Manitoba Hydro Wholesale Electricity Business Workshop. Ken Adams Senior Vice President Power Supply May 31, 2010 June 1, 2010

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1 Manitoba Hydro Wholesale Electricity Business Workshop Ken Adams Senior Vice President Power Supply May 31, 2010 June 1, 2010

2 Workshop A brief intensive educational program for a relatively small group of people that emphasizes participation in problem solving.

3 Objectives Explain what Manitoba Hydro does today, expects to do in the future, and why. Develop common perspective of Manitoba electricity business environment today and likely future environment. or at least identify differences in perspectives.

4 Objectives Develop common understanding of how Manitoba Hydro manages its wholesale supply obligations and opportunities.

5 Format Informal Brief presentations Discussion No minutes, no transcripts 2 days, 3 rd if required

6 Program Overview Corporation Domestic customers Extra-Provincial partners Governance and Planning Processes External Internal

7 Program Wholesale planning and operations Wholesale concepts Supply/Demand planning Export markets Market considerations

8 Manitoba Hydro MH Act Continuance, adequate for Manitoba Promote economy and efficiency In- Province power and services Outside province power MHEB Interpretation: Within the context of contemporary values and conditions Highest reasonable level of reliability for Manitoba customers Lowest reasonable energy costs for Manitoba customers

9 Manitoba Hydro - How 1920 Federal Government Survey of Nelson River 1963 Study of Hydro Electric Potential of the Nelson River 1966 Federal and Provincial government Agreement on Nelson River Development HVDC Transmission Churchill River Diversion Lake Winnipeg Regulation Series of Generating Stations Irrevocably established the essence of Manitoba Hydro as we know it today.

10 Our Existing System MISSI LAURIE RIVER NOTIGI KETTLE LIMESTONE LONG SPRUCE Generation facilities Transmission lines KELSEY Waterways influenced by hydro development GRAND RAPIDS JENPEG 75% of our generation capacity is in northern Manitoba. Aboriginal communities are located in the vicinity of these projects. ~5000 MW of hydraulic generation ~500 MW thermal generation BRANDON SELKIRK WINNIPEG PINE FALLS GREAT FALLS MCARTHUR FALLS SEVEN SISTERS FALLS POINTE DU BOIS SLAVE FALLS

11 Interests of Many Aboriginal Communities and Manitoba Hydro Overlap MISSI LAURIE RIVER South Indian Lake Mathias Colomb Fox Lake KETTLE LIMESTONE Split Lake LONG SPRUCE NOTIGI War Lake York Factory Nelson KELSEY House Cormorant Opaskwayak Moose lake GRAND RAPIDS Easterville JENPEG Cross Lake Norway House Major Hydro facilities Transmission Lines Aboriginal Communities along developed waterways BRANDON SELKIRK WINNIPEG Sagkeeng PINE FALLS GREAT FALLS MCARTHUR FALLS SEVEN SISTERS POINTE DU BOIS SLAVE FALLS

12 Characteristics of Manitoba Hydro Hydro-electric Not thermal Not nuclear Energy supply un-controlled Power sources distant from customers Extensively interconnected to neighbors Capital intensive Very long planning/development horizon Complex relations with impacted communities

13 Essential Characteristics Hydrologic Resources

14 Essential Characteristics Water Supply Variability

15 Essential Characteristics Large Supply Increments in relation to Domestic Load Growth Relatively steady load growth Dependable Energy

16 Essential Characteristics Increasing Surplus Maximum and Average Annual Energy Min Require increasing interconnection capacity Time

17 Essential Characteristics Interconnections Improve reliability Market surplus power Purchase power Optimize development and operations Diversity exchanges Cycling, temporal arbitrage Emergency support Must be mutually beneficial

18 Interconnections Bring Obligations Reliability Market PUB MISO MRC NERC FERC AESO IESO NEB

19 Net Flow Related Export Revenues Huge variation Step changes Net Export Revenue (200) (400)

20 Retained Earnings Retained Earnings 2,500,000 2,000,000 Dollars 1,500,000 1,000, ,

21 Manitoba Customers Primary Market Reliability of supply Cost of energy

22 Domestic Load 12,000 8,000 4, ,000 16,000 28,000 24,000 32, ,000 2,500 1,000 1,500 4,000 4,500 3,000 3,500 6,000 5,000 5, Fiscal Year Ending Fiscal Year Ending Energy (GW.h) Peak (MW)

23 Reliability Bulk Energy Supply Manitoba Electric Supply Domestic Load Fiscal Year Beginning Hydraulic Thermal Wind Imports Manitoba Load Energy (TWh)

24 Reliability - Bulk Energy Supply 2010/11

25 Reliability Bulk Delivery System Manitoba Installed Capacity 6000 MW Kettle, Kelsey Long Spruce, Jenpeg Limestone Kelsey Emergency Input Capability Brando Pointe, Brandon Year AC System DC System Peak

26 Cost of Energy Average Retail Rate Manitoba Hydro SaskPower Cents per kwh Year Source: Annual Reports

27 Domestic Customers Average Retail Rate Cents per kwh Manitoba Hydro BC Hydro Hydro Quebec SaskPower New Brunswick Power Nova Scotia Power Utility Source: Edison Electric Institute January 1, 2010 Annual Reports

28 2009 Average domestic electricity rate vs Average customer outage duration in minutes Average outage duration (minutes) Canadian Utilities MH $0.04 $0.05 $0.06 $0.07 $0.08 $0.09 $0.10 $0.11 $0.12 $0.13 $0.14 $0.15 $0.16 Average domestic electricity rate per kilowatt-hour

29 Manitoba Hydro s Success (at Wholesale Level) Strong and adequate interconnections Effective exploitation of Available surplus energy Available extra-provincial opportunities

30 Ms. Wray Governance and Planning Processes Mr. Cormie, Ms. Flynn Wholesale Planning and Operations

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