The 2017 SWS Survey Review

Transcription

1 The 2017 SWS Survey Review 17 March 2017 PSSC Annual General Membership Meeting PSSCenter, Diliman, Quezon City This 2017 Survey Review is based on the four quarterly Social Weather Surveys of 2016; the Feb-May 2016 Survey of Enterprises, supported by Australian Embassy-The Asia Foundation Partnership in the Philippines, United States Agency for International Development through the Integrity for Investments Initiative, in partnership with the National Competitiveness Council; 2 1

2 the SWS own-account pre-election surveys of December 2015, and January, February, March, April and May 2016; and the Bilang Pilipino TV5-SWS Exit Poll, done in partnership with TV5 Network Inc. SWS gratefully acknowledges its research partners and its media partner BusinessWorld, who believe in the importance of openly-disclosed social surveys in a democratic society. 3 Topics 1. Public morale 2. Poverty and hunger survey of businessmen on corruption 4. The 2016 election 5. The President 6. Satisfaction with other officials & institutions 7. The 2016 Report Card of the administration 8. Foreign affairs 9. Public safety 10. Government campaign against illegal drugs 11. The business climate 6 2

3 % of adults Copyright Public morale: very high, since C. AQUINO ESTRADA RAMOS HAPPINESS: PHILIPPINES, ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Not at all happy Not very happy Fairly happy Very happy 0 Jun96 Mar01 Sep01 Mar02 Jun04 Aug05 Nov06 Mar08 Dec08 Nov10 Dec12 Sep14 Mar15 Apr16 Dec16 Jul91 Nov98 Jul01 Nov01 Jun03 May05 Sep06 Dec07 Sep08 Sep10 Jun11 Dec13 Dec14 Sep15 Jun16 Note: Blank spaces are Don t Know and Refused responses. Question. If you were to consider your life in general these days, how happy or unhappy would you say you are on the whole? Are you..? 8 3

4 % of adults % of adults Copyright SATISFACTION WITH LIFE: PHILIPPINES, ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Not at all satisfied Not very satisfied Fairly satisfied Sep02 Jun03 Nov03 Jun04 May05 Mar06 Sep10 Jun11 Mar12 Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Sep15 Jun16 Dec16 May02 Nov02 Sep03 Feb04 Aug04 Aug05 Dec08 Nov10 Dec11 Dec12 Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Apr16 Sep16 Very satisfied Note: Blank spaces are Don t Know and Refused responses Question. On the whole, are you very satisfied, fairly satisfied, not very satisfied or not at all satisfied with the life you lead? Would you say you are..? 9 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE 70 SATISFACTION WITH HOW DEMOCRACY WORKS, NOV 1991 TO SEP % satisfied with how democracy works Q. On the whole, are you... (VERY SATISFIED, FAIRLY SATISFIED, NOT VERY SATISFIED, NOT AT ALL SATISFIED) with the way democracy works in the Philippines? Q. Which of the following statements comes closest to your own opinion? (SHOWCARD) [Democracy is always preferable to any other kind of government; Under some circumstances, an authoritarian government can be preferable to a democratic one; For people like me, it does not matter whether we have a democratic or a non-democratic regime] 10 4

5 % of adults Copyright 2017 PREFERENCE FOR DEMOCRACY, NOV 1991 TO SEP 2016 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE % always prefer Democracy % sometimes prefer Authoritarianism Q. On the whole, are you... (VERY SATISFIED, FAIRLY SATISFIED, NOT VERY SATISFIED, NOT AT ALL SATISFIED) with the way democracy works in the Philippines? Q. Which of the following statements comes closest to your own opinion? (SHOWCARD) [Democracy is always preferable to any other kind of government; Under some circumstances, an authoritarian government can be preferable to a democratic one; For people like me, it does not matter whether we have a democratic or a non-democratic regime] 11 EXPECTED CHANGE IN QUALITY OF LIFE IN NEXT 12 MONTHS, APR 1984 TO DEC 2016VM MARCOS C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO III DUTERTE % of adults OPTIMISTS 48% PESSIMISTS Question. Sa inyong opinyon, ano ang magiging uri ng inyong pamumuhay sa darating na 12 buwan? Masasabi ba ninyo na ang uri ng inyong pamumuhay ay [BUBUTI; KAPAREHO LANG; SASAMA; HINDI ALAM]? Optimists : Bubuti Pessimists: Sasama 3% 12 5

