Australian Open - Melbourne, Grand slam, AUS, Hard, 16/01/2017 Court Speed is 80.8% (+1.8% above mean) - average. Break Opponent % Projected Hold

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Sophie Franklin
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1 Australian Open - Melbourne, Grand slam, AUS, Hard, 16/01/2017 Court Speed is 80.8% (+1.8% above mean) - average. Projected Hold Break Opponent % Implied probability E.O.S. ATP World ATP Pinnacle Opening My TOT Rating 1 Andy Murray 82.50% 35.20% 98.00% Illya Marchenko 63.10% 22.30% 2.00% Andrey Rublev 77.20% 15.30% 45.25% Yen-Hsun Lu 89.10% 16.60% 64.75% Alex De Minaur 83.10% 12.70% 55.98% Gerald Melzer 77.80% 11.70% 44.02% Quentin Halys 69.40% 21.40% 59.82% Sam Querrey 80.70% 17.10% 40.18% John Isner 99.70% 12.30% 77.43% Konstantin Kravchuk 79.00% 13.50% 22.57% Guillermo Garcia-Lopez 76.10% 14.70% 15.56% Mischa Zverev 90.30% 23.70% 84.44% Malek Jaziri 78.70% 14.80% 53.79% Go Soeda 74.60% 23.80% 46.21% Alexander Bublik 74.40% 26.20% 36.11% Lucas Pouille 75.00% 20.80% 63.89% Tomas Berdych 82.80% 19.50% 88.41% Luca Vanni 76.20% 25.00% 11.59% Ryan Harrison 84.00% 20.50% 54.91% Nicolas Mahut 78.60% 19.60% 45.09% Bjorn Fratangelo 83.40% 20.90% 68.23% Noah Rubin 77.30% 10.80% 31.77% Jurgen Melzer 64.40% 29.30% 10.64% Roger Federer 80.30% 33.00% 89.36% Albert Ramos-Vinolas 77.40% 21.90% 39.27% Lukas Lacko 78.00% 18.90% 60.73%

2 14 Marcel Granollers 77.30% 19.00% 52.78% Dudi Sela 71.70% 27.10% 47.22% Nicolas Almagro 81.80% 16.40% 41.16% Jeremy Chardy 84.10% 20.00% 58.84% Andrey Kuznetsov 71.60% 23.80% 18.37% Kei Nishikori 80.40% 27.90% 81.63% Stan Wawrinka 87.80% 23.80% 98.00% Martin Klizan 60.70% 18.70% 2.00% Federico Delbonis 84.50% 18.50% 34.76% Steve Johnson 89.20% 14.20% 65.24% James Duckworth 83.20% 17.50% 54.81% Paolo Lorenzi 77.80% 19.50% 45.19% Damir Dzumhur 66.70% 27.60% 31.35% Viktor Troicki 71.30% 18.20% 68.65% Pablo Cuevas 73.70% 20.10% 23.40% Diego Sebastian Schwartzman 77.20% 26.40% 76.60% Steve Darcis 83.10% 20.80% 51.74% Possible wrist injury Samuel Groth 79.60% 11.30% 48.26% Paul-Henri Mathieu 68.80% 21.20% 10.14% Andreas Seppi 73.90% 19.30% 89.86% Gastao Elias 75.70% 18.60% 8.00% Nick Kyrgios 90.50% 20.60% 92.00% Jo-Wilfried Tsonga 92.00% 20.80% 89.76% Thiago Moura Monteiro 65.90% 18.20% 10.24% N/A Dusan Lajovic 77.60% 15.20% 47.33% Stephane Robert 76.50% 24.50% 52.67% Karen Khachanov 87.80% 21.70% 53.37% Adrian Mannarino 73.50% 23.10% 46.63% Pierre-Hugues Herbert 82.00% 16.90% 15.91% Jack Sock 88.00% 19.90% 84.09% Bernard Tomic 80.50% 18.00% 53.90%

