2012 Preakness Super Screener FINAL EDITION

Transcription

1 FINAL EDITION Page 1

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3 Introduction Racing fans have asked Can I just apply the Kentucky Derby Super Screener to the Preakness field to find the winner and best long shots? Based on our extensive, in-depth analysis of the past 17 Preakness Stakes outcomes, the answer is an emphatic NO! Our robust study of past winners (and losers) of the Preakness revealed that the outcomes of this race are driven by screening criteria that are unique to the Preakness and completely different from the Kentucky Derby Super Screener criteria. This makes complete sense when you think about it given how many firsts that occur in this race... Derby horses are wheeling back in just two weeks after having run 1 ¼ miles for the first time. New shooters abound trying the Preakness 1 3/16th distance for the first time. Most of the field is running on the Pimlico race track for the first time with its tighter turns, longer straight aways and harder surface. The Preakness Super Screener is based on the same time-tested research methodology that produced the highly-effective Kentucky Derby Super Screener driven by a powerful set of rules that Are based on evaluating the how a horse has run leading up to the Preakness versus, the far less important, where he finished and in what time he completed his prior races. Compare the Preakness field to time-tested, reliable benchmarks of performance produced by past Preakness winners centering on the key hows that led to their victory. Consistently separate horses that will finish in the top half of the field versus those that will finish in the bottom half of the field. Tosses vulnerable, low-priced horses or ranks them in the bottom half of the field. Isolates long-shot bombers with the best chance to hit the board. Identify the three horses to hit the trifecta within the top seven horses as ranked by the Preakness Super Screener. Page 3

4 Horse Racing Nation's Preakness Super Screener As we learned while conducting the Kentucky Derby Super Screener research study, pace figures were critical to the development of exceptional screening criteria that effectively separates contenders from pretenders. We used BRIS Pace and Speed Ratings because they provide a consistent framework of pace and speed figures going back many years. For this study, we could go as far back as 1995 when Timber Country took down the Preakness prize after producing a gutsy third place finish in the Kentucky Derby. For every year from 1995 to 2011, we extracted the BRIS pace and speed ratings for each Preakness winner s two races leading up to the Preakness. As we learned in the Kentucky Derby Super Screener study, you never want to look back more than two races run prior to the Preakness in applying the Super Screener criteria (unless truly horrible trips were produced in the two prior races, which is rare). This race requires recent sharp form displayed over a distance of ground. Our next step was to compare the top half finishers from the bottom half finishers of the field paying particular attention to the short-priced horses that ended up in the bottom half and long shots that finished in the top four. We wanted to understand what factors beyond final speed ratings best separates the top from the bottom. Finally, we then compared the running lines of all Preakness winners over the past 17 years to one another (see the table below) to uncover reliable performance benchmarks against which all future Preakness contenders will be screened. That final step completed the formulation of our Preakness Super Screener criteria. Past 18 Preakness Stakes Winners And Final Prep Pace/Speed Ratings Year Winner Prep Dist. 1st Call 2nd Call Late Pace Speed Figure 1995 Timber Country KY Derby SA Derby Louis Quatorze KY Derby Bluegrass* Silver Charm KY Derby SA Derby Real Quiet KY Derby SA Derby Charismatic KY Derby Lexington Page 4

5 2000 Red Bullet Wood* Gotham Point Given KY Derby SA Derby War Emblem KY Derby Ill Derby Funny Cide KY Derby Wood* Smarty Jones KY Derby* Ark Derby Afleet Alex KY Derby Ark Derby Bernardini Withers MSW Curlin KY Derby Ark Derby Big Brown KY Derby FL Derby Rachel Alexandra KY Oaks Fantasy Lookin at Lucky KY Derby* SA Derby Shackleford KY Derby * Sloppy track FL Derby What we found particularly interesting is that there was little overlap between the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Super Screener criteria. In other words, you couldn t simply apply the Kentucky Derby Super Screener criteria to the Preakness field and optimize success. This was a highly encouraging finding and it reflects the fact that the Preakness Stakes, run two weeks after the Kentucky Derby, is driven by a robust set of criteria unique to this race, it s position in the Triple Crown series and the Pimlico race track. Presented in the following section is our powerful and unique Super Screener criteria for the Preakness Stakes. Page 5