6 70 EXPECTED CHANGE IN THE PHILIPPINE ECONOMY, SEP 1998 TO DEC 2016 ESTRADA ARROYO AQUINO DUTERTE % of adults 50 51% it will improve % it will deteriorate Question. Sa darating na 12 buwan, ano sa palagay ninyo ang mangyayari sa ekonomiya ng Pilipinas? Masasabi ba ninyo na ito ay... [BUBUTI; KAPAREHO LANG; SASAMA; HINDI ALAM]? CHANGE IN QUALITY OF LIFE OVER PAST 12 MONTHS, APR 1983 TO DEC 2016 MARCOS C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE % of adults LOSERS GAINERS GAINERS 37% 21% LOSERS Kung ikukumpara ang uri ng inyong kasalukuyang pamumuhay sa nakaraang 12 buwan, masasabi ba ninyo na ang uri ng inyong pamumuhay ay [MAS MABUTI NGAYON KAYSA NOON, KAPAREHO NG DATI, MAS MASAMA NGAYON KAYSA NOON] Gainers : Mas mabuti ngayon kaysa noon Losers: Mas masama ngayon kaysa noon 14 6

7 % of families Copyright Poverty and Hunger: declining since SELF-RATED POVERTY: FAMILIES WHO ARE MAHIRAP, PHILIPPINES, APR 1983 TO DEC 2016 MARCOS C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE % PSA-NSCB: Unrefined pre-2011 Refined in 2011 Refined w/o Leyte and Batanes 22.3% 21.1% 18.8% 20.0% POVERTY.PRS Self-Rated Poverty Question: Where would you place your family in this card? (Not poor, On the line, Poor) *Note: The NSCB figures, which compare income of the year to the official poverty line, are plotted in June of the year. 17 7

8 % of households % of families Copyright 2017 ANNUAL AVERAGE OF FAMILIES WHO ARE MAHIRAP : PHILIPPINES, 1983 TO '85 '90 '95 '00 '05 '10 '15 Self-Rated Poverty Question: Where would you place your family in this card? (Not poor, On the line, Poor) *Note: The NSCB figures, which compare income of the year to the official poverty line, are plotted in June of the year DEGREE OF HUNGER IN HOUSEHOLDS, PHILIPPINES: JUL 1998 TO DEC 2016 ESTRADA ARROYO AQUINO DUTERTE Total Hunger Moderate 13.9% 10.9% 5 Severe % Note: Don t Know and Refused responses are not shown. Q: Nitong nakaraang 3 buwan, nangyari po ba kahit minsan na ang inyong pamilya ay nakaranas ng gutom at wala kayong makain? KUNG OO: Nangyari po ba yan ng MINSAN LAMANG, MGA ILANG BESES, MADALAS, o PALAGI? 20 8

9 % of adults in labor force % of households Copyright 2017 ANNUAL AVERAGE OF HUNGER IN HOUSEHOLDS, PHILIPPINES: 1998 TO '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 Note: Don t Know and Refused responses are not shown. Q: Nitong nakaraang 3 buwan, nangyari po ba kahit minsan na ang inyong pamilya ay nakaranas ng gutom at wala kayong makain? KUNG OO: Nangyari po ba yan ng MINSAN LAMANG, MGA ILANG BESES, MADALAS, o PALAGI? 21 SWS JOBLESSNESS RATE* AND NSO UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, PHILIPPINES, DEC 1993 TO DEC RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO AQUINO SWS joblessness: 18 yrs+ 25 PSA unemployment (15 yrs+ ) 25.1% 15 PSA unemployment (new definition) * % without a job at present and looking for a job. Source: Social Weather Surveys and NSO. 6.6% (as of Jan 2017) 22 9

10 3 Surveys of businessmen about corruption: less under Pnoy than under PGMA (latest, Feb-May 2016) 23 EXTENT OF CORRUPTION IN THE PUBLIC SECTOR, ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO None A little Some A lot Q50. How much corruption do you think there is in the PUBLIC SECTOR? 24 10

11 LAST TIME WITH PERSONAL KNOWLEDGE OF PUBLIC SECTOR CORRUPTION IN OWN SECTOR OF BUSINESS, Base: Total Who Say There Is Corruption in the Public Sector/Government ARROYO B. AQUINO >1 yr ago 7-12 mos. ago 4-6 mos. ago 2-3 mos. ago Last month Q53. When was the last time you had personal knowledge of a corrupt transaction with government by a company in your sector of business? 25 NUMBER OF COMPANIES IN OWN LINE OF BUSINESS THAT GIVE BRIBES TO WIN PUBLIC SECTOR CONTRACTS, Base: Total Who Say Companies in Their Sector Allot a Percentage for Bribes to Win Public Sector Contracts ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO None Hardly any Few Most Almost all Q54. In your line of business, how many companies do you think give bribes to win public sector contracts? 26 11

12 VERY GOOD NET SINCERITY RATINGS IN FIGHTING CORRUPTION, 2005 TO GMA +55 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '12 '13 '15 '16 BSA Securities and Exchange Commission 27 GOOD NET SINCERITY RATINGS IN FIGHTING CORRUPTION, 2005 TO GMA BSA '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '12 '13 '15 '16 GMA +80 BSA +77 GMA BSA Office of +61 the President /2 0 Dept. of Trade and Industry Dept. of Labor and Employment Dept. of Health 28 12

