2013 SERTP. Welcome. SERTP nd Quarter Meeting. Preliminary Expansion Plan Meeting

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1 Welcome SERTP nd Quarter Meeting Preliminary Expansion Plan Meeting 1

2 The SERTP process is a transmission planning process. Please contact the respective transmission provider for questions related to real-time operations or OATT transmission service. 2

3 Purposes & Goals of the Meeting Modeling Assumptions Load Forecast Generation Assumptions Preliminary 10 Year Transmission Expansion Plan Process Overview East West FRCC Coordination Update Next Meeting Activities 3

4 Modeling Assumptions Update 4

5 Load Forecast 5

6 2013 Regional Generation Assumptions T.A Smith I & II Yates CC McDonough Dahlberg Washington Co Kemper Hillabee CC Central AL CC Wansley Lancaster Bio Franklin CC West GA CT Piedmont Bio Vogtle Harris CC McIntosh Crist CT 6 Existing Generation Future Generation

7 2013 Regional Generation Assumptions The following tables depict changes in the generation assumptions for the 2013 Transmission Expansion Planning Process 1 SOUTHERN Site McDonough CC Central Alabama CC Piedmont Biomass Vogtle Baconton CT Dahlberg CT Kemper IGCC Branch The years shown in the following tables represent Summer Peak conditions

8 2013 Regional Generation Assumptions SOUTHERN (Cont.) Site Branch Branch McManus Yates Yates Vogtle West Georgia CT Kraft Franklin 2 CC

9 SOUTHERN (Cont.) 2013 Regional Generation Assumptions Site Gaston Hammond Hammond Harris CC Wansley CC Vogtle Vogtle Harris CC Calhoun CT Crist CT Yates CC

10 2013 Regional Generation Assumptions GTC Site Tiger Creek CT Effingham CC Lindsay Hill CC Franklin CC Dahlberg CT Branch Hammond Gaston 1& Santa Rosa McManus CT Mitchell

11 2013 Regional Generation Assumptions GTC (Cont.) Site Scherer Wilson 5 CT Yates Franklin CC Warthen CT Hillabee CC T.A. Smith I CC T.A. Smith II CC Wansley CC Vogtle Vogtle Washington County

12 2013 Regional Generation Assumptions MEAG Site Vogtle Vogtle Vogtle Vogtle Dalton Site Vogtle Vogtle

13 2013 Regional Generation Assumptions PowerSouth Site McIntosh CC SMEPA: Site Kemper IGCC

14 Preliminary 10 Year Expansion Plan 14

15 10 Year Expansion Plan Timeline Approximate Planning Time Line (Years 1 5) Base cases updated with most recent input assumptions. Assess need for additional new projects. Approximate target for completion of year 1 5 evaluation. Discuss the preliminary expansion plan with the SERTP Stakeholders and obtain input. May Jan Feb Mar Apr Jun Begin re-evaluation of existing projects for timing and need. Coordination among SERTP Sponsors and SERC members.

16 10 Year Expansion Plan Timeline Approximate Planning Time Line (Years 6 10) Base cases updated with most recent data. Assess need for additional new projects. Approximate target for completion of year 6 10 evaluation. Base cases updated with most recent data and begin reviewing 10 year expansion plan. Discuss 10 year expansion plan at the Summit. Jun July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Begin re-evaluation of existing projects for timing and need. Discuss previous or obtain additional SERTP stakeholder input on expansion plan. Coordination among SERTP Sponsors and SERC members. Obtain input from stakeholders on assumptions for next year s expansion plan process.

17 The projects described in this presentation represent the preliminary ten (10) year expansion plan. The expansion plan is periodically reviewed and may be revised due to changes in assumptions. This presentation does not represent a commitment to build for projects listed in the future. 17

18 The in-service date of each project is June 1 st of the stated project year, unless otherwise specified. The need date of each project is the same as the in-service date, unless otherwise specified. 18

19 EAST WEST 19

20 FRCC Coordination Update 20

21 FRCC Coordination Update Currently exchanging the latest transmission models for the ten year planning horizon. Models will be incorporated into subsequent base cases. 21

22 Next Meeting Activities 22

23 Next Meeting Activities 2013 SERTP 3rd Quarter Meeting Second RPSG Meeting Location: TBD Date: September 2013 Purpose: o Discuss preliminary economic planning study results 23

24 Questions? 24

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