POWER PLAYS NORTHCOAST SPORTS. PP COLLEGE 4.5! s SWEEP LW! 4.5! s MOVE TO L/2Y!!

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1 NORTHCOAST SPORTS POWER PLAYS $ Northcoast Sports Service VOLUME 28 ISSUE 7 October 14-18, 2010 PP COLLEGE 4.5! s SWEEP LW! 4.5! s MOVE TO L/2Y!! NEWS AND NOTES - WEEK SEVEN, NEWS AND NOTES: Troy took command of the SBC with their dominating win on the road at Middle Tennessee. Much was expected from MTSt this year after LY s 10-3 record incl a bowl win over SM but QB Dasher missed the fi rst 4 (susp). While he returned to the lineup, he injured his fi nger on the 2nd series of the game and looked tentative running the football with just 27 yards rushing on 14 carries. MTSt had just 207 yards while Troy s offense dominated with 238 yards rushing and 281 passing...husker QB Taylor Martinez sparkled in front of a national audience on the Thursday Night game. While Nebraska only had a FD edge, they had a yd edge as big plays were the key. Martinez set an NU record for rushing yards by a QB with 242 and he accounted for 4 TD s. A couple of key plays helped the rout. Leading 7-3 NU was sk d on 3&6 for a 7 yd loss. Offsides gave them a 3&1 and 4pl later Martinez got a 35 yd TD run. NU took over with 2:07 left in the half and were pinned at their own 17. Martinez raced 54 yds which set up a 39 yd FG with just :14 left 1H. Martinez got a 41 yd TD run for the 45-6 lead and that would be his last play of the game...oregon St QB Ryan Katz has taken on a hellacious slate of D s. Heading into last weekend, the top 3 D s statistically in the NCAA were TCU, Boise St and Arizona and Katz will have taken on all 3 in his fi rst 5 games...rutgers had FD and yd edges vs Connecticut...Oklahoma St trailed Louisiana at the half and had a couple of big plays at the end of the game to cover. They did score TD s on their fi rst 3 drives of the 3Q but only led when UL was SOD at the OSU40 with 12:33 left. OSU got 52 and 47 yd FG s. They recovered a fumble at the UL15 and got a TD 3pl later to get ahead of the spread, Northern Illinois had 209 yds rushing and 211 yds passing vs 272 total yards for Temple. Temple missed a 42 yd FG in the 3Q and NI went 75/10pl for a TD and the lead, Mid-4Q NI went 90/11pl for a TD, TU was SOD at the NI7 (1:38) and SOD at the NI16 with 1:00 left...the surprising number for the Minnesota/Wisconsin game was the halftime stats as UM had a yd edge and trailed only UW scored TD s on their fi rst four 2H poss, the last put them ahead ATS They surprisingly went for 2 after their last TD and it failed. UM got a 33 yd screen pass to the 29 and then on 4&11 a 29 yd TD pass with 5:01 left gave them the backdoor cover...georgia was probably the best 1-4 team in the country as they were without AJ Green for 3 losses and had some tough close defeats. UGA took it out on Tennessee. The Bulldogs led 27-7 at the half. UGA scored on their fi rst 2 poss of the 3Q to lead with 3:12 left and UT had 1 more drive with backup QB Bray guiding them 77/12pl but they were SOD on 4&gl at the 3...USF had won 5 straight vs Syracuse winning by a combined USF got a 94 yd KR TD to lead 9-6 but missed the xp. USF s last gasp ended on a 4&5 at their own 40 with 1:30 left...indiana came in avg 455 ypg on offense but was held to just 210 with most of it late. Pryor had a career best 334 yds passing and 3 TD s but after the week prior s quad injury, never left the pocket being sk d 3x for -19 rush yds. OSU led 31-0 at the half with a yd edge and Pryor left for good with 11:05 left 3Q...Western Michigan jumped out to a quick 14-0 lead as Ball St fumbled the opening KO at their 23, then gave up a 24 yd IR TD in the fi rst 1:00. Both offenses did move the ball with WM fi nishing with a yd edge in their win...illinois played one of their best games yet under Ron Zook. They went into Penn St and while they trailed 3-0 early, they pretty much dominated the game with 23-7 FD and yd edges. UI even fumbled 2 punts deep in its own territory but PSU had to settle for FG s on each...tyrod Taylor broke Bryan Randall s VT record with his 27th win as a starting QB. Central Michigan actually opened the game with an 80/13pl drive for a TD but Virg Tech stormed back to 38-7 and leads. The stats show CM having FD and yd edges...tom O Brien got his fi rst win vs his former team, Boston College, and did so in convincing fashion with a win. NCSt had FD and yd edges...charlie Strong was an SEC DC and brought some defense to Louisville as they pulled the shutout, the Cardinals fi rst in 4 years. Memphis closest scoring opp came in the 2Q when they went 55/7pl but missed a 42 yd FG on 4&8. UL led 35-0 at half and scored on their opening 2 drives of the 3Q for a 49-0 lead en route to their 56-0 win. UL had a yd edge...texas Tech has now beaten Baylor 15 consecutive years and had FD and yd edges...tcu got their 2nd straight shutout for the fi rst time since Wyoming was playing without QB Austyn Carta-Samuels and Dax Crum hit just TCU led 31-0 at the half with a yd edge and scored TD s on their fi rst two 3Q poss to lead 45-0 and punted for the fi rst time with 10:25 left in the game...west Virginia had their most points since scoring 66 vs Connecticut in It was a rare trip east for UNLV, who was off rival Nevada, but WV didn t commit a TO for the fi rst time in 8 games. Despite the fact WV only had a FD edge, they scored TD s on their fi rst 2 poss and another on their 3rd on a 30 yd drive after a fumble to lead 21-0 and it was 35-0 at the half with a yd edge...cal dominated UCLA, in fact in the 1H they led 28-0 and had a yd edge. Cal had a FD edge for the game...georgia Tech had 477 yards rushing, the 5th best total in school history. GT trailed 7-6 late 2Q when they got a TD to take a 13-7 lead but GT did have a yd edge. GT fumbled to open the 3Q and the next 3 poss were TD s and GT led UVA was SOD at the GT3 and GT went 97/11pl for a TD with 4:49 left. UVA trailing started at their 2 with 2:23 left and went 98/9pl for a TD...Louisiana Tech has been playing musical QB s but may have fi nally found one and amazingly it was the same QB who had been their starter last year in Ross Jenkins. Once Jenkins took over last week vs Hawaii, the offense responded with nothing but long drives. Against Utah St, LT had yd edge at the half and led 17-3 and ended the game with FD and yd edges...arkansas did have a yd edge and never trailed vs A&M...Still playing without a host of susp d players, NC s converted on 4&2 for a FD to the CU21 on their 1st drive and went 48/12pl for a TD and had a 7-0 lead with 6:45 left 1Q and never trailed...miami, Fl took its opening drive 11pl but missed a 32 yd FG. FSU led 24-7 at half but UM had a yd edge. UM in fact fi nished with a FD edge in the game. FSU fi nished with the yardage edge when they got an int with 5:59 left and Thompson got a 90 yd TD run with 4:24 left, a big part of their 298 yards rushing...tulsa had a 45 yd FG blk d in the 1Q and in the 2Q, on 4&1 from the SMU22 were SOD. TU settled for a 30 yd FG in the 3Q and then had a 48 yd FG blk d again, this time with 12:19 left. TU got a TD with 6:45 left