Is this time really dierent? Long term macroeconomic paerns in the US economy
|
|
- Brook O’Brien’
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Is this time really dierent? Long term macroeconomic paerns in the US economy G. Dosi M. E. Virgillito Scuola Superiore Sant Anna (R)EVOLUTION ROAD Turin, 25 October G. Dosi (SSSUP) The IV Industrial Revolution Turin, 25 October 1 / 17
2 Is this time really dierent? The Industrial Revolution was no marriage party for the working classes: it was largely an era of degradation of social conditions and it took decades for productivity growth to trickle down to the working classes. Today there are worrying factors which hint that it might not be so in near future. And they have to do with both the impact of the new technologies and, even more so, with the ways the old socio-economic regime, call it Fordist, progressively exhausted its driving force. G. Dosi (SSSUP) The IV Industrial Revolution Turin, 25 October 2 / 17
3 Some long term paerns 1 Stagnant wages and divergence between productivity growth and wage growth 2 De-industrialization 3 Declining labour share 4 Massive surge in corporate profits, especially financial ones 5 Declining labour force participation 6 Declining business dynamism and net job creation 7 Soaring inequality 8 Polarization and growing number of part-time jobs (gig-economy) G. Dosi (SSSUP) The IV Industrial Revolution Turin, 25 October 3 / 17
4 The wage productivity gap in the US Economy G. Dosi (SSSUP) The IV Industrial Revolution Turin, 25 October 4 / 17
5 Real wage growth Figure: Source: Economic Policy Institute G. Dosi (SSSUP) The IV Industrial Revolution Turin, 25 October 5 / 17
6 Real wage growth Figure: Source: Economic Policy Institute G. Dosi (SSSUP) The IV Industrial Revolution Turin, 25 October 6 / 17
7 Decline of manufacturing shares 40 Percent of Employment in Manufacturing in Germany (DISCONTINUED) Percent of Employment in Manufacturing in Italy (DISCONTINUED) Percent of Employment in Manufacturing in the United States (DISCONTINUED) Percent of Employment in Manufacturing in France (DISCONTINUED) Percent of Employment in Manufacturing in the United Kingdom (DISCONTINUED) Percent fred.stlouisfed.org myf.red/g/5awa G. Dosi (SSSUP) The IV Industrial Revolution Turin, 25 October 7 / 17
8 Decline of labour compensation shares 0.90 Share of Labour Compensation in GDP at Current National Prices for Germany Share of Labour Compensation in GDP at Current National Prices for United States Share of Labour Compensation in GDP at Current National Prices for Italy Share of Labour Compensation in GDP at Current National Prices for France Share of Labour Compensation in GDP at Current National Prices for China Percent fred.stlouisfed.org myf.red/g/5awx G. Dosi (SSSUP) The IV Industrial Revolution Turin, 25 October 8 / 17
9 Surge of profits Corporate Profits After Tax (without IVA and CCAdj) 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 Billions of Dollars 1,200 1, Source: US. Bureau of Economic Analysis fred.stlouisfed.org myf.red/g/4jqk G. Dosi (SSSUP) The IV Industrial Revolution Turin, 25 October 9 / 17
10 Declining labor force unionization rate G. Dosi (SSSUP) The IV Industrial Revolution Turin, 25 October 10 / 17
11 Declining Job creation rate Figure: Source: Decker, Haltiwanger et al, G. Dosi (SSSUP) The IV Industrial Revolution Turin, 25 October 11 / 17
12 Jobless recovery Figure: Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics G. Dosi (SSSUP) The IV Industrial Revolution Turin, 25 October 12 / 17
13 Polarization Figure: Source: Jaimovich and Siu, 2014 G. Dosi (SSSUP) The IV Industrial Revolution Turin, 25 October 13 / 17
14 Declining job participation rate 68 Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate Percent Source: US. Bureau of Labor Statistics fred.stlouisfed.org myf.red/g/4kpd G. Dosi (SSSUP) The IV Industrial Revolution Turin, 25 October 14 / 17
