Geneva-Harney Bus Rapid Transit Feasibility Study
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1 Geneva-Harney Bus Rapid Transit Feasibility Study Community Advisory Committee 24 Baseline Trends & Conditions SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY January 8, 215
2 Overview Expected 24 land use/network changes Land-use forecasts Transportation system changes Expected 24 travel behavior changes Amount of travel Travel modes Transit ridership Geneva BRT Ridership Ridership numbers Crowding 2
3 Land Use New Jobs and Housing Concentration Area of Analysis: +34% housing +68% jobs Geneva Corridor: +19% housing +127% jobs Concentrated development along BRT route 3
4 Land Use Jobs and Housing Growth Geneva Analysis Area: Will host 13% of new growth in San Francisco + San Mateo 61% growth in the study area is concentrated in Geneva Corridor Creates a new job/population center outside of San Francisco downtown core New Jobs and Housing (in thousands) Geneva Corridor Households +7 41% % Jobs +7 47% % Area of Analysis Households +9 13% % Jobs % % Bi-County Area Households +55 9% % Jobs % % Bay Area Households % % *Southeast San Francisco, east Daly City, and Brisbane Jobs % +1,13 33% 4
5 Land Use Jobs and Housing Growth Geneva Analysis Area: Will host 13% of new growth in San Francisco + San Mateo 61% growth along county line is concentrated in Geneva Corridor Creates a new job/population center outside of San Francisco downtown core 9,, Households Jobs 9,, 8,, 8,, 7,, 7,, 6,, 6,, 5,, 5,, 4,, 4,, 3,, 3,, 2,, 2,, 1,, 1,, Today Today Today Today Geneva Corridor Area of Analysis Bi-County Area Bay Area 5
6 Land Use Jobs and Housing Growth Geneva Analysis Area: Will host 13% of new growth in San Francisco + San Mateo 61% growth along county line is concentrated in Geneva Corridor Creates a new job/population center outside of San Francisco downtown core 2, 18, Households Jobs 9,, 8,, 16, 14, 12, 1, 8, 6, 4, 7,, 6,, 5,, 4,, 3,, 2,, 2, 1,, Today Today Today Today Geneva Corridor Area of Analysis Bi-County Area Bay Area 6
7 Transportation System Transit Service Today 7
8 Transportation System Baseline Transit Service in 24 8
9 Transportation System Baseline Transit Service in 24 T-Third 9
10 Transportation System Baseline Transit Service in 24 CP / HPS Express 1
11 Transportation System Baseline Transit Service in 24 BART / Caltrain 11
12 Transportation System Baseline Transit Service in 24 Geneva BRT 12
13 Transportation System Frequency of Transit Service in 24 13
14 Transportation System Major Projects Local and Regional Muni Forward Creating a rapid bus network, improving reliability, safety, and access T-Third extension to Bayshore Caltrain Station Caltrain Downtown Extension Transit Center District Plan Muni M-Line split service on 19 th Avenue Bart Extension to San Jose SMART Extensions to Larkspur and Windsor 14
15 Transportation System Major Projects Corridor Service New transit routes HPX, CPX, 29-Short (peak hours) Transit routes with increased service 23, 24, 28L, 29, 43, 44, 54, 56, T-Third Caltrain (Bayshore Station) Transit routes with similar levels of service 8X, 8AX, 8BX, 9, 9L, 19 BART (Balboa Park Station) 15