to make it and SMU took over at their own 9 and went on a 12pl drive incl 4 FD s to the TU40 and ran out the clock...missouri s 26-0 win over Colorado was not as impressive as the score with CU being stopped 3x inside the MU22 and missing 2 FG s. MU had just a yd edge and each team had 18 FD s...there was nothing fl uky about SC s upset of #1 Alabama as SC scored TD s on their fi rst 3 poss to lead 21-3 and Bama got a TD with :38 left in the half to pull within The momentum appeared to shift a couple of times as Bama pulled within but SC converted on 3&10 and went 82/15pl for a TD to lead Four plays later Bama got a 51 yd TD then 3pl later they int d a pass which bounced out of the rec s hands. They appeared poised to tie the game but they settled for a FG and faked it and it fell incomplete. SC then went 74/10pl, with the key a gutsy 4&1 conversion at their own 34 yd line. The TD made it and Bama didn t threaten after that. Stephen Garcia played the game of his career hitting yds with the only int coming on a bobbled pass...three years ago Mike Hart made his infamous Little Brother comment about Michigan St and Michigan is 0-3 vs the Spartans since. MSU got their most lopsided win in the series since beating the Wolves 34-0 in 1967 and Denard Robinson who was the current fl avor-of-themonth for the Heisman Trophy, had an off game with 3 crucial int include 2 inside the 5 (1 in EZ) which changed the momentum of the game...it had to be a frustrating loss for Southern Miss HC Fedora. SM led 20-0 and were in complete control. EC did not get a FD until the fi rst play of the 2Q and after converting on 3&7, got a 46 yd TD on the next play. SM punted for the fi rst time with 11:33 left in the 2Q. EC went 32 yds for a TD with 4:36 left to give them the lead, SM got to midfi eld but on 4&10 Davis was sk d for a 13 yd loss...at one point Dayne Crist had 12 straight completions for Notre Dame. Pitt did miss a 27 yd FG early 2Q and then their holder dropped the snap on a 36 yd FG at the end of the half and ND led 17-3 at the half. Pitt took some chances in the 2H. Trailing 20-3, they went for it on 4&1 at their own 32 and Lewis got a 30 yd run to the ND38 keying a 77/10pl TD drive. Pitt was SOD at its own 13 with 1:11 left and ND took a knee 2x...Toledo had their moments vs Boise St as they only trailed 15-7 in the 1Q and also fumbled at their own 45 setting up a TD and were int d at the BSU16 in the 2Q. BSU got a TD with :30 left 1H to lead 36-7 then got a 36 yd IR TD to go up Up 50-7, they recovered a fumble and drove 27/7pl for a TD to lead 57-7 with 2:03 left 3Q. UT went 71/11pl for a TD with 10:55 left but BSU ate up 10:31 on a 14pl drive before being SOD at the UT26...Wake Forest had a solid advantage vs Navy in the fact they had just faced GT s option offense the previous week and were catching Navy at the tail end of a 6,000 mile 3 game road trip. Tanner Price returned to the lineup and hit yds for WF. With the game tied at 7, WF fumbled at the Navy4. Later WF fumbled at the Navy49 but still led at the half. Leading WF settled for a 31 yd FG with 8:34 left, Navy got a TD with :26 left to lead WF ret d the KO 47 yds to the 49 needing only a FG for the win but their fi nal 3 passes were incomplete...one of the reasons we liked Miss St over Houston beside the talent difference, was that MSU s large O-line fi gured to overpower UH s smaller defensive front. MSU rushed for 409 yards on 57 carries and had 538 yds offense. MSU led at the half and opened the 3Q with a drive for a TD. Starting QB Relf was shaken up and Russell QB d the rest. MSU led when they had a 31 yd FG blk d with 8:15 left 3Q at the end of a 10 pl drive. Their next drive was 61/9pl but they settled for a 39 yd FG which was blk d. They scored a TD with 7:08 left, and UH got a garbage TD with 4:36 left. MSU ended at the game at the UH15 for a comfortable 23 point win. BACKDOOR COVERS - Air Force led Colorado St 28-7 at the half and extended it to after 3Q s. Colorado St got a TD with 11:14 left and then took over with 6:55 left and drove 92/16pl. A TD with :41 left gave them the backdoor cover. Colorado St outrushed Air Force thanks to those last 2 drives Air Force did abandon the run in the 2H going to more of a pass attack and threw for 185 yards.

2 !Big Plays+,or 2010 Season: To7 Preseason Ga9e HOU 23 DAL E Fovered by 12@ Se7te9ber Totals GOM Over L3@ Troy (3M) ONla St (O1) Fovered by 15@ NFL Se7te9ber GOM ATL (>L@) O1 ART E Fovered by 2E@ Se7t MarUVee GOM Mia9i Fl (>3@) 31 PittsbVrgh 3 Fovered by 2O@ S"#$"%&"' )*++"," -O/ 0) T 89 +*:: OFtober Totals GOM Under OO LSU (1L) Tenn (1O) Fovered by 1O OFtober Xollege GOM Miss St (>5) OE HoVston 2O Fovered by 1M!CT!$E& ()&*UEE,!( T-U&.D)0 1 NFL,!(.UND)055 THE MOST UNIQUE POWER RATINGS IN THE COUNTRY These Po*er Play Forecasts are the most unique in the country because they are based on Northcoast Sports Private Power Ratings. Our ratings are unlike any computer rating> as *e take into account all of the follo*ing@ Strength of Opponents Individual Units (Rushing Offense and Defense> Passing Offense> I Defense> Scoring Offense and Defense> Garbage Yards> Weather> InMuries> Home Field Edge> and Successful Unbalanced Attacks). Here is ho* each is re! ected@ Strength of Opponent@ Our ratings do not Must take the opposing team s overall po*er rating into account. For example> in 1992> Washington s defense vs the rush *as rated at a W110Y (From 1-100). They faced Colorado and allo*ed 183 yds rushing and dropped 12 spots in the national rushing defense ratings. Ho*ever> Po*er Plays took into account the potent Buffalo run attack and had forecasted the Huskies yielding 225 yds. Due to the fact they did better than the forecast> Po*er Plays raised their rating to 112 even though they slipped in the national (straight yardage) rankings. Another example *as Michigan vs Purdue in Michigan held Purdue to Must 45 yards rushing and improved their ratings in rushing defense in the national statistics. Ho*ever> our ratings had them rated at a 102 and moved them do*n to 99> as they should have yielded Must 32 yards to an impotent Purdue rush attack. Next time an announcer on TV tells you that a certain team is c3 in the country vs the run you better check Northcoast Sports Power Ratings and see how good a rush defense they really have! The top t*enty ratings in Po*er Ratings for each offensive and defensive category *ill be listed in each *eek s issue of Po*er Plays. Garbage yards@ These are yards that a team gains or allo*s in the "nal minutes of a game *hen it has been decided. For example> Team A is ahead 63-0 and allo*s 93 yards passing for a TD vs its fourth string defense. These yards are counted into national ratings> but not in Northcoast Sports Power Ratings! Weather@ If a game is played in miserable *eather conditions and is lo* scoring> the straight statistics credit the defense *ith outstanding performances. Our Po*er Ratings re! ect the conditions and do not give excess credit to the defenses. Injuries@ When South Carolina played NC State in 1989> South Carolina fb Todd Ellis *as inmured on the third play of