15 Increasing trend in self-employment (Katz and Kreuger, 2015) Figure 1: Trends in Self-Employment Percent of CPS Total Employed Schedule C Filings CPS Unincorporated Self-Employed CPS Total Self-Employed Note: Shading denotes recession. Source: Current Population Survey; IRS Statistics of Income Publication 1304 (Table 1.3) G. Dosi (SSSUP) The IV Industrial Revolution Turin, 25 October 15 / 17
16 What do unions do? Figure: The beneficial eects of unionization - Freeman, 1980, JOLE G. Dosi (SSSUP) The IV Industrial Revolution Turin, 25 October 16 / 17
17 Conclusion (R)evolution road? Whatever the future, these are the initial conditions of the path. Be careful to not overstate technological factors alone...socio and macroeconomic conditions are equally relevant. G. Dosi (SSSUP) The IV Industrial Revolution Turin, 25 October 17 / 17
U.S. Overview. Gathering Steam? Tuesday, October 1, 2013
U.S. Overview Gathering Steam? Tuesday, October 1, 2013 Uneven global economic recovery Annual real GDP growth projections (%) Projections 2013 2014 World 3.1 3.1 3.8 United States 2.2 1.7 2.7 Euro Area
More informationFrom Recession to Recovery
From Recession to Recovery Monday, April 26, 2010 8:00 AM - 9:15 AM Moderator Michael Klowden, President and CEO, Milken Institute Speakers Mohamed El-Erian, CEO and Co-Chief Investment Officer, Pacific
More informationNational Transfer Accounts in Mexico
National Transfer Accounts in Mexico Policy implications: labor market Iván Mejía Guevara imejiag@stanford.edu Stanford University 12th Global Meeting of the NTA Network, Mexico City, July 23-27, 2018
More informationPuget Sound Regional Forecast Chris Mefford Community Attributes
2015 Puget Sound Regional Forecast Chris Mefford Community Attributes 3 1,000s The Regional Economy has added jobs consistently for nearly 5 full years. In a few months, this will be the longest streak
More informationIt s the economy stupid!
It s the economy stupid! (and it doesn t have to be this way!) October 28, 2011 Alameda, CA Sylvia A. Allegretto, PhD Center on Wage & Employment Dynamics University of California, Berkeley The critical
More informationDistributional National Accounts: Methods and Estimates for the United States
Distributional National Accounts: Methods and Estimates for the United States Thomas Piketty (PSE) Emmanuel Saez (UC Berkeley) Gabriel Zucman (UC Berkeley) November 2016 There is a large disconnect today
More informationThe Wisconsin and Minnesota Economies: What can we learn from each other? Noah Williams
The Economies: What can we learn from each other? Noah University of Wisconsin - Madison Future Wisconsin Summit 2016 Economies Location, size, demographics, and history make Wisconsin and Minnesota natural
More informationThe Economic Outlook. Economic Policy Division
The Economic Outlook Economic Policy Division Glass Half Full Six plus years of moderate growth Real GDP Outlook Percent Change, Annual Rate 10 5 0-5 -10 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Glass Half
More informationSeven Lean Years Explaining Persistent Global Economic Weakness
Seven Lean Years Explaining Persistent Global Economic Weakness 9 June 2015 Bank of Canada and European Central Bank Conference Tim Lane Deputy Governor Bank of Canada The global economy remains weak and
More informationThe Economic Outlook. Economic Policy Division
The Economic Outlook Economic Policy Division Glass Half Full Six years of steady growth Real GDP Outlook Percent Change, Annual Rate 10 5 0-5 -10 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Glass Half Full
More informationRBC Economics Financial Update Dawn Desjardins
RBC Economics Financial Update Dawn Desjardins CICA/RBC Q4 2011 Business Monitor Economic Results Overview Business and Economic Optimism Begin to Stablize 100 % 80 % 60 % 40 % 20 % 0 % National Optimism
More informationSouthwest Ohio Regional Economy in Context. Richard Stock, PhD. Business Research Group
Southwest Ohio Regional Economy in Context Richard Stock, PhD. Business Research Group State of the Metro Area (in January Each Year) Total Employment has slowly increased in the last three years after
More information2018 Annual Economic Forecast Dragas Center for Economic Analysis and Policy