16 Travel Trends in 24 Total Peak-period Person Trips to/from/within 122 K 164 K 2 K 34 K 363 K 41 K 2,799 K 3,7 K 3,32 K 11,219 K 12,198 K 13,176 K 15,, 13,5, 12,, 1,5, 9,, Today % 15,, 13,5, 12,, 1,5, 9,, Substantial increase in regional trip-making Geneva Corridor is home to 15% of bi-county trip growth 7,5, 7,5, 6,, 6,, 4,5, 3,, 64% 35% 18% 4,5, 3,, 1,5, 1,5, Geneva Corridor Area of Analysis *to/from/within. Does not include through trips Bi-County Area Bay Area 16
17 Travel Trends in 24 Total Peak-period Person Trips to/from/within 122 K 164 K 2 K 34 K 363 K 41 K 2,799 K 3,69 K 3,32 K 11,219 K 12,199 K 13,176 K 45, 4, 35, 3, 25, Today % 17% 15,, 13,5, 12,, 1,5, 9,, Substantial increase in regional trip-making Geneva Corridor is home to 15% of bi-county trip growth 2, 64% 7,5, 6,, 15, 1, 18% 4,5, 3,, 5, 1,5, Geneva Corridor Area of Analysis *to/from/within. Does not include through trips Bi-County Area Bay Area 17
18 Travel Trends in 24 Total Peak-period Person Trips to/from/within 12, Trips 165, Trips 1.2 M Trips 5.6 M Trips Mode Share of NEW Trips by 24 Bike Walk Transit Vehicle 58% 55% 67% 84% 21% 24% 16% 16% 16% 14% 6% 9% 5% 5% 3% 2% Geneva Corridor Area of Analysis Bi-County Area Bay Area 18
19 Travel Trends in 24 Total Peak-period Person Trips to/from/within 245, Trips 465, Trips 3.6 M Trips 15.5 M Trips Mode Share of ALL Trips by 24 Bike Walk Transit Vehicle 64% 64% 6% 78% 17% 18% 17% 15% 15% 2% 6% 13% 4% 4% 3% 2% Geneva Corridor Area of Analysis Bi-County Area Bay Area 19
20 Travel Trends in 24 Transit Ridership Trends 4, 3, Express/Limited Route Ridership Today , 1, 3, AM PM Daily Local Service Route Ridership 25, 2, 15, 1, 5, AM PM Daily * Local Muni Routes 9, 9L, 19, 23, 24, 29, 43, 44, 48, 54, 56, T-Third ** Express/Limited Muni Routes 8X, 8AX, 8BX, CPX, HPX 2
21 Travel Trends in 24 Transit Ridership Trends 2, 15, Balboa Park BART Today , 5, AM PM Daily 3, Bayshore Caltrain Station 2,5 2, 1,5 1, 5 AM PM Daily 21
22 Geneva BRT Performance 24 Baseline Transit Service Frequency of Service 22
23 Geneva BRT Performance Ridership Profile Daily Boards/Exits 5, 4, Daily Westbound Boards/Exits Boards Exits 3, 2, 1, 5, Hunters Point Candlestick Executive Park Visitacion/Bayshore Geneva Balboa Daily Eastbound Boards/Exits 4, 3, 2, 1, Hunters Point Candlestick Executive Park Visitacion/Bayshore Geneva Balboa 23
24 Geneva BRT Performance Ridership Profile AM Boards/Exits 1,4 1,2 1, AM Westbound Boards/Exits Boards Exits 1,4 Hunters Point Candlestick Executive Park Visitacion/Bayshore Geneva Balboa AM Eastbound Boards/Exits 1,2 1, Hunters Point Candlestick Executive Park Visitacion/Bayshore Geneva Balboa 24
25 Geneva BRT Performance Ridership Profile PM Boards/Exits 1,4 1,2 1, PM Westbound Boards/Exits Boards Exits 1,4 Hunters Point Candlestick Executive Park Visitacion/Bayshore Geneva Balboa PM Eastbound Boards/Exits 1,2 1, Hunters Point Candlestick Executive Park Visitacion/Bayshore Geneva Balboa 25
26 Takeaway Along the county line Improved transit encourages fewer new auto trips Still more auto-reliant than SF/SM bi-county area Demand for east-west connections Demand for connection to regional transit New developments Mixed-use encourages bi-directional (more balanced) travel 26
27 Thank you! For more information, please or visit genevabrt.org SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY
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