the game. His backup> *ho had seen very little action all year> *as not prepared and hit on Must 4 of 13 passes for 65 yards. The offensive coordinator did not risk any passes. In the national statistics NC State s pass defense MOVED UP 14 NOTCHES. In our Po*er Ratings they stayed the same> as the lo* yardage WAS NOT re! ective of an outstanding performance by the defense. Home Field Edges@ The *eekly promection of yards and points is *eighted *ith the home " eld factored in. Successful Unbalanced Attacks@ In 1989> Ohio St *as held to 127 yards passing vs North*estern. This dropped OSU in the national passing offense ratings I RAISED the Wildcats in the pass defense ratings. In our ratings the t*o units remained rated the same. Whyg OSU rushed for 456 yards I DID NOT HAVE TO PASS I *hen they did they hit 9 of 11 passes> *hich is VERY effective. While North*estern s pass defense looked good in the national ratings> only Northcoast Sports Po*er Ratings re!ected the TRUTH! There you have it. More than Must numbers> THESE RATINGS REFLECT the true strength of each unit and allo* them to have the most accurate forecast of yards gained and points allowed in the country! No other rating system takes into account all the previous factors. Next time you hear that a team is rated third in the country in pass defense> Must remember> yards are not everything and Northcoast Sports Po*er Plays *ill sho* you ho* strong the team really is. NORTHCOAST SPORTS PLUS OR MINUS POWER RATINGS The Po*er Ratings listed belo* are not based on the Po*er Plays> they are based on last year s "nal computer po*er rating numbers *ith the pluses and minuses from the off season changes factored in. They are then admusted during the course of the season based on the "nal score of the games that are played on a *eekly basis. The Po*er Ratings listed belo* can be used for you as a base po*er ratings to forecast up coming lines and strength of opponents> etc. Once again> they are not based on Po*er Plays and they differ from what we have shown in recent years> *hich has been our actual computer Po*er Ratings. These are Northcoast Sports Plus or Minus Po*er Ratings. ACC Florida St Virginia Tech Miami> Fl 131 NC State North Carolina Clemson Georgia Tech Maryland Virginia Boston College Wake Forest Duke 109 CONFERENCE USA UCF 121 Houston 117 SMU 117 S Mississippi 116 East Carolina 115 Tulsa 114 UTEP 111 UAB 107 Marshall 105 Rice 103 Tulane 100 Memphis 96 BIG EAST West Virginia Cincinnati Connecticut Syracuse Pittsburgh Rutgers South Florida Louisville INDEPENDENT Notre Dame 127 Navy 123 Army 115 SUN BELT Middle Tennessee 107 Louisiana-Lft 100 Troy St 118 North Texas 100 UL Monroe 96 Arkansas St 106 Florida Atlantic 101 FIU 105 Western Kentucky 101 MAC N Illinois 121 Temple 120 Cent Michigan 113 Toledo 111 Ohio 110 Kent St 107 Buffalo 106 Miami> Oh 104 West Michigan 104 Ball St 103 Bo*ling Green 102 Akron 94 East Michigan 90 WAC Boise St 148 Nevada Louisiana Tech Ha*aii Idaho Utah St Fresno St San Jose St Ne* Mexico St PAC-10 Oregon 141 Stanford 137 California 131 Oregon St 130 Arikona 129 Arikona St 128 USC 127 Washington 123 UCLA 118 Washington St 105 BIG TEN Ohio St Io*a Michigan St Wisconsin Illinois Penn St Michigan North*estern Purdue 117 Indiana Minnesota SEC Alabama 146 Arkansas 137 South Carolina 137 LSU 135 Florida 134 Auburn 133 Miss St 133 Georgia 130 Vanderbilt 120 Kentucky 120 Mississippi 118 Tennessee REG SSN GAMES OF MONTH (Y) %! 6778.ept,!(<s 5! FAU (+7) 42 Minnesota 39 >?N 4! Atlanta (+3) 26 Houston 16 >?N 6778!ct,!(<s 5! Texas A&M (+3) 11 Kansas 19 loss 4! Over 45 Cleveland (27)/STL (20) >?N 6778 NoC,!(<s 5! USF (-16 ) 41 Syracuse 10 >?N 4! OVER 60 UAB 9/Memphis 25 loss 4! Tampa Bay (-3) 31 Atlanta 7 >?N 6778 NFL,!055 5! Tennessee (-3) 26 KC 17 >?N 677D.ept,!(<s 4! Atlanta (-6) 38 KC 14 >?N 5! Florida St (-5') 39 Colo 21 >?N 677D!ctoEer,!(<s 4! NY Giants (+3) 21 PIT 14 >?N 4'! OVER 59 UNLV (35) BYU (45) GOY >?N 4! UNDER 54 Texas 38 Colorado 14 GOM >?N 5! Ohio St (-3) 45 Mich St 7 >?N 677D NoCeGEer,!(<s 5! Ohio St (-11) 45 N western 10 GOY >?N 4! Atlanta (-6') 20 Denver 24 loss 677D NFL,!0 5! Green Bay (-6) 21 Houston 24 loss 677H.ept,!(Is 4! Oakland (+2) 3 Denver 23 loss 4! OVER 52' Mid Tenn (21)/N Texas(37) >?N 5! Clemson (-7) 25 Boston Coll 7 >?N 677H!CT,!(<. 4! Indianapolis (-14) 42 St Louis 6 >?N 4! UNDER 51 Arizona (27)/UCLA (13) >?N 5! SMU (+7) 35 Navy 38 (OT) >?N 677H N!J,!(<. 5! Wisconsin (-11) 31 Indiana 28 GOY loss 4'! UNDER 50' Wisc (31)/N'wstrn (33) GOY loss 4! NY Giants (-7) 34 Atlanta 31 OT loss 677H DEC,!( 5! Indianapolis (-6 ) 28 Denver 16 GOY >?N 67K7.ept,!(Is 4! OVER 63' Oklahoma St (41)/Troy(38) >?N 4! Atlanta (-6') 41 Arizona 7 >?N 5! Boston College (+4) 0 Virg Tech 19 loss 67K7!CT,!(Is 4! UNDER 44 LSU (16)/Tennessee (14) >?N 5! Mississippi St (-5) 47 Houston 24 >?N BIG 12 Nebraska Oklahoma Texas Missouri Texas AIM Oklahoma St Texas Tech Baylor Colorado 120 Io*a St Kansas St Kansas 110 MOUNTAIN WEST TCU 142 Utah 138 Air Force 128 San Diego St 118 BYU 116 Wyoming 110 UNLV 106 Colorado St 105 Ne* Mexico 92

3 WEE#LY MATCHUP STAT COMPARISON TEAM PPG Off Rush Off Rush Off Pass Off PPG Def Rush Def Rush Def Pass Def Off Avg YPG YPC YPG Comp % Def Avg YPG YPC YPG Comp% A Kansas St H Kansas A USF H West Virginia A Cincinnati H Louisville A Miami> Fl H Duke A Pittsburgh H Syracuse A Army H Rutgers A Miami> Oh H Central Michigan A Maryland H Clemson A Illinois H Michigan St A Minnesota H Purdue A NC State H East Carolina A Vanderbilt H Georgia A South Carolina H Kentucky A Mississippi St H Florida A Mississippi H Alabama A Io*a St H Oklahoma A Bo*ling Green H Temple A Eastern Michigan H Ball St A Akron H Ohio A Baylor H Colorado A UNLV H Colorado St A Western Michigan H Notre Dame A Buffalo H Northern Illinois A North Carolina H Virginia A SMU H Navy A California H USC A Texas H Nebraska A Boston College H Florida St A Io*a H Michigan A Oregon St H Washington A Wake Forest H Virginia Tech A Idaho H Louisiana Tech A BYU H TCU A UTEP H UAB A Arikona H Washington St A Utah H Wyoming A Kent St H Toledo A Oklahoma St H Texas Tech A Missouri H Texas AIM A Southern Miss H Memphis A Houston H Rice A Tulane H Tulsa A Ohio St H Wisconsin A Arkansas H Auburn A Boise St H San Jose St A Air Force H San Diego St A Ne* Mexico St H Fresno St A Nevada H Ha*aii A Arkansas St H Indiana A Middle Tenn H Georgia Tech A ULM H WKU A Louisiana H Troy A FIU H North Texas GET POWER PLAYS 2011 NOW!! "#$ %&' DOWNLOAD ONL./ "11$ %&' W ':7&;/ C633 =: ;&> 1?@00?BC$?D$$@ Listed below are Northcoast Sports Power Play Rankings. These Power Play Rankings are unique. Our rankings are unlike any computer ranking, as we take into account all the following: Strength of Opponents, Individual Units (Rushing Offense, Rushing Defense, Passing Offense, and Passing Defense) Garbage Yards, Weather, Injuries, Home Field Edges, and successful Unbalanced Attacks. Regular rankings based solely on numbers DO NOT take into account these factors. &U.- P)...C!&?N, &U.- P)...C!