2018 Annual Economic Forecast Dragas Center for Economic Analysis and Policy PRESENTING SPONSOR EVENT PARTNERS 2 The forecasts and commentary do not constitute an official viewpoint of Old Dominion University,
More informationLabor Markets. Chris Edmond NYU Stern. Spring 2007
Labor Markets Chris Edmond NYU Stern Spring 2007 1 Today Labor market indicators employment, unemployment, participation Labor supply and demand Cross-country comparisons of labor market outcomes Labor
More informationReading the Tea Leaves: Investing for 2010 and Beyond
Reading the Tea Leaves: Investing for 2010 and Beyond Wednesday, April 28, 2010; 8:00 AM - 9:15 AM Moderator: Maria Bartiromo, Anchor, CNBC's Closing Bell With Maria Bartiromo Speakers: Nick Calamos, President
More informationNational and Virginia Economic Outlook Professor Robert M. McNab Dragas Center for Economic Analysis and Policy Strome College of Business
National and Virginia Economic Outlook Professor Robert M. McNab Dragas Center for Economic Analysis and Policy Strome College of Business October 24, 2018 The forecasts and commentary do not constitute
More informationGlobal economy s strong momentum intact despite elevated level of uncertainty. Canada headed for another year of solid growth
ECONOMICS I RESEARCH Global economy s strong momentum intact despite elevated level of uncertainty Canada headed for another year of solid growth Dawn Desjardins (Deputy Chief Economist) (416) 974-6919
More informationCharting a Path to Lift Off? Understanding the Shifting Economic Winds
Charting a Path to Lift Off? Understanding the Shifting Economic Winds Thomas F. Siems, Ph.D. Assistant Vice President and Senior Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Government Finance Officers Arlington,
More informationFrance : Economic developments and reforms, where are we heading?
France : Economic developments and reforms, where are we heading? The Economic Club of New York : 18 April 2018 François VILLEROY de GALHAU, Governor of the Banque de France 1 WHERE ARE WE STARTING FROM?
More informationThe Eurozone integration, des-integration and possible future developments
The Eurozone integration, des-integration and possible future developments 18 th Monetary Policy Workshop at the Berlin School of Economcs and Law, 12 13 October 2017 Overview Position 1: The euro itself
More informationEconomic Update and Prospects for 2019 Professor Robert M. McNab Dragas Center for Economic Analysis and Policy Strome College of Business
Economic Update and Prospects for 2019 Professor Robert M. McNab Dragas Center for Economic Analysis and Policy Strome College of Business January 3, 2019 The forecasts and commentary do not constitute
More informationThe U.S. Economic Outlook
The U.S. Economic Outlook Presented to: Maquiladora Industry Outlook Conference September 29 2006 Presented by: Patrick Newport Principal, U.S. Macroeconomic Service 781-301-9125 patrick.newport@globalinsight.com
More information10 County Conference. Richard Wobbekind. Executive Director Business Research Division & Senior Associate Dean Leeds School of Business
10 County Conference Richard Wobbekind Executive Director Business Research Division & Senior Associate Dean Leeds School of Business Hmm... (http://myfallsemester.blogspot.com) Real GDP Growth Percent
More informationThe Auction Market In 2015 & 2016 Review & Forecast. Dr. Ira Silver NAAA Economist
The Auction Market In 2015 & 2016 Review & Forecast Dr. Ira Silver NAAA Economist silver@naaa.com Agenda Economic conditions Economic outlook Light vehicle sales Light vehicle sales outlook NAAA 2015 Annual
More informationComment on: Productivity Growth, Wage Growth and Unions by Kügler, Schönberg and Schreiner
Comment on: Productivity Growth, Wage Growth and Unions by Kügler, Schönberg and Schreiner Michael C. Burda Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, CEPR and IZA ECB Forum Sintra, 20 June 2018 What this paper does
More informationGlobal economy maintaining solid growth momentum. Canada leading the pack