3 Thomaz Bellucci 78.80% 21.70% 46.10% Victor Estrella 67.30% 14.00% 9.01% Aljaz Bedene 83.80% 18.70% 90.99% Facundo Bagnis 67.70% 4.80% 35.68% Daniel Evans 94.20% 24.40% 64.32% Jerzy Janowicz 71.80% 10.10% 26.64% Marin Cilic 97.10% 22.90% 73.36% Well here it is the first slam of the year and there s a lot of tennis to get through so patience is very much the keyword as we wade through the next two weeks. Over the last 4 years there have been 16 seeds lose in the 1 st round, so history says there are possibly 4 to go over the next two days, let s see if we can find them. Halys/Querrey - There is a chance that Halys can steal this one as the big serving American is in dismal form and his Australian Open record reads five 1 st round exits in ten years and in no way is he a 1.40 shot, I ll be laying from the start. Bublik/Pouille Pouille is by far the better player but the numbers are very close and I ll be watching a couple of games to see if Bublik is matching his higher ranked opponent before considering laying the Frenchman at around Ramos-Vinolas /Lacko - The Spaniard in his career is just 1-4 in five main draw trips here at Melbourne and his early season form is mediocre at best. Lacko has progressed through the qualifying rounds nicely and could be too sharp for Ramos here, I ll be looking to take the Spaniard on once I ve watched a couple of games. Cuevas/Schwartzman Cuevas has only played in Melbourne four times previously with three first round exits. Schwartzman is 0-2 in main draw action in Australia in the past, but this looks to be perhaps his best chance to break through as he s improved his hard court game no end and has the advantage over Cuevas on the numbers. Tomic/Bellucci How much can we trust Bellucci to get the job done, that s the big question I keep coming back to as he s one of the worst chokers on tour, reports coming out of Tomic s camp is early season training hasn t gone to well and he has indicated he lost some weight fast in the past ten days in a bid to apparently improve his fitness after three embarrassing losses to open the season. Not the kind of thing you want to

4 hear about heading into the first Grand Slam, especially coming from Bernie as he can be disinterested at the best of times, his opening price of 1.41 is ridiculous all things considered and is well worth laying. Australian Open - Melbourne, Grand slam, AUS, Hard, 16/01/2017 Court Speed is 67.0% (+3.00 above mean) -fast. Projected Hold Break Opponent % Implied probability E.O.S. WTA World WTA Pinnacle Opening My TOT Rating 1 Angelique Kerber 64.70% 43.00% 69.27% Lesya Tsurenko 61.80% 41.60% 30.73% Eri Hozumi 50.00% 47.40% 53.30% Carina Witthoeft 40.20% 41.80% 46.70% Kristyna Pliskova 76.80% 26.00% 54.06% Viktorija Golubic 70.30% 35.50% 45.94% Yaroslava Shvedova 72.80% 32.40% 58.42% Irina-Camelia Begu 66.10% 34.20% 41.58% Darya Kasatkina 66.30% 42.10% 66.14% Shuai Peng 56.90% 33.40% 33.86% Louisa Chirico 60.40% 35.10% 37.52% Eugenie Bouchard 69.00% 31.90% 62.48% Pauline Parmentier 68.70% 30.90% 48.82% Misaki Doi 69.30% 27.30% 51.18% Coco Vandeweghe 69.90% 27.80% 45.44% Roberta Vinci 71.60% 37.40% 54.56% Carla Suarez Navarro 67.70% 37.50% 37.90% Possibly injured Jana Cepelova 57.80% 39.00% 62.10% Irina Khromacheva 68.30% 32.20% 68.80% Sorana Cirstea 57.20% 33.90% 31.20% Notes

