Return Index Geographical Analysis of Indicators. December 2018
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1 Return Index Geographical Analysis of Indicators December 2018
2 RETURN INDEX Geographical analysis of indicators This analysis categorizes the Return Index s 22 indicators into three discrete categories: low, medium and high severity. The categorization is based on the following design for each indicator: LOW SEVERITY: BASIC CONDITIONS MET MEDIUM SEVERITY: SOME BASIC CONDITIONS MET HIGH SEVERITY: NO BASIC CONDITION MET The density maps only plot medium and high severity. They also weight the indicator s severity by the size of population returns so locations with medium severity but very large returns may appear in more intense color than locations with high severity but relatively smaller returned populations. This type of data visualization helps to identify geographical hotspots, that is, a number of close-by locations that share medium to high severity levels altogether this should guide focus and intervention more effectively than monitoring single locations with particularly high scores alone. Methodology brief: data about indicators is collected for +1,400 locations with returns through one key informant interview for each.
3 SCALE 1 INDICATORS Indicators for Scale 1 (Livelihoods and Public Services) include the following: #1 House destruction #2 Large private employers #3 Access primary schooling #4 Access primary health provision #5 Market functioning #6 Electricity supply #7 Water supply #8 Public employment #9 Agricultural land
4 #1 HOUSE DESTRUCTION Widespread damage across all governorates, in particular: Mosul City. Telafar Center. Al-Shirqat. Tikrit. Jalawla. Ramadi-Falluja strip.
5 #2 LARGE PRIVATE EMPLOYERS Sinjar Centre. Zummar. Mosul City. Qayyara. Tikrit. Tooz Khoramtu. Muqdadiya. Falluja. Mahmudiya.
6 #3 ACCESS PRIMARY SCHOOLING Sinjar Centre. Mosul City. Hawija. Taza Khormatu. Baiji. Balad. Saadiya. Ramadi. Hit. Al-Qaim.
7 #4 ACCESS PRIMARY HEALTH PROVISION Telafar Mosul City. Samarra. Balad. Falluja.
8 #5 MARKET FUNCTIONING Sinuni. Telafar. Hamam al-aleel. Muqdadiya. Saadiya. Falluja. Mahmoudiya.
9 #6 ELECTRICITY SUPPLY Mosul City. Tikrit. Kirkuk. Falluja. Ramadi.
10 #7 WATER SUPPLY Rabbia. Mosul and eastern suburbs. Qayyara. Al-Abbassy. Kirkuk Center. Rutbah.
11 #8 PUBLIC EMPLOYMENT Mosul City. Al-Shirqat.
12 #9 AGRICULTURAL LAND Sinuni. Rabbia & Zummar. Tal Afar. Tel Kaif & Bashiqa. Hamam al-aleel. Qayyara. A-Abbassy. Tikrit. Al-Daur. Muqdadiya. Falluja. Ramadi.
13 SCALE 2 INDICATORS Indicators for Scale 2 (Social Cohesion and Safety Perceptions) include the following: #1 HLP occupation #2 Daily public life #3 Presence of mines #4 Armed actors #5 Social capital #6 Movement restrictions #7 Inter-community dialogue #8 Safety concerns: (revenge, kidnapping, armed clashes, property destruction, ISIS attacks, ethno-religious-tribal tensions)
14 #1 HLP OCCUPATION Rabbia. Zummar. Talafar. Mosul City. Tikrit. Tooz Khormatu.
15 #2 DAILY PUBLIC LIFE Zummar. Mosul City. Qayyara. Tikrit. Al-Daur. Jalawla. Falluja-Ramadi strip.
16 #3 PRESENCE OF MINES Tel Kaif. Hamdaniya. Qayyara. Al-Zab. Baiji.
17 #4 ARMED ACTORS Talafar. Qayyara. Tooz Khormatu. Saadiya & Jalawla. Muqdadiya. Falluja.
18 #5 SOCIAL CAPITAL Hamdaniya district. Al-Tal. Duloeiya.
19 #6 MOVEMENT RESTRICTIONS Baiji. Al-Daur. Samarra. Duloeiya. Tooz Khormatu.
20 #7 INTER-COMMUNITY DIALOGUE Zummar. Talafar. Kirkuk. Tooz Khormatu. Duloeiya. Muqdadiya. Saadiya. Hit. Falluja. Ramadi. Mahdmoudiya.
21 #8a SAFETY CONCERNS REVENGE Zummar. Baaj. Kirkuk. Baiji. Tikrit. Al-Daur. Muqdadiya. Falluja.
22 #8b SAFETY CONCERNS KIDNAPPING Mosul City. Al-Shirqat. Baiji. Tikrit. Al-Daur. Kirkuk. Tooz Khormatu. Muqdadiya. Jalawla. Ramadi.
23 #8c SAFETY CONCERNS ARMED GROUP CLASHES Al-Abbassy & Al-Zab. Al-Seiniya. Tikrit. Al-Daur. Duloeiya. Muqdadiya. Jalawla. Ramadi.
24 #8d SAFETY CONCERNS PROPERTY DISPUTES AND DESTRUCTION Zummar. Kirkuk. Tooz Khormatu. Muqdadiya. Ramadi.
25 #8e SAFETY CONCERNS ISIS ATTACKS Talafar. Zummar. Baaj. Al-Shirqat. Al-Abbassy & Al-Zab. Al-Seiniya. Tikrit. Al-Daur. Duloeiya. Muqdadiya. Saadiya. Ramadi.
26 #8e SAFETY CONCERNS ETHNO-RELIGIOUS AND TRIBAL TENSIONS Zummar. Sinuni. Baaj. Baiji. Tikrit. Tooz Khormatu. Muqdadiya. Saadiya. Ramadi. Mahmoudiya.
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