Global economy maintaining solid growth momentum Canada leading the pack Dawn Desjardins (Deputy Chief Economist) (416) 974-6919 dawn.desjardins@rbc.com September 2017 Brighter global outlook gains traction
More informationParticipation. Workers Compensation Insurance Seminar. May 22, Nick Beleiciks
Oregon s Falling Labor Force Participation Workers Compensation Insurance Seminar May 22, 2013 Nick Beleiciks Let s start with a simple graph. Oregon Employment Loss by Recession 0% % Job Loss from Peak
More informationLarry Kessler, Ph.D. Boyd Center for Business & Economic Research University of Tennessee
Larry Kessler, Ph.D. Boyd Center for Business & Economic Research University of Tennessee The U.S. economy has now enjoyed 7 years of economic growth since the Great Recession Real GDP grew by 1.2% in
More informationSession 4. Growth. The World Economy Share of Global GDP Year 2011 (PPP)
Session 4. Growth Stylized Facts on Standards of Living across Countries Characterizing Growth over 1 Years: The US Economy Growth Dynamics of the G7 Countries and the OECD Economies Characterizing Growth
More informationStocks and Bonds Track Aging Population:
Stocks and Bonds Track Aging Population: 1952-2008 8 85.00% 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Correlation: 93% Stocks and Bonds as a Percentage of Household Liquid Financial Assets (left scale) Population 35 Years and Over
More informationEconomic Update and Outlook
The Building Industry Association Of Okaloosa-Walton Counties Economic Update and Outlook Rick Harper, PhD February 1, 2018 The Economic Outlook 3rd longest postwar expansion for U.S., marked 103 months
More informationSmall Business Dynamics and Job Creation. Small Business Numbers, Pretty Pictures and Not So Pretty Pictures
Small Business Dynamics and Job Creation Or Small Business Numbers, Pretty Pictures and Not So Pretty Pictures Brian Headd Office of Advocacy U.S. Small Business Administration Employers 8,000,000 7,500,000
More informationCurrent Hawaii Economic Conditions. Eugene Tian
Current Hawaii Economic Conditions Eugene Tian Department of Business, Economic Development & Tourism At the PATA/TTRA 2016 Annual Outlook & Economic Forecast Forum February 3, 2016 Positive Signs in the
More informationMore of the Same; Or now for Something Completely Different?
More of the Same; Or now for Something Completely Different? C2ER Place cover image here Richard Wobbekind Chief Economist and Associate Dean for Business and Government Relations June 14, 2017 Real GDP
More informationIndian Economy in Graphs. Arvind Panagariya Columbia University
Indian Economy in Graphs Growth in GDP and Per-capita GDP 9 8.3 8 7 6.7 6 5.8 5 4 3 2 4.1 2.2 3.2 4.6 2.2 3.7 1 0.8 0 Phase I (1951-64) Phase II (1965-81) Phase III (1981-88) Phase IV (1988-03) Phase V
More informationUS imports from emerging economies have grown rapidly
US imports from emerging economies have grown rapidly Ratio to GDP (current dollars) 0.07 US merchandise imports, 1978 2008 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 Industrial Non-OPEC other 0.01 0 OPEC = Organization
More informationUNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA Economics 134 DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS Spring 2018 Professor David Romer
UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA Economics 134 DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS Spring 2018 Professor David Romer LECTURE 2 OVERVIEW OF THE GREAT DEPRESSION January 22, 2018 I. THE 1920S A. GDP growth and inflation B.
More informationSocial Convergence, Development Failures and Industrial Relations: The Case of Portugal
Social Convergence, Development Failures and Industrial Relations: The Case of Pilar González Faculty of Economics, University of Porto António Figueiredo Quaternaire Context joined the EU with very low
More informationGreat Depressions of the Twentieth Century Project
Great Depressions of the Twentieth Century Project Timothy J. Kehoe and Edward C. Prescott www.greatdepressionsbook.com Cole and Ohanian, The Great Depression in the United States from a Neoclassical Perspective,
More information11 th Annual Oregon Economic Forum!
