TILAPIA AQUACULTURE 2016 AND WHERE WILL WE BE IN 2026

Transcription

1 TILAPIA AQUACULTURE 2016 AND WHERE WILL WE BE IN 2026 Kevin Fitzsimmons, Ph.D. University of Arizona, Professor of Environmental Science World Aquaculture Society, Past-President Aquaculture without Frontiers, Past-Chairman American Tilapia Alliance, Sec. Tres. ISTA 11 WAS-APC 2016 Surabaya April 28, 2016

2 Farmed around the world diversifying supply Tilapia production in 140+ countries. China is world s largest producer, consumer and exporter. Egypt, Philippines, Thailand, Indonesia, Latin America, Ghana are significant producers Germany, Belgium, Spain, Canada, Korea, Japan, most states in US

3 World Tilapia Production of 5,576,800 mt in ,000,000 1,800,000 1,600,000 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000, , , , ,000 0

4 Nile Tilapia

5 Mossambique Tilapia and Red Tilapia

6 Selective breeding and genetic improvements Excellent breeding programs - G.I.F.T. - Malaysia - Acuaplan - Mexico - Genomar - Brasil and Norway - Chitralada Thailand - TabTim Thailand (CP Group) - GIFT Excell Philippines - Molobicus - Philippines - GIFT Bangladesh Several in Israel YY Supermale - Philippines and Swansea, Egypt and Indonesia

7 Market Stability: Why Tilapia Supply and Demand have Avoided the Boom and Bust of other Commodities Diversified source of supply Several closely related species Variety of production systems Several feeding methods used Variety of polyculture systems Minimal disease disruption Largest number of value added products Many by-products

8 Regions of rapid production growth Vietnam conversion of catfish cages to tilapia in Mekong, polyculture with shrimp, Indonesia cage culture, polycultures, rice culture Malaysia government support and private sector investment Bangladesh government support and private sector investment Brasil lots of available water, labor, land, feed Thailand better reporting, shrimp polyculture Mexico continued intensification, some govt support, large and small private investments Sub-Saharan Africa - commercialization

9 Mexico 4,623 licensed tilapia farms out of 9,230 total aquaculture licenses in all of Mexico 20,000 ton Dos Lagos farm in Chiapas Second farm now started, also by Regal Springs 2013 sales of 1,343,000,000 pesos ($103,000,000 US)

10 Nepal Live tilapia sales Farmed in south near Indian border, sold in Kathmandu and Pokhara

11 Myanamar (Burma) Worlds biggest aquaponic system Inle Lake, Burma (Myanmar) Floating islands constructed of reeds and aquatic weeds and tilapia

12 Inle Lake, Myanmar

13

14 Pakistan

15 Tilapia Genome Project March First assembly of the tilapia genome Oreochromis niloticus Nile Tilapia sh/tilapia/orenil1/ Matching many segments to those known from other fish Publically available and freely accessible Next frontier of genetic program for tilapia

16

17 Tilapia the Green farmed fish Herbivore / omnivore, low trophic level feeder Algae, bacteria, and detritus (bioflocs) are important food sources Prepared feeds are mostly grains and ag byproducts Promoted by aid agencies and NGO s Dr. M. Gupta awarded World Food Prize for promotion of tilapia aquaculture, June 10, 2005 Disease resistant and tolerant of poor water quality. Anti-biotics and chemicals are not needed for commercial farming.

18 2015 Tilapia exports from China Sales EU 6% Russia 6% SubSahara Africa 2% Mexico 10% Others 20% US 56%

19 May-11 Jun Jan-12 Sep-12 Jan-13 Jun-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Nov Farm gate price for 700 g tilapia in China RMB = $1.53 /kg 4 2 0

20 Ex-farm prices for whole, live tilapia, China, grams Mar Sep 2015

21 Percentage of US finfish grocery sales: weekly sales averaged $608 per store

22 Metric tons US Tilapia consumption (imports and domestic) 465,953 mt of live weight (equivalent 2009) 579,443 mt of live weight (equivalent 2010) 513,361 mt of live weight (equivalent 2011) 613,406 mt of live weight (equivalent 2012) 660,762 mt of live weight (equivalent 2013) 633,759 mt of live weight equivalent 2014) , , , , , , ,000 0

