U.S. Product Exports by Type to NAFTA Partners (Billion $USD)

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1 Veronica Nigh, American Farm Bureau Federation August 24, 2017

2

3 45.0 U.S. Product Exports by Type to NAFTA Partners (Billion $USD) Bulk Consumer Oriented Intermediate Source: USDA-FAS Global Agriculture Trade System (GATS)

4 U.S. Product Imports by Type from NAFTA Partners (Billion $USD) Bulk Consumer Oriented Intermediate Source: USDA-FAS Global Agriculture Trade System (GATS)

5 4.0 U.S. Net Trade Balance with NAFTA Partners (Billion $USD) Source: USDA-FAS Global Agriculture Trade System (GATS)

6 6.0 U.S. Net Ag Trade Balance with Mexico (Billion $USD) Source: USDA-FAS Global Agriculture Trade System (GATS)

7 1.5 U.S. Net Ag Trade Balance with Canada (Billion $USD) Source: USDA-FAS Global Agriculture Trade System (GATS)

8 6,000 U.S. Apple Production and Trade US Production Domestic Consumption from Domestic Production Share of Production Exported Share of Domestic Use Imported 25% 5,000 20% Metric Tons (1,000) 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 15% 10% 5% 0 0% Source: USDA PS&D

9 U.S. Fresh Apple Imports (HS ) 1,200,000 NAFTA ROW Share NAFTA 60% 1,000,000 50% Metric Tons 800, , ,000 40% 30% 20% 200,000 10% % Source: USDA FAS GATS

10 U.S. Fresh Apple Exports (HS ) NAFTA ROW Share NAFTA 1,200,000 60% 1,000,000 50% Metric Tons 800, , ,000 40% 30% 20% 200,000 10% 0 0% Source: USDA FAS GATS

11 TOP 10 VARIETIES PRODUCED IN U.S. Red Delicious Gala Granny Smith Fuji Golden Delicious Honeycrisp McIntosh Rome Cripps Pink/Pink Lady Empire TOP 10 VARIETIES SOLD IN U.S. Gala Red Delicious Fuji Granny Smith Honeycrisp Golden Delicious McIntosh Cripp s Pink/Pink Lady Braeburn Jazz

12 2015 Overall Rank Country (2014 Overall Rank) Production Efficiency Infrastructure & Inputs Financial & Markets 1 New Zealand (3) Austria United States Belgium 2 United States (2) Italy Chile Netherlands 3 Chile (1) Chile New Zealand France 4 It aly (4) South Korea Canada Japan 5 Austria (8) New Zealand South Africa Italy 6 Belgium (9) China Brazil Austria 7 France (5) South Africa Austria New Zealand 8 Netherlands (10) Belgium France Germany 9 Japan (6) Netherlands Italy United Kingdom 10 South Korea (7) Germany Turkey South Korea 11 Germany (12) United States Argentina Spain 12 Canada (11) France Japan United States 13 South Africa (14) Brazil South Korea Canada 14 United Kingdom (13) Japan Belgium Portugal 15 Australia (16) United KingdomNetherlands Poland 16 Brazil (15) Argentina Germany Australia 17 Spain (18) Portugal Australia Chile 18 Portugal (21) Australia Spain Slovakia 19 China (17) Poland United KingdomMexico 20 Poland (20) Canada China Slovenia

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14 2015 Overall Rank Country (2014 Overall Rank) Production Efficiency Infrastructure & Inputs 1 New Zealand (3) Austria United States Belgium Financial & Markets 2 United States (2) I taly Chile Netherlands 3 Chile (1) Chile New Zealand France 4 I taly (4) South Korea Canada Japan 5 Austria (8) New Zealand South Africa Italy 6 Belgium (9) China Brazil Austria 7 France (5) South Africa Austria New Zealand 8 Netherlands (10) Belgium France Germany 9 Japan (6) Netherlands Italy United Kingdom 10 South Korea (7) Germany Turkey South Korea 11 Germany (12) United States Argentina Spain 12 Canada (11) France Japan United States 13 South Africa (14) Brazil South Korea Canada 14 United Kingdom (13) Japan Belgium Portugal 15 Australia (16) United Kingdom Netherlands Poland 16 Brazil (15) Argentina Germany Australia 17 Spain (18) Portugal Australia Chile 18 Portugal (21) Australia Spain Slov akia 19 China (17) Poland United Kingdom Mexico 20 Poland (20) Canada China Slovenia

15 Mexico: Applied Tariff Rates of Dutiable Sub-Headings by Agricultural Chapter Simple Average Minimum Duty Maximum Duty Tariff Rate (%) Bound: 45% Applied: 20% Bound: 37% Applied: 20% Chapter Source: World Trade Orgnization

16 Canada: Applied Tariff Rates of Dutiable Sub-Headings by Agricultural Chapter 80.0 Simple Average Minimum Duty Maximum Duty Tariff Rate (%) In Natural State: Bound: 0% Applied: 0% Bound: % Applied: 0 8.5% Other: Bound: 8.5% Applied: 8.5% Chapter Source: World Trade Orgnization

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18 Negotiating objectives Mostly, not much new for Ag Appropriate mechanism for currency manipulation Trade deficit reduction Strengthen trade remedies Seek a separate domestic industry provision for perishable and seasonal products in AD/CVD proceedings. Rules of Origin Labor First Round: August Second Round: September 1-5, Mexico City Third Round: September 23-26, Ottawa

19 Opportunity to look fresh fruits and vegetables issues with Mexico Dairy and Poultry Trade Issues with Canada Resolve Lumber Issues New Biotech Rules Geographic Indicators Improved SPS Rules

20 "We believe that NAFTA has fundamentally failed many Americans and needs major improvements. We need to assure that the huge trade deficits do not continue. - U.S. trade representative Robert Lighthizer I think we ll end up probably terminating NAFTA at some point, OK, probably. - President Trump, August 22, 2017

21 NAFTA: Apples: Revisiting NAFTA: The Way it Could Be: Revisiting NAFTA: Implications for U.S. Agricultural Markets: Other Trade Issues: The EU-Japan EPA, What Does it Mean for U.S. Agriculture? MAP and FMD:

22 Contact Info: Veronica Nigh

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