11 th Annual Oregon Economic Forum! (almost) Beyond! Macroeconomics Portland, OR! October 16, 2014! Expansion Continues! Five Years and More!! Recession Indicators Nonfarm Payrolls Real Personal Income
More informationDeficit Reduction and Economic Growth: Are They Mutually Exclusive Goals? Tuesday, May 1, 2012; 2:30 PM - 3:45 PM
Deficit Reduction and Economic Growth: Are They Mutually Exclusive Goals? Tuesday, May 1, 2012; 2:30 PM - 3:45 PM Moderator: Gillian Tett, U.S. Managing Editor, Financial Times Speakers: Jared Bernstein,
More informationU.S. Economic Activity. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
U.S. Economic Activity Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas 2019 Contents 1 Economic Activity 2 Wages and Prices 3 Financial Activity Economic Activity Economic Activity Index 160 Consumer Confidence and Sentiment
More informationU.S. Economic Activity. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
U.S. Economic Activity Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas 2019 Contents 1 Economic Activity 2 Wages and Prices 3 Financial Activity Economic Activity Economic Activity New Orders for Durable Goods Billions
More informationU.S. Economic Activity. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
U.S. Economic Activity Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas 2019 Contents 1 Economic Activity 2 Wages and Prices 3 Financial Activity Economic Activity Economic Activity Index 160 Consumer Confidence and Sentiment
More informationBC Pension Forum. Economic Outlook. Presented by: Ben Homsy, CFA Portfolio Manager
BC Pension Forum Economic Outlook Presented by: Ben Homsy, CFA Portfolio Manager 1694 1704 1713 1723 1732 1741 1751 1760 1770 1779 1788 1798 1807 1817 1826 1836 1845 1854 1864 1873 1883 1892 1901 1911
More informationCollege/high school median annual earnings gap,
College/high school median annual earnings gap, 1979 2012 In constant 2012 dollars 70,000 dollars Household gap $30,298 to $58,249 60,000 50,000 40,000 Male gap $17,411 to $34,969 30,000 20,000 10,000
More informationEnergy Outlook Global and Domestic Trends and Challenges. Dr. John Caldwell Director of Economics, EEI 1
Energy Outlook Global and Domestic Trends and Challenges Dr. John Caldwell Director of Economics, EEI 1 World GDP Growth Other Economies are Outpacing the U.S. Other, 7996.16, 11% Africa, 3962.51, 6% Latin
More informationThe Herzliya Indices. National Security Balance The Civilian Quantitative Dimension. Herzliya Conference Prof. Rafi Melnick, IDC Herzliya
The Herzliya Indices National Security Balance The Civilian Quantitative Dimension Herzliya Conference 2015 Prof. Rafi Melnick, IDC Herzliya 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
More information2018 Annual Economic Forecast Dragas Center for Economic Analysis and Policy
2018 Annual Economic Forecast Dragas Center for Economic Analysis and Policy PRESENTING SPONSOR EVENT PARTNERS 2 The forecasts and commentary do not constitute an official viewpoint of Old Dominion University,
More informationFigure 1a. Top 1% income share: China vs USA vs France
22% 20% 18% 16% Figure 1a. Top 1% income share: China vs USA vs China USA 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 Distribution of pretax national income (before taxes and
More informationAn Overview of the Canadian Labour Market
An Overview of the Canadian Labour Market ECO339Y Department of Economics University of Toronto 2006/2007 Table 1 Percentage of Selected Groups in Low Income, After Tax (92 LICOs Base), Canada 1980-2003
More informationZions Bank Economic Overview
Zions Bank Economic Overview Intermountain Credit Education League May 10, 2018 Dow Tops 26,000 Up 48% Since 2016 Election Jan 26, 2018 26,616 Oct 30, 2016 17,888 Source: Wall Street Journal Dow Around
More informationThe US Economic Crisis: Impact on Northeast Asia, Lessons from Japan
The US Economic Crisis: Impact on Northeast Asia, Lessons from Japan Richard Katz The Oriental Economist Report rbkatz@ix.netcom.com www.orientaleconomist.com 2008 Japan Watchers LLC. All rights reserved.
More informationKeynesian Macroeconomics for the 21 st Century Part 3: Demand Dynamics, Inequality and Secular Stagnation
Keynesian Macroeconomics for the 21 st Century Part 3: Demand Dynamics, Inequality and Secular Stagnation YSI INET Lectures Edinburgh, Scotland October, 2017 Steven Fazzari Washington University in St.
More informationCanada s Standard of Living in 2042: Will Policy Keep Pace with Technology?