13 GOOD NET SINCERITY RATINGS IN FIGHTING CORRUPTION, 2005 TO 2016 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '12 '13 '15 '16 2/ Civil Service Commission GMA BSA GMA BSA GMA BSA GMA BSA Dept. of Education Social Security System Supreme Court Office of the Ombudsman 29 MODERATE NET SINCERITY RATINGS IN FIGHTING CORRUPTION, 2005 TO 2016 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '12 '13 '15 '16 1/ GMA BSA GMA BSA GMA BSA GMA BSA Commission on Audit Dept. of Social Welfare and Development +37 Sandiganbayan Gov t Service Insurance Dept. of System Justice 30 13

14 MODERATE NET SINCERITY RATINGS IN FIGHTING CORRUPTION, 2005 TO GMA BSA GMA BSA GMA BSA Barangay government '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '12 '13 '15 ' City/Municipal government Commission on Elections -38 GMA BSA +4 2/2 Armed Forces of the Philippines 31 NEUTRAL NET SINCERITY RATINGS IN FIGHTING CORRUPTION, 2005 TO 2016 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '12 '13 '15 '16 1/2 +70 GMA BSA GMA BSA GMA BSA 0 Dept. of Finance Governance Commission for GOCCs +12 Presidential Trial Courts Commission on Good Government

15 NEUTRAL NET SINCERITY RATINGS IN FIGHTING CORRUPTION, 2005 TO /2 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '12 '13 '15 '16 GMA BSA GMA BSA GMA BSA GMA BSA Dept. of Environment and Natural Resources Senate Dept. of Interior and Local Government Dept. of Agriculture 33 POOR NET SINCERITY RATINGS IN FIGHTING CORRUPTION, 2005 TO 2016 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '12 '13 '15 '16 1/2 GMA BSA GMA BSA GMA BSA Dept. of Budget and Management Philippine National Police Dept. of Public Works and Highways

16 POOR NET SINCERITY RATINGS IN FIGHTING CORRUPTION, 2005 TO 2016 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '12 '13 '15 '16 2/2 GMA BSA GMA BSA GMA BSA +8 Bureau of Internal Revenue House of Representatives Dept. of Transportation and Communications BAD AND VERY BAD NET SINCERITY RATINGS IN FIGHTING CORRUPTION, 2005 TO GMA '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '12 '13 '15 '16 BAD VERY BAD BSA GMA BSA Bureau of Customs Land Transportation Office

17 ENTERPRISES SOLICITED FOR ANY OF SEVEN LISTED BRIBES, ARROYO B. AQUINO Q In which of the following transactions has your company been asked for a bribe by anyone in government during 2015? 40 NUMBER OF COMPANIES IN THE SAME LINE OF BUSINESS THAT GIVE BRIBES TO WIN PRIVATE SECTOR CONTRACTS, Base: Total Who Say There is Corruption in the Private Sector ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO None Hardly any Few Most Almost all Q62. In your sector of business, how many companies do you think give bribes to win private business sector contracts? 41 17

18 TO PROSPER IN BUSINESS IN THE PHILIPPINES TODAY, ONE HAS TO BE CORRUPT, ARROYO B. AQUINO Disagree Undecided Agree Q8. Do you agree or disagree with this statement: To prosper in business in the Philippines today, one has to be corrupt? 42 4 The 2016 election: clear win for Duterte; VP race uncallable ; the debates mattered 46 18

19 VOTER PREFERENCES FOR PRESIDENT, PHILIPPINES, SWS FACE-TO-FACE SURVEYS, JAN 8 TO MAY 1-3, % 30% Jan 8 (8N) [VV] [n=1,200] Feb 5-7 (7N) [VV] [n=1,200] Mar 4-7 (6N) [VV] [n=1,800] Mar 30- Apr 2 (6N) [VV] [n=1,500] Apr (6N) [VV] [n=1,800] May 1-3 (6N) [VV] [n=4,500] Duterte (33%) 20% Poe (22%) Roxas (20%) 10% Invalid marks (6%) Binay (13%) 1/10 1/17 1/24 1/31 2/7 2/14 2/21 2/28 3/6 3/13 3/20 3/27 4/3 4/10 4/17 4/24 5/1 Note: Respondents: VV = Validated Voters; Lists: #N = Number of names in the list. Figures in brackets are sample sizes. Votes for Roy Seneres (0.08%) are not shown. Und ++ (4%) Santiago (2%) 47 VOTER PREFERENCES FOR VICE-PRESIDENT, PHILIPPINES, SWS FACE-TO-FACE SURVEYS, JAN 8 TO MAY 1-3, % 30% Jan 8 (19N) [VV] [n=1,200] Feb 5-7 (6N) [VV] [n=1,200] Mar 4-7 (6N) [VV] [n=1,800] Mar 30- Apr 2 (6N) [VV] [n=1,500] Apr (6N) [VV] [n=1,800] May 1-3 (6N) [VV] [n=4,500] Marcos (29%) Robredo (28%) 20% 10% Invalid marks (4%) 1/10 1/17 1/24 1/31 2/7 2/14 2/21 2/28 3/6 3/13 3/20 3/27 4/3 4/10 4/17 4/24 5/1 Escudero (15%) Cayetano (13%) Und ++ (5%) Honasan (3%) Trillanes (3%) Note: Respondents: VV = Validated Voters; Lists: #N = Number of names in the list. Figures in brackets are sample sizes