&?N,!FFEN.E!FFEN.E!FFEN.E DEFEN.E DEFEN.E DEFEN.E 1 Hawaii 1 Oregon 1 Iowa 1 Texas 1 Alabama 2 Texas Tech 2 Boise St 2 California 2 Nebraska 2 Nebraska 3 Arkansas 3 Stanford 3 Boise St 3 TCU 3 Iowa 4 Houston 4 Utah 4 LSU 4 Ohio St 4 Florida St 5 Oklahoma 5 Florida St 5 Ohio St 5 Alabama 5 Mississippi St 6 NC State 6 Texas Tech 6 Mississippi St 6 Miami, Fl 6 Ohio St 7 Baylor 7 TCU 7 S Carolina 7 Air Force 7 LSU 8 Boise St 8 Auburn 8 Arizona St 8 Clemson 8 S Carolina 9 Troy 9 NC State 9 Boston College 9 LSU 9 TCU 10 Texas A&M 10 Nevada 10 Florida 10 UCLA 10 Arkansas 11 Duke 11 Ohio St 11 Alabama 11 Boise St 11 Missouri 12 Idaho 12 Oklahoma St 12 Pittsburgh 12 Mississippi St 12 West Virginia 13 San Diego St 13 Alabama 13 West Virginia 13 Penn St 13 Miami, Fl 14 Oklahoma St 14 Virginia Tech 14 Florida St 14 Arkansas 14 California 15 Indiana 15 Nebraska 15 Auburn 15 Colorado 15 Boise St 16 SMU 16 Michigan 16 Illinois 16 BYU 16 Arizona 17 E Carolina 17 Houston 17 Miami, Fl 17 Virginia 17 Arizona St 18 Notre Dame 18 Oklahoma 18 UCF 18 Kentucky 18 Michigan St 19 Arizona St 19 Florida 19 Notre Dame 19 Vanderbilt 19 Texas 20 Miami, Fl 20 Connecticut 20 Georgia 20 Fresno St 20 Oklahoma 1 Georgia Tech 2 Nevada 3 Oregon 4 Air Force 5 Navy 6 Nebraska 7 Auburn 8 Michigan 9 TCU 10 Florida St 11 Army 12 Virginia Tech 13 Illinois 14 Wisconsin 15 Alabama 16 California 17 Stanford 18 N Illinois 19 Washington 20 Ohio St &U.- P)...C!&?N, &U.- P)...C!&?N,!FFEN.E!FFEN.E!FFEN.E DEFEN.E DEFEN.E DEFEN.E 101 Vanderbilt 101 Louisiana Tech 101 Vanderbilt 101 Temple 101 Minnesota 102 WKU 102 Louisiana 102 Mid Tenn 102 LA Tech 102 UAB 103 USF 103 WKU 103 Miami, Oh 103 Minnesota 103 Miami, Oh 104 UCF 104 Rutgers 104 Utah St 104 Nevada 104 UNLV 105 Kansas St 105 Colorado St 105 San Jose St 105 Iowa St 105 Tulane 106 Memphis 106 E Michigan 106 UNLV 106 Texas Tech 106 ULM 107 N Illinois 107 Kent St 107 Air Force 107 Cincinnati 107 Marshall 108 Mid Tenn 108 Buffalo 108 Iowa St 108 Oklahoma St 108 Duke 109 Temple 109 North Texas 109 Ball St 109 Connecticut 109 WKU 110 Ohio 110 Mid Tenn 110 Tulane 110 Louisiana 110 Washington St 111 UCLA 111 Tulane 111 WKU 111 Mississippi 111 Memphis 112 San Jose St 112 Ball St 112 Wyoming 112 Washington St 112 Houston 113 Miss St 113 Wyoming 113 UTEP 113 Rice 113 Rice 114 Akron 114 FAU 114 Kansas St 114 E Michigan 114 E Carolina 115 N Mexico St 115 Akron 115 Arkansas St 115 Indiana 115 N Mexico St 116 Ball St 116 ULM 116 Washington St 116 Akron 116 Louisiana 117 Air Force 117 New Mexico 117 Houston 117 Tulsa 117 Akron 118 Navy 118 Memphis 118 E Michigan 118 Maryland 118 Bowling Green 119 Georgia Tech 119 N Mexico St 119 N Mexico St 119 Michigan 119 New Mexico 120 Army 120 San Jose St 120 Bowling Green 120 Troy 120 E Michigan 101 Rice 102 Akron 103 Fresno St 104 Duke 105 Memphis 106 E Carolina 107 Kent St 108 Idaho 109 FAU 110 San Jose St 111 Indiana 112 Wyoming 113 ULM 114 W Michigan 115 Louisiana 116 Bowling Green 117 Tulane 118 Miami, Oh 119 New Mexico 120 Hawaii!"#" T&'()*ST &,,&-*-T '-.TS /A1*2 WHAT ARE THE TOUGHEST OPPONENT RANKINGS? These rankings go far beyond the NCAA s straight statistical ranking of each team. For example last year Bowling Green ranked #3 in the NCAA avg 40.8 ppg, but ranked #39 in our scoring off rankings. However they faced the #114th schedule of scoring defenses. As you can see, the NCAA s statistical rankings can be misleading. In the upcoming weeks we ll provide examples of this year s statistical disparities. These are the current rankings for this year. Here are the teams that have taken on the toughest & easiest schedules. &U.- P)...C!&?N, &U.- P)...C!&?N,!FFEN.E.!FFEN.E.!FFEN.E. DEFEN.E. DEFEN.E. DEFEN.E. 1 BYU 1 Texas A&M 1 S Carolina 1 Oregon St 1 Wyoming 1 Oregon St 2 Temple 2 Colorado 2 BYU 2 Washington 2 Oregon St 2 Washington 3 Wake Forest 3 Oregon St 3 UCLA 3 Notre Dame 3 Florida 3 LSU 4 S Carolina 4 Oklahoma St 4 Oregon St 4 Illinois 4 Kansas St 4 Notre Dame 5 Tennessee 5 Alabama 5 Notre Dame 5 LSU 5 E Michigan 5 Miami, Fl 6 Colorado St 6 Texas 6 Wyoming 6 Temple 6 Marshall 6 Florida 7 Miami, Fl 7 Rice 7 Alabama 7 Penn St 7 Colorado St 7 Marshall 8 Illinois 8 N Mexico St 8 Stanford 8 Marshall 8 WKU 8 S Carolina 9 UNLV 9 Clemson 9 Arizona St 9 Tennessee 9 Florida St 9 Washington St 10 Wyoming 10 UCLA 10 Washington 10 Washington St 10 Iowa 10 Georgia 11 Minnesota 11 Boston College 11 Miami, Fl 11 S Carolina 11 Tennessee 11 Kansas St 12 Arizona St 12 USC 12 Florida 12 Miami, Fl 12 Washington 12 Alabama 13 San Jose St 13 Fresno St 13 Oklahoma 13 Georgia 13 Arkansas 13 Florida St 14 Oregon St 14 Georgia 14 San Jose St 14 Virginia 14 Toledo 14 Penn St 15 Florida 15 Washington 15 Colorado 15 Colorado 15 Georgia 15 Temple 16 Stanford 16 Toledo 16 Washington St 16 Florida 16 Oklahoma 16 Iowa 17 Oklahoma 17 ULM 17 Illinois 17 Iowa St 17 Texas 17 Iowa St 18 North Carolina 18 Utah St 18 UNLV 18 Virginia Tech 18 Alabama 18 Duke 19 Indiana 19 SMU 19 Mississippi St 19 UNLV 19 Duke 19 Tennessee 20 Kentucky 20 Pittsburgh 20 Colorado St 20 Auburn 20 N Carolina 20 Illinois &U.- P)...C!&?N, &U.- P)...C!&?N,!FFEN.E.!FFEN.E.!FFEN.E. DEFEN.E. DEFEN.E. DEFEN.E. 106 Texas Tech 107 UAB 108 Cincinnati 109 Nevada 110 S Miss 111 USF 112 Rutgers 113 Houston 114 Kent St 115 Idaho 116 Ball St 117 TCU 118 Tulsa 119 Texas A&M 120 UTEP 106 Virginia 106 TCU 107 Kansas 107 Mid Tenn 108 NC State 108 Tulsa 109 Duke 109 Troy 110 Mississippi 110 Air Force 111 San Diego St 111 Nevada 112 Connecticut 112 Syracuse 113 E Michigan 113 Maryland 114 Syracuse 114 Louisville 115 Indiana 115 Connecticut 116 West Virginia 116 Idaho 117 C Michigan 117 Kent St 118 Maryland 118 San Diego St 119 Navy 119 UTEP 120 Temple 120 Houston Buffalo 107 Wake Forest 108 Wisconsin 109 Mid Tenn 110 Troy 111 Maryland 112 Rutgers 113 Ohio 114 Syracuse 115 Army 116 Mississippi 117 Nebraska 118 Houston 119 San Diego St 120 UTEP 106 Purdue 107 Bowling Green 108 Minnesota 109 Memphis 110 Oklahoma St 111 Tulsa 112 Ball St 113 Northwestern 114 Wisconsin 115 UCF 116 W Michigan 117 Virginia 118 N Illinois 119 UTEP 120 Mid Tenn 106 Arkansas St 107 Memphis 108 Troy 109 Tulsa 110 Maryland 111 Rutgers 112 San Diego St 113 Oklahoma St 114 Wisconsin 115 Army 116 W Michigan 117 Indiana 118 Ohio 119 Mid Tenn 120 UTEP