6 Preakness Super Screener Top Screening Criteria 1. KENTUCKY DERBY START AND TRIP In the past 28 years, there have been only three new shooters that have gone on to win the Preakness Rachel Alexandra (2009), Benardini (2006) and Red Bullet (2000). Prior to this bunch, you had to go back to 1983 before finding another Preakness new shooter winner which was Deputed Testamony. Like the Kentucky Derby, the Preakness Stakes is a demanding test of fortitude. In recent years, more and more horses are coming into the Kentucky Derby with a final prep six weeks out. However, you still prefer to see a horse with more recent work. This is particularly true for the Preakness Stakes. Why is this so? It s because horses coming in off a run in the Derby will typically possess a superior conditioning advantage over their new shooter rivals that haven t run in 4 to 6 weeks. Derby horses just ran 1 ¼ miles in a 20-horse field against the best of the crop. Only the heartiest of the Derby battlers typically move on to Leg 2 of the Triple Crown with many improving off their Derby effort, peaking in the Preakness and then either tailing off in the Belmont Stakes or unable to return to the races for several weeks (or at all). So, our first critical screening criteria is a start in the Kentucky Derby but it doesn t stop there. It s not just the start but how the horse traveled in the Kentucky Derby that must be considered. There are numerous examples of horses that encountered horrible trips in the Derby and then rebounded with a vengeance in the Preakness...including Lookin At Lucky, Afleet Alex and Point Given, to name a few. A horrible trip in the Derby alone doesn t suffice the bad trip horse must have also finished in the top half of the Derby field. We want to see some semblance of quality in a Derby starter that would have indicated the bad trip was enough to prevent a top-four finish. This screening criterion, then, is a three-parter and a yes to every one of the following questions results in a powerful endorsement of the win probability of a Preakness starter: 1. Did the horse run in the Derby? 2. Did the horse encounter a very bad trip? 3. Did the horse finish in the top half of the Derby field? Page 6

7 2. NEW SHOOTER FOUR So, new shooters as a group are a poor bet but have became less so in the past 13 years when Rachel took advantage of a weak male crop, Bernardini defeated only 7 other rivals when Barbaro suffered his tragic injury and Red Bullet peaked against 7 other suspect rival, excluding Fusaichi Pegasus. However, we need to be quite demanding of any new shooter coming into this race. The next screening rule is that any new shooter has to have prepped for the Preakness within four weeks. Coming into this race after being away for more than four weeks is too much to overcome. We can be less restrictive if the Preakness field comes up with 8 or fewer horses and if three or fewer horses have run in the Derby. 3. NEW SHOOTER 105+ Okay, let s say a new shooter meets the New Shooter Four rule. The next criteria that this horse must pass is the following: All new shooters must have produced a 105+ BRIS Speed Rating AND a 105+ rating in EITHER the 2nd Call Pace OR the Late Pace rating going 1 1/8 miles. This may seem quite demanding but keep in mind, most new shooters will be coming out of a 1 1/8 mile prep race. So, to have any shot at taking down the Preakness, the final prep must be as spectacular as it was for Rachel, Bernie and Red as they went on to capture glory in the second leg of the Triple Crown. Any new shooter coming in off a prep of less then 1 1/8 (a big, big, big knock) must have posted a 105+ figure in the Final Speed Rating AND the Late Pace Rating AND the 2nd Call Rating. Bernardini qualified when he tossed 106+ in all three spots running in the G3 Withers two-turn mile before going on to take the Preakness from a fallen Barbaro. 4. THE 101+ SPEED RATING To be considered a Preakness win contender, demand that the horse posted a BRIS Speed Rating of 101+ (roughly a Beyer 98+) in at least one of their two races leading up to the Preakness (1 1/8 miles or longer). The only horse in the past 17 years that won the Preakness but did not meet this criteria was the 2010 winner, Lookin At Lucky. Lookin At Lucky is somewhat of an enigma in that of the past 17 winners, he s the only one that had edured, not just one, but two horrible trips leading up to the Preakness. It isn t unusual for a horse to run well prior to the Derby and then encounter big time trouble in the Run for the Roses (see Afleet Alex for another recent example). If you go back to Lookin At Lucky s Rebel prep, he Page 7