23 $ US $ US $838,349,634(2011), $986,127,852 (2012), $1,034,501,000 (2013), $1,114,646,000 (2014) $980,809,565 (2015) $1,200,000,000 $200,000,000 Value Value of of Tilapia Tilapia product product forms forms imported imported to to the the U.S. U.S $180,000,000 $1,000,000,000 $160,000,000 $800,000,000 $140,000,000 $120,000,000 $600,000,000 $100,000,000 $80,000,000 $400,000,000 $60,000,000 Whole Frozen Fillet Frozen Whole Frozen Fillet Frozen Fillet Fresh Fillet Fresh $200,000,000 $40,000,000 Whole Frozen $20,000,000 Fillet Frozen $0 Fillet Fresh $

24 US Sales of tilapia Imports to US in 2015 were $980,809,565 US production of about 30,000,000 lbs at farm 2015 US tilapia farm-gate sales were about $90,000, US Tilapia Sales estimate $980,809,565 + $90,000,000 = $ 1,070,809,565

25 Tilapia - shrimp polyculture

26 Pathways in the use of tilapia as biomanipulator (and disease control?) in shrimp farms for Vibrios and EMS Promotion of Chlorella dominance Feeding on organic waste Bioturbation of sediment Production of natural antimicrobials IMPROVED SEDIMENT QUALITY IMPROVED WATER QUALITY SUPRESSION OF GROWTH OF V. harveyi and V. parahaemolyticus?

27 Stocking and harvest schedule

28 Tilapia production in Ecuador and shrimp viral infections TILAPIA PRODUCTION IN ECUADOR 30,000 25,000 Production (mt) 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 White Spot IHHN Taura Year

29 Improvements in packaging

30

31

32

33 Traditional product forms Yangon BBQ tilapia

34 Restaurants trying many recipes

35 Byproducts - Tilapia Leather

36 Tilapia skin furniture from Brazil

37 Tilapia scales for flowers and skins for shoes

38

39 Pet treats

40 Tilapia pedicures and manicures

41 Health and Beauty Products

42 $/kg Global Tilapia Market Trends Prices have been constant, only fresh fillets have increased significantly, will not see increases beyond inflation Fresh fillet Frozen fillet Whole Frozen Live 2 1 0

43 E 2014E 2015F 1000 METRIC TONNES Tilapia Global Aquaculture Production REAL PRICE (USD/KG) Sources: : FAO and Kevin Fitzsimmons; : Average of Helga Josupeit and Kevin Fitzsimmons estimates; 2014: Kevin Fitzsimmons; Prices US import frozen tilapia Jan- Nov: NMFS 43

44 Global Aquaculture Tilapia Sales For year 2000 =US $ 1,615,321,000 (FAO FishStat 2007) 2005 sales = $ 2,457,312,000 (FAO FishStat 2007) 2010 sales = $ 5,680,410,000 (FAO FishStat 2012) 2012 sales = $ 7,656,257,000 (FAO FishStat 2014) 2015 sales > $ 10,000,000,000

45 (est) Metric tons Bangladesh tilapia aquaculture 200, , ,000 50,000 0

46 (est) 2015 (est) 2016 (est) Metric tons (000) Future global tilapia aquaculture 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0

47 Conclusions Global tilapia production was 4,507,002 metric tons in 2012 (FAO, 2014), should exceed 5,433,800 MT in 2014 and 5,600,000 in Constantly improving farming, processing and packaging for food safety, quality assurance, traceability, and environmental safeguards (with little, if any, increase in price). Other aquaculture species will follow the tilapia model.

48 Conclusions More value adding processing in producing countries as they have many of the side ingredients and desire to capture more profit from value addition. Tilapia consumption is still only two fish per capita per year. Lots of opportunity to replace one burger or one chicken dish per year.

49 Current Global Market Trends Increase in demand for all forms of tilapia Demand increase will be greatest for frozen fillets Demand increase will be significant for fresh fillets High profit margin for prepared meals assembled and packaged in developing countries

50 Buy TILAPIA Thank you Questions?