20 Comparison of the COMELEC FINAL OFFICIAL TALLY (Final canvass report, 20 May 2016) and TV5-SWS Exit Poll: FOR PRESIDENT Duterte, Rody Roxas, Mar "Daang Matuwid" Poe, Grace Binay, Jojo Defensor Santiago, Miriam Señeres, Roy COMELEC TV5-SWS Average Absolute Difference: 0.90 * SWS Exit Poll 2016 data as of May 11, Sample of 71,380 voters from 802 out of 802 sampled voting centers. Excludes Can't Answer/Refused (0.76%). 49 Comparison of the COMELEC FINAL OFFICIAL TALLY (Final canvass report, 20 May 2016) and TV5-SWS Exit Poll: FOR VICE-PRESIDENT* Robredo, Leni Daang Matuwid Marcos, Bongbong Cayetano, Alan Peter Escudero, Chiz Honasan, Gringo Trillanes, Antonio IV COMELEC TV5-SWS Average Absolute Difference: 0.91 * SWS Exit Poll 2016 data as of 5:00 pm, May 9, 2016, broadcast on 6:15 pm. Sample of 18,116 voters from 501 out of 802 sampled voting centers. Excludes Can't Answer/Refused (2.32%)

21 RANKS OF SENATORS: TV5-SWS 2016 EXIT POLL VS. FINAL OFFICIAL COMELEC TALLY, PHILIPPINES 12 OUT OF 12 WINNERS Pearson rankorder correlation r = 0.978** ** Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). 51 IS PLATFORM OR PERSONALITY THE MAIN REASON FOR YOUR CHOICE OF CANDIDATE FOR PRESIDENT? Final sample of 72, 821 voters, 10:00 p.m., May 18, 2016 Platform 57.3 Personality 40.4 Can t say/refused Question: PLATAPORMA po ba o PAGKATAO ang inyong pangunahing dahilan sa pagpili ng kandidato sa pagka-presidente? [Is PLATFORM or PERSONALITY the main reason for your choice of candidate for President?] 53 21

22 WHEN DID YOU DECIDE ON YOUR VOTE FOR PRESIDENT? Final sample of 72, 821 voters, 10:00 p.m., May 18, 2016 Only now May 1-9 In April In March 8.1 In February or earlier 45.8 Can t say/refused Question: Kailan po kayo nakapagdesisyon sa inyong boto sa pagka-presidente? [When did you decide on your vote for president?] 54 DID THE PRESIDENTIAL DEBATES HELP YOU IN CHOOSING YOUR PRESIDENT? Final sample of 72, 821 voters, 10:00 p.m., May 18, 2016 Can't answer/refused Have not watched No Yes Question: Ang mga debate po ba ng kandidato sa Presidente ay nakatulong o hindi nakatulong sa inyong pagpili ng PRESIDENTE o hindi po kayo nakapanood ng alinmang debate? [Did the Presidential debates help you in choosing your PRESIDENT or were you not able to watch any debate?] 56 22

23 DID THE VICE-PRESIDENTIAL DEBATES HELP YOU IN CHOOSING YOUR VICE-PRESIDENT? Final sample of 72, 821 voters, 10:00 p.m., May 18, 2016 Can't answer/refused Have not watched No Yes Question: Ang mga debate po ba ng kandidato sa Bise-Presidente ay nakatulong o hindi nakatulong sa inyong pagpili ng BISE-PRESIDENTE o hindi po kayo nakapanood ng alinmang debate? [Did the Vice- Presidential debates help you in choosing your VICE-PRESIDENT or were you not able to watch any debate?] 57 5 The President: a normal honeymoon so far 59 23

24 % of adults Copyright 2017 PRRD AND PNOY: DIFFERING RACES, SIMILAR OUTCOMES 40% 30% 20% 10% Nov 4-8 Dec 5 Dec THE 2010 ELECTION RACE Jan Feb Mar Mar 28 Apr May 2-3 May 11 Aquino III (43%) Estrada (26%) Villar (15%) Teodoro (10%) Villanueva (3%) Gordon (1%) Sept 2-5 Nov Dec Jan 8 THE 2016 ELECTION RACE Feb 5-7 Mar 4-7 Mar 30- Apr 2 Apr May 1-3 May 18 40% 30% 20% 10% Invalid marks (6%) Duterte (40%) Poe (19%) Roxas (23%) Binay (14%) Und ++ (4%) Santiago (3%) 60 HOW MANY OF HIS PROMISES WILL THE PRESIDENT KEEP? PHILIPPINES, SEP 2010 AND JUN PRES. NOYNOY AQUINO PRES. RODY DUTERTE Sep 2010 Jun Almost none/none A few of them Most of them All/nearly all Q. Sa inyong palagay, ilan sa mga pangako ni [Pang. Noynoy Aquino/Pang. Rody Duterte] ang posibleng matutupad? (SHOWCARD) [LAHAT O HALOS LAHAT SA MGA PANGAKO, KARAMIHAN SA MGA PANGAKO, MGA ILAN SA MGA PANGAKO, HALOS WALA O WALA SA MGA PANGAKO] 61 24