8 did post a 102 BRIS Speed Rating going 1 1/16 miles. After the Derby, he popped a 104 BRIS Speed Rating while winning the Preakness. So, the only exception to this rule will be to go back three races only if the most recent two were hampered by truly horrendous trips. Good news is that this exception will rarely be employed SECOND CALL I have often heard people make the general statement that the Preakness favors speed horses or that a closer can t win. The Past 17 Preakness Winners table shown previously cuts to the truth. Half of the winners were off-the-pace or closer types and the other half were pace and presser types. The Kentucky Derby is only a bit less favorable to pressers due to the typically more strenuous pace encountered. In the Kentucky Derby Super Screener research, we came up with the screening criteria that required a horse to post a 2nd Call Pace Rating of 90+ in one or more of the final two prep races. For our Preakness Stakes study, the 2nd Call was also an important separator. However, for the Preakness, a horse must have posted a 2nd Call Pace Rating of 95+ in one of his two races leading up to the race. This makes sense since the fields in past editions of the Preakness are typically much smaller than they are in the Derby the pace will often be more reasonable and the distance is 1/16th of a mile shorter. To win, a horse needs to be positioned a bit closer to the leaders at the second call. Every one of the past 17 Preakness Stakes winners met this rule ANYWHERE This rule states that a Preakness horse must have recorded not only at least one 101+ Speed Rating but also a 106+ rating anywhere else in the pace or speed rating categories within the prior two races. All Preakness winners but Timber Country met this screening criteria. This is another Screener variable that puts emphasis on how the horse ran in its prior races. Posting two or more 100+ pace/speed ratings anywhere in the running line indicates a quality horse that has the type of energy reserve that wins the Preakness. 7. PRESSER 100+ (3 of 4) With the exception of Louis Quatorze, every Presser that won the Preakness over the past 17 years posted a 100+ rating in three of the four pace/speed rating categories. Combine a presser running style and the Preakness distance and it requires a high cruising speed. This Super Screener criteria provides critical insight into which of the pressers has the necessary energy reserves to take the top prize. 8. CLOSER 101+ LP AND SPEED Page 8

9 If a Preakness contender is defined by a closer or deep closer running style, demand that in at least one of the final two prep races that the horse produced a Late Pace AND Speed Rating of at least This indicates that a closer isn t going to be so far back that he ll have too much to do, too late. Every closer or deep closer Preakness winner but Lookin At Lucky (excuse horse see Rule #1) met this criteria. 9. PACE 110 x 2 It is a rare and great horse that can wire the Preakness or Derby field as it requires the ability to sustain a very high cruising speed across a distance of ground against possibly one or more similarly gifted rivals. The only two horses to wire the Preakness field in the past 17 years were Rachel Alexandra and Louis Quatorze. War Emblem, Funny Cide and Shackleford came close as they were all within a length of the leader at the first call. Oddly enough, it wasn t as if any of these five horses controlled a slow pace as they all cut impressive fractions on the way to victory. Many will go into the Preakness with a forwardly placed running style, but to win, this type must post a nd Call Pace Rating AND a 110+ Speed Rating in at least one of their prior two races. 10. PACE MAKES THE RACE Bad trips are less common in the Preakness Stakes due to more manageable field sizes and the long run into the first turn. Works aren t as important as they are for the Derby with the possible exception of new shooters. Discount any new shooter not working spectacularly well they already have enough to overcome. Post Position is less of a consideration in the Preakness than it is in the Derby, though inside posts fare far better than outside posts probably due to the tighter turns at Pimlico. Pace indeed makes the race and the projected pace in the Preakness will have an impact on where a horse will be ranked by the Super Screener. This is the final screen each horse will be taken through. The Super Screener may say that many horses qualify based on the prior screening criteria, but the Screener s pace projection is the final determinant of the order in which horses will be ranked. For the moment, let s assume every horse in the field qualifies on all the prior screening criteria (that will never happen!). Let s also assume half the field is comprised of need-to-lead types (that could happen!). The expected pace under these circumstances will project to be super hot. As a result, the Screener will order the field taking this into consideration moving up Screener-qualified off-the-pace and closer types and downgrading qualified front runners. NO 10+ DERBY RULE HERE! One rule that has become a particularly powerful Super Screener criteria in the Kentucky Derby is the No 10+ rule. This rules states that any horse that shows a 10-point difference in the BRIS Speed Ratings between their final two preps do not win (or even hit the board in) the Derby despite often going off at relatively low odds. This rule does not apply, however, in Page 9

