2008 Adult Returns and 2009 Expectations Columbia River
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1 2008 Adult Returns and 2009 Expectations Columbia River Preliminary Draft December 16, 2008 (updated 2/03/09) Adult Returns Willamette Spring Upriver Spring Upriver Summer Sockeye Upriver Summer Steelhead Bright Fall Tule Fall Coho 34,050 predicted return to CR (15% wild) 27,016 actual return to CR (~27% wild) -2 nd lowest return since jack return (710) 3 rd lowest since ,712 actual return to Willamette R -14,672 count at falls -7,216 actual return to Clackamas -North Fork Dam count 1,820 -Clackamas Hatchery return 5, ,300 predicted adult return 178,800 actual return 22,352 jacks highest since 2000 (24,400) 52,000 predicted adult return 55,400 actual return 6,800 jacks similar to10-year average (7,000) 75,600 predicted return 214,500 actual return 13,800 jacks (largest return in 24 year data set) 322,000 predicted return at Bonneville 355,100 preliminary return 234,700 predicted adult return Actual returns better than predicted 142,100 predicted adult return ~Actual returns slightly better than predicted LRH jacks similar to 2007; BPH jacks poor 164,800 predicted adult return ~415,000 preliminary actual return Jack return strong 37,600 predicted (1,400 jacks) -16,200 Age-4; 19,900 Age-5-27% wild -26,400 adult hatchery run 298,900 predicted (2.2% impact) Mostly 4-yr-olds (88%) Mark rate similar to recent years 70,700 predicted 183,200 predicted TBD; Similar to recent years Improved from some may be significant LRH improved; BPH down from 2008 Improved from 2008 Shad ~2.3 million run (relatively weak return) Likely strong return Smelt Poor return Poor return, petitioned for ESA listing Sturgeon 2007 legal pop. estimate (131,700); stable 2008 estimate will indicate trend
2 Recreational Fisheries Willamette River Spring - Recreational Lower Willamette Clackamas River Open 1/1-5/11 < WFalls; 1/1-6/1 > WFalls 47,318 angler trips 4,369 kept catch (68 jacks) 1,901 released 70% mark rate (vs ~85% expected) 1 bag No sampling in 2008 Washington Tributary Spring - Recreational Cowlitz River 2,700 actual adult return vs 5,200 predicted Closed 5/17-6/24; 300 kept TBD Open 7 days/week eff. Jan 1. Open 7 days/week under permanent regulations 4,100 predicted Kalama River 1,600 actual return vs 3,700 predicted 900 predicted Closed 5/17-6/24; 250 kept Fishery restrictions likely Lewis River 2,400 actual return vs 3,500 predicted Closed 6/6-6/24; 1,050 kept 2,200 predicted Fishery restrictions likely Columbia River Fisheries - Recreational Lower Columbia Bonn-McNary Spring open: 1 daily bag 1) Tongue Pt.-Hayden Isl. (1/1-2/24 and 3/24-4/4) 34,006 angler trips 2,760 adults kept (469 rel.) 400 hatchery steelhead kept (100 released) 2) Hayden Isl. to BO Dam (1/1-2/24 & 3/16-4/20) Closed Tuesdays (3/25-4/15) 68,966 angler trips 17,280 adult kept (+165 jacks) 2,663 released 86% mark rate Spring open: 3/16-5/10 2 bag limit 1,763 kept 673 released Mainstem fishery structure likely similar to 2008 Snake River Spring open: Mouth to Ice Harbor and L. Goose Dam 4/22-5/ kept
3 Columbia River Fisheries - Recreational (continued) Columbia Summer Season Buoy 10 Lower Columbia Fall Season Mid Columbia Fall Season Sturgeon Shad Summer open: 6/21-6/28 Tongue Pt. to Bonneville Dam 2 bag limit and non-selective regs. 30,500 angler trips < Bonneville ~2,051 adult kept (+250 jacks) 890 released 6,500 hatchery steelhead kept (6/16-7/31) 4,400 released 6/16-7/1 Bonneville Dam to Priest Rapids Dam <800 kept Opened 8/1; 2 fish limit (1 ); Constrained by natural tules and Lewis R. brights 6,500 guideline retention open 8/1-24; Coho 8/1-8/30 Good catch rates; early closure for both 34,000 angler trips 8,300 and 8,600 fin-clipped coho Season limited by natural tules and Lewis brights Large Lewis R. Sanctuary throughout season retention allowed: 9/1-16 from Tongue/Rocky Pnt. to Deer Isl. 9/1-16 & 9/20-12/31 from Lewis R to BO Dam 2 fish limit (1 ) 80,800 angler trips 10,700 adult fall (+963 jacks) 2,200 fin-clipped coho 2,600 fin-clipped steelhead Open 8/1-12/31; 2 limit 1,000 kept Managed for 25,530 annual catch guideline split 13,143 estuary and 13,851 non-estuary >Wauna guideline adjusted to 12,387 late in 08 Trips Catch Estuary 48,570 13,614 Non-Estuary 82,000 8,121 (projected) Willamette na 5,798 (estimated) 130,570 27,533 Below average effort/catch 20,400 trips & 104,400 catch in Columbia 2,600 trips & 7200 catch in Willamette (thru 6/15) Improved forecast Likely similar to 2008 season MA extended for 2009 Estuary Manage for <15,529 harvest Above Wauna Manage for <11,268 harvest Huge population-no limits