4 !"#$%&'()*+&',-./&0&''!O##E%E 'OOT)*## O!TO)E+,--,/0 ()"'1%,"2'1#34+'7",+#"(("2'*8'()"',2*("E/;+'()3(',"'3<2""',*()'()"'&3F%2*(4'%0'()"'1%,"2'1#34+'0%2"$3+(+5'G%,"="2H'()"2"'32"'(*&"+',)"8',"',*##'9*+3<2""',*()'()"'1%,"2'1#34+'0%2"$3+(5'!"',38('(%'&3-"'*('$#"32'()3('()*+'*+'()"'1%,"2'1#34+'7",+#"(("2'389'()"+"'0%2"$3+(+'32"':3+"9';/2"#4'%8'()"';%,"2'23(*8<+5'D%/'+)%/#9'8"="2'/+"'F/+('%8"'&"()%9H'+4+("&' %2'38<#"'(%'9"("2&*8"'4%/2')389*$3;;*8<5'6)"'(*&"+'()3(',"'9*+3<2""',*()'()"'1%,"2'1#34+'7",+#"(("2',"',*##'$#"32#4'8%("'*(5'>0'()"'1%,"2'1#34+'23(*8<'*+'+(2%8<'"8%/<)'(%':"'3'I!'1#34H'4"(',"'32"'%8'()"'%()"2'+*9"'%0'()"'<3&"H',"',*##'$#"32#4'+(3("'()3(',"'#*-"'()"'%()"2'+*9"'%0'()"'<3&"5'!*()'3##'()3('+3*9')"2"'32"'()*+',""-.+'1%,"2'1#34+'J"#"$(*%8+5 THURSDAY, OCTOBER 14th KANSAS ST "" KANSAS NO PLAY: KANSAS ST 30 KANSAS 25 USF WEST VIRGINIA NO PLAY: WEST VIRGINIA 27 USF 12 Our Marquee Game of the Month goes this Thursday! Call gameday after 3:00 EDT for the Winner! for just $15 or $ave using your Northcoast Debit Card - just $9 there! FRIDAY, OCTOBER 15th CINCINNATI " LOUISVILLE NO PLAY: LOUISVILLE 28 CINCINNATI 28 SATURDAY, OCTOBER 16th MIAMI, FL "" DUKE UM QB Harris was not 100% last week and UM suffered a blowout loss to rival FSU. PP calls for UM to win by 22 but there is no line as of presstime due to Harris status. NO PLAY: MIAMI FL 41 DUKE 19 PITTSBURGH " SYRACUSE Pitt has won 5 in a row in this series by an avg of 13 ppg but PP calls this one a draw. Pitt at 2-3 has faced a much tougher schedule than 4-1 Syr and we like Pitt here. NO PLAY: PITTSBURGH 21 SYRACUSE 21 ARMY RUTGERS "" New Meadowlands Stadium. Rutgers is 7-0 ATS vs Army winning the L6 by an avg score of We won with a 4.5! on Army LW and PP says Army will pull another outright upset TW. Our original NC line was RU -7 which is right at the Vegas line, so we will look at this one more closely during the wk. NO PLAY: ARMY 21 RUTGERS 20 MIAMI, OH CENTRAL MICHIGAN PP says CM will win by 12 (line 11) with a yd edge, but we like the dog Miami. NO PLAY: C MICHIGAN 33 MIAMI OH 21 MARYLAND " CLEMSON The visitor is 4-1 SU with 4 outright upsets, but PP calls this right at the line but shows Clemson with a yd edge. We like the dog Maryland as CU is in a NC/GT sandwich. NO PLAY: CLEMSON 30 MARYLAND 16 ILLINOIS MICHIGAN ST "" MSU is 4-9 ATS as a B10 HF and is off 2 big wins over Wisconsin & Michigan (3-6 ATS after UM). PP says MSU will win by 5 (line 7 ) with a yd edge and we will pass for now. NO PLAY: MICHIGAN ST 27 ILLINOIS 22 MINNESOTA PURDUE The favorite is 10-1 ATS and PU is 8-3 SU & ATS vs Minny but is 0-2 SU/ATS the L2Y. PP says PU will win by 9 (line 4 ), but we will pass on this. NO PLAY: PURDUE 31 MINNESOTA 22 NC STATE " EAST CAROLINA PP calls for NCSt to win by 15 (line 7 ) with a yd edge. Even though NCSt could be in a fl at spot off a big win over HC O Brien s former tm, EC is off a win over rival SM and has another CUSA gm on deck vs Marshall. 4.5! NC STATE 47 EAST CAROLINA 32 VANDERBILT GEORGIA """ Normally this would be a gm that UGA would look past, but TY they need every win they can get. PP calls for an 18 pt win (line 16 ) and the Dawgs will continue to play with urgency like LW. 1! GEORGIA 33 VANDERBILT 15 SOUTH CAROLINA KENTUCKY PP says SC will win by 12 (line 6) but be outgained by UK Because SC is off their historic win over #1 Alabama, this is an obvious fl at spot and we will pass. NO PLAY: SOUTH CAROLINA 36 KENTUCK Y 24 MISSISSIPPI ST FLORIDA "" MSU delivered a huge 5! Oct GOM winner for us LW in their win over Houston (-5). PP says Meyer will grab a 10 pt win over his former OC Mullen and we lean with UF as the number is 8 right now. NO PLAY: FLORIDA 26 MISSISSIPPI ST 16 4 OLE MISS ALABAMA " Bama is off their 1st reg ssn loss since 2007, but Ole Miss HC Nutt is 7-0 ATS vs Top 10 teams covering by 18.8 ppg. PP says UA will win by 28 (line 20) but we side with Ole Miss plus the pts. NO PLAY: ALABAMA 42 MISSISSIPPI 14 IOWA ST OKLAHOMA "" ISU is 0-6 SU, 2-4 ATS losing by an avg score of 34-8 vs OU in B12 matchups. PP says OU will win by 23 which is right around the line but the massive yd edge makes OU worth a look. 1! OKLAHOMA 42 IOWA ST 19 BOWLING GREEN TEMPLE "" The home tm is 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS since 95. PP calls for Temple to win by 22 (line 17) with a huge yd rush edge and we side with the Owls. 3! TEMPLE 43 BOWLING GREEN 21 EASTERN MICHIGAN BALL ST """ Ball St is 8-2 SU (winning 5 in a row), 7-3 ATS vs EM and PP says BSU will win by 16 (line 13) with a yd edge. 2! BALL ST 39 E MICHIGAN 23 AKRON OHIO "" The home team is 12-5 ATS (9-3 SU) in this series. PP predicts that Ohio will win by 20 (line 16 ) with a yd edge and we agree. 4! OHIO 33 AKRON 13 BAYLOR "" COLORADO Baylor is in its 4th AG in 5 wks, but PP shows the Bears pulling out a close one with a 2 pt win at CU. The ydg forcast gives the Buffs a yd edge and we agree with the yds and like Colorado. NO PLAY: BAYLOR 24 COLORADO 22 UNLV COLORADO ST "" LY CSU suffered their fi rst ever loss in the city of Las Vegas snapping a 6 gm win streak over UNLV. PP calls this a draw but gives CSU a yd edge and the line opened at CSU -3. NO PLAY: COLORADO ST 27 UNLV 27 WESTERN MICHIGAN NOTRE DAME " ND is 4-14 ATS at home vs non-bcs schools. PP says that ND will win by 22 which is right at the line with a yd edge. We lean with the dog. NO PLAY: NOTRE DAME 36 W MICHIGAN 14 BUFFALO NORTHERN ILLINOIS "" UB hasn t beaten NI since 1968, dropping 5 straight. PP calls for NI to win by 17 (line 14 ) with a yd edge, but we lean with the dog in this one. NO PLAY: N ILLINOIS 31 BUFFALO 14 NORTH CAROLINA VIRGINIA """ NC is 2-10 SU (losing 4 in a row) and 1-11 ATS vs UVA. PP calls for NC to win by 5 (line 6 ) and gives UVA a yd edge. We disagree with PP and like NC in this one. NO PLAY: NORTH CAROLINA 25 VIRGINIA 20 SMU """ NAVY LY we won a 5! on SMU +7 and the Mustangs led early but fell in OT PP calls for Navy to win by 2 with a yd edge but that is right at the line. NO PLAY: NAVY 23 SMU 21 CALIFORNIA USC " Cal delivered a 4! LPS Winner for us LW in their 35-7 win over UCLA (-7 ). PP says that USC will pull out a 2 pt win with a yd edge, but we like Cal -2. NO PLAY: USC 28 CALIFORNIA 26 TEXAS NEBRASKA "" Doesn t get much easier as Neb is forecasted to win by 18, outgain Tex , win the TO battle and they have the ST edge. Nebraska also has revenge from LY s controversial B12 Championship. 4! NEBRASKA 31 TEXAS 13 BOSTON COLLEGE FLORIDA ST " It seems the Seminoles are back as they ve reeled of 4 straight wins while covering by 18 ppg. In FSU s 2 home games vs FBS foes they ve outgained BYU and WF ! FLORIDA ST 39 BOSTON COLLEGE 9

5 IOWA " MICHIGAN The score certainly favors Iowa but the yards don t so we ll pass. PP is calling for the Hawkeyes to fi nish with only a yd edge. Iowa was outgained by 59 yds & did lose their only other road game TY. NO PLAY: IOWA 33 MICHIGAN 25 OREGON ST """ WASHINGTON We ll pass here as the forecast is divided. PP is calling for a 2 pt OSU win but the forecast is also for Wash to fi nish with a yd edge. Could be a letdown after the Beavers knocked off #9 UA LW. NO PLAY: OREGON ST 33 WASHINGTON 31 WAKE FOREST VIRGINIA TECH PP is calling for VT to have a sizeable yardage edge but this is usually where the Grobe coached team has success. We lean with the Demon Deacons who have gone 8-3 ATS as a conf DD dog. NO PLAY: VIRGINIA TECH 42 WAKE FOREST 16 IDAHO LOUISIANA TECH "" La Tech is fi nally settled in at QB and we expect a sizeable increase in their numbers. PP is calling for Idaho here but with LT having outgained Utah St LW, we like their new found potential. NO PLAY: IDAHO 25 LOUISIANA TECH 23 BYU TCU "" TCU has won 16 straight at home with an avg score of so don t be afraid to lay over 4 TD s. PP is calling for the Horned Frogs to fi nish with a yd edge and they ll have to impress voters as well. 2! TCU 39 BYU 6 UTEP UAB This forecast is a bit misleading as UAB has avg d 480 ypg at home and gained 544 at Tennessee. The Blazers are forecasted with a yd edge and we