Water Cycle in Bangladesh and Prospected Activities for GEOSS in the Meghna Basin

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1 Water Cycle in Bangladesh and Prospected Activities for GEOSS in the Meghna Basin Md. Nazrul Islam Department of Physics Bangladesh University of Engineering & Technology and Shah Mohammad Iqbal Ministry of Defense Govt. of the People s Republic of Bangladesh

2 The water cycle or the hydrologic cycle source: website

3 GeoFea 30N TIBETAN PLATEAU 20N 10N INDIA MYANMAR BAY OF BENGAL EQ 60E 70E 80E 90E 100E

4 Fig1 Historical Rainfall records in Bangladesh Pre-monsoon MAM - 3 months Rainfall (mm) Pre-monsoon Monsoon JJAS - 4 months Monsoon Post-monsoon ON - 2 months JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC Post-monsoon Fig. Annual rainfall in Bangladesh in different months. Data averaged for 31 stations from

5 Bangladesh drains the combined catchment areas of the Ganges, Brahmaputra, and Meghna rivers an area equivalent to 1.75 million square kilometers. BUET

6 Rivers: Total=230, Major=3, 57 are transboundary rivers coming from India ~93% of the catchment areas of the rivers are located outside the country BUET

7 26.08 intro BRAHMAPUTRA Rain-gauge Rainfall ( ) LATITUDE (N) GANGES LONGITUDE (E) MEGHNA BAY OF BENGAL mm/day Historical ( ) rainfall over the country. The triangles represent the rain-gauge locations in Bangladesh.

8 BUET

9 Flood Year About 22 % of the area of the country is flooded each year Annual rainfall anomally (mm)

10 AnlysisArea NEPAL BHUTAN BANGLADESH INDIA Coverage of Dhaka Radar INDIA MYANMAR BAY OF BENGAL

11 AMJJA 2000 RAD Fig. 11. Same as Fig. 7 except averaged for 16 April to 30 August 2000.

12 TRMM NEPAL GANGES BRAHMAPUTRA INDIA INDIA MEGHNA BAY OF BENGAL INDIA MYANMAR TRMM 3B42 data shows the signature of high precipitation in the NE and S sides of the country. This result is consistent with radar analysis.

13 MIKE11-GIS WARNING! FFWC is in a development stage of Bangladesh and Dhaka inundation maps. The presented maps may in some regions be inaccurate. Inundation maps are created by combined use of a digital elevation model (DEM) of the considered area and simulated water levels by the Super Model. Especially the used DEM s for Bangladesh and Dhaka, respectively, are not precise, which may create

14

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16 Evaluation of Forecast of 1998 The recent flood of 1998 has been of unprecedented magnitude and duration causing colossal damages to life, crops, properties and infrastructures of Bangladesh. During the flood 98 the Flood Forecasting & Warning Centre of BWDB issued the forecast using the MIKE-11 and Flood watch Model Systems. Flood July 2004

17 Prospected activities Rain-gauge data- existed and newly installed Radar data- continuous observation Upper-air observational data- as available Satellite data- if available Composite Map for real time Flood monitoring Surface Water Model- for lead time Forecasting

18 Facilities available and Proposed

19 Flood Areas (%) Decal Variation of Flood Areas in Bangladesh(%)

20 OBSERVATORIES OF BMD LOCATION OF FIRST CLASS OBSERVATORY 26 Dinajpur Rangpur Proposed FIRST CLASS OBSERVATORY 25 Bogra INDIA Mymensingh Sylhet LOCATION OF PBO Rajshahi Ishurdi Tangail Srimangal 24 Chuadanga Faridpur Dhaka Comilla INDIA LOCATION OF RAWINSONDE OBSERVATORIES INDIA Jessore Satkhira Khulna Madaripur Barisal Bhola Patuakhali Khepupara M.Court Feni Sandwip Rangamati Hatiya Chittagong BAY OF BENGAL Coxs_Bazar 21 Teknaf

21 NEPAL RANGPUR BHUTAN INDIA Proposed Doppler Radar DHAKA INDIA KHEPUPARA BANGLADESH MYANMAR COX S BAZAR BMD Radar Facilities BAY OF BENGAL

22 JICA Rain-gauges Proposed Rain-gauges Other Rain-gauges

23 Requirements for MAHASRI Project in Bangladesh Renovate old JICA Rain-gauges New Rain-gauges in Meghna Basin Support for continuous radar operation Support for upper-air observation facilities (if possible) Satellite data access (if possible) Upgradation of existing Satellite data reception system

24 Thank You

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