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1 californiawinning.com SANTA ANITA RACE COURSE (The Great Race Place) Sunday, February 17, 2019 Message Board to My Subscribers What s up with the So Cal weather? I was wondering how I missed five of eight races Friday (I was busy and did not record SA) unheard of for me: on a really bad day I always have at least half the races correct then I came to find out many of my selections were scratched due to off-turf and of course the slop skewed results on the main track I think we had a similar monsoon season January of 2018, but this is rare for So Cal.that s why we geniuses limit our wagering to So Cal to avoid this kind of inclement weather Having checked the Arcadia forecast, I see that it will rain again today, then be clement for the holiday tomorrow Eight of ten Saturday- back in the groove after the rainy weather, but missed the 6 th, with that unlikeable longshot Maxim Rate ($59.40) killing the big late horizontal stuff Post Time today is 12:30 PM PT, 3:30 PM ET I know, weird first post time Mini Happy New Year Handicapping Tips *** wring everything you can out of your DRF, Racing Digest, Race Lens etc., look at everything, every nuance, there could be a clue lurking there don t be formulistic and rely on multiple angles, not just one
2 *** don t be overly concerned about slow workout times, as some trainers don t push it until race time do pay attention to very recent very fast workouts, they provide a great insight as to the race day condition of the horse Horsecallany It is said by the horse whisperers that horses probably do not recognize their name, as dogs do. However, they can routinely be trained to come when called, and that is likely a product of the fact they do recognize familiar faces and voices. Recent studies show that horses recognize human emotions by the person s countenance. Sunday, February 17, 2019 Santa Anita Race Course FOR AMUSEMENT---AND NOT BEMUSEMENT---ONLY!!! (Of course, these are recommendations only, and there are no guarantees in this sport, but that is what generates its mystique. And so, please follow your own heart and mind, considering me as a mere advisor, when making your selections. In any event, I do wish you all the best in your quest to predict the future, because it ain t easy. And remember, horses, just like us, have aches and pains, headaches, suffer fatigue, etc. Try not to get mad at me, I usually have excellent days, occasionally, not-so-excellent days: with all of the informative past performance data we handicappers have in front of us, we have no idea how a particular horse feels at race time. (By way of example, maybe that 50/1 colt is in a big hurry because he has a hot filly waiting for him back at the barn so please stick with me if there are a few speed-bumps along the way.) This analysis is prepared under the reasonable assumption that (i) all turf races will be run on a firm turf track, and (ii) all dirt races will be run on a track graded fast. Should different conditions exist at post time for a given race, please temper these selections with your own best judgment in light of less-than-ideal conditions. Please see my Handicapping Tips No. 6, What If It Rains on Race Day?, in this regard Note: Please keep in mind that I call them as I see them and do not set the odds, nor do I even look at the M/L before I conduct my comprehensive analysis of each race I just select the horses who I believe are the most likely to come in first, second and third, respectively however, as we all know, a horse is a horse, of course, of course on any given day. Additional Note: There is no warranty, express, implied, legal, moral, or otherwise with respect to these graded selections, they are for amusement only. There is likewise no
3 warranty, express, implied, legal, moral, or otherwise, for any failure on my part to transmit any daily analysis to you: your sole remedy in the unlikely event that happens is that you will receive a credit for one day s analysis and you will receive the next racing day s analysis free of charge. All purchases are final, and thank you. Incidentally, did you know: the average career of an NFL running back is a mere 2.57 years, and the average number of total career races for a thoroughbred is a mere eighteen races? Did you know: while thoroughbred horses tend to max out at about 40 m.p.h., quarter horses in very short races have been clocked at 55 m.p.h For only $2 for a daily card, or $20 for a thirty calendar-day subscription, you can have my full card delivered to your electronic mail inbox for each racing day for a calendar month. Even if you prefer your selections to mine, look at it this way: I provide a rather elegant summary, in one sentence, of all of the relevant information from the past performances of three contestants, the three horses whom most would agree are the contenders just look after Today s Free Selections below to see how to order, and thank you THE FOLLOWING ARE TODAY S FREE SELECTIONS : Races 1-4 (see below) Note- for newcomers: here is the definition of a Likeable Longshot : it is a horse whom we do not expect to win or place in the contest, however, his/her payoff will be huge (usually, 10/1 or better) and there is some other mitigating factor that suggests that a nominal bet could payoff really nicely. Other mitigating factors which suggest you make a nominal (by your definition) win/place bet on this longshot might include one of more of the following: the horse has a high percentage of winning at race distance, he or she carries a great jockey, or carries a good jockey with a significant weight allowance, or, the horse comes out fourth in your ranking of the top three, and so on and so on. Sometimes it is almost visceral, preternatural even I am sure you get the idea now don t bet the house but it makes an excellent beer money, as in Bud Light, bet! Note: Likeable Longshots are not available in this free version of californiawinning.com s analysis. To view Likeable Longshots please go to