agree with the yards here. NO PLAY: UTEP 29 UAB 26 ARIZONA "" WASHINGTON ST This series brings back fond memories as it produced Power Sweep s only ever 5!. PP has Arizona forecasted with a yd edge and will be angry after a home loss LW. We like the Wildcats here. NO PLAY: ARIZONA 36 WASHINGTON ST 19 UTAH "" WYOMING Not afraid to back a Utes team that s beaten NM & Iowa St by a combined while outgaining them Another blowout in the offi ng with a projected yd edge. 4.5! UTAH 41 WYOMING 14 KENT ST "" TOLEDO PP give the Rockets edges in yards ( ) and in the score but Kent St has the turnover and ST edge. KSU s D is for real and they are allowing just 283 ypg & 1.7 ypc incl trips to BC & Penn St. NO PLAY: TOLEDO 26 KENT ST 21 OKLAHOMA ST TEXAS TECH " OSU s offense may be avg 526 ypg but so far their only road game was against a Sun Belt team that is currently ranked #99 in D. PP knows better and TT is forecasted with a dominating yd edge. 1! TEXAS TECH 44 OKLAHOMA 39 MISSOURI TEXAS A&M """ We ll look past the score as the Aggies are forecasted to fi nish with a yd edge. A&M offense is still rolling as they ve topped 500+ yds 3 times and face a Missouri squad making their 1st true road trip. NO PLAY: TEXAS A&M 26 MISSOURI 26 SOUTHERN MISS "" MEMPHIS When you re only 6 games into the ssn and your team has already been outgained by 240, 332 & 351 yds it s a bad time to take on a SM team off a home loss. The Eagles fi nish with yd edge. 4.5! SOUTHERN MISS 36 MEMPHIS 12 SIDES - Wins Arizona St 4 Florida St 4 N Illinois 4 Utah 4 Virginia Tech 4 Arkansas 3 Hawaii 3 Louisville 3 Michigan St 3 N Carolina 3 Ohio 3 Syracuse 3 Tulsa 3 UCF 3 W Virginia 3 HOUSTON RICE " Houston is down to a 3rd string QB but this is an established offensive system that will continue with their success. The Cougars are off their 1st home loss in 3 seasons and take it out on Rice. 4! HOUSTON 45 RICE 33 TULANE TULSA """" There are times when teams just don t match up well. That s Tulane s problem here as Tulsa has won and covered all 5 CUSA meetings by an avg score of Forecast is for a yd edge. 4! TULSA 40 TULANE 18 OHIO ST WISCONSIN "" No one does it better on the conf road than the Tressel led Buckeyes. OSU is forecasted with a yd edge and during the last 4 seasons they are a perfect 8-0 as a single digit favorite. 4! OHIO ST 32 WISCONSIN 24 ARKANSAS AUBURN Auburn enters at 6-0 with 3 SEC wins by 3 points and that s the forecast here. PP is calling for the Tigers to fi nish with a yd edge and revenge B2B losses that knocked them from the rankings the L2Y. NO PLAY: AUBURN 30 ARKANSAS 27 BOISE ST " SAN JOSE ST As we ve seen with previous Boise forecasts the computer doesn t do Boise s dominance justice. BSU is 9-1 ATS laying 21+ with only L a 42-7 win laying 46. The Broncos hold SJSt to 169 yds. 1! BOISE ST 42 SAN JOSE ST 2 AIR FORCE " SAN DIEGO ST While you may not think of D when talking about SDSt but they re only allowing 319 ypg & 3.5 ypc. DC Rocky Long is a master at shutting down the option & PP is calling for AF to have a SSN LOW 374 yds. 4.5! SAN DIEGO ST 28 AIR FORCE 26 NEW MEXICO ST FRESNO ST """ Quick, which team was off a win & which was off a loss. NMSt gained 206 yds and beat a NM that has gone 1-21 SU while FSU is off a home upset loss. This week FSU fi nishes with a yd edge. NO PLAY: FRESNO ST 39 NEW MEXICO ST 12 NEVADA HAWAII You may be shocked at this forecast as PP is calling for UH to have a yd edge. A closer look shows two similar teams with the NCAA s #2 & #6 off and & #69 & #72 D s. We ll take the HD. 4! HAWAII (+) 37 NEVADA 38 ARKANSAS ST INDIANA " PP likes ASU as they opened as a 2 TD dog. Indiana s defensive continues to struggle as they re allowing 434 ypg and that includes facing Akron s #119, WKU #110 and the 1AA offense of Towson. NO PLAY: INDIANA 32 ARKANSAS ST 23 MIDDLE TENNESSEE """" GEORGIA TECH PP has the expected edges for the Ramblin Wreck but we disagree. This is a tough spot for GT after 4 straight ACC games incl a Homecoming win LW while having an ACC Champ rematch on deck. NO PLAY: GEORGIA TECH 39 MIDDLE TENNESSEE 15 ULM "" WKU We have this game at even and that s where Vegas opened it. PP however calls for the Hilltoppers to fi nished with a yd edge and win by 5. Must be noted that WKU has lost 11 straight at home. 3! WKU 27 ULM 22 LOUISIANA TROY " Troy is off a win against fellow SBC heavyweight MT. This is the Trojans only game in a 25 day period and they are forecasted to outgain ULL by a margin. Troy is 11-1 SU & 9-3 ATS home vs SBC foes. 4! TROY 45 LOUISIANA 22 FIU NORTH TEXAS "" North Texas may be down to a 4th sting QB here but PP still likes the matchup. The forecast is for the Mean Green to fi nish with a yd edge and they re getting over a FG here. NO PLAY: FIU 26 NORTH TEXAS 25 Each *eek STREAKERS looks at current runs on both the ATS I Totals. A streak starts after 3 Wins/Losses/Overs/Unders so this section *ill start if any teams qualify during the fourth *eek of the season. Remember you can *in many times during a streak and lose only once. SIDES - Losses Marshall 3 TOTALS - Overs Connecticut 3 TOTALS - Unders Tulsa 3 Boston College 5 Northwestern 3 E Carolina 5 Marshall 3 BYU 6 Utah St 3 N Mexico St 5 Penn St 3 Kentucky 5 Minnesota 3 FAU 4 WKU 3 E Michigan 4 Oklahoma St 5 NC State 3 Arkansas St 3 Bowling Green 3 Oregon St 5 UNLV 3 Wyoming 3 USC 3 LA Tech 3 FIU 3 Bowling Green 4 USF 3 Mid Tenn 3 Fresno St 3 Army 3 Utah 3 Notre Dame 3 Houston 3 Auburn 3 Wisconsin 3 San Diego St 3 5

6 ,3& /&&T4A55 &1T&4*3 #6t8 9 #:t8;!"#" Just a quick note for our Power Plays Subscribers. Obviously this newsletter is based upon statistical numbers and rankings that are used to develop the projections you see here. As with all types statistical information the more numbers that one inputs ordinarily the stronger the accuracy of the results. Therefore, one would expect the projections to be more reliable after a number of weeks worth of stats are input. The numbers here are based upon how they fi nished last season with adjustments made due to personnel changes. Preseason statistics are not included in any of the projections as we do not feel they would accurately adjust the numbers. SUNDAY, OCTOBER 17th SAN DIEGO c32 ST LOUIS c25 Something has to give in SD as all 3 losses TY have due to bad special teams play. Injuries at LB have pushed special teamers into the starting lineup further weakening those units. SD logged a yd edge vs OAK but special teams & an inability to get off the fi eld on 3rd & 4th Dns (8-18) cost them. STL was drummed by DET LW & lost their best WR Clayton (patella) for the year. PP calls for SD to log a yd edge here but the 10 pt margin is right around the line so No Play. NO PLAY: CHARGERS 27 RAMS 17 KANSAS CITY c2 HOUSTON c20 HOU was mauled by the Giants LW at home as their #32 pass defense was taken apart. The Texans have given up at least 360 yds & 24 ppg to start the season. KC has only given up 360 yds once TY (SD) as DC Crennel runs a very basic scheme that plays to the athleticsm & speed of his defense. KC hung tough with IND LW thru 3.5 Qtrs LW but gave up a 12 pl/71 yd drive late