Carleton University, Ottawa March 2-4, 2017 Canada s Standard of Living in 2042: Will Policy Keep Pace with Technology? Christopher Gunn, Carleton University Hashmat Khan, Carleton University Conference
More informationABA Commercial Real Estate Lending Committee
ABA Commercial Real Estate Lending Committee Commercial Real Estate Outlook The Good, the Bad and the Ugly January 16, 2019 Rob Strand Senior Economist American Bankers Association aba.com 1-800-BANKERS
More informationNorthwest Economic Research Center College of Urban and Public Affairs Forecast Breakfast Economic Outlook
Northwest Economic Research Center College of Urban and Public Affairs 2019 Forecast Breakfast Economic Outlook 1/10/2019 2 U.S. ECONOMY 1/10/2019 3 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000
More informationThe Great Convergence: China, India and the new global economy. Mark Thirlwell Program Director, International Economy July 2006
The Great Convergence: China, India and the new global economy Mark Thirlwell Program Director, International Economy July 2006 India Two views of the largest economies in 2005 Top 12 economies by GDP,
More informationForecast evaluation report Robert Chote Chairman
Forecast evaluation report 2017 Robert Chote Chairman Background to the FER The FER is an annual report looking at the performance of past EFO forecasts against the latest outturn data Rationale Accountability
More informationBabson Capital/UNC Charlotte Economic Forecast. May 13, 2014
Babson Capital/UNC Charlotte Economic Forecast May 13, 2014 Outline for Today Myths and Realities of this Recovery Positive Economic Signs Negative Economic Signs Outlook for 2014 The Employment Picture
More informationU.S. Economy in a Snapshot
U.S. Economy in a Snapshot Economic Press Briefing: May 19, 2016 The views expressed here are those of the presenter and do not necessarily represent the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York or
More informationColorado Economic Update
Colorado Economic Update Steamboat Economic Summit Place cover image here Brian Lewandowski Associate Director, Business Research Division October 21, 2016 Recession 8 Months Recession 18 Months Real GDP
More informationBriefing on the State of the State. presented to the. SCAA Schuyler Center for Analysis and Advocacy
Briefing on the State of the State presented to the SCAA Schuyler Center for Analysis and Advocacy Rae D. Rosen Assistant Vice President Federal Reserve Bank of New York November 16, 2006 Key Points: Economic
More informationThe U.S. Economy How Serious A Downturn? Nigel Gault Group Managing Director North American Macroeconomic Services
The U.S. Economy How Serious A Downturn? Nigel Gault Group Managing Director North American Macroeconomic Services Growth Is Cooling; But a Soft Landing Is Likely (Real GDP, annualized rate of growth)
More informationThe Baltic economies: Current situation and future trends, possibilities and pitfalls
The Baltic economies: Current situation and future trends, possibilities and pitfalls Riga, 15 October 2015 Morten Hansen Head of Economics Department, Stockholm School of Economics in Riga Member of the
More information2018 Annual Economic Forecast Dragas Center for Economic Analysis and Policy
2018 Annual Economic Forecast Dragas Center for Economic Analysis and Policy PRESENTING SPONSOR EVENT PARTNERS 2 The forecasts and commentary do not constitute an official viewpoint of Old Dominion University,
More informationThe Herzliya Conference The Economic Dimension Prof. Rafi Melnick Provost, Interdisciplinary Center (IDC) Herzliya
The Herzliya Conference The Economic Dimension 2009 Provost, Interdisciplinary Center (IDC) Herzliya The Big Issues The broken crystal ball A crisis that happens once in 100 years From a country oriented
More informationUnderstanding the. Dr. Christopher Waller. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Understanding the Unemployment Picture Dr. Christopher Waller Senior Vice President and Director of fresearch Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis By David Andolfatto and Marcela Williams A Look at Unemployment
More informationRetrenchment or Stagnation: Lessons from Japan s Lost Decades. Andrew Smithers. UK-Japan 21 st Century Group Conference 3 rd May, 2013
Retrenchment or Stagnation: Lessons from Japan s Lost Decades. Andrew Smithers UK-Japan 21 st Century Group Conference 3 rd May, 2013 Slide 1. The Conventional Wisdom. Japan has suffered from two lost
More informationThe U.S. Economic Recovery: Why so weak and what should be done? William J. Crowder Ph.D.
The U.S. Economic Recovery: Why so weak and what should be done? William J. Crowder Ph.D. Weak Recovery? It s no secret that the U.S. economy has still not fully recovered from the financial crisis and
More informationIssues in the Long-Term Economic Outlook for Canada
Policy and Economic Analysis Program Rotman School of Management University of Toronto Issues in the Long-Term Economic Outlook for Canada Office of the Chief Actuary Canada Pension Plan Seminar September
More informationGlobal Economic Outlook: From Fiscal Cliff to Rushcliffe in 15 minutes. Tom Rogers. Lead Economist, Oxford Economics.