4 californiawinnig.com and click on Today s Full Racing Card and follow the process indicated. You will be glad you did, my subscribers are way ahead on the Likeable Longshots--- we just had a $75 winner recently, $75 for $2!!! ***** ATTENTION: NEW SUBSCRIBERS ARE ELIGIBLE TO GET SIX WEEKS OF COVERAGE FOR $20, INSTEAD OF THE USUAL FOUR, THAT S EONS CHEAPER THAN YOUR DRF OR RACING DIGEST OR LIKE PUBLICATION! SUBSCRIBE NOW AT TODAY S FULL RACE CARD ON THIS SITE RACE 1: All but Vander Kelen have raced on the turf The ML favorite, top 2018 earner, is Jimmy Chila, in large measure because the colt has won and hit the board four times in four efforts on the grass at race distance ( RD ), he is in fact one of four entries to have posted a win on grass at RD, it hurts not that Rosario is in the irons Chill wins 25% of his grass races, sports a spectacular work here, albeit on the dirt, of four furlongs at a bullet 46 3 about five weeks ago, the fact that he carries turf master Desormeaux makes him a clear and present danger. Cats Blame races off short rest (sixteen days), but just won comfortably at RD here in the slop off less rest, he has won two of seven at RD on grass and placed in two other such efforts, look for him to pressure this field. Likeable Longshot: (there is one for this race and there are several today but such are not available in this free version you can go to Today s Full Race Card on this site and purchase today s full analysis for a mere $5, less than you pay for your DRF or Racing Form, and they don t handicap for you OR you can subscribe for thirty (3) calendar days for a mere $20, at the same location on this website If you have a PayPal account you can easily make payment at PayPal.me/SailorBoston if not it is free to set up)
5 RACE 2: Sturdy One races off real short rest, eleven days, but has won off fourteen days rest and placed off ten days rest, so is apparently immune : the elder mare knows little but the dirt sprint, has substantial 2018 earnings, and wins about 25% of her dirt races, connections are very good and she will battle. Princess Kendra is the ML favorite, as she has won two of twelve races at RD and hit the board in six more, she enjoys the avuncular yet sophisticated crowd here too having won seven of twenty-seven (not many horses have raced here that many times), her trainer is top drawer and her rider adequate, she will vie. Conquest Flatterme, top 2018 earner in this field, has won two of seven races at RD, and hit the board in three more, her connections are decent and she could surprise. RACE 3: Extremely well-rested Lady Lucy moves down from her high horse in the graded stakes arena, which she did not like one bit, she is new to the grass but did win a dirt sprint back East, her string of works is top-drawer and her rider/trainer duo is enviable, what with Van Dyke in the irons. Incredibly well-rested Gallovie she won at RD less 330 feet back home in England, where she hit the board in three of four sprints, she did not like RD last time out but was racing off short rest, she too moves down and has enviable connections. Shut It Up is the sole entry to have posted a win on the grass at RD, and she hit the board at five furlongs on the grass too, the trainer is excellent and she carries our winningest apprentice, he of the continuing five-pound weight allowance, she cannot be ignored here. RACE 4: Rested Oracle Of Omaha moves down class-wise, won at RD less 330 feet and has hit the board both of his dirt sprints, the trainer is top-tier and the rider is our best apprentice. Owning is one of two entries (see also I Belong
6 to Becky) to have posted a win at RD, which came here last month, he has won a heady three of four dirt sprints, connections are good and he will battle royally. Contrary to my opinion, the ML favorite is Nice Work, who comes off a laugher of a win here, by nearly six lengths, at RD less 330 feet, with Rosario aboard, the rest is a week short here but that win came off a mere seventeen days rest, the only thing is, this is his third race in 38 days, does he have enough in the tank to win? ***** californiawinning.com (all rights reserved) You can buy today s full analysis for $5, or, Why not subscribe now, it s less than $1 per day far less than what you pay for The DRF or Racing Digest and more informative to boot, since they do not provide a graded handicap and far less than the touts charged for their card when this track opened on December 25, 1934 So, for Today s Full Race card for the mere sum of $5, or, better yet, to subscribe for 30 calendar days analysis for only $20, go to californiawinning.com, click on Today s Full Race Card and pay through your PayPal account (or use a credit card or debit card), OR, if you have a PayPal account, for an easier one-click process go to PayPal.me/SailorBoston and make your payment if you do not have a PayPal account you can easily set one up---and it s free. Today s deadline for payments is 2:00 p.m. PDT, 5:00 p.m. EDT, and I will send you today s selections promptly after you make your payment. If you have made a payment after that time in error, I will issue a credit to you. Thank you. Comments, constructive criticism? For example, how soon before the first post time should I try to post my recommendations? Try: fryer08057@yahoo.com Also, check out my free Handicapping Tips at californiawinning.com. You will really like the one, Probabilities (Pick 6) It s a can t miss and the latest one, What If It Rains on Race Day?
7
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