10 screening the Preakness Stakes field. This is due primarily to the fact that bad trips in the Derby are commonplace and a very good horse can produce a Derby flop following their prior sharp race. Afleet Alex, Point Given and Louis Quartorze are prime examples of this phenomenon. So, while you can excuse a bad Derby trip, you need to see a huge race prior to the Derby that qualifies on all other Super Screener criteria in order to forgive the Derby outcome. Now that we have identified and defined the screening criteria unique to the Preakness Super Screener, let s summarize it all in easy-to-use, bullet form: Summary of the Super Screener Criteria 1. DERBY START AND TRIP Horse ran in the Derby and produced a top half of the field finish if the trip was horrible, the horse receives extra credit. 2. NEW SHOOTER FOUR -- All new shooters (did not run in the Derby) must have raced within four weeks of the Preakness. 3. NEW SHOOTER All new shooters must have produced a 105+ BRIS Speed Rating AND a 105+ rating in EITHER the 2nd Call Pace Rating OR the Late Pace rating going 1 1/8 miles. 4. THE 101+ SPEED RATING -- BRIS Speed Rating of 101+ (roughly a Beyer 98+) in at least one of two races leading up to the Preakness (1 1/8 miles or longer) SECOND CALL -- 2nd Call Pace Rating of 95+ achieved in at least one of two races leading up to the Preakness ANYWHERE -- must have recorded not only at least one 101+ Speed Rating but also a 106+ rating anywhere else in the pace or speed rating categories of the prior two races leading up to the Preakness. 7. PRESSER 100+ (3 of 4) posted a 100+ rating in three of the four pace/speed rating categories. 8. CLOSER 101+ LP AND SPEED for closer and deep closer types, demand that in at least one of the final two prep races that the horse produced a BRIS Late Pace AND Speed Rating of at least PACE 110 x 2 to be considered a win candidate, a wire-to-wire type must post a nd Call Pace Rating AND a 110+ Speed Rating in at least one of their two races run prior to the Preakness. Page 10

11 10. PACE MAKES THE RACE The Screener will project the Preakness pace. Based on that projection, horses meeting other Preakness Super Screener criteria will be rank ordered based on the impact the projected pace will have on their natural running style. Now, that we have established the Top 10 Preakness Super Screener criteria, let s compare how the Screener ranked last year s Preakness field to their actual finish in the race: Page 11

12 Recap of the 2011 Preakness Super Screener Analysis The Super Screener did an awesome job in separating the top half of the field from the bottom half. The top four finishers were identified within the top 6 horses ranked by the Super Screener. The Super Screener correctly identified the top two new shooters -- Astrology and Dance City. Sway Away finished up the track at low odds validating the Super Screener s position of toss. Strong Win Contender (Horses That Meet ALL Criteria) Dialed In Animal Kingdom Preakness Finish 4th 2nd Marginal Win Contenders, Strong Place Contenders Mucho Macho Man Dance City Astrology Shackleford 6th 5th 3rd 1st Best Bottom Of Trifecta and Superfecta Contenders King Congie Mr. Commons Flashpoint Concealed Identity 7th 8th 14th 10th Super Screener Toss-outs Sway Away Midnight Interlude Norman Asbjornson Isn't He Perfect 12th 13th 11th 9th Page 12

13 The 2012 Preakness Field BODEMEISTER KY Derby 1 ¼ miles Lone Pace Ark Derby 1 ⅛ miles If he came out of the Kentucky Derby as well as Bob Baffert said he did, he should simply own this race. All other speed types said no thanks. Like in the Arkansas Derby and Kentucky Derby, Bodemeister should easily clear the field with fractions that will be easier than what he set in those two races. He meets all Super Screener criteria except for the requirement of 110+ Speed Rating and nd Call Pace Rating. Having posted a monster 124 BRIS 2nd Call Pace Rating in the Derby, I don t think we ll quibble much about missing this criteria because he came up a bit short on the 110+ Speed Rating. Only knock is if he regresses here going for a third tough race in just 5 weeks. WENT THE DAY WELL KY Derby 1 1/4 miles Closer Spiral 1 ⅛ syn Super Screener says this colt is sitting on another big race. Has moved forward in each of his 2012 starts. Only horse in the field to have paired triple-digit Late Pace and Speed Ratings in each of his last two starts. If Bodemeister is not up to the task, this is the horse with the best chance to take him down late. Was moving fastest of all at the wire in the Kentucky Derby on a surface that did not favor closers. Meets all Super Screener criteria (we forgave the one-point miss on the 106+ criteria). Pace set up doesn t help or hurt his chances. Big big shot at an upset. Page 13