25 SWS TERMS FOR SATISFACTION OR TRUST NET RATING EXCELLENT VERY GOOD GOOD MODERATE NEUTRAL POOR BAD VERY BAD 62 NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF PRESIDENTS, PHILIPPINES, MAY 1986 TO DEC 2016 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE *% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied correctly rounded. Ignores Dont Know and Refused to Answer responses. Question. Please tell me how satisfied or dissatisfied you are in the performance of [NAME] as President of the Philippines. Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, undecided if satisfied or dissatisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, very dissatisfied? 63 25

26 % of adults Copyright 2017 Pres. Rodrigo Duterte s habit of publicly cursing foreign or international officials whom he does not like is harmful to the relations of the Philippines with the countries or institutions of those officials, PH, DEC 2016 DISAGREE 33% Strongly disagree Somewhat disagree Strongly agree AGREE 51% UNDECIDED Somewhat agree *% Agree minus % Disagree correctly rounded. Ignores Dont Know and Refused to Answer responses. Q19. Gaano po kayo sumasang-ayon o hindi sumasang-ayon sa pangungusap na ito: Ang nakagawiang pagmumura sa publiko ni Pang. Rodrigo Duterte ng mga banyagang opisyal na hindi niya gusto ay nakakasama sa relasyon ng Pilipinas sa ibang bansa o institusyon ng mga opisyal na ito. 64 NET* TRUST RATINGS OF PRESIDENTS, PHILIPPINES, SEP 1989 TO DEC AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE B. Aquino Duterte +70C. Aquino Ramos Estrada Arroyo * NET trust = % Much trust minus Little trust correctly rounded. Don t Know and Refused responses are not shown. Q. MAAARI PO BANG SABIHIN NINYO KUNG ANG PAGTITIWALA NINYO KAY (PERSONALITY) AY NAPAKALAKI, MEDYO MALAKI, HINDI TIYAK KUNG MALAKI O MALIIT, MEDYO MALIIT, NAPAKALIIT, O WALA PA KAYONG NARINIG O NABASA KAHIT NA KAILAN TUNGKOL KAY (PERSONALITY)? 65 26

27 6 Satisfaction with other officials and institutions: VP, SP, Spkr, CJ fair; Senate, Hrep, SC, Cabinet more similar to Pnoy time 66 NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF VICE-PRESIDENTS, PHILIPPINES, OCT 1986 TO DEC C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +70 Robredo 10 Laurel Estrada Guingona De Castro Binay +37 Arroyo * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded

28 NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF SENATE PRESIDENTS, PHILIPPINES, APR 1990 TO DEC 2016 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +70 Salonga Gonzales Fernan Angara Maceda Drilon Gonzales Gonzales Ople N. Pimentel Drilon Villar Enrile Drilon Pimentel * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. 68 NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF SPEAKERS OF THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES, PHILIPPINES, FEB 1990 TO DEC 2016 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +70 Mitra De Venecia Villar De Venecia Belmonte Alvarez Fuentebella Nograles * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded

29 NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF CHIEF JUSTICES OF THE SUPREME COURT, PHILIPPINES, OCT 1986 TO DEC 2016 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +70 Teehankee Fernan Narvasa Davide Carpio** Panganiban Puno Sereno Corona * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. ** As Acting Chief Justice of the Supreme Court of the Philippines. 70 NET* SATISFACTION RATINGS OF THE SENATE AND HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES, PHILIPPINES, SEP 1988 TO DEC 2016 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +70 Senate House of Rep * Net ratings = % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied. (Survey Data: surveys)

30 NET* SATISFACTION RATINGS OF THE SUPREME COURT AND THE CABINET AS A WHOLE, NOV 1990 TO DEC 2016 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +70 Supreme Court Cabinet * Net ratings = % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied. Survey Data: surveys Report Cards of the national administration: PNoy time the best of the past 5 admins; PRRD time following suit 73 30