Global Economic Outlook: From Fiscal Cliff to Rushcliffe in 15 minutes Tom Rogers Lead Economist, Oxford Economics trogers@oxfordeconomics.com 16 th January 2013 Overview External environment showing signs
More informationThe Economic Status of Women in the U.S. What Has Changed in the Last Years
The Economic Status of Women in the U.S. What Has Changed in the Last 20 40 Years March 28, 2018 Heidi Hartmann, Ph.D. President, IWPR Scholar in Residence, American University Editor, Journal of Women,
More informationBig Changes, Unknown Impacts
Big Changes, Unknown Impacts Boulder Economic Forecast Place cover image here Richard Wobbekind Senior Economist and Associate Dean for Business and Government Relations January 17, 2018 Real GDP Growth
More informationRISI EUROPEAN CONFERENCE. (Barcelona, 6 March 2018) The European Economy Things look good just now. Can this last?
RISI EUROPEAN CONFERENCE (Barcelona, 6 March 2018) The European Economy Things look good just now. Can this last? Andrea Boltho Magdalen College University of Oxford and Oxford Economics CONCLUSIONS OF
More informationThe Quality of Life of the People in Norway
1 Example Report The Quality of Life of the People in Norway The Management Institute for Quality-of-Life Studies December 2018 2 Introduction This report provides a detailed picture of the quality of
More informationHow Much Wind Is in the Sails?
How Much Wind Is in the Sails? Erie Chamber of Commerce Place cover image here Richard Wobbekind Senior Economist and Associate Dean for Business and Government Relations September 20, 2017 Real GDP Growth
More informationA Slower Global Economy with a Recession Watch in 2019
A Slower Global Economy with a Recession Watch in 2019 Implications for the Semiconductor Outlook Surface Preparation and Cleaning Conference (SPCC) April 3, 2019 Chief Economist, Hilltop Economics, LLC
More informationEconomic Overview. Melissa K. Peralta Senior Economist April 27, 2017
Economic Overview Melissa K. Peralta Senior Economist April 27, 2017 TTX Overview TTX functions as the industry s railcar cooperative, operating under pooling authority granted by the Surface Transportation
More informationEconomic & Financial Market Outlook
Economic & Financial Market Outlook BC Pension Forum March 1, 2013 Chris Lawless, Chief Economist Overview Global forces Recent economic performance ~ US, Europe, Japan, China ~ Other emerging markets
More informationBob Costello Chief Economist & Vice President American Trucking Associations. Economic & Motor Carrier Industry Trends. September 10, 2013
Bob Costello Chief Economist & Vice President American Trucking Associations Economic & Motor Carrier Industry Trends September 10, 2013 The Freight Economy Washington continues to be a headwind on economic
More informationNot For Sale. An American Profile: The United States and Its People
An American Profile: The United States and Its People Not For Sale 1 759_EM_AmPro_ptg1.indd 1 Not For Sale 759_EM_AmPro_ptg1.indd 2 An American Profile: The United States and Its People 3 Table 1 Population,
More informationInequality in America : The 1% in International and Historical Perspective
Inequality in America : The 1% in International and Historical Perspective Thomas Piketty Paris School of Economics Columbia University, September 27 2012 Inequality & capitalism in the long run Long run
More informationThe Virginia Economy: Labor Markets and Workforce
The Virginia Economy: Labor Markets and Workforce April 4, 2017 Sonya Ravindranath Waddell Regional Economist Research Department The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author. They do
More informationThe productivity puzzle: why improving labour productivity is critical for Europe s economic (and political) stability
The productivity puzzle: why improving labour productivity is critical for Europe s economic (and political) stability P. Subacchi, M. Colagrossi Nomura Foundation Macro Economy Research Conference PRODUCTIVITY,
More informationCanadian Teleconference: Can the Canadian Economy Survive the Turmoil in the United States?
Canadian Teleconference: Can the Canadian Economy Survive the Turmoil in the United States? Nigel Gault Chief U.S. Economist Dale Orr Canadian Macroeconomic Services Copyright 2008 Global Insight, Inc.