5 11 Alison Riske 71.60% 36.00% 82.29% Dominant H2H Madison Brengle 57.10% 32.90% 17.71% Aliaksandra Sasnovich 47.10% 41.50% 35.62% Shuai Zhang 56.30% 39.80% 64.38% Anastasija Sevastova 64.70% 35.50% 64.77% Nao Hibino 62.50% 31.30% 35.23% Kristina Kucova 62.40% 33.20% 36.81% Christina Mchale 66.70% 39.00% 63.19% Samantha Crawford 47.70% 23.70% 10.00% Lauren Davis 77.50% 42.20% 90.00% Marina Erakovic 58.60% 37.40% 29.61% Garbine Muguruza 70.80% 35.50% 70.39% Simona Halep 71.50% 46.80% 76.14% Shelby Rogers 55.80% 33.00% 23.86% Ashleigh Barty 67.40% 29.30% 71.79% Annika Beck 55.70% 37.10% 28.21% Mona Barthel 65.60% 24.80% 46.30% Destanee Aiava 86.20% 39.40% 53.70% Patricia Maria Tig 52.90% 41.20% 29.80% Monica Puig 64.00% 36.00% 70.20% Kiki Bertens 69.70% 35.70% 59.09% Varvara Lepchenko 64.80% 27.90% 40.91% Ying-Ying Duan 67.40% 33.10% 61.85% Rebecca Sramkova 63.10% 34.40% 38.15% Stefanie Voegele 51.70% 32.50% 45.77% Kurumi Nara 68.10% 40.00% 54.23% Dominant H2H 24 Kateryna Kozlova 60.30% 38.90% 32.31% Venus Williams 60.60% 43.50% 67.69% Elina Svitolina 68.70% 42.50% 90.00% Galina Voskoboeva 49.80% 33.60% 10.00% Francesca Schiavone 59.10% 35.60% 57.83%

6 Julia Boserup 53.80% 32.10% 42.17% Vania King 53.40% 35.20% 33.16% Natalia Vikhlyantseva 61.60% 48.90% 66.84% Evgeniya Rodina 48.10% 41.30% 28.11% Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 59.60% 35.40% 71.89% Laura Siegemund 52.60% 34.70% 27.39% Jelena Jankovic 67.40% 43.40% 72.61% Katerina Siniakova 71.40% 41.40% 53.59% Julia Goerges 66.70% 23.90% 46.41% Anna Tatishvili 82.80% 36.20% 50.05% First match this season due to in Jaimee Fourlis 72.50% 9.30% 49.95% Mariana Duque-Marino 48.60% 23.60% 18.57% Svetlana Kuznetsova 79.10% 40.20% 81.43% Hozumi/Witthoeft Low projected holds all round here and with similar numbers the German is way too short for me, Hozumi has come through the qualifying rounds and qualifiers are always dangerous as they have already played three matches and are used to the conditions. I ll be looking at laying Witthoeft at a low price in the 1 st set as long as Hozumi is competitive. Suarez Navarro/Cepelova - Suárez Navarro hasn t played any matches in 2017 due to a shoulder injury and even though Cepelova hasn t done anything significant this year she does like an upset as she has won three of her last four matches against top ten players. Look to take Carla on if she looks like she s struggling with her shoulder. Barty/Beck The German girl is in poor form and hasn t won a match yet this year, the Australian Barty will be boyed by the home crowd and is tremendous value in this match up, I m backing half stake from the start around Barthel/Aiava The young Australian impressed me with her game in Brisbane in week one and she can cause Barthel some problems here for sure, Barthel has come through qualifying without dropping a set so is attuned to conditions and in good form so she could quite easily blow her away if the Aussie girl is nervous so watch a couple of games to see how the teenager is coping with her first Grand Slam experience.

Australian Open - Melbourne, Grand slam, AUS, Hard, 18/01/2017 Court Speed is 80.8% (+1.8% above mean) - average. Break Opponent % Projected Hold

Australian Open - Melbourne, Grand slam, AUS, Hard, 18/01/2017 Court Speed is 80.8% (+1.8% above mean) - average. Projected Hold Break Opponent % Implied probability E.O.S. ATP World ATP Pinnacle Opening