14 I LL HAVE ANOTHER KY Derby 1 1/4 miles Off the Pace SA Derby 1 ⅛ miles Winner of the Kentucky Derby and that clean-trip victory was no fluke. He was close to the wicked Derby pace and ran down a very game Bodemeister on a track favoring those that were forwardly placed. Seems to have come out of the Derby in good shape. Connections said much earlier in the Spring that this horse needs time between races but comes back in two weeks to try and take down the middle leg of the Triple Crown. Misses on one key Preakness Super Screener criteria in that he has no races in which he posted three triple-digit figures out of the four Pace/Speed Ratings possibilities. Stills looks tough here. CREATIVE CAUSE KY Derby 1 1/4 miles Closer SA Derby 1 ⅛ miles Capable of competing with the top trio on any given day. Lost the most ground of all Derby competitors according to Trakus. Seems like he could use a rest...however, like Mucho Macho Man last year, he s as tough as nails and always shows up. Only misses on two Super Screener criteria. Will have an impact on the Superfecta if he has anything left in the tank. DADDY NOSE BEST KY Derby 1 ¼ miles Deep Closer Sunland D 1 ⅛ miles Going into the Preakness as kind of an afterthought. Owner-driven decision? Came up flat in the Derby while beating half the field. Didn t have the best of trips and should move forward off that effort as his prep races have been well spaced apart. Kentucky Derby Super Screener had him as a win contender so he can t be ignored at what is likely to be a square price. Will offer the best value on the Preakness Stakes board. The likely pace scenario may not work to his advantage and he does miss on one other Screener criterion. Make him your value play on your tickets. Page 14

15 TEETH OF THE DOG Wood M. 1 1/8 miles Presser Maiden 1 ⅛ miles Super Screener says best of the new shooters, however, a big cut below the Kentucky Derby come-back horses. Only meets two Screener criteria and comes close on two other. Been away for six weeks and is making his second start off the layoff. Will be plenty fresh and he has taken a big step forward in each of his lifetime starts. Expect another strong move forward in the Preakness. Will sit up front, which is a positive, but hopefully will avoid getting burned up in Bodemeister s vapor trail. Distance should not be a problem. Nice long-shot consideration for the bottom of your Trifecta and Superfecta. PRETENSION CanoneroII 1 1/16 miles Presser Gotham 1 1/16 miles Another that will be found forwardly placed. His Illinois Derby, two races back, was a disaster so we are rating him off the Gotham Stakes effort, instead. Has a win over the Pimlico surface but the Preakness distance is a big question. He only meets three Super Screener criteria and they aren t exactly the toughest criteria. If you can get 35-1 or higher, consider including in the bottom tier of Supefecta s as a bomber shocker. OPTIMIZER KY Derby 1 1/4 miles Deep Closer Ark Derby 1 ⅛ miles The Kentucky Derby Super Screener said toss and he doesn t look much better here. Did finishe higher in the Derby field than expected and gets the jockey switch to Nakatani. He only meets two Super Screener criteria and just can t see anything here other than a shocker 4th place finish, but that is a real stretch. Super Screener, however, says...pass. Page 15

16 TIGER WALK Wood M. 1 1/8 miles Closer Gotham 1 1/16 miles Was beaten by Teeth of the Dog in the Wood Memorial. New York-based horses just didn t show up in the Derby (Gemologist/Alpha). Misses on all but one Super Screener criteria. Gets blinkers for the first time but he is still a toss. COZZETTI Ark Derby 1 1/8 miles Closer Tam Bay 1 1/16 miles Reportedly he is working just super coming into the Preakness and he has moved forward in each of his last three starts. Ran well enough in the Arkansas Derby against Bodemeister and will be making his third start off the layoff. Screener has him as a toss as he does not meet any Super Screener criteria. Given form cycle, works, connections and distance breeding, consider overriding the toss consideration for a 4th place throw in on your Superfecta tickets, but only at generous odds. ZETTERHOLM $75K Stakes 1 mile Deep Closer ALW NW1 1 mile Very lightly raced colt out of the always dangerous Richard Dutrow barn that debuted in January. Has moved forward in each of his starts. A deep closer that paired a couple of 109 BRIS Late Pace figures but at distances less than 1 1/8th. Breeding suggests the Preakness distance will be too much. Has been running against restricted NY state breds. Takes a huge step up in class here. Does not meet any Super Screener criteria and the Super Screener says interesting, but a toss. Page 16