More informationFigure 1: Gini coefficient
0.50 Figure 1: Gini coefficient Gini coefficient 0.45 0.40 0.35 0.30 All Workers Men Women 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Source: Kopczuk, Saez, Song QJE'10: Wage earnings inequality Year Top 10% Pre-
More informationThe ABA Advantage: Economic Issues Update & ABA Resources
The ABA Advantage: Economic Issues Update & ABA Resources aba.com 1-800-BANKERS Meet the team Jim Chessen Chief Economist Curtis Dubay Senior Economist Brittany Kleinpaste Vice President of Economic Policy
More informationEconomic Update and Outlook
Economic Update and Outlook NAIOP Vancouver Chapter November 15, 2012 Helmut Pastrick Chief Economist Central 1 Credit Union Outline: Global, U.S., and Canadian economic conditions Canada economic and
More informationMuhlenkamp & Company. Webinar December 1, Ron Muhlenkamp, Portfolio Manager Jeff Muhlenkamp, Portfolio Manager Tony Muhlenkamp, President
Muhlenkamp & Company Webinar December 1, 2016 Ron Muhlenkamp, Portfolio Manager Jeff Muhlenkamp, Portfolio Manager Tony Muhlenkamp, President Muhlenkamp & Company, Inc. Intelligent Investment Management
More information2019 ECONOMIC FORECAST AND FINANCIAL MARKET UPDATE
2019 ECONOMIC FORECAST AND FINANCIAL MARKET UPDATE January 14, 2019 Scott Colbert, CFA Executive Vice President Director of Fixed Income & Chief Economist scott.colbert@commercebank.com GLOBAL GROWTH EXPECTATIONS
More informationGENDER INEQUALITY IN THE LABOR MARKET
Table 1.1 Four Measures of Gender Equality, Country Rankings, Mid-1990s Full-Time Occupational Wage Employment Work Integration Equality (1 to 21) (1 to 15) (1 to 18) (1 to 12) Sweden 1 14 6 8 Finland
More informationZions Bank Economic Overview
Zions Bank Economic Overview Veteran Owned Business Conference May 11, 2018 Dow Tops 26,000 Up 48% Since 2016 Election Jan 26, 2018 26,616 Oct 30, 2016 17,888 Source: Wall Street Journal Dow Around Correction
More informationcolorado.edu/business/brd
colorado.edu/business/brd Big Changes, Unknown Impacts Southwest Business Forum Place cover image here Richard Wobbekind Senior Economist and Associate Dean for Business and Government Relations January
More information2014 Economic Indicators, Trends & Observations. 51 South Main Street Janesville, WI P F RockCountyAlliance.
2014 Economic Indicators, Trends & Observations 51 South Main Street Janesville, WI 53545 P.608.757.5598 F.608.757.5586 RockCountyAlliance.com Indicators, Trends & Observations National Level State of
More informationInternational Economic Shocks and the Challenges of International Corporations
RIETI Policy Symposium International Economic Shocks and the Challenges of International Corporations Ryuhei Wakasugi Research Counselor, RIETI Professor Kyoto University and Keio University R. Wakasugi
More informationOpportunities in a Challenging Global Business Environment: Can the World Avoid a Double-Dip?
Opportunities in a Challenging Global Business Environment: Can the World Avoid a Double-Dip? Ross DeVol Chief Research Officer (310) 570 4615 rdevol@milkeninstitute.org www.milkeninstitute.org Presentation
More informationTelling Canada s story in numbers Elizabeth Richards Analytical Studies Branch April 20, 2017
Recent Developments in the Canadian Economy: How have the decline in oil prices and a weaker Canadian dollar affected Canada s economy? www.statcan.gc.ca Telling Canada s story in numbers Elizabeth Richards
More informationMONETARY AND FISCAL POLICIES DURING THE NEXT RECESSION
OXYGEN EVENTS CONFERENCE GALA PERFORMANCE 2017 MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICIES DURING THE NEXT RECESSION - THE CASE OF ROMANIA - Ph.D. Andrei RĂDULESCU Senior Economist, Banca Transilvania Researcher, Institute
More informationGlobal Economic Outlook
Global Economic Outlook Mark A. Wynne Vice President & Associate Director of Research Director, Globalization & Monetary Policy Institute Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Presentation to Vistas Conference
More information