31 AVERAGE SATISFACTION WITH THE PERFORMANCE OF 5 NATIONAL ADMINISTRATIONS, Administration 1 Cory Aquino Overall Performance +5 (a) Neutral 2 Ramos +14 Moderate 3 Estrada +15 Moderate 4 Arroyo -2 Neutral 5 Noynoy Aquino +47 Good Fighting Inflation -23 (b) Poor -32 Bad -24 Poor -24 Poor +2 Neutral Performance issue Eradicating Graft & Corruption -8 (c) Neutral -19 Poor -7 Neutral -23 Poor +15 Moderate Helping The Poor Foreign Relations Fighting Crime (d) (d) -11 (e) Poor +13 Moderate +32 Good +9 Neutral +46 Good +23 Moderate +28 Moderate +21 Moderate +43 Good -7 Neutral +4 Neutral -3 Neutral +20 Moderate Notes: (a) started 1989; (b) started 1991; (c) started 1987; (d) no surveys; (e) started NET* SATISFACTION WITH GENERAL PERFORMANCE OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION, FEB 1989 DEC 2016 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +70 Net* Satisfaction * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded

32 ISSUES WITH EXCELLENT AND VERY GOOD GRADES IN REPORT CARDS OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION IN 2016 Apr16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Campaign against illegal drugs Helping the poor Promoting the welfare of OFWs +62 Promoting Human Rights +31 * Defending the country's territorial rights Developing Science and Technology +54 Distributing lands to deserving tillers under land reform +53 Providing jobs Fighting crimes Developing Science and Technology Excellent (1) Very Good (9) 76 ISSUES WITH GOOD GRADES IN REPORT CARDS OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION IN 2016 Apr16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Ensuring an efficient transportation system Foreign relations Eradicating graft and corruption Restoring peace to Mindanao Fighting terrorism Solving the problem of extra judicial killings +40 Ensuring that no family will ever be hungry Reconciliation with Muslim rebels Reconciliation with communist rebels Good (9) 77 32

33 ISSUES WITH MODERATE AND NEUTRAL GRADES IN REPORT CARDS OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION IN 2016 Apr16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Protecting consumer rights +29 Planning programs of government +27 Fighting inflation Recovering the hidden wealth stolen by Marcos and his cronies +24 Moderate (4) Rehabilitation of areas damaged by conflict with Muslim rebels in Mindanao +4 Neutral (1) 78 NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON HELPING THE POOR, DEC 1993 DEC 2016 RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +70 Net* Satisfaction +66 VG * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded

34 NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON PROMOTING HUMAN RIGHTS, MAR 1987 DEC 2016 C.AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Net* Satisfaction +56 VG * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. 81 NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON FIGHTING CRIMES, NOV 1990 DEC 2016 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Net* Satisfaction VG * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded

35 NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON FOREIGN RELATIONS, SEP 1992 DEC 2016 RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Net* Satisfaction +46 G * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. 88 NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON ERADICATING GRAFT AND CORRUPTION, MAR 1987 DEC 2016 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +70 Net* Satisfaction +45 G * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded

36 NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON FIGHTING TERRORISM, NOV 2002 DEC 2016 ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Net* Satisfaction +41 G * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. 90 NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON ENSURING THAT NO FAMILY WILL BE HUNGRY, DEC 2004 DEC 2016 ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +34 G * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded

37 NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON RECONCILIATION WITH MUSLIM REBELS, SEP 1998 DEC 2016 ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Net* Satisfaction +33 G * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. 92 NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON RECONCILIATION WITH COMMUNIST REBELS, SEP 1998 DEC 2016 ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Net* Satisfaction G * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded

38 NET* SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON FIGHTING INFLATION, NOV 1991 DEC 2016 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Net* Satisfaction +25 M * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. 94 NET* SATISFACTION WITH GENERAL PERFORMANCE OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION, by AREA, FEB 1989 DEC 2016 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +70 Net* Satisfaction MIN: +78 VIS: +58 BAL LUZ: +56 NCR: * Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded

39 8 Foreign affairs: Support for the WPS case against China; still much trust in the US, trust in China and Russia turn positive neutral 96 DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH OUR GOVERNMENT S FILING OF A CASE AGAINST CHINA IN AN INTERNATIONAL COURT IN ORDER TO RESOLVE THE DISPUTE ABOUT THE WEST PHILIPPINE SEA? MAR 2016 Somewhat Strongly Strongly agree Somewhat agree Neither disagree disagree INTRO STATEMENT: Ang Pilipinas ay nagpasyang dalhin ang isyu sa isang independiyente at internasyunal na hukuman, ang United Nations Permanent Court Of Arbitration (Arbitral Tribunal), para sa mapayapang resolusyon ng pagtatalo sa pagitan ng Pilipinas at Tsina ukol sa West Philippine Sea nang naaayon sa batas internasyunal. Tutol naman ang Tsina sa ginawa na ito ng Pilipinas. Q202. Kayo po ba ay sang-ayon o hindi sang-ayon sa pagsasampa ng ating pamahalaan ng kaso laban sa Tsina sa isang independiyente at internasyunal na hukuman upang maresolba ang pagtatalo tungkol sa West Philippine Sea? 97 39

