DRIVE Outlook. Mona Kessel NASA HQ. Solar and Space Physics: A Science for a Technological Society. HPS Meeting March 1-2,

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1 DRIVE Outlook Solar and Space Physics: A Science for a Technological Society Mona Kessel NASA HQ HPS Meeting March 1-2,

2 Heliophysics Base ROSES Program $70.0 $60.0 $50.0 LWS $40.0 GI $30.0 GCR TIDS $20.0 SR $10.0 $ HPS Meeting March 1-2,

3 Decadal Survey Implement Drive Recommendation: A NASA tiny-satellite, augmenting Low-Cost Access to Space (LCAS) requiring the addition of $9 million per year. Recommendation: NASA and NSF together heliophysics science centers, requiring NASA funds ramping to $8 million per year. Small satellites Science Centers Grant Programs Instrument development Recommendation: NASA augment MO&DA support by $10 million per year. Recommendation: NASA heliophysics instrument and technology development program ramping to $4 million per year. Recommendation: NASA with NSF and DOE on laboratory plasma, ramping from $2 million per year. HPS Meeting March 1-2,

4 Decadal Survey Implement Drive Decadal Survey President s 2017 Budget $40.0 $35.0 $30.0 GI $25.0 Lab $20.0 ITD $15.0 $10.0 LCAS/Cub esats $5.0 HSC Solar and Space Physics: A Science for a Technological Society $ HPS Meeting March 1-2,

0 SR GI $30.0 Lab $20.0 ITD $10.0 LCAS/Cube Sats $0.

5 Decadal Survey Implement overdrive $60.0 President s 2017 Budget SpWx Decadal Survey $50.0 LWS $40.0 SR GI $30.0 Lab $20.0 ITD $10.0 LCAS/Cube Sats $ HSC Solar and Space Physics: A Science for a Technological Society HPS Meeting March 1-2,

6 BASE overdrive Overall Heliophysics ROSES Program $120.0 SpWx $100.0 $80.0 LWS (DRIVE +) SR (DRIVE +) GI (DRIVE) Lab (DRIVE) ITD (DRIVE) $60.0 $40.0 $20.0 LCAS/CubeSats (DRIVE) HSC (DRIVE) LWS (base) GI (base) GCR (base) TIDS (base) SR (base) $ HPS Meeting March 1-2, 2016

7 Summary & Conclusions Number 1 goal of Decadal Survey was to finish the current program Launched Van Allen Probes (2012), MMS () ICON, GOLD, SPP, SOC, SET on target This goal constrains Heliophysics budget until 2018 Number 2 goal was to Implement DRIVE HPD began to implement DRIVE in 2014 with small amounts as possible HPD can fully implement DRIVE in assuming President s 2017 budget is enacted HPS Meeting March 1-2,

8 Backup HPS Meeting March 1-2,

9 Funding (dollars) Research and Analysis Funding Management Assuming Flat funding Approximately 1/3 of funds go to New Awards each year approximately 1/3 of funds go to second year of previous year's competition approximately 1/3 of funds go to third year of the competition before that Y Y Y3

10 Funding (dollars) Research and Analysis Funding Management Assuming Flat funding Approximately 1/3 of funds go to New Awards each year approximately 1/3 of funds go to second year of previous year's competition approximately 1/3 of funds go to third year of the competition before that Y Y Y2 Y Y Y3 2016

11 Funding (dollars) Research and Analysis Funding Management Assuming Flat funding Approximately 1/3 of funds go to New Awards each year approximately 1/3 of funds go to second year of previous year's competition approximately 1/3 of funds go to third year of the competition before that Y Y Y1 Y Y Y2 And on and on assuming flat funding 2013 Y Y3 Y

12 Funding (dollars) Research and Analysis Funding Management However, assuming a step up in funding and needing to allocate all ~double the selections in 2018? 2018 Y1 Y Y Y Y2 Y Y Y Y Y3 Y Y

13 Funding (dollars) Research and Analysis Funding Management However, assuming a step up in funding and needing to allocate all double the selections in 2018 and that carries into 2019, with nominal selections in Y Y1 Y Y Y Y Y2 Y Y Y Y Y3 Y Y Y

14 Funding (dollars) Research and Analysis Funding Management OR, rephase a few awards to provide less funding in Y1 & Y2 and more funding in Y3 to use up some of the increase in 2018 AND select more awards in 2016 Y Y Y2 Y Y Y3 Y

15 Funding (dollars) Research and Analysis Funding Management Again in 2017 rephase a few awards to provide less funding in Y1 and more funding in Y2 & Y3 to use up some of the increase in 2018 AND select a few more awards in Y1 Y Y Y2 Y Y Y3 Y

16 Funding (dollars) Research and Analysis Funding Management In 2018 and 2019 back to approximately 1/3 of funding selected each year with more awards Y Y1 Y Y Y Y2 Y Y Y3 Y Y

17 Implementing this approach shows forward planning and good stewardship. Implemented this year for some R&A programs. HPS Meeting March 1-2,

Trends in Discretionary Spending, FY budget authority in billions of constant FY 2010 dollars

Research and Development in the 2011 Budget Kei Koizumi Office of Science and Technology Policy March 15, 2010 for the ASEE Engineering i Research Council www.ostp.gov Trends in Discretionary Spending,