Weather and Climate Impacts on Water Supply

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1 Weather and Climate Impacts on Water Supply Nolan Doesken Colorado Climate Center Atmospheric Science Department Colorado State University Presented at the South Platte Forum, Longmont, CO, October 26, 2005 Prepared by Odie Bliss

2

3 Water Year 2005 temperature departures from average Water Year Departure (Degrees Fahrenheit) Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Eastern Plains Foothills Mountains Western Valleys

4 Colorado Statewide Winter Temperature Average Colorado Statewide Average Winter (Dec-Feb) Temperature Temperature Average Temperature Temperatuure (deg F)

5 Colorado Statewide Summer Temperature Average Colorado Statewide Average Summer (Jun-Aug) Temperature Temperature Average Temperature Temperature (deg F)

6 July 2005 Daily Temperatures July 2005 Daily Maximum and Mininum Temperatures 110 Colo Spr DIA Grand Jct Ft Collins Temperature (deg F) Day

7 Joe Wright Snotel

8 University Camp Snotel

9 Hoosier Pass Snotel

10 Upper San Juan Snotel

11 April 1 Snowpack

12 Water Year 2005 precipitation as a percent of the average

13 Boulder 2005 Water Year 2005 Water Year 30 Year Averages Max Year Min Year Period of Record Average Water Year Accumulated Precipitation (inches) OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP Months

14 Cheesman 2005 Water Year 30 Year Averages Max Year Min Year Period of Record Average Water Year Accumulated Precipitaton (Inches) OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP Months

15 Leroy 5SW 2005 Water Year 30 Year Averages Max Year Min Year Period of Record Average Water Year Accumulated 2002 Water Year Accumulated Accumulated Precipitation (Inches) OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP Months

16 Colorado Statewide Water Year Precipitation Totals Colorado Statewide Water Year (Oct-Sep) Precipitation from Year Precipitation (inches)

17 South Platte Headquarters

18 South Platte River at Englewood

19 St. Vrain Creek below Longmont

20 South Platte River at Fort Morgan

21 Oct Reservoir Storage Levels Colorado Statewide Reservoir Levels on October 1st for Years and Oct 1, 2005 Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct Percent of Average

22 Summary Snow blitz across southern Rockies. Near-average snowpack in the South Platte basin. Mild winter (12 th in a row). Beneficial April and early June precipitation. A hot and dry July. Below average growing season precipitation. A saving Denver-metro rain August 3-5 th. Overall Above average temperature, near to slightly below average precipitation. October 2005 Great moisture on the Plains!

23 Month SPI Fraction of Colorado in Drought Based on 48 month SPI ( September 2005) Year Fraction (in percent)

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25 Temperature Nov-Jan 2006 From the Colorado Prediction Center

26 Precipitation Nov-Jan 2006 From the Colorado Prediction Center

27 Temperature Feb-Apr 2006 From the Colorado Prediction Center

28 Precipitation Feb-Apr 2006 From the Colorado Prediction Center

29 Temperature May-Jul 2006 From the Colorado Prediction Center

30 Precipitation May-Jul 2006 From the Colorado Prediction Center

31 And How About CoCoRaHS?

32 CoCoRaHS Colorado Statewide map for April 11, 2005

33 CoCoRaHS Colorado Statewide map for August 4, 2005

34 CoCoRaHS Colorado Statewide map for October 10, 2005

35 CoCoRaHS Colorado Statewide map for October 11, 2005

36 For more information visit the CoCoRaHS Web site Support for this project provided by Informal Science Education Program, National Science Foundation and many local charter sponsors.

37 Colorado Climate Center Data and Power Point Presentations available for downloading click on Drought then click on Presentations

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