40 HOW CONFIDENT ARE YOU THAT THE PHILIPPINES WILL WIN IN ITS CASE AGAINST IN THE INTERNATIONAL COURT AGAINST CHINA OVER THE DISPUTED ISLANDS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA? MAR 2016 Very confident Somewhat confident Not too Not confident confident at all INTRO STATEMENT: Ang Pilipinas ay nagpasyang dalhin ang isyu sa isang independiyente at internasyunal na hukuman, ang United Nations Permanent Court Of Arbitration (Arbitral Tribunal), para sa mapayapang resolusyon ng pagtatalo sa pagitan ng Pilipinas at Tsina ukol sa West Philippine Sea nang naaayon sa batas internasyunal. Tutol naman ang Tsina sa ginawa na ito ng Pilipinas Q Gaano po kayo nagtitiwala na ang Pilipinas ay mananalo sa kaso nito sa internasyunal na hukuman laban sa Tsina tungkol pagtatalo tungkol sa West Philippine Sea? 98 NET* TRUST IN THE UNITED STATES, AUSTRALIA, CHINA, RUSSIA, AND JAPAN: PHILIPPINES, DEC 1994 TO DEC 2016 RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Japan United States Australia USA, +59 AUS, +37 JPN, +37 RUS, +9 CHN, +9 Russia China * NET trust = % Much trust minus Little trust correctly rounded. Don t Know and Refused responses are not shown

41 % of families Copyright Public safety: Long-term decline in crime victimization; recent rise in fears for personal security 100 CRIME VICTIMIZATION OF ANY FAMILY MEMBER WITHIN THE PAST 6 MONTHS: PHILIPPINES, FEB 1989 TO DEC 2016 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Pickpocket/ Robbery, 3.4% Break-in, 1.8% Physical violence, 0.7% Carnap, 0.5% Question. Nais po naming malaman ang karanasan ninyo at ng iba pang miyembro ng inyong pamilyang nakatira dito, tungkol sa krimen. Kayo po ba o kahit na sinong miyembro ng inyong pamilya ay naging biktima ng (SHUFFLE CARDS)?

42 % FEARFUL Copyright 2017 NEIGHBORHOOD FEARS, JUN 1985 TO DEC 2016 MARCOS C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE Fear of burglary 63% 54% 52% Unsafe streets Many drug addicts Percentage of those who agree with the statement "In this neighborhood,... * people are usually afraid that robbers might break into their houses. ; ** people are usually afraid to walk in the streets at night because it is not safe. ; *** there are already very many people addicted to banned drugs Government campaign against illegal drugs: Great worries about EJKs; satisfaction with the admin so far

43 % of adults % of adults Copyright 2017 EXTENT OF WORRY THAT SOMEONE FROM ONE S FAMILY WILL BE A VICTIM OF EXTRA-JUDICIAL KILLING OR EJK, DEC 2016 Not worried at all Not too worried Very worried Somewhat worried Q145: Gaano po kayo nangangamba na kayo o sino mang kilala ninyo ay maging biktima ng Extra Judicial Killing o EJK? Kayo po ba ay.. (SHOWCARD)? TALAGANG NANGANGAMBA, MEDYO NANGANGAMBA, MEDYO HINDI NANGANGAMBA, O TALAGANG HINDI NANGANGAMBA 104 IMPORTANCE OF KEEPING ILLEGAL DRUG TRADE SUSPECTS ALIVE, SEP AND DEC 2016 Very important Somewhat important Somewhat not important Not at all important Note: % Refused is not shown. Q140: Sa pagtupad ng kapulisan ng kanilang tungkulin sa kampanya laban sa illegal na droga, gaano ka-importante na mahuli nila nang buhay ang mga taong pinaghihinalaang kasabwat sa illegal na droga? Ito po ba ay (SHOWCARD) TAGALANG IMPORTANTE, MEDYO IMPORTANTE, MEDYO HINDI IMPORTANTE, O TALAGANG HINDI IMPORTANTE?

44 % of adults % of adults Copyright 2017 SERIOUSNESS OF THE EXTRA-JUDICIAL KILLINGS OR EJK PROBLEM IN THE PRESENT ADMINISTRATION, DEC 2016 Somewhat not serious Not serious at all Undecided Very serious Somewhat serious Note: % No answer is not shown. Q143: `Extra-Judicial Killing o EJK' ang tawag sa pagpatay sa isang tao na walang pahintulot ng batas. Kadalasan itong ginagawa ng mga di-kilalang taong naka-motor; posible ding ginagawa ng mga pulis o militar para takpan ang kanilang pagkasangkot sa mga KRIMINAL na gawain. Gaano ka-seryoso, sa palagay ninyo, ang EJK sa kasalukuyang administrasyon? (SHOWCARD) TALAGANG SERYOSO, MEDYO SERYOSO, HINDI TIYAK KUNG SERYOSO O HINDI SERYOSO, MEDYO HINDI SERYOSO, O TALAGANG HINDI SERYOSO. 106 OPINION ON WHETHER THE POLICE ARE TELLING THE TRUTH THAT THE SUSPECTS THEY KILLED REALLY RESISTED ARREST, DEC 2016 Definitely not the truth Definitely the truth Probably not the truth Probably the truth Undecided Note: % No answer and Refused are not shown. Q141: Sa kampanya ng gobyerno laban sa illegal na droga, ang kapulisan po ba ay (SHOWCARD) nagsasabi ng totoo na ang napapatay nilang suspect ay talagang nanlaban sa kanila? TALAGANG NAGSASABI NG TOTOO, MALAMANG NAGSASABI NG TOTOO, HINDI TIYAK KUNG NAGSASABI NG TOTOO O HINDI, MALAMANG HINDI NAGSASABI NG TOTOO, O TALAGANG HINDI NAGSASABI NG TOTOO

