Nolan Doesken Colorado Climate Center
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1 Nolan Doesken Colorado Climate Center Presented to: Colorado Cattleman s s Association, Pueblo, CO, June 19, Prepared by Odie Bliss 1
2 Let s s Talk About Precipitation Strasburg, Colo, Photo by Ian Wittmeyer 2
3 Precipitation: Annual Climatology ( ) 3
4 Colorado Average Annual Precipitation 4
5 I-70 Transect ave pp graph Water Year Average Precipitation for Selected Stations 5.0 Grand Junction Glenwood Spr Vail Pass Loveland Pass Denver Limon Precipitation (inches) Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 5
6 Have We Been Average? Colorado Statewide Water Year (Oct-Sep) Precipitation from Year Precipitation (inches)
7 Jun-May (12-Month Period) Statewide Precipitation Most Recent 12-Month Period (Jun - May) Average = Inches Most Recent 12-Month Period (Jun - May) Trend = Inches / Decade 7
8 Colorado Statewide May Precipitation
9 Colorado Statewide May Average Temperatures
10 1999 Water Year Precipitation 10
11 Sept 1999 Drought Monitor Map 11
12 2000 Water Year Precipitation 12
13 October 2000 Drought Monitor Map 13
14 2001 Water Year Precipitation 14
15 October 2001 Drought Monitor Map 15
16 2002 Water Year Precipitation 16
17 October 2002 Drought Monitor Map 17
18 2003 Water Year Precipitation 18
19 September 2003 Drought Monitor Map 19
20 2004 Water Year Precipitation 20
21 September 2004 Drought Monitor Map 21
22 2005 Water Year Precipiation 22
23 October 2005 Drought Monitor Map 23
24 Oct 2005 map of precipitation as percent of average 24
25 What s s the Status of Drought Now?? 25
26 26
27 We ve gone down hill since this time last year 27
28 Month SPI Fraction of Colorado in Drought Based on 48 month SPI ( April 2006) Year Fraction (in percent)
29 November 05 May 06 29
30 Pueblo Reservoir Precipitation Deficits Pueblo Reservoir Precipitation Deficits Departure Accum Dep 30 Precipitation (inches) Jan-00 Apr-00 Jul-00 Oct-00 Jan-01 Apr-01 Jul-01 Oct-01 Jan-02 Apr-02 Jul-02 Oct-02 Jan-03 Apr-03 Jul-03 Oct-03 Jan-04 Apr-04 Jul-04 Oct-04 Jan-05 Apr-05 Jul-05 Oct-05 Jan-06 Apr-06
31 Altenbern Precipitation Deficits Altenbern Precipitation Deficits 31 Precipitation (inches) Jan-00 Apr-00 Jul-00 Oct-00 Jan-01 Apr-01 Jul-01 Oct-01 Jan-02 Apr-02 Jul-02 Oct-02 Jan-03 Apr-03 Jul-03 Oct-03 Jan-04 Apr-04 Jul-04 Oct-04 Jan-05 Apr-05 Jul-05 Oct-05 Jan-06 Apr-06 Departure Accum Dep
32 Greeley Precipitation Deficits Greeley Precipitation Deficits 32 Precipitation (inches) Jan-00 Apr-00 Jul-00 Jul-05 Oct-00 Jan-01 Apr-01 Jul-01 Oct-01 Jan-02 Apr-02 Jul-02 Oct-02 Jan-03 Apr-03 Jul-03 Oct-03 Jan-04 Apr-04 Jul-04 Oct-04 Jan-05 Apr-05 Oct-05 Jan-06 Apr-06 Departure Accum Dep
33 What Comes Next? 33
34 Drought or Flood? Which Will It Be? 34
35 Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) Last update: June 9,
36 El Nino Forecast 36
37 Temperature July
38 Temperature Jul-Sep From the Climate Prediction Center
39 Precipitation Jul-Sep From the Climate Prediction Center
40 Temperature Oct-Dec From the Climate Prediction Center
41 Precipitation Oct-Dec From the Climate Prediction Center
42 Temperature Jan-Mar From the Climate Prediction Center
43 Precipitation Jan-Mar From the Colorado Prediction Center
44 If we can t t predict it, at least we can track it! 44
45 CoAgMet Weather Data for Agriculture Automated weather stations with daily and hourly readings of: Temperature Humidity Wind Precipitation Solar Energy Evapotranspiration 45
46 CoAgMet Temperatures Hoehne, CO Center, CO 46
47 CoCoRaHS Community Collaborative Rain, Hail, and Snow Network Support for this project provided by Informal Science Education Program, National Science Foundation and many local charter sponsors. 47
48 Colorado 6/17/06 48
49 Colorado 8/19/
50 Clear Hail Stones 50 Photos courtesy of CoCoRaHS observer.
51 Damaged Hail Pad 51
52 And you can help too! 52
53 Sign up today! Raingauges available today! See me at the break. 53
54 Colorado Climate Center Colorado State University Data and Power Point Presentations available for downloading click on Drought then click on Presentations 54
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