that put the game out of reach. PP likes KC here to pull the upset but we want to wait on the line to settle in & check WR Johnson s health 1st. NO PLAY: CHIEFS 26 TEXANS 23 BALTIMORE c26 NEW ENGLAND c4 NE is off the bye week were they got a good look at how a pass heavy team with no balance fares vs the Ravens defense. While the trade of Moss does lessen the deep threat for NE, they have been using a heavy amount of 2-TE sets & emphasizing route running. BAL logged its 1st victory by DD s TY but were in a great situation vs a DEN team on its 2nd EST road game with a young OL & no run game. NE has a massive special teams edge, more defensive speed than what took the fi eld in LY s playoff loss to BAL with extra rest (5-2 ATS after bye) & are a small play here. 1! PATRIOTS 30 RAVENS 23 NEW ORLEANS c7 TAMPA BAY c19 NO is off 2 embarrassing games where they struggled vs rookie QB s despite outgaining them by 132 & 179 yds respectively. Their lack of a run game (#31 3.3) allows defenses to play the deep routes to limit explosive plays. NO is also not getting the lucky breaks that they had LY (4 fbls by ARZ - 0 takeaways) while TB got them LW. The Bucs were gifted 3 Int s LW vs CIN (2 in fi nal 2:30) which they turned into 17 pts. PP calls for TB to keep it close but we disagree as NO is the proven & more talented team here. NO PLAY: SAINTS 24 BUCS 23 ATLANTA c14 PHILADELPHIA c18 PHI escaped with a SNF win LW by turning 5 49ers TO s into 10 pts. Kolb played within the system as the Eagles called a very balanced game (+4 passes) with 125 yds rushing (4.6). ATL has this game targeted as the Eagles came into their house as a 5 pt favorite & beat them 34-7 with Vick scoring 2 TD s. ATL has outgained its L4 foes & were able to overcome a tougher than expected CLE team. PP calls for ATL (who didn t have Ryan or Turner LY) to earn the road win & we agree. 4! FALCONS (+) 25 EAGLES 17 DETROIT c3 NY GIANTS c27 The Giants will have lots of confi dence here after 2 big wins dominating on defense then offense. They scored on 5 of their 1st 7 drives LW while forcing HOU into 1 FG, 1 Int & 4 punts. They now take on a DET team who ended a 10 game losing streak with their biggest win since beating the expansion Jaguars in PP calls for the Giants to dominate with a yd edge here but thinks the Lions will keep it close & we disagree so No Play. NO PLAY: GIANTS 27 LIONS 23 SEATTLE c1 CHICAGO c12 SEA is only 2-10 SU & 1-11 ATS after a bye & their -5 TO s on the road TY have killed them. They did improve their #29 run game with the other trade of LW by acquiring RB Lynch from BUF. SEA is 1-8 SU & ATS on the road with Hasselbeck (6-12 ratio). CHI s defense took advantage of their matchups vs CAR LW holding them to 147 yds forcing 8 3 & out drives. Its not unusual for Martz to discover his run game after an embarrassing loss ( LW) & he ll likely be under strict guidelines to do so again. Cutler is expected back here & look for CHI to employ a balanced gameplan here to protect him. 4! BEARS 23 SEAHAWKS 11 MIAMI c30 GREEN BAY c25 GB went into the WAS game without 3 starters & had 5 more including QB Rodgers (concussion) & OLB Matthews (hamstring) leave the game. MIA was thoroughly embarrassed at home on MNF before the bye & will be very focused here. MIA has the talent to make the AFC East an interesting race but Henne needs to make better decisions (5-4 ratio) & play to the run game. With no line due to the vast amount of injuries here this is a No Play for now. NO PLAY: PACKERS 30 DOLPHINS 23 CLEVELAND c19 PITTSBURGH c9 The 3-1 Steelers with the #5 defense return from their bye with their franchise QB who was allowed to practice with the team over the break. CLE comes into the game beat up at the QB spot as both Delhomme & Wallace have ankle sprains. RB Hillis was held to 28 yds (2.8) on the ground as the Browns lack of speed on offense allowed ATL to focus in on him. This is a very bad matchup for a beat up CLE team on the road vs a Div foe who will have LY s 13-6 upset as 10.5 pt AF s in primetime on though the total is worth a look. NO PLAY: STEELERS 21 BROWNS 12 NY JETS c3 DENVER c20 Orton is 1 of 3 QB s who for the 1st time in NFL history who have earned 1,600 yds passing in the 1st 5 Wks (P Manning & Rivers). DEN is catching the Jets at a good time as they travel on a short week for the 3rd time in 4 Wks after 3 primetime games to open the season. The Jets also have a bye on deck & will be happy to leave with a win. Without knowing how they did vs MIN on MNF though we ll call this a No Play. NO PLAY: JETS 27 BRONCOS 16 OAKLAND c11 SAN FRANCISCO c27 The Raiders ended a 13 game losing streak to the Chargers thanks to solid special teams play. QB Campbell was effi cient off the bench (159 yds 72%) with 1 TD & didn t make any mistakes to let the game slip away. Now they travel across the Bay to take on the best 0-5 team in the NFL. 5 TO s & 10 penalties did SF in LW with QB Smith being one of the biggest hot & cold QB s in the league. Owner Jed York put his confi dence in the team by publicly announcing that we re going to win this division after the loss. There is a chance SF starts QB Carr here & we ll make this a No Play as we want to see if they do. NO PLAY: 49ERS 25 RAIDERS 20 DALLAS c22 MINNESOTA c23 MIN destroyed DAL LY 34-3 as a 3 pt HF holding them to 5 FD & 103 yds in the 2H. They are off LW s MNF game & its unknown if Favre got into rhythm after the bye & how effective Moss was in the passing game. DAL dominated statistically LW with a yd edge (13:28 TOP edge) but 3 TO s & 133 yds of penalties doomed them. With no line due to MNF this is a No Play. NO PLAY: VIKINGS 20 COWBOYS 12 INDIANAPOLIS c31 WASHINGTON c5 Shanahan is 2-7 SU & ATS vs Manning including playoffs. IND found itself in a tougher than expected matchup vs the Colts & needed an impressive 4Qtr drive for the win. WAS played disciplined football LW & were able to take advantage of GB s injuries to rally from a 10 pt defi cit for the win. Can IND move to 8-1 ATS in primetime or will WAS pull their 4th upset of 2010? NO PLAY: COLTS 21 REDSKINS 16 MONDAY, OCTOBER 18th TENNESSEE c8 JACKSONVILLE c4 This is the Jaguars Super Bowl as a 3 win streak will go a long ways to boosting ticket sales & staving off talks of relocation. TEN is 10-6 SU & ATS vs the Jaguars as their physical playstyle simply matches up very well. All 4 teams in the AFC South are 3-2 & the winner gains a vital tiebreaker. NO PLAY: TITANS 28 JAGUARS 23 6 STREAKERS!"#$!%&%'()* +,%-./*% 0!"#$!%&%12**.* +.3%456.7)*% )%:7;% 0 <4<=1!%&%4>.5* =5(?2)7% 8 +.3%$)@67)A% 8!7)%#(.@2% 8 :BCC762% 0 +,%-./*% 0 47D67)A% NFL POWER RATINGS <4<=1!%&%E)A.5* F7526()7% 8 FG(H7@2% 0 I()).*2/% 0 +,%9(7)/*% 0 TEAM... RTG TEAM... RTG TEAM... RTG 1 Baltimore Miami St Louis Pittsburgh Chicago Tampa Bay Jacksonville NY Jets Tennessee Denver San Diego Dallas San Francisco New Orleans Houston Oakland Minnesota Washington Seattle NY Giants Atlanta Cleveland Detroit New England Philadelphia Arizona Green Bay Cincinnati Carolina Indianapolis Kansas City Buffalo These are current 2010 Po*er Rating grades for each team based on talent.