45 % of adults % of adults Copyright 2017 SATISFACTION WITH THE PERFORMANCE OF THE ADMINISTRATION IN ITS CAMPAIGN AGAINST ILLEGAL DRUGS, SEP AND DEC 2016 Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Undecided Net* Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied *% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied correctly rounded. Note: % Refused is not shown. Q139: Maaari po bang pakisabi ninyo kung gaano kayo nasisiyahan o hindi nasisiyahan sa kasalukuyang kampanya ng ADMINISTRASYON laban sa illegal na droga. Kayo ba ay (SHOWCARD) LUBOS NA NASISIYAHAN, MEDYO NASISIYAHAN, HINDI TIYAK KUNG NASISIYAHAN O HINDI, MEDYO HINDI NASISIYAHAN, O LUBOS NA HINDI NASISIYAHAN? 108 AGREEMENT WITH THE TEST STATEMENT: FROM THE TIME WHEN RODY DUTERTE BECAME PRESIDENT, THERE HAS BEEN A DECREASE IN THE DRUG PROBLEM IN MY AREA, DEC 2016 Undecided Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Somewhat agree Strongly agree Note: % Don t know and Refused are not shown. Q142. Gaano po kayo sumasang-ayon o hindi sumasang-ayon sa pangungusap na ito: Mula noong naging Pangulo si Rody Duterte, nabawasan na ang problema ng illegal na droga sa aming lugar (SHOWCARD) LUBOS NA SANG-AYON, MEDYO SANG-AYON, HINDI TIYAK KUNG SANG-AYON O HINDI SANG-AYON, MEDYO HINDI SANG-AYON, O LUBOS NA HINDI SANG-AYON

46 % of adults Copyright 2017 SERIOUSNESS OF THE ADMINISTRATION ON SOLVING EXTRA- JUDICIAL KILLINGS OR EJK CASES IN THE COUNTRY, DEC 2016 Somewhat not serious Not serious at all Undecided Very serious Somewhat serious Q144: Sa inyong palagay, SERYOSO ba o HINDI SERYOSO ang pamahalaan na masolusyunan ang problema ng Extra-Judicial Killing o EJK sa bansa? (SHOWCARD) TALAGANG SERYOSO, MEDYO SERYOSO, HINDI TIYAK KUNG SERYOSO O HINDI SERYOSO, MEDYO HINDI SERYOSO, O TALAGANG HINDI SERYOSO The business climate, according to businessmen Since 2012, very good for business

47 BUSINESSMEN S SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL GOVERNMENT IN PROMOTING A GOOD BUSINESS CLIMATE, ARROYO B. AQUINO Dissatisfied Undecided Satisfied Q136. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the National Government s performance in promoting a good climate for business in the Philippines? 112 BUSINESSMEN S EXPECTATIONS IN THE NEXT 2 YEARS, ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO Very Poor Poor Fair Good Excellent Q138. In the next 2 years, do you expect that business conditions will be?

48 SUMMARY-1 1 Public morale: very high, since Poverty and Hunger: declining since Surveys of businessmen about corruption: less under Pnoy than under PGMA (latest, Feb-May 2016) 4 The 2016 election: clear win for Duterte; VP race uncallable; the debates mattered 5 The President: a normal honeymoon so far 115 SUMMARY-2 6 Satisfaction with other officials and institutions: VP, SP, Spkr, CJ fair; Senate, Hrep, SC, Cabinet more similar to Pnoy time 7 Report Cards of the national administration: PNoy time the best of the past 5 admins; PRRD time following suit 8 Foreign affairs: Support for the WPS case against China; still much trust in the US, trust in China and Russia turn positive neutral

49 SUMMARY-3 9 Public safety: Long-term decline in crime victimization; recent rise in fears for personal security 10 Government campaign against illegal drugs: Great worries about EJKs; satisfaction with the admin so far 11 The business climate, according to businessmen: Since 2012, very good for business 117 The SWS Annual Survey Reviews 2017 Edition containing the full presentations of the SWS Survey Reviews from 2001 to 2017 is available in CD- ROM at the SWS Survey Data Archives and Library. Inquire with Leo Laroza <leo.laroza@sws.org.ph> at or #52 Malingap Street, Sikatuna Village, Quezon City Tels: , , , sws_info@sws.org.ph 49