The State of the Climate Address

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1 The State of the Climate Address Nolan J. Doesken Colorado Climate Center, Atmospheric Science Dept, Colorado State University Presented to Colorado Water Officials Association, 2005 Annual Meeting, September 29, 2005, Glenwood Springs, CO Prepared by Odie Bliss

2 The Basics of the Climate of Colorado Photo Lynn Kral

3 Colorado Average Annual Precipitation

4 Average Precipitation for Selected Locations Water Year Average Precipitation for Selected Stations in the I-70 Transect Grand Junction Glenwood Spr Eagle Vail Vail Pass Dillon Precipitation (inches) Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

5 Average Precipitation for Selected Locations Water Year Average Precipitation for Selected Stations in the I-70 Transect Loveland Pass Georgetown Ralston Resvr Denver Byers Burlington Limon Precipitation (inches) Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

6 Colorado Snowpack

7 Typical Streamflow Patterns Can you guess the name and location of this river?

8 So, Where Have We Been? Photo by Matt Stark Photo by MJ. Brodzik

9 Statewide Annual Precipitation Colorado Statewide Annual Precipitation Annual Precipitation (inches)

10 month SPI Fraction of Colorado in Drought Based on 48 month SPI ( August 2005) Year Fraction (in percent)

11 1999 Water Year Precipitation

12 2000 Water Year Precipitation

13 2001 Water Year Precipitation

14 2002 Water Year Precipitation

15 2003 Water Year Precipitation

16 2004 Water Year Precipitation

17 WY03 WY05 WY04 WY02

18 WY05 WY04 WY03 WY02

19 April 1 Snowpack APRIL 1 SNOWPACK COLORADO STATEWIDE Percent of Average Year

20 Drought Monitor Sep 21, 1999

21 Drought Monitor Sep 19, 2000

22 Drought Monitor Sep 18, 2001

23 Drought Monitor Sep 17, 2002

24 Drought Monitor Sep 23, 2003

25 Drought Monitor Sep 21, 2004

26 Drought Monitor Sep 20, 2005

27 Colorado Average Summer (Jun-Aug) Temperature, Colorado Statewide Average Summer (Jun-Aug) Temperature Temperature Average Temperature Temperature (deg F)

28 Colorado Average Winter (Dec-Feb) Temperature, Colorado Statewide Average Winter (Dec-Feb) Temperature 1934 Temperature Average Temperature Temperatuure (deg F)

29 Where We Stand Today Hotel Colorado photo by Frank Sterns

30 Garfield County, 9/28/2005 Garfield County

31 2005 Water Year Precipitation

32

33 Colorado Temperature Departures 10.0 Water Year Departure (Degrees Fahrenheit) Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Eastern Plains Foothills Mountains Western Valleys

34 Colorado Reservoir Storage Colorado Statewide Reservoir Levels on October 1st for Years and Sep 1, Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct Sep Provisional Data Provided by NRCS Percent of Average

35 So, What Comes Next? Photo by S. J. Lindquist

36 SST (Sea Surface Temperatures)

37 SST Anomalies

38 El Nino Southern Oscillation

39 El Nino Forecast

40 Temperature Oct-Dec 2005 From the Colorado Prediction Center

41 Precipitation Oct-Dec 2005 From the Colorado Prediction Center

42 Temperature Jan-Mar 2006 From the Colorado Prediction Center

43 Precipitation Jan-Mar 2006 From the Colorado Prediction Center

44 Temperature Apr-Jun 2006 From the Colorado Prediction Center

45 Precipitation Apr-Jun 2006 From the Colorado Prediction Center

46 Temperature Jul-Sep 2006 From the Colorado Prediction Center

47 Precipitation Jul-Sep 2006 From the Colorado Prediction Center

48 My Suggestion? Sign up for CoCoRaHS!

49 Community Collaborative Rain, Hail and Snow Network

50 Colorado 9/22/2005

51 Colorado, 9/28/2005

52 How many volunteers do we need? Our goal is at least one per square mile over urbanized areas. As many as we can find in rural areas.

53 For More Information, Visit the CoCoRaHS Web Site Support for this project provided by Informal Science Education Program, National Science Foundation and many local charter sponsors.

54 Colorado Climate Center Data and Power Point Presentations available for downloading click on Drought then click on Presentations

55 That s all folks! THE END

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