7 !ASS E&&ICIE)C* +E&E)SE TEAM YDS ATT COMP % TD INT GRADE OPP 1 UCF Nebraska Alabama Oregon TCU Arkansas Texas AIM Ohio St Miami> Fl California Virginia Tech Buffalo Missouri Florida SMU Air Force Utah St Michigan St Texas Clemson FIU Oklahoma St Florida St Southern Miss UCLA North*estern Nevada Utah Army Kentucky Oklahoma Louisville Kansas St LSU Io*a Bo*ling Green Tennessee USF Troy Pittsburgh Boston College Middle Tennessee Baylor Mississippi St Fresno St USC Houston Arikona St Stanford Idaho NC State San Diego St Boise St Rutgers Arikona Io*a St Maryland Vanderbilt Colorado ULM UTEP Virginia BYU Texas Tech Kent St Notre Dame North Carolina Georgia Tech Michigan Wyoming W Michigan Connecticut Syracuse West Virginia Illinois Tulane Georgia UNLV Arkansas St Washington Miami> Oh North Texas Louisiana Oregon St Ne* Mexico St Wisconsin Florida Atlantic UAB N Illinois Toledo Auburn Ball St San Jose St Cent Michigan Duke Cincinnati Ha*aii Tulsa Wake Forest Ohio South Carolina Mississippi Penn St Louisiana Tech Ne* Mexico Memphis Purdue Marshall Rice Washington St East Carolina Temple Indiana Navy Kansas Akron E Michigan WKU Minnesota Colorado St COLLEGE TEAM STATISTICAL AVERAGES OFF OFF - RUSHING - - PASSING - DEF DEF - OPPONENTS RUSH - SKS SKS PTS FD ATT YDS AVG FMBL COM ATT PCT YDS INT TD PTS FD ATT YDS AVG FMBL VS BY Air Force Akron Alabama Arikona Arikona St Arkansas Arkansas St Army Auburn Ball St Baylor Boise St Boston College Bo*ling Green Buffalo BYU California Cent Michigan Cincinnati Clemson Colorado Colorado St Connecticut Duke E Michigan East Carolina Florida Florida Atlantic FIU Florida St Fresno St Georgia Georgia Tech Ha*aii Houston Idaho Illinois Indiana Io*a Io*a St Kansas Kansas St Kent St Kentucky Louisiana Tech Louisiana Louisville LSU Marshall Maryland Memphis Miami> Fl Miami> Oh Michigan Michigan St Middle Tennessee Minnesota Mississippi Mississippi St Missouri N Illinois Navy NC State Nebraska Nevada Ne* Mexico Ne* Mexico St North Carolina North Texas North*estern Notre Dame Ohio Ohio St Oklahoma Oklahoma St Oregon Oregon St Penn St Pittsburgh Purdue Rice Rutgers Southern Miss San Diego St San Jose St SMU South Carolina Stanford Syracuse TCU Temple Tennessee Texas Texas AIM Texas Tech Toledo Troy Tulane Tulsa UAB UCF UCLA ULM UNLV USC USF Utah Utah St UTEP Vanderbilt Virginia Virginia Tech W Michigan Wake Forest Washington Washington St West Virginia WKU Wisconsin Wyoming

8 !Big Plays+,or 2010 Season: To7 Preseason Ga9e HOU 23 DAL E Fovered by 12@ Se7t Totals GOM Over L3@ Troy(3M) ONlaho9a St (O1) Fovered by 15@ NFL Se7t GOM ATL (>L@) O1 ART E Fovered by 2E@ Se7t MarUVee GOM Mia9i Fl (>3@) 31 PittsbVrgh 3 Fovered by 2O@ S"#$ )*++"," -O/ 0) T 89 +*:: OFtober Totals GOM Under OO LSU (1L) Tenn (1O) Fovered by 1O OFtober Xollege GOM Miss St (>5) OE HoVston 2O Fovered by 1M!CT!$E&,!(<. T-?. >EEM5 1 ()&*UEE,!( T-U&.D)0 1 NFL,!(.UND)055 OCTOBER NFL GAME OF THE MONTH Sun 10/17... $ 50 TOP PLAY TRIO... $ out of 5 Winning Weeks TY!!!! N"#T%C"'(T (P"#T( T"P +, P"-E# P"LL The follo*ing Po*er Ratings are a combination of 6 different Po*er Ratings> including Plus I Minus> Po*er Plays and Computer Po*er Ratings. 1 Boise St 2 Alabama 3 TCU 4 Ohio St 5 Oregon 6 Nebraska 7 Oklahoma 8 Florida St 9 Auburn 10 Florida 11 Utah 12 Arkansas 13 Stanford 14 South Carolina 15 Io*a 16 California 17 Miami> Fl 18 LSU 19 Arikona 20 USC 21 NC State 22 Virginia Tech 23 Miss St 24 Texas AIM 25 Michigan St 26 Missouri 27 Texas 28 Wisconsin 29 Arikona St 30 Nevada 31 West Virginia 32 Georgia 33 Illinois 34 Michigan 35 Oregon St 36 Oklahoma St 37 Clemson 38 Notre Dame 39 North Carolina 40 Pittsburgh # I enclose $115 for my '10 subscription to POWER SWEEP or POWER PLAYS. (Every issue thru the Super Bowl!) This includes $50 on a Northcoast Debit Card and FREE schedules. # I am already a 2010 POWER SWEEP or POWER PLAYS sub and enclose $49 for my '10 subscription to either POWER SWEEP or POWER PLAYS (thru the Super Bowl!) DOWNLOAD ONLY. NO Bonuses. ***All prices in Vol. 28 Issue 7 Expire & Cannot be used in conjunction with any other offer*** Payment Method: #$MasterCard #$Visa #$American Express #$Discover #$Check/Money Order Name Address City State Zip Credit Card Signature INCLUDES:.U$.C&?$E T! P!>E& PL)0. 67K7 Exp. Date N!&T-C!).T.P!&T..E&J?CE PO Box Cleveland, OH OR NFL GAME OF THE MONTH $ 50 Value (TOP NFL PLAY 4-1 TY!!!) SATURDAY'S TOP TOTALS PLAY % TY $ 35 Value SATURDAY'S TOP SIDE PLAY B2B WINS INCL LW's COLLEGE GOM! We'll even include the Fri & Mon Night Marquee - an added $30 Value to the package this week! SAT & SUN SIDE LATE PHONES... $ 175 NFL! RATED PLAYS % (Sunday & Monday TY) BONUS: THURSDAY MARQUEE GOM!! Plus FRI & MON MARQUEES! SAT COLLEGE TOTALS... $ 75 EXECUTIVE CLUB WEEKEND... $ 450 Exec Service for the Week entitles you to all the Late Phone Sides and Totals, Small College, College Totals, Marquee PPH Plays and Top Opinions for the entire week! KND77NQ_ON3OOD NORTHCOAST SPORTS PRIVATE PLAY HOTLINE WINS OR EXT # 1 ON THE NORTHCOAST DEBIT CARD SYSTEM Pay BIG DOG PLAY $ 15 thru the 900 line or just $ 9 using the NC Debit Card 141 OUTRIGHT UPSETS in 17 Years by 7+ point dogs!! 14-3 Last 3 Weeks with 6 OUTRIGHT UPSETS!!!!! Ball St +700 over Central Michigan 2 weeks ago!!! Hawaii +340 over Fresno St LW! ATS OVER 5 YEARS!!!! +$6390 ON THE ML OVER 4 YEARS!!!!! VISA/MC has 16 or 13 digits DISC has 16 digits / AMEX has 15 digits EARLY BIRD PLAY m L/5Y!! % L/14Y!!! COLLEGE.00 PLAY OF THE DAY m L/13Y 5-1 TY! THURSDAY NIGHT TV PLAY Since L7Y!! NFL TOTALS PLAY m L/12Y!! Incl % L9Y!!! SUNDAY NIGHT PLAY L/12Y!! PAC 10 PLAY % L/3Y!!!! T!P T!T)L. PL)0. `3<! )ND -?,-E&a 6DNK7 8Ob.\<7855 O! College Totals KDNQ 8_b L\6O55 TOTALS PLAYS ARE 15-3 L4W & 8-0 L2W!!!! SIGN UP FOR THE WEEKEND AND ADD TOTALS FOR ONLY... $ 50 BIG 18 PLAY m L/75!!! % In 07 I % TY!! COMBINED! RATED SELECTIONS % Since 9/12/10 Up To 3 New Plays Updated Each Day for College & NFL $ 9 PER PLAY using the NC Debit Card KN3O8NQ88NK877 CoGp Plays are -!T5 $UTT!N ch 6KN8 8_b LO>5555 $UTT!N ch LO>5555 F&EE PL)0. )&E,?JEN!UT EJE&0 D)05555 C)LL T!D)0 F!& 0!U& F&EE >?NNE&.5 $?, D!, PL)0!F T-E >EEM ^Yst W K_ KNH77NO3DNHOQ8!R The PrTCate Play -otltre or W H or the Northcoast DeETt Card.ysteG KOK oytrtght Ypsets Ey 8[ Pt dogs L\K805.?] the L3>55 >E P?CM ) TD[ D!, >E T-?NM >?LL >?N!UT&?,-T EJE&0 >M ). T-E $?, D!, P!>!N NC.ports< PP-5