirement 2020 C Moss Landing-Las Aguilas 230 kv Tesla-Metcalf 500 kv and Moss Landing-Los Banos 500 kv 1781 B No requirement 2024 C Moss Landing-Las Aguilas 230 kv Tesla-Metcalf 500 kv and Moss Landing-Los Banos 500 kv 1781 Slide 15
16 South Bay-Moss Landing Subarea: Load Profiles Slide 16
17 Oakland Subarea: Load and Resources Load (MW) Generation (MW) Gross Load Market AAEE -3-8 Wind 0 0 Behind the meter DG -6-8 Muni Net Load QF 0 0 Transmission Losses 0 0 Pumps 0 0 Load + Losses + Pumps Future preferred resource and energy storage Total Qualifying Capacity Slide 17
18 Oakland Subarea: One-line diagram Oakland subarea Slide 18
19 Oakland Subarea: Requirements Year Category Limiting Facility Contingency LCR (MW) (Deficiency) B No requirement 2020 C Oakland D-L 115 kv cable Oakland C-X #2 & #3 115 kv cables 32 B No requirement 2024 C Moraga-Claremont #2 115 kv Oakland C-X #2 & #3 115 kv cables 27 Slide 19
20 Oakland Subarea: Load Profiles Slide 20
21 Pittsburg-Ames-Oakland Subarea: Load and Resources Load (MW) Generation (MW) Gross Load Market/ Net Seller / Battery AAEE Solar 8 8 Behind the meter DG Wind 0 0 Net Load NA Flow Muni through area. Transmission Losses QF Pumps Load + Losses + Pumps Future preferred resource and energy storage 0 15 Total Qualifying Capacity 2,470 2,485 Slide 21
22 Ames/Pittsburg/Oakland Subarea: One-line diagram Slide 22
23 Ames/Pittsburg/Oakland Subarea: Requirements Year Category Limiting Facility Contingency LCR (MW) (Deficiency) B No requirement 2020 C Ames-Ravenswood #1 115 kv line Moraga-Claremont #2 115 kv line Newark-Ravenswood & Tesla- Ravenswood 230 kv lines Moraga-Sobrante & Moraga- Claremont #1 115 kv lines 1614 B No requirement 2024 C Ames-Ravenswood #1 115 kv line Moraga-Claremont #2 115 kv line Newark-Ravenswood & Tesla- Ravenswood 230 kv lines Moraga-Sobrante & Moraga- Claremont #1 115 kv lines 1563 Associated NCNB Area: Requirement Year Category Limiting Facility Contingency 2020 B/C 2024 B/C Vaca Dixon-Lakeville 230 kv line Vaca Dixon-Lakeville 230 kv line Vaca Dixon-Tulucay 230 kv line with Delta Energy Center power plant out of service Vaca Dixon-Tulucay 230 kv line with Delta Energy Center power plant out of service LCR (MW) (Deficiency) Slide 23
24 Ames/Pittsburg/Oakland Subarea (Pitts-Oak): Flow Profiles Slide 24
25 Ames/Pittsburg/Oakland Subarea (Pitts-Ames): Flow Profiles Slide 25
26 Contra Costa Subarea: Load and Resources Load (MW) Generation (MW) Gross Load Market AAEE Wind Behind the meter DG Muni Net Load QF 0 0 NA Flow through area. Future preferred resource Transmission Losses 0 0 and energy storage Pumps Load + Losses + Pumps Total Qualifying Capacity 2,182 2,182 Slide 26
27 Contra Costa Subarea: One-line diagram Slide 27
28 Contra Costa Subarea: Requirements Year Category Limiting Facility Contingency LCR (MW) (Deficiency) B Delta Switching Yard-Tesla 230 kv Line Kelso-Tesla 230 kv with the Gateway off line C Same as category B B Delta Switching Yard-Tesla 230 kv Line Kelso-Tesla 230 kv with the Gateway off line C Same as category B Slide 28
29 Contra Costa Subarea: Flow Profiles Slide 29
30 Greater Bay Area Overall: Load and Resources Load (MW) Generation (MW) Gross Load 10,336 10,650 Market/ Net Seller/ Battery 6,131 6,131 AAEE Solar Behind the meter DG Wind Net Load 9,983 9,922 Muni Transmission Losses QF Pumps Load + Losses + Pumps Future preferred resource and energy storage ,488 10,427 Total Qualifying Capacity 7,067 7,640 Slide 30
31 Greater Bay Area Overall: Requirements Year Category Limiting Facility Contingency LCR (MW) (Deficiency) B Reactive margin Tesla-Metcalf 500 kv line & DEC unit C Aggregate of subareas 4550 B Reactive margin Tesla-Metcalf 500 kv line & DEC unit C Aggregate of subareas 4395 Slide 31
32 Greater Bay Area Total Generation & LCR Need Generation Market (MW) Wind (MW) Muni (MW) QF (MW) Future preferred resource and energy storage (MW) Total MW Year LCR Need Category B (Single) Category C (Multiple) Category B (Single) Category C (Multiple) Existing Generation Capacity Needed (MW) Deficiency (MW) Total MW Need Slide 32
33 Changes Compared to Previous LCR Requirements Subarea Load LCR Load LCR Load LCR Load LCR Llagas San Jose South Bay Moss Landing Oakland Pittsburg Ames Oakland NA* 1741 NA* 1614 NA* 1630 NA* 1563 Contra Costa NA* 1067 NA* 1155 NA* 1145 NA* 1051 Overall Note: * Flow-through area. No defined load pocket. Slide 33
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