4 Columbia River Commercial Fisheries Columbia River Fisheries - Commercial Winter Sturgeon 6, 24-h and 5, 18-h periods (Jan 8-Feb 29; Z 1-5) 869 white sturgeon ($2.64/lb) 14 ($8.71/lb) Winter Salmon Summer Salmon Season restricted to above Hayden Isl. 3 periods Apr (10-16 h; Z 4-5) All tangle net 5,658 spring ($7.57/lb) 17 white sturgeon ($2.58/lb) 3 periods (10-h each; ; Z 1-5) 1,368 ($3.00/lb), 296 sockeye 523 white sturgeon ($2.72/lb) Ave of 71 deliveries/period Similar to ,700 white sturgeon guideline Low Willamette run is a constraint WFMEP only allows <300 Fishing restricted to >Hayden Isl. No white sturgeon allocated Improved forecasts 600 white sturgeon guideline August Constrained by natural tules and Lewis R. brights Likely similar to periods Aug 4-11 (12-h each; ; Z 1-5) 1 period Aug (12-h each; Z 2-5) 2 periods Aug (6-10 h; ; Z 4-5) 14,400 ; 78 coho; 2,809 white sturgeon Natural tules may still be an issue 2,000+ white sturgeon guideline Late Fall Fishery constrained due to tule and coho listings TBD 23 fishing periods (Sep. 18-Oct. 31) Various mesh/zone restrictions 13,652 ($1.91/lb); 13,107 coho ($1.30) 3,170 white sturgeon ($1.88/lb); 22 chum 3,300+ white sturgeon guideline Shad Area 2S (29 days; May 12-June 20) 12,544 shad landed ($0.20/lb) No Washougal Reef fishery Similar to 2008 Smelt Poor (CR 11,381 # $3.73; Cowlitz 5,900 # s) Poor; Level 1 Select Area Fisheries - Commercial Winter (YB/BS/DR) Spring (YB/BS/TP/DR) Below average YB/BS 3 rd exp. season; DR limited effort 292 ; 39 sturgeon Below average (46% of ave.) New TP full-fleet test fishery; 259 Very high ex-vessel price ($6.73/lb) 3,177 ; 308 white sturgeon Improved over 2008 SAFE CHS catch prediction 4,800 (93% local) Season structure similar to 2008 Limited TP spring fishery likely Manage for stability Summer (YB) Record harvest (283% of ave.) Similar approach to ,017 ($3.59) Fall (YB/BS/TP/DR) : 13,997 (YB exc.;tp/bs/dr ave;$2.38) Coho: 55,151 (DR exc.; YB/BS/TP ave; $1.31) 37,653 coho; 4,557 ; 0 chum Same season approach Coho releases up (esp. TP) 2008 releases = 2.6 Million
5 Columbia River Fishery Process Schedule (Preliminary Draft) Dec 2, 2008 CR Commercial and Recreational Advisory Groups Rainier, OR / Vancouver, WA Sturgeon fishing plan/spring discussion Dec 11, 2008 Joint OFWC/WFWC Meeting Portland, OR Spring/Summer /White sturgeon allocation Embassy Suites Dec. 12, 2008 OFWC Portland, OR 8-6 Spring/Summer /White sturgeon allocation Embassy Suites Dec , 2008 WFWC Olympia, WA Spring/Summer /White sturgeon allocation Dec. 18, 2008 CR Compact/Joint State Hearing Phone 10-3 Commercial winter sturgeon and smelt Recreational sturgeon Jan. 9, 2009 Oregon Fish and Wildlife Commission Salem location Jan. 9-10, 2009 WA Fish and Wildlife Commission Olympia, WA CR spring/summer allocation Jan. 13, 2009 CR Commercial and Recreational Advisory Groups Rainier, OR / Vancouver, WA Spring planning Jan. 29, 2009 CR Compact Museum of Oregon Territory 10-3 Commercial winter sturgeon 211 Tumwater Dr. Recreational spring (decision postponed) Oregon City Feb. 20, 2009 Oregon Fish and Wildlife Commission Astoria, OR Feb. 24, 2009 CR Commercial and Recreational Advisory Groups Rainier, OR / Vancouver, WA Fall season planning Mar. 20, 2009 Oregon Fish and Wildlife Commission Salem, OR Ocean and state waters salmon fishery options Mar. 24, 2009 CR Commercial and Recreational Advisory Groups Rainier, OR / Vancouver, WA Fall season planning Apr. 17, 2009 Oregon Fish and Wildlife Commission Corvallis, OR Ocean/state waters salmon regulations, CR fall regs OR Hatch. Research Center See Ocean Process for North of Falcon schedule
2007 Adult Returns and 2008 Expectations Columbia River
2007 Adult Returns and 2008 Expectations Columbia River Preliminary Draft December 11, 2007 (updated ) Adult Returns Willamette Spring Upriver Spring Upriver Summer Sockeye Upriver Summer Steelhead Bright
2017 Adult Returns and 2018 Expectations Columbia River Updated Draft January 11, 2018
Willamette Spring 2017 Adult Returns and 2018 Expectations Columbia River Updated Draft January 11, 2018 2017 Results 2018 Expectations 38,100 predicted adult return to CR (19% wild) 50,774 actual adult
2015 Adult Returns and 2016 Expectations Columbia River Preliminary Draft December 14, 2015
2015 Adult Returns and 2016 Expectations Columbia River Preliminary Draft December 14, 2015 Adult Returns 2015 Results 2016 Expectations Willamette Spring (includes jacks) 55,400 predicted return to CR
2018 Adult Returns and 2019 Expectations Columbia River Revised Draft December 12, 2018
Willamette Spring 2018 Adult Returns and 2019 Expectations Columbia River Revised Draft December 12, 2018 2018 Results 2019 Expectations 53,820 predicted adult return to CR (20% wild) 37,441 actual adult
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