17 2012 Preakness Screener Final Rankings Horses That Met All Super Screener Criteria PP Horse Odds Trainer Jockey 7 Bodemeister 8-5 B. Baffert M. Smith 5 Went The Day Well 6-1 G. Motion J. Velazquez 9 I ll Have Another 5-2 D. O'Neil M. Gutierrez Horses That Missed No More Than Two Criteria (Marginal Win Contenders; Top Place Contenders) 6 Creative Cause 4-1 M. Harrington J. Rosario 8 Daddy Nose Best 12-1 S. Asmussen J. Leparoux Horses That Met Two Or More Super Screener Criteria (Best Bottom Of Trifecta And Superfecta Bombers) 2 Teeth Of The Dog 15-1 M. Matz J. Bravo 3 Pretension 30-1 C. Grove J. Santiago Horses That Missed On All Or Most Super Screener Criteria (Toss) 11 Cozzetti 30-1 D. Romans J. Lezcano 10 Optimizer 30-1 D. Lukas C. Nakatani 1 Tiger Walk 30-1 I. Cortreas K. Desormeaux 4 Zetterholm 20-1 R. Dutrow J. Alvarado This is Bodemeister s race to lose as he is the dangerous lone pace and ran the most impressive race in the Kentucky Derby. Went The Day Well offers some value as a live top win contender and has the best shot at running down Bodemeister at the wire. I ll Have Another will have his work cut out for him in trying to take the second leg of the Triple Crown. Daddy Nose Best will offer the best value among the Exacta contenders. Teeth Of The Dog is the top new shooter according to the Super Screener and has the best shot at cracking the Superfecta at a price. Pretension is the Screener s choice for a bottom of the Superfecta shocker. Page 17

18 Recommended Super Screener Wagers SMALL $4 Exacta Box 5,7,9 $24 $2 Exacta 5,7,9 with 6,8 and $2 Exacta 6,8 with 5,7,9 $24 $1 Trifecta 7 with 2,5,6,8,9 with 2,3,5,6,8,9,11 $30 $1 Trifecta 5,7 with 5,6,7,8,9 with 5,6,7,8,9 $24 $1 Trifecta 6,7,8,9 with 5,6,7,8,9 with 5,7,8 $36 MEDIUM $1 Tri. Box 5,6,7,8,9 $60 $2 Trifecta 7 with 5,6,8,9, with 2,3,4,5,6,8,9,10,11 $64 $1 Trifecta 5,7 with 5,6,7,8,9 with 2,3,5,6,8,9,11 $60 $0.50 Super. 7,8 with 5,6,9 with 2,3,5,6,8,9,11 with 2,3,5,6,8,9,11 $60 $0.50 Super. 5,7,9 with 6,8 with 5,6,7,8,9,11 with 2,3,5,6,7,8,9,11 $60 $0.50 Super. 6,8,9 with 5,7 with 2,3,5,6,7,8,9,11 with 2,5,6,7,8,9 $60 LARGE $1 Trifecta 5,6,7,8,9 with 5,8,9 with 2,3,5,6,7,8,9,11 $72 $5 Trifecta 5,7,9 with 5,6,7,8,9 with 5,7,9 $90 $1 Trifecta 5,6,7,8,9 with 5,7,9 with ALL $108 $0.50 Super. 7 with 5,6,8,9 with 2,3,5,6,8,9,11 with ALL $96 AGGRESSIVE $1 Superfecta 5,6,7,8,9 with 5,6,7,8,9 with 6,8 with 2,3,5,6,7,8,9,11 $120 $1 Superfecta 7 with 5,6,8,9 with 2,3,5,6,8,9,11 with 2,3,5,6,8,9,11 $120 $1 Superfecta 5,7,8 with 6,9 with 5,6,7,8,9,11 with 2,3,5,6,7,8,9,11 $120 $1 Superfecta 5,6,8,9 with 7 with 5,6,8,9,11 with ALL $128 $1 Super High 5 7,9 with 5,7,9 with 5,6,7,8,9 with 3,5,6,7,8,9 with 2,3,4,5,6,8,9,11 $144 $1 Superfecta 5,6,8 with 5,6,8,7,9 with 7,9 with 2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,11 $168 Page 18

19 Good Luck! You now are fully equipped to tackle the Preakness field head on with confidence to secure your shot at the potential score of a lifetime. Best of luck to all and GO FAST AND WIN!!! Page 19